Corona Cannonball
As every armchair epidemiologist, i keep my own statistics of the corona cases for all countries in the world. I find myself referring to them quite often when talking to people, so I thought it was about time to make them accessible through thus webpage:
What do these offer that you cannot find anywhere else?
These plots offer a somewhat unconventional view of the corona cases/deaths in the form of a Canonball diagram (Left panel). On the vertical axis you will find the new cases per day, and on the horizontal you will find the total number of cases. Thus time is implicit in these plots.
Why is this useful?
If you have processes governed by exponential growth or decline, these will show up as straight lines -- which are easy to identify.
These straight lines can then be used to make predictions for the future development, and in the case of decline can make a decent prediction for where the total numbers will end up. The projected development over the next two months is the visualized in the right hand panel.
Hope you find these graphs as useful as i have.
Mikael Fremling - micke.fremling@gmail.com
PS. Come back tomorrow for the daily updates. DS
First some comparisons between select countries.
-1.9 % cases per day, -3.8 % deaths per day
Continents
-4.0 % cases per day, -7.7 % deaths per day
-3.8 % cases per day, -7.8 % deaths per day
0.4 % cases per day, -0.6 % deaths per day
-0.7 % cases per day, -1.2 % deaths per day
-3.5 % cases per day, -8.4 % deaths per day
-3.0 % cases per day, -3.1 % deaths per day
Countries
Afghanistan -1.8 % cases per day, -2.5 % deaths per day
Albania -3.7 % cases per day,
Algeria -6.4 % cases per day,
Andorra -4.4 % cases per day,
Angola -48.0 % cases per day, -48.0 % deaths per day
Argentina -6.2 % cases per day, -8.4 % deaths per day
Armenia 46.4 % cases per day, 45.5 % deaths per day
Aruba 17.3 % cases per day, 70.2 % deaths per day
Australia -2.2 % cases per day, -9.1 % deaths per day
Austria 0.1 % cases per day, -1.1 % deaths per day
Azerbaijan -3.6 % cases per day, -4.4 % deaths per day
Bahrain -8.7 % cases per day, -11.1 % deaths per day
Bangladesh -2.1 % cases per day, 4.0 % deaths per day
Barbados 21.3 % cases per day, 20.0 % deaths per day
Belgium 6.4 % cases per day, 0.2 % deaths per day
Belize -4.0 % cases per day,
Benin 45.5 % cases per day,
Bermuda 2.0 % cases per day, 0.0 % deaths per day
Bhutan -14.1 % cases per day,
Bolivia -7.9 % cases per day, 0.9 % deaths per day
Botswana -2.4 % cases per day, -11.0 % deaths per day
Brazil -1.9 % cases per day, -3.0 % deaths per day
Brunei -5.0 % cases per day,
Bulgaria -3.8 % cases per day, -1.6 % deaths per day
Burundi -6.3 % cases per day,
Cambodia -7.1 % cases per day,
Canada -0.5 % cases per day, -0.8 % deaths per day
Cape Verde 10.3 % cases per day, -27.3 % deaths per day
Chad -46.5 % cases per day,
Chile -1.5 % cases per day, -1.9 % deaths per day
China , -8.5 % deaths per day
Colombia -13.0 % cases per day, -9.5 % deaths per day
Costa Rica -0.4 % cases per day, 3.1 % deaths per day
Croatia -2.2 % cases per day, -5.0 % deaths per day
Cuba -4.1 % cases per day,
Cyprus -3.1 % cases per day, -7.9 % deaths per day
Czechia 5.1 % cases per day, -0.1 % deaths per day
Denmark -0.9 % cases per day, -2.7 % deaths per day
Ecuador -19.1 % cases per day, 32.0 % deaths per day
Egypt 45.6 % cases per day, 10.9 % deaths per day
Estonia -0.8 % cases per day, -1.3 % deaths per day
Eswatini -6.2 % cases per day, 20.0 % deaths per day
Ethiopia -1.9 % cases per day,
European Union -0.4 % cases per day, -1.3 % deaths per day
Fiji 2.3 % cases per day,
Finland -22.5 % cases per day, 0.3 % deaths per day
France -3.0 % cases per day, -3.9 % deaths per day
Gabon -9.3 % cases per day,
Georgia 8.0 % cases per day, -1.0 % deaths per day
Germany 0.3 % cases per day, -1.3 % deaths per day
Ghana 31.2 % cases per day,
Gibraltar -22.0 % cases per day,
Guatemala -5.7 % cases per day, -0.5 % deaths per day
Guinea -48.5 % cases per day,
Guyana -7.2 % cases per day, 12.9 % deaths per day
Haiti -3.3 % cases per day,
High income -2.1 % cases per day, -1.7 % deaths per day
Honduras -0.1 % cases per day, -0.2 % deaths per day
Hong Kong -24.3 % cases per day, -28.8 % deaths per day
Hungary 2.8 % cases per day, 1.3 % deaths per day
Iceland 7.9 % cases per day, 32.9 % deaths per day
India 5.3 % cases per day, 5.6 % deaths per day
Indonesia 0.5 % cases per day, 3.7 % deaths per day
Iran -0.6 % cases per day, 10.6 % deaths per day
Ireland -0.5 % cases per day, 8.4 % deaths per day
Israel -2.6 % cases per day, -2.5 % deaths per day
Italy -1.6 % cases per day, 0.3 % deaths per day
Jamaica 2.0 % cases per day, 1.0 % deaths per day
Japan -4.7 % cases per day, -4.2 % deaths per day
Kazakhstan -20.6 % cases per day, 32.9 % deaths per day
Kenya -20.7 % cases per day,
Kiribati -7.7 % cases per day,
Kosovo 5.9 % cases per day, -6.9 % deaths per day
Kyrgyzstan 18.1 % cases per day,
Laos -3.5 % cases per day,
Latvia 2.1 % cases per day, -0.8 % deaths per day
Lebanon -5.4 % cases per day, -4.9 % deaths per day
Liberia -5.0 % cases per day,
Libya 3.3 % cases per day,
Lithuania 1.6 % cases per day, -3.6 % deaths per day
Low income -2.7 % cases per day, -1.6 % deaths per day
Lower middle income -2.4 % cases per day, 1.5 % deaths per day
Luxembourg 2.4 % cases per day, -5.9 % deaths per day
Macao -1.0 % cases per day, -13.6 % deaths per day
Madagascar 4.4 % cases per day, 20.0 % deaths per day
Malawi -10.9 % cases per day,
Malaysia -0.8 % cases per day, -2.8 % deaths per day
Maldives 10.4 % cases per day,
Mali 18.1 % cases per day,
Malta 2.0 % cases per day, 26.9 % deaths per day
Mauritania 13.6 % cases per day,
Mauritius -12.2 % cases per day, 21.4 % deaths per day
Mexico -2.1 % cases per day, -3.1 % deaths per day
Micronesia (country) 144.0 % cases per day, 144.0 % deaths per day
Moldova 5.6 % cases per day, 3.1 % deaths per day
Monaco 10.1 % cases per day, 28.3 % deaths per day
Mongolia 0.4 % cases per day,
Montenegro 0.3 % cases per day, 0.8 % deaths per day
Morocco -0.4 % cases per day,
Mozambique 18.6 % cases per day, 23.1 % deaths per day
Myanmar 3.5 % cases per day,
Namibia -7.7 % cases per day, -7.7 % deaths per day
Nauru 70.2 % cases per day,
Nepal -12.0 % cases per day,
Netherlands 3.6 % cases per day, -0.2 % deaths per day
New Zealand -6.6 % cases per day, 7.4 % deaths per day
Nicaragua -4.2 % cases per day,
Niger -35.1 % cases per day,
North Macedonia -7.9 % cases per day, -10.5 % deaths per day
Norway -2.2 % cases per day, -13.7 % deaths per day
Oman -7.6 % cases per day,
Pakistan 1.7 % cases per day,
Palau 25.3 % cases per day,
Panama 0.7 % cases per day, 3.9 % deaths per day
Papua New Guinea -1.5 % cases per day, -3.3 % deaths per day
Paraguay -9.8 % cases per day, -15.2 % deaths per day
Peru -12.3 % cases per day, -1.6 % deaths per day
Philippines -3.8 % cases per day, 3.9 % deaths per day
Poland 6.5 % cases per day, -1.2 % deaths per day
Portugal -0.3 % cases per day, -6.9 % deaths per day
Qatar -0.5 % cases per day,
Romania 1.2 % cases per day, 2.3 % deaths per day
Russia 3.4 % cases per day, -0.3 % deaths per day
Rwanda -50.8 % cases per day,
Samoa -4.1 % cases per day,
San Marino 2.5 % cases per day,
Saudi Arabia 2.8 % cases per day, -1.2 % deaths per day
Senegal -7.3 % cases per day, -7.7 % deaths per day
Serbia -2.3 % cases per day, -4.9 % deaths per day
Seychelles -3.3 % cases per day,
Singapore 1.7 % cases per day, -11.3 % deaths per day
Slovakia 3.7 % cases per day, -2.7 % deaths per day
Slovenia -2.6 % cases per day, -7.6 % deaths per day
Somalia 17.8 % cases per day,
South Africa -4.5 % cases per day, -32.9 % deaths per day
South Korea -4.7 % cases per day, -3.2 % deaths per day
Spain -0.1 % cases per day, 0.7 % deaths per day
Sri Lanka 2.7 % cases per day, -19.6 % deaths per day
Sudan -4.4 % cases per day, 0.0 % deaths per day
Suriname 3.1 % cases per day, 3.1 % deaths per day
Sweden -8.4 % cases per day, -6.3 % deaths per day
Switzerland -0.4 % cases per day, -34.3 % deaths per day
Syria -19.1 % cases per day,
Taiwan -0.4 % cases per day, 7.8 % deaths per day
Tanzania -3.3 % cases per day,
Thailand -10.9 % cases per day, -10.6 % deaths per day
Timor -15.3 % cases per day,
Togo 10.6 % cases per day,
Tonga -13.1 % cases per day,
Trinidad and Tobago -9.3 % cases per day, -11.4 % deaths per day
Tunisia 6.0 % cases per day, -7.9 % deaths per day
Uganda -8.2 % cases per day,
Ukraine -1.6 % cases per day, -0.3 % deaths per day
United Kingdom 3.1 % cases per day, 144.0 % deaths per day
United States -0.6 % cases per day, -1.0 % deaths per day
Upper middle income -0.6 % cases per day, -7.0 % deaths per day
Uruguay -8.9 % cases per day, -2.7 % deaths per day
Uzbekistan -1.5 % cases per day,
Venezuela -7.6 % cases per day, 3.0 % deaths per day
Vietnam -3.3 % cases per day,
Zambia -4.0 % cases per day, -9.3 % deaths per day
Zimbabwe -3.7 % cases per day, -13.5 % deaths per day
This website uses open source data from Our World in Data available throug this link.