Author name code: charbonneau ADS astronomy entries on 2022-09-14 author:"Charbonneau, Paul" ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Title: Variability from thermo-resistive instability in the atmospheres of hot jupiters Authors: Hardy, Raphaël; Cumming, Andrew; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2022arXiv220803387H Altcode: The atmosphere of a hot jupiter may be subject to a thermo-resistive instability, in which the increasing electrical conductivity with temperature leads to runaway Ohmic heating. We introduce a simplified model of the local dynamics in the equatorial region of a hot jupiter that incorporates the back reaction on the atmospheric flow as the increasing electrical conductivity leads to flux freezing, which in turn quenches the flow and therefore the Ohmic heating. We demonstrate a new time-dependent solution that emerges for a temperature-dependent electrical conductivity (whereas a temperature-independent conductivity always evolves to a steady-state). The periodic cycle consists of bursts of Alfven oscillations separated by quiescent intervals, with the magnetic Reynolds number alternating between values smaller than and larger than unity, maintaining the oscillation. We investigate the regions of pressure and temperature in which the instability operates. For the typical equatorial accelerations seen in atmospheric models, we find instability at pressures $\sim 0.1$--$1\ {\rm bar}$ and temperatures $\approx 1300$--$1800\ {\rm K}$ for magnetic fields $\sim 10\ {\rm G}$. Unlike previous studies based on a constant wind velocity, we find that the instability is stronger for weaker magnetic fields. Our results add support to the idea that variability should be a feature of magnetized hot jupiter atmospheres, particularly at intermediate temperatures. The temperature-dependence of the electrical conductivity is an important ingredient that should be included in MHD models of hot jupiter atmospheric dynamics. Title: Forecasting Solar Flares by Data Assimilation in Sandpile Models Authors: Thibeault, Christian; Strugarek, Antoine; Charbonneau, Paul; Tremblay, Benoit Bibcode: 2022arXiv220613583T Altcode: The prediction of solar flares is still a significant challenge in space weather research, with no techniques currently capable of producing reliable forecasts performing significantly above climatology. In this paper, we present a flare forecasting technique using data assimilation coupled with computationally inexpensive cellular automata called sandpile models. Our data assimilation algorithm uses the simulated annealing method to find an optimal initial condition that reproduces well an energy-release time series. We present and empirically analyze the predictive capabilities of three sandpile models, namely the Lu and Hamilton model (LH) and two deterministically-driven models (D). Despite their stochastic elements, we show that deterministically-driven models display temporal correlations between simulated events, a needed condition for data assimilation. We present our new data assimilation algorithm and demonstrate its success in assimilating synthetic observations produced by the avalanche models themselves. We then apply our method to GOES X-Ray time series for 11 active regions having generated multiple X-class flares in the course of their lifetime. We demonstrate that for such large flares, our data assimilation scheme substantially increases the success of ``All-Clear'' forecasts, as compared to model climatology. Title: External Forcing of the Solar Dynamo Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2022FrASS...953676C Altcode: In this paper I examine whether external forcing of the solar dynamo on long timescales can produce detectable signal in the form of long term modulation of the magnetic cycle. This task is motivated in part by some recent proposals (Abreu et al., 2012; Astron. Ap., 548, A88; Stefani et al., 2021; Solar Phys., 296, 88), whereby modulation of the solar activity cycle on centennial and millennial timescales, as recovered from the cosmogenic radioisotope record, is attributed to perturbation of the tachocline driven by planetary orbital motions. Working with a two-dimensional mean-field-like kinematic dynamo model of the Babcock-Leighton variety, I show that such an external forcing signal may be detectable in principle but is likely to be obliterated by other internal sources of fluctuations, in particular stochastic perturbations of the dynamo associated with convective turbulence, unless a very efficient amplification mechanism is at play. I also examine the ability of external tidal forcing to synchronize an otherwise autonomous, internal dynamo operating at a nearby frequency. Synchronization is readily achieved, and turns out to be very robust to the introduction of stochastic noise, but requires very high forcing amplitudes, again highlighting the critical need for a powerful amplification mechanism. Title: Powering Stellar Magnetism: Energy Transfers in Cyclic Dynamos of Sun-like Stars Authors: Brun, Allan Sacha; Strugarek, Antoine; Noraz, Quentin; Perri, Barbara; Varela, Jacobo; Augustson, Kyle; Charbonneau, Paul; Toomre, Juri Bibcode: 2022ApJ...926...21B Altcode: 2022arXiv220113218B We use the anelastic spherical harmonic code to model the convective dynamo of solar-type stars. Based on a series of 15 3D MHD simulations spanning four bins in rotation and mass, we show what mechanisms are at work in these stellar dynamos with and without magnetic cycles and how global stellar parameters affect the outcome. We also derive scaling laws for the differential rotation and magnetic field based on these simulations. We find a weaker trend between differential rotation and stellar rotation rate, ( ${\rm{\Delta }}{\rm{\Omega }}\propto {(| {\rm{\Omega }}| /{{\rm{\Omega }}}_{\odot })}^{0.46}$ ) in the MHD solutions than in their HD counterpart ${\left(| {\rm{\Omega }}| /{{\rm{\Omega }}}_{\odot }\right)}^{0.66}$ ), yielding a better agreement with the observational trends based on power laws. We find that for a fluid Rossby number between 0.15 ≲ Ro f ≲ 0.65, the solutions possess long magnetic cycle, if Ro f ≲ 0.42 a short cycle and if Ro f ≳ 1 (antisolar-like differential rotation), a statistically steady state. We show that short-cycle dynamos follow the classical Parker-Yoshimura rule whereas the long-cycle period ones do not. We also find efficient energy transfer between reservoirs, leading to the conversion of several percent of the star's luminosity into magnetic energy that could provide enough free energy to sustain intense eruptive behavior at the star's surface. We further demonstrate that the Rossby number dependency of the large-scale surface magnetic field in the simulation ( ${B}_{{\rm{L}},\mathrm{surf}}\sim {{Ro}}_{{\rm{f}}}^{-1.26}$ ) agrees better with observations ( ${B}_{V}\sim {{Ro}}_{{\rm{s}}}^{-1.4\pm 0.1}$ ) and differs from dynamo scaling based on the global magnetic energy ( ${B}_{\mathrm{bulk}}\sim {{Ro}}_{{\rm{f}}}^{-0.5}$ ). Title: Inferring depth-dependent plasma motions from surface observations using the DeepVel neural network Authors: Tremblay, Benoit; Cossette, Jean-François; Kazachenko, Maria D.; Charbonneau, Paul; Vincent, Alain Bibcode: 2021JSWSC..11....9T Altcode: Coverage of plasma motions is limited to the line-of-sight component at the Sun's surface. Multiple tracking and inversion methods were developed to infer the transverse motions from observational data. Recently, the DeepVel neural network was trained with computations performed by numerical simulations of the solar photosphere to recover the missing transverse component at the surface and at two additional optical depths simultaneously from the surface white light intensity in the Quiet Sun. We argue that deep learning could provide additional spatial coverage to existing observations in the form of depth-dependent synthetic observations, i.e. estimates generated through the emulation of numerical simulations. We trained different versions of DeepVel using slices from numerical simulations of both the Quiet Sun and Active Region at various optical and geometrical depths in the solar atmosphere, photosphere and upper convection zone to establish the upper and lower limits at which the neural network can generate reliable synthetic observations of plasma motions from surface intensitygrams. Flow fields inferred in the photosphere and low chromosphere τ ∈ [0.1, 1) are comparable to inversions performed at the surface (τ ≈ 1) and are deemed to be suitable for use as synthetic estimates in data assimilation processes and data-driven simulations. This upper limit extends closer to the transition region (τ ≈ 0.01) in the Quiet Sun, but not for Active Regions. Subsurface flows inferred from surface intensitygrams fail to capture the small-scale features of turbulent convective motions as depth crosses a few hundred kilometers. We suggest that these reconstructions could be used as first estimates of a model's velocity vector in data assimilation processes to nowcast and forecast short term solar activity and space weather. Title: The Sun's Polar Magnetic Field as a Key Constraint on Dynamo Models of the Solar Cycle Authors: Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 2020AGUFMSH014..05C Altcode: The strength of the sun's dipole moment at solar minimum is long known to be a good precursor for the forecasting of the amplitude of the following solar activity cycle. The buildup of the polar fields through the photospheric dispersal of magnetic flux liberated by the decay of active regions is now being modelled very accurately using a variety of surface flux transport models. Less clear is the role played by the polar fields in the dynamo loop. I some classes of dynamo models it is crucial, while in others it is a mere side-effect of the dynamo operating in the interior. In this presentation I will use a variety of current solar dynamo models to illustrate this diversity of roles played by the polar fields. I will also argue that at this point, the primary uncertainties lie not with the buildup of the polar fields, but rather with its submergence into the solar interior, the essential prerequisite for participating in the dynamo loop. Clarifying this key issue observationally requires an accurate accounting of magnetic flux balance for the polar caps (transport, emergence, submergence and in situ production) for which out-of-the-ecliptic observations are likely essential. Title: Impact of nonlinear surface inflows into activity belts on the solar dynamo Authors: Nagy, Melinda; Lemerle, Alexandre; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2020JSWSC..10...62N Altcode: We examine the impact of surface inflows into activity belts on the operation of solar cycle models based on the Babcock-Leighton mechanism of poloidal field regeneration. Towards this end we introduce in the solar cycle model of Lemerle & Charbonneau (2017. ApJ 834: 133) a magnetic flux-dependent variation of the surface meridional flow based on the axisymmetric inflow parameterization developped by Jiang et al. (2010. ApJ 717: 597). The inflow dependence on emerging magnetic flux thus introduces a bona fide nonlinear backreaction mechanism in the dynamo loop. For solar-like inflow speeds, our simulation results indicate a decrease of 10-20% in the strength of the global dipole building up at the end of an activity cycle, in agreement with earlier simulations based on linear surface flux transport models. Our simulations also indicate a significant stabilizing effect on cycle characteristics, in that individual cycle amplitudes in simulations including inflows show less scatter about their mean than in the absence of inflows. Our simulations also demonstrate an enhancement of cross-hemispheric coupling, leading to a significant decrease in hemispheric cycle amplitude asymmetries and temporal lag in hemispheric cycle onset. Analysis of temporally extended simulations also indicate that the presence of inflows increases the probability of cycle shutdown following an unfavorable sequence of emergence events. This results ultimately from the lower threshold nonlinearity built into our solar cycle model, and presumably operating in the sun as well. Title: Towards an algebraic method of solar cycle prediction. II. Reducing the need for detailed input data with ARDoR Authors: Nagy, Melinda; Petrovay, Kristóf; Lemerle, Alexandre; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2020JSWSC..10...46N Altcode: 2020arXiv200902300N An algebraic method for the reconstruction and potentially prediction of the solar dipole moment value at sunspot minimum (known to be a good predictor of the amplitude of the next solar cycle) was suggested in the first paper in this series. The method sums up the ultimate dipole moment contributions of individual active regions in a solar cycle: for this, detailed and reliable input data would in principle be needed for thousands of active regions in a solar cycle. To reduce the need for detailed input data, here we propose a new active region descriptor called ARDoR (Active Region Degree of Rogueness). In a detailed statistical analysis of a large number of activity cycles simulated with the 2 × 2D dynamo model we demonstrate that ranking active regions by decreasing ARDoR, for a good reproduction of the solar dipole moment at the end of the cycle it is sufficient to consider the top N regions on this list explicitly, where N is a relatively low number, while for the other regions the ARDoR value may be set to zero. For example, with N = 5 the fraction of cycles where the dipole moment is reproduced with an error exceeding ±30% is only 12%, significantly reduced with respect to the case N = 0, i.e. ARDoR set to zero for all active regions, where this fraction is 26%. This indicates that stochastic effects on the intercycle variations of solar activity are dominated by the effect of a low number of large "rogue" active regions, rather than the combined effect of numerous small ARs. The method has a potential for future use in solar cycle prediction. Title: Dynamo models of the solar cycle Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2020LRSP...17....4C Altcode: This paper reviews recent advances and current debates in modeling the solar cycle as a hydromagnetic dynamo process. Emphasis is placed on (relatively) simple dynamo models that are nonetheless detailed enough to be comparable to solar cycle observations. After a brief overview of the dynamo problem and of key observational constraints, I begin by reviewing the various magnetic field regeneration mechanisms that have been proposed in the solar context. I move on to a presentation and critical discussion of extant solar cycle models based on these mechanisms, followed by a discussion of recent magnetohydrodynamical simulations of solar convection generating solar-like large-scale magnetic cycles. I then turn to the origin and consequences of fluctuations in these models and simulations, including amplitude and parity modulation, chaotic behavior, and intermittency. The paper concludes with a discussion of our current state of ignorance regarding various key questions relating to the explanatory framework offered by dynamo models of the solar cycle. Title: Grand Minima in a spherical non-kinematic α2Ω mean-field dynamo model Authors: Simard, Corinne; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2020JSWSC..10....9S Altcode: We present a non-kinematic axisymetric α2Ω mean-field dynamo model in which the complete α-tensor and mean differential rotation profile are both extracted from a global magnetohydrodynamical simulation of solar convection producing cycling large-scale magnetic fields. The nonlinear backreaction of the Lorentz force on differential rotation is the only amplitude-limiting mechanism introduced in the mean-field model. We compare and contrast the amplitude modulation patterns characterizing this mean-field dynamo, to those already well-studied in the context of non-kinematic αΩ models using a scalar α-effect. As in the latter, we find that large quasi-periodic modulation of the primary cycle are produced at low magnetic Prandtl number (Pm), with the ratio of modulation period to the primary cycle period scaling inversely with Pm. The variations of differential rotation remain well within the bounds set by observed solar torsional oscillations. In this low-Pm regime, moderately supercritical solutions can also exhibit aperiodic Maunder Minimum-like periods of strongly reduced cycle amplitude. The inter-event waiting time distribution is approximately exponential, in agreement with solar activity reconstructions based on cosmogenic radioisotopes. Secular variations in low-latitude surface differential rotation during Grand Minima, as compared to epochs of normal cyclic behavior, are commensurate in amplitude with historical inferences based on sunspot drawings. Our modeling results suggest that the low levels of observed variations in the solar differential rotation in the course of the activity cycle may nonetheless contribute to, or perhaps even dominate, the regulation of the magnetic cycle amplitude. Title: Principles Of Heliophysics: a textbook on the universal processes behind planetary habitability Authors: Schrijver, Karel; Bagenal, Fran; Bastian, Tim; Beer, Juerg; Bisi, Mario; Bogdan, Tom; Bougher, Steve; Boteler, David; Brain, Dave; Brasseur, Guy; Brownlee, Don; Charbonneau, Paul; Cohen, Ofer; Christensen, Uli; Crowley, Tom; Fischer, Debrah; Forbes, Terry; Fuller-Rowell, Tim; Galand, Marina; Giacalone, Joe; Gloeckler, George; Gosling, Jack; Green, Janet; Guetersloh, Steve; Hansteen, Viggo; Hartmann, Lee; Horanyi, Mihaly; Hudson, Hugh; Jakowski, Norbert; Jokipii, Randy; Kivelson, Margaret; Krauss-Varban, Dietmar; Krupp, Norbert; Lean, Judith; Linsky, Jeff; Longcope, Dana; Marsh, Daniel; Miesch, Mark; Moldwin, Mark; Moore, Luke; Odenwald, Sten; Opher, Merav; Osten, Rachel; Rempel, Matthias; Schmidt, Hauke; Siscoe, George; Siskind, Dave; Smith, Chuck; Solomon, Stan; Stallard, Tom; Stanley, Sabine; Sojka, Jan; Tobiska, Kent; Toffoletto, Frank; Tribble, Alan; Vasyliunas, Vytenis; Walterscheid, Richard; Wang, Ji; Wood, Brian; Woods, Tom; Zapp, Neal Bibcode: 2019arXiv191014022S Altcode: This textbook gives a perspective of heliophysics in a way that emphasizes universal processes from a perspective that draws attention to what provides Earth (and similar (exo-)planets) with a relatively stable setting in which life as we know it can thrive. The book is intended for students in physical sciences in later years of their university training and for beginning graduate students in fields of solar, stellar, (exo-)planetary, and planetary-system sciences. Title: Grand Activity Minima and Maxima via Dual Dynamos Authors: Ölçek, Deniz; Charbonneau, Paul; Lemerle, Alexandre; Longpré, Gabriel; Boileau, Florence Bibcode: 2019SoPh..294...99O Altcode: Reconstructions of past solar activity based on cosmogenic radioisotopes have reavealed that the Sun spends a significant fraction (≈20 %) of its time in aperiodically recurring states of so-called Grand Minima or Grand Maxima, namely epochs of strongly supressed and markedly above-average levels of magnetic activity, respectively. The physical origin of these episodes is not yet understood. In this article we present a dual-dynamo model of the solar cycle, combining a dominant dynamo based on differential-rotation shear and surface decay of bipolar active regions, and a weak, deep-seated turbulent dynamo. The resulting dynamo simulations are found to exhibit the equivalent of observed Grand Minima and Maxima. By adjusting the magnitude and saturation level of the secondary turbulent dynamo, we can reproduce well the duration and waiting-time distributions of Grand Minima and Maxima inferred from the cosmogenic-isotope record. The exit from Grand Minima episodes is typically characterized by strong hemispheric asymmetries, in agreement with sunspot observations during the 1645 - 1715 Maunder Minimum. In these simulations, Grand Maxima can be unambiguously identified as a distinct dual-dynamo state resulting from constructive interference between the two dynamos mechanisms operating within the simulation. This interaction leads to the autonomous production of long quasi-periodicities in the millennial range, commensurate with the Halstatt cycle. Such a quasi-periodic modulation, readily produced through dynamical backreaction on large-scale flows in non-kinematic dynamo models, is quite uncommon in a purely kinematic solar-cycle model such as the one developed herein. We argue that these long periodicities are set by the long diffusion time of magnetic field accumulating in the stable layers underlying the turbulent convection zone. Title: A Dynamo-based Forecast of Solar Cycle 25 Authors: Labonville, Francois; Charbonneau, Paul; Lemerle, Alexandre Bibcode: 2019SoPh..294...82L Altcode: We present a data-driven version of the solar cycle model of Lemerle and Charbonneau (Astrophys. J.834, 133; 2017), which we use to forecast properties of the upcoming sunspot Cycle 25. The two free parameters of the model are fixed by requiring the model to reproduce Cycle 24 upon being driven by active region data for Cycle 23. Our forecasting model incorporates self-consistently the expected fluctuations associated with stochastic variations in properties of emerging active regions, most notably the scatter in the tilt angle of the line segment joining the opposite polarity focii of bipolar magnetic regions, as embodied in Joy's law. By carrying out ensemble forecasts with statistically independent realizations of active region parameters, we can produce error bars that capture the impact of this physical source of fluctuations. We forecast a smoothed monthly international sunspot number (version 2.0) peaking at 89−14+29 in year 2025.3−1.05+0.89, with a 6 month onset delay in the northern hemisphere, but a peak amplitude 20% higher than in the southern hemisphere. Title: Impact of rogue active regions on hemispheric asymmetry Authors: Nagy, Melinda; Lemerle, Alexandre; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2019AdSpR..63.1425N Altcode: 2019arXiv190907672N The solar dipole moment at activity minimum is a good predictor of the strength of the subsequent solar cycle. Through a systematic analysis using a state-of-the-art 2 × 2 D solar dynamo model, we found that bipolar magnetic regions (BMR) with atypical characteristics can modify the strength of the next cycle via their impact on the buildup of the dipole moment as a sunspot cycle unfolds. In addition to summarizing these results, we present further effects of such "rogue" BMRs. These have the ability to generate hemispheric asymmetry in the subsequent sunspot cycle, since they modify the polar cap flux asymmetry of the ongoing cycle. We found strong correlation between the polar cap flux asymmetry of cycle i and the total pseudo sunspot number asymmetry of cycle i + 1 . Good correlation also appears in the case of the time lag of the hemispheres of cycle i + 1 . Title: Sandpile Models and Solar Flares: Eigenfunction Decomposition for Data Assimilation Authors: Strugarek, Antoine; Brun, Allan S.; Charbonneau, Paul; Vilmer, Nicole Bibcode: 2018IAUS..335..250S Altcode: The largest solar flares, of class X and above, are often associated with strong energetic particle acceleration. Based on the self-similar distribution of solar flares, self-organized criticality models such as sandpiles can be used to successfully reproduce their statistics. However, predicting strong (and rare) solar flares turns out to be a significant challenge. We build here on an original idea based on the combination of minimalistic flare models (sandpiles) and modern data assimilation techniques (4DVar) to predict large solar flares. We discuss how to represent a sandpile model over a reduced set of eigenfunctions to improve the efficiency of the data assimilation technique. This improvement is model-independent and continues to pave the way towards efficient near real-time solutions for predicting solar flares. Title: On the Sensitivity of Magnetic Cycles in Global Simulations of Solar-like Stars Authors: Strugarek, A.; Beaudoin, P.; Charbonneau, P.; Brun, A. S. Bibcode: 2018ApJ...863...35S Altcode: 2018arXiv180609484S The periods of magnetic activity cycles in the Sun and solar-type stars do not exhibit a simple or even single trend with respect to rotation rate or luminosity. Dynamo models can be used to interpret this diversity and can ultimately help us understand why some solar-like stars do not exhibit a magnetic cycle, whereas some do, and for the latter what physical mechanisms set their magnetic cycle period. Three-dimensional nonlinear MHD simulations present the advantage of having only a small number of tunable parameters, and produce in a dynamically self-consistent manner the flows and the dynamo magnetic fields pervading stellar interiors. We conduct a series of such simulations within the EULAG-MHD framework, varying the rotation rate and luminosity of the modeled solar-like convective envelopes. We find decadal magnetic cycles when the Rossby number near the base of the convection zone is moderate (typically between 0.25 and 1). Secondary, shorter cycles located at the top of the convective envelope close to the equator are also observed in our numerical experiments, when the local Rossby number is lower than 1. The deep-seated dynamo sustained in these numerical experiments is fundamentally nonlinear, in that it is the feedback of the large-scale magnetic field on the large-scale differential rotation that sets the magnetic cycle period. The cycle period is found to decrease with the Rossby number, which offers an alternative theoretical explanation to the variety of activity cycles observed in solar-like stars. Title: Sandpile Model and Machine Learning for the Prediction of Solar Flares Authors: Tremblay, Benoit; Strugarek, Antoine; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2018shin.confE.143T Altcode: X-class (and above) solar flares are amongst the largest (and rarest) eruptive phenomena of the Sun. They are often accompanied by the acceleration of energetic particles which can have significant impacts on Earth's environment. The statistical features of large eruptive events can be reproduced by self-organized criticality models such as sandpile models. We previously developed a minimalistic sandpile model which, coupled with a modern data assimilation technique (e.g. 4D-Var), holds promising predictive capabilities. Our recent efforts focused on training a neural network using time sequences of synthetic X-ray flux emissions generated by the sandpile model to infer a set of initial conditions of the sandpile model compatible with this sequence of emissions (given as input). The training process is only carried out once and replaces the computationally expensive minimization step of the data assimilation procedure. Past sequences of GOES X-ray flux measurements are then fed to the neural network to obtain a sandpile model representative of a given epoch of the Sun. The inferred initial conditions can be used in an assimilated sandpile model for the prediction of upcoming flaring events. Title: Differential Rotation in Solar-like Convective Envelopes: Influence of Overshoot and Magnetism Authors: Beaudoin, Patrice; Strugarek, Antoine; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2018ApJ...859...61B Altcode: We present a set of four global Eulerian/semi-Lagrangian fluid solver (EULAG) hydrodynamical (HD) and magnetohydrodynamical (MHD) simulations of solar convection, two of which are restricted to the nominal convection zone, and the other two include an underlying stably stratified fluid layer. While all four simulations generate reasonably solar-like latitudinal differential rotation profiles where the equatorial region rotates faster than the polar regions, the rotational isocontours vary significantly among them. In particular, the purely HD simulation with a stable layer alone can break the Taylor-Proudman theorem and produce approximately radially oriented rotational isocontours at medium to high latitudes. We trace this effect to the buildup of a significant latitudinal temperature gradient in the stable fluid immediately beneath the convection zone, which imprints itself on the lower convection zone. It develops naturally in our simulations as a consequence of convective overshoot and rotational influence of rotation on convective energy fluxes. This favors the establishment of a thermal wind balance that allows evading the Taylor-Proudman constraint. A much smaller latitudinal temperature gradient develops in the companion MHD simulation that includes a stable fluid layer, reflecting the tapering of deep convective overshoot that occurs at medium to high latitudes, which is caused by the strong magnetic fields that accumulate across the base of the convection zone. The stable fluid layer also has a profound impact on the large-scale magnetic cycles developing in the two MHD simulations. Even though both simulations operate in the same convective parameter regime, the simulation that includes a stable layer eventually loses cyclicity and transits to a non-solar, steady quadrupolar state. Title: The Effect of "Rogue" Active Regions on the Solar Cycle Authors: Nagy, Melinda; Lemerle, Alexandre; Labonville, François; Petrovay, Kristóf; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2017SoPh..292..167N Altcode: 2017arXiv171202185N The origin of cycle-to-cycle variations in solar activity is currently the focus of much interest. It has recently been pointed out that large individual active regions with atypical properties can have a significant impact on the long-term behavior of solar activity. We investigate this possibility in more detail using a recently developed 2 ×2 D dynamo model of the solar magnetic cycle. We find that even a single "rogue" bipolar magnetic region (BMR) in the simulations can have a major effect on the further development of solar activity cycles, boosting or suppressing the amplitude of subsequent cycles. In extreme cases, an individual BMR can completely halt the dynamo, triggering a grand minimum. Rogue BMRs also have the potential to induce significant hemispheric asymmetries in the solar cycle. To study the effect of rogue BMRs in a more systematic manner, a series of dynamo simulations were conducted, in which a large test BMR was manually introduced in the model at various phases of cycles of different amplitudes. BMRs emerging in the rising phase of a cycle can modify the amplitude of the ongoing cycle, while BMRs emerging in later phases will only affect subsequent cycles. In this model, the strongest effect on the subsequent cycle occurs when the rogue BMR emerges around cycle maximum at low latitudes, but the BMR does not need to be strictly cross-equatorial. Active regions emerging as far as 20 from the equator can still have a significant effect. We demonstrate that the combined effect of the magnetic flux, tilt angle, and polarity separation of the BMR on the dynamo is via their contribution to the dipole moment, δ DBMR. Our results indicate that prediction of the amplitude, starting epoch, and duration of a cycle requires an accurate accounting of a broad range of active regions emerging in the previous cycle. Title: Meridional circulation dynamics in a cyclic convective dynamo Authors: Passos, D.; Miesch, M.; Guerrero, G.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 2017A&A...607A.120P Altcode: 2017arXiv170202421P Surface observations indicate that the speed of the solar meridional circulation in the photosphere varies in anti-phase with the solar cycle. The current explanation for the source of this variation is that inflows into active regions alter the global surface pattern of the meridional circulation. When these localized inflows are integrated over a full hemisphere, they contribute to slowing down the axisymmetric poleward horizontal component. The behavior of this large-scale flow deep inside the convection zone remains largely unknown. Present helioseismic techniques are not sensitive enough to capture the dynamics of this weak large-scale flow. Moreover, the large time of integration needed to map the meridional circulation inside the convection zone, also masks some of the possible dynamics on shorter timescales. In this work we examine the dynamics of the meridional circulation that emerges from a 3D MHD global simulation of the solar convection zone. Our aim is to assess and quantify the behavior of meridional circulation deep inside the convection zone where the cyclic large-scale magnetic field can reach considerable strength. Our analyses indicate that the meridional circulation morphology and amplitude are both highly influenced by the magnetic field via the impact of magnetic torques on the global angular momentum distribution. A dynamic feature induced by these magnetic torques is the development of a prominent upward flow at mid-latitudes in the lower convection zone that occurs near the equatorward edge of the toroidal bands and that peaks during cycle maximum. Globally, the dynamo-generated large-scale magnetic field drives variations in the meridional flow, in stark contrast to the conventional kinematic flux transport view of the magnetic field being advected passively by the flow. Title: The Puzzling Dynamos of Stars: Recent Progress With Global Numerical Simulations Authors: Strugarek, Antoine; Beaudoin, Patrice; Charbonneau, Paul; Brun, Allan S. Bibcode: 2017IAUS..328....1S Altcode: The origin of magnetic cycles in the Sun and other cool stars is one of the great theoretical challenge in stellar astrophysics that still resists our understanding. Ab-initio numerical simulations are today required to explore the extreme turbulent regime in which stars operate and sustain their large-scale, cyclic magnetic field. We report in this work on recent progresses made with high performance numerical simulations of global turbulent convective envelopes. We rapidly review previous prominent results from numerical simulations, and present for the first time a series of turbulent, global simulations producing regular magnetic cycles whose period varies systematically with the convective envelope parameters (rotation rate, convective luminosity). We find that the fundamentally non-linear character of the dynamo simulated in this work leads the magnetic cycle period to be inversely proportional to the Rossby number. These results promote an original interpretation of stellar magnetic cycles, and could help reconcile the cyclic behaviour of the Sun and other solar-type stars. Title: Challenges of Solar Cycle Prediction Introduced by 'Rogue' Active Region Emergences Authors: Nagy, Melinda; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2017shin.confE..48N Altcode: The building up process of the polar magnetic field is still debated, however, the peak value of that is the most promising solar cycle predictor. According to earlier results, the tilt angles of active regions (AR) emerging close to or across the equator have a crucial role in this question. Besides this, it is pointed out that the flux of an individual AR can be commensurable to the polar cap flux. In the case of strong, cross-equatorial emergences, the contribution to the solar dipole moment is huge.

In order to investigate in detail the effect of such peculiar AR emergences on the amplitudes of following cycles, test regions were inserted into sunspot cycles simulated by a coupled 2 × 2D Babcock-Leighton kinematic solar dynamo model (Lemerle et al., 2015, ApJ 801; Lemerle & Charbonneau, 2017, ApJ 834). Several series of simulation runs were done while we changed the emergence epoch; the latitude of the emergence; the flux and the tilt angle of the AR and the angular separation between the leading and trailing polarities.

It was found that ARs emerging close to the equator during the rising phase of a cycle affects the amplitude of the ongoing cycle itself. The peak value of the following cycle is effected the most when the AR appears near cycle maximum. If the flux, tilt angle or the separation was changed, the amplitude of the next cycle changed accordingly. By changing the emergence latitude we found that an AR emerging >20° far from the equator still can have significant effect. Interestingly, the duration of the ongoing cycle is affected as well, despite the constant meridional circulation speed used within the dynamo model used for the analysis. Title: Reconciling solar and stellar magnetic cycles with nonlinear dynamo simulations Authors: Strugarek, A.; Beaudoin, P.; Charbonneau, P.; Brun, A. S.; do Nascimento, J. -D. Bibcode: 2017Sci...357..185S Altcode: 2017arXiv170704335S The Sun's activity, including sun-spot activity, varies on an 11-year cycle driven by changes in its magnetic field. Other nearby solar-type stars have their own cycles, but the Sun does not seem to match their behavior. Strugarek et al. used magnetohydrodynamic simulations to show that stellar activity periods should depend on the star's Rossby number, the ratio between the inertial and Coriolis forces. Turning to observations, they found that solar-type stars, including the Sun, follow this relation. The results advance our understanding of how stars generate their magnetic fields and confirm that the Sun is indeed a solar-type star. Title: Can the solar cycle be predicted ? Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2017shin.confE.171C Altcode: Because the solar magnetic activity cycle modulates the sun's radiative output and solar wind properties, as well as the frequency of all geoeffective solar eruptive phenomena, predicting its characteristics --amplitude, duration, timing of maxima and polarity reversals-- remains a cornerstone of space weather research. Secular variations on supra-cycle timescale are also now considered an important component of solar forcing in climate simulations. Working through specific examples, I will show that various classes of solar dynamo models have very different predictive potential, and consequently that the primary obstacle facing current prediction methods based on sch models is the identification of the precise inductive mechanisms powering the solar dynamo, and of the nonlinear feedback mechanism regulating cycle amplitude. The response of these various models to stochastic forcing, and its consequence for prediction, will also be addressed, again through specific modeling examples. Title: Magnetically Modulated Heat Transport in a Global Simulation of Solar Magneto-convection Authors: Cossette, Jean-Francois; Charbonneau, Paul; Smolarkiewicz, Piotr K.; Rast, Mark P. Bibcode: 2017ApJ...841...65C Altcode: We present results from a global MHD simulation of solar convection in which the heat transported by convective flows varies in-phase with the total magnetic energy. The purely random initial magnetic field specified in this experiment develops into a well-organized large-scale antisymmetric component undergoing hemispherically synchronized polarity reversals on a 40 year period. A key feature of the simulation is the use of a Newtonian cooling term in the entropy equation to maintain a convectively unstable stratification and drive convection, as opposed to the specification of heating and cooling terms at the bottom and top boundaries. When taken together, the solar-like magnetic cycle and the convective heat flux signature suggest that a cyclic modulation of the large-scale heat-carrying convective flows could be operating inside the real Sun. We carry out an analysis of the entropy and momentum equations to uncover the physical mechanism responsible for the enhanced heat transport. The analysis suggests that the modulation is caused by a magnetic tension imbalance inside upflows and downflows, which perturbs their respective contributions to heat transport in such a way as to enhance the total convective heat flux at cycle maximum. Potential consequences of the heat transport modulation for solar irradiance variability are briefly discussed. Title: Confinement of the solar tachocline by a cyclic dynamo magnetic field Authors: Barnabé, Roxane; Strugarek, Antoine; Charbonneau, Paul; Brun, Allan Sacha; Zahn, Jean-Paul Bibcode: 2017A&A...601A..47B Altcode: 2017arXiv170302374B Context. The surprising thinness of the solar tachocline is still not understood with certainty today. Among the numerous possible scenarios suggested to explain its radial confinement, one hypothesis is based on Maxwell stresses that are exerted by the cyclic dynamo magnetic field of the Sun penetrating over a skin depth below the turbulent convection zone.
Aims: Our goal is to assess under which conditions (turbulence level in the tachocline, strength of the dynamo-generated field, spreading mechanism) this scenario can be realized in the solar tachocline.
Methods: We develop a simplified 1D model of the upper tachocline under the influence of an oscillating magnetic field imposed from above. The turbulent transport is parametrized with enhanced turbulent diffusion (or anti-diffusion) coefficients. Two main processes that thicken the tachocline are considered; either turbulent viscous spreading or radiative spreading. An extensive parameter study is carried out to establish the physical parameter regimes under which magnetic confinement of the tachocline that is due to a surface dynamo field can be realized.
Results: We have explored a large range of magnetic field amplitudes, viscosities, ohmic diffusivities and thermal diffusivities. We find that, for large but still realistic magnetic field strengths, the differential rotation can be suppressed in the upper radiative zone (and hence the tachocline confined) if weak turbulence is present (with an enhanced ohmic diffusivity of η> 107-8 cm2/ s), even in the presence of radiative spreading.
Conclusions: Our results show that a dynamo magnetic field can, in the presence of weak turbulence, prevent the inward burrowing of a tachocline subject to viscous diffusion or radiative spreading. Title: A Coupled 2 × 2D Babcock-Leighton Solar Dynamo Model. II. Reference Dynamo Solutions Authors: Lemerle, Alexandre; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2017ApJ...834..133L Altcode: 2016arXiv160607375L In this paper we complete the presentation of a new hybrid 2 × 2D flux transport dynamo (FTD) model of the solar cycle based on the Babcock-Leighton mechanism of poloidal magnetic field regeneration via the surface decay of bipolar magnetic regions (BMRs). This hybrid model is constructed by allowing the surface flux transport (SFT) simulation described in Lemerle et al. to provide the poloidal source term to an axisymmetric FTD simulation defined in a meridional plane, which in turn generates the BMRs required by the SFT. A key aspect of this coupling is the definition of an emergence function describing the probability of BMR emergence as a function of the spatial distribution of the internal axisymmetric magnetic field. We use a genetic algorithm to calibrate this function, together with other model parameters, against observed cycle 21 emergence data. We present a reference dynamo solution reproducing many solar cycle characteristics, including good hemispheric coupling, phase relationship between the surface dipole and the BMR-generating internal field, and correlation between dipole strength at cycle maximum and peak amplitude of the next cycle. The saturation of the cycle amplitude takes place through the quenching of the BMR tilt as a function of the internal field. The observed statistical scatter about the mean BMR tilt, built into the model, acts as a source of stochasticity which dominates amplitude fluctuations. The model thus can produce Dalton-like epochs of strongly suppressed cycle amplitude lasting a few cycles and can even shut off entirely following an unfavorable sequence of emergence events. Title: Editorial: 50 Years of Solar Physics Authors: Charbonneau, Paul; Leibacher, John; Mandrini, Cristina; van Driel-Gesztelyi, Lidia; Wheatland, Michael S. Bibcode: 2016SoPh..291.3461C Altcode: 2016SoPh..tmp..189C No abstract at ADS Title: Characterisation of the turbulent electromotive force and its magnetically-mediated quenching in a global EULAG-MHD simulation of solar convection Authors: Simard, Corinne; Charbonneau, Paul; Dubé, Caroline Bibcode: 2016AdSpR..58.1522S Altcode: 2016arXiv160401533S We perform a mean-field analysis of the EULAG-MHD millenium simulation of global magnetohydrodynamical convection presented in Passos and Charbonneau (2014). The turbulent electromotive force (emf) operating in the simulation is assumed to be linearly related to the cyclic axisymmetric mean magnetic field and its first spatial derivatives. At every grid point in the simulation's meridional plane, this assumed relationship involves 27 independent tensorial coefficients. Expanding on Racine et al. (2011), we extract these coefficients from the simulation data through a least-squares minimization procedure based on singular value decomposition. The reconstructed α -tensor shows good agreement with that obtained by Racine et al. (2011), who did not include derivatives of the mean-field in their fit, as well as with the α -tensor extracted by Augustson et al. (2015) from a distinct ASH MHD simulation. The isotropic part of the turbulent magnetic diffusivity tensor β is positive definite and reaches values of 5.0 ×107 m2 s-1 in the middle of the convecting fluid layers. The spatial variations of both αϕϕ and βϕϕ component are well reproduced by expressions obtained under the Second Order Correlation Approximation, with a good matching of amplitude requiring a turbulent correlation time about five times smaller than the estimated turnover time of the small-scale turbulent flow. By segmenting the simulation data into epochs of magnetic cycle minima and maxima, we also measure α - and β -quenching. We find the magnetic quenching of the α -effect to be driven primarily by a reduction of the small-scale flow's kinetic helicity, with variations of the current helicity playing a lesser role in most locations in the simulation domain. Our measurements of turbulent diffusivity quenching are restricted to the βϕϕ component, but indicate a weaker quenching, by a factor of ≃ 1.36, than of the α -effect, which in our simulation drops by a factor of three between the minimum and maximum phases of the magnetic cycle. Title: Modeling turbulent stellar convection zones: Sub-grid scales effects Authors: Strugarek, A.; Beaudoin, P.; Brun, A. S.; Charbonneau, P.; Mathis, S.; Smolarkiewicz, P. K. Bibcode: 2016AdSpR..58.1538S Altcode: 2016arXiv160508685S The impressive development of global numerical simulations of turbulent stellar interiors unveiled a variety of possible differential rotation (solar or anti-solar), meridional circulation (single or multi-cellular), and dynamo states (stable large scale toroidal field or periodically reversing magnetic fields). Various numerical schemes, based on the so-called anelastic set of equations, were used to obtain these results. It appears today mandatory to assess their robustness with respect to the details of the numerics, and in particular to the treatment of turbulent sub-grid scales. We report on an ongoing comparison between two global models, the ASH and EULAG codes. In EULAG the sub-grid scales are treated implicitly by the numerical scheme, while in ASH their effect is generally modeled by using enhanced dissipation coefficients. We characterize the sub-grid scales effect in a turbulent convection simulation with EULAG. We assess their effect at each resolved scale with a detailed energy budget. We derive equivalent eddy-diffusion coefficients and use the derived diffusivities in twin ASH numerical simulations. We find a good agreement between the large-scale flows developing in the two codes in the hydrodynamic regime, which encourages further investigation in the magnetohydrodynamic regime for various dynamo solutions. Title: Double Dynamo Signatures in a Global MHD Simulation and Mean-field Dynamos Authors: Beaudoin, Patrice; Simard, Corinne; Cossette, Jean-François; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2016ApJ...826..138B Altcode: The 11 year solar activity cycle is the most prominent periodic manifestation of the magnetohydrodynamical (MHD) large-scale dynamo operating in the solar interior, yet longer and shorter (quasi-) periodicities are also present. The so-called “quasi-biennial” signal appearing in many proxies of solar activity has been gaining increasing attention since its detection in p-mode frequency shifts, which suggests a subphotospheric origin. A number of candidate mechanisms have been proposed, including beating between co-existing global dynamo modes, dual dynamos operating in spatially separated regions of the solar interior, and Rossby waves driving short-period oscillations in the large-scale solar magnetic field produced by the 11 year activity cycle. In this article, we analyze a global MHD simulation of solar convection producing regular large-scale magnetic cycles, and detect and characterize shorter periodicities developing therein. By constructing kinematic mean-field α 2Ω dynamo models incorporating the turbulent electromotive force (emf) extracted from that same simulation, we find that dual-dynamo behavior materializes in fairly wide regions of the model’s parameters space. This suggests that the origin of the similar behavior detected in the MHD simulation lies with the joint complexity of the turbulent emf and differential rotation profile, rather that with dynamical interactions such as those mediated by Rossby waves. Analysis of the simulation also reveals that the dual dynamo operating therein leaves a double-period signature in the temperature field, consistent with a dual-period helioseismic signature. Order-of-magnitude estimates for the magnitude of the expected frequency shifts are commensurate with helioseismic measurements. Taken together, our results support the hypothesis that the solar quasi-biennial oscillations are associated with a secondary dynamo process operating in the outer reaches of the solar convection zone. Title: Solar physics: Dynamo theory questioned Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2016Natur.535..500C Altcode: Observations of X-ray emission -- a diagnostic tool for the mechanisms driving stellar magnetic fields -- from four cool stars call into question accepted models of magnetic-field generation in the Sun and stars. See Letter p.526 Title: New Insights about Meridional Circulation Dynamics from 3D MHD Global Simulations of Solar Convection and Dynamo Action Authors: Passos, D.; Charbonneau, P.; Miesch, M. S. Bibcode: 2016ASPC..504..179P Altcode: The solar meridional circulation is a "slow", large scale flow that transports magnetic field and plasma throughout the convection zone in the (r,θ) plane and plays a crucial role in controlling the magnetic cycle solutions presented by flux transport dynamo models. Observations indicate that this flow speed varies in anti-phase with the solar cycle at the solar surface. A possible explanation for the source of this variation is based on the fact that inflows into active regions alter the global surface pattern of the meridional circulation. In this work we examine the meridional circulation profile that emerges from a 3D global simulation of the solar convection zone, and its associated dynamics. We find that at the bottom of the convection zone, in the region where the toroidal magnetic field accumulates, the meridional circulation is highly modulated through the action of a magnetic torques and thus provides evidence for a new mechanism to explain the observed cyclic variations. Title: Division E Commission 10: Solar Activity Authors: Schrijver, Carolus J.; Fletcher, Lyndsay; van Driel-Gesztelyi, Lidia; Asai, Ayumi; Cally, Paul S.; Charbonneau, Paul; Gibson, Sarah E.; Gomez, Daniel; Hasan, Siraj S.; Veronig, Astrid M.; Yan, Yihua Bibcode: 2016IAUTA..29..245S Altcode: 2015arXiv151003348S After more than half a century of community support related to the science of ``solar activity'', IAU's Commission 10 was formally discontinued in 2015, to be succeeded by C.E2 with the same area of responsibility. On this occasion, we look back at the growth of the scientific disciplines involved around the world over almost a full century. Solar activity and fields of research looking into the related physics of the heliosphere continue to be vibrant and growing, with currently over 2,000 refereed publications appearing per year from over 4,000 unique authors, publishing in dozens of distinct journals and meeting in dozens of workshops and conferences each year. The size of the rapidly growing community and of the observational and computational data volumes, along with the multitude of connections into other branches of astrophysics, pose significant challenges; aspects of these challenges are beginning to be addressed through, among others, the development of new systems of literature reviews, machine-searchable archives for data and publications, and virtual observatories. As customary in these reports, we highlight some of the research topics that have seen particular interest over the most recent triennium, specifically active-region magnetic fields, coronal thermal structure, coronal seismology, flares and eruptions, and the variability of solar activity on long time scales. We close with a collection of developments, discoveries, and surprises that illustrate the range and dynamics of the discipline. Title: Predicting large solar flares with data assimilation Authors: Strugarek, Antoine; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2016IAUFM..29B.734S Altcode: We propose to use a deterministically-driven class of self-organized criticality sandpile models to carry out predictions of the largest, most dangerous, and hardest to predict solar flares. Title: Evidence of Active MHD Instability in EULAG-MHD Simulations of Solar Convection Authors: Lawson, Nicolas; Strugarek, Antoine; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2015ApJ...813...95L Altcode: 2015arXiv150907447L We investigate the possible development of magnetohydrodynamical instabilities in the EULAG-MHD “millennium simulation” of Passos & Charbonneau. This simulation sustains a large-scale magnetic cycle characterized by solar-like polarity reversals taking place on a regular multidecadal cadence, and in which zonally oriented bands of strong magnetic fields accumulate below the convective layers, in response to turbulent pumping from above in successive magnetic half-cycles. Key aspects of this simulation include low numerical dissipation and a strongly sub-adiabatic fluid layer underlying the convectively unstable layers corresponding to the modeled solar convection zone. These properties are conducive to the growth and development of two-dimensional instabilities that are otherwise suppressed by stronger dissipation. We find evidence for the action of a non-axisymmetric magnetoshear instability operating in the upper portions of the stably stratified fluid layers. We also investigate the possibility that the Tayler instability may be contributing to the destabilization of the large-scale axisymmetric magnetic component at high latitudes. On the basis of our analyses, we propose a global dynamo scenario whereby the magnetic cycle is driven primarily by turbulent dynamo action in the convecting layers, but MHD instabilities accelerate the dissipation of the magnetic field pumped down into the overshoot and stable layers, thus perhaps significantly influencing the magnetic cycle period. Support for this scenario is found in the distinct global dynamo behaviors observed in an otherwise identical EULAG-MHD simulations, using a different degree of sub-adiabaticity in the stable fluid layers underlying the convection zone. Title: A comparison of stratospheric photochemical response to different reconstructions of solar ultraviolet radiative variability Authors: Bolduc, Cassandra; Bourqui, Michel S.; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2015JASTP.132...22B Altcode: We present calculations of stratospheric chemical abundances variations between different levels of solar activity using a simple photochemistry model in transient chemistry mode. Different models for the reconstruction of the solar spectrum, as well as observations from the SOLar STellar Irradiance Comparison Experiment (SOLSTICE) and Spectral Irradiance Monitor (SIM) on the SOlar Radiation and Climate Experiment (SORCE) satellite, are used as inputs to the calculations. We put the emphasis on the MOnte CArlo Spectral Solar Irradiance Model (MOCASSIM) reconstructions, which cover the spectral interval from 150 to 400 nm and extend from 1610 to present. We compare our results with those obtained with the Naval Research Laboratory Solar Spectral Irradiance (NRLSSI) model as well as with the Magnesium-Neutron Monitor (MGNM) model over a period of time spanning the ascending phase of Cycle 22. We also perform the calculations using SORCE composite spectra for the descending phase of Cycle 23 and with the reconstructed MOCASSIM, NRLSSI and MGNM spectra for the same period for comparison. Finally, we compare the chemical abundances obtained for the Maunder Minimum with those obtained for the Cycle 23 minimum (in March 2009) and find that stratospheric ozone concentration was slightly higher during the recent minimum, consequent to the small positive variability between the MOCASSIM spectra for both epochs, especially below 260 nm. We find that the response in stratospheric ozone is not only dependent on the variability amplitude in the solar spectrum (especially in the 200-240 nm band), but also significantly on the base level of the minimum solar spectrum. Title: A Coupled 2 × 2D Babcock-Leighton Solar Dynamo Model. I. Surface Magnetic Flux Evolution Authors: Lemerle, Alexandre; Charbonneau, Paul; Carignan-Dugas, Arnaud Bibcode: 2015ApJ...810...78L Altcode: 2015arXiv151108548L The need for reliable predictions of the solar activity cycle motivates the development of dynamo models incorporating a representation of surface processes sufficiently detailed to allow assimilation of magnetographic data. In this series of papers we present one such dynamo model, and document its behavior and properties. This first paper focuses on one of the model’s key components, namely surface magnetic flux evolution. Using a genetic algorithm, we obtain best-fit parameters of the transport model by least-squares minimization of the differences between the associated synthetic synoptic magnetogram and real magnetographic data for activity cycle 21. Our fitting procedure also returns Monte Carlo-like error estimates. We show that the range of acceptable surface meridional flow profiles is in good agreement with Doppler measurements, even though the latter are not used in the fitting process. Using a synthetic database of bipolar magnetic region (BMR) emergences reproducing the statistical properties of observed emergences, we also ascertain the sensitivity of global cycle properties, such as the strength of the dipole moment and timing of polarity reversal, to distinct realizations of BMR emergence, and on this basis argue that this stochasticity represents a primary source of uncertainty for predicting solar cycle characteristics. Title: Predicting large solar flares with data assimilation Authors: Strugarek, Antoine; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2015IAUGA..2247834S Altcode: Solar and stellar flares are magnetically-driven, scale-invariant energy release events spanning over 8 orders of magnitude in energy. The prediction of the largest solar flares, of class X, is a particularly hard task due the scarcity of such events. The detailed 3D modelling of flaring active regions still requires today too much numerical resources to be routinely used for near real-time predictions. Alternative, empirical models hence have to be designed to perform such predictions. Among the models that adequately reproduce the power-law distribution in flare sizes, avalanche models have the advantage of being numerically cheap to operate. However, they usually rely on a stochastic driver, which can be expected to degrade their predictive capabilities. Building on the pioneering work of Lu and Hamilton, we develop a class of avalanche models which succeed in minimizing the built-in stochastic ingredients while retaining the solar flares power-law distribution. We show that the largest avalanches occurring in these models are robust with respect to the stochastic realization, which opens new perspectives for the prediction of the largest (and most dangerous) solar flares.We further combine data assimilation of the GOES X-ray flux with our avalanche models to carry out actual predictions. The GOES X-ray flux is transformed into a series of peaks that is fed to the model, which automatically finds an initial condition that is compatible with the observed series of events. We then test our prediction model against past GOES large events and discuss the possibility to use our data assimilation package in near real-time applications. Title: Deep-seated dynamo-driven modulation of solar and stellar luminosities Authors: Charbonneau, Paul; Cossette, Jean-François; Smolarkiewicz, Piotr Bibcode: 2015IAUGA..2255942C Altcode: Cyclic photometric variations observed on solar-type stars are usually ascribed to dynamo-driven magnetic cycles producing variations in the photospheric coverage of magnetic structures having a photometric contrast different from the quiet, unmagnetized photosphere. This idea is well-supported by solar observations and attendant modelling, which have shown that over 95% of the observed irradiance variability on short to mid-timescales (hours to months) can be reproduced by models. Yet another possible source of irradiance variability on longer timescales resides with the interference of the dynamo magnetic field with convective energy transport. This idea is supported by helioseismology, which detect subphotospheric sound speed (temperature) changes varying in phase with the magnetic cycle. In this talk I will present recent result from magnetohydrodynamical numerical simulations of solar convection in which a regular magnetic cycle develops, and drives modulation of convective energy transport. Analysis of the simulation indicates that this modulation is associated with changes in the tails of the convective flux distribution, i.e., ``hotspots'' associated with persistent upflow and downflow structures spanning a significant fraction of the domain. The resulting non-local energy transport cannot be captured by mixing-length-type formulations based on the diffusion approximation. Title: Division II: Commission 10: Solar Activity Authors: van Driel-Gesztelyi, Lidia; Scrijver, Karel J.; Klimchuk, James A.; Charbonneau, Paul; Fletcher, Lyndsay; Hasan, S. Sirajul; Hudson, Hugh S.; Kusano, Kanya; Mandrini, Cristina H.; Peter, Hardi; Vršnak, Bojan; Yan, Yihua Bibcode: 2015IAUTB..28..106V Altcode: The Business Meeting of Commission 10 was held as part of the Business Meeting of Division II (Sun and Heliosphere), chaired by Valentin Martínez-Pillet, the President of the Division. The President of Commission 10 (C10; Solar activity), Lidia van Driel-Gesztelyi, took the chair for the business meeting of C10. She summarised the activities of C10 over the triennium and the election of the incoming OC. Title: Inferring the Structure of the Solar Corona and Inner Heliosphere During the Maunder Minimum Using Global Thermodynamic Magnetohydrodynamic Simulations Authors: Riley, Pete; Lionello, Roberto; Linker, Jon A.; Cliver, Ed; Balogh, Andre; Beer, Jürg; Charbonneau, Paul; Crooker, Nancy; DeRosa, Marc; Lockwood, Mike; Owens, Matt; McCracken, Ken; Usoskin, Ilya; Koutchmy, S. Bibcode: 2015ApJ...802..105R Altcode: Observations of the Sun’s corona during the space era have led to a picture of relatively constant, but cyclically varying solar output and structure. Longer-term, more indirect measurements, such as from 10Be, coupled by other albeit less reliable contemporaneous reports, however, suggest periods of significant departure from this standard. The Maunder Minimum was one such epoch where: (1) sunspots effectively disappeared for long intervals during a 70 yr period; (2) eclipse observations suggested the distinct lack of a visible K-corona but possible appearance of the F-corona; (3) reports of aurora were notably reduced; and (4) cosmic ray intensities at Earth were inferred to be substantially higher. Using a global thermodynamic MHD model, we have constructed a range of possible coronal configurations for the Maunder Minimum period and compared their predictions with these limited observational constraints. We conclude that the most likely state of the corona during—at least—the later portion of the Maunder Minimum was not merely that of the 2008/2009 solar minimum, as has been suggested recently, but rather a state devoid of any large-scale structure, driven by a photospheric field composed of only ephemeral regions, and likely substantially reduced in strength. Moreover, we suggest that the Sun evolved from a 2008/2009-like configuration at the start of the Maunder Minimum toward an ephemeral-only configuration by the end of it, supporting a prediction that we may be on the cusp of a new grand solar minimum. Title: Meridional Circulation Dynamics from 3D Magnetohydrodynamic Global Simulations of Solar Convection Authors: Passos, Dário; Charbonneau, Paul; Miesch, Mark Bibcode: 2015ApJ...800L..18P Altcode: 2015arXiv150201154P The form of solar meridional circulation is a very important ingredient for mean field flux transport dynamo models. However, a shroud of mystery still surrounds this large-scale flow, given that its measurement using current helioseismic techniques is challenging. In this work, we use results from three-dimensional global simulations of solar convection to infer the dynamical behavior of the established meridional circulation. We make a direct comparison between the meridional circulation that arises in these simulations and the latest observations. Based on our results, we argue that there should be an equatorward flow at the base of the convection zone at mid-latitudes, below the current maximum depth helioseismic measures can probe (0.75 {{R}}). We also provide physical arguments to justify this behavior. The simulations indicate that the meridional circulation undergoes substantial changes in morphology as the magnetic cycle unfolds. We close by discussing the importance of these dynamical changes for current methods of observation which involve long averaging periods of helioseismic data. Also noteworthy is the fact that these topological changes indicate a rich interaction between magnetic fields and plasma flows, which challenges the ubiquitous kinematic approach used in the vast majority of mean field dynamo simulations. Title: Hemispheric Coupling: Comparing Dynamo Simulations and Observations Authors: Norton, A. A.; Charbonneau, P.; Passos, D. Bibcode: 2015sac..book..251N Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Flux Transport Dynamos: From Kinematics to Dynamics Authors: Karak, Bidya Binay; Jiang, Jie; Miesch, Mark S.; Charbonneau, Paul; Choudhuri, Arnab Rai Bibcode: 2015sac..book..561K Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Dynamo Action and Meridional Circulation Dynamics in Eulag-MHD Global 3D MHD Simulations of Solar Convection Authors: Passos, D. M. D. C.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 2014AGUFMSH44A..04P Altcode: The steady advance in computer power has finally enabled us to explore the solar dynamo problem by means of 3D global magnetohydrodynamical (MHD) simulations of the convection zone.Using the EULAG-MHD code, we have succeeded in producing simulations of the Sun's magnetic activity cycles that resemble the observed evolutionary patterns of the large-scale solar magnetic field. In these simulations the anelastic ideal MHD equations are solved in a thick, rotating shell of electrically conducting fluid, under solar-like stratification and thermal forcing. Since these simulations are fully dynamical in all time and spatial resolved scales, they achieve highly turbulent regimes and naturally produce variable amplitude solutions.We have recently been able to produce a simulation that spans for 1650 years and that produced 40 complete sunspot like cycles, the longest of its kind so far.This allows to perform statistical studies and establish direct comparisons with the observed solar cycle. Some of the main similarities and differences between the statistical properties of simulated and observed cycles are presented here (e.g. evidence for Gnevyshev-Ohl patterns, Gleissberg modulation or hemispheric coupling). Additionally, by studying the behaviour of the large scale flows in the simulation (differential rotation and meridional circulation) we also find evidence for solar cycle modulation of the deep equatorward flow in the meridional circulation. This result is briefly discussed as well as its implications for current helioseismic measurement methodologies and for classical kinematic mean-field flux transport dynamo simulations. Title: Solar Spectral Irradiance Variability in November/December 2012: Comparison of Observations by Instruments on the International Space Station and Models Authors: Thuillier, G.; Schmidtke, G.; Erhardt, C.; Nikutowski, B.; Shapiro, A. I.; Bolduc, C.; Lean, J.; Krivova, N.; Charbonneau, P.; Cessateur, G.; Haberreiter, M.; Melo, S.; Delouille, V.; Mampaey, B.; Yeo, K. L.; Schmutz, W. Bibcode: 2014SoPh..289.4433T Altcode: 2014SoPh..tmp..120T Onboard the International Space Station (ISS), two instruments are observing the solar spectral irradiance (SSI) at wavelengths from 16 to 2900 nm. Although the ISS platform orientation generally precludes pointing at the Sun more than 10 - 14 days per month, in November/December 2012 a continuous period of measurements was obtained by implementing an ISS `bridging' maneuver. This enabled observations to be made of the solar spectral irradiance (SSI) during a complete solar rotation. We present these measurements, which quantify the impact of active regions on SSI, and compare them with data simultaneously gathered from other platforms, and with models of spectral irradiance variability. Our analysis demonstrates that the instruments onboard the ISS have the capability to measure SSI variations consistent with other instruments in space. A comparison among all available SSI measurements during November-December 2012 in absolute units with reconstructions using solar proxies and observed solar activity features is presented and discussed in terms of accuracy. Title: Flux Transport Dynamos: From Kinematics to Dynamics Authors: Karak, Bidya Binay; Jiang, Jie; Miesch, Mark S.; Charbonneau, Paul; Choudhuri, Arnab Rai Bibcode: 2014SSRv..186..561K Altcode: 2014SSRv..tmp...55K Over the past several decades, Flux-Transport Dynamo (FTD) models have emerged as a popular paradigm for explaining the cyclic nature of solar magnetic activity. Their defining characteristic is the key role played by the mean meridional circulation in transporting magnetic flux and thereby regulating the cycle period. Most FTD models also incorporate the so-called Babcock-Leighton (BL) mechanism in which the mean poloidal field is produced by the emergence and subsequent dispersal of bipolar active regions. This feature is well grounded in solar observations and provides a means for assimilating observed surface flows and fields into the models in order to forecast future solar activity, to identify model biases, and to clarify the underlying physical processes. Furthermore, interpreting historical sunspot records within the context of FTD models can potentially provide insight into why cycle features such as amplitude and duration vary and what causes extreme events such as Grand Minima. Though they are generally robust in a modeling sense and make good contact with observed cycle features, FTD models rely on input physics that is only partially constrained by observation and that neglects the subtleties of convective transport, convective field generation, and nonlinear feedbacks. Here we review the formulation and application of FTD models and assess our current understanding of the input physics based largely on complementary 3D MHD simulations of solar convection, dynamo action, and flux emergence. Title: Hemispheric Coupling: Comparing Dynamo Simulations and Observations Authors: Norton, A. A.; Charbonneau, P.; Passos, D. Bibcode: 2014SSRv..186..251N Altcode: 2014arXiv1411.7052N; 2014SSRv..tmp...51N Numerical simulations that reproduce solar-like magnetic cycles can be used to generate long-term statistics. The variations in north-south hemispheric solar cycle synchronicity and amplitude produced in simulations has not been widely compared to observations. The observed limits on solar cycle amplitude and phase asymmetry show that hemispheric sunspot area production is no more than 20 % asymmetric for cycles 17-23 and that phase lags do not exceed 20 % (or two years) of the total cycle period, as determined from Royal Greenwich Observatory sunspot data. Several independent studies have found a long-term trend in phase values as one hemisphere leads the other for, on average, four cycles. Such persistence in phase is not indicative of a stochastic phenomenon. We compare these observational findings to the magnetic cycle found in a numerical simulation of solar convection recently produced with the EULAG-MHD model. This long "millennium simulation" spans more than 1600 years and generated 40 regular, sunspot-like cycles. While the simulated cycle length is too long (∼40 yrs) and the toroidal bands remain at too high of latitudes (>30°), some solar-like aspects of hemispheric asymmetry are reproduced. The model is successful at reproducing the synchrony of polarity inversions and onset of cycle as the simulated phase lags do not exceed 20 % of the cycle period. The simulated amplitude variations between the north and south hemispheres are larger than those observed in the Sun, some up to 40 %. An interesting note is that the simulations also show that one hemisphere can persistently lead the other for several successive cycles, placing an upper bound on the efficiency of transequatorial magnetic coupling mechanisms. These include magnetic diffusion, cross-equatorial mixing within latitudinally-elongated convective rolls (a.k.a. "banana cells") and transequatorial meridional flow cells. One or more of these processes may lead to magnetic flux cancellation whereby the oppositely directed fields come in close proximity and cancel each other across the magnetic equator late in the solar cycle. We discuss the discrepancies between model and observations and the constraints they pose on possible mechanisms of hemispheric coupling. Title: Predictive Capabilities of Avalanche Models for Solar Flares Authors: Strugarek, A.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 2014SoPh..289.4137S Altcode: 2014arXiv1406.6523S; 2014SoPh..tmp..110S We assess the predictive capabilities of various classes of avalanche models for solar flares. We demonstrate that avalanche models cannot generally be used to predict specific events because of their high sensitivity to the embedded stochastic process. We show that deterministically driven models can nevertheless alleviate this caveat and be efficiently used for predictions of large events. Our results suggest a new approach for predictions of large (typically X-class) solar flares based on simple and computationally inexpensive avalanche models. Title: Solar Photospheric Network Properties and Their Cycle Variation Authors: Thibault, K.; Charbonneau, P.; Béland, M. Bibcode: 2014ApJ...796...19T Altcode: We present a numerical simulation of the formation and evolution of the solar photospheric magnetic network over a full solar cycle. The model exhibits realistic behavior as it produces large, unipolar concentrations of flux in the polar caps, a power-law flux distribution with index -1.69, a flux replacement timescale of 19.3 hr, and supergranule diameters of 20 Mm. The polar behavior is especially telling of model accuracy, as it results from lower-latitude activity, and accumulates the residues of any potential modeling inaccuracy and oversimplification. In this case, the main oversimplification is the absence of a polar sink for the flux, causing an amount of polar cap unsigned flux larger than expected by almost one order of magnitude. Nonetheless, our simulated polar caps carry the proper signed flux and dipole moment, and also show a spatial distribution of flux in good qualitative agreement with recent high-latitude magnetographic observations by Hinode. After the last cycle emergence, the simulation is extended until the network has recovered its quiet Sun initial condition. This permits an estimate of the network relaxation time toward the baseline state characterizing extended periods of suppressed activity, such as the Maunder Grand Minimum. Our simulation results indicate a network relaxation time of 2.9 yr, setting 2011 October as the soonest the time after which the last solar activity minimum could have qualified as a Maunder-type Minimum. This suggests that photospheric magnetism did not reach its baseline state during the recent extended minimum between cycles 23 and 24. Title: Deterministically Driven Avalanche Models of Solar Flares Authors: Strugarek, Antoine; Charbonneau, Paul; Joseph, Richard; Pirot, Dorian Bibcode: 2014SoPh..289.2993S Altcode: 2014arXiv1402.4730S; 2014SoPh..tmp...43S We develop and discuss the properties of a new class of lattice-based avalanche models of solar flares. These models are readily amenable to a relatively unambiguous physical interpretation in terms of slow twisting of a coronal loop. They share similarities with other avalanche models, such as the classical stick-slip self-organized critical model of earthquakes, in that they are driven globally by a fully deterministic energy-loading process. The model design leads to a systematic deficit of small-scale avalanches. In some portions of model space, mid-size and large avalanching behavior is scale-free, being characterized by event size distributions that have the form of power-laws with index values, which, in some parameter regimes, compare favorably to those inferred from solar EUV and X-ray flare data. For models using conservative or near-conservative redistribution rules, a population of large, quasiperiodic avalanches can also appear. Although without direct counterparts in the observational global statistics of flare energy release, this latter behavior may be relevant to recurrent flaring in individual coronal loops. This class of models could provide a basis for the prediction of large solar flares. Title: A Reconstruction of Ultraviolet Spectral Irradiance During the Maunder Minimum Authors: Bolduc, C.; Charbonneau, P.; Barnabé, R.; Bourqui, M. S. Bibcode: 2014SoPh..289.2891B Altcode: 2014SoPh..tmp...41B We present a reconstruction of the solar spectrum in the near and mid-ultraviolet spectral range during the Maunder Minimum, a period of strongly suppressed magnetic activity spanning the second half of the 17th century. This spectral reconstruction is based on an extension of the Monte Carlo Solar Spectral Irradiance Model (MOCASSIM). The new version of the model, documented in this paper, extends its spectral range down to 150 nm, its temporal range back to 1610, includes a secular modulation of the quiet-Sun emissivity based on a total solar irradiance reconstruction, and uses the Atmospheric Laboratory for Applications and Science-3 (ATLAS-3) spectrum as a reconstruction baseline. The model is validated against the ATLAS-1 spectrum for 29 March 1992, showing a general agreement varying from ∼ 1 % in the 300 - 400 nm range, up to 3 - 5 % below 200 nm, the largest discrepancies occurring in emission lines formed in the chromosphere and transition region. We also reconstruct ultraviolet spectra for May 2008 and March 2009, spanning the extended phase of low activity separating Cycles 23 and 24. Our results suggest that despite the unusually long temporal extent of this activity minimum, the ultraviolet emission still remained slightly higher than during the Maunder Minimum, due to the lingering presence of decay products from active regions having emerged in the late descending phase of Cycle 23. Title: Solar Dynamo Theory Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2014ARA&A..52..251C Altcode: The Sun's magnetic field is the engine and energy source driving all phenomena collectively defining solar activity, which in turn structures the whole heliosphere and significantly impacts Earth's atmosphere down at least to the stratosphere. The solar magnetic field is believed to originate through the action of a hydromagnetic dynamo process operating in the Sun's interior, where the strongly turbulent environment of the convection zone leads to flow-field interactions taking place on an extremely wide range of spatial and temporal scales. Following a necessarily brief observational overview of the solar magnetic field and its cycle, this review on solar dynamo theory is structured around three areas in which significant advances have been made in recent years: (a) global magnetohydrodynamical simulations of convection and magnetic cycles, (b) the turbulent electromotive force and the dynamo saturation problem, and (c) flux transport dynamos, and their application to model cycle fluctuations and grand minima and to carry out cycle prediction. Title: Latest results from global 3D MHD simulations of solar convection and dynamo action Authors: Passos, Dário; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2014pnaa.conf...37P Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Characteristics of magnetic solar-like cycles in a 3D MHD simulation of solar convection Authors: Passos, D.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 2014A&A...568A.113P Altcode: We analyse the statistical properties of the stable magnetic cycle unfolding in an extended 3D magnetohydrodynamic simulation of solar convection produced with the EULAG-MHD code. The millennium simulation spans over 1650 years, in the course of which forty polarity reversals take place on a regular ~40 yr cadence, remaining well-synchronized across solar hemispheres. In order to characterize this cycle and facilitate its comparison with measures typically used to represent solar activity, we build two proxies for the magnetic field in the simulation mimicking the solar toroidal field and the polar radial field. Several quantities that characterize the cycle are measured (period, amplitudes, etc.) and correlations between them are computed. These are then compared with their observational analogs. From the typical Gnevyshev-Ohl pattern, to hints of Gleissberg modulation, the simulated cycles share many of the characteristics of their observational analogs even though the simulation lacks poloidal field regeneration through active region decay, a mechanism nowadays often considered an essential component of the solar dynamo. Some significant discrepancies are also identified, most notably the in-phase variation of the simulated poloidal and toroidal large-scale magnetic components, and the low degree of hemispheric coupling at the level of hemispheric cycle amplitudes. Possible causes underlying these discrepancies are discussed.

Appendix is available in electronic form at http://www.aanda.org Title: Analysis of Different Solar Spectral Irradiance Reconstructions and Their Impact on Solar Heating Rates Authors: Thuillier, G.; Melo, S. M. L.; Lean, J.; Krivova, N. A.; Bolduc, C.; Fomichev, V. I.; Charbonneau, P.; Shapiro, A. I.; Schmutz, W.; Bolsée, D. Bibcode: 2014SoPh..289.1115T Altcode: Proper numerical simulation of the Earth's climate change requires reliable knowledge of solar irradiance and its variability on different time scales, as well as the wavelength dependence of this variability. As new measurements of the solar spectral irradiance have become available, so too have new reconstructions of historical solar irradiance variations, based on different approaches. However, these various solar spectral irradiance reconstructions have not yet been compared in detail to quantify differences in their absolute values, variability, and implications for climate and atmospheric studies. In this paper we quantitatively compare five different reconstructions of solar spectral irradiance changes during the past four centuries, in order to document and analyze their differences. The impact on atmosphere and climate studies is discussed in terms of the calculation of short wave solar heating rates. Title: Spörer, Friedrich Wilhelm Gustav Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2014bea..book.2043C Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Fabricius, Johann Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2014bea..book..690C Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Wolf, Johann Rudolf Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2014bea..book.2366C Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Stewart, Balfour Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2014bea..book.2057C Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Wassenius, Birger Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2014bea..book.2293C Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Kirchhoff, Gustav Robert Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2014bea..book.1220C Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Cyclic Thermal Signature in a Global MHD Simulation of Solar Convection Authors: Cossette, Jean-Francois; Charbonneau, Paul; Smolarkiewicz, Piotr K. Bibcode: 2013ApJ...777L..29C Altcode: Global magnetohydrodynamical simulations of the solar convection zone have recently achieved cyclic large-scale axisymmetric magnetic fields undergoing polarity reversals on a decadal time scale. In this Letter, we show that these simulations also display a thermal convective luminosity that varies in-phase with the magnetic cycle, and trace this modulation to deep-seated magnetically mediated changes in convective flow patterns. Within the context of the ongoing debate on the physical origin of the observed 11 yr variations in total solar irradiance, such a signature supports the thesis according to which all, or part, of the variations on decadal time scales and longer could be attributed to a global modulation of the Sun's internal thermal structure by magnetic activity. Title: Stellar Dynamos and Cycles from Numerical Simulations of Convection Authors: Dubé, Caroline; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2013ApJ...775...69D Altcode: We present a series of kinematic axisymmetric mean-field αΩ dynamo models applicable to solar-type stars, for 20 distinct combinations of rotation rates and luminosities. The internal differential rotation and kinetic helicity profiles required to calculate source terms in these dynamo models are extracted from a corresponding series of global three-dimensional hydrodynamical simulations of solar/stellar convection, so that the resulting dynamo models end up involving only one free parameter, namely, the turbulent magnetic diffusivity in the convecting layers. Even though the αΩ dynamo solutions exhibit a broad range of morphologies, and sometimes even double cycles, these models manage to reproduce relatively well the observationally inferred relationship between cycle period and rotation rate. On the other hand, they fail in capturing the observed increase of magnetic activity levels with rotation rate. This failure is due to our use of a simple algebraic α-quenching formula as the sole amplitude-limiting nonlinearity. This suggests that α-quenching is not the primary mechanism setting the amplitude of stellar magnetic cycles, with magnetic reaction on large-scale flows emerging as the more likely candidate. This inference is coherent with analyses of various recent global magnetohydrodynamical simulations of solar/stellar convection. Title: Where is the solar dynamo? Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2013JPhCS.440a2014C Altcode: In this paper I review results from recent global magnetohydrodynamical numerical simulations of solar convection, as a springboard to address the question "Where is the solar dynamo". I first describe and contrast similarities and differences in the large-scale flows and magnetic fields such simulations can produce, with emphasis on polarity reversals (or lack thereof) in the large-scale magnetic components they generate. On the basis of these simulation results, I argue that some of the significant differences in the spatiotemporal evolution of the large-scale magnetic field can be traced to the competing effects of turbulent electromotive forces and induction by large-scale flows, whose mutual near-cancellation in the nonlinearly saturated regime leads to a high sensitivity to the numerical/physical treatment of small scales. Some of these recent simulation results also reopen the possibility that dynamo action driving the solar activity cycle may reside entirely within the convection zone, with the tachocline perhaps playing a lesser role than has been assumed in the last two decades. On the other hand, other subsets of simulations suggest that magnetohydrodynamical processes taking place within the tachocline may have a significant impact on timescales comparable to or longer than the primary cycle. Title: Magnetohydrodynamic Simulation-driven Kinematic Mean Field Model of the Solar Cycle Authors: Simard, Corinne; Charbonneau, Paul; Bouchat, Amélie Bibcode: 2013ApJ...768...16S Altcode: We construct a series of kinematic axisymmetric mean-field dynamo models operating in the αΩ, α2Ω and α2 regimes, all using the full α-tensor extracted from a global magnetohydrodynamical simulation of solar convection producing large-scale magnetic fields undergoing solar-like cyclic polarity reversals. We also include an internal differential rotation profile produced in a purely hydrodynamical parent simulation of solar convection, and a simple meridional flow profile described by a single cell per meridional quadrant. An α2Ω mean-field model, presumably closest to the mode of dynamo action characterizing the MHD simulation, produces a spatiotemporal evolution of magnetic fields that share some striking similarities with the zonally-averaged toroidal component extracted from the simulation. Comparison with α2 and αΩ mean-field models operating in the same parameter regimes indicates that much of the complexity observed in the spatiotemporal evolution of the large-scale magnetic field in the simulation can be traced to the turbulent electromotive force. Oscillating α2 solutions are readily produced, and show some similarities with the observed solar cycle, including a deep-seated toroidal component concentrated at low latitudes and migrating equatorward in the course of the solar cycle. Various numerical experiments performed using the mean-field models reveal that turbulent pumping plays an important role in setting the global characteristics of the magnetic cycles. Title: Torsional Oscillations in a Global Solar Dynamo Authors: Beaudoin, P.; Charbonneau, P.; Racine, E.; Smolarkiewicz, P. K. Bibcode: 2013SoPh..282..335B Altcode: 2012arXiv1210.1209B We characterize and analyze rotational torsional oscillations developing in a large-eddy magnetohydrodynamical simulation of solar convection (Ghizaru, Charbonneau, and Smolarkiewicz, Astrophys. J. Lett.715, L133, 2010; Racine et al., Astrophys. J.735, 46, 2011) producing an axisymmetric, large-scale, magnetic field undergoing periodic polarity reversals. Motivated by the many solar-like features exhibited by these oscillations, we carry out an analysis of the large-scale zonal dynamics. We demonstrate that simulated torsional oscillations are not driven primarily by the periodically varying large-scale magnetic torque, as one might have expected, but rather via the magnetic modulation of angular-momentum transport by the large-scale meridional flow. This result is confirmed by a straightforward energy analysis. We also detect a fairly sharp transition in rotational dynamics taking place as one moves from the base of the convecting layers to the base of the thin tachocline-like shear layer formed in the stably stratified fluid layers immediately below. We conclude by discussing the implications of our analyses with regard to the mechanism of amplitude saturation in the global dynamo operating in the simulation, and speculate on the possible precursor value of torsional oscillations for the forecast of solar-cycle characteristics. Title: Stellar Dynamos Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2013SAAS...39..187C Altcode: 2013SASS...39..187C This chapter steps finally away from the sun and towards the stars, the idea being to apply the physical insight gained so far to see how much of stellar magnetism can be understood in terms of dynamo action. Dynamo action in the convective core of massive main-sequence stars is first considered and shown viable. For intermediate-mass main-sequence stars the fossil field hypothesis will carry the day, although possible dynamo alternatives are also briefly discussed. The extension of the solar dynamo models investigated in Chap. 3 (10.1007/978-3-642-32093-4_3) to other solar-type stars will first take us through an important detour in first having to understand rotational evolution in response to angular momentum loss in a magnetized wind. Dynamo action in fully convective stars comes next, and the chapter closes with an overview of the situation for pre- and post-main-sequence stars and compact objects, leading finally to the magnetic fields of galaxies and beyond. Title: Magnetohydrodynamics Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2013SAAS...39....1C Altcode: 2013SASS...39....1C This chapters establishes the physical and mathematical bases of magnetohydrodynamics, the theory describing the dynamical interactions of the flow of an electrically conducting fluid with a magnetic field. After an overview of classical hydrodynamics, the magnetohydrodynamical induction equation is derived from Maxwell's equations, together with the volumetric form of the magnetic Lorentz force applicable to a fluid. Various useful concepts such as magnetic energy, helicity, vector potential, flux-freezing and force-free magnetic fields are also introduced and discussed. The chapter closes with a simple example of a mechanical dynamo, and a discussion of the astrophysical dynamo problem in general terms. Title: Decay and Amplification of Magnetic Fields Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2013SAAS...39...37C Altcode: 2013SASS...39...37C This chapter presents a series of very simple flows that can, or cannot, act as dynamos. The journey begins with magnetic field decay by Ohmic dissipation in the absence of flows, followed by magnetic amplication by stretching and shearing in the absence of dissipation. The two processes are then merged in discussing a series of ever more complex flows, some acting as dynamo and others not, the distinction being eventually understood through the help of anti-dynamo theorems. The last two flows considered, the Roberts cell and CP flow, are used to establish the distinction between fast and slow dynamo, and as interpretative tool f or a brief look at dynamo action in numerical simulation of MHD turbulence. Title: Fluctuations, Intermittency and Predictivity Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2013SAAS...39..153C Altcode: 2013SASS...39..153C This chapter considers the various mechanisms capable of producing amplitude and duration variations in the various dynamo models introduced in Chap. 3 (10.1007/978-3-642-32093-4_3). After a survey of observed and inferred fluctuation patterns of the solar cycle, the effects on the basic cycle of stochastic forcing, dynamical nonlinearities and time delay are considered in turn. The occurrence of intermittency in a subset of these models is then investigated, with an eye on explaining Grand Minima observed in the solar activity record. The chapter closes with a brief discussion of solar cycle prediction schemes based on dynamo models. Title: Solar physics: The planetary hypothesis revived Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2013Natur.493..613C Altcode: The Sun's magnetic activity varies cyclically over a period of about 11 years. An analysis of a new, temporally extended proxy record of this activity hints at a possible planetary influence on the amplitude of the cycle. Title: Dynamo Models of the Solar Cycle Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2013SAAS...39...87C Altcode: 2013SASS...39...87C This chapter details a series of dynamo models applicable to the sun and solar-type stars. After introducing the theoretical framework known as mean-field electrodynamics, a series of increasingly complex dynamo models are constructed, with the primary aim of reproducing the various basic observed characteristics of the solar magnetic activity cycle. Global and local magnetohydrodynamcial simulations of solar convection, and dynamo action therein, are also considered, and the resulting magnetic cycles compared and contrasted to those obtained in the simpler dynamo models. The focus throughout the chapter is on the sun, simply because the amount of available observational material on the solar magnetic field and its cycle dwarfs anything else in the astrophysical realm, in terms of spatial and temporal resolution, sensitivity, and time span. Title: Solar and Stellar Dynamos Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2013SAAS...39.....C Altcode: 2013SASS...39.....C No abstract at ADS Title: The Buildup of a Scale-free Photospheric Magnetic Network Authors: Thibault, K.; Charbonneau, P.; Crouch, A. D. Bibcode: 2012ApJ...757..187T Altcode: We use a global Monte Carlo simulation of the formation of the solar photospheric magnetic network to investigate the origin of the scale invariance characterizing magnetic flux concentrations visible on high-resolution magnetograms. The simulations include spatially and temporally homogeneous injection of small-scale magnetic elements over the whole photosphere, as well as localized episodic injection associated with the emergence and decay of active regions. Network elements form in response to cumulative pairwise aggregation or cancellation of magnetic elements, undergoing a random walk on the sphere and advected on large spatial scales by differential rotation and a poleward meridional flow. The resulting size distribution of simulated network elements is in very good agreement with observational inferences. We find that the fractal index and size distribution of network elements are determined primarily by these post-emergence surface mechanisms, and carry little or no memory of the scales at which magnetic flux is injected in the simulation. Implications for models of dynamo action in the Sun are briefly discussed. Title: A Fast Model for the Reconstruction of Spectral Solar Irradiance in the Near- and Mid-Ultraviolet Authors: Bolduc, C.; Charbonneau, P.; Dumoulin, V.; Bourqui, M. S.; Crouch, A. D. Bibcode: 2012SoPh..279..383B Altcode: We present a model for the reconstruction of spectral solar irradiance between 200 and 400 nm. This model is an extension of the total solar irradiance (TSI) model of Crouch et al. (Astrophys. J.677, 723, 2008) which is based on a data-driven Monte Carlo simulation of sunspot emergence, fragmentation, and erosion. The resulting time-evolving daily area distribution of magnetic structures of all sizes is used as input to a four-component irradiance model including contributions from the quiet Sun, sunspots, faculae, and network. In extending the model to spectral irradiance in the near- and mid-ultraviolet, the quiet Sun and sunspot emissivities are calculated from synthetic spectra at Teff=5750 K and 5250 K, respectively. Facular emissivities are calculated using a simple synthesis procedure proposed by Solanki and Unruh (Astron. Astrophys.329, 747, 1998). The resulting time series of ultraviolet flux is calibrated against the data from the SOLSTICE instrument on the Upper Atmospheric Research Satellite (UARS). Using a genetic algorithm, we invert quiet Sun corrections, profile of facular temperature variations with height, and network model parameters which yield the best fit to these data. The resulting best-fit time series reproduces quite well the solar-cycle timescale variations of UARS ultraviolet observations, as well as the short-timescale fluctuations about the 81 day running mean. We synthesize full spectra between 200 and 400 nm, and validate these against the spectra obtained by the ATLAS-1 and ATLAS-3 missions, finding good agreement, to better than 3 % at most wavelengths. We also compare the UV variability predicted by our reconstructions in the descending phase of sunspot cycle 23 to SORCE/SIM data as well as to other reconstructions. Finally, we use the model to reconstruct the time series of spectral irradiance starting in 1874, and investigate temporal correlations between pairs of wavelengths in the bands of interest for stratospheric chemistry and dynamics. Title: An Exploration of Non-kinematic Effects in Flux Transport Dynamos Authors: Passos, Dário; Charbonneau, Paul; Beaudoin, Patrice Bibcode: 2012SoPh..279....1P Altcode: 2012SoPh..tmp...71P Recent global magnetohydrodynamical simulations of solar convection producing a large-scale magnetic field undergoing regular, solar-like polarity reversals also present related cyclic modulations of large-scale flows developing in the convecting layers. Examination of these simulations reveal that the meridional flow, a crucial element in flux transport dynamos, is driven at least in part by the Lorentz force associated with the cycling large-scale magnetic field. This suggests that the backreaction of the field onto the flow may have a pronounced influence on the long-term evolution of the dynamo. We explore some of the associated dynamics using a low-order dynamo model that includes this Lorentz force feedback. We identify several characteristic solutions which include single period cycles, period doubling and chaos. To emulate the role of turbulence in the backreaction process we subject the model to stochastic fluctuations in the parameter that controls the Lorentz force amplitude. We find that short term fluctuations produce long-term modulations of the solar cycle and, in some cases, grand minima episodes where the amplitude of the magnetic field decays to near zero. The chain of events that triggers these quiescent phases is identified. A subsequent analysis of the energy transfer between large-scale fields and flows in the global magnetohydrodynamical simulation of solar convection shows that the magnetic field extracts energy from the solar differential rotation and deposits part of that energy into the meridional flow. The potential consequences of this marked departure from the kinematic regime are discussed in the context of current solar cycle modeling efforts based on flux transport dynamos. Title: Numerical Simulation of a Solar Active Region. I: Bastille Day Flare Authors: Vincent, Alain; Charbonneau, Paul; Dubé, Caroline Bibcode: 2012SoPh..278..367V Altcode: We present three-dimensional unsteady modeling and numerical simulations of a coronal active region, carried out within the compressible single-fluid MHD approximation. We focus on AR 9077 on 14 July 2000, and the triggering of the X5.7 GOES X-ray class "Bastille Day" flare. We simulate only the lower corona, although we include a virtual photosphere and chromosphere below. The boundary conditions at the base of this layer are set using temperature maps from line intensities and line-of-sight magnetograms (SOHO/MDI). From the latter, we generate vector magnetograms using the force-free approximation; these vector magnetograms are then used to produce the boundary condition on the velocity field using a minimum energy principle (Longcope, Astrophys. J.612, 1181, 2004). The reconnection process is modeled through a dynamical hyper-resistivity which is activated when the current exceeds a critical value (Klimas et al., J. Geophys. Res.109, 2218, 2004). Comparing the time series of X-ray fluxes recorded by GOES with modeled time series of various mean physical variables such as current density, Poynting energy flux, or radiative loss inside the active region, we can demonstrate that the model properly captures the evolution of an active region over a day and, in particular, is able to explain the initiation of the flare at the observed time. Title: Commission 10: Solar Activity Authors: van Driel-Gesztelyi, Lidia; Schrijver, Carolus J.; Klimchuk, James A.; Charbonneau, Paul; Fletcher, Lyndsay; Hasan, S. Sirajul; Hudson, Hugh S.; Kusano, Kanya; Mandrini, Cristina H.; Peter, Hardi; Vršnak, Bojan; Yan, Yihua Bibcode: 2012IAUTA..28...69V Altcode: Commission 10 of the International Astronomical Union has more than 650 members who study a wide range of activity phenomena produced by our nearest star, the Sun. Solar activity is intrinsically related to solar magnetic fields and encompasses events from the smallest energy releases (nano- or even picoflares) to the largest eruptions in the Solar System, coronal mass ejections (CMEs), which propagate into the Heliosphere reaching the Earth and beyond. Solar activity is manifested in the appearance of sunspot groups or active regions, which are the principal sources of activity phenomena from the emergence of their magnetic flux through their dispersion and decay. The period 2008-2009 saw an unanticipated extended solar cycle minimum and unprecedentedly weak polar-cap and heliospheric field. Associated with that was the 2009 historical maximum in galactic cosmic rays flux since measurements begun in the middle of the 20th Century. Since then Cycle 24 has re-started solar activity producing some spectacular eruptions observed with a fleet of spacecraft and ground-based facilities. In the last triennium major advances in our knowledge and understanding of solar activity were due to continuing success of space missions as SOHO, Hinode, RHESSI and the twin STEREO spacecraft, further enriched by the breathtaking images of the solar atmosphere produced by the Solar Dynamic Observatory (SDO) launched on 11 February 2010 in the framework of NASA's Living with a Star program. In August 2012, at the time of the IAU General Assembly in Beijing when the mandate of this Commission ends, we will be in the unique position to have for the first time a full 3-D view of the Sun and solar activity phenomena provided by the twin STEREO missions about 120 degrees behind and ahead of Earth and other spacecraft around the Earth and ground-based observatories. These new observational insights are continuously posing new questions, inspiring and advancing theoretical analysis and modelling, improving our understanding of the physics underlying magnetic activity phenomena. Commission 10 reports on a vigorously evolving field of research produced by a large community. The number of refereed publications containing `Sun', `heliosphere', or a synonym in their abstracts continued the steady growth seen over the preceding decades, reaching about 2000 in the years 2008-2010, with a total of close to 4000 unique authors. This report, however, has its limitations and it is inherently incomplete, as it was prepared jointly by the members of the Organising Committee of Commission 10 (see the names of the primary contributors to the sections indicated in parentheses) reflecting their fields of expertise and interest. Nevertheless, we believe that it is a representative sample of significant new results obtained during the last triennium in the field of solar activity. Title: Magnetic reconnection in numerical simulations of the Bastille day flare Authors: Vincent, A. P.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 2011AGUFMSH43A1925V Altcode: If neither waves nor adiabatic heating due to compression are taken into account, coronal heating may be obtained in numerical simulations from current dissipation inside solar flares. To increase Joule heating locally we used a model for hyper resistivity (Klimas et al., 2004: Journal of Geophysical Research, 109, 2218-2231). Here the change in resistivity is due to small scale (less than 1Mm in our simulations) current density fluctuations. Whenever the current exceeds a cut-off value, magnetic resistivity jumps sharply to reach a maximum locally thus increasing magnetic gradients at the border of the flare. In this way, not only the current increases but also the maximum is slowly displaced and simulations of the full set of 3-D MHD equations show a progression westward as can be seen in SOHO-EIT images of the ''slinky''. In our simulations of the Bastille day flare, most of the reconnection events take place just above the transition and mostly follow the neutral line but it is Spitzer thermal diffusivity together with radiative cooling that illuminates magnetic arcades in a way similar to what can be seen in extreme ultra-violet animations of the slinky. Title: Using data assimilation to reconstruct convection patterns below an active region of solar corona from observed magnetograms Authors: Pirot, D.; Vincent, A. P.; Charbonneau, P.; Solar Physics Research Group of University of Montreal Bibcode: 2011AGUFMSH54A..07P Altcode: Solar magnetic field originates deep inside the convection zone and rises through it to produce active regions. Detailled simulations of solar convection including granulation and radiation that have been performed in the past are important both to understand the physics of magnetic flux tube evolution as well as the algorithms used for simulations. A challenging problem is the reconstruction of the effective patterns of convection below an observed active region as given by magnetograms and temperature maps at photospheric levels. Since convection in the sun is strongly stratified in density it can be regarded as being anelastic, therefore we used ANMHD software. Here we chosed AR9077-20000714 also known to have produced the ''Bastille day'' flare a region of area 175 Mm2.

To this purpose we used an anelastic convection model that we modified to include the Nudging Back and Forth, a Newtonian relaxation technique for the data assimilation of SOHO/MDI temperature and magnetograms. Vector magnetograms are first choice for the upper boundary condition to be data assimilated. However they have been computed from SOHO line of sight magnetograms using the force free hypothesis as if we would be just above photosphere. We found that velocity shears between slow diverging upflows and fast turbulent downflows produce Ω and U-shaped magnetic field loops. The coronal arcade system of AR9077-20000714 (the ``slinky'') is here understood as the emerging part of the magneto convective pattern below. Title: Numerical simulations of the Sun's photospheric magnetic network and its evolution over the solar cycle Authors: Thibault, K.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 2011AGUFMSH43B1942T Altcode: We model, through 2D Monte-Carlo simulations on a spherical shell, the spatiotemporal evolution of the photospheric magnetic network over solar cycle timescales. Sources of magnetic flux in the simulations include both injection of small-scale magnetic structures all over the quiet sun, as well as the emergence and subsequent disintegration of sunspots in active latitudes. We simulate the emergence, random walk, interaction (aggregation or cancellation) and submergence of the smallest magnetic elements and aggregates thereof, also taking into account advection by differential rotation and meridional circulation. Although magnetic flux is injected only at the two extreme ends of the flux scale (elementary flux tubes and sunspots), the simulations produce a range of intermediate scales through aggregation and cancellation of the small-scale magnetic structures, whether injected all over the solar surface (Quiet Sun) or re- leased by the decaying sunspots. Moreover, the modeled flux is distributed in the form of a power law, as observed by Parnell et al. (2009). We in- vestigate how this distribution varies as a function fo solar cycle phase. Title: Magnetic cycles in global magnetohydrodynamical simulations of solar convection Authors: Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 2011AGUFMSH52B..01C Altcode: In this talk I will review some recent advances in our understanding of the solar magnetic cycle through global magnetohydrodynamical simulations of thermally-driven convection in a thick, stratified spherical shell of electrically conducting fluid. I will focus on three related issues: (1) the nature of the turbulent dynamo mechanism; (2) the nature of the mechanism(s) controlling the cycle amplitude; and (3) epochs of strongly suppressed cycle amplitudes, and the existence of possible precursor to such events to be found in the patterns of magnetically-driven torsional oscillations and meridional flow variations arising in the simulations. Title: On the Mode of Dynamo Action in a Global Large-eddy Simulation of Solar Convection Authors: Racine, Étienne; Charbonneau, Paul; Ghizaru, Mihai; Bouchat, Amélie; Smolarkiewicz, Piotr K. Bibcode: 2011ApJ...735...46R Altcode: In this paper, we examine the mode of dynamo action in the implicit large-eddy magnetohydrodynamical simulation of solar convection reported upon in Ghizaru et al. Motivated by the presence of a strong and well-defined large-scale axisymmetric magnetic component undergoing regular polarity reversals, we define the fluctuating component of the magnetic field as the difference between the total field and its zonal average. The subsequent analysis follows the physical logic and mathematical formulation of mean-field electrodynamics, whereby a turbulent electromotive force (EMF) is computed by the suitable averaging of cross-correlations between fluctuating flow and field components and expressed in terms of the mean field via a linear truncated tensorial expansion. We use singular value decomposition to perform a linear least-squares fit of the temporal variation of the EMF to that of the large-scale magnetic component, which yields the components of the full α-tensor. Its antisymmetric component, describing general turbulent pumping, is also extracted. The α-tensor so calculated reproduces a number of features already identified in local, Cartesian simulations of magnetohydrodynamical rotating convection, including an αphiphi component positive in the northern solar hemisphere, peaking at high latitudes, and reversing sign near the bottom of the convection zone; downward turbulent pumping throughout the convecting layer; and significant equatorward turbulent pumping at mid latitudes, and poleward at high latitudes in subsurface layers. We also find that the EMF contributes significantly to the regeneration of the large-scale toroidal magnetic component, which from the point of view of mean-field dynamo models would imply that the simulation operates as an α2Ω dynamo. We find little significant evidence of α-quenching by the large-scale magnetic field. The amplitude of the magnetic cycle appears instead to be regulated primarily by a magnetically driven reduction of the differential rotation. Title: Formation and disruption of current filaments in a flow-driven turbulent magnetosphere Authors: Liu, W. W.; Morales, L. F.; Uritsky, V. M.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 2011JGRA..116.3213L Altcode: 2010arXiv1008.2938L Recent observations have established that the magnetosphere is a system of natural complexity. The coexistence of multiscale structures such as auroral arcs, turbulent convective flows, and scale-free distributions of energy perturbations has lacked a unified explanation, although there is strong reason to believe that they all stem from a common base of physics. In this paper we show that a slow but turbulent convection leads to the formation of multiscale current filaments reminiscent of auroral arcs. The process involves an interplay between random shuffling of field lines and dissipation of magnetic energy on sub-MHD scales. As the filament system reaches a critical level of complexity, local current disruption can trigger avalanches of energy release of varying sizes, leading to scale-free distributions over energy perturbation, power, and event duration. A long-term memory effect is observed whereby the filament system replicates itself after each avalanche. The results support the view that that the classical and inverse cascades operate simultaneously in the magnetosphere. In the former, the high Reynolds number plasma flow disintegrates into turbulence through successive breakdowns; in the latter, the interactions of small-scale flow eddies with the magnetic field can self-organize into elongated current filaments and large-scale energy avalanches mimicking the substorm. Title: The dynamo basis of solar cycle precursor schemes Authors: Charbonneau, Paul; Barlet, Guillaume Bibcode: 2011JASTP..73..198C Altcode: We investigate the dynamo underpinning of solar cycle precursor schemes based on direct or indirect measures of the solar surface magnetic field. We do so for various types of mean-field-like kinematic axisymmetric dynamo models, where amplitude fluctuations are driven by zero-mean stochastic forcing of the dynamo number controlling the strength of the poloidal source term. In all stochastically forced models considered, the surface poloidal magnetic field is found to have precursor value only if it feeds back into the dynamo loop, which suggests that accurate determination of the magnetic flux budget of the solar polar fields may hold the key to dynamo model-based cycle forecasting. Title: Dual scaling for self-organized critical models of the magnetosphere Authors: VallièRes-Nollet, M. -A.; Charbonneau, P.; Uritsky, V.; Donovan, E.; Liu, W. Bibcode: 2010JGRA..11512217V Altcode: The central plasma sheet is a complex magnetized plasma structure located in the equatorial plane of the magnetotail from where substorms are believed to originate. Dynamically, it may behave like a self-organized critical (SOC) system, driven by the slow energy input of the solar wind. The power law distributions for the sizes, energies, and durations of substorms that are reflected in observations can be reproduced using such SOC models. However, the expected scale invariance does not seem to hold for all scale ranges and observables. Recent observations of all-sky auroras have suggested a dual regime, where small and large events scale as different power laws, the smaller events having a steeper slope. On the other hand, scale-dependent substorm behavior can materialize as a consequence of an energy loading-unloading cycle. Accordingly, we designed a 2-D SOC model subject to global deterministic driving and a nonconservative redistribution law. This model can reproduce the coexistence of two scaling regimes, with the second regime appearing as a consequence of the enhanced spatial development of avalanches caused by a higher spatial intermittency in the energy gradients. Thresholded interevent waiting time statistics showed a well-defined peak with an exponential tail, consistent with observations and the expected dynamics of a loading-unloading cycle. Finally, we show that the coherency index extracted from the simulations decreases prior to large avalanches, as is in fact observed in auroral arcs. This suggests that the coherency index may be a useful substorm predictor. Title: Modeling solar and stellar dynamos Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2010hesa.book..141C Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Dynamo Models of the Solar Cycle Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2010LRSP....7....3C Altcode: This paper reviews recent advances and current debates in modeling the solar cycle as a hydromagnetic dynamo process. Emphasis is placed on (relatively) simple dynamo models that are nonetheless detailed enough to be comparable to solar cycle observations. After a brief overview of the dynamo problem and of key observational constraints, we begin by reviewing the various magnetic field regeneration mechanisms that have been proposed in the solar context. We move on to a presentation and critical discussion of extant solar cycle models based on these mechanisms. We then turn to the origin and consequences of fluctuations in these models, including amplitude and parity modulation, chaotic behavior, intermittency, and predictability. The paper concludes with a discussion of our current state of ignorance regarding various key questions relating to the explanatory framework offered by dynamo models of the solar cycle. Title: Magnetic Cycles in Global Large-eddy Simulations of Solar Convection Authors: Ghizaru, Mihai; Charbonneau, Paul; Smolarkiewicz, Piotr K. Bibcode: 2010ApJ...715L.133G Altcode: We report on a global magnetohydrodynamical simulation of the solar convection zone, which succeeds in generating a large-scale axisymmetric magnetic component, antisymmetric about the equatorial plane and undergoing regular polarity reversals on decadal timescales. We focus on a specific simulation run covering 255 years, during which 8 polarity reversals are observed, with a mean period of 30 years. Time-latitude slices of the zonally averaged toroidal magnetic component at the base of the convecting envelope show a well-organized toroidal flux system building up in each solar hemisphere, peaking at mid-latitudes and migrating toward the equator in the course of each cycle, in remarkable agreement with inferences based on the sunspot butterfly diagram. The simulation also produces a large-scale dipole moment, varying in phase with the internal toroidal component, suggesting that the simulation may be operating as what is known in mean-field theory as an αΩ dynamo. Title: Abnormal cycles from normal dynamos Authors: Racine, Etienne; Charbonneau, Paul; Ghizaru, Mihai Bibcode: 2010cosp...38.1732R Altcode: 2010cosp.meet.1732R The primary aim of this talk is to illustrate how simple yet reasonably realistic dynamo models of the solar cycle can exhibit "abnormal" features, including extended periods of minimum ac-tivity as currently observed. We will show that dynamos including even very simple amplitude quenching nonlinearities can, in the presence of low-amplitude stochastic forcing, produce fluc-tuations that may take the form of extended periods of strongly reduced activity. We will also examine the occurrence of similar behavior in global MHD simulations of the solar convection zones producing solar-like cycles in the large-scale magnetic field. Title: When the rubber hits the road: turbulence and intermittencies in Earth’s magnetosphere (Invited) Authors: Liu, W.; Uritsky, V. M.; Charbonneau, P.; Valliere-Nollet, M.; Morales, L. F. Bibcode: 2009AGUFMSM41C..02L Altcode: The theory of MHD turbulence has a long history of development, but its application to actual physical systems has not been as widespread as the omnipresence of turbulent phenomena in these systems. The reasons can be many. For example, the geometry, constitution, coupling, and boundary conditions in an actual system may place it well beyond the limit of the current theory. Or our measurement capability has not progressed to the point that the salient theoretical predictions can be reliably tested. In our view, however, the most pertinent reason is the specialist’s unfamiliarity with and reluctance to use the ‘generalist’ approach of complexity and turbulence, and the generalist’s lack of attention to the particulars of specific systems. Clearly, a closer dialogue between the two communities holds significant promise for further advances. In this talk, complexity and turbulence observed in Earth’s magnetosphere are reviewed. A distinguishing characteristic of magnetospheric processes is strong intermittency in global episodes and ever-present turbulence on local scales. We explore the suggestion that avalanches of localized turbulence are responsible for global dynamics. Some new theoretical advances in elaborating this concept are discussed. Title: Abnormal cycles from normal dynamos (Invited) Authors: Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 2009AGUFMSH13C..01C Altcode: The primary aim of this talk is to illustrate how simple yet reasonably realistic dynamo models of the solar cycle can exhibit "abnormal" features, including extended periods of minimum activity as currently observed. I will show that dynamo including even very simple amplitude quenching nonlinearities can, in the presence of low-amplitude stochastic forcing, produce fluctuations that may be mistaken for switches between distinct dynamical behaviors, and will examine to what degree such behavior can be distinguished from true intermittency, given extant data. Title: Abundances anomalies and meridional circulation in horizontal branch stars Authors: Quievy, D.; Charbonneau, P.; Michaud, G.; Richer, J. Bibcode: 2009A&A...500.1163Q Altcode: Context: Photospheric chemical abundances on the horizontal branch (HB) show some striking variations with effective temperature (T_eff). The most straightforward explanation is that these anomalies develop through diffusion processes, in particular gravitational settling and radiative levitation. However, the abrupt disappearance of strong abundance anomalies as one moves below about 11 000 K on the HB suggests that another factor plays an important role.
Aims: We test an extension to the HB of the diffusion model for main-sequence HgMn stars, where strong anomalies can only develop in the slower rotators. In these rotators the gravitational settling of helium leads to the disappearance of its superficial convection zone, so that chemical separation by radiative levitation can occur all the way to the photosphere.
Methods: More specifically, we calculate the critical rotational velocity at which He settling is prevented by rotationally-induced meridional circulation, in a suite of stellar models spanning the zero-age HB. Helium settling serves as the measure of the atomic diffusion of all species.
Results: Our abundance evolution calculations show that, for models with T_eff less than about 11 500 K, corresponding to stars typically observed with the same metal composition as giants, meridional circulation is efficient enough to suppress He settling for rotational velocities, in good agreement with observed values. Once the meridional circulation profile of a star rotating as a near rigid body has been adopted, no adjustable parameter is involved.
Conclusions: The T_eff dependence of abundance anomalies observed on the HB can be explained by atomic diffusion transport if one introduces the competition of meridional circulation with the observed T_eff dependence of rotation velocity of HB stars. Title: Geometrical Properties of Avalanches in a Pseudo-3D Coronal Loop Authors: Morales, Laura; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2009ApJ...698.1893M Altcode: We investigate the geometrical properties of energy release of synthetic coronal loops constructed using a recently published self-organized critical avalanche model of solar flares. The model is based on an idealized representation of a coronal loop as a bundle of closely packed magnetic flux strands wrapping around one another in response to photospheric fluid motions, much as in Parker's nanoflare model. Simulations are performed with a two-dimensional cellular automaton that satisfies the constraint ∇ · B = 0 by design. We transform the avalanching nodes produced by simulations into synthetic flare images by converting the two-dimensional lattice into a bent cylindrical loop that is projected onto the plane of the sky. We study the statistical properties of avalanches peak snapshots and time-integrated avalanches occurring in these synthetic coronal loops. We find that the frequency distribution of avalanche peak areas A assumes a power-law form f(A) ∝ A^{-α_{A}} with an index α A sime 2.37, in excellent agreement with observationally inferred values and reducing error bars from previous works. We also measure the area fractal dimension D of avalanches produced by our simulations using the box counting method, which yields 1.17 <= D <= 1.24, a result falling nicely within the range of observational determinations. Title: Coexistence of distinct power-law regimes in Self Organized Model for the Magnetosphere Authors: Vallieres-Nollet, M.; Charbonneau, P.; Uritsky, V.; Liu, W. Bibcode: 2009AGUSMSM22A..06V Altcode: It is now argued that the Central Pasma Sheet (CPS) may behave like a Self-Organized Critical (SOC) system, driven by the the solar wind. The power law distributions for the sizes, energy and durations of substorms that are reflected in observations can be reproduced using such SOC models. However, recent observations made with the POLAR-UVI instrument showed that there is in fact two distinct regimes in substorms energies : small and big events scales as different power laws, the smaller events having a steeper slope. We used a 2D-SOC model subject to a deterministic driving, with conservative redistributions laws. We where able, with a slow driving together with a small dissipation in energy redistribution, to reproduce the coexistence of these two scaling regimes. The computation of the waiting-times, under the imposition of a threshold, showed truncated exponentials distributions, which is consistent with observations. Finally, we computed statistics of substorms depending on their onset position, and found that the southward mapping events tends to exhibit the dual power-law scaling, while a single slope statistic was found for northward mapping substorms, which is again consistent with recent observations. Title: Self-organized Critical Model of Energy Release in an Idealized Coronal Loop Authors: Morales, Laura; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2008ApJ...682..654M Altcode: We present and discuss a new avalanche model for solar flares, based on an idealized representation of a coronal loop as a bundle of magnetic flux strands wrapping around one another. The model is based on a two-dimensional cellular automaton with anisotropic connectivity, where linear ensembles of interconnected nodes define the individual strands collectively making up the coronal loop. The system is driven by random deformation of the strands, and a form of reconnection is assumed to take place when the angle subtended by two strands crossing at the same lattice site exceed some preset threshold. Driven in this manner, the cellular automaton produces avalanches of reconnection events characterized by scale-free size distributions that compare favorably with the corresponding size distribution of solar flares, as inferred observationally. Although lattice-based and highly idealized, the model satisfies the constraints Δ centerdot B = 0 by design and is defined in such a way as to be readily mapped back onto coronal loops with set physical dimensions. Carrying this exercise for a generic coronal loop of length 1010 cm and diameter 108 cm yields flare energies ranging from 1023 to 1029 erg, for an instability threshold angle of 11° between contiguous magnetic flux strands. These figures square well with both observational determinations and theoretical estimates. Title: A Model for the Total Solar Irradiance Based on Active Region Decay Authors: Crouch, A. D.; Charbonneau, P.; Beaubien, G.; Paquin-Ricard, D. Bibcode: 2008ApJ...677..723C Altcode: We present a model for the total solar irradiance. The model takes the observed location, timing, and area of emerging active regions as input and produces a time-evolving size distribution of magnetic structures over the solar surface. We assume that the bright magnetic structures (faculae), which counteract the irradiance deficit caused by sunspots, consist of the products of active region decay. We simulate the decay process as a combination of fragmentation and boundary erosion of large-scale magnetic structures. The model has several adjustable parameters that control the decay processes and the irradiance contribution from the quiet Sun and the small-scale magnetic elements that are produced during the decay process. We use a genetic algorithm to estimate these parameters by fitting to the observed irradiance and daily sunspot area time series over the 1978-2007 time interval. Given the simplifications associated with the model, the resultant parameter values are well constrained within the imposed ranges. In addition, the irradiance and daily sunspot area time series produced by the best-fit models agree very well with the observations, although the sunspot area fits tend to perform better than the irradiance fits. However, it is evident that the model is neglecting a significant source of excess brightness, which manifests itself in two ways. First, the optimal values for the lifetime and intensity contrast of the bright, small-scale flux elements are both larger than expected. Second, the synthetic irradiance consistently underestimates the observations during the ascending phase of a cycle, despite the daily sunspot area fitting the observations quite well during these times. We also show that this genetic forward modeling approach can be used to detect a long-term trend of decadal timescale in the quiet-Sun irradiance. Assuming a constant quiet-Sun irradiance, we reconstruct the total solar irradiance over the 1874-1978 time interval, for which observational data of emerging active regions are available. Title: Scaling laws and frequency distributions of avalanche areas in a self-organized criticality model of solar flares Authors: Morales, Laura F.; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2008GeoRL..35.4108M Altcode: We calculate the spreading exponents and some geometrical properties of avalanches in a novel avalanche model of solar flares, closely built on Parker's physical picture of coronal heating by nanoflares. The model is based on an idealized representation of a coronal loop as a bundle of magnetic flux strands wrapping around one another, numerically implemented as an anisotropic cellular automaton. We demonstrate that the growth of avalanches in this model exhibits power-laws correlations that are numerically consistent with the behavior of a general class of statistical physical systems in the vicinity of a stationary critical point. This demonstrates that the model indeed operates in a self-organized critical regime. Moreover, we find that the frequency distribution of avalanche peak areas A assumes a power-law form f(A) $\propto$ A A with an index α A $\simeq$ 2.45, in excellent agreement with observationally-inferred values. Title: Large scale numerical experiments on solar convection zone Authors: Ghizaru, Mihai; Smolarkiewicz, Piotr; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2008cosp...37.1006G Altcode: 2008cosp.meet.1006G Large scale dynamics under the influence of developing magnetic fields inside the solar convection zone is investigated using the MHD version of EULAG, a global numerical model designed to work in the spirit of implicit large eddy simulations, using a higher-order upwind type advection scheme, in the framework of the anelastic approximation for MHD equations. Differential rotation profiles, turbulence characteristics and magnetic field evolution are analyzed under various parameters settings in an attempt to gain a better understanding of different factors contributions to the solar activity characteristics. Title: Solar Magnetic Activity and Total Irradiance Since the Maunder Minimum Authors: Tapping, K. F.; Boteler, D.; Charbonneau, P.; Crouch, A.; Manson, A.; Paquette, H. Bibcode: 2007SoPh..246..309T Altcode: We develop a model for estimating solar total irradiance since 1600 AD using the sunspot number record as input, since this is the only intrinsic record of solar activity extending back far enough in time. Sunspot number is strongly correlated, albeit nonlinearly with the 10.7-cm radio flux (F10.7), which forms a continuous record back to 1947. This enables the nonlinear relationship to be estimated with usable accuracy and shows that relationship to be consistent over multiple solar activity cycles. From the sunspot number record we estimate F10.7 values back to 1600 AD. F10.7 is linearly correlated with the total amount of magnetic flux in active regions, and we use it as input to a simple cascade model for the other magnetic flux components. The irradiance record is estimated by using these magnetic flux components plus a very rudimentary model for the modulation of energy flow to the photosphere by the subphotospheric magnetic flux reservoir feeding the photospheric magnetic structures. Including a Monte Carlo analysis of the consequences of measurement and fitting errors, the model indicates the mean irradiance during the Maunder Minimum was about 1 ± 0.4 W m−2 lower than the mean irradiance over the last solar activity cycle. Title: Multiscale magnetospheric physics from a simple model of self-organized dynamics Authors: Liu, W.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 2007AGUFMSM54A..05L Altcode: Distributions of geomagnetic indices and aurora have been used to show the nonlinear characteristics of magnetospheric dynamics. However, the physics underlying these distributions is often not clear. Self organization of micro-scale perturbations has been suggested as a possibility whereby robust power-law distributions of magnetospheric dynamics indices can be produced. Earlier we proposed that some aspects of observed substorm distributions can be explained qualitatively by a model featuring interactive discrete flux tubes which are used to simulate the central plasma sheet dynamics driven by a constant energy input. A one- dimensional simulation of the model yielded scale-free distributions of auroral activity and quasiperiodic injection. This result raised the question what dynamical category the substorm belongs to, scale-free or with definite scales. In this talk, we present the latest two-dimensional simulation and auroral observational results, in an attempt to elucidate the dynamical nature of the substorm. Title: Predicting Solar Flares by Data Assimilation in Avalanche Models. I. Model Design and Validation Authors: Bélanger, Eric; Vincent, Alain; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2007SoPh..245..141B Altcode: 2007arXiv0708.1941B Data assimilation techniques, developed in the past two decades mainly for weather prediction, produce better forecasts by taking advantage of both theoretical/numerical models and real-time observations. In this paper, we explore the possibility of applying the four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-VAR) technique to the prediction of solar flares. We do so in the context of a continuous version of the classical cellular-automaton-based self-organized critical avalanche models of solar flares introduced by Lu and Hamilton (Astrophys. J.380, L89, 1991). Such models, although a priori far removed from the physics of magnetic reconnection and magnetohydrodynamical evolution of coronal structures, nonetheless reproduce quite well the observed statistical distribution of flare characteristics. We report here on a large set of data assimilation runs on synthetic energy release time series. Our results indicate that, despite the unpredictable (and unobservable) stochastic nature of the driving/triggering mechanism within the avalanche model, 4D-VAR succeeds in producing optimal initial conditions that reproduce adequately the time series of energy released by avalanches and flares. This is an essential first step toward forecasting real flares. Title: Supergranulation as an Emergent Length Scale Authors: Crouch, A. D.; Charbonneau, P.; Thibault, K. Bibcode: 2007ApJ...662..715C Altcode: We have developed an n-body diffusion-limited aggregation model to simulate the dispersal and interaction of small-scale magnetic elements at the solar surface. The model is highly simplified and is based on the observation that small-scale magnetic elements are passively advected by the granular flow, which we approximate as a random walk. With a great many magnetic elements executing this random walk simultaneously, collisions are inevitable. We assume that these collisions lead to the aggregation of the colliding magnetic elements (if they have the same polarity) or mutual cancellation (if opposite polarity). In a similar fashion, the resulting clusters can subsequently interact with more magnetic elements or with other clusters. The clusters also undergo a random walk. However, the step size is reduced and the lifetime is increased in order to mimic the observation that larger magnetic flux concentrations move slower and live longer than smaller ones. The essential finding is that this process can produce a spatial distribution of clusters comparable to the supergranule cell pattern (depending on model parameters). The characteristic length scale associated with the spatial distribution of the clusters is quite sensitively dependent on the injection rate of fresh magnetic elements-when the injection rate is high (low) the length scale is small (large). This property provides a natural explanation for the observation that supergranule cells tend to be smaller when and where the level of magnetic activity is higher. We also find that at length scales similar to supergranulation the dominance of a given polarity tends to be enhanced, in comparison to the case where the same clusters are situated randomly in space. This is potentially testable by observation. Title: Fluctuations in Babcock-Leighton Dynamos. II. Revisiting the Gnevyshev-Ohl Rule Authors: Charbonneau, Paul; Beaubien, Geneviève; St-Jean, Cédric Bibcode: 2007ApJ...658..657C Altcode: The Gnevyshev-Ohl rule refers to a pattern of alternating higher and lower than average solar cycle amplitudes observed in the sunspot number record. In this paper, we show that such a pattern arises naturally in Babcock-Leighton models of the solar cycle as a consequence of the long time delay built into the dynamo regenerative loop. This is investigated using a simple but well-validated iterative map formulation, as well as a seasoned two-dimensional axisymmetric kinematic dynamo model. The good agreement between the results obtained via these two very different modeling approaches offers confidence that Gnevyshev-Ohl-like patterns of cycle amplitude fluctuations are a robust feature of this class of solar cycle models. Title: Babcock Leighton models of the solar cycle: Questions and issues Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2007AdSpR..39.1661C Altcode: This paper is a review of our current state of understanding of dynamo models of the solar cycle based on the Babcock-Leighton mechanism of poloidal field regeneration by the decay of bipolar active regions. It is organized in the form of "point and counterpoint" discussion of ten issues or topics of contention to be found in the recent literature on these dynamo models. These go from similarities and differences with dynamo models based on mean-field electrodynamics, the role of meridional circulation in setting the predicted form of the sunspot butterfly diagram, constraints brought about by light element abundances, non-linear magnetic backreaction on the driving flows, up to the use of Babcock-Leighton models for predicting solar cycle amplitudes. Title: Cross-hemispheric coupling in a Babcock Leighton model of the solar cycle Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2007AdSpR..40..899C Altcode: In this paper, I present some exploratory dynamo calculations illustrating the influence of cross-hemispheric coupling in solar cycle models based on the Babcock-Leighton mechanism of poloidal field regeneration. Using two very distinct formulations of Babcock-Leighton dynamos, I examine the issues of cross-hemispheric phase lag, interference, and synchronization of Maunder-Minimum-like episodes of suppressed activity. Although covering only a small fraction of the model's relevant parameter space, results presented here suggest that additional effects, such as transequatorial flows for example, may be required to achieve sufficient cross-hemispheric coupling in this class of solar cycle models. Title: The Role of MHD Mode Conversion in Sunspot Seismology Authors: Crouch, A. P.; Cally, P. S.; Charbonneau, P.; Braun, D. C.; Desjardins, M. Bibcode: 2006ASPC..354..161C Altcode: Sunspots absorb energy from and shift the phase of f and p modes incident upon them. Understanding the mechanism causing each of these effects is vital to the local helioseismology of sunspots (and magnetic flux concentrations in general). Because the beta-equals-unity layer typically lies in the near surface layers below the photospheres of sunspot umbrae, MHD mode conversion can occur. Mode conversion provides a promising absorption mechanism because the slow magnetoacoustic-gravity waves and Alfvén waves guide energy along the magnetic field away from the acoustic cavity. Our previous mode conversion calculations have shown that simple sunspot models with non-vertical magnetic fields can produce ample absorption to explain the Hankel analysis measurements, along with phase shift predictions that agree well with the observations. Those calculations only considered the possibility of MHD waves propagating down the magnetic field into the interior. In this contribution, we consider a second additional possibility -- waves propagating up into the atmosphere overlying sunspots. Title: Energy avalanches in the central plasma sheet Authors: Liu, W. W.; Charbonneau, P.; Thibault, K.; Morales, L. Bibcode: 2006GeoRL..3319106L Altcode: The central plasma sheet (CPS) is simulated as a 1D cellular automaton. The system is driven deterministically and globally by a spatially non-uniform energy loading (convection). Each node (a flux tube) evolves until one of two local instability criteria is exceeded. The unstable node releases a small amount of energy to the ionosphere and another small amount is distributed to its neighboring nodes. The partition between the two modes of energy distribution is the only random factor in the model. The energy redistribution relaxes the node deterministically to a stable state. The simulation suggests that a central plasma sheet driven in the above manner is in a self-organized critical state, with energy avalanches obeying a scale-free distribution. The avalanches, however, co-exist with quasi-periodic intermittencies manifested in ring-current injection, which is correlated with strong CPS avalanches, and tailward energy ejection, which shows no apparent correlation in this aspect. Title: Supergranulation As An Emergent Length Scale Authors: Crouch, Ashley D.; Charbonneau, P.; Thibault, K. Bibcode: 2006SPD....37.3004C Altcode: 2006BAAS...38..257C We have developed an n-body simulation to model the motion and mutual interaction of small scale magnetic elements at the solar surface. The model is highly simplified and is based on the observation that small magnetic elements are passively advected by the granular flow (which involves granules fragmenting, merging, disappearing, and reforming). We approximate this complicated motion as a random walk. With a great many magnetic elements executing this random walk simultaneously, collisions are inevitable. We assume that these collisions lead to the coalescence of the colliding magnetic elements (if they have the same polarity) or mutual cancellation (opposite polarity). In a similar fashion, the resulting aggregates (or clusters) can subsequently interact with more magnetic elements or with other clusters. The essential finding is that this process (depending on the model parameters) can produce structures on a spatial scale comparable to supergranulation (15-35Mm). Title: The origin of solar cycle fluctuations Authors: Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 2006cosp...36.2418C Altcode: 2006cosp.meet.2418C A proper understanding of the physical origin of fluctuations in the amplitude and duration of the solar magnetic activity cycle is essential for our understanding of solar influences on Earth s climate and space environment as well as for long-range forecasting of overall magnetic activity levels on timescales commensurate with the planning of future space missions In this talk I will argue that solar cycle fluctuations can be traced at least in part to deterministic effects associated with long time delays in the dynamo process I will present recent modelling results supporting this conjecture and show that Maunder-minimum-like episodes of strongly suppressed activity can arise naturally from perturbation of this time-delay dynamics by low-amplitude magnetic noise as produced for example by small-scale turbulent dynamo action due to convection Title: Genetic magnetohelioseismology with Hankel analysis data Authors: Crouch, A. D.; Cally, P. S.; Charbonneau, P.; Braun, D. C.; Desjardins, M. Bibcode: 2005MNRAS.363.1188C Altcode: 2005MNRAS.tmp..856C Hankel analysis determined that sunspots absorb energy from and shift the phase of f- and p-modes incident upon them. One promising mechanism that can explain the absorption is partial conversion to slow magnetoacoustic-gravity (MAG) waves and Alfvén waves, which guide energy along the magnetic field away from the acoustic cavity. Our recent mode conversion calculations demonstrated that simple sunspot models, which roughly account for the radial variation of the magnetic field strength and inclination, can produce ample absorption to explain the observations, along with phase shifts that agree remarkably well with the Hankel analysis data. In this paper, we follow the same approach, but adopt a more realistic model for the solar convection zone that includes the thermal perturbation associated with a sunspot's magnetic field. Consistent with our earlier findings, we show that a moderately inclined, uniform magnetic field exhibits significantly enhanced absorption (mode conversion) in comparison to a vertical field (depending on the frequency and radial order of the mode). A genetic algorithm is employed to adjust the parameters that control the radial structure of our sunspot models, in order to minimize the discrepancy between the theoretical predictions and the Hankel analysis measurements. For models that best fit the phase shifts, the agreement with the Hankel analysis data is excellent, and the corresponding absorption coefficients are generally in excess of the observed levels. On the other hand, for models that best fit the phase shift and absorption data simultaneously, the overall agreement is very good but the phase shifts agree less well. This is most likely caused by the different sizes of the regions responsible for the absorption and phase shift. Typically, the field strengths required by such models lie in the range 1-3kG, compatible with observations for sunspots and active regions. While there remain some uncertainties, our results provide further evidence that mode conversion is the predominant mechanism responsible for the observed absorption in sunspots; and that field inclination away from vertical is a necessary ingredient for any model that aims to simultaneously explain the phase shift and absorption data. Title: A New Avalanche Model for Solar Flares Authors: Morales, L.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 2005ESASP.592..507M Altcode: 2005soho...16E..93M; 2005ESASP.592E..93M No abstract at ADS Title: Solar Flares: Avalanche Models and Data Assimilation Authors: Bélanger, Eric; Charbonneau, Paul; Vincent, Alain Bibcode: 2005JRASC..99R.133B Altcode: Solar flares play an important part in space meteorology because they can eject charged particles that are the source of the geomagnetic storms on Earth. These storms can interfere with communication satellites and overload electric transformers. We need first to understand the physical mechanisms at the origin of flares and to be able to predict them sufficiently in advance. Several models to explain the mechanism of solar flares were suggested. We have investigated the self-organized criticality (or avalanche) model where an instability related to the reconnection of the magnetic field lines is propagated. The techniques of data assimilation were applied to a 2-D avalanche model. Data assimilation generates better forecasts by taking advantage of both the theoretical/numerical models and the observations. With the increase in computational power and the numerous satellites (SOHO, TRACE) observing the Sun with an improved spatial and temporal resolution, these methods will surely give us a better understanding of solar flares. Title: A Maunder Minimum Scenario Based on Cross-Hemispheric Coupling and Intermittency Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2005SoPh..229..345C Altcode: A novel scenario for Maunder minimum-like grand minima epochs of reduced solar activity is proposed, based on diffusive coupling between both solar hemispheres, each susceptible to stochastically-driven intermittent behavior. After introducing cross-hemispheric coupling into a well-validated reduced model of the solar cycle based on the Babcock-Leighton mechanism for poloidal field regeneration, simulations are presented demonstrating that even weak coupling can lead to a high degree of synchronicity between the two hemispheres. This is in qualitative agreement with the similar onset and recovery times of sunspot activity at and around the Maunder minimum. Moreover, even weak coupling manages to greatly reduce the frequency and duration of quiescent episodes, again in qualitative agreement with the relative paucity of grand minima in the sunspot and radioisotope records. Title: Dynamo Models of the Solar Cycle Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2005LRSP....2....2C Altcode: This paper reviews recent advances and current debates in modeling the solar cycle as a hydromagnetic dynamo process. Emphasis is placed on (relatively) simple dynamo models that are nonetheless detailed enough to be comparable to solar cycle observations. After a brief overview of the dynamo problem and of key observational constraints, we begin by reviewing the various magnetic field regeneration mechanisms that have been proposed in the solar context. We move on to a presentation and critical discussion of extant solar cycle models based on these mechanisms. We then turn to the origin of fluctuations in these models, including amplitude and parity modulation, chaotic behavior, and intermittency. The paper concludes with a discussion of our current state of ignorance regarding various key questions, the most pressing perhaps being the identification of the physical mechanism(s) responsible for the generation of the Sun's poloidal magnetic field component. Title: Sunspot fragmentation and total solar irradiance modelling Authors: Crouch, A. D.; Charbonneau, P.; Tapping, K. F.; Paquin-Ricard, D. Bibcode: 2005AGUSMSH23B..03C Altcode: Observational evidence suggests that sunspot decay is due, at least in part, to a fragmentation process. We have developed a model for this, where the sunspot fragmentation produces an ensemble of small scale magnetic flux tubes, which themselves can remain at the surface for many days. The number of sunspots emerging at the solar surface varies over the 11 year solar activity cycle. Consequently, the size distribution of magnetic structures is also modulated by the cycle. The simplicity of our model allows us to track the evolution of this distribution over very long time scales (many solar cycles). There are several applications for such a model. For example, to the total solar irradiance, which also varies over the solar cycle. Broadly speaking, the irradiance contribution from different magnetic features depends on their size (large features, such as sunspots, are dark, whereas small flux tubes tend to be bright). By combining this property with our sunspot fragmentation model, we show that the resultant system can produce an irradiance contribution that behaves very much like the observed total solar irradiance. Our model has several input parameters (one crucial example is the actual relationship between the size of a magnetic feature and its brightness). We have used a genetic algorithm to adjust the parameters in order to optimize the agreement between our model and the observations. Will we discuss those results and also comment on the contribution our model makes to the weak field component of solar magnetic flux budget. Title: Modelling the Interaction of p-modes With Sunspots Authors: Crouch, A. D.; Cally, P. S.; Charbonneau, P.; Desjardins, M. Bibcode: 2005AGUSMSP23C..04C Altcode: Sunspots absorb energy from and shift the phase of f- and p-modes incident upon them. One promising absorption mechanism is partial conversion to slow magnetoacoustic-gravity waves (and Alfvén waves), which guide energy along the magnetic field away from the acoustic cavity. Recent mode conversion calculations by Cally, Crouch, and Braun have shown that simple sunspot models with non-vertical magnetic fields can produce ample absorption to explain the observations, along with phase shift predictions that agree remarkably well with the Hankel analysis data. In this investigation, we further test the mode conversion hypothesis. We use a realistic solar model that accounts for both the magnetic and thermal influences associated with a sunspot. Our model has several adjustable parameters - the field strength and inclination can vary (crudely) across the spot. We employ a genetic algorithm to adjust these parameters to optimize the agreement between the model predictions and the observations. At this stage, our model is too simple to perform quantitative forward modelling. However, the genetic algorithm allows us to rigorously test the model. We will discuss the results of this testing in detail. Broadly speaking, our findings are consistent with those of Cally, Crouch, and Braun: the predicted phase shifts are in excellent agreement with the Hankel analysis data, and the corresponding absorption coefficients are generally ample to explain the observations. While there remain several uncertainties, our results further verify that mode conversion is a significant process in sunspot acoustics. Title: Rotation and Magnetic Fields: the Evil Twins of Stellar Evolution Authors: Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 2005EAS....17..217C Altcode: In this paper I give an overview of the numerous ways in which rotation and magnetic fields can interact under stellar interior conditions. I first provide “tutorial” examples of how magnetic fields can (1) alter existing stellar internal flows, (2) generate internal flows, and of how rotation can (3) amplify or (4) destroy magnetic fields. The upshot of all this is that treating rotation or magnetic fields in isolation of one another, as intermediate steps towards the “full picture”, may yield a situation that can only be applied meaningfully under very limited and specific astrophysical circumstances, if any. Title: Fluctuations in Babcock-Leighton Dynamos. I. Period Doubling and Transition to Chaos Authors: Charbonneau, Paul; St-Jean, Cédric; Zacharias, Pia Bibcode: 2005ApJ...619..613C Altcode: We present a large series of numerical simulations of the solar magnetic activity cycle based on the Babcock-Leighton mechanism for the regeneration of the solar poloidal magnetic field. While the primary cycle period changes very little as the dynamo number is increased, the model shows a well-defined transition to chaos through a sequence of period-doubling bifurcations, i.e., the sequential appearance of modulations of the primary cycle's amplitude, with associated periods equal to twice the periods characterizing the amplitude variations prior to a given bifurcation. This behavior arises through the unavoidable time delay built into this type of solar dynamo model, rather than through the effects of complex, nonlinear magnetic back-reaction on the fluid motions driving the dynamo process. It is noteworthy that a chaotic regime exists in this numerical model, given that the only nonlinearity present is a simple algebraic amplitude-quenching factor in one of the governing partial differential equations. The results also represent a rare instance in which the complex dynamical behavior of a spatially extended, diffusive solar dynamo model can be reproduced in detail on the basis of the simplest of low-order dynamical systems, namely a one-dimensional iterative map. The numerical results also demonstrate the central role of meridional circulation in setting the primary cycle period in this class of dynamo models; despite variations by many orders of magnitude in the dynamo number and concomitant large and sometimes even chaotic variations in amplitude, the cycle period remains tightly locked to the meridional circulation turnover time. Title: Intermittency and Phase Persistence in a Babcock-Leighton Model of the Solar Cycle Authors: Charbonneau, Paul; Blais-Laurier, Guillaume; St-Jean, Cédric Bibcode: 2004ApJ...616L.183C Altcode: We present and discuss a numerical simulation of the solar cycle based on the Babcock-Leighton mechanism of poloidal field regeneration by the surface decay of sunspots. The simulation includes low-amplitude stochastic noise and exhibits intermittency, i.e., quiescent episodes of strongly reduced amplitude irregularly interspersed between epochs of ``normal'' cyclic behavior. We show that the phase of the cycle can persist across these quiescent episodes, a feature normally not expected from intermittency. We ascribe this behavior to the regulatory influence of meridional circulation in the solar convective envelope, which is known to be the primary determinant of cycle period in this class of dynamo models. We also discuss similarities and differences between these results and the behavior of the sunspot cycle during the Maunder minimum of solar activity. Title: Three Single Stars (See How They Spin) (Invited Review) Authors: Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 2004IAUS..215..366C Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Are surface magnetic fields responsible for the solar irradiance variation? Authors: Crouch, A. D.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 2004AAS...204.2009C Altcode: 2004BAAS...36..687C Observations over the last 25 years have shown that the total solar irradiance varies on the same timescale as the solar magnetic activity cycle (11 years). The irradiance fluctuates by about 0.1% and peaks during solar maximum. The cause of the positive correlation between magnetic activity and irradiance is still unclear. We investigate the influence of surface magnetic fields on heat transport in the solar convection zone and their role in the subsequent energy output at the solar photosphere. We consider simplified two-dimensional models of heat transport by convection based on the diffusion approximation. Modelling the effect of magnetic fields on convection is very complicated. Our approach is based on two observations. Broadly speaking, the presence of strong surface magnetic fields tends to suppress convection and block heat transport. Consequently, sunspots (large-scale magnetic flux tubes) appear darker than the surrounding photosphere. In contrast, small-scale magnetic flux tubes appear brighter. We account for both of these effects by modifying the diffusion coefficient in magnetised regions (according to their size and other parameter such as temperature). We track the evolution over several solar cycles and determine the correlation between the flux output at the surface and the surface magnetic filling factor. We are then able to investigate what conditions are necessary for heat to be stored in the subsurface layers over timescales comparable to the solar cycle. Title: Erratum: Continuum analysis of an avalanche model for solar flares [ Phys. Rev. E 66, 056111 (2002)] Authors: Liu, Han-Li; Charbonneau, Paul; Pouquet, Annick; Bogdan, Thomas; McIntosh, Scott Bibcode: 2004PhRvE..69e9904L Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Flares as Avalanches? Authors: Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 2003SPD....34.2101C Altcode: 2003BAAS...35..849C In 1991, E.T. Lu and R. Hamilton (ApJ 380, L89) suggested that flares could be interpreted as avalanches of reconnection events in coronal magnetic structures driven to a self-organized critical state. Physical underpinning for the simple cellular automaton model they used to illustrate their idea can be readily found in the nanoflare conjecture for coronal heating championed over the past two decades by E.N. Parker (e.g., ApJ 330, 474 [1988]).

In this lecture I will give a brief overview of Lu & Hamilton's avalanche model, and describe how it can be physically interpreted in the context of Parker's nanoflare conjecture. After discussing some illustrative model results, I will focus on recent comparisons of the model's predictions with flare observations. Finally, I will discuss some recent attempts at quantitatively exploring the physical relationship between model components and the physics of magnetic reconnection. Title: Stellar structure modeling using a parallel genetic algorithm for objective global optimization Authors: Metcalfe, Travis S.; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2003JCoPh.185..176M Altcode: 2002astro.ph..8315M Genetic algorithms are a class of heuristic search techniques that apply basic evolutionary operators in a computational setting. We have designed a fully parallel and distributed hardware/software implementation of the generalized optimization subroutine PIKAIA, which utilizes a genetic algorithm to provide an objective determination of the globally optimal parameters for a given model against an observational data set. We have used this modeling tool in the context of white dwarf asteroseismology, i.e., the art and science of extracting physical and structural information about these stars from observations of their oscillation frequencies. The efficient, parallel exploration of parameter-space made possible by genetic-algorithm-based numerical optimization led us to a number of interesting physical results: (1) resolution of a hitherto puzzling discrepancy between stellar evolution models and prior asteroseismic inferences of the surface helium layer mass for a DBV white dwarf; (2) precise determination of the central oxygen mass fraction in a white dwarf star; and (3) a preliminary estimate of the astrophysically important but experimentally uncertain rate for the 12C(α,γ)16O nuclear reaction. These successes suggest that a broad class of computationally intensive modeling applications could also benefit from this approach. Title: The rise and fall of the first solar cycle model Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2002JHA....33..351C Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Continuum analysis of an avalanche model for solar flares Authors: Liu, Han-Li; Charbonneau, Paul; Pouquet, Annick; Bogdan, Thomas; McIntosh, Scott Bibcode: 2002PhRvE..66e6111L Altcode: We investigate the continuum limit of a class of self-organized critical lattice models for solar flares. Such models differ from the classical numerical sandpile model in their formulation of stability criteria in terms of the curvature of the nodal field, and are known to belong to a different universality class. A fourth-order nonlinear hyperdiffusion equation is reverse engineered from the discrete model's redistribution rule. A dynamical renormalization-group analysis of the equation yields scaling exponents that compare favorably with those measured in the discrete lattice model within the relevant spectral range dictated by the sizes of the domain and the lattice grid. We argue that the fourth-order nonlinear diffusion equation that models the behavior of the discrete model in the continuum limit is, in fact, compatible with magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) of the flaring phenomenon in the regime of strong magnetic field and the effective magnetic diffusivity characteristic of strong MHD turbulence. Title: Geometrical properties of avalanches in self-organized critical models of solar flares Authors: McIntosh, Scott W.; Charbonneau, Paul; Bogdan, Thomas J.; Liu, Han-Li; Norman, James P. Bibcode: 2002PhRvE..65d6125M Altcode: We investigate the geometrical properties of avalanches in self-organized critical models of solar flares. Traditionally, such models differ from the classical sandpile model in their formulation of stability criteria in terms of the curvature of the nodal field, and belong to a distinct universality class. With a view toward comparing these properties to those inferred from spatially and temporally resolved flare observations, we consider the properties of avalanche peak snapshots, time-integrated avalanches in two and three dimensions, and the two-dimensional projections of the latter. The nature of the relationship between the avalanching volume and its projected area is an issue of particular interest in the solar flare context. Using our simulation results we investigate this relationship, and demonstrate that proper accounting of the fractal nature of avalanches can bring into agreement hitherto discrepant results of observational analyses based on simple, nonfractal geometries for the flaring volume. Title: Effects of Temperature Bias on Nanoflare Statistics Authors: Aschwanden, Markus J.; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2002ApJ...566L..59A Altcode: Statistics of solar flares, microflares, and nanoflares have been gathered over an energy range of some 8 orders of magnitude, over E~1024-1032 ergs. Frequency distributions of flare energies are always determined in a limited temperature range, e.g., at T~1-2 MK if the 171 and 195 Å filters are used from an extreme ultraviolet telescope (the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory/EUV Imaging Telescope or the Transitional Region and Coronal Explorer). Because the electron temperature Te and the thermal energy E=3nekBTeV are statistically correlated in flare processes, statistics in a limited temperature range introduce a bias in the frequency distribution of flare energies, N(E)~E-aE. We demonstrate in this Letter that the power-law slope of nanoflare energies, e.g., aE~1.9, as determined in a temperature range of T~1.1-1.6 MK (195 Å), corresponds to a corrected value of a'E~1.4 in an unbiased, complete sample. This corrected value is in much better agreement with predictions from avalanche models of solar flares. However, it also implies that all previously published power-law slopes of EUV nanoflares, covering a range of aE~1.8-2.3, correspond to unbiased values of aE<2, which then poses a serious challenge to Parker's hypothesis of coronal heating by nanoflares. Title: Mixing in magnetized interiors of solar-type stars: frequently asked questions Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2002HiA....12..301C Altcode: This short paper discusses various issues pertaining to the redistribution of angular momentum and mixing of chemical species in the radiative interior of solar-type stars. Results obtained to date indicate that models combining magnetically-mediated angular momentum transport with turbulent mixing of chemical species offer the best hope of explaining the observed rotation and light element evolution in open clusters, without doing excess violence to seismic measurements of the solar internal differential rotation. Title: Geometric Effects in Avalanche Models of Solar Flares: Implications for Coronal Heating Authors: McIntosh, S. W.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 2001ApJ...563L.165M Altcode: Observational inferences of the power-law frequency distribution of energy release by solar flares, and in particular its logarithmic slope αE, depend critically on the geometric relationship assumed to relate the observed emitting area A and the underlying emitting volume V. Recent results on the fractal nature of avalanches in self-organized critical models for solar flares indicate that this relationship is a power law V~Aγ with index γ=1.41(+/-0.04). We show that when proper account is made for the fractal geometry of the flaring volume, hitherto discrepant observational inferences of αE are brought in much closer agreement. The resulting values of αE lie tantalizingly close, but still below the critical value αE=2.0, beyond which Parker's conjecture of coronal heating by nanoflares is tenable. Title: Avalanche models for solar flares (Invited Review) Authors: Charbonneau, Paul; McIntosh, Scott W.; Liu, Han-Li; Bogdan, Thomas J. Bibcode: 2001SoPh..203..321C Altcode: This paper is a pedagogical introduction to avalanche models of solar flares, including a comprehensive review of recent modeling efforts and directions. This class of flare model is built on a recent paradigm in statistical physics, known as self-organized criticality. The basic idea is that flares are the result of an `avalanche' of small-scale magnetic reconnection events cascading through a highly stressed coronal magnetic structure, driven to a critical state by random photospheric motions of its magnetic footpoints. Such models thus provide a natural and convenient computational framework to examine Parker's hypothesis of coronal heating by nanoflares. Title: Magnetic Fields in Massive Stars. I. Dynamo Models Authors: Charbonneau, Paul; MacGregor, Keith B. Bibcode: 2001ApJ...559.1094C Altcode: Motivated by mounting evidence for the presence of magnetic fields in the atmospheres of ``normal'' early-type main-sequence stars, we investigate the various possible modes of dynamo action in their convective core. Working within the framework of mean field electrodynamics, we compute α2 and α2Ω dynamo models and demonstrate that the transition from the former class to the latter occurs smoothly as internal differential rotation is increased. Our models also include a magnetic diffusivity contrast between the core and radiative envelope. The primary challenge facing such models is to somehow bring the magnetic field generated in the deep interior to the stellar surface. We investigate the degree to which thermally driven meridional circulation can act as a suitable transport agent. In all models with strong core-to-envelope magnetic diffusivity contrast-presumably closest to reality- whenever circulation is strong enough to carry a significant magnetic flux, it is also strong enough to prevent dynamo action. Estimates of typical meridional circulation speeds indicate that this regime is likely not attained in the interior of early-type main-sequence stars. Dynamo action then remains highly probable, but an alternate mechanism must be sought to carry the magnetic field to the surface. Title: Preliminary Constraints on 12C(α,γ)16O from White Dwarf Seismology Authors: Metcalfe, T. S.; Winget, D. E.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 2001ApJ...557.1021M Altcode: 2001astro.ph..4205M For many years, astronomers have promised that the study of pulsating white dwarfs would ultimately lead to useful information about the physics of matter under extreme conditions of temperature and pressure. In this paper, we finally make good on that promise. Using observational data from the Whole Earth Telescope and a new analysis method employing a genetic algorithm, we empirically determine that the central oxygen abundance in the helium-atmosphere variable white dwarf GD 358 is 84%+/-3%. We use this value to place preliminary constraints on the 12C(α,γ)16O nuclear reaction cross section. More precise constraints will be possible with additional detailed simulations. We also show that the pulsation modes of our best-fit model probe down to the inner few percent of the stellar mass. We demonstrate the feasibility of reconstructing the internal chemical profiles of white dwarfs from asteroseismological data and find an oxygen profile for GD 358 that is qualitatively similar to recent theoretical calculations. Title: Waiting-Time Distributions in Lattice Models of Solar Flares Authors: Norman, James P.; Charbonneau, Paul; McIntosh, Scott W.; Liu, Han-Li Bibcode: 2001ApJ...557..891N Altcode: It has recently been argued that the distribution of waiting times between successive solar flares is incompatible with the prediction of lattice models, which interpret flares as avalanches of magnetic reconnection events within a stressed magnetic structure driven to a state of self-organized criticality by stochastic motions of the photospheric magnetic footpoints. Inspired by a suggestion recently made by Wheatland, we construct modified lattice models driven by a nonstationary random process. The resulting models have frequency distributions of waiting times that include a power-law tail at long waiting times, in agreement with observations. One model, based on a random walk modulation of an otherwise stationary driver, yields an exponent for the power-law tail equal to 2.51+/-0.16, in reasonable agreement with observational inferences. This power-law tail survives in the presence of noise and a detection threshold. These findings lend further support to the avalanche model for solar flares. Title: Geometrical Aspects of SOC Flare Models Authors: McIntosh, S. W.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 2001AGUSM..SP52B04M Altcode: In this paper we address the geometrical properties of SOC Flare Models and possible connections to high spatial resolution observations of the solar coronal plasma. We discuss the study of geometrical projection effects and the fractal nature of avalanches in large two and three dimensional Cartesian lattice models and of (nano-)flares observed by the TRACE spacecraft. We examine the differences, and similarities, between the behavior of the lattice model and the observational data. Title: Analysis of an avalanche model in the continuum limit Authors: Liu, H.; Charbonneau, P.; Bogdan, T. J.; Pouquet, A.; McIntosh, S. W.; Norman, J. P. Bibcode: 2001AGUSM..SP51C03L Altcode: It is shown that in the continuum limit, the avalanche system postulated by Lu and Hamilton (1991) (LH91) can be described by a hyper-diffusion equation in regions where every lattice is in avalanche, and the overall system can be approximated by a randomly forced system with a anomalous hyper-diffusion term and a cubic nonlinear transport term. The LH91 is equivalent to a finite difference approximation to the the equation with 2nd order center differencing in space and simple forward time integration, and is numerically unstable. The modified rule by Lu et al. (1993) (LH93) actually overcame the numerical stability problem by essentially reducing the diffusion coefficient. We apply a dynamical renormalization group analysis to the continuum system. The frequency power spectrum scaling behavior of the "dissipating energy" and "falling-off energy" derived from this analysis is in reasonable agreement with the results from the LH93 avalanche model. Title: Multiperiodicity, Chaos, and Intermittency in a Reduced Model of the Solar Cycle Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2001SoPh..199..385C Altcode: In a recent paper, Durney (2000) has discussed a physically plausible procedure whereby the dynamo equations describing magnetic field regeneration in Babcock-Leighton models of the solar cycle can be reduced to a one-dimensional iterative map. This procedure is used here to investigate the behavior of various dynamo-inspired maps. Durney's explanation of the so-called odd-even effect in sunspot cycle peak amplitudes, which he ascribed to a period-2 limit cycle, is found to be robust with respect the choice of nonlinearity defining the map, and to the action of strong stochastic forcing. In fact, even maps without limit cycles are found to show a strong odd-even signal in the presence of forcing. Some of the stochastically forced maps are found to exhibit a form of on-off intermittency, with periods of activity separated by quiescent phases of low cycle amplitudes. In one such map, a strong odd-even signal is found to be a good precursor to the transition from bursting to quiescent behavior. Title: Towards a Global Picture: Observable Effects Induced by or Related to Magnetic Fields Authors: Judge, P. G.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 2001ASPC..248..659J Altcode: 2001mfah.conf..659J No abstract at ADS Title: Stellar Dynamos: A Modeling Perspective Authors: Charbonneau, P.; Saar, S. H. Bibcode: 2001ASPC..248..189C Altcode: 2001mfah.conf..189C No abstract at ADS Title: Magnetic Cycles and Activity in FGK Stars in the Framework of Babcock-Leighton Dynamos Authors: Dikpati, M.; Saar, S. H.; Brummell, N.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 2001ASPC..248..235D Altcode: 2001mfah.conf..235D No abstract at ADS Title: Stochastic Fluctuations in a Babcock-Leighton Model of the Solar Cycle Authors: Charbonneau, Paul; Dikpati, Mausumi Bibcode: 2000ApJ...543.1027C Altcode: We investigate the effect of stochastic fluctuations on a flux transport model of the solar cycle based on the Babcock-Leighton mechanism. Specifically, we make use of our recent flux transport model (Dikpati & Charbonneau) to investigate the consequences of introducing large-amplitude stochastic fluctuations in either or both the meridional flow and poloidal source term in the model. Solar cycle-like oscillatory behavior persists even for fluctuation amplitudes as high as 300%, thus demonstrating the inherent robustness of this class of solar cycle models. We also find that high-amplitude fluctuations lead to a spread of cycle amplitude and duration showing a statistically significant anticorrelation, comparable to that observed in sunspot data. This is a feature of the solar cycle that is notoriously difficult to reproduce with dynamo models based on mean field electrodynamics and relying only on nonlinearities associated with the back-reaction of the Lorentz force to produce amplitude modulation. Another noteworthy aspect of our flux transport model is the fact that meridional circulation in the convective envelope acts as a ``clock'' regulating the tempo of the solar cycle; shorter-than-average cycles are typically soon followed by longer-than-average cycles. In other words, the oscillation exhibits good phase locking, a property that also characterizes the solar activity cycle. This shows up quite clearly in our model, but we argue that it is in fact a generic property of flux transport models based on the Babcock-Leighton mechanism, and relies on meridional circulation as the primary magnetic field transport agent. Title: Rotation & Turbulence in the Solar Radiative Core Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 2000astu.confE...8C Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Discussion on The Angular Momentum Distribution in the Sun: Rotation, Turbulence, and Magnetic Fields Authors: Charbonneau, Paul; Spiegel, Ed Bibcode: 2000astu.confE...9C Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Preconditioning the Differential Emission Measure (Te) Inverse Problem Authors: McIntosh, S. W.; Charbonneau, P.; Brown, J. C. Bibcode: 2000ApJ...529.1115M Altcode: In an inverse problem of any kind, poor conditioning of the inverse operator decreases the numerical stability of any unregularized solution in the presence of data noise. In this paper we show that the numerical stability of the differential emission measure (DEM) inverse problem can be considerably improved by judicious choice of the integral operator. Specifically, we formulate a combinatorial optimization problem where, in a preconditioning step, a subset of spectral lines is selected in such a way as to minimize explicitly the condition number of the discretized integral operator. We tackle this large combinatorial optimization problem using a genetic algorithm. We apply this preconditioning technique to a synthetic data set comprising of solar UV/EUV emission lines in the SOHO SUMER/CDS wavelength range. Following which we test the same hypothesis on lines observed by the Harvard S-055 EUV spectroheliometer. On performing the inversion we see that the temperature distribution in the emitting region of the solar atmosphere is recovered with considerably better stability and smaller error bars when our preconditioning technique is used, in both synthetic and ``real'' cases, even though this involves the analysis of fewer spectral lines than in the ``All-lines'' approach. The preconditioning step leads to regularized inversions that compare favorably to inversions by singular value decomposition, while providing greater flexibility in the incorporation of physically and/or observationally based constraints in the line selection process. Title: Magnetic fields and light element depletion in the Sun Authors: Charbonneau, P.; Barnes, G.; MacGregor, K. B. Bibcode: 2000IAUJD...5E..14C Altcode: I will first briefly review some important similarities and differences in models for the spin-down of solar-type stars, with or without internal magnetic fields in their radiative interior. This will be followed by a presentation of some simple calculations for the main-sequence depletion of Lithium and Beryllium in the Sun, in a regime where magnetic fields provide the chief mechanism for the internal redistribution of angular momentum. In this model the transport of light elements still occurs in response to shear-induced small-scale turbulence, following various commonly used prescriptions for the transport coefficients. For some (physically reasonable) values of model parameters, both internal differential rotation and light element abundances end up solar-like at 4.5Gyr. Within this framework light element depletion is a sensitive function of the strength of the assumed internal magnetic field. Title: Helioseismic Constraints on the Structure of the Solar Tachocline Authors: Charbonneau, P.; Christensen-Dalsgaard, J.; Henning, R.; Larsen, R. M.; Schou, J.; Thompson, M. J.; Tomczyk, S. Bibcode: 1999ApJ...527..445C Altcode: This paper presents a series of helioseismic inversions aimed at determining with the highest possible confidence and accuracy the structure of the rotational shear layer (the tachocline) located beneath the base of the solar convective envelope. We are particularly interested in identifying features of the inversions that are robust properties of the data, in the sense of not being overly influenced by the choice of analysis methods. Toward this aim we carry out two types of two-dimensional linear inversions, namely Regularized Least-Squares (RLS) and Subtractive Optimally Localized Averages (SOLA), the latter formulated in terms of either the rotation rate or its radial gradient. We also perform nonlinear parametric least-squares fits using a genetic algorithm-based forward modeling technique. The sensitivity of each method is thoroughly tested on synthetic data. The three methods are then used on the LOWL 2 yr frequency-splitting data set. The tachocline is found to have an equatorial thickness of w/Rsolar=0.039+/-0.013 and equatorial central radius rc/Rsolar=0.693+/-0.002. All three techniques also indicate that the tachocline is prolate, with a difference in central radius Δrc/Rsolar~=0.024+/-0.004 between latitude 60° and the equator. Assuming uncorrelated and normally distributed errors, a strictly spherical tachocline can be rejected at the 99% confidence level. No statistically significant variation in tachocline thickness with latitude is found. Implications of these results for hydrodynamical and magnetohydrodynamical models of the solar tachocline are discussed. Title: Stability of the Solar Latitudinal Differential Rotation Inferred from Helioseismic Data Authors: Charbonneau, Paul; Dikpati, Mausumi; Gilman, Peter A. Bibcode: 1999ApJ...526..523C Altcode: We revisit the hydrodynamical stability problem posed by the observed solar latitudinal differential rotation. Specifically, we carry out stability analyses on a spherical shell for solar-like two-dimensional inviscid shear flow profiles of the form ν=s0-s2μ2-s4μ4, where μ is the sine of latitude. We find that stability is remarkably sensitive to the magnitude of the μ4 term. This allows us to reconcile apparently conflicting results found in the published literature. We then use latitudinal differential rotation profiles extracted from various helioseismic inversions of the solar internal rotation and investigate their stability as a function of depth from the base of the tachocline to the top of the convective envelope. In all cases considered, we find that the latitudinal differential rotation in the tachocline is stable while that in the bulk of the convective envelope is unstable. Under the assumption that the instability is not impeded by finite Reynolds number or three-dimensional effects not accounted for in our analysis, we speculate on possible observable consequences of the occurrence of the instability in the top half of the convective envelope. Title: Angular Momentum Transport in Magnetized Stellar Radiative Zones. IV. Ferraro's Theorem and the Solar Tachocline Authors: MacGregor, K. B.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 1999ApJ...519..911M Altcode: We consider the circumstances under which the latitudinal differential rotation of the solar convective envelope can (or cannot) be imprinted on the underlying radiative core through the agency of a hypothetical weak, large-scale poloidal magnetic field threading the solar radiative interior. We do so by constructing steady, two-dimensional axisymmetric solutions to the coupled momentum and induction equations under the assumption of a purely zonal flow and time-independent poloidal magnetic field. Our results show that the structure of the interior solutions is entirely determined by the boundary conditions imposed at the core-envelope interface. Specifically, in the high Reynolds number regime a poloidal field having a nonzero component normal to the core-envelope interface can lead to the transmission of significant differential rotation into the radiative interior. In contrast, for a poloidal field that is contained entirely within the radiative core, any differential rotation is confined to a thin magnetoviscous boundary layer located immediately beneath the interface, as well as along the rotation/magnetic axis. We argue that a magnetically decoupled configuration is more likely to be realized in the solar interior. Consequently, the helioseismically inferred lack of differential rotation in the radiative core does not necessarily preclude the existence of a weak, large-scale poloidal field therein. We suggest that such a field may well be dynamically significant in determining the structure of the solar tachocline. Title: A Babcock-Leighton Flux Transport Dynamo with Solar-like Differential Rotation Authors: Dikpati, Mausumi; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 1999ApJ...518..508D Altcode: We investigate the properties of a kinematic flux transport solar dynamo model. The model is characterized by a solar-like internal differential rotation profile, a single-cell meridional flow in the convective envelope that is directed poleward at the surface, and a magnetic diffusivity that is constant within the envelope but decreases sharply at the core-envelope interface. As in earlier flux transport models of the Babcock-Leighton type, we assume that the poloidal field is regenerated as a consequence of the emergence at the surface, and subsequent decay, of bipolar active regions exhibiting a systematic tilt with respect to the east-west direction. Inspired by recent simulations of the rise of toroidal magnetic flux ropes across the solar convective envelope, we model this poloidal field regeneration mechanism as a nonlocal source term formulated in such a way as to account for some of the properties of rising flux ropes revealed by the simulations. For a broad range of parameter values the model leads to solar cycle-like oscillatory solutions. Because of the solar-like internal differential rotation profile used in the model, solutions tend to be characterized by time-latitude (butterfly) diagrams that exhibit both poleward- and equatorward-propagating branches. We demonstrate that the latitudinal shear in the envelope, often omitted in other flux transport models previously published in the literature, actually has a dominant effect on the global morphology and period of the solutions, while the radial shear near the core-envelope interface leads to further intensification of the toroidal field. On the basis of an extensive parameter space study, we establish a scaling law between the time period of the cycle and the primary parameters of the model, namely the meridional flow speed, source coefficient, and turbulent diffusion coefficient. In the parameter regime expected to characterize the Sun, we show that the time period of the cycle is most significantly influenced by the circulation flow speed and, unlike for conventional mean field αΩ dynamos, is little affected by the magnitude of the source coefficient. Finally, we present one specific solution that exhibits features that compare advantageously with the observed properties of the solar cycle. Title: Preconditioning the DEM(T) inverse problem Authors: Charbonneau, P.; McIntosh, S. Bibcode: 1999AAS...194.9313C Altcode: 1999BAAS...31..990C In an inverse problem of any kind, poor conditioning of the inverse operator decreases the numerical stability of any unregularized solution in the presence of data noise. In this poster we show that the numerical stability of the differential emission measure (DEM) inverse problem can be considreably improved by judicious choice of the integral operator. Specifically, we formulate a combinatorial optimization problem where, in a preconditioning step, a subset of spectral lines is selected in order to minimize the condition number of the discretized integral operator. This turns out to be a hard combinatorial optimization problem, which we tackle using a genetic algorithm. We apply the technique to the dataset comprising the solar UV/EUV emission lines in the SOHO SUMER/CDS wavelength range, and to the Harvard S-055 EUV spectroheliometer data. The temperature distribution in the emitting region of the solar atmosphere is recovered with considerably better stability and smaller error bars when our preconditioning technique is used, even though this involves the analysis of fewer spectral lines than in the conventional ``all-lines'' approach. Title: Intermittency in Solar Cycle Caused by Stochastic Fluctuation in Meridional Circulation Authors: Dikpati, M.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 1999AAS...194.9204D Altcode: 1999BAAS...31..987D We present here how the stochastic fluctuation in meridional circulation can cause variation in amplitude and phase of the solar cycle as often observed as a long-term variability in the butterfly diagram. It has been shown by various authors that a kinematic, flux-transport dynamo with meridional circulation is capable of reproducing a majority of surface magnetic features. The scaling law, proposed on the basis of detail parameter space survey, suggests that the time-period of cycle is largely governed by flow speed. Since meridional circulation is a weak flow, vigorous convections could perturb this flow randomly by causing a stochastic fluctuation in its magnitude. Surface observations suggest variation of flow speed with time, while simulations suggest up to 100% fluctuation in amplitude of the flow in deep convection zone also. Assuming a correlation length in the streamlines comparable to dimension of granules and treating the correlation time (tau_c ) between two fluctuating flows and the amplitude of the fluctuating component as parameters, we show that the long-term variability in the amplitude of the solar cycle is most sensitive to the amplitude of the stochastic fluctuation in meridional circulation, but not so sensitive to tau_c . On the other hand, the longer tau_c affects the time-period, though not violating the so-called "phase locking" of the solar cycle, since we always find that whenever there occur a few short cycles, a few compensating longer cycles also occur to adjust the solar clock again. The National Center for Atmospheric Research is sponsored by the National Science Foundation. Title: Angular Momentum Transport in Magnetized Stellar Radiative Zones. III. The Solar Light-Element Abundances Authors: Barnes, G.; Charbonneau, P.; MacGregor, K. B. Bibcode: 1999ApJ...511..466B Altcode: We calculate the depletion of the trace elements lithium and beryllium within a solar-mass star during the course of its evolution from the zero-age main sequence to the age of the present-day Sun. In the radiative layers beneath the convection zone, we assume that these elements are transported by the turbulent fluid motions that result from instability of the shear flow associated with internal differential rotation. This turbulent mixing is modeled as a diffusion process, using a diffusion coefficient that is taken to be proportional to the gradient of the angular velocity distribution inside the star. We study the evolution of the light-element abundances produced by rotational mixing for models in which internal angular momentum redistribution takes place either by hydrodynamic or by hydromagnetic means. Since models based on these alternative mechanisms for angular-momentum transport predict similar surface rotation rates late in the evolution, we explore the extent to which light-element abundances make it possible to distinguish between them. In the case of an internally magnetized star, our computations indicate that both the details of the surface abundance evolution and the magnitude of the depletion at solar age can depend sensitively on the assumed strength and configuration of the poloidal magnetic field inside the star. For a configuration with no direct magnetic coupling between the radiative and convective portions of the stellar interior, the depletion of lithium calibrated to the solar lithium depletion at the solar age is similar at all ages to the lithium depletion of a model in which angular-momentum transport occurs solely by hydrodynamical processes. However, the two models can be distinguished on the basis of their respective beryllium depletions, with the depletion of the magnetic model being significantly smaller than that of the nonmagnetic model. Title: Hélioseismologie de la tachocline solaire. Authors: Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 1998JRASC..92..311C Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Spectral decomposition by genetic forward modelling Authors: McIntosh, S. W.; Diver, D. A.; Judge, P. G.; Charbonneau, P.; Ireland, J.; Brown, J. C. Bibcode: 1998A&AS..132..145M Altcode: We discuss the analysis of real and simulated line spectra using a genetic forward modelling technique. We show that this Genetic Algorithm (GA) based technique experiences none of the user bias or systematic problems that arise when faced with poorly sampled or noisy data. An important feature of this technique is the ease with which rigid a priori constraints can be applied to the data. These constraints make the GA decomposition much more accurate and stable, especially at the limit of instrumental resolution, than decomposition algorithms commonly in use. Title: Empirical modeling of the solar corona using genetic algorithms Authors: Gibson, S. E.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 1998JGR...10314511G Altcode: Many remote sensing applications encountered in astronomy and space science involve the solution of nonlinear inverse problems. These are often difficult to solve because of nonlinearities, ill-behaved integration kernels, and amplification of data noise associated with the inversion of the integral operator. In some cases these difficulties are severe enough to warrant repeated evaluations of the forward problem as an alternate approach to formal inversion. Because a forward approach is intrinsically repetitive and time consuming, an efficient and flexible forward technique is required for this avenue to be practical. We show how a forward technique based on a genetic algorithm allows us to fit magnetostatic models of the solar minimum corona to observations in white light to a degree that would otherwise have been computationally prohibitive. In addition, and perhaps equally important, the method also allows the determination of global error estimates on the model parameters defining the best fit solution. Title: Gravity Waves in a Magnetized Shear Layer Authors: Barnes, G.; MacGregor, K. B.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 1998ApJ...498L.169B Altcode: We use the equations governing the propagation of a gravity wave in the presence of a background flow and magnetic field to derive, in the Boussinesq approximation, dispersion relations for plane wave solutions in certain special cases. We show how, under conditions typical of the interior of the Sun, the addition of a magnetic field may prevent certain wavevectors from propagating and alter the existence and position of any critical layer that might absorb the gravity wave. Title: The Rotation of the Solar Core Inferred by Genetic Forward Modeling Authors: Charbonneau, P.; Tomczyk, S.; Schou, J.; Thompson, M. J. Bibcode: 1998ApJ...496.1015C Altcode: Genetic forward modeling is a genetic algorithm-based modeling technique that can be used to perform helioseismic inversions of the Sun's internal angular velocity profile. The method can easily accommodate constraints such as positivity and monotonicity and readily lends itself to the use of robust statistical goodness-of-fit estimators. After briefly describing the technique, we ascertain its performance by carrying out a series of inversions for artificial splitting data generated from a set of synthetic internal rotation profiles characterized by various small inward increases in angular velocity in the deep solar core (r/R <= 0.5). These experiments indicate that the technique is accurate down to r/R ~= 0.2, and retains useful sensitivity down to r/R ~= 0.1.

We then use genetic forward modeling in conjunction with the LOW degree L (LOWL) 2 year frequency-splitting data set to determine the rotation rate in the deep solar core. We perform a large set of one-dimensional and 1.5-dimensional inversions using regularized least-squares minimization, conventional least-squares minimization with a monotonicity constraint (∂Ω/∂r <= 0), and inversions using robust statistical estimators. These calculations indicate that the solar core rotates very nearly rigidly down to r/R ~ 0.1. More specifically, on spatial scales >~0.04 R we can rule out inward increases by more than 50% down to r/R = 0.2, and by more than a factor of 2 down to r/R = 0.1. Thorough testing of various possible sources of bias associated with our technique indicates that these results are robust with respect to intrinsic modeling assumptions. Consequences of our results for models of the rotational evolution of the Sun and solar-type stars are discussed. Title: Angular Momentum Transport in Magnetized Stellar Radiative Zones: The Solar Light Element Abundances Authors: Barnes, G.; Charbonneau, P.; MacGregor, K. B. Bibcode: 1998ASPC..154..886B Altcode: 1998csss...10..886B We calculate the depletion of the trace elements lithium and beryllium within a solar mass star, during the course of its evolution from the zero-age main sequence to the age of the present-day Sun. In the radiative layers beneath the convection zone, we assume that these elements are transported by the turbulent fluid motions that result from the instability of the shear flow associated with internal differential rotation. This turbulent mixing is modeled as a diffusive process, using a diffusion coefficient that is taken to be proportional to the gradient of the angular velocity distribution inside the star. We study the evolution of the light element abundances produced by rotational mixing for models in which internal angular momentum redistribution takes place either by hydrodynamic or by hydromagnetic means. Since models based on these alternative mechanisms for angular momentum transport predict similar surface rotation rates late in the evolution, we explore the extent to which light element abundances make it possible to distinguish between them. In the case of an internally magnetized star, our computations indicate that both the details of the surface abundance evolution and the magnitude of the depletion at solar age can depend sensitively on the assumed strength and configuration of the poloidal magnetic field inside the star. For a configuration with no direct magnetic coupling between the radiative and convective portions of the stellar interior, the depletion of lithium as a function of age is similar to that of a model in which angular momentum transport occurs solely by hydrodynamical processes. However, the two models can be distinguished on the basis of their respective beryllium depletions, with the depletion of the magnetic model being significantly smaller than that of the non-magnetic model. Title: Solar Interface Dynamos. I. Linear, Kinematic Models in Cartesian Geometry Authors: MacGregor, K. B.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 1997ApJ...486..484M Altcode: We describe a simple, kinematic model for a dynamo operating in the vicinity of the interface between the convective and radiative portions of the solar interior. The model dynamo resides within a Cartesian domain, partioned into an upper, convective half and lower, radiative half, with the magnetic diffusivity η of the former region (η2) assumed to exceed that of the latter (η1). The fluid motions that constitute the α-effect are confined to a thin, horizontal layer located entirely within the convective half of the domain; the vertical shear is nonzero only within a second, nonoverlapping layer contained inside the radiative half of the domain. We derive and solve a dispersion relation that describes horizontally propagating dynamo waves. For sufficiently large values of a parameter analogous to the dynamo number of conventional models, growing modes can be found for any ratio of the upper and lower magnetic diffusivities. However, unlike kinematic models in which the shear and α-effect are uniformly distributed throughout the same volume, the present model has wavelike solutions that grow in time only for a finite range of horizontal wavenumbers.

An additional consequence of the assumed dynamo spatial structure is that the strength of the azimuthal magnetic field at the location of the α-effect layer is reduced relative to the azimuthal field strength at the shear layer. When the jump in η occurs close to the α-effect layer, it is found that over one period of the dynamo's operation, the ratio of the maximum strengths of the azimuthal fields at these two positions can vary as the ratio (η12) of the magnetic diffusivities. Title: Solar Interface Dynamos. II. Linear, Kinematic Models in Spherical Geometry Authors: Charbonneau, P.; MacGregor, K. B. Bibcode: 1997ApJ...486..502C Altcode: Numerical models of interface dynamos are constructed, and their properties discussed in some detail. These models are extensions in spherical geometry of the Cartesian interface models considered by Parker and in the first paper of this series. The models are cast in the framework of classical mean-field electrodynamics and make use of a realistic solar-like internal differential rotation profile. The magnetic diffusivity is assumed to vary discontinously by orders of magnitude across the core-envelope interface. This allows the buildup of very strong toroidal magnetic fields below the interface, as apparently required by recent models of erupting bipolar magnetic regions.

Distinct dynamo modes powered either by the latitudinal or radial shear can coexist and, under certain conditions, interfere destructively with one another. Hybrid modes, relying on the latitudinal shear both in the envelope and below it, are most easily excited in some portions of parameter space, and represent a class of dynamo solutions distinct from the true interface modes previously investigated in Cartesian geometry. Which mode is preferentially excited depends primarily on the assumed ratio of magnetic diffusivities on either side of the core-envelope interface. For an α-effect having a simple cos θ latitudinal dependency, the interface mode associated with the radial shear below the polar regions of the interface is easier to excite than its equatorial counterpart. In analogy with more conventional dynamo models, interface modes propagate equatorward if the product of the radial shear (∂Ω/∂r) and α-effect coefficient (Cα) is negative, and poleward if that product is positive.

Interface dynamo modes powered by the positive radial shear localized below the core-envelope interface in the equatorial regions can be produced by artificially restricting the α-effect to low latitudes. For negative dynamo number, those modes are globally dipolar, propagate toward the equator, and are characterized by a phase relationship between poloidal and toroidal magnetic field components that is in agreement with observations.

While the models discussed in this paper are linear and kinematic, and consequently rather limited in their predictive power, results obtained so far certainly suggest that interface dynamos represent a very attractive alternative to conventional solar mean-field dynamo models. Title: A Search for large-scale Symmetries in the Emergence of active Regions Authors: Charbonneau, Paul; Bogdan, Thomas J. Bibcode: 1997SPD....28.0253C Altcode: 1997BAAS...29..902C Recent models of the stability, destabilization and subsequent rise of toroidal flux ropes stored immediately beneath the base of the solar convective envelope indicate that the zonal order of the most unstable mode is a function of storage latitude and magnetic field strength. Taken at face value, this would suggest that large-scale symmetries should be apparent in the distribution of longitudes of emergence for active regions. We are using the Mt Wilson sunspot dataset (coverage extending from 1917 to 1985) to establish observational support (or lack thereof) for this conjecture. In this contribution we discuss our method of analysis, and present preliminary results for a few activity cycles. Title: Helioseismology by Genetic Forward Modeling Authors: Charbonneau, P.; Tomczyk, S. Bibcode: 1997ASPC..123...49C Altcode: 1997taca.conf...49C No abstract at ADS Title: Angular Momentum Evolution in Late-Type Stars Authors: Charbonneau, P.; Schrijver, C. J.; MacGregor, K. B. Bibcode: 1997cwh..conf..677C Altcode: 2006mslp.conf..677C No abstract at ADS Title: ALFVÉN Wave-Driven Winds Authors: MacGregor, K. B.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 1997cwh..conf..327M Altcode: 2006mslp.conf..327M No abstract at ADS Title: On the Generation of Equipartition-Strength Magnetic Fields by Turbulent Hydromagnetic Dynamos Authors: Charbonneau, P.; MacGregor, K. B. Bibcode: 1996ApJ...473L..59C Altcode: The generation of a mean magnetic field by the action of small-scale turbulent fluid motions, the alpha -effect, is a fundamental ingredient of mean-field dynamo theory. However, recent mathematical models and numerical experiments are providing increasingly strong support to the notion that at high magnetic Reynolds numbers, the alpha -effect is strongly impeded long before the mean magnetic field has reached energy equipartition with the driving fluid motions. Taken at face value, this raises serious doubt as to whether the solar magnetic field is produced by a turbulent hydromagnetic dynamo after all, since it is an observed fact that the Sun does possess a structured, large-scale mean magnetic field of strength comparable to equipartition. In this Letter we demonstrate that the class of mean-field turbulent hydromagnetic models known as interface dynamos can produce equipartition-strength mean magnetic fields even in the presence of strong alpha -quenching. Title: The oscillation modes of θ^2^ Tauri. Results from the 1992 MUSICOS campaign. Authors: Kennelly, E. J.; Walker, G. A. H.; Catala, C.; Foing, B. H.; Huang, L.; Jiang, S.; Hao, J.; Zhai, D.; Zhao, F.; Neff, J. E.; Houdebine, E. R.; Ghosh, K. K.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 1996A&A...313..571K Altcode: We have analyzed a series of 619 spectra of θ^2^ Tauri taken with four telescopes over four consecutive nights during the 1992 global MUSICOS campaign. Radial velocity variations provide information about the oscillation frequencies of low degree (0<=l<=3), and line-profile variations provide information on modes of higher degree (3<=l<=10). The radial velocities were derived with a cross-correlation technique. In addition to detecting several frequencies found photometrically (e.g., Breger et al. 1989), we have found two new frequencies, which implies that the oscillation spectrum of θ^2^ Tau may not be stable. Variations within rotationally broadened absorption lines were transformed by a Fourier-Doppler imaging analysis into a map of apparent frequency versus apparent azimuthal order. From this two-dimensional Fourier representation we identify some seven oscillation modes using a genetic algorithm to explore parameter space. While we find good agreement between the detected frequencies and those predicted to be unstable based on the models of Dziembowski (1990), it is still not clear why only certain modes are selected. Title: Absorption of p-Modes by Slender Magnetic Flux Tubes and p-Mode Lifetimes Authors: Bogdan, T. J.; Hindman, B. W.; Cally, P. S.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 1996ApJ...465..406B Altcode: The presence of a fibril magnetic field in the solar envelope not only induces shifts in the p-mode resonant frequencies, but also contributes to the line width of the modes. The augmentation of the line widths results from two related physical processes: the excitation of tube mode oscillations on the individual magnetic fibrils and the attendant mode mixing between p-modes with identical oscillation frequencies. We assay the magnitude of the contribution from the former physical process based upon an idealized model consisting of vertical, slender, magnetic flux tubes embedded in a plane-parallel isentropic polytrope of index m. We restrict our attention to axisymmetric flux tubes that are in mechanical and thermal equilibrium with their immediate nonmagnetic surroundings. For low p-mode oscillation frequencies, ω, this model predicts that the line width, F, varies as

Γ ∝ fωM ∝fωm+2,

where M the mode mass, and f is the magnetic filling factor reckoned at the surface of the polytrope. This scaling is in better overall agreement with the observations (Γ ∝ ω4.2) than previous predictions based on the excitation and damping of solar p-modes by turbulent convection (which yields Γ ∝ γ2 M-1 ∝ω2m+4), or the scattering of p-modes by convective eddies (which yields Γ ∝ ω(4/3)m+3), and it suggests that tube mode excitation on fibril magnetic fields may be a dominant and detectable (through its solar cycle variation) component of the low-frequency p-mode line widths. Title: A Numerical Study of the Pre-Ejection, Magnetically-Sheared Corona as a Free Boundary Problem Authors: Chou, Yung-Ping; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 1996SoPh..166..333C Altcode: A class of magnetostatic equilibria with axial symmetry outside a unit sphere in the presence of plasma pressure and an r−2 gravitational field is constructed. The structure contains a localized current-carrying region confined by a background bipolar potential field, and the shape of the region changes subject to the variation of the electric current. The continuity requirement for the magnetic field and plasma pressures at the outer boundary of the cavity defines a free boundary problem, which is solved numerically using a spectral boundary scheme. The model is then used to study the expansion of the current-carrying region, caused by the buildup of magnetic shear, against the background confining field. The magnetic shear in our model is induced by the loading of an azimuthal field, accompanied by a depletion of plasma density. Title: Nonlinear interface dynamos with α-quenching. Authors: Charbonneau, P.; MacGregor, K. B. Bibcode: 1996BAAS...28..935C Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: The Solar Corona as a Minimum Energy System? Authors: Charbonneau, P.; Hundhausen, A. J. Bibcode: 1996SoPh..165..237C Altcode: This paper is an exploration of the possibility that the large-scale equilibrium of plasma and magnetic fields in the solar corona is a minimum energy state. Support for this conjecture is sought by considering the simplest form of that equilibrium in a dipole solar field, as suggested by the observed structure of the corona at times of minimum solar activity. Approximate, axisymmetric solutions to the MHD equations are constructed to include both a magnetically closed, hydrostatic region and a magnetically open region where plasma flows along field lines in the form of a transonic, thermally-driven wind. Sequences of such solutions are obtained for various degrees of magnetic field opening, and the total energy of each solution is computed, including contributions from both the plasma and magnetic field. It is shown that along a sequence of increasingly closed coronal magnetic field, the total energy curve is a non-monotonic function of the parameter measuring the degree of magnetic field opening, with a minimum occurring at moderate field opening. Title: Magnetic Fields and Rotation in the Interior of the Sun and Stars Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 1996APS..MAY.K1404C Altcode: Magnetism is known to be the primary agent governing the various phenomena grouped under the name of solar activity, and is most likely responsible for the manifestations of solar-like activity observed in stars other than the Sun. Rotation and magnetism are ubiquitous among solar-type stars, as the two are closely linked through the hydromagnetic dynamo believed to operate in stellar interiors. A proper understanding of stellar and solar magnetism consequently requires an understanding of rotational evolution. In the first part of this talk I will briefly review the various ways in which magnetic fields affect the rotational evolution of solar-type stars on and near the main-sequence (the primary hydrogen burning phase of stellar evolution), and will present some of the relevant observational material. I will then discuss in more detail one specific topic, namely how magnetic fields can mediate the redistribution of angular momentum throughout stellar interiors, and in doing so influence the overall rotational evolution of stars. Title: Applications of Genetic Algorithms to Solar Coronal Modeling Authors: Gibson, S.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 1996AAS...188.3622G Altcode: 1996BAAS...28..876G Genetic algorithms are efficient and flexible means of attacking optimization problems that would otherwise be computationally prohibitive. Consider a model that represents an observable quantity in terms of a few parameters, with an associated chi (2) measuring goodness of fit with respect to data. If the modeled observable is non-linear in the parameters, there can exist a degeneracy of minimum chi (2) in parameter space. It is then essential to understand the location and extent of this degeneracy in order to find the global optimum and quantify the degeneracy error around it. Traditional methods of spanning parameter space such as a grid search or a Monte Carlo approach scale exponentially with the number of parameters, and waste a great deal of computational time looking at ``un-fit'' solutions. Genetic algorithms, on the other hand, converge rapidly onto regions of minimum chi (2) while continuously generate ``mutant solutions'', allowing an efficient and comprehensive exploration of parameter space. Our aim has been to develop an approach that simultaneously yields a best fit solution and global error estimates, by modifying and extending standard genetic algorithm-based techniques. We fit two magnetostatic models of the solar minimum corona to observations in white light. The first model allows horizontal bulk currents and the second also allows sheet currents enclosing and extending out from the equatorial helmet streamer. Using our genetic algorithm approach, we map out the degeneracy of model parameters that reproduce observations well. The flexibility of genetic algorithms facilitates incorporating the additional observational constraint of photospheric magnetic flux, reducing the degeneracy of solutions to a range represented by reasonable error bars on the model predictions. By using genetic algorithms we are able to identify and constrain the degeneracy inherent to the models, a task, which, particularly for the more complex second model, would be impractical using a traditional technique. The ultimate result is a greater understanding of the large scale structure of the solar corona, providing clues to the mechanisms heating the corona and accelerating the solar wind. Title: Nonlinear interface dynamos with alpha -quenching Authors: Charbonneau, P.; MacGregor, K. B. Bibcode: 1996AAS...188.6902C Altcode: 1996BAAS...28Q.935C There exist various mechanisms capable of limiting the magnitude of the (presumably) dynamo-generated, large-scale solar magnetic field. One such mechanism is the so-called ``alpha -quenching''. The underlying idea is that the Lorentz force associated with the dynamo-generated magnetic fields impedes the small scale, turbulent fluid motions giving rise to the so-called ``alpha -effect'' (the production of poloidal from toroidal fields in the framework of mean-field dynamo theory). In mean-field models, a popular ---yet essentially ad hoc--- prescription for alpha -quenching consists in replacing the coefficient (alpha ) of the alpha -effect source term in the dynamo equations by an expression of the form alpha -> alpha (B) =alpha_0 /(1+(|B|/B_eq)(2)) , where alpha_0 is a measure of the strength of the alpha -effect in the linear regime, and B_eq is the equipartition field strength, based on the kinetic energy of the turbulent, convective fluid motions (B_eq ~ 10(4) G at the base of the solar convection zone). In principle, such ``Weak Quenching'' allows the production of magnetic fields of roughly equipartition strength, as demonstrated by the numerous conventional mean-field dynamo models making use of eq. (1), or some close variant, published to date. Vainshtein & Cattaneo (1992, ApJ 393, 165) and Gruzinov & Diamond (1995, Phys. Plasmas 2, 1941) have argued, however, that alpha -quenching should be described by alpha -> alpha (B) =alpha_0 /(R_m(|B|/B_eq)(2)) where R_m is a magnetic Reynolds number based on the microscopic properties of the flow (R_m>> 1 for solar interior conditions). This now describes a much stronger form of alpha -quenching, and, with R_m>> 1, could be fatal to large-scale dynamo action, in the sense that the dynamo could only produce magnetic fields of strength << B_eq. This is in marked contradiction with the demands set by recent models of bipolar magnetic region emergence, which require field strengths of order 10x B_eq ~ 10(5) G for the observed latitudes and tilt of emergence to be adequately reproduced. In this contribution, we investigate the circumstances under which interface dynamos can avoid alpha -quenching, either in the ``Weak'' or ``Strong'' forms defined above. In interface dynamos the alpha -effect is assumed to operate within the solar convective envelope, while the strongest magnetic fields are generated by shearing below the core-envelope interface (Parker 1993, ApJ 408, 707; Charbonneau & MacGregor, submitted to ApJ). This spatial segregation of the alpha -effect source region is the key to avoiding alpha -quenching. This is illustrated using a few nonlinear, kinematic interface dynamo solutions applicable to the Sun. Title: Further thoughts on the solar corona as a minimum energy system. Authors: Charbonneau, P.; Hundhausen, A. J. Bibcode: 1996ASIC..481..249C Altcode: The authors conjecture that the global, large-scale structure of the solar corona represents a form of minimum energy state. They illustrate this conjecture with the help of an approximate model applicable to quiet solar minimum conditions. Possible implications and applications of the conjecture are discussed in the context of coronal mass ejections and of empirical modeling of the solar corona. Title: Genetic Algorithms in Astronomy and Astrophysics Authors: Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 1995ApJS..101..309C Altcode: This paper aims at demonstrating, through examples, the applicability of genetic algorithms to wide classes of problems encountered in astronomy and astrophysics. Genetic algorithms are heuristic search techniques that incorporate, in a computational setting, the biological notion of evolution by means of natural selection. While increasingly in use in the fields of computer science, artificial intelligence, and computed-aided engineering design, genetic algorithms seem to have attracted comparatively little attention in the physical sciences thus far. The following three problems are treated: (1) modeling the rotation curve of galaxies, (2) extracting pulsation periods from Doppler velocities measurements in spectral lines of δ Scuti stars, and (3) constructing spherically symmetric wind models for rotating, magnetized solar-type stars. A listing of the genetic algorithm-based general purpose optimization subroutine PIKAIA, used to solve these problems, is given in the Appendix. Title: Stellar Winds with Non-WKB Alfven Waves. II. Wind Models for Cool, Evolved Stars Authors: Charbonneau, P.; MacGregor, K. B. Bibcode: 1995ApJ...454..901C Altcode: We construct Alfvén wave-driven wind models for physical conditions appropriate to the expanding envelopes of cool, evolved stars. To derive wind properties, we assume steady, isothermal, spherically symmetric flow, but do not use the WKB (i.e., short-wavelength) approximation to calculate the wave amplitudes. Instead, we make use of the formalism developed in the first paper of this series (MacGregor & Charbonneau 1994), which describes wave reflection and associated modifications to the wave force, and consistently incorporates these effects into the treatment of wind dynamics.

For flows containing undamped Alfvén waves of arbitrarily long wavelength we find that the occurrence of wave reflection has profound consequences for wind acceleration and mass loss. Specifically, in all of our computed models, the outward-directed wave force near the base of the flow is significantly reduced relative to that in comparable WKB models. As a result, the initial expansion speeds and mass flux densities of model winds that include non-WKB effects are smaller than those of corresponding WKB winds. Moreover, at large distances from the star, wave reflection leads to an enhancement of the wave force relative to models in which all waves are presumed to be outwardly propagating. This tendency, when combined with the previously noted reduction in mass flux, produces winds with higher asymptotic flow speeds than those driven by high-frequency, short-wavelength Alfvén waves. Given that the challenge of modeling winds from cool evolved stars is to produce winds with high mass fluxes and low asymptotic flow speeds, we argue that Alfvén waves provide an acceptable driving mechanism only if their wavelengths are sufficiently short that minimal reflection occurs near the base of the flow. For stellar parameters characteristic of a supergiant star with spectral type ∼K5, this translates into an upper bound on Alfvén wave periods of ∼1 day. Title: Constraining Solar Core Rotation with Genetic Forward Modelling Authors: Tomczyk, S.; Charbonneau, P.; Schou, J.; Thompson, M. J. Bibcode: 1995ESASP.376b.271T Altcode: 1995soho....2..271T; 1995help.confP.271T No abstract at ADS Title: On the evolution of rotational velocity distributions for solar-type stars. Authors: Keppens, R.; MacGregor, K. B.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 1995A&A...294..469K Altcode: We investigate how the distribution of rotational velocities for late-type stars of a given mass evolves with age, both before and during residence on the main sequence. Starting from an age ~10^6^years, an assumed pre-main sequence rotational velocity/period distribution is evolved forward in time using the model described by MacGregor & Brenner (1991) to trace the rotational histories of single, constituent stars. This model treats: (i) stellar angular momentum loss as a result of the torque applied to the convection zone by a magnetically coupled wind; (ii) angular momentum transport from the radiative interior to the convective envelope in response to the rotational deceleration of the stellar surface layers; and (iii), angular momentum redistribution associated with changes in internal structure during the process of contraction to the main sequence. We ascertain how the evolution of a specified, initial rotational velocity/period distribution is affected by such things as: (i) the dependence of the coronal magnetic field strength on rotation rate through a prescribed, phenomenological dynamo relation; (ii) the magnitude of the timescale τ_c_ characterizing the transfer of angular momentum from the core to the envelope; (ii) differences in the details and duration of pre-main sequence structural evolution for stars with masses in the range 0.8<=M_*_/Msun_<=1.0 and (iv), the exchange of angular momentum between a star and a surrounding, magnetized accretion disk during the first few million years of pre-main sequence evolution following the development of a radiative core. The results of this extensive parameter study are compared with the distributions derived from measurements of rotational velocities of solar-type stars in open clusters with known ages. Starting from an initial distribution compiled from observations of rotation among T Tauri stars, we find that reasonable agreement with the distribution evolution inferred from cluster observations is obtained for: (i) a dynamo law in which the strength of the coronal field increases linearly with surface angular velocity for rotation rates <=20 times the present solar rate, and becomes saturated for more rapid rotation; (ii) a coupling timescale ~10^7^years; (iii) a mix of stellar masses consisting of roughly equal numbers of 0.8Msun_ and 1.0Msun_ stars; and (iv), disk regulation of the surface rotation up to an age ~6x10^6^years for stars with initial rotation periods longer than 5days. A number of discrepancies remain, however: even with the most favorable choice of model parameters, the present calculations fail to produce a sufficiently large proportion of slow (equatorial velocities less than 10km/s) rotators on the Zero-Age Main Sequence. Title: Stellar Winds with Non-WKB Alfven Waves. I. Wind Models for Solar Coronal Conditions Authors: MacGregor, K. B.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 1994ApJ...430..387M Altcode: We have constructed numerical models for stationary, wind-type outflows that include treatment of the force produced by propagating Alfven waves. We make no assumptions regarding the relative sizes of the wavelengths of such disturbances and the scale lengths that characterize the variation of the physical properties of the expanding stellar atmosphere. Consequently, our models take account the process of Alfven wave reflection, and provide for dynamical effects arising from the simultaneous presence of outward and inward traveling waves in the wind. For physical conditions like those prevailing in the outer solar corona and wind, we find that even relatively high frequency, short wavelength waves can suffer some reflection from the gradient in Alfven speed at the vase of the flow. Among the consequences of the interaction between outward and inward directed perturbations in the sub-Alfvenic portion of the wind is a reduction in the magnitude of the time-averaged wave force relative to its value in the Wentzel-Kramer-Brillouin (WKB) (i.e., short-wavelenght) limit. As a result, the flow velocities of our models interior to the Alfven radius are smaller than those of corresponding WKB models. For models containing very low frequency, long wavelength waves, a substantial amount of wave reflection can also take place in the super-Alvenic portion of the wind. The resulting modifications to the spatial dependences of the eave magnetic and velocity amplitudes can lead to a wave force whose magnitude at large distances exceeds that of an equivalent WKB solution. Title: Angular Momentum Evolution of Late-Type Stars: A Theoretical Perspective (Invited Review) Authors: MacGregor, K. B.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 1994ASPC...64..174M Altcode: 1994csss....8..174M No abstract at ADS Title: Angular Momentum Loss from the Young Sun: Improved Wind and Dynamo Models Authors: Keppens, R.; Charbonneau, P.; MacGregor, K. B.; Brandenburg, A. Bibcode: 1994ASPC...64..193K Altcode: 1994csss....8..193K No abstract at ADS Title: Stellar Dynamos: The Rossby Number Dependence Authors: Brandenburg, A.; Charbonneau, P.; Kitchatinov, L. L.; Rudiger, G. Bibcode: 1994ASPC...64..354B Altcode: 1994csss....8..354B No abstract at ADS Title: Solar wind with non-WKB Alfvén waves Authors: Charbonneau, P.; MacGregor, K. B. Bibcode: 1994smf..conf..405C Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Modelling magnetoacoustic oscillations in sunspots: a progress report Authors: Charbonneau, P.; Cally, P. S.; Bogdan, T. J. Bibcode: 1994smf..conf..251C Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Angular Momentum Transport in Magnetized Stellar Radiative Zones. II. The Solar Spin-down Authors: Charbonneau, P.; MacGregor, K. B. Bibcode: 1993ApJ...417..762C Altcode: We present a large set of numerical calculations describing the rotational evolution of a solar-type star, in response to the torque exerted on it by a magnetically coupled wind emanating from its surface. We consider a situation where the internal redistribution of angular momentum in the radiative part of the envelope is dominated by magnetic stresses arising from the shearing of a preexisting, large-scale, poloidal magnetic field.

By assuming a time-independent poloidal magnetic field, neglecting fluid motions in meridional planes, and restricting our attention to axisymmetric systems, we reduce the spin-down problem to solving the (coupled) ψ-components of the momentum and induction equations. Nevertheless, our computations remain dynamical, in that they take into account both the generation of a toroidal magnetic field by shearing of the preexisting poloidal field, and the back-reaction of the resulting Lorentz force on the differential rotation. It becomes possible to draw, for the first time, a reasonably realistic and quantitative picture of the effects of large-scale internal magnetic fields on the main-sequence rotational evolution of solar-type stars.

We perform spin-down calculations for a standard solar model, starting from the ZAMS and extending all the way to the solar age. The wind-induced surface torque is computed using the axisymmetric formulation of Weber & Davis (1967). We consider a number of poloidal magnetic field configurations which differ both in the degree of magnetic coupling between the convective envelope and radiative core and in average strength.

The rotational evolution can be divided into three more or less distinct phases: an initial phase of toroidal field buildup in the radiative zone, lasting from a few times 104 to a few times 106 yr; a second period in which oscillations set up in the radiative zone during the first phase are damped; and a third period, lasting from an age of about 107 yr onward, characterized by a state of dynamical balance between the total stresses (magnetic + viscous) at the core-envelope interface and the wind-induced surface torque, leading to a quasistatic internal magnetic and rotational evolution.

Our results also demonstrate (1) the existence of classes of large-scale internal magnetic fields that can accommodate rapid spin-down near the ZAMS and yield a weak internal differential rotation by the solar age, (2) the importance of phase mixing in efficiently damping large-scale toroidal oscillations pervading the radiative interior at early times, (3) the near-independence of the present solar surface angular velocity on the strength and geometry (past and present) of any internal large-scale magnetic field pervading the radiative interior, and (4) the greater dependence of the present solar internal differential rotation on the overall morphology (but not on the strength) of the internal magnetic field. Title: Particle Transport and the lambda Bootis Phenomenon. II. an Accretion/Diffusion Model Authors: Turcotte, S.; Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 1993ApJ...413..376T Altcode: The surface and internal abundance evolution in a star accreting metal-depleting material from the interstellar medium are described using a set of numerical calculations. The transport model takes into account contributions from chemical separation mechanisms, rotationally induced meridional circulation, and accretion. Computations demonstrate that the maintenance of the abundance signature of the accreted materials is possible only for accretion rates larger than few 10 exp -14 solar masses/yr. Upon termination of the accretion episode, chemical separation destroys any surface abundance pattern set up earlier by accretion during the period of 10 exp 6 yr. Title: Particle Transport and the lambda Bootis Phenomenon. I. The Diffusion/Mass-Loss Model Revisited Authors: Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 1993ApJ...405..720C Altcode: In this paper, results of two-dimensional linear time-dependent particle transport calculations in a Lambda Bootis star are presented for two representative elements, titanium and calcium. These demonstrate unambiguously that the inclusion of meridional circulation in the original diffusion/mass-loss model of Lambda Bootis stars has profound consequences on the abundance evolution. More specifically, circulation prevents the appearance, at any epoch of main-sequence evolution, of the underabundance patterns characteristic of Lambda Bootis stars. This indicates that the diffusion/mass-loss model for these objects must be either abandoned or significantly modified. Caveats and possible alternatives are discussed, and a few observational tests are suggested. Title: Solar Spin-down with Internal Magnetic Fields: Erratum Authors: Charbonneau, P.; MacGregor, K. B. Bibcode: 1993ApJ...403L..87C Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Spin down of solar-type stars with internal magnetic fields Authors: Charbonneau, P.; MacGregor, K. B. Bibcode: 1993ASPC...40..464C Altcode: 1993IAUCo.137..464C; 1993ist..proc..464C No abstract at ADS Title: Chemical Separation Versus Rotation in A-Stars and F-Stars Authors: Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 1993ASPC...44..474C Altcode: 1993pvnp.conf..474C; 1993IAUCo.138..474C No abstract at ADS Title: Phase mixing and the solar spin-down. Authors: Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 1993wpst.conf..125C Altcode: After placing the spin-down problem in its solar/astrophysical context and briefly describing the simulations themselves, this paper focuses on the phase mixing mechanism in the context of the solar spin-down. Title: Solar Spin-down with Internal Magnetic Fields Authors: Charbonneau, P.; MacGregor, K. B. Bibcode: 1992ApJ...397L..63C Altcode: We investigate the rotational evolution of a solar-type star containing a large-scale poloidal magnetic field in its radiative core, in response to the torque applied to it by magnetically coupled wind. Our model takes into account both the generation of a toroidal magnetic component via shearing of the existing poloidal component by differential rotation, as well as the back-reaction on the differential rotation due to Lorentz forces associated with the toroidal field. Our computations demonstrate the existence of classes of large-scale poloidal magnetic fields allowing rapid spin-down of the surface layers shortly after the arrival on the zero-age main sequence, while producing weak internal differential rotation in the radiative core by the solar age. This indicates that the constraints brought about by rotational evolution of solar analogs in young clusters and by helioseismology are not incompatible with the existence of large-scale magnetic fields in stellar radiative interiors. The present surface solar rotation rate is also shown to be a poor indicator of the strength and geometry of hypothetical poloidal magnetic fields pervading the solar radiative interior. Title: Numerical experiments on the effects of horizontal turbulent diffusion on transport by meridional circulation Authors: Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 1992A&A...259..134C Altcode: A set of numerical experiments aimed at quantifying various aspects of the horizontal turbulence (HT) ansatz of Chaboyer and Zahn (1992) is presented. It is demonstrated that the transition to 1-D behavior for both particle and angular momentum transport occurs for horizontal Reynolds numbers RH not greater than about 1, while the effective inhibition of meridional-circulation-mediated particle transport occurs for RH not greater than about 0.01. Constraints on the HT hypothesis can also be inferred from the diffusion models for FmAm and HgMn stars. Title: Angular Momentum Transport in Magnetized Stellar Radiative Zones. I. Numerical Solutions to the Core Spin-up Model Problem Authors: Charbonneau, P.; MacGregor, K. B. Bibcode: 1992ApJ...387..639C Altcode: The present paper investigates the time evolution of the angular momentum and induced toroidal magnetic field distribution in an initially nonrotating radiative stellar envelope containing a large-scale poloidal magnetic field, following the impulsive spin-up of the underlying core. A large set of numerical calculations pertaining to monopolar, dipolar, and quadrupolar magnetic configurations, with and without density gradients across the envelope, as well as a set of solutions for which the poloidal field is only partially anchored on the core is presented. It is demonstrated that in moderate to high Reynolds-number systems, any global magnetic dissipation time scale constructed using length scales of order of the stellar radius greatly overestimates the true dissipation time scale of the toroidal magnetic component. Title: On the Evolving Role of Computational Astrophysics Authors: Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 1992JRASC..86...31C Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: A Numerical Scheme for the Modeling of Electric Current Sheet Formation in the Solar Atmosphere Authors: Charbonneau, P.; Low, B. C. Bibcode: 1992ASPC...26..531C Altcode: 1992csss....7..531C No abstract at ADS Title: Modeling Stellar Angular Momentum Evolution (Invited Review) Authors: Charbonneau, P. Bibcode: 1992ASPC...26..416C Altcode: 1992csss....7..416C No abstract at ADS Title: The Lithium Abundance in Stars Authors: Michaud, Georges; Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 1991SSRv...57....1M Altcode: 1991SSRev..57....1M The observations of Li abundances in pre-Main-Sequence, Main-Séquence (Population I and II), sub-giant, and giant stars are reviewed in order to show how Li can be used as a constraint on stellar hydrodynamics and in particular on particle transport processes in stars. Important observational results include the tight Li abundance dependence on T eff in the Hyades, the time dependence of the Li abundance below T eff = 6000 K, the presence of a Li gap at T eff = 6700 K in young clusters and the large Li abundance in some peculiar giants. The observed abundances are compared to models which include progressively more physical processes. The ‘standard’ stellar evolution model is compatible with the upper envelope of the observations in young clusters such as the Pleiades and α Per. The observed Li underabundances is then caused by Li burning on the pre-Main Sequence. The large abundance spread observed is not understood. It does not appear to be simply related to rotation since the Pleiades stars rotate more slowly but have larger Li abundances than many stars of α Per. The Li abundance gap observed in clusters is not explained by the ‘standard’ model. Models involving diffusion seem to explain it in a natural way, though meridional circulation could also be involved. Evolutionary effects and the interaction between diffusion and meridional circulation should, however, be taken more fully into account in those models. The Li abundances in giants show that additional destruction processes are involved beyond those included in the ‘standard’ evolutionary models. Meridional circulation is compatible with most of those observations, without any arbitrary parameter being adjusted. While turbulence is nearly certainly present in stars, it is poorly understood and we suggest that it should be invoked to explain only those phenomena that the better understood processes cannot explain. Its description always involves arbitrary parameters. Turbulence appears to be required to explain the Li abundances in the Sun and in G stars of the Hyades and older clusters. In halo stars, the observed Li abundance has probably been reduced from the original by a factor of 2 so that the original abundance was probably equal to log N(Li) = 2.5. More calculations are needed to better establish this value. The large Li abundances observed in some peculiar giants are not understood. Title: A Simple Accretion/Diffusion Model for lambda Bootis Stars Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 1991ApJ...372L..33C Altcode: It has recently been suggested that the peculiar abundance patterns observed in the Lambda Bootis stars could be understood in terms of accretion of gas previously depleted in metals by means of grain formation in the interstellar medium. A simple analytical model is presented, describing the evolution of elemental abundances in these stars, under the combined influence of accretion and chemical separation. The only arbitrary parameter involved is the accretion rate. A rate of order 10 to the -13th solar mass/yr is found to naturally reproduce many peculiar characteristics of Lambda Bootis stars, in particular their restriction to the spectral type range A0-F0. This lends quantitative support to the accretion hypothesis as a key component toward an understanding of the Lambda Bootis phenomenon. Title: Meridional Circulation and Diffusion in A and Early F Stars Authors: Charbonneau, Paul; Michaud, Georges Bibcode: 1991ApJ...370..693C Altcode: Time-dependent two-dimensional calculations of diffusion in the presence of meridional circulation are presented for stellar models pertaining to FmAm stars. It is shown that, once the helium superficial convection zone (HSCZ) has disappeared, the meridional circulation has little influence on chemical separation. In stars rotating too rapidly to become FmAm stars, chemical separation remains possible under the HSCZ. Meridional circulation does not completely wipe out chemical separation at these velocities, and cannot by itself lead to the abundance patterns characteristic of Lambda Booti stars. Upper limits to turbulence are set. In the presence of meridional circulation, helium settling in stars rotating at the observed cutoff for FmAm stars remains possible for values of vertical turbulent diffusion coefficients of order 1000 sq cm/s under the helium convection zone. This sets extremely tight constraints on turbulence in stars with equatorial rotational velocities of 100 km/s or less. Title: Observational study of the spiral galaxy NGC 6946 . II. H I kinematics and mass distribution. Authors: Carignan, C.; Charbonneau, P.; Boulanger, F.; Viallefond, F. Bibcode: 1990A&A...234...43C Altcode: A study of the kinematics and mass distribution of NGC 6946 is presented from Westerbork H I line observations. We find that the H I distribution is not symmetric but is more extended on the NE side compared to the SW side by about 25% in radius. The overall velocity field is fairly regular with some signs of non-circular motions associated with the optical and H I spiral arms. A well defined rotation curve is derived which is essentially flat from 4' to 10'. At larger radii, the H, runs out on the SW side. The kinematical parameters are V_sys_ = 47 km s^-1^, i = 38^deg^, and PA = 240^deg^. An analysis of the mass distribution yields a well defined ratio of dark-to-luminous matter of ~0.75 at the Holmberg radius. Title: Turbulence and the Li Abundance in Main-Sequence and Giant Stars Authors: Charbonneau, Paul; Michaud, Georges Bibcode: 1990ApJ...352..681C Altcode: Calculations of Li burning via turbulent transport are conducted to determine the extent to which observed Li abundances in first ascent giants constrain the various turbulence parameterizations used to model the main-sequence surface Li abundance evolution. A full time-dependent solution to the transport equation is performed, including nuclear reaction terms and evolutionary effects. It is found that turbulence can lead to the extreme Li underabundances observed in giants of M67 and NGC 752. Consideration is given to the possibility of using observations of Li abundances to discriminate between turbulent particle transport and meridional circulation transport. Numerical solutions of the turbulent diffusion coefficient of Vauclair (1988) is used to model the Hyades Li abundance gap. The astrophysical implications of the results for main-sequence and giant stars are discussed. Title: Modélisation numérique des processus de transport dans les enveloppes stellaires Title: Modélisation numérique des processus de transport dans les enveloppes stellaires Title: Numerical modelling of transport processes in stellar envelopes; Authors: Charbonneau, Paul Bibcode: 1990PhDT........69C Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Lithium Abundance in Cluster Giants: Constraints on Meridional Circulation Transport on the Main Sequence Authors: Charbonneau, Paul; Michaud, Georges; Proffitt, Charles R. Bibcode: 1989ApJ...347..821C Altcode: The observed Li abundances in giants are used here to constrain meridional circulation transport on the main sequence. It is shown how meridional circulation, operating over the main-sequence lifetime, can lead to Li depletion in the upper radiative envelope and eventually to extreme Li underabundance in first-ascent giants, following convective dilution on the lower giant branch. In the mass range 1.2-2.0 solar, stars with equatorial rotational velocities greater than 30-35 km/s on the ZAMS should destroy most of their Li. These result are compared to recent Li abundance determination in three moderately old clusters, NGC 7789, NGC 752, and M67. Reasonably good agreement is found with data on M67 and NGC 752, but surprising disagreement with data on NGC 7789 is found. Possible explanations are considered. Title: Transport processes on the main sequence. Authors: Charbonneau, P.; Michaud, G. Bibcode: 1989JRASC..83..296C Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Meridional Circulation and the Lithium Abundance Gap in F Stars Authors: Charbonneau, Paul; Michaud, Georges Bibcode: 1988ApJ...334..746C Altcode: The effect of meridional circulation on the time evolution of superficial abundances of helium, lithium, and beryllium in F stars is calculated in detail. It is shown that, as long as the presence of convection zones is assumed not to modify global meridional circulation patterns, the maximum equatorial rotational velocity allowing the settling of Li and He decreases rapidly with T(eff), going from 50 km/s at 7250 K to only 5 km/s at 6400 K. It is also shown that, for stars of the age of the Hyades with T(eff) less than 7000 K and rotational velocities larger than about 25 km/s, meridional circulation is rapid enough to bring to the surface matter that originally was deep enough to have been depleted of its Li through nuclear burning. Observational tests are suggested to distinguish between this scenario and the gravitational settling model or turbulent diffusion model. It is shown how the Li/Be ratio varies in the presence of transport by meridional circulation. Title: Two-dimensional Particle Transport in HgMn and FmAm Stars Authors: Charbonneau, Paul; Michaud, Georges Bibcode: 1988ApJ...327..809C Altcode: Detailed two-dimensional diffusion calculations of helium are carried out to determine the maximum equatorial rotational velocity allowing the gravitational settling of He. Once the He abundance has decreased sufficiently in the superficial convection zones, the He convection zone disappears, abundance anomalies become large, and the HgMn and FmAm phenomena appear. The limiting equatorial velocity is found to be 75 and 100 km s-1, respectively, for HgMn and FmAm stars. It depends mainly on gravity, becoming much smaller as soon as gravity goes down. The observed upper limit being ≡100 km s-1, the agreement is quite satisfactory. These results are very similar to those obtained with the one-dimensional approximation and justify the use of those results.