eTAOC workshop #1: 14/3/2025

Rare Event Algorithms and their Applications  in (Geophysical) Fluid Dynamics

Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands (CEST)
Location: Centre for Complexity Studies (CCSS), Minnaert Building, Room 4.16

Program

--------------------------------------------- Thursday, 13 March 2025 ----------------------------------------
 
19:00 –  Diner, location TBA
 
--------------------------------------------- Friday, 14 March 2025 ---------------------------------------------
 
09:00 – Opening  
 
09:00-09:45 – Freddy Bouchet (CNRS, Paris, Fr)
Rare event simulations for applications in climate and the energy transition
 
09:45-10:30 – Joran Rolland (Univ. Lille, Fr)
On an experimentally and numerically realizable bistable flow configuration to
test methods of data processing, model learning and rare events simulation
methods

10:30-11:00 – Break

 
11:00-11:45 – Tobias Grafke (Univ. Warwick, UK)
Sharp Large Deviations for Rare Events in Geophysical Flows
 
11:45-12:30 – Discussion
 

12:30-14:00 – Lunch/Posters

 
14:00-14:30 – Jelle Soons  (IMAU, UU)
Large Deviation Theory applied to the AMOC
 
14:30-15:00 – Matteo Cini  (ISAC, Bologna, It)
 
15:00-15:30 – Valérian Jacques-Dumas (IMAU, UU)
Resilience of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
 

15:30-16:00 – Break

 
16:00-16:45 – Lucas Esclapez (Netherlands eScience Center)
Predicting AMOC collapse probabilities in a global circulation model using TAMS
 
16:45-17:30 – Discussion
 
17:30 – Closing