Author name code: toth ADS astronomy entries on 2022-09-14 author:"Toth, Gabor" ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Title: Simulation of Magnetospheric Sawtooth Oscillations: The Role of Kinetic Reconnection in the Magnetotail Authors: Wang, Xiantong; Chen, Yuxi; Tóth, Gábor Bibcode: 2022GeoRL..4999638W Altcode: Magnetospheric sawtooth oscillations are observed during strong and steady solar wind driving conditions. The simulation results of our global magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) model with embedded kinetic physics show that when the total magnetic flux carried by constant solar wind exceeds a threshold, sawtooth-like magnetospheric oscillations are generated. Different from previous works, this result is obtained without involving time-varying ionospheric outflow in the model. The oscillation period and amplitude agree well with observations. The simulated oscillations cover a wide range of local times, although the distribution of magnitude as a function of longitude is different from observations. Our comparative simulations using ideal or Hall MHD models do not produce global time-varying features, which suggests that kinetic reconnection physics in the magnetotail is a major contributing factor to sawtooth oscillations. Title: Global Magnetohydrodynamic Magnetosphere Simulation With an Adaptively Embedded Particle-In-Cell Model Authors: Wang, Xiantong; Chen, Yuxi; Tóth, Gábor Bibcode: 2022JGRA..12730091W Altcode: We perform a geomagnetic event simulation using a newly developed magnetohydrodynamic with adaptively embedded particle-in-cell (MHD-AEPIC) model. We have developed effective criteria to identify reconnection sites in the magnetotail and cover them with the PIC model. The MHD-AEPIC simulation results are compared with Hall MHD and ideal MHD simulations to study the impacts of kinetic reconnection at multiple physical scales. At the global scale, the three models produce very similar SYM-H and SuperMag Electrojet indexes, which indicates that the global magnetic field configurations from the three models are very close to each other. We also compare the ionospheric solver results and all three models generate similar polar cap potentials and field-aligned currents. At the mesoscale, we compare the simulations with in situ Geotail observations in the tail. All three models produce reasonable agreement with the Geotail observations. At the kinetic scales, the MHD-AEPIC simulation can produce a crescent shape distribution of the electron velocity space at the electron diffusion region, which agrees very well with MMS observations near a tail reconnection site. These electron scale kinetic features are not available in either the Hall MHD or ideal MHD models. Overall, the MHD-AEPIC model compares well with observations at all scales, it works robustly, and the computational cost is acceptable due to the adaptive adjustment of the PIC domain. It remains to be determined whether kinetic physics can play a more significant role in other types of events, including but not limited to substorms. Title: SOFIE (Solar-wind with Field-lines and Energetic-particles): A data-driven and self-consistent SEP modeling and forecasting tool Authors: Zhao, Lulu; Manchester, Ward, IV; Sokolov, Igor; Van der Holst, Bart; Toth, Gabor; Tenishev, Valeriy; Gombosi, Tamas; Mays, M. Leila; Huang, Zhenguang; Whitman, Kathryn; Sachdeva, Nishtha Bibcode: 2022cosp...44.1190Z Altcode: We present a data-driven and self-consistent SEP model, SOFIE, to simulate the acceleration and transport processes of energetic particles using the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) developed at the University of Michigan. In this model, the background solar wind plasma in the solar corona and interplanetary space is modeled by the Alfven Wave Solar-atmosphere Model(-Realtime) (AWSoM(-R)), which is driven by the near-real-time hourly updated GONG (bihourly ADAPT-GONG) magnetogram. In the background solar wind, the CMEs are launched employing the Eruptive Event Generator using Gibson-Low configuration (EEGGL), by inserting a flux rope estimated from the free magnetic energy in the active region. The acceleration and transport processes are then modeled self-consistently by the multiple magnetic field line tracker (M-FLAMPA) and the Adaptive Mesh Particle Simulator (AMPS). We will demonstrate the capability of SOFIE to demystify the acceleration processes by the CME-driven shock in the low corona and the modulation of energetic particles by the solar wind structures. Besides, using selected historical SEP events, e.g. 2013 Apr 11 event, we will illustrate the progresses toward a faster-than-real-time prediction of SEPs. Title: The helicity sign of flux transfer events flux ropes and its relationship to the guide field and Hall physics in magnetic reconnection at the magnetopause Authors: Dahani, Souhail; Toth, Gabor; Cassak, . Paul; Fear, Robert; Burch, James; Giles, . Barbara; Genot, Vincent; Lavraud, Benoit; Torbert, Roy; Gershman, Dan; Chen, Yuxi; Kieokaew, Rungployphan; Fargette, Naïs; Marchaudon, Aurelie Bibcode: 2022cosp...44.1618D Altcode: Flux Transfer Events (FTEs) are transient magnetic flux ropes typically found at the Earth's magnetopause on the dayside. While it is known that FTEs are generated by magnetic reconnection, it remains unclear how the details of magnetic reconnection controls their properties. A recent study showed that the helicity sign of the FTEs positively correlates with the east-west (By) component of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF). With data from the Cluster and Magnetospheric MultiScale missions, we performed a statistical study of 166 quasi force-free FTEs. We focus on their helicity sign and possible correlations with upstream solar wind conditions and local magnetic reconnection properties. Using both in situ data and the Maximum Magnetic Shear model, we find that FTEs whose helicity sign positively correlates with the IMF By show moderate magnetic shears while those uncorrelated to the IMF By have higher magnetic shears. We propose that for small IMF By, which corresponds to high shear and low guide field, the Hall pattern of magnetic reconnection determines the FTE core field and helicity sign. This work highlights a fundamental connection between the kinetic processes at work in magnetic reconnection and the macroscale structure of FTEs. Title: Can Physics-Based SWx Models Predict Space Weather Variations? Authors: Gombosi, Tamas; Manchester, Ward, IV; Sokolov, Igor; Van der Holst, Bart; Toth, Gabor; Huang, Zhenguang; Zhao, Lulu; Sachdeva, Nishtha; Wang, Xiantong Bibcode: 2022cosp...44.3217G Altcode: Over the space age, we have accumulated extensive knowledge of the regions of space surrounding the Earth and the Sun, and the governing physical processes controlling space weather in these regions. However, this knowledge has not been translated into an operational forecast capability. By combining our expertise in space weather modeling and data science/machine learning we can not only address the "holy grail" of space weather prediction and extend the forecast horizon from minutes to days, but also transition the results to space weather operations. The current space weather predictive capabilities are either short term and/or not accurate and reliable. How can we forecast the severity of the terrestrial impact (geo-effectiveness) of solar storms? When an active region on the Sun will produce eruptions, and how large these will be? We only learn about the magnetic field and exact timing at the L1 point (about 1 million miles away) when the eruption reaches the ACE or DSCOVR satellites, which provides only a 20 minute to 1 hour forecast time, depending on the CME speed. We initiated a research program that aims to answer these questions using a unique combination of modeling, computation, and massive amounts of space weather data collected by satellites that will be used to train state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms. Title: NOAA SWPC's Operational Geospace Model: Assessing and Improving Performance Authors: Singer, Howard; Millward, George; Toth, Gabor; Huang, Zhenguang; Cash, Michele; Balch, Christopher; Camporeale, Enrico; Adamson, Eric Bibcode: 2022cosp...44.3445S Altcode: Since 2016, in the United States, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) has been continuously running an operational Geospace model. The coupled model developed at the University of Michigan, and part of their Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF), is driven by solar wind observations measured at L1 to provide short-term regional predictions of magnetic variations in space and at Earth's surface. The surface magnetic variations, when combined with Earth conductivity models, can be used to model geoelectric fields that drive geomagnetically induced currents (GICs) in long-line conductors such as power grids. The model is an important tool, useful for predicting space weather impacts on the power grids--one of societies top priority space weather problems. In this presentation, we will describe the continuous activities needed to assess model performance and to validate and improve model skill to more accurately determine regional activity that supports space weather customers. We will discuss the processes within NOAA for model upgrades as well as current model performance, pathways for future improvements and the challenges for both the research and operational communities. Title: Magnetospheric storm and substorm simulations using the MHD with Adaptively Embedded Particle-in-Cell (MHD-AEPIC) model Authors: Toth, Gabor; Wang, Xiantong; Chen, Yuxi Bibcode: 2022cosp...44.1725T Altcode: The Magnetohydrodynamic with Embedded Particle-In-Cell (MHD-EPIC) model has been developed and applied successfully to Earth, Mercury, Mars and Ganymede magnetosphere simulations. While MHD-EPIC is many orders of magnitude faster than a fully kinetic global model, it can become prohibitively slow if the potential region of interest where kinetic phenomena, such as magnetic reconnection, can occur is large. This is due to the fact that the PIC domain in MHD-EPIC is restricted to a set of static Cartesian boxes. For example, a very large PIC box would be needed to accommodate the flapping motion of the magnetotail current sheet during a geomagnetic storm simulation. To tackle this problem, we have developed a new MHD with Adaptively Embedded Particle-In-Cell (MHD-AEPIC) model. MHD-AEPIC inherits all numerical algorithms from MHD-EPIC and incorporates a new adaptive PIC model, the Flexible Kinetic Simulator (FLEKS). FLEKS allows the PIC cells to be activated and deactivated during a simulation. The coupling between the MHD model and the adaptive PIC grid has been developed and implemented into the Space Weather Modeling Framework. We have also developed physics-based criteria to identify potential reconnection sites, which makes the adaptation fully automatic. In this work, we apply the new MHD-AEPIC model to geomagnetic storm and substorm simulations and demonstrate how adaptation makes this simulation feasible. In particular, we demonstrate that MHD-AEPIC is capable of reproducing global sawtooth oscillations as well as electron-scale physics. Title: Michigan Sun-to-Earth Model with Data Assimilation and Quantified Uncertainty Authors: Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 2022cosp...44.3440T Altcode: As part of the Space Weather with Quantified Uncertainty NSF program, we have been developing the Michigan Sun-to-Earth Model with Data Assimilation and Quantified Uncertainty (MSTEM-QUDA). The main goal of the project is to provide useful probabilistic forecast of major space weather events about 24 hours before the geospace impact occurs. We are using the first-principles models in the Space Weather Modeling Framework in combination with uncertainty quantification and data assimilation. Using sophisticated experimental design and fully automated scripts, we have performed about a thousand simulations with our solar corona and heliosphere model generating steady state solar wind solutions and coronal mass ejections. Based on these simulations, we have performed the uncertainty quantification analysis. One important finding is that the physically meaningful range of the background solar wind model parameters depends on the solar cycle. Our CME simulations show reasonably good arrival times and velocity structures. While the amplitude of the magnetic field is similar to the observations, the temporal profiles are challenging to match. Data assimilation provides an opportunity to improve the predictions. We are using in-situ observations at L1 prior to the CME and coronal while-light image observations right after the eruption to find the optimal parameters for the ensemble simulations. To make ensemble simulations feasible, the model should take advantage of GPUs. We have already ported the Geospace model, a large part of MSTEM-QUDA, to run efficiently on a GPU. The operational Geospace model can run on a single GPU significantly faster than real time at the same speed as using about 100 CPU cores. The Michigan Sun-to-Earth Model is available as an open-source distribution at https://github.com/MSTEM-QUDA to the entire community. Title: Global Driving of Auroral Precipitation: 1. Balance of Sources Authors: Mukhopadhyay, Agnit; Welling, Daniel; Liemohn, Michael; Ridley, Aaron; Burleigh, Meghan; Wu, Chen; Zou, Shasha; Connor, Hyunju; Vandegriff, Elizabeth; Dredger, Pauline; Tóth, Gabor Bibcode: 2022JGRA..12730323M Altcode: The accurate determination of auroral precipitation in global models has remained a daunting and rather inexplicable obstacle. Understanding the calculation and balance of multiple sources that constitute the aurora, and their eventual conversion into ionospheric electrical conductance, is critical for improved prediction of space weather events. In this study, we present a semi-physical global modeling approach that characterizes contributions by four types of precipitation—monoenergetic, broadband, electron, and ion diffuse—to ionospheric electrodynamics. The model uses a combination of adiabatic kinetic theory and loss parameters derived from historical energy flux patterns to estimate auroral precipitation from magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) quantities. It then converts them into ionospheric conductance that is used to compute the ionospheric feedback to the magnetosphere. The model has been employed to simulate the 5-7 April 2010 Galaxy15 space weather event. Comparison of auroral fluxes show good agreement with observational data sets like NOAA-DMSP and OVATION Prime. The study shows a dominant contribution by electron diffuse precipitation, accounting for ∼74% of the auroral energy flux. However, contributions by monoenergetic and broadband sources dominate during times of active upstream solar conditions, providing for up to 61% of the total hemispheric power. The study also finds a greater role played by broadband precipitation in ionospheric electrodynamics which accounts for ∼31% of the Pedersen conductance. Title: MHD simulation of solar wind interaction with Mars and comparison with MAVEN observations Authors: Ma, Yingjuan; Luhmann, Janet G.; Russell, C. T.; Nagy, Andrew; Toth, Gabor; Fang, Xiaohua Bibcode: 2022cosp...44..936M Altcode: Since Mars has no global intrinsic magnetic field, the solar wind plasma interacts with the Martian upper atmosphere/ionosphere in a more direct manner. Therefore, it is important to incorporate ionospheric processes into global interaction models so that ionospheric responses/changes can be captured self-consistently. There are two well-known numerical challenges in modeling the global interaction of the solar wind with Mars: 1) resolve the ionospheric structure with sufficient radial resolution; and 2) include the effect of the Martian crustal field. Various missions to Mars, especially the ongoing MAVEN mission, provide excellent datasets to improve our understanding of solar wind interactions with Mars and to validate numerical models of Mars. In this presentation, we will discuss some recent advances in MHD modeling efforts, including time dependent MHD, multi-fluid MHD, multi-fluid MHD with electronic pressure equations, and global MHD with embedded PIC model, and the comparison with spacecraft observation. Title: MSWIM2D: Two-dimensional Outer Heliosphere Solar Wind Modeling Authors: Keebler, Timothy B.; Tóth, Gábor; Zieger, Bertalan; Opher, Merav Bibcode: 2022ApJS..260...43K Altcode: The vast size of the Sun's heliosphere, combined with sparse spacecraft measurements over that large domain, makes numerical modeling a critical tool to predict solar wind conditions where there are no measurements. This study models the solar wind propagation in 2D using the BATSRUS MHD solver to form the MSWIM2D data set of solar wind in the outer heliosphere. Representing the solar wind from 1 to 75 au in the ecliptic plane, a continuous model run from 1995-present has been performed. The results are available for free at http://csem.engin.umich.edu/mswim2d/. The web interface extracts output at desired locations and times. In addition to solar wind ions, the model includes neutrals coming from the interstellar medium to reproduce the slowing of the solar wind in the outer heliosphere and to extend the utility of the model to larger radial distances. The inclusion of neutral hydrogen is critical to recreating the solar wind accurately outside of ~4 au. The inner boundary is filled by interpolating and time-shifting in situ observations from L1 and STEREO spacecraft when available. Using multiple spacecraft provides a more accurate boundary condition than a single spacecraft with time shifting alone. Validations of MSWIM2D are performed using MAVEN and New Horizons observations. The results demonstrate the efficacy of this model to propagate the solar wind to large distances and obtain practical, useful solar wind predictions. For example, the rms error of solar wind speed prediction at Mars is only 66 km s-1 and at Pluto is a mere 25 km s-1. Title: Energy-momentum tensor and duality symmetry of linearized gravity in the Fierz formalism Authors: Tóth, Gábor Zsolt Bibcode: 2022CQGra..39g5003T Altcode: 2021arXiv210802124T A formulation of linearized gravity in flat background, based on the Fierz tensor as a counterpart of the electromagnetic field strength, is discussed in detail and used to study fundamental properties of the linearized gravitational field. In particular, the linearized Einstein equations are written as first order partial differential equations in terms of the Fierz tensor, in analogy with the first order Maxwell equations. An energy-momentum tensor $({{T}_{\mathrm{lg}}}^{ab})$ with favourable properties and exhibiting remarkable similarity to the standard energy-momentum tensor of the electromagnetic field is found for the linearized gravitational field. ${{T}_{\mathrm{lg}}}^{ab}$ is quadratic in the Fierz tensor (which is constructed from the first derivatives of the linearized metric), traceless, and satisfies the dominant energy condition in a gauge that contains the transverse traceless (TT) gauge. It is further shown that in suitable gauges, including the TT gauge, linearized gravity in the absence of matter has a duality symmetry that maps the Fierz tensor, which is antisymmetric in its first two indices, into its dual. Conserved currents associated with the gauge and duality symmetries of linearized gravity are also determined. These currents show good analogy with the corresponding currents in electrodynamics. Title: AWSoM Magnetohydrodynamic Simulation of a Solar Active Region with Realistic Spectral Synthesis Authors: Shi, Tong; Manchester, Ward, IV; Landi, Enrico; van der Holst, Bart; Szente, Judit; Chen, Yuxi; Tóth, Gábor; Bertello, Luca; Pevtsov, Alexander Bibcode: 2022ApJ...928...34S Altcode: For the first time, we simulate the detailed spectral line emission from a solar active region (AR) with the Alfvén Wave Solar Model (AWSoM). We select an AR appearing near disk center on 2018 July 13 and use the National Solar Observatory's Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager synoptic magnetogram to specify the magnetic field at the model's inner boundary. To resolve small-scale magnetic features, we apply adaptive mesh refinement with a horizontal spatial resolution of 0°.35 (4.5 Mm), four times higher than the background corona. We then apply the SPECTRUM code, using CHIANTI spectral emissivities, to calculate spectral lines forming at temperatures ranging from 0.5 to 3 MK. Comparisons are made between the simulated line intensities and those observed by Hinode/Extreme-ultraviolet Imaging Spectrometer where we find close agreement across a wide range of loop sizes and temperatures (about 20% relative error for both the loop top and footpoints at a temperature of about 1.5 MK). We also simulate and compare Doppler velocities and find that simulated flow patterns are of comparable magnitude to what is observed. Our results demonstrate the broad applicability of the low-frequency AWSoM for explaining the heating of coronal loops. Title: The Solar Wind with Hydrogen Ion Exchange and Large-scale Dynamics (SHIELD) Code: A Self-consistent Kinetic-Magnetohydrodynamic Model of the Outer Heliosphere Authors: Michael, A. T.; Opher, M.; Tóth, G.; Tenishev, V.; Borovikov, D. Bibcode: 2022ApJ...924..105M Altcode: Neutral hydrogen has been shown to greatly impact the plasma flow in the heliosphere and the location of the heliospheric boundaries. We present the results of the Solar Wind with Hydrogen Ion Exchange and Large-scale Dynamics (SHIELD) model, a new, self-consistent, kinetic-MHD model of the outer heliosphere within the Space Weather Modeling Framework. The charge exchange mean free path is on the order of the size of the heliosphere; therefore, the neutral atoms cannot be described as a fluid. The numerical code SHIELD couples the MHD solution for a single plasma fluid to the kinetic solution for neutral hydrogen atoms streaming through the system. The kinetic code is based on the Adaptive Mesh Particle Simulator, a Monte Carlo method for solving the Boltzmann equation. The numerical code SHIELD accurately predicts the increased filtration of interstellar neutrals into the heliosphere. In order to verify the correct implementation within the model, we compare the results of the numerical code SHIELD to those of other, well-established kinetic-MHD models. The numerical code SHIELD matches the neutral hydrogen solution of these studies as well as the shift in all heliospheric boundaries closer to the Sun in comparison with the multi-fluid treatment of neutral hydrogen atoms. Overall the numerical code SHIELD shows excellent agreement with these models and is a significant improvement to the fluid treatment of interstellar hydrogen. Title: Effect of different simulation configurations on the prediction performance of the Space Weather Modeling Framework on ground magnetic perturbations Authors: Kwagala, Norah; Tenfjord, Paul; Norgren, Cecilia; Hesse, Michael; Moretto Jorgensen, Therese; Toth, Gabor; Kolsto, Hakon; Fl Spinnangr, Susanne; Perez-Coll Jimenez, Judit; Kuniyoshi, Hidetaka Bibcode: 2021AGUFMSH55C1850K Altcode: This study investigates how different simulation configurations of the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) affect the predicted magnetic perturbations (dB and dB/dt) on the ground. The SWMF configurations investigated include numerical integration schemes and grid resolutions. Different simulations of two historic geomagnetic storms are studied: the extreme activity halloween storm on 29 October 2003 and a relatively low activity storm on 31 August 2001. Our region of investigation is the northern hemisphere above 50 degrees magnetic latitude using all 88 available geomagnetic ground stations provided by the superMAG network. The performance of the model predictions with the different parameter settings is compared using different metrics including the normalised root mean square error, correlation coefficient, probability of detection, probability of false detection, Heidke skill score, and frequency bias. Title: A Predictive Geoelectric Field Model: Development, Results, and Challenges Authors: Singer, Howard; Balch, Christopher; Camporeale, Enrico; Adamson, Eric; Millward, George; Cash, Michele; Toth, Gabor; Huang, Zhenguang; Kelbert, Anna; Rigler, Erin Bibcode: 2021AGUFMSM41A..02S Altcode: Historically, there are numerous documented examples of geomagnetic storms causing geomagnetically induced currents (GICs) in power grids resulting in power outages, service disruption, and impacts on routine operations. As a result, space weather impacts on the power grids are one of the top priority problems in today's society. To address this problem, NOAAs Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) has provided products and services that forecast, warn, and alert power grid operators of impending geomagnetic storms. However, during a meeting with grid operators in 2011, nowcasts and forecasts of the surface geoelectric field were identified as the key input needed for determining GICs since the regional geoelectric field can be used as input to power grid system models for determining the level of geomagnetically induced currents. SWPC, working with our partners has addressed this problem by: 1) working with the University of Michigan in 2016 to transition into operations a Geospace Model that was driven by solar wind observations at L1 to provide short-term regional predictions of magnetic variations at Earths surface that drive the geoelectric field; and 2) working with partners at the US Geological Survey (USGS) in 2020 to introduce a near real-time Geoelectric Model that used ground-based magnetometer data from the USGS and Natural Resources Canada (NRCan), along with a 3D empirical ground conductivity model, to estimate the regional geoelectric field in the US. Then, in June 2021, instead of using near-real time ground observed magnetic field data to drive the geoelectric model, we use predicted magnetic fields from the Geospace Model to drive the Geoelectric Model in a predictive mode. In this presentation, we show the first results from the coupled Geospace/Geoelectric model that can provide short-term predictions of the regional geoelectric field to support power grid operators. First results indicate that the model does surprisingly well at predicting the more slowly varying geoelectric field (many minutes); however, as expected, the model does not do as well with minute-by-minute variations. In addition to showing these results, we discuss model limitations, next steps towards producing useful geoelectric products, and the challenges for the research community to improve geoelectric forecasting. Title: Simulating the dawn-dusk asymmetry of Mercurys magnetotail reconnection with MHD-AEPIC model Authors: Chen, Yuxi; Jia, Xianzhe; Toth, Gabor; Dong, Chuanfei; Sun, Weijie; Slavin, James; Li, Changkun; Wang, Xiantong Bibcode: 2021AGUFMSM55C1788C Altcode: Since the kinetic scales of Mercury's magnetospheric plasma can be comparable to Mercury's radius, kinetic effects play an important role in Mercury's magnetosphere. Chen et al. (2019) studied the dawn-dusk asymmetries of Mercurys magnetotail using the magnetohydrodynamics with embedded particle-in-cell (MHD-EPIC) simulations, and showed the asymmetries of the tail current-sheet thickness, plasma density and electron pressure clearly. The MHD-EPIC simulations also show the asymmetries of reconnection products, the dipolarization events and planetward reconnection jets, but the asymmetries are less obvious than MESSENGER observations. To further explore the physics behind the reconnection asymmetries, we use the newly developed MHD with adaptively embedded particle-in-cell (MHD-AEPIC) model to simulate Mercurys magnetotail dynamics. The MHD-AEPIC model supports a PIC region of any shape so that Mercurys inner magnetosphere can be also covered by the PIC code. Compared to Chen et al. (2019), the larger PIC region in the MHD-AEPIC model allows us to study the evolution of the dipolarization events and reconnection jets after they penetrate into the inner magnetosphere. Since the ion-electron mass ratio may be crucial for the dawn-dusk asymmetries, we will examine its role by varying this model parameter in a series of simulations. Title: Predicting the Optimal Poynting Flux for Different Solar Activity Conditions for Realtime Solar Wind Prediction Authors: Huang, Zhenguang; Toth, Gabor; Gombosi, Tamas; Sachdeva, Nishtha; Zhao, Lulu; Manchester, Ward; van der Holst, Bart; Sokolov, Igor Bibcode: 2021AGUFMSH45D2395H Altcode: Its critical to have an accurate solar wind background in the inner heliosphere for space weather prediction, from the arrival of Corotating Interaction Regions (CIRs), to the Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs), and Solar Energetic Particles (SEPs). In the space weather community, there are two major approaches to predict the solar wind background: one uses empirical or semi-empirical models, e.g., the Wang-Sheeley-Arge (WSA) model; the other is based on first-principles model, e.g., the Alfven Wave Solar atmosphere Model (AWSoM) developed at the University of Michigan. In the past, it was difficult for physics models to perform real-time solar wind predictions, because the computational cost is much higher for physics-based models than for empirical or semi-empirical models, and the optimal input parameters could be different for different solar rotations in which case the user would need to run the model with different input parameters to best predict the solar wind. Nowadays, the computational cost is not a big issue as super computers are much more powerful than before. The remaining issue is that the input parameters could vary. In real-time solar wind prediction, it is necessary to have optimal input parameters in advance. In this presentation, we study the relation between one of the most important parameters for AWSoM, the Poynting flux at the inner boundary, and the magnetic field structure of the solar corona. We obtain the optimal Poynting flux value for nine Carrington rotations in the last solar cycle and correlate it with various characteristics of the solar magnetic field, such as open flux, area of coronal holes, etc.. The preliminary results are encouraging, and suggest that the optimal parameter can be estimated from the magnetograms. Title: SOFIE (Solar-wind with Field-lines and Energetic-particles): A data-driven and self-consistent SEP modeling and forecasting tool Authors: Zhao, Lulu; Sokolov, Igor; Gombosi, Tamas; Tenishev, Valeriy; Huang, Zhenguang; Toth, Gabor; Sachdeva, Nishtha; Manchester, Ward; van der Holst, Bart Bibcode: 2021AGUFMSH55F1900Z Altcode: We present a data-driven and self-consistent SEP model, SOFIE, to simulate the acceleration and transport processes of energetic particles using the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). In this model, the background solar wind plasma in the solar corona and interplanetary space are modeled by the Alfven Wave Solar-atmosphere Model(-Realtime) (AWSoM(-R)) driven by the near-real-time hourly updated GONG (bihourly ADAPT-GONG) magnetograms. In the background solar wind, the CMEs are launched employing the Eruptive Event Generator using Gibson-Low configuration (EEGGL), by inserting a flux rope estimated from the free magnetic energy in the active region. The acceleration and transport processes are then modeled self-consistently by the multiple magnetic field line tracker (M-FLAMPA) and the Adaptive Mesh Particle Simulator (AMPS). We will demonstrate the capability of SOFIE to demystify the acceleration processes by the CME-driven shock in the low corona and the modulation of energetic particles by the solar wind structures. Besides, using selected historical SEP events, e.g. 2013 Apr 11 event, we will illustrate the progresses toward a faster-than-real-time prediction of SEPs. Title: 2D Michigan Solar Wind Propagation Model for the Outer Heliosphere Authors: Keebler, Timothy; Toth, Gabor; Opher, Merav; Zieger, Bertalan Bibcode: 2021AGUFMSH25C2105K Altcode: Modeling of the solar wind propagation through the Outer Heliosphere is critical for comparison with limited spacecraft data and to fill in an area with sparse in-situ observations. Following the MSWiM one-dimensional solar wind advection model, the Michigan Solar WInd Model in 2D (MSWIM2D) is presented to improve solar wind representation for the outer heliosphere in the ecliptic plane. This model is driven using data from observatories at the first Earth-Sun Lagrangian point, as well as the STEREO spacecraft, to fill the inner boundary at 1 AU. By time-shifting the point observations and interpolating between multiple observatories, the entire inner boundary of Earth's orbit can be constantly populated by solar wind observations, permitting the driving of a 2D model. Interstellar neutrals are also included to interact with the solar wind, extending the model utility to larger radial distances. Validation at Mars using MAVEN data shows good agreement, and validation at New Horizons is presented here to assess model performance over longer propagations. The model output is publicly accessible for use by the broader planetary and heliospheric community, available at http://csem.engin.umich.edu/mswim2d. This interface allows interpolation of the model results along user-defined trajectories at one hour output cadence. Timeseries along the trajectories can be created between 1995 and 2020, and include solar wind density, vector velocity, vector magnetic field, and ion temperature. Title: A comparison of heliotail configurations arising from different treatments of non-ideal MHD effects with ENA maps at IBEX energies Authors: Kornbleuth, Marc; Opher, Merav; Baliukin, Igor; Dayeh, Maher; Zirnstein, Eric; Gkioulidou, Matina; Dialynas, Kostas; Galli, Andre; Richardson, John; Izmodenov, Vladislav; Zank, Gary; Fuselier, Stephen A.; Michael, Adam; Toth, Gabor; Tenishev, Valeriy; Alexashov, Dmitry; Drake, James Bibcode: 2021AGUFMSH21B..02K Altcode: The role of the solar magnetic field in the heliosheath has long been considered passive, but recent studies indicate it may play an active role in collimating the heliosheath plasma into two lobes at high latitudes. We compare results from two MHD models, the BU and Moscow models, which treat non-ideal MHD effects differently. The BU model allows for magnetic reconnection at the heliopause between the solar and interstellar magnetic fields, while the Moscow model does not allow for direct communication between the solar wind and interstellar medium. We use the same boundary conditions, 22-year averaged solar cycle conditions from 1995 to 2017. An important result is that both models show that the plasma in the heliosheath and heliotail is confined by the solar magnetic field in two lobes. The plasma solutions in the nose of the heliosphere are similar. However, the Moscow model displays a long, thousands of AU comet-like tail whereas the BU model shows the heliotail is shortened to about 400 AU where the interstellar medium flows between the two lobes. The ENA maps from the two models show both qualitative and quantitative agreement at IBEX energies, despite the different configurations of the heliotail. The modeled ENA maps agree qualitatively, but not quantitatively, with IBEX ENA observations. At higher energies the ENA maps from the two models differ, so higher energy ENA data (from INCA or IMAP) may be able to determine which model heliotail best fits the data. Title: Magnetosphere Energy Dynamics in 3D, Comparison to the Virial Theorem and Quantification of Macro Scale Dynamics During a Simulated Storm Event Authors: Brenner, Austin; Pulkkinen, Tuija; Al Shidi, Qusai; Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 2021AGUFMSM35C1984B Altcode: Ground magnetic perturbations are due to dynamics within the magnetosphere ionosphere system as well as coupling with the solar wind. Global simulation is well suited to study the entire system at once with self-consistent physics. In this work the magnetopause location is identified from Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) output at 1min cadence for a simulated event to a fixed downstream distance. Preliminary results of total energy integrated over the magnetosphere volume correlates well with Disturbance Storm Time (DST) index (attached figure). Following up on the initial results the magnetosphere volume is analyzed for spatial distribution of energy in terms of total energy, as well as hydrodynamic energy and magnetic energy. The relative contribution to magnetic perturbation at the Earth's center is determined for subregions and energy types using the Biot-Savart law and Virial Theorem. Comparisons with in situ and ground based observations are made to identify areas of high and low simulation confidence. Title: AWSoM MHD simulation of a solar active region with realistic spectral synthesis Authors: Manchester, Ward; Shi, Tong; Landi, Enrico; Szente, Judit; van der Holst, Bart; Chen, Yuxi; Toth, Gabor; Bertello, Luca; Pevtsov, Alexander Bibcode: 2021AGUFMSH12B..02M Altcode: For the first time, we simulate the detailed spectral line emission from a solar active region (AR) with the Alfven Wave Solar Model (AWSoM). We select an active region appearing near disk center on 2018 July 13 and use an NSO-HMI synoptic magnetogram to specify the magnetic field at the model's inner boundary. To resolve smaller-scale magnetic features, we apply adaptive mesh refinement to resolve the AR with a spatial resolution of 0.37 degrees, four times higher than the background corona. We then apply the SPECTRUM code informed with Chianti spectral emissivities to calculate more than a dozen spectral lines forming at temperatures ranging from 0.5 to 3+ MK. Comparisons are made between these simulated line profiles and those observed by the Hinode/EIS instrument where we find close agreement (within a 20% margin of error of peak intensity) across a wide range of loop sizes and temperatures. We also compare the differential emission measure calculated from both the simulation and EIS observation to further show the model's ability to capture the plasma temperature and density. Finally, we simulate and compare Doppler velocities and find that simulated flow patterns to be of comparable magnitude to what is observed. Our results demonstrate the broad applicability of the low-frequency Alfven wave balanced turbulence theory for explaining the heating of coronal loops. Title: Magnetohydrodynamic with Adaptively Embedded Particle-in-Cell model: MHD-AEPIC Authors: Shou, Yinsi; Tenishev, Valeriy; Chen, Yuxi; Toth, Gabor; Ganushkina, Natalia Bibcode: 2021JCoPh.44610656S Altcode: 2021arXiv210805425S Space plasma simulations have seen an increase in the use of magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) with embedded Particle-in-Cell (PIC) models. This combined MHD-EPIC algorithm simulates some regions of interest using the kinetic PIC method while employing the MHD description in the rest of the domain. The MHD models are highly efficient and their fluid descriptions are valid for most part of the computational domain, thus making large-scale global simulations feasible.

However, in practical applications, the regions where the kinetic effects are critical can be changing, appearing, disappearing and moving in the computational domain. If a static PIC region is used, this requires a much larger PIC domain than actually needed, which can increase the computational cost dramatically.

To address the problem, we have developed a new method that is able to dynamically change the region of the computational domain where a PIC model is applied. We have implemented this new MHD with Adaptively Embedded PIC (MHD-AEPIC) algorithm using the BATS-R-US Hall MHD and the Adaptive Mesh Particle Simulator (AMPS) as the semi-implicit PIC models. We describe the algorithm and present a test case of two merging flux ropes to demonstrate its accuracy. The implementation uses dynamic allocation/deallocation of memory and load balancing for efficient parallel execution. We evaluate the performance of MHD-AEPIC compared to MHD-EPIC and the scaling properties of the model to large number of computational cores. Title: Dependence of Mercurys magnetopause reconnection on the upstream conditions: 3D Hall-MHD simulations Authors: Li, Changkun; Jia, Xianzhe; Chen, Yuxi; Zhou, Hongyang; Toth, Gabor; Slavin, James; Sun, Weijie Bibcode: 2021AGUFM.P24B..03L Altcode: Observations from NASAs MESSENGER spacecraft reveal that Mercury has a miniature magnetosphere arising from the interaction of its intrinsic dipole field with the inner heliosphere solar wind. Compared to the terrestrial magnetosphere, Mercurys magnetosphere appears to be more dynamic in that the global timescales for plasma and magnetic flux circulation are much shorter, and the dayside magnetopause reconnection occurs at higher rates and under a wider range of magnetic shear angles. As a product of multiple X-line reconnection, flux transfer events (FTEs) are found to arise much more frequently with an occurrence rate of about 50 times higher than that detected at Earth. MESSENGER observations suggest that the different upstream solar wind conditions are likely the cause for large differences in reconnection-driven dynamics between Mercurys magnetosphere and Earths. In order to understand how reconnection rate and the characteristics of resultant FTEs vary with the upstream conditions, we have employed the BATSRUS Hall-MHD model with a high-resolution grid to simulate Mercurys magnetopause dynamics under a wide range of upstream solar wind and IMF conditions. Flux ropes are found to form due to multiple X-line reconnection in all our time-dependent Hall MHD simulations under fixed wind conditions, but their properties, such as occurrence rate and spatial scale, vary depending on the upstream parameters. We have developed automated techniques to identify and analyze FTEs in our simulations. The results of our analyses are compared directly with MESSENGER observations (e.g., Sun et al. 2020) and the comparison yields generally good agreement in terms of FTE spatial size, occurrence frequency, flux content, etc. The carefully designed Hall-MHD simulations allow us to examine how the properties of FTEs depend on parameters such as the solar wind Alfvenic Mach number, IMF orientation, and the magnetosheath plasma . With the global model, we also evaluate the global reconnection rate and the contribution of FTEs to the global circulation of magnetic flux at Mercury and how these properties vary in response to changes in the external conditions. Title: A Turbulent Heliosheath Driven by Rayleigh Taylor Instability Authors: Opher, Merav; Drake, James; Zank, Gary; Toth, Gabor; Powell, Erick; Kornbleuth, Marc; Florinski, Vladimir; Izmodenov, Vladislav; Giacalone, Joe; Fuselier, Stephen A.; Dialynas, Kostas; Loeb, Abraham; Richardson, John Bibcode: 2021AGUFMSH21B..06O Altcode: The heliosphere is the bubble formed by the solar wind as it interacts with the interstellar medium (ISM). Studies show that the solar magnetic field funnels the heliosheath solar wind (the shocked solar wind at the edge of the heliosphere) into two jet-like structures (1-2). Magnetohydrodynamic simulations show that these heliospheric jets become unstable as they move down the heliotail (1-3) and drive large-scale turbulence. However, the mechanism that produces of this turbulence had not been identified. Here we show that the driver of the turbulence is the Rayleigh-Taylor (RT) instability caused by the interaction of neutral H atoms streaming from the ISM with the ionized matter in the heliosheath (HS). The drag between the neutral and ionized matter acts as an effective gravity which causes a RT instability to develop along the axis of the HS magnetic field. A density gradient exists perpendicular to this axis due to the confinement of the solar wind by the solar magnetic field. The characteristic time scale of the instability depends on the neutral H density in the ISM and for typical values the growth rate is ~ 3 years. The instability destroys the coherence of the heliospheric jets and magnetic reconnection ensues, allowing ISM material to penetrate the heliospheric tail. Signatures of this instability should be observable in Energetic Neutral Atom (ENA) maps from future missions such as IMAP (4). The turbulence driven by the instability is macroscopic and potentially has important implications for particle acceleration. Title: Geomagnetic storm event simulation using a global MHD with Adaptively Embedded Particle-In-Cell (MHD-AEPIC) model Authors: Wang, Xiantong; Chen, Yuxi; Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 2021AGUFMSM42C..09W Altcode: The MHD with Embedded Particle-In-Cell (MHD-EPIC) model has been successfully applied to Earth, Mercury, Mars and Ganymede magnetosphere simulations to study reconnection physics in a global context. However, the PIC region in MHD-EPIC is restricted to be a Cartesian box, which is not flexible enough to cover the whole domain of interest due to massive computational cost. For example, a very large PIC box would be needed to accommodate the flapping motion of the magnetotail current sheet during a geomagnetic storm simulation. To tackle this problem, we have developed a new MHD with Adaptively Embedded Particle-In-Cell (MHD-AEPIC) model that inherits all numerical algorithms from MHD-EPIC, and also accommodates an adaptive PIC grid that allows PIC cells to be turned on and off during the simulation. We have also developed physics-based criteria for the identification of reconnection sites that makes the adaptation fully automatic. In this work, we apply the MHD-AEPIC model to a geomagnetic storm simulation and demonstrate how adaptation works in a real-world scenario. Furthermore, we provide comparison with observations ranging from electron scales to global scales. Title: A Time-Dependent Split Tail Heliosphere Authors: Powell, Erick; Opher, Merav; Toth, Gabor; Tenishev, Valeriy; Michael, Adam; Kornbleuth, Marc; Richardson, John Bibcode: 2021AGUFMSH15F2075P Altcode: There is a current debate on the shape of the heliosphere. Current models provide different solutions to the heliotail. These models assume different numerical techniques as well as physical assumptions. Kornbleuth et al. (2021) show that both BU and Moscow models show collimation of the heliotail plasma by the magnetic field as first found by Opher et al. (2015). The BU model has the ISM plasma flowing between the two lobes at around 400AU downtail, what is known as the croissant-like heliosphere. The BU model was first extended to include a treatment to the neutral H in a kinetic fashion by Michael et al. (2021) where they show that the croissant-like heliotail remain. In this work, within the SHIELD project, we extend the work of Michael et al. (2021) with the newly updated BU model to investigate the effect of time dependent solar wind conditions on the two-lobed heliotail. The BU model in this work was a kinetic-MHD model that self consistently coupled an MHD treatment of ions to a kinetic treatment of the neutrals in a long-term solution. We have improved the statistics in the BU model, through implementation of a lookup table for the charge exchange rate and resulting source terms for the plasma, that is more computationally efficient and allows us to capture shorter time scales necessary to accurately model the evolution of the time-dependent heliotail. We extend the work of Michael et al. (2021) with the newly updated SHIELD model to investigate the effect of time dependent solar wind conditions on the two-lobed heliotail. We comment on the structure of the heliotail and the differences between long-term and and time-dependent solutions. Title: Formation and evolution of the large-scale magnetic fields in Venus Ionosphere: Results from a 3D global multi-species MHD model Authors: Ma, Yingjuan; Toth, Gabor; Nagy, Andrew; Luhmann, Janet; Russell, Christopher Bibcode: 2021AGUFMSM52C..04M Altcode: Large-scale magnetic fields have been observed at Venus ionosphere by both the Pioneer Venus Orbiter (PVO) and Venus Express spacecraft. In this study, we examine the formation and evolution of the large-scale magnetic field in the Venus ionosphere using a sophisticated global multi-species MHD model that has been developed for Venus. A time-dependent model run is performed under varying solar wind dynamic pressure. Based on model results, we find that: 1) Both the locations of plasma boundaries (such as bow shock and induced magnetospheric boundary) and plasma conditions in the magnetosheath and the outer part of the induced magnetosphere adjust quickly (~ minutes) to solar wind dynamic pressure change; 2) a large-scale magnetic field gradually forms in the ionosphere during the time when the solar wind dynamic pressure exceeds the ionospheric thermal pressure; 3) both the penetration and decay of the large-scale magnetic field in the ionosphere are slow (~ hours); 4) the ion escape rate has a non-linear response to the change of solar wind dynamic pressure. Title: Global Sensitivity Analysis for Solar-Wind Simulations in the Space Weather Modelling Framework Authors: Jivani, Aniket; Huan, Xun; Chen, Yang; van der Holst, Bart; Zou, Shasha; Huang, Zhenguang; Sachdeva, Nishtha; Iong, Daniel; Manchester, Ward; Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 2021AGUFMSH55C1851J Altcode: The Space Weather Modelling Framework (SWMF) offers efficient and flexible sun-to-earth simulations based on coupled first principles and/or empirical models. This encompasses computing the quiet solar wind, generating a coronal mass ejection (CME), propagating the CME through the heliosphere, and calculating the magnetospheric impact via geospace models. The predictions from these different steps and models are affected by uncertainty and variation of many model inputs and parameters, such as the Poynting flux emanating from the photosphere and driving and heating the solar wind. In this presentation, as part of the NextGen SWMF project funded by NSF, we perform uncertainty quantification (UQ) for the quiet solar wind simulations produced by our Alfven Wave Solar atmosphere Model (AWSoM). We first catalogue the various sources of uncertainty and their distributions, and then propagate the uncertainty to key predictive quantities of interest, the in-situ solar wind and magnetic field at 1 au, through space-filling designs of high-fidelity simulations. Using this dataset, we then build polynomial chaos surrogate models that offer a convenient route to global sensitivity analysis, which quantifies the contribution of each input parameters uncertainty towards the variability of the QoIs. The resulting Sobol sensitivity index allows us to rank and retain only the most impactful parameters going forward, thereby achieving dimension-reduction of the stochastic space. We have performed this UQ analysis for both solar maximum and solar minimum conditions, and we will summarize our findings in this presentation. Title: Terrestrial Impacts of Global Geospace Modeling of an Ensemble of Storms Authors: Al Shidi, Qusai; Pulkkinen, Tuija; Brenner, Austin; Toth, Gabor; Zou, Shasha; Gombosi, Tamas Bibcode: 2021AGUFMSH45E2408A Altcode: Modeling the terrestrial impacts of the sun's solar wind is critical to understanding geomagnetic storms. We use a database of 144 storms from 2010-2019 and showed how these storms affect magnetometers on the ground. We also extracted profiles of the magnetic field along the magnetotail. Skill scores are assigned to the individual stations on the ground based on how well they can forecast magnetic indeces like SYM-H and AL. We us our Space Weather Modeling Framework's geospace configuration. Our model includes coupling of 3D MHD solver (BATSRUS), the Rice Convection Model, and the Ridley Ionospheric Model. We have found that all stations have a positive Heidke Skill Score which is encouraging in terms of space weather forecasting. Title: Developing the Michigan Sun-to-Earth Model with Data Assimilation and Quantified Uncertainty Authors: Toth, Gabor; Chen, Yang; Huan, Xun; van der Holst, Bart; Zou, Shasha; Jivani, Aniket; Iong, Daniel; Sachdeva, Nishtha; Huang, Zhenguang; Chen, Yuxi; Gaenko, Alexander; Manchester, Ward Bibcode: 2021AGUFMSH53B..06T Altcode: As part of the Space Weather with Quantified Uncertainty program, our project, funded by NSF, has been working on developing the Michigan Sun-to-Earth Model with Data Assimilation and Quantified Uncertainty (MSTEM-QUDA). In this talk we will summarize the main goals of the project and report our progress. Using sophisticated experimental design and fully automated scripts, we have performed many hundreds of simulations with our solar corona and heliosphere model generating steady state solar wind solutions. Based on these simulations, we have completed the uncertainty quantification analysis. One important finding is that the physically meaningful range of certain model parameters depends on the solar cycle. We will use an ensemble of background solar wind model solutions as a starting point for simulating coronal mass ejections. Our preliminary model runs show promising accuracy for the CME arrival time. We have also ported the Geospace model, a large part of MSTEM-QUDA, to run efficiently on a GPU. In fact, we can run the operational Geospace model on a single GPU significantly faster than real time at the same speed as using about 100 CPU cores. The Michigan Sun-to-Earth Model is available as an open-source distribution at https://github.com/MSTEM-QUDA to the entire community. Title: How will the crustal magnetic field affect the tail reconnection process at Mars? Authors: Ma, Yingjuan; Toth, Gabor; Chen, Yuxi; Nagy, Andrew; Russell, Christopher Bibcode: 2021AGUFM.P45F2498M Altcode: We use a fully coupled global MHD model with an embedded Particle in Cell (PIC) code to further understand the magnetic reconnection process on Mars and its consequences, especially how will the crustal magnetic field affect the tail reconnection process. This two-way coupled MHD-EPIC model has been applied to Mars and performed a detailed study for a tail reconnection event observed by MAVEN [Harada et al., 2015]. In this study, four more cases will be studied with the same solar wind condition but for different crustal field orientations. The subsolar longitude for the baseline case is at 73.1 east longitude. For the four cases, the subsolar longitude is set to 0, 90, 180 and 270 degrees east longitude, with the strong crustal field located in the nightside, dawn, dayside and dusk side, respectively. Detailed analysis of the model results will then be presented to show the relation between crustal field and tail reconnection process at Mars. Title: The Development of a Split-tail Heliosphere and the Role of Non-ideal Processes: A Comparison of the BU and Moscow Models Authors: Kornbleuth, M.; Opher, M.; Baliukin, I.; Gkioulidou, M.; Richardson, J. D.; Zank, G. P.; Michael, A. T.; Tóth, G.; Tenishev, V.; Izmodenov, V.; Alexashov, D.; Fuselier, S.; Drake, J. F.; Dialynas, K. Bibcode: 2021ApJ...923..179K Altcode: 2021arXiv211013962K Global models of the heliosphere are critical tools used in the interpretation of heliospheric observations. There are several three-dimensional magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) heliospheric models that rely on different strategies and assumptions. Until now only one paper has compared global heliosphere models, but without magnetic field effects. We compare the results of two different MHD models, the BU and Moscow models. Both models use identical boundary conditions to compare how different numerical approaches and physical assumptions contribute to the heliospheric solution. Based on the different numerical treatments of discontinuities, the BU model allows for the presence of magnetic reconnection, while the Moscow model does not. Both models predict collimation of the solar outflow in the heliosheath by the solar magnetic field and produce a split tail where the solar magnetic field confines the charged solar particles into distinct north and south columns that become lobes. In the BU model, the interstellar medium (ISM) flows between the two lobes at large distances due to MHD instabilities and reconnection. Reconnection in the BU model at the port flank affects the draping of the interstellar magnetic field in the immediate vicinity of the heliopause. Different draping in the models cause different ISM pressures, yielding different heliosheath thicknesses and boundary locations, with the largest effects at high latitudes. The BU model heliosheath is 15% thinner and the heliopause is 7% more inwards at the north pole relative to the Moscow model. These differences in the two plasma solutions may manifest themselves in energetic neutral atom measurements of the heliosphere. Title: Simulating Solar Maximum Conditions Using the Alfvén Wave Solar Atmosphere Model (AWSoM) Authors: Sachdeva, Nishtha; Tóth, Gábor; Manchester, Ward B.; van der Holst, Bart; Huang, Zhenguang; Sokolov, Igor V.; Zhao, Lulu; Shidi, Qusai Al; Chen, Yuxi; Gombosi, Tamas I.; Henney, Carl J.; Lloveras, Diego G.; Vásquez, Alberto M. Bibcode: 2021ApJ...923..176S Altcode: To simulate solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and predict their time of arrival and geomagnetic impact, it is important to accurately model the background solar wind conditions in which CMEs propagate. We use the Alfvén Wave Solar atmosphere Model (AWSoM) within the the Space Weather Modeling Framework to simulate solar maximum conditions during two Carrington rotations and produce solar wind background conditions comparable to the observations. We describe the inner boundary conditions for AWSoM using the ADAPT global magnetic maps and validate the simulated results with EUV observations in the low corona and measured plasma parameters at L1 as well as at the position of the Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory spacecraft. This work complements our prior AWSoM validation study for solar minimum conditions and shows that during periods of higher magnetic activity, AWSoM can reproduce the solar plasma conditions (using properly adjusted photospheric Poynting flux) suitable for providing proper initial conditions for launching CMEs. Title: Predicting the Background Solar Wind for Solar Maximum Conditions with the Alfven Wave Solar atmosphere model (AWSoM) Authors: Sachdeva, Nishtha; Toth, Gabor; Manchester, Ward; van der Holst, Bart; Huang, Zhenguang; Sokolov, Igor; Zhao, Lulu; Al Shidi, Qusai; Chen, Yuxi; Gombosi, Tamas; Henney, Carl Bibcode: 2021AGUFMSH45D2396S Altcode: For physics-based simulations of the coronal mass ejections (CMEs) it is essential to start with realistic background solar wind conditions. To achieve this goal, we use the 3D extended MHD Alfven Wave Solar atmosphere Model (AWSoM) to simulate the background plasma environment during the magnetically active phase of solar cycle 24 and validate the results with in situ and remote observations. Representing the solar maximum conditions by two Carrington Rotations, we use the ADAPT-HMI photospheric magnetic-field maps to drive AWSoM and simulate the solar wind from the low corona to Earths orbit. We compare the AWSoM predicted solar wind with EUV observations near the Sun as well as with observed plasma and magnetic field parameters at L1 and at the STEREO spacecraft location. We find that the optimal value for the Poynting flux parameter of the model depends on the solar activity: for solar maximum it has to be reduced by about a factor of two compared to the solar minimum. Using properly adjusted Poynting flux parameters for the solar maximum period results in a reasonable match with observations for which quantitative comparisons show small margins of error. These provide a reasonably accurate background solar wind into which a CME will be launched. Title: Stormtime energetics: Energy transport across the magnetopause in a global MHD simulation Authors: Brenner, Austin; Pulkkinen, Tuija I.; Al Shidi, Qusai; Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 2021FrASS...8..180B Altcode: Coupling between the solar wind and magnetosphere can be expressed in terms of energy transfer through the separating boundary known as the magnetopause. Geospace simulation is performed using the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) of a multi-ICME impact event on February 18-20, 2014 in order to study the energy transfer through the magnetopause during storm conditions. The magnetopause boundary is identified using a modified plasma β and fully closed field line criteria to a downstream distance of −20Re. Observations from Geotail, Themis, and Cluster are used as well as the Shue 1998 model to verify the simulation field data results and magnetopause boundary location. Once the boundary is identified, energy transfer is calculated in terms of total energy flux K, Poynting flux S, and hydrodynamic flux H. Surface motion effects are considered and the spatial distribution is explored in terms of dayside (X > 0), flank (X < 0), and tail cap (X = Xmin) regions. It is found that total integrated energy flux over the boundary is nearly balanced between injection and escape, and flank contributions dominate the Poynting flux injection. Poynting flux dominates net energy input, while hydrodynamic flux dominates energy output. Surface fluctuations contribute significantly to net energy transfer and comparison with the Shue model reveals varying levels of cylindrical asymmetry in the magnetopause flank throughout the event. Finally existing energy coupling proxies such as the Akasofu ε parameter and Newell coupling function are compared with the energy transfer results. Title: Challenges in Modeling the Outer Magnetosphere Authors: Tóth, Gábor; Chen, Yuxi; Huang, Zhenguang; van der Holst, Bart Bibcode: 2021GMS...259..717T Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Multi Fluid MHD Simulations of Europa's Plasma Interaction Under Different Magnetospheric Conditions Authors: Harris, Camilla D. K.; Jia, Xianzhe; Slavin, James A.; Toth, Gabor; Huang, Zhenguang; Rubin, Martin Bibcode: 2021JGRA..12628888H Altcode: Europa hosts a periodically changing plasma interaction driven by the variations of Jupiter's magnetic field and magnetospheric plasma. We have developed a multi fluid magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model for Europa to characterize the global configuration of the plasma interaction with the moon and its tenuous atmosphere. The model solves the multi fluid MHD equations for electrons and three ion fluids (Jupiter's magnetospheric O+, as well as O+ and O2+ originating from Europa's atmosphere) while incorporating sources and losses in the MHD equations due to electron impact and photo ionization, charge exchange, recombination and other relevant collisional effects. Using input parameters constrained by the Galileo magnetic field and plasma observations, we first demonstrate the accuracy of our model by simulating the Galileo E4 and E14 flybys, which took place under different upstream conditions and sampled different regions of Europa's interaction. Our model produces 3D magnetic field and plasma bulk parameters that agree with and provide context for the flyby observations. We next present the results of a parameter study of Europa's plasma interaction at three different excursions from Jupiter's central plasma sheet, for three different global magnetospheric states, comprising nine steady state simulations. By separately tracking multiple ion fluids, our MHD model allows us to quantify the access of the Jovian magnetospheric plasma to Europa's surface and determine how that access is affected by changing magnetospheric conditions. We find that the thermal magnetospheric O+ precipitation rate ranges from (1.8-26) × 1024 ions/s, and that the precipitation rate increases with the density of the ambient magnetospheric plasma. Title: What sustained multi-disciplinary research can achieve: The space weather modeling framework Authors: Gombosi, Tamas I.; Chen, Yuxi; Glocer, Alex; Huang, Zhenguang; Jia, Xianzhe; Liemohn, Michael W.; Manchester, Ward B.; Pulkkinen, Tuija; Sachdeva, Nishtha; Al Shidi, Qusai; Sokolov, Igor V.; Szente, Judit; Tenishev, Valeriy; Toth, Gabor; van der Holst, Bart; Welling, Daniel T.; Zhao, Lulu; Zou, Shasha Bibcode: 2021JSWSC..11...42G Altcode: 2021arXiv210513227G Magnetohydrodynamics (MHD)-based global space weather models have mostly been developed and maintained at academic institutions. While the "free spirit" approach of academia enables the rapid emergence and testing of new ideas and methods, the lack of long-term stability and support makes this arrangement very challenging. This paper describes a successful example of a university-based group, the Center of Space Environment Modeling (CSEM) at the University of Michigan, that developed and maintained the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) and its core element, the BATS-R-US extended MHD code. It took a quarter of a century to develop this capability and reach its present level of maturity that makes it suitable for research use by the space physics community through the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC) as well as operational use by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Title: Kinetic Modeling in the Magnetosphere Authors: Markidis, Stefano; Olshevsky, Vyacheslav; Tóth, Gábor; Chen, Yuxi; Peng, Ivy Bo; Lapenta, Giovanni; Gombosi, Tamas Bibcode: 2021GMS...259..607M Altcode: 2020arXiv201206669M This paper presents the state of the art of kinetic modeling techniques for simulating plasma kinetic dynamics in magnetospheres. We describe the critical numerical techniques for enabling large-scale kinetic simulations of magnetospheres: parameter scaling, implicit Particle-in-Cell schemes, and fluid-kinetic coupling. We show an application of these techniques to study particle acceleration and heating in asymmetric magnetic reconnection in the Ganymede magnetosphere. Title: Estimating Maximum Extent of Auroral Equatorward Boundary Using Historical and Simulated Surface Magnetic Field Data Authors: Blake, Seán. P.; Pulkkinen, Antti; Schuck, Peter W.; Glocer, Alex; Tóth, Gabor Bibcode: 2021JGRA..12628284B Altcode: The equatorward extent of the auroral oval, the region which separates the open field polar cap regions with the closed field subauroral regions, is an important factor to take into account when assessing the risk posed by space weather to ground infrastructure. During storms, the auroral oval is known to move equatorward, accompanied by ionospheric current systems and significant magnetic field variations. Here we outline a simple algorithm which can be used to estimate the maximum extent of the auroral equatorward boundary (MEAEB) using magnetic field data from ground based observatories. We apply this algorithm to three decades of INTERMAGNET data, and show how the auroral oval in the Northern hemisphere moves South with larger (more negative Dst) storms. We simulate a number of storms with different magnitudes using the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF), and apply the same auroral boundary detection algorithm. For SWMF simulated storms with Dst > -600nT, the estimates of the MEAEB are broadly in line with the same estimates for historical events. For the extreme scaled storms (with Dst < -1,000 nT), there is considerable scatter in the estimated location of the auroral equatorward boundary. Our largest storm simulation was calculated using Carrington like estimates for the solar wind conditions. This resulted in a minimum Dst = -1,142 nT, and a minimum estimated auroral boundary of 35.5° MLAT in places. Title: Threaded-field-line Model for the Low Solar Corona Powered by the Alfvén Wave Turbulence Authors: Sokolov, Igor V.; Holst, Bart van der; Manchester, Ward B.; Su Ozturk, Doga Can; Szente, Judit; Taktakishvili, Aleksandre; Tóth, Gábor; Jin, Meng; Gombosi, Tamas I. Bibcode: 2021ApJ...908..172S Altcode: We present an updated global model of the solar corona, including the transition region. We simulate the realistic three-dimensional (3D) magnetic field using the data from the photospheric magnetic field measurements and assume the magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) Alfvén wave turbulence and its nonlinear dissipation to be the only source for heating the coronal plasma and driving the solar wind. In closed-field regions, the dissipation efficiency in a balanced turbulence is enhanced. In the coronal holes, we account for a reflection of the outward-propagating waves, which is accompanied by the generation of weaker counterpropagating waves. The nonlinear cascade rate degrades in strongly imbalanced turbulence, thus resulting in colder coronal holes. The distinctive feature of the presented model is the description of the low corona as almost-steady-state low-beta plasma motion and heat flux transfer along the magnetic field lines. We trace the magnetic field lines through each grid point of the lower boundary of the global corona model, chosen at some heliocentric distance, R = Rb ∼ 1.1R, well above the transition region. One can readily solve the plasma parameters along the magnetic field line from 1D equations for the plasma motion and heat transport together with the Alfvén wave propagation, which adequately describe the physics within the heliocentric distance range R < R < Rb, in the low solar corona. By interfacing this threaded-field-line model with the full MHD global corona model at r = Rb, we find the global solution and achieve a faster-than-real-time performance of the model on ∼200 cores. Title: Advances and challenges in global magnetosphere simulations. Authors: Kuznetsova, Maria; Sibeck, David; Toth, Gabor; Rastaetter, Lutz; Chen, Li-Jen Bibcode: 2021cosp...43E1079K Altcode: Global magnetospheric simulation is an essential tool that enables researches to put data from fleets of multi-spacecraft missions such as Cluster, THEMIS, MMS into a global context. The presentation will discuss utilization of magnetosphere missions to review the state of global magnetosphere modeling. High resolution observations of electron diffusion region crossings by MMS can be utilized to validate global magnetosphere models' capability to simulate locations of separatrix surfaces and magnetic reconnection sites. Multi-spacecraft observations can be utilized to evaluate capabilities to simulate reconnection sites motion and plasmoid dynamics. The presentation will include overview of new tools, services and models implemented at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC) to facilitate magnetospheric mission science. We will discuss advances and challenges in global magnetosphere simulations for moderate and extreme solar wind driving conditions. Strong solar wind driving can push the magnetopause boundary into inner magnetosphere and even upper atmosphere where single fluid MHD approach is not applicable. One of the major challenges is to quantify the interaction between global evolution of the magnetosphere and microphysical kinetic processes in diffusion regions near reconnection sites. Our past studies of magnetosphere dynamics during moderate steady southward driving demonstrated that incorporation of kinetic nongyrotropic effects near reconnection sites in magnetotail significantly alter the global magnetosphere evolution. To study characteristics of loading/unloading cycle in response to extreme solar wind driving we utilize the global MHD component of the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) with incorporated kinetic corrections. Title: Structure of the Heliotail Authors: Opher, Merav; Richardson, John; Krimigis, Stamatios; Toth, Gabor; Tenishev, Valeriy; Zank, Gary; Drake, James; Izmodenov, Vladislav; Fuselier, Stephen; Dialynas, Konstantinos; Baliukin, Igor; Dayeh, Maher A.; Zieger, Bertalan; Michael, Adam; Kornbleuth, Marc; Gkioulidou, Matina Bibcode: 2021cosp...43E.880O Altcode: The canonical view of the structure of the heliosphere is that it has a long comet-like tail. This view is not universally accepted and there is vigorous debate as to whether it possesses a long comet-like structure, is bubble shaped, or is "croissant"-like, a debate that is driven by observations and modeling. Opher et al. (2015) suggest a heliosphere with two lobes, described as "croissant"-like. An extension of the single ion global 3D MHD model that treats PUIs created in the supersonic solar wind as a fluid separate and distinct from the thermal solar wind plasma yields a heliosphere that is reduced in size and rounder in shape (Opher et al. 2020). In contrast, Izmodenov et al. 2020 argue that a long/extended tail confines the plasma. One direct way to probe the structure of the tail is through energetic neutral atom (ENA) maps. ENA images of the tail by Interstellar Boundary Explorer (IBEX) at energies of 0.5-6keV exhibit a multi-lobe structure. These lobes are attributed to signatures of slow and fast wind within the extended heliospheric tail as part of the 11-year solar cycle (McComas et al. 2013; Zirnstein et al. 2017). Higher energy ENA observations (>5.2 keV) from the Cassini spacecraft, in conjunction with >28 keV in-situ ions from V1&2/LECP (Dialynas et al. 2017), in contrast, support the interpretation of bubble-like heliosphere, with few substantial tail-like features, although there are interpretations otherwise (Bzowski & Schwadron 2018). Regardless of the shape of the heliotail, there is an agreement between models that the solar magnetic field in the inner heliosheath (IHS) possesses a "slinky-like" structure (Opher et al. 2015; Pogorelov et al. 2015; Izmodenov et al. 2015) that helps confine the plasma in the IHS. In this work, as part of a recently funded project SHIELD (Solar-wind with Hydrogen Ion Exchange and Large-scale Dynamics), we revisit two different MHD models (Izmodenov et al. 2018; Opher et al. 2020) and investigate instabilities possibly responsible for the different solutions. We investigate how the different physical assumptions are manifested in ENA maps derived from IBEX and Cassini ENA data and predict what could be observed by the upcoming IMAP mission. Title: The Impact of Kinetic Neutrals on the Heliotail Authors: Michael, A. T.; Opher, M.; Tóth, G.; Tenishev, V.; Drake, J. F. Bibcode: 2021ApJ...906...37M Altcode: The shape of the heliosphere is thought to resemble a long, comet tail, however, recently it has been suggested that the heliosphere is tailless with a two-lobe structure. The latter study was done with a three-dimensional (3D) magnetohydrodynamic code, which treats the ionized and neutral hydrogen atoms as fluids. Previous studies that described the neutrals kinetically claim that this removes the two-lobe structure of the heliosphere. In this work, we use the newly developed Solar-wind with Hydrogen Ion Exchange and Large-scale Dynamics (SHIELD) model. SHIELD is a self-consistent kinetic-MHD model of the outer heliosphere that couples the MHD solution for a single plasma fluid from the BATS-R-US MHD code to the kinetic solution for neutral hydrogen atoms solved by the Adaptive Mesh Particle Simulator, a 3D, direct simulation Monte Carlo model that solves the Boltzmann equation. We use the same boundary conditions as our previous simulations using multi-fluid neutrals to test whether the two-lobe structure of the heliotail is removed with a kinetic treatment of the neutrals. Our results show that despite the large difference in the neutral hydrogen solutions, the two-lobe structure remains. These results are contrary to previous kinetic-MHD models. One such model maintains a perfectly ideal heliopause and does not allow for communication between the solar wind and interstellar medium. This indicates that magnetic reconnection or instabilities downtail play a role for the formation of the two-lobe structure. Title: The Structure of the Heliosphere as revealed by modeled ENA maps at IBEX energies Authors: Kornbleuth, Marc; Opher, Merav; Toth, Gabor; Tenishev, Valeriy; Izmodenov, Vladislav; Baliukin, Igor; Michael, Adam Bibcode: 2021cosp...43E.896K Altcode: The heliosphere is indirectly probed in all directions by energetic neutral atom (ENA) observations by spacecraft such as the Interstellar Boundary Explorer (IBEX). Energetic neutral atom (ENA) modeling is an important tool in understanding these ENA observations. Most MHD models describe the ionized components as a single ion characterized by a single Maxwellian distribution. This is clearly an approximation, a "recipe" is needed to translate the single ion to the full ion distribution present in the solar wind. In this work, we explore how different treatment of ions in ENA models and heliospheric solutions from two separate MHD models manifest in ENA maps. Here we use two different models: one from Boston University (Michael et al. 2020; 2019) and the other from Moscow University (Izmodenov & Alexashov 2018) to probe the effect of the MHD solution in the ENA maps. The two MHD models treat the heliospheric boundaries differently, with the Moscow University model suppressing all non-ideal MHD effects such as reconnection and instabilities. We use same the boundary conditions (corresponding to solar minima) and same ISM conditions and investigate the differences in the modeled ENA maps, and whether IBEX can observe these features. The treatment of ions in the ENA model is also crucial. Including multiple ion species, such as using several pick-up ion (PUI) populations, has been shown to provide the best agreement between ENA models and IBEX observations. Ion propagation across the termination shock and downstream in the heliosheath is an important element in ENA production, yet there are various methods for modeling this propagation. We compare two separate ENA map "recipes" to understand the role of each population in contributing to IBEX observations. Title: Understanding the Limitations of System Models for Geomagnetic Index Prediction Authors: Brenner, A.; Pulkkinen, T. I.; Al Shidi, Q.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2020AGUFMSA0210021B Altcode: The WINDMI physics based system model is an "instant" prediction tool that takes solar wind input data and predicts geomagnetic indices such as Dst. It does this by modeling the solar wind-magnetosphere-ionosphere system as a connected set of circuit elements. These components take into account the average amount of energy contained in a region and estimate an effective resistance, capacitance, or inductance. The Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) couples several models to create a self-consistent system mostly derived from first principles. By using SWMF to reconstruct and analyze the energy contained in the various circuit elements of the WINDMI model allows us to make a direct comparison to understand under what conditions the circuit assumption performs well, and what features are missing. First, geomagnetic indices are compared for the two models along with OMNI data for a real series of events beginning on Feb 18, 2014. Then, several circuit elements are recreated within SWMF and compared over the simulation time. We discuss implications and limitations for the use of system models as prediction tools, along with suggestions for a possible new application of machine learning. Title: How Pickup Ions Generate Turbulence in the Inner Heliosheath: A Multi-Fluid Approach Authors: Zieger, B.; Opher, M.; Toth, G.; Florinski, V. A. Bibcode: 2020AGUFMSH0160017Z Altcode: The solar wind in the inner heliosheath beyond the termination shock (TS) is a non-equilibrium collisionless plasma consisting of thermal solar wind ions, suprathermal pickup ions and electrons. In such multi-ion plasma, two fast magnetosonic wave modes exist: the low-frequency fast mode that propagates in the thermal ion component and the high-frequency fast mode that propagates in the suprathermal pickup ion component. Both fast modes are dispersive on fluid and ion scales, which results in nonlinear dispersive shock waves. We present high-resolution three-fluid simulations of the TS and the inner heliosheath up to 2.2 AU downstream of the TS. We show that downstream propagating nonlinear fast magnetosonic waves grow until they steepen into shocklets, overturn, and start to propagate backward in the frame of the downstream propagating wave. The counter-propagating nonlinear waves result in 2-D fast magnetosonic turbulence, which is driven by the ion-ion hybrid resonance instability. Energy is transferred from small scales to large scales in the inverse cascade range and enstrophy is transferred from large scales to small scales in the direct cascade range. We validate our three-fluid simulations with in-situ high-resolution Voyager 2 magnetic field observations in the inner heliosheath. Our simulations reproduce the observed magnetic turbulence spectrum with a spectral slope of -5/3 in frequency domain. However, the fluid-scale turbulence spectrum is not a Kolmogorov spectrum in wave number domain because Taylor's hypothesis breaks down in the inner heliosheath. The magnetic structure functions of the simulated and observed turbulence follow the Kolmogorov-Kraichnan scaling, which implies self-similarity. Title: Geomagnetic simulation using MHD with Adaptively Embedded PIC model Authors: Wang, X.; Chen, Y.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2020AGUFMSM0050004W Altcode: The MHD with embedded PIC (MHD-EPIC) model makes it feasible to incorporate kinetic physics into a global simulation. Still, this requires a large enough box-shaped PIC domain to accommodate the movement and changes of the magnetic reconnection regions over time. This wastes computational resources on simulating regions with the expensive PIC model where MHD would be sufficient to describe the physics. We have developed a new MHD with Adaptively Embedded PIC (MHD-AEPIC) algorithm that couples the BATS-R-US MHD model with the new FLexible Exascale Kinetic Simulator (FLEKS) PIC code. In the new coupled model the PIC domains can move with the magnetic reconnection regions and adapt to them with an arbitrary shape. In this work, we will first introduce the algorithms for selecting the reconnection regions in the MHD model that need to be resolved with the kinetic PIC model. Then we will compare simulations obtained with MHD-EPIC using fixed PIC regions versus MHD-AEPIC employing adaptive PIC regions to verify that the new model generates reliable results. Finally, we will apply the MHD-AEPIC model to a global magnetic storm simulation and demonstrate the improved efficiency. Title: How does planetary magnetic field impact on Ion escape rate? Authors: Ma, Y.; Russell, C. T.; Toth, G.; Nagy, A. F.; Brain, D. Bibcode: 2020AGUFMSM043..05M Altcode: We use an advanced multi-fluid MHD model of Mars to examine the planetary magnetic field impact on the ion escape rate. The multi-fluid MHD model has been recently improved by solving an additional electron pressure equation [Ma et al., 2019], and is the first global model that enables a self-consistent calculation of both ion and electron temperatures and pressure gradient force terms. The improved model has also been validated with a MAVEN event study, and is found to match the best with corresponding MAVEN plasma observations as compared with previous versions of the code. To examine the effect of planetary magnetic field, we use the new model to run a total of ten simulation cases with identical solar wind parameters but different planetary dipole moments with surface equatorial field strengths ranging from 0 to 5000 nT. We also examine how different IMF orientations modulate the impact of planetary magnetic field on the ion escape rates. Title: Modeling sources of magnetospheric plasma during storms and substorms Authors: Glocer, A.; Chappell, C. R.; Fok, M. C. H.; Welling, D. T.; Huddleston, M.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2020AGUFMSM045..01G Altcode: It is well accepted that all of the plasma in Earth's magnetosphere derives from either the solar wind or the planet itself via the processes of ionospheric outflow. Indeed, the presence of O+ in the magnetosphere, which can only come from the ionosphere, is a clear indicator of an ionospheric source of plasma. Unlike O+ which only has one source of plasma, H+ can come from both the solar wind and the ionosphere. The solar wind H+ must enter the magnetosphere through the dayside magnetopause interactions, whereas ionospheric H+ is constantly flowing out of the ionosphere where can either be recirculated in the magnetosphere or lost down the magnetotail. In this presentation we will use merged global models combining ionospheric outflow (PWOM), multi-fluid MHD (BATS-R-US), and a ring current model (CIMI) to examine the relative importance of ionospheric and solar wind plasma in defining magnetospheric composition. We will moreover examine the pathways ions take to reach different regions of the magnetosphere and timescales required for different source populations to be effective contributors to magnetospheric composition in that region. The simulations presented consider a real event case study (2018-08-25/28) which features a large storm with comparisons to MMS observations. We also consider an idealized substorm using idealized inputs and both isotropic and anisotropic outflow conditions. Title: Time-dependent global MHD simulations of Jupiter's magnetosphere with a realistic internal field model Authors: Sarkango, Y.; Jia, X.; Toth, G.; Chen, Y. Bibcode: 2020AGUFMSM0540005S Altcode: Jupiter's internal field, which has strong higher-order components, together with the fast rotation of the planet introduces a periodic modulation ("wobbling") to the magnetosphere which has been observed in the crossing of the Jovian current sheet by in-situ spacecraft. Our understanding of the current sheet is largely based on in-situ data that has limited spatial coverage and empirical models, which consider two main factors in fitting the magnetic field observations. Firstly, it is known that information about the changing magnetic field would propagate at a finite speed through the inhomogeneous, ambient plasma environment. Secondly, it was shown that the inclusion of current sheet hinging, which limits the latitudinal excursions of the current sheet beyond a certain distance, improves the fit to observations. In particular, better fits were obtained by assuming that the degree of hinging changes along the Sun-Jupiter line, rather than radial distance. This hints that current sheet hinging is likely due to solar-wind influence on the outer magnetosphere.

In this work, we incorporate a non-axisymmetric internal field model into our Jupiter global simulation to understand the contribution of the two factors described above in a self-consistent manner. Our simulation includes the mass loading due to Io in the form of source and loss terms in the MHD equations and solves the semi-relativistic MHD equations using the BATSRUS code (Sarkango et al., 2019). To understand how solar wind forcing influences the hinging of the current sheet, we drive our simulations with time-dependent solar wind input and systematically analyze the response of the current sheet to varying solar wind conditions. Title: Simulating Solar Maximum Conditions with the Alfven Wave Solar Atmosphere Model (AWSoM) Authors: Sachdeva, N.; van der Holst, B.; Toth, G.; Manchester, W.; Sokolov, I. Bibcode: 2020AGUFMSH0290015S Altcode: The Alfven Wave Solar atmosphere Model (AWSoM) within the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) is a physics-based solar corona model that solves magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) equations along with Alfven wave turbulence, radiative cooling and heat conduction. The Alfven wave pressure and dissipation account for solar wind acceleration and heating. AWSoM extends from the upper chromosphere up to 1 AU and beyond and includes the description of electron temperature and perpendicular and parallel proton temperature. AWSoM is driven by observations of the photospheric magnetic field, which are applied at the inner boundary. In this study, we use the ADAPT (Air Force Data Assimilative Photospheric Flux Transport) synchronic maps to drive our solar corona model. The ADAPT model uses observations of the solar photospheric magnetic field to produce an ensemble of magnetic field maps using a flux-transport model and data assimilation. We simulate solar maximum conditions using AWSoM and compare the results with SDO/AIA observations in the low corona and observations of solar wind density, speed and magnetic field at 1 AU (OMNI data). The background solar wind derived from our model provides the plasma environment into which Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) can be launched. We use the Gibson-Low Flux Rope model to initiate a CME and propagate it into the inner heliosphere. We validate the CME simulation by comparing the results with remote as well as in-situ observations from SOHO, SDO, STEREO, and WIND. Title: The Effect of Changing Solar Magnetic Field Intensity on ENA Maps Authors: Kornbleuth, M. Z.; Opher, M.; Michael, A. T.; Sokol, J. M.; Toth, G.; Tenishev, V. Bibcode: 2020AGUFMSH0230008K Altcode: Opher et al. (2015) showed that the solar magnetic field can confine and collimate the solar wind plasma in the heliosheath. IBEX observations of the heliotail have shown the presence of two high latitude lobes of enhanced ENA flux in the heliotail at high energies (>2 keV). Numerous studies have investigated how the latitudinal variation of the solar wind during the solar cycle affects the latitudinal profile of ENAs in the heliotail. Kornbleuth et al. (2020) showed that while the solar wind profile does contribute to the high latitude lobes observed by IBEX in the heliotail, the solar magnetic field plays a significant role as well. In this work we use steady state MHD solutions corresponding to solar wind conditions from particular years to isolate how conditions corresponding to different periods of the solar cycle influence ENA maps. We find the variations in the intensity of the solar magnetic field play an important role in not only influencing observations of the heliotail, but also in affecting the thickness of the heliosheath in the direction of the nose. The variations not only affect the ENA intensity observed in the high latitude tail, but also the size and location of the high latitude lobes. Additionally, as noted by previous studies, we find the changes in the solar wind dynamic pressure influence the observed ENA flux and that asymmetries in the dynamic pressure can be discerned from ENA maps. Title: Flexible Kinetic Coupling Model with FLEKS for Simulating Ganymede's Magnetosphere Authors: Zhou, H.; Jia, X.; Chen, Y.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2020AGUFMSM0540015Z Altcode: To capture the local kinetic processes within fluid simulations, we couple the MHD model BATS-R-US to the recently developed implicit kinetic particle-in-cell (PIC) model Flexible Exascale Kinetic Simulator (FLEKS). This new model allows the users to set flexible PIC regions based on geometric and physical criteria, and is more efficient in doing large scale parallelized simulations. The coupled model is applied to the magnetosphere simulation of Ganymede, with the high-resolution PIC region covering the entire magnetopause and tail current sheet. The prolific outputs of electrons and ions from kinetic simulation shed light on the reconnection driven physics across the entire magnetosphere that are not available in the simplified fluid description. Title: NextGen Space Weather Modeling Framework Using Physics, Data Assimilation, Uncertainty Quantification and GPUs Authors: Toth, G.; Zou, S.; Chen, Y.; Huan, X.; van der Holst, B.; Manchester, W.; Liemohn, M. W.; Chen, Y.; Huang, Z.; Gaenko, A. Bibcode: 2020AGUFMSM015..05T Altcode: We have been recently awarded a major NSF/NASA grant from the SWQU program to develop the NextGen Space Weather Modeling Framework that will employ computational models from the surface of the Sun to the surface of Earth in combination with assimilation of observational data to provide optimal probabilistic space weather forecasting. The model will run efficiently on the next generation of supercomputers to predict space weather about one day or more before the impact occurs. The new project will concentrate on forecasting major space weather events generated by coronal mass ejections (CMEs). Current space weather prediction tools employ first-principles and/or empirical models. While these provide useful information, their accuracy, reliability and forecast window need major improvements. Data assimilation has the potential to significantly improve model performance, as it has been successfully done in terrestrial weather forecast. To allow for the sparsity of satellite observations, however, a different data assimilation method will be employed. The new model will start from the Sun with an ensemble of simulations that span the uncertain observational and model parameters. Using real time and past observations, the model will strategically down-select to a high performing subset. Next, the down-selected ensemble will be extended by varying uncertain parameters and the simulation continued to the next data assimilation point. The final ensemble will provide a probabilistic forecast of the space weather impacts. While the concept is simple, finding the optimal algorithm that produces the best prediction with minimal uncertainty is a complex and very challenging task that requires developing, implementing and perfecting novel data assimilation and uncertainty quantification methods. To make these ensemble simulations run faster than real time, the most expensive parts of the model need to run efficiently on the current and future supercomputers, which employ graphical processing units (GPUs) in addition to the traditional multi-core CPUs. The main product of this project will be the Michigan Sun-To-Earth Model with Quantified Uncertainty and Data Assimilation (MSTEM-QUDA) that will be made available to the space physics community with an open source license. We will describe the main concept of the project and our initial progress. Title: Role of Inductive Electric Field on the Build-up of Storm Time Ring Current Authors: Liu, J.; Ilie, R.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2020AGUFMSM037..11L Altcode: During geomagnetic storms, plasma is energized and transported from the night side plasma sheet to the inner magnetosphere, resulting in a build-up of plasma density and pressure. The magnetic gradient-curvature further drives the energetic ions westward, therefore creating a pressure accumulation in the evening sector. Continuous inward adiabatic transport from the plasma sheet to the inner magnetosphere can be a major contributor to the pressure build up on night side, which suggests that convection electric field plays a significant role in developing the storm time ring current. However, during the storm time, the inductive nature can overwhelm the electrostatic nature of convection electric field, due to the temporal change of magnetic field. Thus, regarding the electrostatic component of electric field as the total convection field is not sufficient nor accurate for modeling the dynamics of inner magnetosphere system, and it may lead to mis-estimation of the transport and energization of ring current hot ion species, and associated storm time ring current build-up. Both theoretical and numerical modifications to an inner magnetosphere kinetic model --- Hot Electron-Ion Drift Integrator (HEIDI) has been made to account for the effect of inductive electric field, in order to assess how much inductive electric is relative to electro-static field, in addition with investigating the role of inductive electric field on the build-up and evolution of storm time inner magnetospheric ring current. We found that, during the intensifying southward IMF period, magnetic field is stretched away from dipole, and the associated inductive electric field further accumulates ion pressure in the evening sector and depletes ion pressure in the morning sector. The reverse is true as the magnetic field dipolarizes back to dipole configuration. Title: Heliospheric Ly α Absorption in a Split Tail Heliosphere Authors: Powell, E.; Opher, M.; Michael, A. T.; Kornbleuth, M. Z.; Wood, B. E.; Izmodenov, V.; Toth, G.; Tenishev, V.; Richardson, J. D. Bibcode: 2020AGUFMSH0170013P Altcode: Neutral hydrogen in the hydrogen wall and heliosheath absorb wavelengths of light near Ly α from nearby stars. Heliospheric models are essential to understand these observations since the observations are an indirect method of probing the the heliosphere. Opher et al. (2015) suggested that the solar magnetic field can collimate the solar wind plasma, resulting in a heliosphere with a split tail. We compare the Ly α predictions made by multi-fluid kinetic-MHD models of Opher et al. 2020, Michael et al. 2020 that present a "Croissant-like" (split tail) shape with long tail models used in Izmodenov et al. 2018. Previous studies have shown that the interstellar magnetic field can affect the distribution of neutral hydrogen in the hydrogen wall just outside the heliosphere. In this study our models use a grid that extends 1500 AU downwind and vary the Interstellar magnetic field strength and direction. The split tail model successfully reproduce the LY α profiles in upwind and sidewind line of sights and have good agreement in downwind line of sights. We comment on the differences between the two MHD models and which directions can be more sensitive to the heliospheric shape as well from the interstellar magnetic field. Title: Multi-fluid MHD Modeling of Europa's Plasma Interaction Authors: Harris, C. D. K.; Jia, X.; Toth, G.; Huang, Z.; Slavin, J. A.; Rubin, M. Bibcode: 2020AGUFMSM049..06H Altcode: Europa hosts a periodically changing plasma interaction driven by the variations of Jupiter's magnetic field and magnetospheric plasma. We have developed a multi-fluid MHD model for the plasma interaction to investigate its response to these magnetic field and plasma variations at Europa's orbit. The model solves the multi-fluid MHD equations for electrons and three ion fluids (magnetospheric O+ as well as O+ and O2+ originating from Europa's ionosphere) while incorporating sources and losses in the fluid equations due to ionization, electron heat conduction, charge exchange, recombination and other relevant collisional effects. Using input parameters constrained by the Galileo MAG and PLS observations, we first demonstrate the accuracy of our model's representation of the plasma interaction by simulating the Galileo E4 and E14 flybys, which took place under different upstream conditions and sampled different regions of Europa's interaction. Our model produces 3D magnetic field and plasma bulk parameters that agree with and provide context for the flyby observations. We next present the results of a parameter study of Europa's plasma interaction at three different System-III longitudes within Jupiter's magnetosphere, for three different global magnetospheric states, comprising 9 steady-state simulations in total. We describe how Europa's ionosphere is self-consistently generated in response to the external plasma conditions, and show how the relative strengths of the magnetospheric plasma versus Europa's ionosphere control Europa's global interaction with Jupiter's magnetosphere. Title: Quantitative Investigation of the Effect on Ground Magnetic Perturbations of IMF Bx Authors: Kwagala, N. K.; Moretto, T.; Hesse, M.; Tenfjord, P.; Norgren, C.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I.; Kolsto, H.; Flø Spinnangr, S. Bibcode: 2020AGUFMSH0030007K Altcode: In this work, we investigate quantitatively the effect of IMF Bx on magnetospheric dynamics, ionospheric currents, and the resulting magnetic perturbations measured at magnetometer stations on the ground. Using the University of Michigan's space weather modeling framework (SWMF), two historic geomagnetic storms are simulated and compared to ground-based magnetic observations. For each storm two separate simulations are carried out, one with IMF Bx artificially set to zero throughout the event and the other keeping the measured variable IMF Bx in the driving conditions. The difference between the outputs from the two runs in the magnetosphere, ionosphere and magnetic perturbations on the ground will be presented and discussed. Title: The lunar crustal magnetic anomalies were not produced by impact plasmas Authors: Oran, R.; Weiss, B. P.; Shprits, Y.; Miljkovic, K.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2020AGUFMGP015..01O Altcode: The crusts of the Moon, Mercury, Mars, and many meteorites parent bodies are magnetized. Although the magnetizing field is commonly attributed to that of an ancient core dynamo, a longstanding hypothesized alternative is that the remanent magnetization may have been produced by impact plasmas that can transiently induce fields or amplify the background interplanetary magnetic field. However, the dynamics of such impact-plasma fields have not been studied self-consistently in the context of the coupled interaction of the impact plume, solar wind, and the non-uniform electrical resistivity inside the body. To address this gap, we combined hydrocode impact-physics and magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulations to study impact field generation and amplification on the Moon. Considering a diversity of different impact and solar wind conditions 3.5-4 Ga ago, we demonstrate that the resulting fields are weaker than previously predicted. Field strengths are limited due to solar wind variability, the formation of a diamagnetic cavity around the moon by the expanding plasma cloud, and the fact that the induced field is dissipated by ohmic dissipation in the crust. As a result, the maximum crustal field is at least 3 orders of magnitude too weak to explain the magnetization. The elimination of impact plasmas as the sole source of lunar magnetism leaves a core dynamo as the only plausible source of the majority of magnetization on the Moon. This result may challenge impact-magnetization scenarios considered for other bodies, such as Mercury. Title: A Statistical Comparison of Global MHD Simulations and Geomagnetic Storm Indices Authors: Al Shidi, Q. A.; Pulkkinen, T. I.; Brenner, A.; Toth, G.; Zou, S. Bibcode: 2020AGUFMSM022..07A Altcode: Space weather monitoring and predictions largely rely on ground magnetic measurements and geomagnetic indices such as the Disturbance Storm Time index (Dst or SYM-H), Auroral Electrojet Index (AL) or the Polar Cap Index (PCI) all constructed using the individual station data. The global MHD simulations such as the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) can give predictions of these indices, driven by solar wind observations obtained at L1 giving roughly one hour lead time. The accuracy of these predictions especially during geomagnetic storms is a key metric for the model performance, and critical to operational space weather forecasts.

In this presentation, we perform the largest statistical study of global simulation results using a database of 140 storms with minimum Dst below -50 nT during the years from 2010 to 2020. We compare SWMF results with indices derived from the SuperMAG network, which with its denser station network provides a more accurate representation of the true level of activity in the ring current and in the auroral electrojets. We show that the SWMF generally gives good results for the SYM-H index, whereas the AL index is typically underestimated by the model with the model predicting lower than observed ionospheric activity. We also examine the Cross Polar Cap Potential (CPCP) and compare it with a model derived using the PCI (Ridley et al., 2004) as well as with results obtained from the SuperDARN network. We show that the Ridley et al. CPCP model is much closer to the SWMF values. The results are used to discuss factors governing energy dissipation in magnetosphere - ionosphere system as well as possibilities to improve on the operational space weather forecasts. Title: FLEKS: A Flexible Particle-in-Cell code for Multi-Scale Space Plasma Simulations Authors: Chen, Y.; Toth, G.; Wang, X. Bibcode: 2020AGUFMSM0050003C Altcode: The Magnetohydrodynamics with embedded particle-in-cell (MHD-EPIC) model has been successfully applied to global magnetospheric simulations in recent years. However, the PIC region was restricted to be a box, and it is not always feasible to cover the whole physical structure of interest with a box due to the limitation of the computational resources. The FLexible Exascale Kinetic Simulator (FLEKS), which is a new PIC code and allows a PIC region of any shape, is designed to break this restriction and extend the capabilities of the MHD-EPIC model.

FLEKS uses the Gauss's law satisfying energy-conserving semi-implicit method (GL-ECSIM) as the base PIC solver. We have also designed extra numerical techniques, such as the adaptive time stepping and particle resampling algorithms, to further improve the accuracy and flexibility of the PIC solver. The grid of FLEKS has to be Cartesian, but the active PIC region is not necessarily to be a box anymore since any Cartesian cells can be turned off. Furthermore, FLEKS supports switching on or switching off grid cells adaptively during a simulation. The initial conditions and boundary conditions of the active PIC region are provided by the coupled MHD code. FLEKS and the coupled MHD code constitute the MHD with adaptively embedded particle-in-cell (MHD-AEPIC) model. FLEKS is implemented in C++ in the object-oriented design, and it is based on a third-party open source library AMReX, which provides FLEKS high-performance parallel data structures. We will present the numerical and implementation details, show its parallel performance, and demonstrate its capabilities with 3D magnetospheric simulations. Title: 3D Hall-MHD Simulations of Mercury's Dayside Magnetopause Reconnection and Its Impact on the Global Magnetospheric Dynamics Authors: Li, C.; Jia, X.; Chen, Y.; Zhou, H.; Toth, G.; Slavin, J. A.; Sun, W. Bibcode: 2020AGUFMP078.0004L Altcode: Observations from NASA's MESSENGER spacecraft reveal that Mercury has a miniature magnetosphere arising from the interaction of its dipolar intrinsic field with the inner heliosphere solar wind. Compared to the terrestrial magnetosphere, Mercury's magnetosphere appears to be more dynamic in that the typical timescales for global plasma and magnetic flux circulation are much shorter, and the dayside magnetopause reconnection occurs at faster rates and under a wider range of magnetic shear angles. As a product of multiple X-line reconnection, flux transfer events (FTEs) are found to arise much more frequently with occurrence rates of about 50 times higher than detected at Earth. MESSENGER observations suggest that aside from the apparent difference in system size, the large differences in reconnection-driven dynamics between Mercury's magnetosphere and the Earth's are likely related to the upstream solar wind conditions. In order to obtain a quantitative, global understanding of how magnetopause reconnection occurs at Mercury and its large-scale consequences, we have used the BATSRUS Hall-MHD code with a high resolution grid that resolves ion kinetic scales to simulate Mercury's magnetopause dynamics under a variety of upstream solar wind and IMF conditions. Flux ropes are found to form in all of our time-dependent Hall MHD simulations under steady solar wind conditions, but their properties, such as occurrence rate and spatial structure, vary depending on the upstream parameters. We have developed techniques to identify flux ropes in our simulations and extract their magnetic field and plasma properties that can be compared directly with MESSENGER observations of FTEs. The set of carefully designed Hall MHD simulations allow us to examine how the properties of FTEs depend on such parameters as the solar wind Alfvénic Mach number, IMF orientation, and the magnetosheath plasma . With the global model, we also evaluate the contribution of FTEs to the global circulation of plasma and magnetic flux at Mercury and how it might vary in response to changes in the external conditions. Title: Comparing the best ADAPT realizations from WSA, AWSoM and AWSoM-R Authors: Huang, Z.; Sokolov, I.; van der Holst, B.; Toth, G.; Arge, C. N.; Sachdeva, N.; Jones, S. I.; Manchester, W.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2020AGUFMSH0290028H Altcode: Solar corona models are typically driven by global photospheric magnetic field maps assembled from magnetograms. Magnetic field maps derived from different magnetogram sources (e.g. MDI, GONG, etc) can produce different results when used as boundary conditions. One of the commonly used synchronic maps is provided by the ADAPT (Air Force Data Assimilative Photospheric Flux Transport) model, which makes use of a flux transport model to evolve the regions where there are no observations. The ADAPT model uses the ensemble least-squares data assimilation method that account for model and observational uncertainties and provides 12 different realizations for a given moment in time. Previous studies have shown the same solar corona model running with 12 different realizations also provide different predicted solar wind values at 1 AU. In this presentation, we will use the ADAPT maps to drive the WSA (Wang-Sheeley-Arge) model, the AWSoM (Alfven-Wave driven Solar atmosphere Model) and the AWSoM-R (Alfven-Wave driven Solar atmosphere Model - Realtime) model. The coronal portion of the WSA model makes use of the coupled potential field source surface and Schatten current sheet models to derive the global coronal magnetic field from global maps of the photospheric field. The model then applies empirical formulas to specify the solar wind at the outer coronal boundary and a 1D kinematic model to predict solar wind speed and interplanetary magnetic polarity anywhere in the inner heliosphere. AWSoM is a physics-based model solving the MHD equations together with radiative cooling, heat conduction and a phenomenological Alfven wave turbulence and dissipation model including wave reflection (proportional to the Alfvén speed gradients) and turbulent dissipation from the chromosphere to the heliosphere. The AWSoM-R model uses 1-D field line threads to simulate the region in the lower chromosphere to speed up the simulations. We will compare the predicted solar wind values at 1 AU with observations and use the WSA Prediction Metric developed at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center to select the best ADAPT map realization(s) for the three models. We will investigate whether we can improve the prediction capability of the complex physics-based models like AWSoM and AWSoM-R using the insight gained from the inexpensive empirical WSA model. Title: A Gray-Box Model for a Probabilistic Estimate of Regional Ground Magnetic Perturbations: Enhancing the NOAA Operational Geospace Model With Machine Learning Authors: Camporeale, E.; Cash, M. D.; Singer, H. J.; Balch, C. C.; Huang, Z.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2020JGRA..12527684C Altcode: 2019arXiv191201038C We present a novel algorithm that predicts the probability that the time derivative of the horizontal component of the ground magnetic field dB/dt exceeds a specified threshold at a given location. This quantity provides important information that is physically relevant to geomagnetically induced currents (GICs), which are electric currents associated with sudden changes in the Earth's magnetic field due to space weather events. The model follows a "gray-box" approach by combining the output of a physics-based model with machine learning. Specifically, we combine the University of Michigan's Geospace model that is operational at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Space Weather Prediction Center, with a boosted ensemble of classification trees. We discuss the problem of recalibrating the output of the decision tree to obtain reliable probabilities. The performance of the model is assessed by typical metrics for probabilistic forecasts: Probability of Detection and False Detection, True Skill Statistic, Heidke Skill Score, and Receiver Operating Characteristic curve. We show that the ML-enhanced algorithm consistently improves all the metrics considered. Title: A Case Study on the Origin of Near-Earth Plasma Authors: Glocer, A.; Welling, D.; Chappell, C. R.; Toth, G.; Fok, M. -C.; Komar, C.; Kang, S. -B.; Buzulukova, N.; Ferradas, C.; Bingham, S.; Mouikis, C. Bibcode: 2020JGRA..12528205G Altcode: This study presents simulations of the coupled space environment during a geomagnetic storm that separates the different sources of near-Earth plasma. These simulations include separate fluids for solar wind and ionospheric protons, ionospheric oxygen, and the plasmasphere. Additionally, they include the effects of both a hot ring current population and a cold plasmaspheric population simultaneously for a geomagnetic storm. The modeled ring current population represents the solution of bounce-averaged kinetic solution; the core plasmaspheric model assumes a fixed temperature of 1 eV and constant pressure along the field line. We find that during the storm, ionospheric protons can be a major contributor to the plasmasheet and ring current and that ionospheric plasma can largely displace solar wind protons in much of the magnetosphere under certain conditions. Indeed, the ionospheric source of plasma cannot be ignored. Significant hemispheric asymmetry is found between the outflow calculated in the summer and winter hemispheres, consistent with past observations. That asymmetric outflow is found to lead to asymmetric filling of the lobes, with the northern (summer) lobe receiving more outflow that has a higher proportion of O+ and the southern (winter) lobe receiving less outflow with a higher proportion of H+. We moreover find that the inclusion of the plasmasphere can have a system-wide impact. Specifically, when the plasmasphere drainage plume reaches the magnetopause, it can reduce the reconnection rate, suppress ionospheric outflow and change its composition, change the composition in the magnetosphere, and reduce the ring current intensity. Title: Magnetohydrodynamic With Embedded Particle-In-Cell Simulation of the Geospace Environment Modeling Dayside Kinetic Processes Challenge Event Authors: Chen, Yuxi; Tóth, Gábor; Hietala, Heli; Vines, Sarah K.; Zou, Ying; Nishimura, Yukitoshi; Silveira, Marcos V. D.; Guo, Zhifang; Lin, Yu; Markidis, Stefano Bibcode: 2020E&SS....701331C Altcode: 2020arXiv200104563C We use the magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) with embedded particle-in-cell model (MHD-EPIC) to study the Geospace Environment Modeling (GEM) dayside kinetic processes challenge event at 01:50-03:00 UT on 18 November 2015, when the magnetosphere was driven by a steady southward interplanetary magnetic field (IMF). In the MHD-EPIC simulation, the dayside magnetopause is covered by a PIC code so that the dayside reconnection is properly handled. We compare the magnetic fields and the plasma profiles of the magnetopause crossing with the MMS3 spacecraft observations. Most variables match the observations well in the magnetosphere, in the magnetosheath, and also during the current sheet crossing. The MHD-EPIC simulation produces flux ropes, and we demonstrate that some magnetic field and plasma features observed by the MMS3 spacecraft can be reproduced by a flux rope crossing event. We use an algorithm to automatically identify the reconnection sites from the simulation results. It turns out that there are usually multiple X-lines at the magnetopause. By tracing the locations of the X-lines, we find that the typical moving speed of the X-line endpoints is about 70 km/s, which is higher than but still comparable with the ground-based observations. Title: Dispersive Fast Magnetosonic Waves and Shock-Driven Compressible Turbulence in the Inner Heliosheath Authors: Zieger, Bertalan; Opher, Merav; Tóth, Gábor; Florinski, Vladimir Bibcode: 2020JGRA..12528393Z Altcode: The solar wind in the inner heliosheath beyond the termination shock (TS) is a nonequilibrium collisionless plasma consisting of thermal solar wind ions, suprathermal pickup ions, and electrons. In such multi-ion plasma, two fast magnetosonic wave modes exist, the low-frequency fast mode and the high-frequency fast mode. Both fast modes are dispersive on fluid and ion scales, which results in nonlinear dispersive shock waves. We present high-resolution three-fluid simulations of the TS and the inner heliosheath up to a few astronomical units (AU) downstream of the TS. We show that downstream propagating nonlinear fast magnetosonic waves grow until they steepen into shocklets, overturn, and start to propagate backward in the frame of the downstream propagating wave. The counterpropagating nonlinear waves result in 2-D fast magnetosonic turbulence, which is driven by the ion-ion hybrid resonance instability. Energy is transferred from small scales to large scales in the inverse cascade range, and enstrophy is transferred from large scales to small scales in the direct cascade range. We validate our three-fluid simulations with in situ high-resolution Voyager 2 magnetic field observations in the inner heliosheath. Our simulations reproduce the observed magnetic turbulence spectrum with a spectral slope of -5/3 in frequency domain. However, the fluid-scale turbulence spectrum is not a Kolmogorov spectrum in wave number domain because Taylor's hypothesis breaks down in the inner heliosheath. The magnetic structure functions of the simulated and observed turbulence follow the Kolmogorov-Kraichnan scaling, which implies self-similarity. Title: Coupled MHD - Hybrid Simulations of Space Plasmas Authors: Moschou, S. P.; Sokolov, I. V.; Cohen, O.; Toth, G.; Drake, J. J.; Huang, Z.; Garraffo, C.; Alvarado-Gómez, J. D.; Gombosi, T. Bibcode: 2020JPhCS1623a2008M Altcode: 2019arXiv191108660M Heliospheric plasmas require multi-scale and multi-physics considerations. On one hand, MHD codes are widely used for global simulations of the solar-terrestrial environments, but do not provide the most elaborate physical description of space plasmas. Hybrid codes, on the other hand, capture important physical processes, such as electric currents and effects of finite Larmor radius, but they can be used locally only, since the limitations in available computational resources do not allow for their use throughout a global computational domain. In the present work, we present a new coupled scheme which allows to switch blocks in the block-adaptive grids from fluid MHD to hybrid simulations, without modifying the self-consistent computation of the electromagnetic fields acting on fluids (in MHD simulation) or charged ion macroparticles (in hybrid simulation). In this way, the hybrid scheme can refine the description in specified regions of interest without compromising the efficiency of the global MHD code. Title: Reconnection-Driven Dynamics at Ganymede's Upstream Magnetosphere: 3-D Global Hall MHD and MHD-EPIC Simulations Authors: Zhou, Hongyang; Tóth, Gábor; Jia, Xianzhe; Chen, Yuxi Bibcode: 2020JGRA..12528162Z Altcode: The largest moon in the solar system, Ganymede, is the only moon known to possess a strong intrinsic magnetic field and a corresponding magnetosphere. Using the latest version of Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF), we study the upstream plasma interactions and dynamics in this sub-Alfvénic system. Results from the Hall magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) and the coupled MHD with embedded particle-in-cell (MHD-EPIC) models are compared. We find that under steady upstream conditions, magnetopause reconnection occurs in a nonsteady manner, and the energy partition between electrons and ions is different in the two models. Flux ropes of Ganymede's radius in length form on the magnetopause at a rate about 3 min and create spatiotemporal variations in plasma and field properties. Upon reaching proper grid resolutions, the MHD-EPIC model can resolve both electron and ion kinetics at the magnetopause and show localized nongyrotropic behavior inside the diffusion region. The estimated global reconnection rate from the models is about 80 kV with 60% efficiency, and there is weak evidence of ∼1 min periodicity in the temporal variations due to the dynamic reconnection process. Title: The Confinement of the Heliosheath Plasma by the Solar Magnetic Field as Revealed by Energetic Neutral Atom Simulations Authors: Kornbleuth, M.; Opher, M.; Michael, A. T.; Sokół, J. M.; Tóth, G.; Tenishev, V.; Drake, J. F. Bibcode: 2020ApJ...895L..26K Altcode: 2020arXiv200506643K Traditionally, the solar magnetic field has been considered to have a negligible effect in the outer regions of the heliosphere. Recent works have shown that the solar magnetic field may play a crucial role in collimating the plasma in the heliosheath. Interstellar Boundary Explorer (IBEX) observations of the heliotail indicated a latitudinal structure varying with energy in the energetic neutral atom (ENA) fluxes. At energies ∼1 keV, the ENA fluxes show an enhancement at low latitudes and a deficit of ENAs near the poles. At energies >2.7 keV, ENA fluxes had a deficit within low latitudes, and lobes of higher ENA flux near the poles. This ENA structure was initially interpreted to be a result of the latitudinal profile of the solar wind during solar minimum. We extend the work of Kornbleuth et al. by using solar minimum-like conditions and the recently developed Solar-wind with Hydrogen Ion Exchange and Large-scale Dynamics (SHIELD) model. The SHIELD model couples the magnetohydrodynamic plasma solution with a kinetic description of neutral hydrogen. We show that while the latitudinal profile of the solar wind during solar minimum contributes to the lobes in ENA maps, the collimation by the solar magnetic field is important in creating and shaping the two high-latitude lobes of enhanced ENA flux observed by IBEX. This is the first work to explore the effect of the changing solar magnetic field strength on ENA maps. Our findings suggest that IBEX is providing the first observational evidence of the collimation of the heliosheath plasma by the solar magnetic field. Title: Formation and Evolution of the Large-Scale Magnetic Fields in Venus' Ionosphere: Results From a Three Dimensional Global Multispecies MHD Model Authors: Ma, Yingjuan; Toth, Gabor; Nagy, Andrew; Luhmann, Janet; Russell, Christopher Bibcode: 2020GeoRL..4787593M Altcode: Large-scale magnetic fields have been observed in Venus' ionosphere by both the Pioneer Venus Orbiter (PVO) and Venus Express spacecraft. In this study, we examine the formation and evolution of the large-scale magnetic field in the Venus ionosphere using a sophisticated global multispecies Magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) model that has been developed for Venus (Ma et al., 2013, https://doi.org/10.1029/2012JA018265). A time-dependent model run is performed under varying solar wind dynamic pressure. Based on model results, we find that (1) the initial response of the induced magnetosphere is fast (~min), (2) a large-scale magnetic field gradually forms in the ionosphere when the solar wind dynamic pressure suddenly exceeds the ionospheric thermal pressure, (3) both the penetration and decay of the large-scale magnetic field in the ionosphere are slow (~hr), and (4) the ion escape rate has a nonlinear response to the change of solar wind dynamic pressure. Title: Validating the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) for applications in northern Europe. Ground magnetic perturbation validation Authors: Kwagala, Norah Kaggwa; Hesse, Michael; Moretto, Therese; Tenfjord, Paul; Norgren, Cecilia; Tóth, Gabor; Gombosi, Tamas; Kolstø, Håkon M.; Spinnangr, Susanne F. Bibcode: 2020JSWSC..10...33K Altcode: In this study we investigate the performance of the University of Michigan's Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) in prediction of ground magnetic perturbations (ΔB) and their rate of change with time (dB/dt), which is directly connected to geomagnetically induced currents (GICs). We use the SWMF set-up where the global magnetosphere provided by the Block Adaptive Tree Solar-wind Roe-type Upwind Scheme (BATS-R-US) MHD code, is coupled to the inner magnetosphere and the ionospheric electrodynamics. The validation is done for ΔB and dB/dt separately. The performance is evaluated via data-model comparison through a metrics-based approach. For ΔB, the normalized root mean square error (nRMS) and the correlation coefficient are used. For dB/dt, the probability of detection, the probability of false detection, the Heidke skill score, and the frequency bias are used for different dB/dt thresholds. The performance is evaluated for eleven ground magnetometer stations located between 59° and 85° magnetic latitude and spanning about five magnetic local times. Eight geomagnetic storms are studied. Our results show that the SWMF predicts the northward component of the perturbations better at lower latitudes (59°-67°) than at higher latitudes (>67°), whereas for the eastward component, the model performs better at high latitudes. Generally, the SWMF performs well in the prediction of dB/dt for a 0.3 nT/s threshold, with a high probability of detection ≈0.8, low probability of false detection (<0.4), and Heidke skill score above zero. To a large extent the model tends to predict events as often as they are actually occurring in nature (frequency bias 1). With respect to the metrics measures, the dB/dt prediction performance generally decreases as the threshold is raised, except for the probability of false detection, which improves. Title: MHD Predictions of Plasma Conditions Above Insight Landing Site based on MAVEN observations Authors: Ma, Yingjuan; Russell, Chris; Yu, Yanan; Nagy, Andrew; Toth, Gabor; Jakosky2, Bruce Bibcode: 2020EGUGA..2220751M Altcode: The Interior Exploration using Seismic Investigations, Geodesy and Heat Transport (InSight) mission was launched on 5 May 2018 and successfully landed at Elysium Planitia (4.5oN, 135.9oE)on Mars on 26 November 2018. The InSight Lander carries a magnetometer to measure disturbances from the Martian ionosphere. In order to understand the daily variations in the magnet field measurements on Martian surface, in this study, we use the time-dependent MHD model to study how plasma conditions vary with local time above insight landing site using solar wind condition from MAVEN observation. Significant diurnal variations can be seen in all plasma quantities due to solar wind interactions and planetary rotation. The induced magnetic field is mainly in the same direction as the upstream IMF. However, it seems that the variations seen by the Insight magnetometer cannot be only due to the interaction of the solar wind. We also add a neutral wind effect in our simulations to further investigate possible causes of surface field changes. Title: Predicting Solar Flares with Machine Learning: Investigating Solar Cycle Dependence Authors: Wang, Xiantong; Chen, Yang; Toth, Gabor; Manchester, Ward B.; Gombosi, Tamas I.; Hero, Alfred O.; Jiao, Zhenbang; Sun, Hu; Jin, Meng; Liu, Yang Bibcode: 2020ApJ...895....3W Altcode: 2019arXiv191200502W A deep learning network, long short-term memory (LSTM), is used to predict whether an active region (AR) will produce a flare of class Γ in the next 24 hr. We consider Γ to be ≥M (strong flare), ≥C (medium flare), and ≥A (any flare) class. The essence of using LSTM, which is a recurrent neural network, is its ability to capture temporal information on the data samples. The input features are time sequences of 20 magnetic parameters from the space weather Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager AR patches. We analyze ARs from 2010 June to 2018 December and their associated flares identified in the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite X-ray flare catalogs. Our results produce skill scores consistent with recently published results using LSTMs and are better than the previous results using a single time input. The skill scores from the model show statistically significant variation when different years of data are chosen for training and testing. In particular, 2015-2018 have better true skill statistic and Heidke skill scores for predicting ≥C medium flares than 2011-2014, when the difference in flare occurrence rates is properly taken into account. Title: Publisher Correction: A small and round heliosphere suggested by magnetohydrodynamic modelling of pick-up ions Authors: Opher, Merav; Loeb, Abraham; Drake, James; Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 2020NatAs...4..719O Altcode: 2020NatAs.tmp...96O An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via a link at the top of the paper. Title: Is the Relation Between the Solar Wind Dynamic Pressure and the Magnetopause Standoff Distance so Straightforward? Authors: Samsonov, A. A.; Bogdanova, Y. V.; Branduardi-Raymont, G.; Sibeck, D. G.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2020GeoRL..4786474S Altcode: We present results of global magnetohydrodynamic simulations which reconsider the relationship between the solar wind dynamic pressure (Pd) and magnetopause standoff distance (RSUB). We simulate the magnetospheric response to increases in the dynamic pressure by varying separately the solar wind density or velocity for northward and southward interplanetary magnetic field (IMF). We obtain different values of the power law indices N in the relation RSUB∼Pd-1>/N depending on which parameter, density, or velocity, has been varied and for which IMF orientation. The changes in the standoff distance are smaller (higher N) for a density increase for southward IMF and greater (smaller N) for a velocity increase. An enhancement of the solar wind velocity for a southward IMF increases the magnetopause reconnection rate and Region 1 current that move the magnetopause closer to the Earth than it appears in the case of density increase for the same dynamic pressure. Title: The Solar-wind with Hydrogen Ion Exchange and Large-scale Dynamics (SHIELD) model: A Self-Consistent Kinetic-MHD Model of the Outer Heliosphere Authors: Michael, Adam T.; Opher, Merav; Toth, Gabor; Tenishev, Valeriy; Borovikov, Dmitry Bibcode: 2020arXiv200401152M Altcode: Neutral hydrogen has been shown to greatly impact the plasma flow in the heliopshere and the location of the heliospheric boundaries. We present the results of the Solar-wind with Hydrogen Ion Exchange and Large-scale Dynamics (SHIELD) model, a new, self-consistent, kinetic-MHD model of the outer heliosphere within the Space Weather Modeling Framework. The charge-exchange mean free path is on order of the size of the heliosphere; therefore, the neutral atoms cannot be described as a fluid. The SHIELD model couples the MHD solution for a single plasma fluid to the kinetic solution from for neutral hydrogen atoms streaming through the system. The kinetic code is based on the Adaptive Mesh Particle Simulator (AMPS), a Monte Carlo method for solving the Boltzmann equation. The SHIELD model accurately predicts the increased filtration of interstellar neutrals into the heliosphere. In order to verify the correct implementation within the model, we compare the results of the SHIELD model to other, well-established kinetic-MHD models. The SHIELD model matches the neutral hydrogen solution of these studies as well as the shift in all heliospheric boundaries closer to the Sun in comparison the the multi-fluid treatment of the neutral hydrogen atoms. Overall the SHIELD model shows excellent agreement to these models and is a significant improvement to the fluid treatment of interstellar hydrogen. Title: A small and round heliosphere suggested by magnetohydrodynamic modelling of pick-up ions Authors: Opher, Merav; Loeb, Abraham; Drake, James; Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 2020NatAs...4..675O Altcode: 2020NatAs.tmp...55O; 2020NatAs.tmp...90O As the Sun moves through the surrounding partially ionized medium, neutral hydrogen atoms penetrate the heliosphere, and through charge exchange with the supersonic solar wind, create a population of hot pick-up ions (PUIs). Until recently, the consensus was that the shape of the heliosphere is comet-like. The termination shock crossing by Voyager 2 demonstrated that the heliosheath (the region of shocked solar wind) pressure is dominated by PUIs; however, the impact of the PUIs on the global structure of the heliosphere has not been explored. Here we use a novel magnetohydrodynamic model that treats the PUIs as a separate fluid from the thermal component of the solar wind. The depletion of PUIs, due to charge exchange with the neutral hydrogen atoms of the interstellar medium in the heliosheath, cools the heliosphere, `deflating' it and leading to a narrower heliosheath and a smaller and rounder shape, confirming the shape suggested by Cassini observations. The new model reproduces both the properties of the PUIs, based on the New Horizons observations, and the solar wind ions, based on the Voyager 2 spacecraft observations as well as the solar-like magnetic field data outside the heliosphere at Voyager 1 and Voyager 2. Title: The surface distributions of the production of the major volatile species, H2O, CO2, CO and O2, from the nucleus of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko throughout the Rosetta Mission as measured by the ROSINA double focusing mass spectrometer Authors: Combi, Michael; Shou, Yinsi; Fougere, Nicolas; Tenishev, Valeriy; Altwegg, Kathrin; Rubin, Martin; Bockelée-Morvan, Dominique; Capaccioni, Fabrizio; Cheng, Yu-Chi; Fink, Uwe; Gombosi, Tamas; Hansen, Kenneth C.; Huang, Zhenguang; Marshall, David; Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 2020Icar..33513421C Altcode: 2019arXiv190902082C The Rosetta Orbiter Spectrometer for Ion and Neutral Analysis (ROSINA) suite of instruments operated throughout the over two years of the Rosetta mission operations in the vicinity of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko. It measured gas densities and composition throughout the comet's atmosphere, or coma. Here we present two-years' worth of measurements of the relative densities of the four major volatile species in the coma of the comet, H2O, CO2, CO and O2, by one of the ROSINA sub-systems called the Double Focusing Mass Spectrometer (DFMS). The absolute total gas densities were provided by the Comet Pressure Sensor (COPS), another ROSINA sub-system. DFMS is a very high mass resolution and high sensitivity mass spectrometer able to resolve at a tiny fraction of an atomic mass unit. We have analyzed the combined DFMS and COPS measurements using an inversion scheme based on spherical harmonics that solves for the distribution of potential surface activity of each species as the comet rotates, changing solar illumination, over short time intervals and as the comet changes distance from the sun and orientation of its spin axis over long time intervals. We also use the surface boundary conditions derived from the inversion scheme to simulate the whole coma with our fully kinetic Direct Simulation Monte Carlo model and calculate the production rates of the four major species throughout the mission. We compare the derived production rates with revised remote sensing observations by the Visible and Infrared Thermal Imaging Spectrometer (VIRTIS) as well as with published observations from the Microwave Instrument for the Rosetta Orbiter (MIRO). Finally we use the variation of the surface production of the major species to calculate the total mass loss over the mission and, for different estimates of the dust/gas ratio, calculate the variation of surface loss all over the nucleus. Title: 3D global Hall-MHD simulations of Mercury's magnetopause dynamics Authors: Li, C.; Jia, X.; Chen, Y.; Toth, G.; Slavin, J. A.; Sun, W. Bibcode: 2019AGUFMSM33D3217L Altcode: As the innermost planet of the solar system, Mercury's magnetosphere has long been considered a very unique system due to its proximity to Sun. At Mercury's orbit, the solar wind plasma density, ram pressure, and IMF strength typically are much higher than those encountered by the terrestrial magnetosphere. Because of the small size of the magnetosphere, the low Alfven Mach number upstream flow and resultant low-beta magnetosheath plasma, the interaction between Mercury's magnetosphere and the solar wind is extremely dynamic and the dynamics is dominated by effects associated with magnetic reconnection. Previous analyses of the MESSENGER observations have revealed extraordinarily high occurrence rate of Flux Transfer Events (FTEs) at the magnetopause, which were observed to arise on a timescale of a few seconds (e.g., Slavin et al., 2012). In order to gain a better understanding of the generation mechanism of the frequently observed FTEs and the overall magnetopause dynamics, we have employed the BATSRUS Hall-MHD code to simulate Mercury's interaction with the solar wind. A high-resolution grid with cell size of ~ 30 km (or ~ 0.01 RM) is used at the dayside magnetopause in order to resolve ion-scale physics, which is important for reconnection. Our Hall-MHD model also includes Mercury's interior that allows us to self-consistently simulate the induction effects of the conducting core (Jia et al., 2015, 2019). Our initial simulations using steady solar wind with southward IMF conditions show that reconnection at the magnetopause occurs in a non-steady fashion, which then leads to flux ropes of varying sizes being generated on timescale of seconds, which is generally consistent with what has been reported based on MESSENGER observations. The dynamic behavior of the magnetopause is not seen in ideal MHD simulations that use the same input parameters. The differences between these two sets of simulations suggest that the Hall physics may play an important role in magnetopause reconnection and large-scale dynamics at Mercury. Title: Systematic Study of the Magnetopause Reconnection and FTEs from 3D Simulations of Ganymede's Magnetosphere Authors: Zhou, H.; Toth, G.; Jia, X. Bibcode: 2019AGUFMSM41B..09Z Altcode: The largest moon in the solar system, Ganymede, is also the only moon known to possess a strong intrinsic magnetic field and a corresponding magnetosphere. Previous results have shown that even under steady upstream conditions, magnetopause reconnection at Ganymede occurs in a non-steady manner. Simulation results from Hall MHD and MHD-E(mbedded)Particle-In-Cell models have shown clear signatures of flux ropes on the magnetopause, with a fluctuation of global reconnection rate in the 20min runs. In this study, we will present a detailed comparison on the direct and indirect reconnection rate calculation from several numerical models and give insights into the flux transfer events (FTEs) and the responses from Ganymede's magnetosphere. With the techniques of tracking the reconnection sites, the relation between spatiotemporal variations in plasma and field properties across the magnetopause, the flux rope generation, and the reconnection rate will be discussed. These would be useful for the future JUICE mission for aiding the in-situ measurements and detecting plasma interaction processes. Title: The response of Jupiter's coupled magnetosphere-ionosphere system to changes in the solar wind and the release of plasmoids in the magnetotail: Results from global MHD simulations Authors: Sarkango, Y.; Jia, X.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2019AGUFMSM33G3289S Altcode: Joint observations by the HST and in situ spacecraft have shown that the brightness of Jupiter's aurora appears to be correlated with solar wind dynamic pressure enhancement, despite theoretical work predicting the opposite. In this study, we use a time-dependent global MHD model (Sarkango et al., 2019, JGR) to investigate the response of Jupiter's coupled magnetosphere-ionosphere system to different types of changes in the upstream conditions, such as IMF rotation and forward interplanetary shock. Our model solves the single fluid semi-relativistic ideal MHD equations and self-consistently includes the mass loading associated with the Io plasma torus through the addition of source and loss terms. Using our model, we show that the response of the corotation enforcement currents (which we assume are a proxy for auroral brightness) to a shock-induced compression varies significantly with local time, with currents being depleted on the dayside and moderately enhanced on the nightside. Plasmoids are frequently seen in our model due to tail reconnection and plasmoid release occurs more frequently during periods of high solar wind dynamic pressure. The release of plasmoids is often accompanied with reduction of the net open flux in the polar regions as well as decrease in the intensity of corotation enforcement currents, consistent with the idea that the magnetosphere returns to a less stressed state after plasmoid release. Plasmoids originating on closed field lines are found to temporarily create a region of closed flux deep inside the polar cap that originally only contains open magnetic field lines, which diminishes in size as the plasmoid moves tailward and interacts with the surrounding plasma. Our results together show that the polar regions of Jupiter are highly dynamic and the formation and release of plasmoids further complicates the dynamics through large-scale reconfiguration of the magnetic field topology. Title: Exploring the physics of sawtooth oscillations from MHD-EPIC simulations Authors: Chen, Y.; Toth, G.; Wang, X.; Gombosi, T. I.; Welling, D. T.; Henderson, M. G.; Markidis, S.; Cassak, P. Bibcode: 2019AGUFMSM21B3144C Altcode: The sawtooth events are global magnetospheric oscillations with a 2~4 hour period identified by the saw blade like signature of the energetic particle flux and magnetic field near geosynchronous orbit. Previous global numerical simulations suggest that the oscillations are generated by the ionospheric O + outflows (Brambles et al. [2011]). However, recent satellite observations demonstrated the ionospheric outflow is neither a necessary nor a sufficient condition for the generation of the sawtooth oscillations (Liao et al. [2014], Lund et al. [2017]). We use the MHD with embedded particle-in-cell (MHD-EPIC) model, which simulates Earth's magnetotail with a PIC code, to show the periodic magnetospheric oscillations can be generated even without the ionospheric outflow. We show that the magnetotail reconnection is not fast enough to balance the incoming magnetic flux during the stretching phase of a sawtooth, and the dipolarization phase is triggered by the onset of reconnection around x=-20 R E , where the reconnection rate is fast enough to release the magnetic flux due to the high ambient magnetic field strength. We will present the spatial features and temporal variations of the sawtooth oscillations from the MHD-EPIC simulation results, and compare the simulations with the observations. Title: How small changes in the magnetopause current help trap the ring current population Authors: Ilie, R.; Liu, J.; Chen, L., , Dr; Zhu, H.; Toth, G.; Bashir, M. F.; Liemohn, M. W. Bibcode: 2019AGUFMSM41D3272I Altcode: Particle energization is one of the open questions in heliophysics research, whether it pertains to coronal heating, polar wind outflow, or magnetospheric transport. The terrestrial magnetosphere acts as an efficient particle accelerator, as it can rapidly accelerate charged particles up to very high energies over relatively short times and distances. While the magnetic field topology is critical for understanding the particle drifts, knowing the source and structure of the electric field is crucial for interpreting the flow of particles in this region. Assessing the relative contribution of potential versus inductive electric fields at the energization of the hot ion population in the inner magnetosphere is only possible by thorough examination of the time varying magnetic field and current systems using global modeling of the entire system. Based on the Helmholtz vector decomposition of the motional electric field as calculated by the BATS-R-US model, we differentiate the electric field based on its source (electrostatic vs. inductive). Electric field coupling between the BATS-R-US and the Hot Electron and Ion Drift Integrator model reveals the crucial role of time varying magnetic fields, and hence the inductive electric field, in trapping of energetic particle and in the overall particle energization.

We show that inductive electric fields, even if not impulsive in nature, contribute significantly to the total field, and in the absence of strong dipolarizations, most of the contribution comes from the intensification of the magnetopause current. In addition, the inductive electric field acts to stabilize the ring current, and it plays a significant role in particle trapping. These results indicate a potential paradigm shift in our knowledge of particle energization in the context of ring current development and decay. Title: Global Magnetospheric Model with Microscopic Physics: MHD-EPIC Authors: Toth, G.; Chen, Y.; Zhou, H.; Wang, X.; Tenishev, V.; Shou, Y.; Markidis, S. Bibcode: 2019AGUFMSM12B..06T Altcode: In the last 5 years we have developed and implemented the magnetohydrodynamics with embedded particle-in-cell (MHD-EPIC) model. MHD-EPIC allows performing global MHD simulations two-way coupled with local PIC simulations covering one or more regions where kinetic effects are important, such as magnetic reconnection sites. We have improved the PIC algorithm to conserve energy and satisfy Gauss' law at the same time, generalized the MHD-PIC coupling to arbitrary MHD grids and rotated PIC regions, and improved the efficiency of the coupler. We have also studied the technique of artificially increasing the kinetic scales by changing the mass per charge ratio for the ions and electrons, and we found that the global solution remains essentially the same as long as the global and kinetic scales are reasonably well separated.

The combination of these new technologies and insights enabled us to perform MHD-EPIC simulations for several magnetospheres, including Ganymede, Mercury, Mars, Earth and Saturn. In this talk we will demonstrate these capabilities for modeling Earth's magnetosphere with the PIC region covering the dayside or tail reconnection sites. On the dayside we compare the model with observations of flux transfer events and kinetic scale observations by the MMS space craft. For the magnetotail we study the dynamics of the reconnection process that appears to reproduce several features of sawtooth events for strong but steady driving with negative Bz field. Our work is supported by the NSF INSPIRE and PRE-EVENTS grants. Title: Modeling an Extreme Coronal Mass Ejection and its Consequences for the Earth's Inner Magnetosphere Authors: Komar, C. M.; Kang, S. B.; Oliveira, D. M.; Bhaskar, A. T.; Fok, M. C. H.; Glocer, A.; Buzulukova, N.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2019AGUFMSM13E3356K Altcode: Interplanetary coronal mass ejections (CMEs) can have a variety of different impacts upon Geospace. The most extreme CME on record to have struck the Earth is the well-known Carrington event of 1859. However, in the sixty or so years since the Space Age began, we have thus far been exceptionally lucky that no extreme CME has impacted the Earth's space environment. The work by Tsurutani and Lakhina, GRL, 2014 estimates some of the potential impacts that an extreme CME could have on Geospace. Tsurutani and Lakhina, 2014 utilize empirical relations to provide best estimates of: (1) the magnetopause's location, (2) the sudden impulse intensity, and (3) the magnetospheric electric field. The CME conditions described by Tsurutani and Lakhina, 2014 is the most extreme CME conceived by our current theoretical and empirical knowledge; such a CME is likely to be MORE extreme than the Carrington event. Global magnetospheric models are now capable of simulating such events to give insight into the effects of extreme space weather conditions.

This work will present the results of simulations with the Space Weather Modeling Framework using the global magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) Block Adaptive Tree Solar wind Roe-type Upwind Scheme (BATS-R-US) code. The simulation uses the exact extreme CME conditions presented in Tsurutani and Lakhina, 2014 to model the impact of an extreme CME on the magnetosphere. We will present the successful simulation of these extreme space weather conditions. We will directly compare and contrast the predicted values from the empirical relations presented in Tsurutani and Lakhina, 2017 with the results of the MHD simulations: the sudden impulse dB/dt, magnetopause location, and the magnetospheric electric field. We will discuss the response of the inner magnetospheric system to extreme space weather events. Title: Multi-fluid MHD Modeling of Europa's Plasma Interaction: Effects of Asymmetric Density in the Neutral Atmosphere Authors: Harris, C. D. K.; Jia, X.; Slavin, J. A.; Toth, G.; Rubin, M. Bibcode: 2019AGUFMSM33F3279H Altcode: Europa orbits Jupiter within the Jovian magnetosphere, that region of space dominated by the planetary magnetic field and by plasma originating from Jupiter's moon Io. Europa's subsurface ocean and weak atmosphere interact with Jupiter's magnetic field and magnetospheric plasma. Here we investigate the role of Europa's neutral O2 atmosphere in the generation of Europa's ionosphere and its interaction with Jupiter's magnetosphere. We have developed a 3D multi-fluid magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model for the plasma interaction that solves for the bulk properties of 3 ion fluids (magnetospheric O+, ionospheric O+ and O2+), an electron fluid, and the electromagnetic fields near the moon. We include a static distribution of neutral O2 that represents Europa's atmosphere and provides the neutral source for ionization and charge exchange source terms that populate the ionosphere in our simulation. We use our MHD model to demonstrate the effects of variation in the neutral atmosphere on the plasma interaction during two different flybys conducted by the Galileo mission. During the E4 flyby Europa was located outside the plasma sheet and the trailing hemisphere was sunlit, while during the E15 flyby Europa was embedded within the plasma sheet and the trailing hemisphere was in shadow. By comparing our simulation results to the in situ magnetometer and plasma data collected by the Galileo spacecraft, we show that the E4 flyby is readily modeled with a neutral atmosphere with enhanced O2 density on the trailing hemisphere; conversely, the E15 flyby is better modeled by a neutral atmosphere that is enhanced on the leading hemisphere. This finding is consistent with results from recent modeling of Europa's atmosphere that incorporates the effects of solar illumination on Europa's spatially non-uniform atmosphere as the moon rotates (Oza et al., 2019). Our work demonstrates that the state of Europa's neutral atmosphere is a crucial factor in the generation of Europa's ionosphere and, ultimately, the magnetic field perturbations associated with the plasma interaction. Title: The Current State of Operational Geospace Modeling Efforts at NOAA SWPC Authors: Cash, M. D.; Singer, H. J.; Balch, C. C.; Millward, G. H.; Camporeale, E.; Toth, G.; Huang, Z. Bibcode: 2019AGUFMSM12B..01C Altcode: The operational Geospace model, which has been running in real-time at NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) since 2016, will undergo a significant upgrade in 2020 to a higher resolution version. The Geospace model is comprised of three coupled components from University of Michigan's Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF), and having run the model continuously for the past three years, we have been able to assess the strengths and limitations of running the model in such a real-time mode. In this presentation, we discuss the successes and limitations experienced running with the current low-resolution version of the model, and present examples of the expected model improvements associated with upgrading the model to a higher resolution. In particular, we will discuss improvements to our regional forecasting capabilities and the implications that such improvements have on down-stream modeling efforts such as predicting the regional geoelectric field in a predictive mode using output from the Geospace model. Title: Global modeling of the drivers and impacts of storm-time plasma composition Authors: Glocer, A.; Welling, D. T.; Toth, G.; Fok, M. C. H.; Chappell, C. R.; Kang, S. B.; Komar, C. M.; Buzulukova, N.; Ferradas, C. Bibcode: 2019AGUFMSM11A..06G Altcode: Earth's space environment system is comprised of a myriad of plasma populations. These populations encompass characteristic energies ranging over 6 orders of magnitude; from sub-eV plasma in the ionosphere, to 10-100 keV plasma in the ring current, and MeV and higher particles in the radiation belts. Further complicating this picture is the fact that the origin of near-Earth plasma, be it the ionosphere or solar wind, remains a subject of significant debate. Simulating these disparate plasma populations in a single global simulation requires a fusion of fluid and kinetic models. In this presentation we present an improved coupling of the Polar Wind Outflow Model (PWOM), the Comprehensive Ionosphere Magnetosphere Interaction (CIMI) model, and BATSRUS model of the magnetosphere. These models are coupled together using the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF), and represent a comprehensive model of the Earth's space environment. The improved coupling allows us to investigate the origin of near-Earth plasma by separately tracking solar wind plasma (H+) from ionospheric plasma (highlatitude H+ and O+, as well as plasmaspheric H+). Focusing on storm-time simulations, we will examine hemispheric asymmetries in the outflow, the relative role of wave-particle interactions and solar EUV in driving ionospheric outflow, and the impact on the ring current and radiation belts. We will moreover highlight the kinetic features embedded in the model and discuss current limitations future directions. Title: Predicting Solar Flares using Time Sequence Based Machine Learning Models Authors: Wang, X.; Toth, G.; Chen, Y.; Manchester, W.; Jiao, Z.; Sun, H.; Sun, Z.; Hero, A. O.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2019AGUFMSH34A..03W Altcode: In the last few years machine learning methods are becoming popular for predicting solar flares. We use the Space-weather HMI Active Region Patches (SHARP) dataset to analyze thousands of active regions' magnetic field and derived parameters (total unsigned flux, free magnetic energy, etc) using various machine learning algorithms. In this work we first use the SHARP summary parameters to predict the maximum flare intensity in a certain time window through a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) algorithm, which is a particular type of a recurrent neural network. The dataset we are using contains 3399 active regions from 2010 to 2015. Furthermore, we will use the full vector magnetogram images to train a combined LSTM and feature extraction convolutional neural network (CNN). This approach allows capturing more detailed spatial-temporal features of the magnetic field. Our results show that using a time sequence to predict the maximum flare intensity can achieve a better Heidke Skill Score (HSS) than using a single frame as the input. The HSS for predicting the maximum flare class in the next 24 hours is about 0.35 for M/X flares and 0.55 for C/M/X flares. Title: Validation of the Alfvén Wave Solar Atmosphere Model (AWSoM) with Observations from the Low Corona to 1 au Authors: Sachdeva, Nishtha; van der Holst, Bart; Manchester, Ward B.; Tóth, Gabor; Chen, Yuxi; Lloveras, Diego G.; Vásquez, Alberto M.; Lamy, Philippe; Wojak, Julien; Jackson, Bernard V.; Yu, Hsiu-Shan; Henney, Carl J. Bibcode: 2019ApJ...887...83S Altcode: 2019arXiv191008110S We perform a validation study of the latest version of the Alfvén Wave Solar atmosphere Model (AWSoM) within the Space Weather Modeling Framework. To do so, we compare the simulation results of the model with a comprehensive suite of observations for Carrington rotations representative of the solar minimum conditions extending from the solar corona to the heliosphere up to the Earth. In the low corona (r < 1.25 {\text{}}{R}), we compare with EUV images from both Solar-Terrestrial Relations Observatory-A/EUVI and Solar Dynamics Observatory/Atmospheric Imaging Assembly and to three-dimensional (3D) tomographic reconstructions of the electron temperature and density based on these same data. We also compare the model to tomographic reconstructions of the electron density from Solar and Heliospheric Observatory/Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph observations (2.55 < r < 6.0{\text{}}{R}). In the heliosphere, we compare model predictions of solar wind speed with velocity reconstructions from InterPlanetary Scintillation observations. For comparison with observations near the Earth, we use OMNI data. Our results show that the improved AWSoM model performs well in quantitative agreement with the observations between the inner corona and 1 au. The model now reproduces the fast solar wind speed in the polar regions. Near the Earth, our model shows good agreement with observations of solar wind velocity, proton temperature, and density. AWSoM offers an extensive application to study the solar corona and larger heliosphere in concert with current and future solar missions as well as being well suited for space weather predictions. Title: Preferential Ion Heating and Particle Acceleration Downstream of Dispersive Shock Waves in Collisionless Multi-Ion Plasma Authors: Zieger, B.; Toth, G.; Opher, M. Bibcode: 2019AGUFMSH23B3396Z Altcode: We briefly review the theory of dispersive shock waves in collisionless multi-ion plasma. In such plasma, two (or more) fast magnetosonic wave modes exist: the high-frequency fast mode that propagates in the ion component with the higher thermal speed and the low-frequency fast mode that propagates in the ion component with the lower thermal speed [Toida and Aota, 2013; Zieger et al., 2015]. Both fast modes are dispersive on fluid and ion scales, which results in nonlinear dispersive shock waves. A negative dispersive wave mode produces a trailing wave train downstream of the shock, while a positive dispersive wave mode produces a precursor wave train upstream of the shock [Biskamp, 1973; Hoefer, 2014]. Here we present high-resolution three-fluid simulations of dispersive shock waves in two-ion-species plasma. We show that downstream propagating nonlinear magnetosonic waves grow until they steepen into shocklets (thin current sheets), overturn, and start to propagate backward in the frame of the downstream propagating wave, as predicted by theory [McKenzie et al., 1993; Dubinin et al, 2006]. The counter-propagating nonlinear waves result in fast magnetosonic turbulence far downstream of the shock. Interestingly, energy is transferred from small scales to large scales (inverse energy cascade) in the high-frequency fast mode, and from large scales to small scales (direct energy cascade) in the low-frequency fast mode as the turbulence develops in time. We show that the ion species with the lower thermal speed is preferentially heated by the turbulence. Forward shocklets can efficiently accelerate both ions and electrons to high energies through the shock drift acceleration mechanism. We can conclude that fast magnetosonic turbulence in collisionless multi-ion plasma will move the plasma towards a state where the thermal speeds of different ion species are comparable. Our theoretical and numerical simulation results could help to explain the observed preferential heating of heavy ions in the solar corona, the acceleration of energetic particles downstream of interpanetary shocks in the multi-ion solar wind, the non-adiabatic cooling of solar wind ions and pickup ions in the outer heliosphere, and the unfolding of the anomalous cosmic ray energy spectra in the heliosheath, downstream of the termination shock. Title: Validating the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) for applications in northern Europe: Ground magnetic perturbation validation Authors: Kwagala, N. K.; Hesse, M.; Tenfjord, P.; Norgren, C.; Moretto, T.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2019AGUFMSM13F3373K Altcode: This study evaluates the performance of the University of Michigan's Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) in the prediction of ground magnetic perturbations in the northern Europe region. The SWMF consists of an MHD code which is a Block Adaptive Tree Solar-wind Roe-type Upwind Scheme (BATS-R-US), with several other models which can be coupled together. We use the the global magnetosphere, ionosphere electrodynamics and inner magnetosphere coupled SWMF. The SWMF is currently used for space weather forecast by the by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Centre (SWPC) and at the Community Coordinated Modeling Centre (CCMC). The SWMF was selected to transit to operation after a series of community-wide validations of several numerical models on a global scale. In our study we further validate the SWMF for applications in the northern Europe region. The model predictions are done for selected ground magnetometer stations between 59o - 78o magnetic latitudes spanning 5 magnetic local hours. The performance is quantified using the metrics-based analyses, normalized root-mean-square error and cross correlation coefficient. The different metrics are derived from contingency tables built for each event and station. Investigated metrics include the probability of detection, probability of false alarm detection, Heidke Skill Score and frequency bias of the model. The variation of the model performance is investigated from event to event, and for different magnetic latitudes, and magnetic local times. Title: Impact of Non-MHD Effects on Global Magnetosphere Dynamics for Extreme Solar Wind Driving Authors: Kuznetsova, M. M.; Toth, G.; Rastaetter, L. Bibcode: 2019AGUFMSM11A..04K Altcode: The presentations will address challenges in global magnetosphere simulations for extreme driving conditions. Strong solar wind driving can push the magnetopause boundary into inner magnetosphere and even upper atmosphere where single fluid MHD approach is not applicable. For extreme driving the magnetopause can move close to the earthward boundary of the simulation domain that can lead to increased sensitivity to parameters and assumptions at the inner boundary. Ionosphere conductance models are typically trained on observational data sets that do not include time periods with extreme driving. Another major challenge is to quantify the interaction between global evolution of the magnetosphere and microphysical kinetic processes in diffusion regions near reconnection sites. Our past studies of magnetosphere dynamics during moderate steady southward driving demonstrated that incorporation of kinetic nongyrotropic effects near reconnection sites in magnetotail significantly alter the global magnetosphere evolution. To study characteristics of loading/unloading cycle in response to extreme solar wind driving we utilize the global MHD component of the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) with incorporated kinetic corrections. We also discuss relative impact of kinetic effects at the reconnection site and conditions at the inner boundary. Title: The Two-Lobe Structure of the Heliosphere Persists in the SHIELD Model, a K-MHD Model of the Outer Heliosphere Authors: Michael, A.; Opher, M.; Toth, G.; Tenishev, V.; Borovikov, D. Bibcode: 2019AGUFMSH51B..07M Altcode: The canonical view of the shape of the heliosphere resembles a long comet tail, however, our research group at BU, led by Dr. Merav Opher, has suggested that the heliosphere is tailless with a two-lobe structure. This study was done with a state-of-the-art 3D magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) code that treats the ionized and neutral hydrogen atoms as fluids. Previous studies that have described the neutrals kinetically have claimed that this removes the two-lobe structure of the heliosphere. In this work, we will use the newly developed Solar-wind with Hydrogen Ion Exchange and Large-scale Dynamics (SHIELD) model, a self-consistent kinetic-MHD model of the outer heliosphere. The SHIELD model couples the Outer Heliosphere (OH) and Particle Tracker (PT) components within the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). The OH component utilizes the Block-Adaptive Tree Solarwind Roe-type Upwind Scheme (BATS-R-US) MHD code, a highly parallel, 3D, and block-adaptive solver. The PT component is based on the Adaptive Mesh Particle Simulator (AMPS) model, a 3D, direct simulation Monte Carlo model that solves the Boltzmann equation to model the neutral distribution function throughout the domain. The SHIELD model couples the MHD solution for a single plasma fluid to the kinetic solution from for neutral hydrogen atoms streaming through the system. We use the same boundary conditions as Opher et al. (2015), the seminal work on the two-lobe structure, within the SHIELD model to test whether the two-lobe structure of the heliotail is removed. Our results show that despite the large difference in the neutral solution between the fluid and kinetic treatment of the neutral hydrogen, the two-lobe structure remains even when the neutral hydrogen atoms are modeled kinetically. These results are contrary to Izmodenov et al (2018), whose model maintains a perfectly ideal heliopause and does not allow for communication between the solar wind and interstellar medium . This indicates that magnetic reconnection downtail and/or instabilities play a crucial role for the formation of the two-lobe structure. Title: Role of the Inductive Electric Field to the Ring Current Particle Energization and Trapping Authors: Liu, J.; Ilie, R.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2019AGUFMSM13F3372L Altcode: The dynamic nature of magnetic field within inner magnetosphere region plays an important role in the transport and energization process of ring current ion species, by altering the local gradient-curvature drift of trapped ring current ion population, changing the bounce path length of trapped particles, and inducing a global inductive electric field, as described by Faraday's law, that accelerates particles within a short period of time. Quantifying the effect brought by the dynamic nature of magnetic field is crucial for providing a realistic and accurate description of the dynamic and time-evolution of terrestrial ring current, especially during storm time, when the dynamic nature of magnetic field is prominent.

The motions of different particle population trapped within inner magnetosphere are both energy and pitch-angle dependent, so standard single fluid treatment of plasma cannot provide adequate description of the inner magnetosphere. To accurately simulate this closed field lines region, a kinetic model solving the energy and pitch-angle dependent particle drift of hot ions and electrons is needed. The Hot Electron Ion Drift Integrator (HEIDI) kinetic model is able to separate the contribution from different aspects of the dynamic nature of magnetic field, to particle drift, energization rate and pitch-angle scattering. We present here, for the first time, an assessment of the role the inductive electric field plays in trapping particles in the inner magnetosphere, and in the intensification of the ring current.

Comparison results on the drift, energization rate and pitch-angle change obtained from HEIDI, by both coupling it with BATS-R-US and running stand alone, have been obtained to analyze the effect of different aspects of time-changing magnetic field on the ring-current ion dynamics. In coupled mode, BATS-R-US provides HEIDI with self-consistent electric (separated by source) and magnetic field information, while in stand-alone mode, HEIDI itself is able to calculate a self-consistent inductive electric field generated by a time varying analytic stretching dipole magnetic field. Title: Limitations of global MHD models of the Earth's magnetosphere Authors: Rastaetter, L.; Moretto, T.; Hesse, M.; Kuznetsova, M. M.; Toth, G.; Raeder, J.; Lyon, J.; Honkonen, I. J. Bibcode: 2019AGUFMSM12B..02R Altcode: Global MHD models are an important asset in the collection of models that forecast and specify space weather effects in the near-Earth space environment. To further improve space weather forecasting accuracy, it is necessary to not only improve skill scores in a variety of model-data comparisons but also improve the models' performance by comparing model results with expectations derived from fundamental physics principles. For example, ideal MHD models are expected to have the same electric potential on conjugate foot points of closed magnetic field lines. We test the degree of non-idealness in 4 global MHD models (SWMF, OpenGGCM, LFM and GUMICS) at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center using magnetosphere-ionosphere mapping tools. Field-line resonances seen at ULF wave frequencies are another challenge where model responses can be measured. The analysis of the causes of disagreements between models and between models and observations can be used to improve the way models are run in the community (through the CCMC and elsewhere). Title: MESSENGER observations and global simulations of highly compressed magnetosphere events at Mercury Authors: Jia, X.; Slavin, J. A.; Poh, G.; DiBraccio, G. A.; Toth, G.; Chen, Y.; Raines, J. M.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2019AGUFMSM51A..03J Altcode: Mercury's comparatively weak intrinsic field, lack of an appreciable atmosphere and its close proximity to the Sun lead to a magnetosphere that undergoes more direct space-weathering interactions than other planets. The shielding effect due to the induction currents in the planetary core and erosion of the dayside magnetosphere due to magnetopause reconnection, compete against each other for dominance in controlling the large-scale structure of Mercury's magnetosphere. Here weidentify and examine all MESSENGER crossings of Mercury's dayside magnetopause with magnetospheric field intensities >= 300 nT. A total of 8 such events have been identified, all of which occurred under highly compressed magnetosphere (HCM) conditions. Our analysis suggests that the 8 HCM events represent the highest solar wind dynamic pressures for which the MESSENGER's orbit still passed below the magnetopause and provided measurements of the dayside magnetosphere. Using the magnetohydrodynamic model by Jia et al.(2015) that electromagnetically couples Mercury's interior with its magnetosphere, a series of global simulations are conducted to quantitatively characterize the response of Mercury's magnetosphere to solar wind forcing. Combining the MESSENGER observations with the simulations, we have obtained a consistent picture of how Mercury's dayside magnetospheric configuration is controlled, separately and in combination, by induction-driven shielding and reconnection-driven erosion. For solar wind pressures of ~ 40-90 nPa, compared with the average ~ 10-15 nPa at Mercury's orbit, the shielding effects of induction in Mercury's core in standing-off the solar wind typically exceeds the erosion of the dayside magnetosphere due to reconnection for these events, most of which occurred under low magnetic shear conditions. For high magnetic shear across the magnetopause our simulation predicts that reconnection would dominate. Mercury's effective magnetic moment as inferred from magnetopause stand-off distance ranges from 170 to 250 nT-RM3 for these events. These findings, presented in Jia et al. (2019), are of crucial importance for understanding the space weathering at Mercury and its contribution to the generation of Mercury's exosphere. Title: The Structure of the Heliotail as probed by a Kinetic-MHD, a Multi-Ion Description of the Heliosphere and Energetic Neutral Maps Authors: Opher, M.; Michael, A.; Kornbleuth, M. Z.; Drake, J. F.; Loeb, A.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2019AGUFMSH53A..04O Altcode: A critical question regarding the heliosphere is its veryshape and the structure of the heliotail (whether it has a long comet-like shape, is bubble shaped, or "croissant"-like), prompted by observations and modeling (Opher et al. 2015; Pogorelov et al. 2015; Izmodenov & Alexashov 2015; Dialynas et al. 2017; Schwadron & Bzowski 2018). Opher et al. (2015) show that the magnetic tension of the solar magnetic field organizes the solar wind in the heliosheath into two jet-like structures, giving the heliosphere a "croissant"-like shape where the distance to the heliopause downtail is almost the same as that towards the nose.

There have been arguments that with a kinetic treatment of the neutral H, the heliotail extends to large distances (Izmodenov et al. 2018; Pogorelov et al. 2015). We recently developed the Solar-wind with Hydrogen Ion Exchange and Large-scale Dynamics (SHIELD) model, a self-consistent kinetic-MHD model of the outer heliosphere within the SWMF framework (Toth et al. 2012). The SHIELD model couples the MHD solution for a single plasma fluid to the kinetic solution for neutral hydrogen atoms streaming through the system. Our results show that even when the neutral H atoms are treated kinetically, the two-lobe structure remains (Michael et al. 2019). Their results indicate that magnetic reconnection downtail and/or instabilities play a crucial role in the formation of the two-lobe structure. We will present globally distributed flux (GDF) ENA maps from the SHIELD model, including a latitudinal variation of the solar wind corresponding to the conditions in the year 2008 using solar wind data from Sokol et al. (2015). The GDF ENA maps replicate the IBEX observations for solar minima conditions.

We have also recently extended our global MHD model (Opher et al. 2019) to treat the pick-up ions (PUIs) created in the supersonic solar wind as a separate fluid from the thermal component of the solar wind. The PUIs charge exchange with the cold neutral H atoms of the ISM in the heliosheath and are quickly depleted. The depletion of PUIs cools the heliosphere downstream of the TS, "deflating" it and leading to a narrower HS and a smaller and rounder shape. With this model, we reproduce the IBEX ENA observations along Voyager 2, as well the magnetic field observations at Voyager 1 and 2 ahead of the heliosphere. Title: Validating the Alfven Wave Solar Atmosphere (AWSoM) Model from the Low Corona to 1 AU Authors: Sachdeva, N.; van der Holst, B.; Manchester, W.; Toth, G.; Lloveras, D. G.; Vásquez, A. M.; Lamy, P.; Jackson, B. V.; Henney, C. J. Bibcode: 2019AGUFMSH51A..04S Altcode: The coronal/solar wind model, the Alfven Wave Solar atmosphere Model (AWSoM) a component within the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) follows a self-consistent physics-based global description of coronal heating and solar wind acceleration. AWSoM includes a description of low-frequency forward and counter-propagating Alfven waves that non-linearly interact resulting in a turbulent cascade and dissipative heating. In addition, there are separate temperatures for electrons and protons with collisional and collisionless heat conduction applied only to electrons and radiative losses based on the Chianti model. AWSoM extends from the base of the transition region where the strong density gradient necessitates self-consistent treatment of Alfven wave reflection and balanced turbulence. It includes a stochastic heating model as well as a description of proton parallel and perpendicular temperatures and kinetic instabilities based on temperature anisotropy and plasma beta.To validate AWSoM, we model Carrington rotations representative of solar minimum conditions and compare the simulation results with a comprehensive suite of observations. In the low corona (r < 1.25 Rs), we compare with EUV images from both STEREOA/EUVI and SDO/AIA and to three-dimensional tomographic reconstructions of the electron temperature and density based on these same data. We also compare the model to tomographic reconstructions of the electron density from SOHO/LASCO observations (2.55 < r < 6 Rs). In the heliosphere, we compare model predictions of solar wind speed with velocity reconstructions from Interplanetary Scintillation observations. For comparison with observations near the Earth, we use OMNI data. Our results show that the AWSoM model performs well in quantitative agreement with the observations between the inner corona and 1 AU. In the lower corona, the model and the tomographic reconstructions agree within 20%-30% on average. The model also reproduces the fast solar wind speed in the polar regions. Near the Earth, our model shows good agreement with observations of solar wind velocity, electron temperature and density. The AWSoM model provides a comprehensive tool to study the solar corona and larger heliosphere with current and future solar missions as well as being well suited for space weather predictions. Title: Importance of Ambipolar Electric Field in Driving Ion Loss From Mars: Results From a Multifluid MHD Model With the Electron Pressure Equation Included Authors: Ma, Y. J.; Dong, C. F.; Toth, G.; van der Holst, B.; Nagy, A. F.; Russell, C. T.; Bougher, S.; Fang, Xiaohua; Halekas, J. S.; Espley, J. R.; Mahaffy, P. R.; Benna, M.; McFadden, J.; Jakosky, B. M. Bibcode: 2019JGRA..124.9040M Altcode: The multifluid (MF) magnetohydrodynamic model of Mars is improved by solving an additional electron pressure equation. Through the electron pressure equation, the electron temperature is calculated based on the effects from various electron-related heating and cooling processes (e.g., photoelectron heating, electron-neutral collision, and electron-ion collision), and thus, the improved model can calculate the electron temperature and the electron pressure force terms self-consistently. Model results of a typical case using the MF with electron pressure equation included model are compared in detail to identical cases using the MF and multispecies models to identify the effect of the improved physics. We find that when the electron pressure equation is included, the general interaction patterns are similar to those with no electron pressure equation. However, the MF with electron pressure equation included model predicts that the electron temperature is much larger than the ion temperature in the ionosphere, consistent with both Viking and Mars Atmosphere and Volatile EvolutioN (MAVEN) observations. Using our numerical model, we also examined in detail the relative importance of different forces in the plasma interaction region. All three models are also applied to a MAVEN event study using identical input conditions; overall, the improved model matches best with MAVEN observations. All of the simulation cases are examined in terms of the total ion loss, and the results show that the inclusion of the electron pressure equation increases the escape rates by 50-110% in total mass, depending on solar condition and strong crustal field orientation, clearly demonstrating the importance of the ambipolar electric field in facilitating ion escape. Title: Studying Dawn-Dusk Asymmetries of Mercury's Magnetotail Using MHD-EPIC Simulations Authors: Chen, Yuxi; Tóth, Gábor; Jia, Xianzhe; Slavin, James A.; Sun, Weijie; Markidis, Stefano; Gombosi, Tamas I.; Raines, Jim M. Bibcode: 2019JGRA..124.8954C Altcode: 2019arXiv190406753C MESSENGER has observed a lot of dawn-dusk asymmetries in Mercury's magnetotail, such as the asymmetries of the cross-tail current sheet thickness and the occurrence of flux ropes, dipolarization events, and energetic electron injections. In order to obtain a global pictures of Mercury's magnetotail dynamics and the relationship between these asymmetries, we perform global simulations with the magnetohydrodynamics with embedded particle-in-cell (MHD-EPIC) model, where Mercury's magnetotail region is covered by a PIC code. Our simulations show that the dawnside current sheet is thicker, the plasma density is larger, and the electron pressure is higher than the duskside. Under a strong interplanetary magnetic field driver, the simulated reconnection sites prefer the dawnside. We also found the dipolarization events and the planetward electron jets are moving dawnward while they are moving toward the planet, so that almost all dipolarization events and high-speed plasma flows concentrate in the dawn sector. The simulation results are consistent with MESSENGER observations. Title: Numerical investigation of the dynamics of linear spin s fields on a Kerr background: Late-time tails of spin s =±1 ,±2 fields Authors: Csukás, Károly; Rácz, István; Tóth, Gábor Zsolt Bibcode: 2019PhRvD.100j4025C Altcode: 2019arXiv190509082C The time evolution of linear fields of spin s =±1 and s =±2 on Kerr black hole spacetimes are investigated by solving the homogeneous Teukolsky equation numerically. The applied numerical setup is based on a combination of conformal compactification and the hyperbolic initial value problem. The evolved basic variables are expanded in terms of spin-weighted spherical harmonics, which allows us to evaluate all angular derivatives analytically, whereas the evolution of the expansion coefficients in the time-radial section is determined by applying the method of lines implemented in a fourth order accurate finite differencing stencil. Concerning the initialization, in all of our investigations, single mode excitations—either static or purely dynamical-type initial data—are applied. Within this setup the late-time tail behavior is investigated. Because of the applied conformal compactification, the asymptotic decay rates are determined at three characteristic locations—in the domain of outer communication, at the event horizon, and at future null infinity—simultaneously. A recently introduced new type of "energy" and "angular momentum" balance relations are also applied in order to demonstrate the feasibility and robustness of the developed numerical schema and also to verify the proper implementation of the underlying mathematical model. Title: Identifying Solar Flare Precursors Using Time Series of SDO/HMI Images and SHARP Parameters Authors: Chen, Yang; Manchester, Ward B.; Hero, Alfred O.; Toth, Gabor; DuFumier, Benoit; Zhou, Tian; Wang, Xiantong; Zhu, Haonan; Sun, Zeyu; Gombosi, Tamas I. Bibcode: 2019SpWea..17.1404C Altcode: 2019arXiv190400125C In this paper we present several methods to identify precursors that show great promise for early predictions of solar flare events. A data preprocessing pipeline is built to extract useful data from multiple sources, Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites and Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO)/Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI), to prepare inputs for machine learning algorithms. Two classification models are presented: classification of flares from quiet times for active regions and classification of strong versus weak flare events. We adopt deep learning algorithms to capture both spatial and temporal information from HMI magnetogram data. Effective feature extraction and feature selection with raw magnetogram data using deep learning and statistical algorithms enable us to train classification models to achieve almost as good performance as using active region parameters provided in HMI/Space-Weather HMI-Active Region Patch (SHARP) data files. Case studies show a significant increase in the prediction score around 20 hr before strong solar flare events. Title: High Resolution Finite Volume Method for Kinetic Equations with Poisson Brackets Authors: Sokolov, Igor V.; Sun, Haomin; Toth, Gabor; Huang, Zhenguang; Tenishev, Valeriy; Zhao, Lulu; Kota, Jozsef; Cohen, Ofer; Gombosi, Tamas Bibcode: 2019arXiv191012636S Altcode: Simulation of plasmas in electromagnetic fields requires numerical solution of a kinetic equation that describes the time evolution of the particle distribution function. In this paper we propose a finite volume scheme based on integral relation for Poisson brackets to solve the Liouville equation, the most fundamental kinetic equation. The proposed scheme conserves the number of particles, maintains the total-variation-diminishing (TVD) property, and provides high-quality numerical results. Other types of kinetic equations may be also formulated in terms of Poisson brackets and solved with the proposed method including the transport equations describing the acceleration and propagation of Solar Energetic Particles (SEPs), which is of practical importance, since the high energy SEPs produce radiation hazards. The proposed scheme is demonstrated to be accurate and efficient, which makes it applicable to global simulation systems analyzing space weather. Title: Embedded Kinetic Simulation of Ganymede's Magnetosphere: Improvements and Inferences Authors: Zhou, Hongyang; Tóth, Gábor; Jia, Xianzhe; Chen, Yuxi; Markidis, Stefano Bibcode: 2019JGRA..124.5441Z Altcode: The largest moon in the solar system, Ganymede, is also the only moon known to possess a strong intrinsic magnetic field and a corresponding magnetosphere. Using the new version of Hall magnetohydrodynamic with embedded particle-in-cell model with a self-consistently coupled resistive body representing the electrical properties of the moon's interior, improved inner boundary conditions, and the flexibility of coupling different grid geometries, we achieve better match of magnetic field with measurements for all six Galileo flybys. The G2 flyby comparisons of plasma bulk flow velocities with the Galileo Plasma Subsystem data support the oxygen ion assumption inside Ganymede's magnetosphere. Crescent shape, nongyrotropic, and nonisotropic ion distributions are identified from the coupled model. Furthermore, we have derived the energy fluxes associated with the upstream magnetopause reconnection of ∼10-7W/cm2 based on our model results and found a maximum of 40% contribution to the total peak auroral emissions. Title: Global MHD simulations of the Response of Jupiter's Magnetosphere and Ionosphere to Changes in the Solar Wind and IMF Authors: Sarkango, Yash; Jia, Xianzhe; Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 2019JGRA..124.5317S Altcode: We have developed a new global magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model for Jupiter's magnetosphere based on the BATSRUS code and an ionospheric electrodynamics solver. Our model includes the Io plasma torus at its appropriate location and couples the global magnetosphere with the planetary ionosphere through field-aligned currents. Through comparisons with available particle and field observations as well as empirical models, we show that the model captures the overall configuration of the magnetosphere reasonably well. In order to understand how the magnetosphere responds to different solar wind drivers, we have carried out time-dependent simulations using various kinds of upstream conditions, such as a forward shock and a rotation in the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF). Our model predicts that compression of the magnetosphere by a forward shock of typical strength generally weakens the corotation enforcement currents on the dayside and produces an enhancement on the nightside. However, the global response varies depending on the IMF orientation. A forward shock with a typical Parker-spiral IMF configuration has a larger impact on the magnetospheric configuration and large-scale current systems than with a parallel IMF configuration. Plasmoids are found to form in the simulation due to tail reconnection and have complex magnetic topology, as they evolve and propagate down tail. For a fixed mass input rate in the Io plasma torus, the frequency of plasmoid occurrence in our simulation is found to vary depending on the upstream solar wind driving. Title: SPECTRUM: Synthetic Spectral Calculations for Global Space Plasma Modeling Authors: Szente, J.; Landi, E.; Manchester, W. B., IV; Toth, G.; van der Holst, B.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2019ApJS..242....1S Altcode: High-resolution spectroscopy is the most accurate tool for measuring the properties of the solar corona. However, interpreting measured line intensities and line profiles emitted by the optically thin solar corona is complicated by line-of-sight (LOS) integration, which leads to measuring weighted averages of the plasma properties along the LOS. LOS integration effects can be removed by combining CHIANTI spectral emissivities with a 3D global model of the solar corona to calculate the contribution of all structures along the LOS to the measured intensities. In this paper, we describe SPECTRUM, a postprocessing tool that can calculate the emission from the optically thin solar corona by combining 3D magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) space plasma simulation results with the CHIANTI database. Doppler-shifted, nonthermal line broadening due to low-frequency Alfvén waves and anisotropic proton and isotropic electron temperatures can be individually taken into account during calculations. Synthetic spectral calculations can then be used for model validation, for interpretation of solar observations, and for forward modeling purposes. SPECTRUM is implemented within the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) and is therefore publicly available. In this paper, we describe the SPECTRUM module and show its applications by comparing synthetic spectra using simulation data by the 3D MHD Alfvén Wave Solar Model with observations done by the Hinode/Extreme-ultraviolet Imaging Spectrometer during Carrington rotations 2063 and 2082. Title: MESSENGER observations and global simulations of highly compressed magnetosphere events at Mercury Authors: Jia, Xianzhe; Slavin, James; Poh, Gangkai; DiBraccio, Gina; Toth, Gabor; Chen, Yuxi; Raines, Jim; Gombosi, Tamas Bibcode: 2019EGUGA..2111922J Altcode: We identify and examine all MESSENGER crossings of Mercury's dayside magnetopause with magnetospheric field intensities >= 300 nT. The 8 such events, which occurred under highly compressed magnetosphere (HCM) conditions, are analyzed in the identical manner utilized by Slavin et al. (2014). The results suggest that the 8 HCM events represent the highest solar wind dynamic pressures for which the MESSENGER's orbit still passed below the magnetopause and provided measurements of the dayside magnetosphere. Using the magnetohydrodynamic model by Jia et al. (2015) that electromagnetically couples Mercury's interior with its magnetosphere, a series of global simulations are conducted to quantitatively characterize the response of Mercury's magnetosphere to solar wind forcing. Combining the MESSENGER observations with the simulations, we have obtained a consistent picture of how Mercury's dayside magnetospheric configuration is controlled, separately and in combination, by induction-driven shielding and reconnection-driven erosion. For solar wind pressures of ∼ 40-90 nPa, compared with the average ∼ 10-15 nPa at Mercury's orbit, the shielding events of induction in Mercury's core in standing-off the solar wind typically exceeds the erosion of the dayside magnetosphere due to reconnection for these events, most of which occurred under low magnetic shear conditions. For high magnetic shear across the magnetopause our simulation predicts that reconnection would dominate. Mercury's effective magnetic moment as inferred from magnetopause stand-off distance ranges from 170 to 250 nT-RM3 for these events. These findings, presented in Jia et al. (2019, JGR), are of crucial importance for understanding the space weathering at Mercury and its contribution to the generation of Mercury's exosphere. Title: The Surface Distributions of the Production of the Major Volatile Species, H2O, CO2, CO and O2, from the Nucleus of Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko throughout the Rosetta Mission Authors: Combi, Michael; Shou, Yinsi; Fougere, Nicolas; Altwegg, Kathrin; Rubin, Martin; Bocklee-Morvan, Dominique; Gombosi, Tamas; Hansen, Kenneth C.; Huang, Zhenguang; Toth, Gabor; Tenishev, Valeriy Bibcode: 2019EGUGA..2118635C Altcode: The Rosetta Orbiter Spectrometer for Ion and Neutral Analysis (ROSINA) suite of instruments operated throughout the just over two years of the Rosetta mission operations in the vicinity of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko. It measured gas densities and composition throughout the comet's atmosphere, or coma. Here we present two-years' worth of measurements of the four major volatile species in the coma of the comet, H2O, CO2, CO and O2, by one of the ROSINA sub-systems called the Double Focusing Mass Spectrometer (DFMS). DFMS is a very high mass resolution and high sensitivity mass spectrometer able to resolve at a tiny fraction of an atomic mass unit. We have analyzed the DFMS measurements using an inversion scheme based on spherical harmonics that solves for the distribution of potential surface activity of each species as the comet rotates, changing solar illumination, over short time intervals and as the comet changes distance from the sun and orientation of its spin axis over long time intervals. We also use the surface boundary conditions derived from the inversion scheme to simulate the whole coma with our fully kinetic Direct Simulation Monte Carlo model and calculate the production rates of the four major species throughout the mission. We compare the derived production rates with remote sensing observations by the Visible and Infrared Thermal Imaging Spectrometer (VIRTIS) as well as with published observations from the Microwave Instrument for the Rosetta Orbiter (MIRO). Finally we use the variation of the surface production of the major species to calculate the total mass loss distribution over the surface throughout the mission. Title: A Predicted Small and Round Heliosphere Authors: Opher, Merav; Loeb, Abraham; Drake, James; Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 2019EGUGA..2111837O Altcode: The shape of the solar wind bubble within the interstellar medium, the so-called heliosphere, has been explored over six decades (Davis 55; Parker '61; Axford '72; Baranov & Malama '93). As the Sun moves through the surrounding partially-ionized medium, neutral hydrogen atoms penetrate the heliosphere, and through charge-exchange with the supersonic solar wind, create a population of hot pick-up ions (PUIs). The Voyager 2 (V2) data demonstrated that the heliosheath pressure is dominated by PUIs. Here we use a novel magnetohydrodynamic model that treats the PUIs as a separate fluid from the thermal component of the solar wind. Unlike previous models, the new model reproduces the properties of the PUIs and solar wind ions based on the New Horizon (McComas et al. 2017) and V2 (Richardson et al. 2008) spacecraft observations. The model significantly changes the energy flow in the outer heliosphere, leading to a smaller and rounder shape than previously predicted, in agreement with energetic neutral atom observations by the Cassini spacecraft (Dialynas et al. 2017). We will discuss the consequences of this new shape for draping of the interstellar magnetic field and conditions at Voyager 1 and 2 in the local interstellar medium. Title: Validating the Alfven Wave Solar Model (AWSoM) from the lower corona to 1 AU Authors: Sachdeva, Nishtha; Manchester, Ward; van der Holst, Bart; Toth, Gabor; Vasquez, Alberto; Jackson, Bernard; Lloveras, Diego G.; Mac Cormack, Cecilia; Yu, Hsiu-Shan Bibcode: 2019EGUGA..21.1465S Altcode: We examine the steady state three-dimensional MHD simulations of the solar corona carried out with the new version of the Alfven Wave Solar Model (AWSoM) within the Space Weather Modeling framework (SWMF). AWSoM addresses the acceleration and heating of the solar corona via the interaction between counter-propagating Alfven waves. This non-linear interaction between the outward propagating low-frequency Alfven waves and those partially reflected by the speed gradients results in a turbulent energy cascade. The model uses physics-based partitioning of wave-dissipated heat between isotropic electron and anisotropic proton temperatures. To validate the AWSoM model, we select rotations representative of the solar minimum and maximum conditions and compare our simulation results with a comprehensive suite of observations. We use three-dimensional tomographic reconstructions of the electron temperature and density in the inner corona (r < 1.25 Rsun) based on multi-wavelength extreme ultraviolet images from STEREO/EUVI and SDO/AIA. For comparison with observations made near the Earth, we compare the model with OMNI data. At different radial distances between 20 Rsun and 1 AU, we compare the model with reconstructions made with Interplanetary Scintillation (IPS) observations. Observations are compared with the simulated model results of plasma mass density, velocity, and magnetic fields, temperature anisotropy, and wave turbulence. Our results at solar minimum show that the improved AWSoM model performs well in agreement with the observations between inner corona and 1 AU. In the lower corona the model and the tomographic reconstructions match within a 20 % accuracy. Near the Earth, our model shows good agreement with observations of solar wind velocity, electron temperature and magnetic field. However, the electron density at 1 AU is overpredicted by the model for the solar minimum simulations. While this model version is already an improvement over previous predictions, we plan to validate our model using more Carrington rotations. The AWSoM model presents an extensive application to study the solar corona and larger heliosphere in concert with current and future solar missions. Title: Five-moment Two-Electron Plasma Simulation for Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko Authors: Huang, Zhenguang; Toth, Gabor; Gombosi, Tamas; Jia, Xianzhe; Combi, Michael; Hansen, Kenneth; Shou, Yinsi; Tenishev, Valeriy; Altwegg, Kathrin.; Rubin, Martin Bibcode: 2019EGUGA..2118127H Altcode: One of the key investigations of the Rosetta mission is to understand the interactions between the solar wind and the cometary magnetosphere of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko (CG). Extensive numerical modeling work based on fluid, hybrid and fully kinetic models have been carried out and provided valuable context for interpreting various features of the cometary environment observed by different instruments. Fluid-type models have proven to be a useful tool for investigating how the solar wind interacts with comets on a global scale. However, in previous fluid models (e.g., MHD models), electrons are either treated as part of the plasma fluid or simulated with an additional electron pressure equation, without having their own the continuity and momentum equations. Such an approach cannot represent any of the electron kinetic features properly. Besides, previous MHD models could not simulate multiple electron fluids. In this study, we present the first five-moment two-electron plasma simulation of a comet, by introducing the continuity and momentum equations respectively for the solar wind and cometary electrons, in which case the Hall effect is included automatically and the electron dynamics and resulting electric field are simulated self-consistently. As will be shown in this presentation, our five-moment two-electron simulation captures the separate bulk motions of the solar wind electrons and the cometary electrons, which is consistent with the results of the Particle-In-Cell (PIC) simulation performed by Deca et al. (2017). Title: End-of-Mission ROSINA/COPS observation of the innermost coma of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko Authors: Tenishev, Valeriy; Rubin, Martin; Tzou, Chia-yu; Shi, Xian; Combi, Michael; Altwegg, Kathrin; Gombosi, Tamas; Shou, Yinsi; Huang, Zhenquang; Toth, Gabor; Sierks, Holger; Hofstadter, Mark Bibcode: 2019EGUGA..2118885T Altcode: End-of-mission pressure measurements performed with ROSINA/COPS presented a unique chance to probe the coma of 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko in the altitude range starting from tens of kilometers down to the surface of the nucleus of the comet. That is an unprecedented opportunity to uncover effects that topology and activity of the nucleus have on the structure of the coma very close to the nucleus. The primary focus of the presented study is analyzing these measurements using the numerical modeling of the comet environment. At the end of the Rosetta mission, 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko was at a heliocentric distance of 3.8 AU where the coma is collisionless. That makes it possible to apply the Liouville theorem to characterize the distribution of volatiles in the coma, as we have done in our analysis. We have used the SHAP7 nucleus model to account for the topology of the volatile source. Spacecraft trajectory and the instrument pointing relative to the comet's nucleus have been determined with the SPICE library. Here, we present the results of our analysis and discuss the effects of the surface topology and that of the local surface volatile injection on the distribution of gas in the innermost coma of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko. Title: The Formation and Evolution of Large Scale Magnetic Fields in Venus Ionosphere Authors: Ma, Y. J.; Toth, G.; Nagy, A. F.; Russell, C. T. Bibcode: 2019LPI....50.2903M Altcode: In this study, we use a multi-species MHD model to understand the formation and evolution of large scale magnetic fields in Venus ionosphere. Title: MESSENGER Observations and Global Simulations of Highly Compressed Magnetosphere Events at Mercury Authors: Jia, Xianzhe; Slavin, James A.; Poh, Gangkai; DiBraccio, Gina A.; Toth, Gabor; Chen, Yuxi; Raines, Jim M.; Gombosi, Tamas I. Bibcode: 2019JGRA..124..229J Altcode: We identify and examine all MErcury Surface Space ENvironment, GEochemistry, and Ranging (MESSENGER) crossings of Mercury's dayside magnetopause with magnetospheric field intensities ≥300 nT. The eight such events, which occurred under highly compressed magnetosphere conditions, are analyzed in the identical manner utilized by Slavin et al. (2014, https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JA020319). The results suggest that the eight highly compressed magnetosphere events represent the highest solar wind dynamic pressures for which the MESSENGER's orbit still passed below the magnetopause and provided measurements of the dayside magnetosphere. Using the magnetohydrodynamic model by Jia et al. (2015, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JA021143) that electromagnetically couples Mercury's interior with its magnetosphere, a series of global simulations are conducted to quantitatively characterize the response of Mercury's magnetosphere to solar wind forcing. Combining the MESSENGER observations with the simulations, we have obtained a consistent picture of how Mercury's dayside magnetospheric configuration is controlled, separately and in combination, by induction-driven shielding and reconnection-driven erosion. For solar wind pressures of ∼40-90 nPa, compared with the average ∼10-15 nPa at Mercury's orbit, the shielding effects of induction in Mercury's core in standing-off the solar wind typically exceed the erosion of the dayside magnetosphere due to reconnection for these events, most of which occurred under low magnetic shear conditions. For high magnetic shear across the magnetopause our simulation predicts that reconnection would dominate. Mercury's effective magnetic moment as inferred from magnetopause standoff distance ranges from 170 to 250 nT-RM3 for these events. These findings are of crucial importance for understanding the space weathering at Mercury and its contribution to the generation of Mercury's exosphere. Title: Soft X-ray Emission Scenarios of Comet 46P/Wirtanen for its 2018 Apparition in Accordance with HXMT Observation Authors: Lai, I. L.; Huo, Z. X.; Huang, P. S.; Rubin, M.; Gombosi, T. I.; Toth, G.; Ip, W. H. Bibcode: 2018AGUFM.P23G3514L Altcode: 2018AGUFM.P23G3514R Comet 46P/Wirtanen was the original destination of the Rosetta mission but replaced by Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko soon after the launch delay in 2003. As a result, the research work about Comet 46P has been very limited over the past decade. In this December, 46P will reach its perihelion ( 1.05 AU) making a very close approach to Earth with the comet-earth distance about 30 times of earth-moon distance. It is predicted to reach naked-eye brightness around this great apparition due to its hyperactivity, which provides an excellent opportunity to study it in detail. The Insight-HXMT (Hard X-ray Modulation Telescope) is the first Chinese X-ray astronomy satellite and will be used to observe as a target of opportunity. Models and simulation works of the X-ray emission of 46P as a result of solar-wind interaction during the close approach phase to be presented in this work would greatly assist the design of the HXMT observations and subsequent data analysis. The observational procedure and data processing pipeline established also will be invaluable for future mission opportunities. Title: Impact of the September 2017 Solar Flare and ICME Events on Mars Authors: Ma, Y.; Fang, X.; Pawlowski, D. J.; Halekas, J. S.; Russell, C. T.; Luhmann, J. G.; Xu, S.; Lillis, R. J.; Thiemann, E.; Bougher, S. W.; Toth, G.; Nagy, A. F.; Dong, C.; Espley, J. R.; Jakosky, B. M.; Lee, C. O. Bibcode: 2018AGUFM.P51H2970M Altcode: The Mars Atmosphere and Volatile EvolutioN (MAVEN) mission observed a strong X-class solar flare impacting Mars on 10 September 2017, followed by a fast interplanetary coronal mass ejection (ICME). These solar events provide a great opportunity to advance our understanding of space weather events and their impact on Mars. In this study, the impact of the solar flare and ICME events on the Martian system is examined in detail using a sophisticated multi-species global MHD model. We found that the main features of the interaction can be reasonably captured by the model for both the solar flare and the ICME events. The results of the MHD model coupled with Mars Global Ionosphere-Thermosphere Model (MGITM) reproduce the density enhancement caused by the solar flare, consistent with MAVEN observations. Using derived solar wind proxy, our time-dependent run of the ICME event is able to reproduce some detailed structures observed by MAVEN. Our calculations show that the solar flare has an important impact on the ionosphere and the upper atmosphere, but has little effect at the solar wind-Mars interaction. In contrast, the ICME greatly disturbs the plasma enviorment of Mars, especially the induced magnetosphere. The ICME-driven distrubances include variations of various plasma boundaries and large enhancement of atmospheric erosion. Title: Global dipole magnetic field: Boon or bane for the Martian atmospheric retention? Authors: Dong, C.; Luhmann, J. G.; Ma, Y.; Lingam, M.; Bhattacharjee, A.; Lee, Y.; Bougher, S. W.; Wang, L.; Glocer, A.; Strangeway, R. J.; Curry, S.; Fang, X.; Toth, G.; Nagy, A. F.; Lillis, R. J.; Mitchell, D. L.; Brain, D.; Jakosky, B. M. Bibcode: 2018AGUFM.P31C3736D Altcode: The absence of global dipole magnetic fields at terrestrial planets is widely perceived as a major impediment in protecting planetary atmospheres from being eroded by stellar winds. In this work, we re-examine this idea by focusing on the rate of atmospheric ion escape from Mars for nominal solar wind parameters and an extreme ``Carrington-type'' space weather event. We carry out extensive numerical simulations using a sophisticated multi-fluid magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) model, thereby demonstrating that the escape rate is a non-monotonic function of the Martian dipole magnetic field strength, and that it varies by more than an order of magnitude in certain instances. Our work illustrates, for the very first time using the state-of-the-art global simulations, that the lack of dipole fields is not necessarily a disadvantage from the viewpoint of atmospheric losses. We are led to the conclusion that the ion escape rates from Mars may have actually been higher when it possessed stronger magnetic moment in the past. We conclude our analysis by briefly exploring the ensuing implications for Martian and exoplanetary habitability. Title: Loss of the Martian atmosphere to space: Present-day loss rates determined from MAVEN observations and integrated loss through time Authors: Jakosky, B. M.; Brain, D.; Chaffin, M.; Curry, S.; Deighan, J.; Grebowsky, J.; Halekas, J.; Leblanc, F.; Lillis, R.; Luhmann, J. G.; Andersson, L.; Andre, N.; Andrews, D.; Baird, D.; Baker, D.; Bell, J.; Benna, M.; Bhattacharyya, D.; Bougher, S.; Bowers, C.; Chamberlin, P.; Chaufray, J. -Y.; Clarke, J.; Collinson, G.; Combi, M.; Connerney, J.; Connour, K.; Correira, J.; Crabb, K.; Crary, F.; Cravens, T.; Crismani, M.; Delory, G.; Dewey, R.; DiBraccio, G.; Dong, C.; Dong, Y.; Dunn, P.; Egan, H.; Elrod, M.; England, S.; Eparvier, F.; Ergun, R.; Eriksson, A.; Esman, T.; Espley, J.; Evans, S.; Fallows, K.; Fang, X.; Fillingim, M.; Flynn, C.; Fogle, A.; Fowler, C.; Fox, J.; Fujimoto, M.; Garnier, P.; Girazian, Z.; Groeller, H.; Gruesbeck, J.; Hamil, O.; Hanley, K. G.; Hara, T.; Harada, Y.; Hermann, J.; Holmberg, M.; Holsclaw, G.; Houston, S.; Inui, S.; Jain, S.; Jolitz, R.; Kotova, A.; Kuroda, T.; Larson, D.; Lee, Y.; Lee, C.; Lefevre, F.; Lentz, C.; Lo, D.; Lugo, R.; Ma, Y. -J.; Mahaffy, P.; Marquette, M. L.; Matsumoto, Y.; Mayyasi, M.; Mazelle, C.; McClintock, W.; McFadden, J.; Medvedev, A.; Mendillo, M.; Meziane, K.; Milby, Z.; Mitchell, D.; Modolo, R.; Montmessin, F.; Nagy, A.; Nakagawa, H.; Narvaez, C.; Olsen, K.; Pawlowski, D.; Peterson, W.; Rahmati, A.; Roeten, K.; Romanelli, N.; Ruhunusiri, S.; Russell, C.; Sakai, S.; Schneider, N.; Seki, K.; Sharrar, R.; Shaver, S.; Siskind, D. E.; Slipski, M.; Soobiah, Y.; Steckiewicz, M.; Stevens, M. H.; Stewart, I.; Stiepen, A.; Stone, S.; Tenishev, V.; Terada, N.; Terada, K.; Thiemann, E.; Tolson, R.; Toth, G.; Trovato, J.; Vogt, M.; Weber, T.; Withers, P.; Xu, S.; Yelle, R.; Yiğit, E.; Zurek, R. Bibcode: 2018Icar..315..146J Altcode: Observations of the Mars upper atmosphere made from the Mars Atmosphere and Volatile Evolution (MAVEN) spacecraft have been used to determine the loss rates of gas from the upper atmosphere to space for a complete Mars year (16 Nov 2014 - 3 Oct 2016). Loss rates for H and O are sufficient to remove ∼2-3 kg/s to space. By itself, this loss would be significant over the history of the planet. In addition, loss rates would have been greater early in history due to the enhanced solar EUV and more-active Sun. Integrated loss, based on current processes whose escape rates in the past are adjusted according to expected solar evolution, would have been as much as 0.8 bar CO2 or 23 m global equivalent layer of H2O; these losses are likely to be lower limits due to the nature of the extrapolation of loss rates to the earliest times. Combined with the lack of surface or subsurface reservoirs for CO2 that could hold remnants of an early, thick atmosphere, these results suggest that loss of gas to space has been the dominant process responsible for changing the climate of Mars from an early, warmer environment to the cold, dry one that we see today. Title: Specification of the near-Earth space environment with SHIELDS Authors: Jordanova, V. K.; Delzanno, G. L.; Henderson, M. G.; Godinez, H. C.; Jeffery, C. A.; Lawrence, E. C.; Morley, S. K.; Moulton, J. D.; Vernon, L. J.; Woodroffe, J. R.; Brito, T. V.; Engel, M. A.; Meierbachtol, C. S.; Svyatsky, D.; Yu, Y.; Tóth, G.; Welling, D. T.; Chen, Y.; Haiducek, J.; Markidis, S.; Albert, J. M.; Birn, J.; Denton, M. H.; Horne, R. B. Bibcode: 2018JASTP.177..148J Altcode: Predicting variations in the near-Earth space environment that can lead to spacecraft damage and failure is one example of "space weather" and a big space physics challenge. A project recently funded through the Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) Directed Research and Development (LDRD) program aims at developing a new capability to understand, model, and predict Space Hazards Induced near Earth by Large Dynamic Storms, the SHIELDS framework. The project goals are to understand the dynamics of the surface charging environment (SCE), the hot (keV) electrons representing the source and seed populations for the radiation belts, on both macro- and micro-scale. Important physics questions related to particle injection and acceleration associated with magnetospheric storms and substorms, as well as plasma waves, are investigated. These challenging problems are addressed using a team of world-class experts in the fields of space science and computational plasma physics, and state-of-the-art models and computational facilities. A full two-way coupling of physics-based models across multiple scales, including a global MHD (BATS-R-US) embedding a particle-in-cell (iPIC3D) and an inner magnetosphere (RAM-SCB) codes, is achieved. New data assimilation techniques employing in situ satellite data are developed; these provide an order of magnitude improvement in the accuracy in the simulation of the SCE. SHIELDS also includes a post-processing tool designed to calculate the surface charging for specific spacecraft geometry using the Curvilinear Particle-In-Cell (CPIC) code that can be used for reanalysis of satellite failures or for satellite design. Title: Modeling Martian Atmospheric Losses over Time: Implications for (Exo)Planetary Climate Evolution and Habitability Authors: Dong, Chuanfei; Lee, Yuni; Ma, Yingjuan; Lingam, Manasvi; Bougher, Stephen; Luhmann, Janet; Curry, Shannon; Toth, Gabor; Nagy, Andrew; Tenishev, Valeriy; Fang, Xiaohua; Mitchell, David; Brain, Dave; Jakosky, Bruce Bibcode: 2018DPS....5030311D Altcode: Mars has always represented an important target from the standpoint of planetary science, especially on account of its long-term climate evolution. One of the most striking differences between ancient and current Mars is that the former had a thicker atmosphere compared to the present-day value, thereby making Noachian Mars potentially more conducive to hosting life. This discrepancy immediately raises the question of how and when the majority of the Martian atmosphere was lost, as well as the channels through which it occurred. There are compelling observational and theoretical reasons to believe that the majority of atmospheric escape must have occurred early in the planet's geological history, when the extreme ultraviolet (EUV) flux and the solar wind from the Sun were much stronger than today. Our understanding of present-day Martian atmospheric escape has improved greatly thanks to observations undertaken by, e.g., the MAVEN in conjunction with detailed theoretical modeling. In this study, we adopted the one-way coupled framework, which has been employed to study the ion and photochemical losses at the current epoch. We adopted the 3-D Mars thermosphere from the Mars Global Ionosphere Thermosphere Model (M-GITM) and the hot atomic oxygen density from the Mars exosphere Monte Carlo model Adaptive Mesh Particle Simulator (AMPS) as the input for the 3-D BATS-RUS Mars multi-fluid MHD (MF-MHD) model. The Mars AMPS hot oxygen corona and the associated photochemical loss rate were calculated based on the thermospheric/ionospheric background from M-GITM. Our simulations indicate that the total photochemical and ion atmospheric losses over the span 0-4 Ga are approximately equal to each other, and their sum amounts to 0.1 bar being lost over this duration. If we assume that the oxygen lost through a combination of ion and photochemical escape mechanisms was originally derived from surface water, we find 3.8 × 10^17 kg of water has been lost from Mars between 0 and 4 Ga; this mass corresponds to a global surface depth of 2.6 m. This study offers fresh insights concerning the long-term climate evolution and habitability of the increasing number of exoplanets discovered yearly due to atmospheric losses. Title: Integration of RAM-SCB into the Space Weather Modeling Framework Authors: Welling, Daniel T.; Toth, Gabor; Jordanova, Vania K.; Yu, Yiqun Bibcode: 2018JASTP.177..160W Altcode: Numerical simulations of the ring current are a challenging endeavor. They require a large set of inputs, including electric and magnetic fields and plasma sheet fluxes. Because the ring current broadly affects the magnetosphere-ionosphere system, the input set is dependent on the ring current region itself. This makes obtaining a set of inputs that are self-consistent with the ring current difficult. To overcome this challenge, researchers have begun coupling ring current models to global models of the magnetosphere-ionosphere system. This paper describes the coupling between the Ring current Atmosphere interaction Model with Self-Consistent Magnetic field (RAM-SCB) to the models within the Space Weather Modeling Framework. Full details on both previously introduced and new coupling mechanisms are defined. The impact of self-consistently including the ring current on the magnetosphere-ionosphere system is illustrated via a set of example simulations. Title: Roadmap for Reliable Ensemble Forecasting of the Sun-Earth System Authors: Nita, Gelu; Angryk, Rafal; Aydin, Berkay; Banda, Juan; Bastian, Tim; Berger, Tom; Bindi, Veronica; Boucheron, Laura; Cao, Wenda; Christian, Eric; de Nolfo, Georgia; DeLuca, Edward; DeRosa, Marc; Downs, Cooper; Fleishman, Gregory; Fuentes, Olac; Gary, Dale; Hill, Frank; Hoeksema, Todd; Hu, Qiang; Ilie, Raluca; Ireland, Jack; Kamalabadi, Farzad; Korreck, Kelly; Kosovichev, Alexander; Lin, Jessica; Lugaz, Noe; Mannucci, Anthony; Mansour, Nagi; Martens, Petrus; Mays, Leila; McAteer, James; McIntosh, Scott W.; Oria, Vincent; Pan, David; Panesi, Marco; Pesnell, W. Dean; Pevtsov, Alexei; Pillet, Valentin; Rachmeler, Laurel; Ridley, Aaron; Scherliess, Ludger; Toth, Gabor; Velli, Marco; White, Stephen; Zhang, Jie; Zou, Shasha Bibcode: 2018arXiv181008728N Altcode: The authors of this report met on 28-30 March 2018 at the New Jersey Institute of Technology, Newark, New Jersey, for a 3-day workshop that brought together a group of data providers, expert modelers, and computer and data scientists, in the solar discipline. Their objective was to identify challenges in the path towards building an effective framework to achieve transformative advances in the understanding and forecasting of the Sun-Earth system from the upper convection zone of the Sun to the Earth's magnetosphere. The workshop aimed to develop a research roadmap that targets the scientific challenge of coupling observations and modeling with emerging data-science research to extract knowledge from the large volumes of data (observed and simulated) while stimulating computer science with new research applications. The desire among the attendees was to promote future trans-disciplinary collaborations and identify areas of convergence across disciplines. The workshop combined a set of plenary sessions featuring invited introductory talks and workshop progress reports, interleaved with a set of breakout sessions focused on specific topics of interest. Each breakout group generated short documents, listing the challenges identified during their discussions in addition to possible ways of attacking them collectively. These documents were combined into this report-wherein a list of prioritized activities have been collated, shared and endorsed. Title: Noether currents for the Teukolsky master equation Authors: Tóth, Gábor Zsolt Bibcode: 2018CQGra..35r5009T Altcode: 2018arXiv180104710T Conserved currents associated with the time translation and axial symmetries of the Kerr spacetime and with scaling symmetry are constructed for the Teukolsky master equation (TME). Three partly different approaches are taken, of which the third one applies only to the spacetime symmetries. The results yielded by the three approaches, which correspond to three variants of Noether’s theorem, are essentially the same, nevertheless. The construction includes the embedding of the TME into a larger system of equations, which admits a Lagrangian and turns out to consist of two TMEs with opposite spin weight. The currents thus involve two independent solutions of the TME with opposite spin weights. The first approach provides an example of the application of an extension of Noether’s theorem to nonvariational differential equations. This extension is also reviewed in general form. The variant of Noether’s theorem applied in the third approach is a generalization of the standard construction of conserved currents associated with spacetime symmetries in general relativity, in which the currents are obtained by the contraction of the symmetric energy-momentum tensor with the relevant Killing vector fields. Symmetries and conserved currents related to boundary conditions are introduced as well, and Noether’s theorem and its variant for nonvariational differential equations are extended to them. The extension of the latter variant is used to construct conserved currents related to the Sommerfeld boundary condition. Title: Modeling Martian Atmospheric Losses Over Time: Implications for (Exo)Planetary Climate Evolution and Habitability Authors: Dong, C. F.; Lee, Y.; Ma, Y. J.; Lingam, M.; Bougher, S. W.; Luhmann, J. G.; Curry, S. M.; Toth, G.; Nagy, A. F.; Tenishev, V.; Fang, X.; Mitchell, D. L.; Brain, D. A.; Jakosky, B. M. Bibcode: 2018LPICo2065.2052D Altcode: We make use of the one-way coupled framework (linking our GCM, DSMC, and MHD models), known to accurately reproduce MAVEN observations, for studying the atmospheric ion and photochemical escape rates and climate evolution over the history of Mars. Title: Solar Wind Interaction With the Martian Upper Atmosphere: Roles of the Cold Thermosphere and Hot Oxygen Corona Authors: Dong, Chuanfei; Bougher, Stephen W.; Ma, Yingjuan; Lee, Yuni; Toth, Gabor; Nagy, Andrew F.; Fang, Xiaohua; Luhmann, Janet; Liemohn, Michael W.; Halekas, Jasper S.; Tenishev, Valeriy; Pawlowski, David J.; Combi, Michael R. Bibcode: 2018JGRA..123.6639D Altcode: 2018arXiv180400937D We study roles of the thermosphere and exosphere on the Martian ionospheric structure and ion escape rates in the process of the solar wind-Mars interaction. We employ a four-species multifluid magnetohydrodynamic model to simulate the Martian ionosphere and magnetosphere. The cold thermosphere background is taken from the Mars Global Ionosphere Thermosphere Model, and the hot oxygen exosphere is adopted from the Mars exosphere Monte Carlo model—Adaptive Mesh Particle Simulator. A total of four cases with the combination of 1-D (globally averaged) and 3-D thermospheres and exospheres are studied. The ion escape rates calculated by adopting 1-D and 3-D atmospheres are similar; however, the latter are required to adequately reproduce the ionospheric observations by the Mars Atmosphere and Volatile EvolutioN mission. In addition, our simulations show that the 3-D hot oxygen corona plays an important role in preventing planetary molecular ions (O<mrow></mrow>2+ and CO<mrow></mrow>2+) escaping from Mars, mainly resulting from the mass loading of the high-altitude exospheric O+ ions. The cold thermospheric oxygen atom, however, is demonstrated to be the primary neutral source for O+ ion escape during the relatively weak solar cycle 24. Title: A Predicted Small and Round Heliosphere Authors: Opher, Merav; Loeb, Abraham; Drake, James; Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 2018arXiv180806611O Altcode: The shape of the solar wind bubble within the interstellar medium, the so-called heliosphere, has been explored over six decades. As the Sun moves through the surrounding partially-ionized medium, neutral hydrogen atoms penetrate the heliosphere, and through charge-exchange with the supersonic solar wind, create a population of hot pick-up ions (PUIs). The Termination Shock (TS) crossing by Voyager 2 (V2) data demonstrated that the heliosheath (HS) (the region of shocked solar wind) pressure is dominated by suprathermal particles. Here we use a novel magnetohydrodynamic model that treats the freshly ionized PUIs as a separate fluid from the thermal component of the solar wind. Unlike previous models, the new model reproduces the properties of the PUIs and solar wind ions based on the New Horizon and V2 spacecraft observations. The PUIs charge exchange with the cold neutral H atoms of the ISM in the HS and are quickly depleted. The depletion of PUIs cools the heliosphere downstream of the TS, "deflating" it and leading to a narrower HS and a smaller and rounder shape, in agreement with energetic neutral atom observations by the Cassini spacecraft. The new model, with interstellar magnetic field orientation constrained by the IBEX ribbon, reproduces the magnetic field data outside the HP at Voyager 1(V1). We present the predictions for the magnetic field outside the HP at V2. Title: The Impact and Solar Wind Proxy of the 2017 September ICME Event at Mars Authors: Ma, Yingjuan; Fang, Xiaohua; Halekas, Jasper S.; Xu, Shaosui; Russell, Christopher T.; Luhmann, Janet G.; Nagy, Andrew F.; Toth, Gabor; Lee, Christina O.; Dong, Chuanfei; Espley, Jared R.; McFadden, James P.; Mitchell, David L.; Jakosky, Bruce M. Bibcode: 2018GeoRL..45.7248M Altcode: We study a large interplanetary coronal mass ejection event impacting Mars in mid-September 2017 numerically. During this time period, MAVEN remained inside the Martian bow shock and therefore could not measure the solar wind directly. We first simulate the event using three steady state cases with estimated solar wind conditions and find that these cases were able to reproduce the general features observed by MAVEN. However, these time-stationary runs cannot capture the response of the system to large variations in the solar wind associated with the event. To address this problem, we derive a solar wind proxy based on MAVEN observations in the sheath region and their comparison with steady state magnetohydrodynamic model results. The derived solar wind proxy is then used to drive a time-dependent magnetohydrodynamic model, and we find that the data-model comparison is greatly improved, especially in the magnetosheath. We are able to reproduce some detailed structures observed by MAVEN during the period, despite the lack of a direct measurement of the solar wind, indicating that the derived solar wind conditions are reliable. Finally, we examine in detail the impact of the event on the Martian system: including variations of the three typical plasma boundaries and the ion loss rates. Our results show that these plasma boundary locations varied drastically during the event, and the total ion loss rate was enhanced by more than an order of magnitude. Title: The Astrosphere and Mass-Loss Ratio of Proxima Centauri Authors: Opher, Merav; Toth, Gabor; Loeb, Abraham Bibcode: 2018cosp...42E2514O Altcode: Our understanding about the heliosphere dramatically evolved from the results from Voyager, Cassini and Interstellar Boundary Explorer (IBEX). With the rapid discovery of exoplanets in other stellar systems it is important to understand how this new acquired knowledge affects the astrospheres around other stars. In particular, recently the shape of the Heliosphere is being challenged by theoretical and observation work (Opher et al. 2015; Diyalinas et al. 2017). The nearest star to the Sun, Proxima Centauri, is particularly interesting as it was recently discovered to host an Earth-size planet in its "habitable zone", Proxima b. Here we investigate the astrosphere around Proxima Centauri. As the star moves through the surrounding partially-ionized medium, neutral hydrogen atoms penetrate the astrospheres and through charge-exchange with the supersonic stellar wind creating a population of hot pick-up ions (PUIs). We present global magnetohydrodynamic simulations that treats the PUIs as a separate fluid. Most global models treat the PUI and thermal component as a single fluid. Planetary atmospheres are affected by particle fluxes from their host stars. The only means by which coronal winds of Sun-like stars have ever been probed is by the circumstellar H Lyman-alpha absorption fin the interaction region between the wind and the interstellar medium, namely the "astrospheres". The Lyman-alpha constrains on the stellar wind based on Hubble Space Telescope measurements rely on prior hydrodynamical models. Here we revisit the constraints on the mass-loss of Proxima Centauri (Wood et al. 2011) with improved theoretical predictions and discuss the implications for Space Weather effects on Proxima b. Title: NOAA SWPC's Operational Geospace Model Performance during Earth-Affecting Events Authors: Cash, Michele; Singer, . Howard; Millward, George; Toth, Gabor; Welling, Daniel; Balch, Christopher Bibcode: 2018cosp...42E.524C Altcode: The Geospace model was first transitioned into real-time operations at the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) in October 2016 and has been upgraded once since going operational. The Geospace model is a part of the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) developed at the University of Michigan, and the model simulates the full time-dependent 3D Geospace environment (Earth's magnetosphere, ring current and ionosphere) and predicts global and local space weather parameters such as induced magnetic perturbations in space and on Earth's surface. The current version of the Geospace model uses three coupled components of SWMF: the BATS-R-US global magnetosphere model, the Rice Convection Model (RCM) of the inner magnetosphere, and the Ridley Ionosphere electrodynamics Model (RIM). In the operational mode, SWMF/Geospace runs continually using real-time solar wind data from a satellite at L1, either DSCOVR or ACE. We present an analysis of the overall performance of the Geospace model during the Earth-affecting events that occurred since the Geospace model went operational. We also use past large Earth-affecting events to evaluate how well the current operational version of the model would have performed during enhanced storm periods. Title: The effects of Pick-up Ions on the Shape of The Heliosphere Authors: Opher, Merav; Toth, Gabor; Loeb, Abraham Bibcode: 2018cosp...42E2513O Altcode: As the Sun moves through the surrounding partially-ionized medium, neutrals hydrogen atom penetrate the heliosphere and through charge-exchange with the supersonic solar wind create a population of hot pick-up ions (PUIs). With the crossing of the termination shock by Voyager 2 it became clear that the heliosheath pressure is dominated by the PUIs while the bulk thermal solar wind is much colder. Recently the shape of the Heliosphere is being challenged by theoretical and observation work (Opher et al. 2015; Diyalinas et al. 2017). Previously we had explored the effects of PUIs in the termination shock crossing (Zieger et al. 2015). In this work, we explore the effects of PUIs on the shape of the heliosphere. We present global magnetohydrodynamic simulations that treats the PUIs a separate fluid. Most global models treat the PUI and thermal component as a single fluid. We comment on the effect of the global structure as well as the properties of the heliosheath. Title: Quantifying the access of Jupiter's magnetospheric plasma to Europa's surface through a multi-fluid MHD model Authors: Harris, Camilla; Toth, Gabor; Rubin, Martin; Jia, Xianzhe; Slavin, A. James Bibcode: 2018cosp...42E1383H Altcode: Europa's space environment is controlled by the wobbling of Jupiter's magnetic field, the magnetic response to this wobbling induced in the conducting subsurface ocean, and the interaction of Jupiter's magnetosphere with Europa's ionosphere and extended exosphere. We have developed a multi-fluid MHD model for Europa's plasma interaction which self-consistently solves for the bulk properties of 3 ion fluids and the electromagnetic fields in the vicinity of the moon. To validate our model, we have simulated the Galileo E4 Flyby using the observed plasma and magnetic field conditions. Our model has accurately reproduced Galileo magnetometer observations along the flyby trajectory, and provides full 3D density and velocity fields for O^+ and O_2^+ ionized from Europa's neutral O_2 exosphere, and the thermal, corotating O^+ from Jupiter's magnetosphere. Based on the three-ion-fluid MHD model, we have mapped the distribution of the magnetospheric plasma that was able to penetrate the plasma interaction to reach Europa's surface. We find that while the majority of downward flux impinges on the upstream hemisphere, the surface impact by the ambient magnetospheric O^+ ions exhibits a slight preference towards the anti-jovian hemisphere due to the influence of the convectional electric field. Under the E4 flyby conditions, we estimate that about 13% of the available upstream O^+ ions precipitate to Europa's surface. Most of the ambient plasma is instead diverted around the moon due to the plasma interaction with the ionosphere. This precipitation represents the contribution of thermal plasma to the sputtering interaction with Europa's icy surface which replenishes the O_2 exosphere. Title: MHD Simulations of the Impact of the September 2017 Major Solar Flare and ICME Events on Mars Authors: Ma, Yingjuan; Luhmann, Janet G.; Russell, C. T.; Bougher, Stephen; Nagy, Andrew; Toth, Gabor; Lee, Christina O.; Pawlowski, David; Lillis, Robert; Fang, Xiaohua; Jakosky, Bruce; Halekas, Jasper; Espley, Jared; Thiemann, Edward; Connerney, John; Xu, Shaosui; Dong, Chuanfei Bibcode: 2018cosp...42E2103M Altcode: We study the impact of the September 2017 extreme solar flare and interplanetary coronal mass ejection events on Mars using a sophisticated multi-species MHD model. The flare impact is examined by coupling with the Mars Global Ionosphere-Thermosphere Model. A great challenge of the study is that MAVEN was mostly inside the Martian bow shock during the events, and thus no direct solar wind measurement was available. To carry out reasonable simulations, we first simulate the events using steady-state assumptions with rough solar wind estimates. Although these simplistic time-stationary runs are able to capture the general features observed by MAVEN, they cannot represent the details of the large perturbations associated with the events. To describe the time variation during the space weather events, we estimate upstream solar wind conditions by fitting steady-state MHD model results to MAVEN observations in the sheath region. The obtained solar wind proxies are then used to drive a time-dependent MHD simulation. It is found that the data-model comparison is greatly improved, especially in the magnetosheath region. We are able to reproduce many detailed structures observed by MAVEN during the period despite the fact that no direct measurement of the solar wind is available. This model-data agreement confirms the validity of the derived upstream solar wind conditions. Using the time-dependent results, we examine in detail the impact of the events on the Martian system, including three plasma boundaries (Bow Shock, induced magnetosphere and ion composition boundaries) and ion loss rates. It is found that these plasma boundaries vary dramatically during the ICME and total planetary ion loss rates are enhanced by more than an order of magnitude. Title: Consequences of Treating the Solar Magnetic Field as a Dipole on the Global Structure of the Heliosphere and Heliosheath Authors: Michael, A. T.; Opher, M.; Tóth, G. Bibcode: 2018ApJ...860..171M Altcode: We investigate the effect of including the heliospheric current sheet on global modeling of the heliosphere. Due to inherent numerical dissipation in the current handling of the heliospheric current sheet, models have chosen to remove it to avoid numerical problems. We compare a model where the polarity of the Parker spiral is the same in both hemispheres (unipolar) to a dipole description of the solar magnetic field, with the magnetic and rotational axes aligned forming a flat heliospheric current sheet. The flat current sheet is pulled into the northern hemisphere, which reduces the magnetic field strength at the Voyager 1 trajectory over the last 22% of the heliosheath. The decrease in magnetic field intensity is transferred into the thermal energy of the plasma causing the dipole model to predict an entirely thermally dominated heliosheath; this is a stark contrast to the magnetically dominated region ahead of the heliopause in the unipole model. We find that the two-lobe structure of the solar wind magnetic field persists within the dipole model, with the flat current sheet not able to fully erode the magnetic tension force. However, there is a large amount of magnetic dissipation in the tail between the lobes, which affects the structure of the plasma in the region. Furthermore, the draped interstellar magnetic field in the dipole model is strongly affected by reconnection at the nose of the heliosphere, yielding a distinctly different draping pattern than that observed at Voyager 1. Title: Reconnection in the Martian Magnetotail: Hall-MHD With Embedded Particle-in-Cell Simulations Authors: Ma, Yingjuan; Russell, Christopher T.; Toth, Gabor; Chen, Yuxi; Nagy, Andrew F.; Harada, Yuki; McFadden, James; Halekas, Jasper S.; Lillis, Rob; Connerney, John E. P.; Espley, Jared; DiBraccio, Gina A.; Markidis, Stefano; Peng, Ivy Bo; Fang, Xiaohua; Jakosky, Bruce M. Bibcode: 2018JGRA..123.3742M Altcode: Mars Atmosphere and Volatile EvolutioN (MAVEN) mission observations show clear evidence of the occurrence of the magnetic reconnection process in the Martian plasma tail. In this study, we use sophisticated numerical models to help us understand the effects of magnetic reconnection in the plasma tail. The numerical models used in this study are (a) a multispecies global Hall-magnetohydrodynamic (HMHD) model and (b) a global HMHD model two-way coupled to an embedded fully kinetic particle-in-cell code. Comparison with MAVEN observations clearly shows that the general interaction pattern is well reproduced by the global HMHD model. The coupled model takes advantage of both the efficiency of the MHD model and the ability to incorporate kinetic processes of the particle-in-cell model, making it feasible to conduct kinetic simulations for Mars under realistic solar wind conditions for the first time. Results from the coupled model show that the Martian magnetotail is highly dynamic due to magnetic reconnection, and the resulting Mars-ward plasma flow velocities are significantly higher for the lighter ion fluid, which are quantitatively consistent with MAVEN observations. The HMHD with Embedded Particle-in-Cell model predicts that the ion loss rates are more variable but with similar mean values as compared with HMHD model results. Title: An Integrated Modeling Suite for Simulating the Core Induction and Kinetic Effects in Mercury's Magnetosphere Authors: Jia, X.; Slavin, J.; Chen, Y.; Poh, G.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. Bibcode: 2018LPICo2047.6082J Altcode: We present results from state-of-the-art global models of Mercury's space environment capable of self-consistently simulating the induction effect at the core and resolving kinetic physics important for magnetic reconnection. Title: Modeling Martian Atmospheric Losses over Time: Implications for Exoplanetary Climate Evolution and Habitability Authors: Dong, Chuanfei; Lee, Yuni; Ma, Yingjuan; Lingam, Manasvi; Bougher, Stephen; Luhmann, Janet; Curry, Shannon; Toth, Gabor; Nagy, Andrew; Tenishev, Valeriy; Fang, Xiaohua; Mitchell, David; Brain, David; Jakosky, Bruce Bibcode: 2018ApJ...859L..14D Altcode: 2018arXiv180505016D In this Letter, we make use of sophisticated 3D numerical simulations to assess the extent of atmospheric ion and photochemical losses from Mars over time. We demonstrate that the atmospheric ion escape rates were significantly higher (by more than two orders of magnitude) in the past at ∼4 Ga compared to the present-day value owing to the stronger solar wind and higher ultraviolet fluxes from the young Sun. We found that the photochemical loss of atomic hot oxygen dominates over the total ion loss at the current epoch, while the atmospheric ion loss is likely much more important at ancient times. We briefly discuss the ensuing implications of high atmospheric ion escape rates in the context of ancient Mars, and exoplanets with similar atmospheric compositions around young solar-type stars and M-dwarfs. Title: Including Kinetic Ion Effects in the Coupled Global Ionospheric Outflow Solution Authors: Glocer, A.; Toth, G.; Fok, M. -C. Bibcode: 2018JGRA..123.2851G Altcode: We present a new expansion of the Polar Wind Outflow Model to include kinetic ions using the particle-in-cell (PIC) approach with Monte Carlo collisions. This implementation uses the original hydrodynamic solution at low altitudes for efficiency and couples to the kinetic solution at higher altitudes to account for kinetic effects important for ionospheric outflow. The modeling approach also includes wave-particle interactions, suprathermal electrons, and a hybrid parallel computing approach combining shared and distributed memory paralellization. The resulting model is thus a comprehensive, global, model of ionospheric outflow that can be run efficiently on large supercomputing clusters. We demonstrate the model's capability to study a range of problems starting with the comparison of kinetic and hydrodynamic solutions along a single field line in the sunlit polar cap, and progressing to the altitude evolution of the ion conic distribution in the cusp region. The interplay between convection and the cusp on the global outflow solution is also examined. Finally, we demonstrate the impact of these new model features on the magnetosphere by presenting the first two-way coupled ionospheric outflow-magnetosphere calculation including kinetic ion effects. Title: Hall effect in the coma of 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko Authors: Huang, Z.; Tóth, G.; Gombosi, T. I.; Jia, X.; Combi, M. R.; Hansen, K. C.; Fougere, N.; Shou, Y.; Tenishev, V.; Altwegg, K.; Rubin, M. Bibcode: 2018MNRAS.475.2835H Altcode: 2018arXiv180103991H Magnetohydrodynamics simulations have been carried out in studying the solar wind and cometary plasma interactions for decades. Various plasma boundaries have been simulated and compared well with observations for comet 1P/Halley. The Rosetta mission, which studies comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko, challenges our understanding of the solar wind and comet interactions. The Rosetta Plasma Consortium observed regions of very weak magnetic field outside the predicted diamagnetic cavity. In this paper, we simulate the inner coma with the Hall magnetohydrodynamics equations and show that the Hall effect is important in the inner coma environment. The magnetic field topology becomes complex and magnetic reconnection occurs on the dayside when the Hall effect is taken into account. The magnetic reconnection on the dayside can generate weak magnetic field regions outside the global diamagnetic cavity, which may explain the Rosetta Plasma Consortium observations. We conclude that the substantial change in the inner coma environment is due to the fact that the ion inertial length (or gyro radius) is not much smaller than the size of the diamagnetic cavity. Title: A Spectroscopic Study of the Energy Deposition in the Low Corona: Connecting Global Modeling to Observations Authors: Szente, J.; Landi, E.; Toth, G.; Manchester, W.; van der Holst, B.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2017AGUFMSH41C..06S Altcode: We are looking for signatures of coronal heating process using a physically consistent 3D MHD model of the global corona. Our approach is based on the Alfvén Wave Solar atmosphere Model (AWSoM), with a domain ranging from the upper chromosphere (50,000K) to the outer corona, and the solar wind is self-consistently heated and accelerated by the dissipation of low-frequency Alfvén waves. Taking into account separate electron and anisotropic proton heating, we model the coronal plasma at the same time and location as observed by Hinode/EIS, and calculate the synthetic spectra that we compare with the observations. With the obtained synthetic spectra, we are able to directly calculate line intensities, line width, thermal and nonthermal motions, line centroids, Doppler shift distributions and compare our predictions to real measurements. Our results directly test the extent to which Alfvénic heating is present in the low corona. Title: Gas Production at Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko as Measured by the ROSINA Instrument: Long Term Trends and Correlations with H2O and CO2 Authors: Hansen, K. C.; Altwegg, K.; Berthelier, J. J.; Combi, M. R.; De Keyser, J.; Fiethe, B.; Fougere, N.; Fuselier, S. A.; Gombosi, T. I.; Huang, Z.; Rubin, M.; Tenishev, V.; Toth, G.; Tzou, C. Y. Bibcode: 2017AGUFM.P54D..03H Altcode: The Rosetta Orbiter Spectrometer for Ion and Neutral Analysis (ROSINA) instrument onboard the Rosetta spacecraft measured the in situ gas density of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko during the full perihelion passage of the comet within 3.5au. During this time, ROSINA sampled the neutral coma, measuring the broad range of cometary species including both the major constituents such as H2O, CO2, CO as well as many other species that are interesting to the general astrophysical community, such as O2, Xe, Si and even amino acids. Many of these species are hard to detect and therefore measurements are limited to when the spacecraft was close to the comet or the production rate was high. In contrast, in this work we will consider species that are most easily measured due to either their higher production rates or the ease with which their mass peaks are located (H2O, CO2, CO, O2, 18OH, HDO, OCS, SO2, H2S, CN, HCN, NH3, CH4, C2H2, C2H3, CH3OH and F). The advantage of examining these species is that we are able to present measurements over the entire perihelion passage at reasonably high time resolution. In this work we will present two important results. First, we will examine the long-term trend and heliocentric distance dependence of the production of these species over the entire perihelion passage of 67P. Second we will consider the correlation of the production of each species with the production of H2O and CO2. The study will consider both the long term correspondence between production of different species as well as the shorter term correlation. Title: Influence of the solar wind and IMF on Jupiter's magnetosphere: Results from global MHD simulations Authors: Sarkango, Y.; Jia, X.; Toth, G.; Hansen, K. C. Bibcode: 2017AGUFMSM33C2679S Altcode: Due to its large size, rapid rotation and presence of substantial internal plasma sources, Jupiter's magnetosphere is fundamentally different from that of the Earth. How and to what extent do the external factors, such as the solar wind and interplanetary magnetic field (IMF), influence the internally-driven magnetosphere is an open question. In this work, we solve the 3D semi-relativistic magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) equations using a well-established code, BATSRUS, to model the Jovian magnetosphere and study its interaction with the solar wind. Our global model adopts a non-uniform mesh covering the region from 200 RJ upstream to 1800 RJ downstream with the inner boundary placed at a radial distance of 2.5 RJ. The Io plasma torus centered around 6 RJ is generated in our model through appropriate mass-loading terms added to the set of MHD equations. We perform systematic numerical experiments in which we vary the upstream solar wind properties to investigate the impact of solar wind events, such as interplanetary shock and IMF rotation, on the global magnetosphere. From our simulations, we extract the location of the magnetopause boundary, the bow shock and the open-closed field line boundary (OCB), and determine their dependence on the solar wind properties and the IMF orientation. For validation, we compare our simulation results, such as density, temperature and magnetic field, to published empirical models based on in-situ measurements. Title: Space Weather Forecasting at NOAA with Michigan's Geospace Model: Results from the First Year in Real-Time Operations Authors: Cash, M. D.; Singer, H. J.; Millward, G. H.; Balch, C. C.; Toth, G.; Welling, D. T. Bibcode: 2017AGUFMSM11E..07C Altcode: In October 2016, the first version of the Geospace model was transitioned into real-time operations at NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). The Geospace model is a part of the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) developed at the University of Michigan, and the model simulates the full time-dependent 3D Geospace environment (Earth's magnetosphere, ring current and ionosphere) and predicts global space weather parameters such as induced magnetic perturbations in space and on Earth's surface. The current version of the Geospace model uses three coupled components of SWMF: the BATS-R-US global magnetosphere model, the Rice Convection Model (RCM) of the inner magnetosphere, and the Ridley Ionosphere electrodynamics Model (RIM). In the operational mode, SWMF/Geospace runs continually in real-time as long as there is new solar wind data arriving from a satellite at L1, either DSCOVR or ACE. We present an analysis of the overall performance of the Geospace model during the first year of real-time operations. Evaluation metrics include Kp, Dst, as well as regional magnetometer stations. We will also present initial results from new products, such as the AE index, available with the recent upgrade to the Geospace model. Title: The contribution of inductive electric fields to particle energization in the inner magnetosphere Authors: Ilie, R.; Toth, G.; Liemohn, M. W.; Chan, A. A. Bibcode: 2017AGUFMSM23A2586I Altcode: Assessing the relative contribution of potential versus inductive electric fields at the energization of the hot ion population in the inner magnetosphere is only possible by thorough examination of the time varying magnetic field and current systems using global modeling of the entire system. We present here a method to calculate the inductive and potential components of electric field in the entire magnetosphere region. This method is based on the Helmholtz vector decomposition of the motional electric field as calculated by the BATS-R-US model, and is subject to boundary conditions. This approach removes the need to trace independent field lines and lifts the assumption that the magnetic field lines can be treated as frozen in a stationary ionosphere. In order to quantify the relative contributions of potential and inductive electric fields at driving plasma sheet ions into the inner magnetosphere, we apply this method for the March 17th, 2013 geomagnetic storm. We present here the consequences of slow continuous changes in the geomagnetic field as well as the strong tail dipolarizations on the distortion of the near-Earth magnetic field and current systems. Our findings indicate that the inductive component of the electric field is comparable, and even higher at times than the potential component, suggesting that the electric field induced by the time varying magnetic field plays a crucial role in the overall particle energization in the inner magnetosphere. Title: Are "Habitable" Exoplanets Really Habitable? -A perspective from atmospheric loss Authors: Dong, C.; Huang, Z.; Jin, M.; Lingam, M.; Ma, Y. J.; Toth, G.; van der Holst, B.; Airapetian, V.; Cohen, O.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2017AGUFM.P42B..02D Altcode: In the last two decades, the field of exoplanets has witnessed a tremendous creative surge. Research in exoplanets now encompasses a wide range of fields ranging from astrophysics to heliophysics and atmospheric science. One of the primary objectives of studying exoplanets is to determine the criteria for habitability, and whether certain exoplanets meet these requirements. The classical definition of the Habitable Zone (HZ) is the region around a star where liquid water can exist on the planetary surface given sufficient atmospheric pressure. However, this definition largely ignores the impact of the stellar wind and stellar magnetic activity on the erosion of an exoplanet's atmosphere. Amongst the many factors that determine habitability, understanding the mechanisms of atmospheric loss is of paramount importance. We will discuss the impact of exoplanetary space weather on climate and habitability, which offers fresh insights concerning the habitability of exoplanets, especially those orbiting M-dwarfs, such as Proxima b and the TRAPPIST-1 system. For each case, we will demonstrate the importance of the exoplanetary space weather on atmospheric ion loss and habitability. Title: Solar Atmosphere to Earth's Surface: Long Lead Time dB/dt Predictions with the Space Weather Modeling Framework Authors: Welling, D. T.; Manchester, W.; Savani, N.; Sokolov, I.; van der Holst, B.; Jin, M.; Toth, G.; Liemohn, M. W.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2017AGUFMSH34B..05W Altcode: The future of space weather prediction depends on the community's ability to predict L1 values from observations of the solar atmosphere, which can yield hours of lead time. While both empirical and physics-based L1 forecast methods exist, it is not yet known if this nascent capability can translate to skilled dB/dt forecasts at the Earth's surface. This paper shows results for the first forecast-quality, solar-atmosphere-to-Earth's-surface dB/dt predictions. Two methods are used to predict solar wind and IMF conditions at L1 for several real-world coronal mass ejection events. The first method is an empirical and observationally based system to estimate the plasma characteristics. The magnetic field predictions are based on the Bz4Cast system which assumes that the CME has a cylindrical flux rope geometry locally around Earth's trajectory. The remaining plasma parameters of density, temperature and velocity are estimated from white-light coronagraphs via a variety of triangulation methods and forward based modelling. The second is a first-principles-based approach that combines the Eruptive Event Generator using Gibson-Low configuration (EEGGL) model with the Alfven Wave Solar Model (AWSoM). EEGGL specifies parameters for the Gibson-Low flux rope such that it erupts, driving a CME in the coronal model that reproduces coronagraph observations and propagates to 1AU. The resulting solar wind predictions are used to drive the operational Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) for geospace. Following the configuration used by NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center, this setup couples the BATS-R-US global magnetohydromagnetic model to the Rice Convection Model (RCM) ring current model and a height-integrated ionosphere electrodynamics model. The long lead time predictions of dB/dt are compared to model results that are driven by L1 solar wind observations. Both are compared to real-world observations from surface magnetometers at a variety of geomagnetic latitudes. Metrics are calculated to examine how the simulated solar wind drivers impact forecast skill. These results illustrate the current state of long-lead-time forecasting and the promise of this technology for operational use. Title: End-of-mission ROSINA/COPS measurements as a probe of the innermost coma of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko Authors: Tenishev, V.; Fougere, N.; Rubin, M.; Tzou, C. Y.; Combi, M. R.; Altwegg, K.; Gombosi, T. I.; Shou, Y.; Huang, Z.; Hansen, K. C.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2017AGUFM.P51D2634T Altcode: A cometary coma is a unique phenomenon in the Solar system that represents an example of a planetary atmosphere influenced by little or no gravity. Due to the negligible gravity of a comet's nucleus, a coma has a characteristic size that exceeds that of the nucleus itself by many orders of magnitude. An extended dusty gas cloud that forms a coma is affected mainly by molecular collisions, radiative cooling, and photolytic, charge-exchange, and impact-ionization reactions. Such an environment has been extensively observed during the recent Rosetta mission, which was the first mission that escorts a comet along its way through the Solar system for an extended amount of time with the main scientific objectives of characterizing comet's nucleus, determining the surface composition, and studying the comet's activity development. The ROSINA (Rosetta Orbiter Spectrometer for Ion and Neutral Analysis) Comet Pressure Sensor (COPS) onboard the Rosetta spacecraft has performed one of the most exciting observations of the innermost coma during the spacecraft descend maneuver during the last ten hours of the mission when the random and outflow directed pressures in the coma have been measured all the way down to the comet's surface. Performed at such close proximity to the nucleus, these observations can help to characterize effects due to topological features and/or the gas local conditions at the surface of the nucleus. The major focus of the presented study is analyzing of the end-of-mission pressure measurements by the ROSINA/COPS instrument. Because the coma at a heliocentric distance of 3.8 AU was in a collisionless regime, it can be described by solving the Liouville equation, as we have done in our analysis. We have used the SHAP5 nucleus model to account for the topology of the volatile source. Spacecraft trajectory and the instrument pointing with respect to the comet's nucleus have been obtained with the SPICE library. Here, we present results of our analysis and discuss the effects of the surface topology and that of the local surface volatile injection on the distribution of gas in the innermost coma of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko. Title: Global Magnetosphere Modeling With Kinetic Treatment of Magnetic Reconnection Authors: Toth, G.; Chen, Y.; Gombosi, T. I.; Cassak, P.; Markidis, S.; Peng, B.; Henderson, M. G. Bibcode: 2017AGUFMSM22B..04T Altcode: Global magnetosphere simulations with a kinetic treatment of magnetic reconnection are very challenging because of the large separation of global and kinetic scales. We have developed two algorithms that can overcome these difficulties: 1) the two-way coupling of the global magnetohydrodynamic code with an embedded particle-in-cell model (MHD-EPIC) and 2) the artificial increase of the ion and electron kinetic scales. Both of these techniques improve the efficiency of the simulations by many orders of magnitude. We will describe the techniques and show that they provide correct and meaningful results. Using the coupled model and the increased kinetic scales, we will present global magnetosphere simulations with the PIC domains covering the dayside and/or tail reconnection sites. The simulation results will be compared to and validated with MMS observations. Title: Five-moment multi-fluid plasma simulation for comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko Authors: Huang, Z.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I.; Jia, X.; Hansen, K. C.; Combi, M. R.; Tenishev, V.; Shou, Y.; Fougere, N.; Rubin, M.; Altwegg, K. Bibcode: 2017AGUFM.P51D2629H Altcode: Understanding the interactions between the solar wind and cometary magnetosphere was one of the key topics in the Rosetta mission. Numerical simulations have been widely carried out to investigate these interactions and the results agree well with observations. There are three different kinds of models: fluid models (in which both the ions and electrons are treated as fluids), hybrid models (in which the ions are considered as particles while the electrons are considered as a fluid) and fully kinetic models (in which both the ions and electrons are treated as particles). Fluid models can well simulate the large-scale boundaries of the solar wind-comet interaction, such as the bow shock position and the size of the diamagnetic cavity, and typically have much lower computational cost than hybrid and fully kinetic models. In previous fluid models, electrons are usually simulated with an electron pressure equation, without specifying the continuity and momentum equations. Such an approach cannot represent any of the electron kinetic features properly. In this study, we present the first five-moment multi-fluid plasma simulation of a comet, by introducing the continuity and momentum equations for the electrons, in which case the electrons and electric field are simulated more self-consistently than the classical multi-fluid MHD simulations and the Hall effect is included automatically. We compare the five-moment multi-fluid simulation results with those of a multi-fluid Hall MHD simulation and discuss the new features observed in the five-moment multi-fluid model. Title: The Structure of the Heliosphere with Solar Cycle and Its Effect on the Conditions in the Local ISM Authors: Opher, M.; Drake, J. F.; Toth, G.; Swisdak, M.; Michael, A.; Kornbleuth, M. Z.; Zieger, B. Bibcode: 2017AGUFMSH54B..04O Altcode: We argued (Opher et al. 2015, Drake et al. 2015) that the magnetic tension of the solar magnetic field plays a crucial role in organizing the solar wind in the heliosheath into two jet-like structures. The heliosphere then has a "croissant"-like shape where the distance to the heliopause downtail is almost the same as towards the nose. Regardless of whether the heliospheric tail is split in two or has a long comet shape there is consensus that the magnetic field in the heliosheath behaves differently than previously expected - it has a "slinky" structure and is turbulent. In this presentation, we will discuss several aspects related with this new model. We will show that this structure persists when the solar magnetic field is treated as a dipole. We show how the heliosphere, with its "Croissant" shape, evolves when the solar wind with solar cycle conditions are included and when the neutrals are treated kinetically (with our new MHD-Kinetic code). Due to reconnection (and turbulence of the jets) there is a substantial amount of heliosheath material sitting on open field lines. We will discuss the impact of artificial dissipation of the magnetic field in driving mixing and how it evolves with the solar cycle. We will discuss as well the development of turbulence in the jets and its role in mixing the plasma in the heliosheath and LISM and controlling the global structure of the heliosphere. We will discuss how the conditions upstream of the heliosphere, in the local interstellar medium are affected by reconnection in the tail and how it evolves with solar cycle. Recently we established (Opher et al. 2017) that reconnection in the eastern flank of the heliosphere is responsible for the twist of the interstellar magnetic field (BISM) acquiring a strong east-west component as it approaches the Heliopause. Reconnection drives a rotational discontinuity (RD) that twists the BISM into the -T direction and propagates upstream in the interstellar medium toward the nose. The consequence is that the N component of BISM is reduced in a band upstream of the HP. We show how the location of the RD upstream of the heliopause is affected by the solar cycle. Title: A New Global Multi-fluid MHD Model of the Solar Corona Authors: van der Holst, B.; Chandran, B. D. G.; Alterman, B. L.; Kasper, J. C.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2017AGUFMSH32A..09V Altcode: We present a multi-fluid generalization of the AWSoM model, a global magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) solar corona model with low-frequency Alfven wave turbulence (van der Holst et al., 2014). This new extended model includes electron and multi-ion temperatures and velocities (protons and alpha particles). The coronal heating and acceleration is addressed via outward propagating low-frequency Alfven waves that are partially reflected by Alfven speed gradients. The nonlinear interaction of these counter-propagating waves results in turbulent energy cascade. To apportion the wave dissipation to the electron and ion temperatures, we employ the results of the theories of linear wave damping and nonlinear stochastic heating as described by Chandran et al. (2011, 2013). This heat partitioning results in a more than mass proportional heating among ions. Title: Multi-fluid MHD simulations of Europa's interaction with Jupiter's magnetosphere Authors: Harris, C. D. K.; Jia, X.; Slavin, J. A.; Rubin, M.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2017AGUFMSM41C..04H Altcode: Several distinct physical processes generate the interaction between Europa, the smallest of Jupiter's Galilean moons, and Jupiter's magnetosphere. The 10˚ tilt of Jupiter's dipole causes time varying magnetic fields at Europa's orbit which interact with Europa's subsurface conducting ocean to induce magnetic perturbations around the moon. Jovian plasma interacts with Europa's icy surface to sputter off neutral particles, forming a tenuous exosphere which is then ionized by impact and photo-ionization to form an ionosphere. As jovian plasma flows towards the moon, mass-loading and interaction with the ionosphere slow the flow, producing magnetic perturbations that propagate along the field lines to form an Alfvén wing current system, which connects Europa to its bright footprint in Jupiter's ionosphere. The Galileo mission has shown that the plasma interaction generates significant magnetic perturbations that obscure signatures of the induced field from the subsurface ocean. Modeling the plasma-related perturbations is critical to interpreting the magnetic signatures of Europa's induction field, and therefore to magnetic sounding of its interior, a central goal of the upcoming Europa Clipper mission. Here we model the Europa-Jupiter interaction with multi-fluid magnetohydrodynamic simulations to understand quantitatively how these physical processes affect the plasma and magnetic environment around the moon. Our model separately tracks the bulk motion of three different ion fluids (exospheric O2+, O+, and magnetospheric O+), and includes sources and losses of mass, momentum and energy to each of the ion fluids due to ionization, charge-exchange and recombination. We include calculations of the electron temperature allowing for field-aligned electron heat conduction, and Hall effects due to differential ion-electron motion. Compared to previous simulations, this multi-fluid model allows us to more accurately determine the precipitation flux of jovian plasma to Europa's surface, which has significant implications for space weathering at the moon. Including the Hall effect in our simulations enables us to determine the effects of separate ion-electron bulk motion throughout the interaction, and our simulations reveal noticeable asymmetries and small-scale features in the Alfvén wings. Title: Impacts of Extreme Space Weather Events on Power Grid Infrastructure: Physics-Based Modelling of Geomagnetically-Induced Currents (GICs) During Carrington-Class Geomagnetic Storms Authors: Henderson, M. G.; Bent, R.; Chen, Y.; Delzanno, G. L.; Jeffery, C. A.; Jordanova, V. K.; Morley, S.; Rivera, M. K.; Toth, G.; Welling, D. T.; Woodroffe, J. R.; Engel, M. Bibcode: 2017AGUFMSA22A..01H Altcode: Large geomagnetic storms can have devastating effects on power grids. The largest geomagnetic storm ever recorded - called the Carrington Event - occurred in 1859 and produced Geomagnetically Induced Currents (GICs) strong enough to set fires in telegraph offices. It has been estimated that if such a storm occurred today, it would have devastating, long-lasting effects on the North American power transmission infrastructure. Acutely aware of this imminent threat, the North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) was recently instructed to establish requirements for transmission system performance during geomagnetic disturbance (GMD) events and, although the benchmarks adopted were based on the best available data at the time, they suffer from a severely limited physical understanding of the behavior of GMDs and the resulting GICs for strong events. To rectify these deficiencies, we are developing a first-of-its-kind data-informed modelling capability that will provide transformational understanding of the underlying physical mechanisms responsible for the most harmful intense localized GMDs and their impacts on real power transmission networks. This work is being conducted in two separate modes of operation: (1) using historical, well-observed large storm intervals for which robust data-assimilation can be performed, and (2) extending the modelling into a predictive realm in order to assess impacts of poorly and/or never-before observed Carrington-class events. Results of this work are expected to include a potential replacement for the current NERC benchmarking methodology and the development of mitigation strategies in real power grid networks. We report on progress to date and show some preliminary results of modeling large (but not yet extreme) events. Title: Numerical simulation of the kinetic effects in the solar wind Authors: Sokolov, I.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2017AGUFMSH14B..07S Altcode: Global numerical simulations of the solar wind are usually based on the ideal or resistive MagnetoHydroDynamics (MHD) equations. Within a framework of MHD the electric field is assumed to vanish in the co-moving frame of reference (ideal MHD) or to obey a simple and non-physical scalar Ohm's law (resistive MHD). The Maxwellian distribution functions are assumed, the electron and ion temperatures may be different. Non-disversive MHD waves can be present in this numerical model. The averaged equations for MHD turbulence may be included as well as the energy and momentum exchange between the turbulent and regular motion. With the use of explicit numerical scheme, the time step is controlled by the MHD wave propagtion time across the numerical cell (the CFL condition) More refined approach includes the Hall effect vie the generalized Ohm's law. The Lorentz force acting on light electrons is assumed to vanish, which gives the expression for local electric field in terms of the total electric current, the ion current as well as the electron pressure gradient and magnetic field. The waves (whistlers, ion-cyclotron waves etc) aquire dispersion and the short-wavelength perturbations propagate with elevated speed thus strengthening the CFL condition. If the grid size is sufficiently small to resolve ion skindepth scale, then the timestep is much shorter than the ion gyration period. The next natural step is to use hybrid code to resolve the ion kinetic effects. The hybrid numerical scheme employs the same generalized Ohm's law as Hall MHD and suffers from the same constraint on the time step while solving evolution of the electromagnetic field. The important distiction, however, is that by sloving particle motion for ions we can achieve more detailed description of the kinetic effect without significant degrade in the computational efficiency, because the time-step is sufficient to resolve the particle gyration. We present the fisrt numerical results from coupled BATS-R-US+ALTOR code as applied to kinetic simulations of the solar wind. Title: Global Three-dimensional Simulation of the Solar Wind-Magnetosphere Interaction Using a Two-way Coupled Magnetohydrodynamics with Embedded Particle-in-Cell Model Authors: Chen, Y.; Toth, G.; Cassak, P.; Jia, X.; Gombosi, T. I.; Slavin, J. A.; Welling, D. T.; Markidis, S.; Peng, I. B.; Jordanova, V. K.; Henderson, M. G. Bibcode: 2017AGUFMSM24A..05C Altcode: We perform a three-dimensional (3D) global simulation of Earth's magnetosphere with kinetic reconnection physics to study the interaction between the solar wind and Earth's magnetosphere. In this global simulation with magnetohydrodynamics with embedded particle-in-cell model (MHD-EPIC), both the dayside magnetopause reconnection region and the magnetotail reconnection region are covered with a kinetic particle-in-cell code iPIC3D, which is two-way coupled with the global MHD model BATS-R-US. We will describe the dayside reconnection related phenomena, such as the lower hybrid drift instability (LHDI) and the evolution of the flux transfer events (FTEs) along the magnetopause, and compare the simulation results with observations. We will also discuss the response of the magnetotail to the southward IMF. The onset of the tail reconnection and the properties of the magnetotail flux ropes will be discussed. Title: 3D Hall MHD-EPIC Simulations of Ganymede's Magnetosphere Authors: Zhou, H.; Toth, G.; Jia, X. Bibcode: 2017AGUFMSM33D2700Z Altcode: Fully kinetic modeling of a complete 3D magnetosphere is still computationally expensive and not feasible on current computers. While magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) models have been successfully applied to a wide range of plasma simulation, they cannot capture some important kinetic effects. We have recently developed a new modeling tool to embed the implicit particle-in-cell (PIC) model iPIC3D into the Block-Adaptive-Tree-Solarwind-Roe-Upwind-Scheme (BATS-R-US) magnetohydrodynamic model. This results in a kinetic model of the regions where kinetic effects are important. In addition to the MHD-EPIC modeling of the magnetosphere, the improved model presented here is now able to represent the moon as a resistive body. We use a stretched spherical grid with adaptive mesh refinement (AMR) to capture the resistive body and its boundary. A semi-implicit scheme is employed for solving the magnetic induction equation to allow time steps that are not limited by the resistivity. We have applied the model to Ganymede, the only moon in the solar system known to possess a strong intrinsic magnetic field, and included finite resistivity beneath the moon`s surface to model the electrical properties of the interior in a self-consistent manner. The kinetic effects of electrons and ions on the dayside magnetopause and tail current sheet are captured with iPIC3D. Magnetic reconnections under different upstream background conditions of several Galileo flybys are simulated to study the global reconnection rate and the magnetospheric dynamics Title: A new hybrid particle/fluid model for cometary dust Authors: Shou, Y.; Combi, M. R.; Tenishev, V.; Toth, G.; Hansen, K. C.; Huang, Z.; Gombosi, T. I.; Fougere, N.; Rubin, M. Bibcode: 2017AGUFM.P51D2641S Altcode: Cometary dust grains, which originate from comets, are believed to contain clues to the formation and the evolution of comets. They also play an important role in shaping the cometary environment, as they are able to decelerate and heat the gas through collisions, carry charges and interact with the plasma environment, and possibly sublimate gases. Therefore, the loss rate and behavior of dust grains are of interest to scientists. Currently, mainly two types of numerical dust models exist: particle models and fluid models have been developed. Particle models, which keep track of the positions and velocities of all gas and dust particles, allow crossing dust trajectories and a more accurate description of returning dust grains than the fluid model. However, in order to compute the gas drag force, the particle model needs to follow more gas particles than dust particles. A fluid model is usually more computationally efficient and is often used to provide simulations on larger spatial and temporal scales. In this work, a new hybrid model is developed to combine the advantages of both particle and fluid models. In the new approach a fluid model based on the University of Michigan BATSRUS code computes the gas properties, and feeds the gas drag force to the particle model, which is based on the Adaptive Mesh Particle Simulator (AMPS) code, to calculate the motion of dust grains. The coupling is done via the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). In addition to the capability of simulating the long-term dust phenomena, the model can also designate small active regions on the nucleus for comparison with the temporary fine dust features in observations. With the assistance of the newly developed model, the effect of viewing angles on observed dust jet shapes and the transportation of heavy dust grains from the southern to the northern hemisphere of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko will be studied and compared with Rosetta mission images. Preliminary results will be presented. Support from contracts JPL #1266314 and #1266313 from the US Rosetta Project and grant NNX14AG84G from the NASA Planetary Atmospheres Program are gratefully acknowledged. Title: Surface Activity Distributions of Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko Derived from VIRTIS Images Authors: Fougere, N.; Combi, M. R.; Tenishev, V.; Migliorini, A.; Bockelée-Morvan, D.; Fink, U.; Filacchione, G.; Rinaldi, G.; Capaccioni, F.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I.; Hansen, K. C.; Huang, Z.; Shou, Y. Bibcode: 2017AGUFM.P51D2642F Altcode: The outgassing mechanism of comets still remains a critical question to better understand these objects. The Rosetta mission gave some insight regarding the potential activity distribution from the surface of the nucleus of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko, Fougere et al. (2016) used a spherical harmonics inversion scheme with in-situ measurements from the ROSINA instrument to derive mapping of the broad distribution of potential activity at the surface of the nucleus. Marschall et al. (2017) based on the appearance of dust active areas suggested that the so-called "neck" region and regions with fractured cliffs and locally steep slopes show more activity than the rest of comet 67P's nucleus. Using in situ ROSINA measurements from a distance makes it difficult to distinguish between these two scenarios because the fast expansion of the gas and large molecular mean free paths prevents distinguishing small outgassing features even when the spacecraft was in bound orbits within 10 km from the nucleus. In this paper, we present a similar numerical inversion approach using VIRTIS images, which should better probe the very inner coma of comet 67P and give more detailed information about the outgassing activity. Support from contracts JPL #1266314 and #1266313 from the US Rosetta Project and grant NNX14AG84G from the NASA Planetary Atmospheres Program are gratefully acknowledged. Title: Importance of Ambipolar Electric Field in the Ion Loss from Mars- Results from a Multi-fluid MHD Model with the Electron Pressure Equation Included Authors: Ma, Y.; Dong, C.; van der Holst, B.; Nagy, A. F.; Bougher, S. W.; Toth, G.; Cravens, T.; Yelle, R. V.; Jakosky, B. M. Bibcode: 2017AGUFM.P11B2509M Altcode: The multi-fluid (MF) magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model of Mars is further improved by solving an additional electron pressure equation. Through the electron pressure equation, the electron temperature is calculated based on the effects from various electrons related heating and cooling processes (e.g. photo-electron heating, electron-neutral collision and electron-ion collision), and thus the improved model is able to calculate the electron temperature and the electron pressure force self-consistently. Electron thermal conductivity is also considered in the calculation. Model results of a normal case with electron pressure equation included (MFPe) are compared in detail to an identical case using the regular MF model to identify the effect of the improved physics. We found that when the electron pressure equation is included, the general interaction patterns are similar to that of the case with no electron pressure equation. The model with electron pressure equation predicts that electron temperature is much larger than the ion temperature in the ionosphere, consistent with both Viking and MAVEN observations. The inclusion of electron pressure equation significantly increases the total escape fluxes predicted by the model, indicating the importance of the ambipolar electric field(electron pressure gradient) in driving the ion loss from Mars. Title: Results from the OH-PT model: a Kinetic-MHD Model of the Outer Heliosphere within SWMF Authors: Michael, A.; Opher, M.; Tenishev, V.; Borovikov, D.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2017AGUFMSH23C2676M Altcode: We present an update of the OH-PT model, a kinetic-MHD model of the outer heliosphere. The OH-PT model couples the Outer Heliosphere (OH) and Particle Tracker (PT) components within the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). The OH component utilizes the Block-Adaptive Tree Solarwind Roe-type Upwind Scheme (BATS-R-US) MHD code, a highly parallel, 3D, and block-adaptive solver. As a stand-alone model, the OH component solves the ideal MHD equations for the plasma and a separate set of Euler's equations for the different populations of neutral atoms. The neutrals and plasma in the outer heliosphere are coupled through charge-exchange. While this provides an accurate solution for the plasma, it is an inaccurate description of the neutrals. The charge-exchange mean free path is on the order of the size of the heliosphere; therefore the neutrals cannot be described as a fluid. The PT component is based on the Adaptive Mesh Particle Simulator (AMPS) model, a 3D, direct simulation Monte Carlo model that solves the Boltzmann equation for the motion and interaction of multi-species plasma and is used to model the neutral distribution functions throughout the domain. The charge-exchange process occurs within AMPS, which handles each event on a particle-by-particle basis and calculates the resulting source terms to the MHD equations. The OH-PT model combines the MHD solution for the plasma with the kinetic solution for the neutrals to form a self-consistent model of the heliosphere. In this work, we present verification and validation of the model as well as demonstrate the codes capabilities. Furthermore we provide a comparison of the OH-PT model to our multi-fluid approximation and detail the differences between the models in both the plasma solution and neutral distribution functions. Title: Modeling of Ion and Photochemical Losses to Space Over the Martian History: Implications for Exoplanetary Climate Evolution and Habitability Authors: Dong, C. F.; Lee, Y.; Ma, Y. J.; Bougher, S. W.; Luhmann, J. G.; Jakosky, B. M.; Curry, S. M.; Brain, D. A.; Toth, G.; Nagy, A. F. Bibcode: 2017LPICo2042.4023D Altcode: This study informs our understanding of the long-term evolution of the Martian climate due to atmospheric losses to space, and has implications for analogous change on exoplanets. Thus, it offers fresh insights concerning the habitability of exoplanets. Title: Are "Habitable" Exoplanets Really Habitable? A Perspective from Atmospheric Loss Authors: Dong, C. F.; Huang, Z. G.; Jin, M.; Lingam, M.; Ma, Y. J.; Toth, G.; van der Holst, B.; Airapetian, V.; Cohen, O.; Gombosi, T. Bibcode: 2017LPICo2042.4021D Altcode: We will discuss the impact of exoplanetary space weather on the climate and habitability, which offers fresh insights concerning the habitability of exoplanets, especially those orbiting M-dwarfs, such as Proxima b and the TRAPPIST-1 system. Title: A New 3D Multi-fluid Dust Model: A Study of the Effects of Activity and Nucleus Rotation on Dust Grain Behavior at Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko Authors: Shou, Y.; Combi, M.; Toth, G.; Tenishev, V.; Fougere, N.; Jia, X.; Rubin, M.; Huang, Z.; Hansen, K.; Gombosi, T. Bibcode: 2017ApJ...850...72S Altcode: Improving our capability to interpret observations of cometary dust is necessary to deepen our understanding of the role of dust in the formation of comets and in altering the cometary environments. Models including dust grains are in demand to interpret observations and test hypotheses. Several existing models have taken into account the gas-dust interaction, varying sizes of dust grains and the cometary gravitational force. In this work, we develop a multi-fluid dust model based on the BATS-R-US code. This model not only incorporates key features of previous dust models, but also has the capability of simulating time-dependent phenomena. Since the model is run in the rotating comet reference frame, the centrifugal and Coriolis forces are included. The boundary conditions on the nucleus surface can be set according to the distribution of activity and the solar illumination. The Sun revolves around the comet in this frame. A newly developed numerical mesh is also used to resolve the real-shaped nucleus in the center and to facilitate prescription of the outer boundary conditions that accommodate the rotating frame. The inner part of the mesh is a box composed of Cartesian cells and the outer surface is a smooth sphere, with stretched cells filled in between the box and the sphere. Our model achieved comparable results to the Direct Simulation Monte Carlo method and the Rosetta/OSIRIS observations. It is also applied to study the effects of the rotating nucleus and the cometary activity and offers interpretations of some dust observations of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko. Title: Venus Ionosphere and Induced Magnetosphere Responses to Solar Wind Dynamic Pressure and IMF Direction Authors: Ma, Yingjuan; Toth, Gabor; Nagy, Andew; Russell, Chris Bibcode: 2017DPS....4950501M Altcode: In this study, we focus on the responses of the ionosphere and the induced magnetosphere of Venus to two typical changes in the solar wind: solar wind dynamic pressure changes and the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) direction changes. Often regarded as the Earth’s ‘sister planet’, Venus has similar size and mass as Earth. But it is also remarkably different from Earth in many respects. Even though we have some basic knowledge of the solar wind interaction with Venus based on spacecraft observations, little is known about how the interaction and the resulting plasma escape rates vary in response to solar wind variations due to the lack of coordinated observations of both upstream solar wind conditions and simultaneous plasma properties in the Venus ionosphere. Furthermore, recent observations suggest that plasma escape rates are significantly enhanced during stormy space weather in response to solar wind pressure pulses (Edberg et al., 2011). Thus it is important to understand the plasma interaction under varying solar wind conditions. We use a sophisticated multi-species MHD model that has been recently developed for Venus (Ma et al., 2013) to characterize the changes of the ionosphere and the induced magnetosphere for varying solar wind conditions. Based on model results, we discuss the perturbations of the magnetic field in the ionosphere and its variation with altitude; the variation of the total plasma escape-rate; and the time scale of the Venus ionosphere and induced magnetosphere in responding to both types of changes in the solar wind. Title: Global Three-Dimensional Simulation of Earth's Dayside Reconnection Using a Two-Way Coupled Magnetohydrodynamics With Embedded Particle-in-Cell Model: Initial Results Authors: Chen, Yuxi; Tóth, Gábor; Cassak, Paul; Jia, Xianzhe; Gombosi, Tamas I.; Slavin, James A.; Markidis, Stefano; Peng, Ivy Bo; Jordanova, Vania K.; Henderson, Michael G. Bibcode: 2017JGRA..12210318C Altcode: 2017arXiv170403803C We perform a three-dimensional (3-D) global simulation of Earth's magnetosphere with kinetic reconnection physics to study the flux transfer events (FTEs) and dayside magnetic reconnection with the recently developed magnetohydrodynamics with embedded particle-in-cell model. During the 1 h long simulation, the FTEs are generated quasi-periodically near the subsolar point and move toward the poles. We find that the magnetic field signature of FTEs at their early formation stage is similar to a "crater FTE," which is characterized by a magnetic field strength dip at the FTE center. After the FTE core field grows to a significant value, it becomes an FTE with typical flux rope structure. When an FTE moves across the cusp, reconnection between the FTE field lines and the cusp field lines can dissipate the FTE. The kinetic features are also captured by our model. A crescent electron phase space distribution is found near the reconnection site. A similar distribution is found for ions at the location where the Larmor electric field appears. The lower hybrid drift instability (LHDI) along the current sheet direction also arises at the interface of magnetosheath and magnetosphere plasma. The LHDI electric field is about 8 mV/m, and its dominant wavelength relative to the electron gyroradius agrees reasonably with Magnetospheric Multiscale (MMS) observations. Title: Analysis of the ROSINA/COPS end-of-mission measurements of the coma of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko Authors: Tenishev, Valeriy; Combi, Michael R.; Fougere, Nicolas; Rubin, Martin; Tzou, Chia-Yu; Shou, Yinsi; Gombosi, T. I.; Altwegg, Kathrin; Huang, Zhenguang; Toth, Gabor; Hansen, Kenneth C. Bibcode: 2017DPS....4950905T Altcode: A cometary coma is a unique phenomenon in the Solar system that represents an example of a planetary atmosphere influenced by little or no gravity. Due to the negligible gravity of a comet’s nucleus, a coma has a characteristic size that exceeds that of the nucleus itself by many orders of magnitude. An extended dusty gas cloud that forms a coma is affected mainly by molecular collisions, radiative cooling, and photolytic, charge-exchange, and impact-ionization reactions.Such an environment has been extensively observed during the recent Rosetta mission, which was the first mission that escorts a comet along its way through the Solar system for an extended amount of time with the main scientific objectives of characterizing comet’s nucleus, determining the surface composition, and studying the comet’s activity development.The ROSINA (Rosetta Orbiter Spectrometer for Ion and Neutral Analysis) Comet Pressure Sensor (COPS) onboard the Rosetta spacecraft has performed one of the most exciting observations of the innermost coma during the spacecraft descend maneuver during the last ten hours of the mission when the random and outflow directed pressures in the coma have been measured all the way down to the comet’s surface. Performed at such close proximity to the nucleus, these observations can help to characterize effects due to topological features and/or the gas local conditions at the surface of the nucleus.The major focus of the presented study is analyzing of the end-of-mission pressure measurements by the ROSINA/COPS instrument. Because the coma at a heliocentric distance of 3.8 AU was in a collisionless regime, it can be described by solving the Liouville equation, as we have done in our analysis. We have used the SHAP5 nucleus model to account for the topology of the volatile source. Spacecraft trajectory and the instrument pointing with respect to the comet’s nucleus have been obtained with the SPICE library. Here, we present results of our analysis and discuss the effects of the surface topology and that of the local surface volatile injection on the distribution of gas in the innermost coma of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko. Title: Surface Activity Distributions of Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko Derived from VIRTIS Images Authors: Fougere, Nicolas; Combi, Michael R.; Tenishev, Valeriy; Migliorini, Alessandra; Bockelee-Morvan, Dominique; Fink, Uwe; Filacchione, Gianrico; Rinaldi, Giovanna; Capaccioni, Fabrizio; Toth, Gabor; Gombosi, T. I.; Hansen, Kenneth C.; Huang, Zhenguang; Shou, Yinsi; VIRTIS Team Bibcode: 2017DPS....4941501F Altcode: The outgassing mechanism of comets still remains a critical question to better understand these objects. The Rosetta mission gave some insight regarding the potential activity distribution from the surface of the nucleus of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko, Fougere et al. (2016, Astronomy & Astrophysics, Volume 588, id.A134, 11 pp and Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, Volume 462, Issue Suppl_1, p.S156-S169) used a spherical harmonics inversion scheme with in-situ measurements from the ROSINA instrument to derive mapping of the broad distribution of potential activity at the surface of the nucleus. Marschall et al. (2016, Astronomy & Astrophysics, doi: 10.1051/0004-6361/201730849) based on the appearance of dust active areas suggested that the so-called “neck” region and regions with fractured cliffs and locally steep slopes show more activity than the rest of comet 67P’s nucleus. Using in situ ROSINA measurements from a distance makes it difficult to distinguish between these two scenarios because the fast expansion of the gas and large molecular mean free paths prevents distinguishing small outgassing features even when the spacecraft was in bound orbits within 10 km from the nucleus. In this paper, we present a similar numerical inversion approach using VIRTIS images, which should better probe the very inner coma of comet 67P and give more detailed information about the outgassing activity. Support from contracts JPL #1266314 and #1266313 from the US Rosetta Project and grant NNX14AG84G from the NASA Planetary Atmospheres Program are gratefully acknowledged. Title: Scaling the Ion Inertial Length and Its Implications for Modeling Reconnection in Global Simulations Authors: Tóth, Gábor; Chen, Yuxi; Gombosi, Tamas I.; Cassak, Paul; Markidis, Stefano; Peng, Ivy Bo Bibcode: 2017JGRA..12210336T Altcode: We investigate the use of artificially increased ion and electron kinetic scales in global plasma simulations. We argue that as long as the global and ion inertial scales remain well separated, (1) the overall global solution is not strongly sensitive to the value of the ion inertial scale, while (2) the ion inertial scale dynamics will also be similar to the original system, but it occurs at a larger spatial scale, and (3) structures at intermediate scales, such as magnetic islands, grow in a self-similar manner. To investigate the validity and limitations of our scaling hypotheses, we carry out many simulations of a two-dimensional magnetosphere with the magnetohydrodynamics with embedded particle-in-cell (MHD-EPIC) model. The PIC model covers the dayside reconnection site. The simulation results confirm that the hypotheses are true as long as the increased ion inertial length remains less than about 5% of the magnetopause standoff distance. Since the theoretical arguments are general, we expect these results to carry over to three dimensions. The computational cost is reduced by the third and fourth powers of the scaling factor in two- and three-dimensional simulations, respectively, which can be many orders of magnitude. The present results suggest that global simulations that resolve kinetic scales for reconnection are feasible. This is a crucial step for applications to the magnetospheres of Earth, Saturn, and Jupiter and to the solar corona. Title: The Dehydration of Water Worlds via Atmospheric Losses Authors: Dong, Chuanfei; Huang, Zhenguang; Lingam, Manasvi; Tóth, Gábor; Gombosi, Tamas; Bhattacharjee, Amitava Bibcode: 2017ApJ...847L...4D Altcode: 2017arXiv170901219D We present a three-species multi-fluid magnetohydrodynamic model (H+, H2O+, and e -), endowed with the requisite atmospheric chemistry, that is capable of accurately quantifying the magnitude of water ion losses from exoplanets. We apply this model to a water world with Earth-like parameters orbiting a Sun-like star for three cases: (I) current normal solar wind conditions, (II) ancient normal solar wind conditions, and (III) one extreme “Carrington-type” space weather event. We demonstrate that the ion escape rate for (II), with a value of 6.0 × 1026 s-1, is about an order of magnitude higher than the corresponding value of 6.7 × 1025 s-1 for (I). Studies of ion losses induced by space weather events, where the ion escape rates can reach ∼1028 s-1, are crucial for understanding how an active, early solar-type star (e.g., with frequent coronal mass ejections) could have accelerated the depletion of the exoplanet’s atmosphere. We briefly explore the ramifications arising from the loss of water ions, especially for planets orbiting M-dwarfs where such effects are likely to be significant. Title: Noether's theorems and conserved currents in gauge theories in the presence of fixed fields Authors: Tóth, Gábor Zsolt Bibcode: 2017PhRvD..96b5018T Altcode: 2016arXiv161003281T We extend the standard construction of conserved currents for matter fields in general relativity to general gauge theories. In the original construction, the conserved current associated with a spacetime symmetry generated by a Killing field hμ is given by √{-g }Tμ νhν , where Tμ ν is the energy-momentum tensor of the matter. We show that if in a Lagrangian field theory that has gauge symmetry in the general Noetherian sense some of the elementary fields are fixed and are invariant under a particular infinitesimal gauge transformation, then there is a current Bμ that is analogous to √{-g }Tμ νhν and is conserved if the nonfixed fields satisfy their Euler-Lagrange equations. The conservation of Bμ can be seen as a consequence of an identity that is a generalization of ∇μTμ ν=0 and is a consequence of the gauge symmetry of the Lagrangian. This identity holds in any configuration of the fixed fields if the nonfixed fields satisfy their Euler-Lagrange equations. We also show that Bμ differs from the relevant canonical Noether current by the sum of an identically conserved current and a term that vanishes if the nonfixed fields are on shell. For an example, we discuss the case of general, possibly fermionic, matter fields propagating in fixed gravitational and Yang-Mills background. We find that in this case the generalization of ∇μTμ ν=0 is the Lorentz law ∇μTμ ν-Fa ν λJa λ=0 , which holds as a consequence of the diffeomorphism, local Lorentz and Yang-Mills gauge symmetry of the matter Lagrangian. For a second simple example, we consider the case of general fields propagating in a background that consists of a gravitational and a real scalar field. Title: Spectral Analysis of Heating Processes in the Alfvén Wave Driven Global Corona Model Authors: Szente, Judit; Toth, Gabor; Landi, Enrico; Manchester, Ward; van der Holst, Bart; Gombosi, Tamas Bibcode: 2017shin.confE..78S Altcode: Among numerous theories explaining the existence of the hot solar corona and continuous solar wind, one of the most successful one is based on wave heating. This approach describes Alfvén waves traveling along the magnetic field lines carrying sufficient energy to heat the corona and accelerate the solar wind. The wave energy is deposited through turbulent dissipation, which leaves identifiable traces in the plasma. Spectral observations have suggested the existence of wave heating: via the decrease of non-thermal spectral line broadening, and via charge state ratios of specific minor-ions reflecting the heating history of the solar wind plasma. We determine the extent to which Alfvén-waves drive the solar corona using a combination of spectral modeling and observational techniques.

In this study, we reevaluate observational evidence of the coronal heating process: we simulate observations of the global corona and its spectral line emission with the Alfvén Wave Solar Model (AWSoM) and compare the synthetic data with observations. Title: Consequences of treating the solar magnetic field as a dipole on the global structure of the heliosphere and an update on the OH-PT model Authors: Michael, Adam Thomas; Opher, Merav; Toth, Gabor; Tenishev, Valeriy; Borovikov, Dmitry Bibcode: 2017shin.confE.168M Altcode: Through the use of numerical models, we have begun to realize the importance the solar magnetic field has on the heliosphere. The aim of all outer heliosphere simulations is to accurately model the solar magnetic field, including a self-consistent approach to the heliospheric current sheet. We investigate the effect that including the heliospheric current sheet has on our global 3D MHD model of the heliosphere. We compare the unipolar model, where the polarity of the Parker spiral is the same in both hemispheres, to the dipole description of the solar magnetic field with the magnetic and rotational axes aligned forming a flat heliospheric current sheet, defined as a discontinuity between polarities. The flat current sheet is pulled into the northern hemisphere, avoiding the stagnation region, and reduces the magnetic field strength at the Voyager 1 trajectory over the last 22.5% of the heliosheath. The decrease in magnetic field intensity is transferred into the thermal energy of the plasma causing the dipole model to predict an entirely thermally dominated heliosheath, a stark contrast to the magnetically dominated region ahead of the heliopause in the unipole model. The jet that forms within the current sheet increases the radial velocity and ram pressure just downstream of the heliopause causing the heliopause to be asymmetric and located further in the northern hemisphere. We find that the two-lobe structure of the solar wind magnetic field persists within the dipole model with the flat current sheet not able to fully erode the magnetic tension force. We also present an update of the OH-PT model within SWMF. The OH-PT model is a kinetic-MHD model that couples the BATS-R-US MHD solver to AMPS, a DSMC code used to solve the Boltzmann equation for the distribution function of the neutrals and energetic neutral atoms streaming through the heliosphere. Title: Calculating the inductive electric field in the terrestrial magnetosphere Authors: Ilie, Raluca; Daldorff, Lars K. S.; Liemohn, Michael W.; Toth, Gabor; Chan, Anthony A. Bibcode: 2017JGRA..122.5391I Altcode: This study presents a theoretical approach to calculate the inductive electric field, and it is further applied to global MHD simulations of the magnetosphere. The contribution of the inductive component to the total electric field is found by decomposing the motional electric field into a superposition of an irrotational and a solenoidal vector and assuming that the time-varying magnetic field vanishes on the boundary. We find that a localized change in the magnetic field generates an inductive electric field whose effect extends over all space, meaning that the effect of the inductive electric field is global even if the changes in the magnetic field are localized. Application of this formalism to disturbed times provides strong evidence that during periods of increased activity the electric field induced by the localized change in magnetic field can be comparable to (or larger than) the potential electric fields in certain regions. This induced field exhibits significant spatial and temporal variations, which means that particles that drift into different regions of space are being exposed to different means of acceleration. These results suggest that the inductive electric field could have a substantial contribution to particle energization in the near-Earth region even though the changes in the magnetic fields occur at distances of several tens of Earth radii. This finding is particularly important for ring current modeling which in many cases excludes inductive contributions to the total particle drift. Title: Effects of electric field methods on modeling the midlatitude ionospheric electrodynamics and inner magnetosphere dynamics Authors: Yu, Yiqun; Jordanova, Vania K.; Ridley, Aaron J.; Toth, Gabor; Heelis, Roderick Bibcode: 2017JGRA..122.5321Y Altcode: We report a self-consistent electric field coupling between the midlatitude ionospheric electrodynamics and inner magnetosphere dynamics represented in a kinetic ring current model. This implementation in the model features another self-consistency in addition to its already existing self-consistent magnetic field coupling with plasma. The model is therefore named as Ring current-Atmosphere interaction Model with Self-Consistent magnetic (B) and electric (E) fields, or RAM-SCB-E. With this new model, we explore, by comparing with previously employed empirical Weimer potential, the impact of using self-consistent electric fields on the modeling of storm time global electric potential distribution, plasma sheet particle injection, and the subauroral polarization streams (SAPS) which heavily rely on the coupled interplay between the inner magnetosphere and midlatitude ionosphere. We find the following phenomena in the self-consistent model: (1) The spatially localized enhancement of electric field is produced within 2.5 < L < 4 during geomagnetic active time in the dusk-premidnight sector, with a similar dynamic penetration as found in statistical observations. (2) The electric potential contours show more substantial skewing toward the postmidnight than the Weimer potential, suggesting the resistance on the particles from directly injecting toward the low-L region. (3) The proton flux indeed indicates that the plasma sheet inner boundary at the dusk-premidnight sector is located further away from the Earth than in the Weimer potential, and a "tongue" of low-energy protons extends eastward toward the dawn, leading to the Harang reversal. (4) SAPS are reproduced in the subauroral region, and their magnitude and latitudinal width are in reasonable agreement with data. Title: Variability of Jupiter's IR H3+ aurorae during Juno approach Authors: Moore, L.; O'Donoghue, J.; Melin, H.; Stallard, T.; Tao, C.; Zieger, B.; Clarke, J.; Vogt, M. F.; Bhakyapaibul, T.; Opher, M.; Tóth, G.; Connerney, J. E. P.; Levin, S.; Bolton, S. Bibcode: 2017GeoRL..44.4513M Altcode: We present ground-based observations of Jupiter's H3+ aurorae over four nights in April 2016 while the Juno spacecraft was monitoring the upstream interplanetary magnetic field. High-precision maps of auroral H3+ densities, temperatures, and radiances reveal significant variabilities in those parameters, with regions of enhanced density and emission accompanied by reduced temperature. Juno magnetometer data, combined with solar wind propagation models, suggest that a shock may have impacted Jupiter in the days preceding the observation interval but that the solar wind was quiescent thereafter. Auroral H3+ temperatures reveal a downward temporal trend, consistent with a slowly cooling upper atmosphere, such as might follow a period of shock recovery. The brightest H3+ emissions are from the end of the period, 23 April. A lack of definitive signatures in the upstream interplanetary magnetic field lends supporting evidence to the possibility that this brightening event may have been driven by internal magnetospheric processes. Title: MHD Coupling with PIC to Study the Magnetic Reconnection Process in the Martian Plasma Tail Authors: Ma, Yingjuan; Russell, Christopher; Toth, Gabor; Chen, Yuki; Nagy, Andrew; Harada, Yuki; McFadden, James; Halekas, Jasper; Connerney, Jack; Jakosky, Bruce; Markidis, Stefano; Peng, Ive Bibcode: 2017EGUGA..1910180M Altcode: Mars Atmosphere and Volatile EvolutioN Mission (MAVEN) observations showed clear evidence that magnetic reconnection happens in the Martian plasma tail. We use both the HALL MHD model and the two-way coupled MHD-PIC model to study a MAVEN magnetotail reconnection event based on the observed solar wind conditions to understand the reconnection process and quantify its global consequences. The coupled approach takes advantage of both MHD and PIC models, making it feasible to conduct kinetic simulations under realistic solar wind conditions. Model results show that the Martian magnetotail is highly dynamic and the Marsward plasma flow velocities due to magnetic reconnection are higher for the lighter ion fluid, which are quantatively consistent with MAVEN observations. The effect of the magnetic reconnection on the total ion loss rate will also be discussed based on model results. Title: The Twist of the Draped Interstellar Magnetic Field Ahead of the Heliopause: A Magnetic Reconnection Driven Rotational Discontinuity Authors: Opher, M.; Drake, J. F.; Swisdak, M.; Zieger, B.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2017ApJ...839L..12O Altcode: 2017arXiv170206178O Based on the difference between the orientation of the interstellar B ISM and the solar magnetic fields, there was an expectation that the magnetic field direction would rotate dramatically across the heliopause (HP). However, the Voyager 1 spacecraft measured very little rotation across the HP. Previously, we showed that the B ISM twists as it approaches the HP and acquires a strong T component (east-west). Here, we establish that reconnection in the eastern flank of the heliosphere is responsible for the twist. On the eastern flank the solar magnetic field has twisted into the positive N direction and reconnects with the southward pointing component of the B ISM. Reconnection drives a rotational discontinuity (RD) that twists the B ISM into the -T direction and propagates upstream in the interstellar medium toward the nose. The consequence is that the N component of B ISM is reduced in a finite width band upstream of the HP. Voyager 1 currently measures angles (δ ={\sin }-1({B}N/B)) close to solar values. We present MHD simulations to support this scenario, suppressing reconnection in the nose region while allowing it in the flanks, consistent with recent ideas about reconnection suppression from diamagnetic drifts. The jump in plasma β (the plasma to magnetic pressure) across the nose of HP is much greater than in the flanks because the heliosheath β is greater there than in the flanks. Large-scale reconnection is therefore suppressed in the nose but not at the flanks. Simulation data suggest that B ISM will return to its pristine value 10-15 au past the HP. Title: Variations of the Martian plasma environment during the ICME passage on 8 March 2015: A time-dependent MHD study Authors: Ma, Y. J.; Russell, C. T.; Fang, X.; Dong, C. F.; Nagy, A. F.; Toth, G.; Halekas, J. S.; Connerney, J. E. P.; Espley, J. R.; Mahaffy, P. R.; Benna, M.; McFadden, J.; Mitchell, D. L.; Andersson, L.; Jakosky, B. M. Bibcode: 2017JGRA..122.1714M Altcode: The Mars Atmosphere and Volatile EvolutioN (MAVEN) spacecraft observed a strong interplanetary coronal mass ejection (ICME) impacting Mars on 8 March 2015. We use a time-dependent global MHD model to investigate the response of the Martian ionosphere and induced magnetosphere to the large solar wind disturbance associated with the ICME. Taking observed upstream solar wind conditions from MAVEN as inputs to the MHD model, the variations of the Martian plasma environments are simulated realistically in a time period from 2.5 h prior to the arrival of the ICME shock to about 12 h after the impact. Detailed comparisons between the model results and the relevant MAVEN plasma measurements are presented, which clearly show that the time-dependent multispecies single-fluid MHD model is able to reproduce the main features observed by the spacecraft during the ICME passage. Model results suggest that the induced magnetosphere responds to solar wind variation on a very short time scale (approximately minutes). The variations of the plasma boundaries' distances from the planet along the subsolar line are examined in detail, which show a clear anticorrelation with the magnetosonic Mach number. Plasma properties in the ionosphere (especially the induced magnetic field) varied rapidly with solar wind changes. Model results also show that ion escape rates could be enhanced by an order of magnitude in response to the high solar wind dynamic pressure during the ICME event. Title: Coronal Jets Simulated with the Global Alfvén Wave Solar Model Authors: Szente, J.; Toth, G.; Manchester, W. B., IV; van der Holst, B.; Landi, E.; Gombosi, T. I.; DeVore, C. R.; Antiochos, S. K. Bibcode: 2017ApJ...834..123S Altcode: This paper describes a numerical modeling study of coronal jets to understand their effects on the global corona and their contribution to the solar wind. We implement jets into a well-established three-dimensional, two-temperature magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) solar corona model employing Alfvén-wave dissipation to produce a realistic solar-wind background. The jets are produced by positioning a compact magnetic dipole under the solar surface and rotating the boundary plasma around the dipole's magnetic axis. The moving plasma drags the magnetic field lines along with it, ultimately leading to a reconnection-driven jet similar to that described by Pariat et al. We compare line-of-sight synthetic images to multiple jet observations at EUV and X-ray bands, and find very close matches in terms of physical structure, dynamics, and emission. Key contributors to this agreement are the greatly enhanced plasma density and temperature in our jets compared to previous models. These enhancements arise from the comprehensive thermodynamic model that we use and, also, our inclusion of a dense chromosphere at the base of our jet-generating regions. We further find that the large-scale corona is affected significantly by the outwardly propagating torsional Alfvén waves generated by our polar jet, across 40° in latitude and out to 24 R. We estimate that polar jets contribute only a few percent to the steady-state solar-wind energy outflow. Title: Chromosphere to 1 AU Simulation of the 2011 March 7th Event: A Comprehensive Study of Coronal Mass Ejection Propagation Authors: Jin, M.; Manchester, W. B.; van der Holst, B.; Sokolov, I.; Tóth, G.; Vourlidas, A.; de Koning, C. A.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2017ApJ...834..172J Altcode: 2016arXiv161108897J We perform and analyze the results of a global magnetohydrodynamic simulation of the fast coronal mass ejection (CME) that occurred on 2011 March 7. The simulation is made using the newly developed Alfvén Wave Solar Model (AWSoM), which describes the background solar wind starting from the upper chromosphere and extends to 24 R. Coupling AWSoM to an inner heliosphere model with the Space Weather Modeling Framework extends the total domain beyond the orbit of Earth. Physical processes included in the model are multi-species thermodynamics, electron heat conduction (both collisional and collisionless formulations), optically thin radiative cooling, and Alfvén-wave turbulence that accelerates and heats the solar wind. The Alfvén-wave description is physically self-consistent, including non-Wentzel-Kramers-Brillouin reflection and physics-based apportioning of turbulent dissipative heating to both electrons and protons. Within this model, we initiate the CME by using the Gibson-Low analytical flux rope model and follow its evolution for days, in which time it propagates beyond STEREO A. A detailed comparison study is performed using remote as well as in situ observations. Although the flux rope structure is not compared directly due to lack of relevant ejecta observation at 1 au in this event, our results show that the new model can reproduce many of the observed features near the Sun (e.g., CME-driven extreme ultraviolet [EUV] waves, deflection of the flux rope from the coronal hole, “double-front” in the white light images) and in the heliosphere (e.g., shock propagation direction, shock properties at STEREO A). Title: Data-constrained Coronal Mass Ejections in a Global Magnetohydrodynamics Model Authors: Jin, M.; Manchester, W. B.; van der Holst, B.; Sokolov, I.; Tóth, G.; Mullinix, R. E.; Taktakishvili, A.; Chulaki, A.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2017ApJ...834..173J Altcode: 2016arXiv160505360J We present a first-principles-based coronal mass ejection (CME) model suitable for both scientific and operational purposes by combining a global magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) solar wind model with a flux-rope-driven CME model. Realistic CME events are simulated self-consistently with high fidelity and forecasting capability by constraining initial flux rope parameters with observational data from GONG, SOHO/LASCO, and STEREO/COR. We automate this process so that minimum manual intervention is required in specifying the CME initial state. With the newly developed data-driven Eruptive Event Generator using Gibson-Low configuration, we present a method to derive Gibson-Low flux rope parameters through a handful of observational quantities so that the modeled CMEs can propagate with the desired CME speeds near the Sun. A test result with CMEs launched with different Carrington rotation magnetograms is shown. Our study shows a promising result for using the first-principles-based MHD global model as a forecasting tool, which is capable of predicting the CME direction of propagation, arrival time, and ICME magnetic field at 1 au (see the companion paper by Jin et al. 2016a). Title: A new 3D multi-fluid dust model: a study of the effects of activity and nucleus rotation on the dust grains' behavior in the cometary environment Authors: Shou, Y.; Combi, M. R.; Toth, G.; Fougere, N.; Tenishev, V.; Huang, Z.; Jia, X.; Hansen, K. C.; Gombosi, T. I.; Bieler, A. M.; Rubin, M. Bibcode: 2016AGUFM.P43A2099S Altcode: Cometary dust observations may deepen our understanding of the role of dust in the formation of comets and in altering the cometary environment. Models including dust grains are in demand to interpret observations and test hypotheses. Several existing models have taken into account the gas-dust interaction, varying sizes of dust grains and the cometary gravitational force. In this work, we develop a multi-fluid dust model based on BATS-R-US in the University of Michigan's Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). This model not only incorporates key features of previous dust models, but also has the capability of simulating time-dependent phenomena. Since the model is running in the rotating comet reference frame with a real shaped nucleus in the computational domain, the fictitious centrifugal and Coriolis forces are included. The boundary condition on the nucleus surface can be set according to the distribution of activity and the solar illumination. The Sun, which drives sublimation and the radiation pressure force, revolves around the comet in this frame. A newly developed numerical mesh is also used to resolve the real shaped nucleus in the center and to facilitate prescription of the outer boundary conditions that accommodate the rotating frame. The inner part of the grid is a box composed of Cartesian cells and the outer surface is a smooth sphere, with stretched cells filled in between the box and the sphere. The effects of the rotating nucleus and the activity region on the surface are discussed and preliminary results are presented. This work has been partially supported by grant NNX14AG84G from the NASA Planetary Atmospheres Program, and US Rosetta contracts JPL #1266313, JPL #1266314 and JPL #1286489. Title: Increased electron pressure as possible origin of magnetic field dropouts observed by RPC-MAG of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko Authors: Huang, Z.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I.; Bieler, A. M.; Combi, M. R.; Hansen, K. C.; Jia, X.; Fougere, N.; Shou, Y.; Cravens, T.; Tenishev, V.; Altwegg, K.; Rubin, M. Bibcode: 2016AGUFM.P43A2091H Altcode: The Rosetta Plasma Consortium MAGnetometer (RPC-MAG) has observed signatures of magnetic field dropouts in the inner coma region of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko at distances from 30km to 400km, which is larger than what has been predicted by numerical simulations of the cometary plasma environment. It is still unclear how these magnetic field dropouts form in the inner coma region. In the present work, we use our newly developed multi-fluid plasma-neutral interaction model (Huang et al. 2016) to investigate this problem. The model solves the governing multi-ion MHD equations for the cometary and solar wind ions and electrons, and the Euler equations for the neutral gas fluid. We show that a strong local increase of electron pressure is capable to generate the features of the magnetic field dropouts observed by RPC-MAG: the simulation results show that a low magnetic field region is formed and the recovery phase of the magnetic field magnitude is faster than the declining phase, which suggests that the mechanism proposed here based on localized enhancement of electron pressure may provide a possible explanation for the unusually large distance of the observed magnetic field dropouts. Title: How Numerical Magnetic Dissipation at the Heliospheric Current Sheet Affects Model Predictions at Voyager 1 and Results from a Kinetic-MHD Model of the Heliosphere within SWMF Authors: Michael, A.; Opher, M.; Toth, G.; Borovikov, D.; Tenishev, V.; Provornikova, E. Bibcode: 2016AGUFMSH41C2544M Altcode: Several studies suggest that there is a need to move beyond ideal MHD in order to explain the Voyager 1 and 2 observations (Richardson et al. 2013; Michael et al. 2015). In the numerical simulations there is inherent and unavoidable numerical dissipation in the heliospheric current sheet that greatly exceeds the realistic dissipation rates. The magnetic dissipation inherent in modeling the heliospheric current sheet offers us a chance to explore non-ideal MHD effects in the heliosphere and heliosheath. In this work we investigate the role magnetic dissipation has on the overall structure of the heliosheath by comparing models describing the solar magnetic field both as a unipole and a dipole. We show that magnetic dissipation reduces the solar wind magnetic field strength over a significant fraction of the heliosheath. The region affected by the dissipation is increased when 11-year solar cycle variations in the solar wind are included and we discuss how this alters our prediction for Voyager 1 and 2 observations. We also present a new kinetic-MHD model of the outer heliosphere, which couples the Outer Heliosphere (OH) and Particle Tracker (PT) components within the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). The OH component uses the BATS-R-US MHD solver, a highly parallel, 3D, and block-adaptive code. The PT component is based on the Adaptive Mesh Particle Simulator (AMPS) model, a 3D, direct simulation Monte Carlo model that solves the Boltzmann equation for the motion and interaction of a multi-species gas within a plasma. The neutrals and plasma in the outer heliosphere are coupled through charge-exchange; the OH-PT model combines the MHD solution for the plasma with the kinetic solution for the neutrals to form a self-consistent model of the heliosphere. We present preliminary results of this model and discuss the implications on the structure of the heliosphere. Title: Multi-fluid MHD study of the solar wind interaction with Pluto Authors: Dong, C.; Ma, Y.; McComas, D. J.; Bhattacharjee, A.; Zirnstein, E.; Toth, G.; Luhmann, J. G.; Wang, L. Bibcode: 2016AGUFMSM51E2558D Altcode: The study of the solar wind interaction with Pluto's upper atmosphere has triggered a great of interest in recent years. The Solar Wind Around Pluto (SWAP) instrument onboard New Horizon (NH) spacecraft has provided a wealth of detailed and quantitative information about Pluto and its interaction with the tenuous solar wind out at 33 AU. The SWAP data reveals Pluto's unique interaction with the solar wind as a hybrid of comet-like and the Venus/Mars-like interactions. While SWAP data has provided many of the key results, a lot of details are still missing merely based on NH flyby observations. In order to further investigate the solar wind-Pluto interaction from a global point of view, we develop a 3-D multi-fluid MHD (MF-MHD) model. The MF-MHD model solves separate continuity, momentum and energy equations for each ion species. We adopt the 1-D modeled neutral atmosphere, which is based on NH observations, as the MF-MHD input. Photoionization, charge exchange and electron impact ionization are all included in the MF-MHD model. We will study the ion escape rate, and Pluto's magnetosphere and heavy ion tail structure. We will also do some data-model comparisons. This work has the potential to improve our understanding of present day Pluto's unique solar wind interaction and thus enhance the science returned from the NH mission. Title: Probing the nature of pick-up ions (and kappa distribution) in the heliosheath through global ENA measurements and in-situ measurements Authors: Opher, M.; Zieger, B.; Drake, J. F.; Kornbleuth, M. Z.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2016AGUFMSH13D..01O Altcode: Both Voyager and IBEX are providing us with an un-precedent view of the nature of the heliosheath through in situ and global ENA maps. Both their measurements indicated that the thermodynamic of the heliosheath is dominated by the presence of pick-up ions (PUIs). Kappa distributions are routinely used to capture the presence of PUIs. Recently we investigated the nature of the crossing of the termination shock by the presence of the pick-up ions (Zieger et al. 2015). We were able to constrain the properties of the PUI in the heliosheath by matching the Voyager observations to the properties of the non-linear structures created by the multi-fluid nature of the solar wind called "oscilliton". Here we will review these results as well as our recent effort on understanding the nature of the turbulence of the heliosheath by the presence of pick-up ions. We will review as well our recent proposed scenario where that the structure of the heliosphere might be very different than we previously thought (Opher et al. 2015). We showed (Opher et al. 2015, Drake et al. 2015) that the magnetic tension of the solar magnetic field plays a crucial role on organizing the solar wind in the heliosheath into two jet-like structures. The global ENA maps provide another window in constraining the pick-up ions and heating in the heliosheath (Opher et al. 2013). We will discuss the resultant maps from the "heliosphere with jets" and the constrains on the nature of the pick-up ions in the heliosheath. Title: Validation of 2D and 3D MHD with embedded PIC (MHD-EPIC) simulations against MMS observations Authors: Chen, Y.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I.; Markidis, S.; Peng, I. B.; Cassak, P.; Hietala, H. Bibcode: 2016AGUFMSM14B..06C Altcode: We carry out 2D and 3D global simulations of Earth's magnetosphere with the recently developed MHD-EPIC model, which is a two-way coupling of the extended magnetohydrodynamic (XMHD) code BATS-R-US with the implicit Particle-in-Cell (PIC) model iPIC3D. The PIC model covers both the dayside and tail reconnection regions, while the global Hall MHD code handles the rest of the computational domain. We use several 2D global simulations to demonstrate that the size and dynamics of flux ropes at the dayside do not depend on either ion mass or grid resolution as long as the MHD quantities are fixed. Increasing the ion mass allows the kinetic physics to be resolved with reasonable computational resources. Similar to the MMS observations, the crescent-shape electron phase space distribution is found near the reconnection site in the global 2D simulations. The tail reconnection site is also covered by PIC model for these 2D cases. The difference between the dayside reconnection and the tail reconnection is compared. We also carry out 3D MHD-EPIC global simulations for MMS events with varying solar wind conditions. Since MHD-EPIC simulations provide both electron and ion information, we can compare the kinetic property of particles with MMS observation besides electromagnetic fields. Title: Effects of Induction and Magnetopause Reconnection on Mercury's Magnetosphere: MESSENGER Observations and Global MHD Simulations with Coupled Planetary Interior Authors: Jia, X.; Slavin, J. A.; Poh, G.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2016AGUFMSM41C2455J Altcode: It has long been suggested that two processes, i.e., erosion of the dayside magnetosphere due to strong magnetopause reconnection and the shielding effect of the induction currents at the planetary core, compete against each other in governing the structure of Mercury's magnetosphere. We have combined analysis of MESSENGER data during extreme solar wind conditions with global MHD simulations to assess the relative importance of the two processes. Following the study of Slavin et al. (2014), we have analyzed an additional set of MESSENGER magnetopause crossings to determine the dependence of the magnetopause standoff distance on solar wind parameters. We have also employed the global MHD model of Jia et al. (2015) that electromagnetically couples Mercury's interior to the surrounding space environment to simulate the response of the system to solar wind forcing for a wide range of solar wind and IMF conditions. We find that while the magnetopause standoff distance decreases with increasing solar wind pressure, just as expected, its dependence on the external pressure follows closely a power-law relationship with an index of -1/6, rather than a steeper power-law falling-off expected for the case with only induction present. Our results suggest that for the external conditions examined, induction and magnetopause reconnection appear to play equally important roles in determining the global configuration of Mercury's magnetosphere, consistent with the finding obtained by Slavin et al. (2014). We also find that the magnetospheric current systems produce magnetic perturbations that are spatially non-uniform in nature, resulting in induced magnetic field at the core that contains significant power in both the dipole and high order moments. Based on the simulation results, we determine how the induced field varies with the solar wind conditions, and provide quantitative constraints on the ability of Mercury's core to shield the planetary surface from direct solar wind impact. Title: MHD Modeling of Jupiter's Magnetosphere using the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF): Preliminary Results Authors: Sarkango, Y.; Jia, X.; Toth, G.; Hansen, K. C. Bibcode: 2016AGUFMSM51E2532S Altcode: Jupiter's magnetosphere is driven predominantly by its rapid rotation and high rate of internal plasma loading arising from the moon, Io. Modeling this system using magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) provides a means to understand magnetospheric dynamics from a global perspective. However, MHD modeling of Jupiter's magnetosphere is computationally challenging mainly due to the system size and the large wave speeds close to the planet. Using the Space Weather Modeling Framework, we have modeled the Jovian magnetosphere with a single-fluid approach and a combined explicit and implicit scheme that enables large time steps making it feasible to simulate the magnetosphere for long periods of time at acceptable computational cost. Unlike previous MHD models that assume the magnetic dipole to be aligned with the spin axis, our model includes the 10° tilt of Jupiter's dipole in order to capture the periodic modulations driven by this non-axisymmetric internal field, one of the fundamental features of the Jovian magnetosphere. Our simulation also includes effects of mass loading based on an empirical neutral gas distribution peaked around Io's orbit, which is ionized and added as source terms in the MHD equations. As a first step, we drive our simulation with steady solar wind conditions in order to establish a physical picture of the global configuration of the magnetosphere, such as the global convection pattern and large-scale current systems present in the magnetosphere. We observe that the magnetosphere consists of distinguishable regions with varying degrees of corotation. Moreover, the central plasma sheet is found to exhibit oscillatory behavior due to the tilt of the dipole axis. We compare the model output with Galileo particle and field measurements, such as plasma density, velocity, and magnetic field, in order to validate our model. Title: Collisionless Asymmetric Magnetic Reconnection in 3D MHD-EPIC Global Simulations Authors: Markidis, S.; Peng, I. B.; Chen, Y.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I.; Erkisson, E.; Johlander, A.; Khotyaintsev, Y. V.; Vaivads, A.; Laure, E. Bibcode: 2016AGUFMSM21A2413M Altcode: Kinetic simulations that are embedded in global MHD simulations (MHD-EPIC) enable the study of collisionless magnetic reconnection in realistic configurations. The MHD simulation solves the global interaction of solar wind with the planet magnetosphere over the whole domain while the kinetic simulations are performed only in the selected regions where kinetic physics plays a critical role. The coupling between MHD and kinetic simulations is two-way as the MHD simulation provides boundary conditions to the kinetic simulations while the results of the kinetic simulations overwrite the results of the MHD simulations. One of the main applications of this simulation technique is the study of magnetic reconnection with local kinetic simulations only in the magnetopause and the magnetotail regions. We carry out 3D local iPIC3D Particle-in-Cell (PIC) simulations in global BATS-R-US Hall MHD simulations using the SWMF coupling framework to study the kinetic features of driven asymmetric magnetic reconnection. Because the PIC simulations are initialized and coupled with Hall MHD simulations, the PIC simulations of asymmetric reconnection are carried out in a realistic initial configuration of the electric and magnetic fields and with a realistic driver from the boundaries. The 3D PIC simulations resolve the electron inertial length of the system to accurately describe the physics in the electron diffusion region during asymmetric reconnection. The 3D PIC simulations show the development of flux ropes as results of magnetic reconnection and the presence of instabilities and strong wave activities in proximity of the current sheet. In particular, electron outflow jets are unstable against Kelvin-Helmholtz instability and lower-hybrid drift waves are present in proximity of the current sheet. The PIC simulations also allow us to study the electron distribution functions in the electron diffusion region and to identify crescent-shaped electron distribution functions as recently observed by the MMS spacecrafts. The results of the embedded 3D PIC simulations provide a realistic picture of collisionless asymmetric magnetic reconnection that can be used for further understanding the observations from MMS. Title: A New 3D Multi-fluid Model: A Study of Kinetic Effects and Variations of Physical Conditions in the Cometary Coma Authors: Shou, Y.; Combi, M.; Toth, G.; Tenishev, V.; Fougere, N.; Jia, X.; Rubin, M.; Huang, Z.; Hansen, K.; Gombosi, T.; Bieler, A. Bibcode: 2016ApJ...833..160S Altcode: Physics-based numerical coma models are desirable whether to interpret the spacecraft observations of the inner coma or to compare with the ground-based observations of the outer coma. In this work, we develop a multi-neutral-fluid model based on the BATS-R-US code of the University of Michigan, which is capable of computing both the inner and outer coma and simulating time-variable phenomena. It treats H2O, OH, H2, O, and H as separate fluids and each fluid has its own velocity and temperature, with collisions coupling all fluids together. The self-consistent collisional interactions decrease the velocity differences, re-distribute the excess energy deposited by chemical reactions among all species, and account for the varying heating efficiency under various physical conditions. Recognizing that the fluid approach has limitations in capturing all of the correct physics for certain applications, especially for very low density environment, we applied our multi-fluid coma model to comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko at various heliocentric distances and demonstrated that it yields comparable results to the Direct Simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) model, which is based on a kinetic approach that is valid under these conditions. Therefore, our model may be a powerful alternative to the particle-based model, especially for some computationally intensive simulations. In addition, by running the model with several combinations of production rates and heliocentric distances, we characterize the cometary H2O expansion speeds and demonstrate the nonlinear dependencies of production rate and heliocentric distance. Our results are also compared to previous modeling work and remote observations, which serve as further validation of our model. Title: Studying the thermodynamics of coronal jets through modeling- and observational diagnostics techniques Authors: Szente, J.; Manchester, W.; Landi, E.; Toth, G.; van der Holst, B.; Gombosi, T. I.; DeVore, C. R.; Antiochos, S. K. Bibcode: 2016AGUFMSH21E2577S Altcode: We present a comprehensive study of simulated and observed coronal jets using EUV and soft X-ray narrow-band images and EUV high resolution spectra. The goal of our study is to understand the thermodynamics and time evolution of jets and their impact on the coronal plasma. We simulate jets with a full 3D MHD coronal model with separate electron and proton temperatures and heating due to Alfvén wave turbulence. Due to the fast dynamics of the small-scale eruptive reconnections at the footpoint of the jet, it is essential to undertake this effort with a model with separate electron and proton temperatures to interpret the observed signatures in EUV and soft X-ray bands. The obtained synthetic images are compared to observations done by the instrumentations of SDO, STEREO and Hinode space crafts. The turbulence in this model is ideally suited to analyze the spectroscopic signatures, such as line broadening. The 3-hour long simulation of jets interacting with the global solar corona shows plasma responses potentially being observed with the upcoming Solar Probe Plus mission. Title: Dispersive Magnetosonic Waves and Turbulence in the Heliosheath: Multi-Fluid MHD Reconstruction of Voyager 2 Observations Authors: Zieger, B.; Opher, M.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2016AGUFMSH41C2542Z Altcode: Recently we demonstrated that our three-fluid MHD model of the solar wind plasma (where cold thermal solar wind ions, hot pickup ions, and electrons are treated as separate fluids) is able to reconstruct the microstructure of the termination shock observed by Voyager 2 [Zieger et al., 2015]. We constrained the unknown pickup ion abundance and temperature and confirmed the presence of a hot electron population at the termination shock, which has been predicted by a number of previous theoretical studies [e.g. Chasei and Fahr, 2014; Fahr et al., 2014]. We showed that a significant part of the upstream hydrodynamic energy is transferred to the heating of pickup ions and "massless" electrons. As shown in Zieger et al., [2015], three-fluid MHD theory predicts two fast magnetosonic modes, a low-frequency fast mode or solar wind ion (SW) mode and a high-frequency fast mode or pickup ion (PUI) mode. The coupling of the two ion populations results in a quasi-stationary nonlinear mode or oscilliton, which appears as a trailing wave train downstream of the termination shock. In single-fluid plasma, dispersive effects appear on the scale of the Debye length. However, in a non-equilibrium plasma like the solar wind, where solar wind ions and PUIs have different temperatures, dispersive effects become important on fluid scales [see Zieger et al., 2015]. Here we show that the dispersive effects of fast magnetosonic waves are expected on the scale of astronomical units (AU), and dispersion plays an important role producing compressional turbulence in the heliosheath. The trailing wave train of the termination shock (the SW-mode oscilliton) does not extend to infinity. Downstream propagating PUI-mode waves grow until they steepen into PUI shocklets and overturn starting to propagate backward. The upstream propagating PUI-mode waves result in fast magnetosonic turbulence and limit the downstream extension of the oscilliton. The overturning distance of the PUI-mode, where these waves start to propagate backward, depends on the maximum growth rate of the PUI-mode. We discuss our simulations in light of the Voyager 2 observations in the heliosheath. Title: Resolving the Kinetic Reconnection Length Scale in Global Magnetospheric Simulations with MHD-EPIC Authors: Toth, G.; Chen, Y.; Cassak, P.; Jordanova, V.; Peng, B.; Markidis, S.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2016AGUFMSM23C..03T Altcode: We have recently developed a new modeling capability: the Magnetohydrodynamics with Embedded Particle-in-Cell (MHD-EPIC) algorithm with support from Los Alamos SHIELDS and NSF INSPIRE grants. We have implemented MHD-EPIC into the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) using the implicit Particle-in-Cell (iPIC3D) and the BATS-R-US extended magnetohydrodynamic codes. The MHD-EPIC model allows two-way coupled simulations in two and three dimensions with multiple embedded PIC regions. Both BATS-R-US and iPIC3D are massively parallel codes. The MHD-EPIC approach allows global magnetosphere simulations with embedded kinetic simulations. For small magnetospheres, like Ganymede or Mercury, we can easily resolve the ion scales around the reconnection sites. Modeling the Earth magnetosphere is very challenging even with our efficient MHD-EPIC model due to the large separation between the global and ion scales. On the other hand the large separation of scales may be exploited: the solution may not be sensitive to the ion inertial length as long as it is small relative to the global scales. The ion inertial length can be varied by changing the ion mass while keeping the MHD mass density, the velocity, and pressure the same for the initial and boundary conditions. Our two-dimensional MHD-EPIC simulations for the dayside reconnection region show in fact, that the overall solution is not sensitive to ion inertial length. The shape, size and frequency of flux transfer events are very similar for a wide range of ion masses. Our results mean that 3D MHD-EPIC simulations for the Earth and other large magnetospheres can be made computationally affordable by artificially increasing the ion mass: the required grid resolution and time step in the PIC model are proportional to the ion inertial length. Changing the ion mass by a factor of 4, for example, speeds up the PIC code by a factor of 256. In fact, this approach allowed us to perform an hour-long 3D MHD-EPIC simulations for the Earth magnetosphere. Title: Multi-ion Multi-fluid Simulations of the Effects of Pick-up Ions on the Global Structure of the Heliosphere Authors: Bambic, C. J.; Opher, M.; Zieger, B.; Michael, A.; Kornbleuth, M. Z.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2016AGUFMSH41C2543B Altcode: We present the first 3D MHD multi-ion, multi-fluid simulations including pick-up ions as a separate fluid on the global structure of the heliosphere. Pick-up ions, formed by charge exchange between the solar wind and local interstellar medium, are thought to account for the missing thermal energy measured by Voyager 2 at the crossing of the Termination Shock. By treating the pick-up ions as a separate fluid (with an isotropic distribution) from the solar wind thermal plasma, we are able to isolate the properties of the suprathermal pick-up ion plasma from that of the thermal solar wind. In addition to the two charged ion fluids, we include four neutral fluids which interact via charge exchange with the pick-up ion plasma. We show that pick-up ions are dynamically important in the outer heliosphere, thinning and heating the heliosheath. Since the neutral fluids are imprinted with the properties of the plasma they are born from, this work has implications for the Energetic Neutral Atom (ENA) maps of the global heliosphere. We discuss briefly the effects on the global ENA maps of the heliosphere in addition to measurements along the Voyager 1 and 2 trajectories. Title: Operationalizing the Space Weather Modeling Framework: Challenges and Resolutions Authors: Welling, D. T.; Gombosi, T. I.; Toth, G.; Singer, H. J.; Millward, G. H.; Balch, C. C.; Cash, M. D. Bibcode: 2016AGUFMSM23C..06W Altcode: Predicting ground-based magnetic perturbations is a critical step towards specifying and predicting geomagnetically induced currents (GICs) in high voltage transmission lines. Currently, the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF), a flexible modeling framework for simulating the multi-scale space environment, is being transitioned from research to operational use (R2O) by NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center. Upon completion of this transition, the SWMF will provide localized time-varying magnetic field (dB/dt) predictions using real-time solar wind observations from L1 and the F10.7 proxy for EUV as model input. This presentation chronicles the challenges encountered during the R2O transition of the SWMF. Because operations relies on frequent calculations of global surface dB/dt, new optimizations were required to keep the model running faster than real time. Additionally, several singular situations arose during the 30-day robustness test that required immediate attention. Solutions and strategies for overcoming these issues will be presented. This includes new failsafe options for code execution, new physics and coupling parameters, and the development of an automated validation suite that allows us to monitor performance with code evolution. Finally, the operations-to-research (O2R) impact on SWMF-related research is presented. The lessons learned from this work are valuable and instructive for the space weather community as further R2O progress is made. Title: The role of inductive electric fields in the ring current enhancement during the March 17th, 2013 geomagnetic storm Authors: Ilie, R.; Toth, G.; Liemohn, M. W.; Chan, A. A. Bibcode: 2016AGUFMSM11A2128I Altcode: The terrestrial magnetosphere has the capability to rapidly accelerate charged particles up to very high energies over relatively short times and distances. These energetic particles are injected from the magnetotail into the inner magnetosphere through two primary mechanisms. One transport method is the potential-driven convection during periods of southward IMF, which allows part of the dawn-to-dusk solar wind electric field to effectively map down to the polar ionosphere. The second transport process involves a sudden reconfiguration of the magnetic field and the creation of transient induced electric fields. However, it is not possible to distinguish the two terms by only measuring the electric field. Assessing the relative contribution of potential versus inductive electric fields at the energization of the hot ion population in the inner magnetosphere is only possible by thorough examination of the time varying magnetic field and current systems using global modeling of the entire system. We developed a novel method to calculate the inductive and potential components of electric field in the entire magnetosphere domain. This approach removes the need to trace independent field lines and lifts the assumption that the magnetic field lines can be treated as frozen in a stationary ionosphere. We quantify the relative contributions of potential and inductive electric fields at driving plasma sheet ions into the inner magnetosphere during the March 17th, 2103 geomagnetic storm. The consequence of these injections on the distortion of the near-Earth magnetic field and current systems have been rarely separated in order to determine their relative effectiveness from a global perspective. Title: New Space Weather Forecasting at NOAA with Michigan's Geospace Model Authors: Singer, H. J.; Millward, G. H.; Balch, C. C.; Cash, M. D.; Onsager, T. G.; Toth, G.; Welling, D. T.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2016AGUFMSH11C2259S Altcode: We will present first results from the University of Michigan's Geospace model that is transitioning, during 2016, from a research capability into operations at the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center. The first generation of space weather products from this model will be described. These initial products will support power grid operators, as well as other users, with both global and regional, short-term predictions of geomagnetic activity. The Geospace model is a coupled system including three components: the BATS-R-US magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model of the magnetosphere; the Ridley ionosphere electrodynamics model (RIM); and the Rice Convection Model (RCM), an inner magnetosphere ring-current model developed at Rice University. The model is driven by solar wind data from a satellite at L1 (now NOAA's DSCOVR satellite) and F10.7, a proxy for solar extreme ultra-violet radiation. The Geospace model runs continuously, driven by the 1-minute cadence real-time L1 data that is propagated to the inflow boundary of the MHD code. The model steps back to an earlier time and then continues forward if high-speed solar wind overtakes slower solar wind. This mode of operation is unique among the models at NOAA's National Center for Environment Prediction's Central Operations (NCO), and it is also different from the typical scientific simulation mode. All of this work has involved 3D graphical model displays and validation tools that are being developed to support forecasters and web-based external users. Lessons learned during the transition process will be described, as well as the iterative process that occurs between Research and Operations and the scientific challenges for future model and product improvements. Title: Specification of the Surface Charging Environment with SHIELDS Authors: Jordanova, V.; Delzanno, G. L.; Henderson, M. G.; Godinez, H. C.; Jeffery, C. A.; Lawrence, E. C.; Meierbachtol, C.; Moulton, J. D.; Vernon, L.; Woodroffe, J. R.; Brito, T.; Toth, G.; Welling, D. T.; Yu, Y.; Albert, J.; Birn, J.; Borovsky, J.; Denton, M.; Horne, R. B.; Lemon, C.; Markidis, S.; Thomsen, M. F.; Young, S. L. Bibcode: 2016AGUFMSM23C..02J Altcode: Predicting variations in the near-Earth space environment that can lead to spacecraft damage and failure, i.e. "space weather", remains a big space physics challenge. A recently funded project through the Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) Directed Research and Development (LDRD) program aims at developing a new capability to understand, model, and predict Space Hazards Induced near Earth by Large Dynamic Storms, the SHIELDS framework. The project goals are to understand the dynamics of the surface charging environment (SCE), the hot (keV) electrons representing the source and seed populations for the radiation belts, on both macro- and microscale. Important physics questions related to rapid particle injection and acceleration associated with magnetospheric storms and substorms as well as plasma waves are investigated. These challenging problems are addressed using a team of world-class experts in the fields of space science and computational plasma physics, and state-of-the-art models and computational facilities. In addition to physics-based models (like RAM-SCB, BATS-R-US, and iPIC3D), new data assimilation techniques employing data from LANL instruments on the Van Allen Probes and geosynchronous satellites are developed. Simulations with the SHIELDS framework of the near-Earth space environment where operational satellites reside are presented. Further model development and the organization of a "Spacecraft Charging Environment Challenge" by the SHIELDS project at LANL in collaboration with the NSF Geospace Environment Modeling (GEM) Workshop and the multi-agency Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC) to assess the accuracy of SCE predictions are discussed. Title: Real-time SWMF-Geospace at CCMC: assessing the quality of output from continuous operational simulations Authors: Liemohn, M. W.; Welling, D. T.; De Zeeuw, D.; Kuznetsova, M. M.; Rastaetter, L.; Ganushkina, N. Y.; Ilie, R.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I.; van der Holst, B. Bibcode: 2016AGUFMSH31C..03L Altcode: The ground-based magnetometer index Dst is a decent measure of the near-Earth current systems, in particular those in the storm-time inner magnetosphere. The ability of a large-scale, physics-based model to reproduce, or even predict, this index is therefore a tangible measure of the overall validity of the code for space weather research and space weather operational usage. Experimental real-time simulations of the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) are conducted at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC), with results available there (http://ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/realtime.php), through the CCMC Integrated Space Weather Analysis (iSWA) site (http://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystemWebApp/), and the Michigan SWMF site (http://csem.engin.umich.edu/realtime). Presently, two configurations of the SWMF are running in real time at CCMC, both focusing on the geospace modules, using the BATS-R-US magnetohydrodynamic model, the Ridley Ionosphere Model, and with and without the Rice Convection Model for inner magnetospheric drift physics. While both have been running for several years, nearly continuous results are available since July 2015. Dst from the model output is compared against the Kyoto real-time Dst. Various quantitative measures are presented to assess the goodness of fit between the models and observations. In particular, correlation coefficients, RMSE and prediction efficiency are calculated and discussed. In addition, contingency tables are presented, demonstrating the ability of the model to predict "disturbed times" as defined by Dst values below some critical threshold. It is shown that the SWMF run with the inner magnetosphere model is significantly better at reproducing storm-time values, with prediction efficiencies above 0.25 and Heidke skill scores above 0.5. This work was funded by NASA and NSF grants, and the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement 637302 PROGRESS. Title: Forecasting CMEs at 1AU with a Flux Rope-Driven Model Authors: Manchester, W.; Jin, M.; van der Holst, B.; Toth, G.; Mullinix, R.; Taktakishvili, A.; Chulaki, A.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2016AGUFMSH11C2249M Altcode: Until recently, operational models of coronal mass ejection (CME) propagation omitted magnetic drivers and imposed CMEs with field-free flows. While capable of predicting the arrival times of solar wind disturbances, such models are incapable of predicting the magnetic ejecta of a CME, which is the fundamental driver of large geomagnetic storms. Here, we report on a significant advancement in the development and delivery of a magnetic flux rope-driven operational CME model Eruptive Event Generator Gibson-Low EEGGL that was recently installed at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC). This new model simulates the propagation of CMEs from Sun to 1AU by combining the analytical Gibson & Low (GL) flux rope model with the state-of-art Alfven Wave Solar Model. Using synoptic magnetcogram and coronagraph observations, the model can predict the long-term evolution of the CME magnetic fields in interplanetary space. Following the work of Jin et al. (2016), we examine case studies of CMEs at 1 AU to illustrate the capabilities and limitations of this space weather forecasting tool. Title: The Heliosphere with Jets and its implications for the global Energetic Neutral Atoms Maps throughout the Solar Cycle and its impact on the large-scale draping of the interstellar magnetic field Authors: Opher, M.; Drake, J. F.; Kornbleuth, M. Z.; Michael, A.; Zieger, B.; Swisdak, M.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2016AGUFMSH23A..05O Altcode: Recently we proposed a scenario (Opher et al. 2015) that the structure of the heliosphere might be very different than we previously thought. The standard picture of the heliosphere is a comet-shape like structure with the tail extending for 1000's of AUs. This standard picture stems from a view where magnetic forces are negligible and the solar magnetic field is convected passively down the tail. We showed (Opher et al. 2015, Drake et al. 2015) that the magnetic tension of the solar magnetic field plays a crucial role on organizing the solar wind in the heliosheath into two jet-like structures. The two heliospheric jets are separated by the interstellar medium that flows between them. The heliosphere then has a ``croissant"-like shape where the distance to the heliopause downtail is almost the same as towards the nose. Here we present the implications of this "croissant-like structure" for the global Energetic Neutral Atoms maps as measured by IBEX in the heliotail and its variation with solar cycle. We include solar cycle variations of the solar wind (density and speed and magnetic intensity) while keeping a unipolar configuration to minimize spurious magnetic dissipation that erodes the solar magnetic field. We discuss as well the consequences on the draping and reconnection of the interstellar magnetic field across the heliopause. We show that reconnection in the flanks and tail control the draping and the orientation of the interstellar magnetic field (BISM) ahead of the heliopause and can explain the Voyager 1 observations. The BISM twists as it approaches the HP and acquires a strong T component (East-West) as shown in Opher & Drake (2013). Only after some significant distance outside the HP is the direction of the interstellar field distinguishably different from that of the Parker spiral. Title: Direct Simulation Monte Carlo modelling of the major species in the coma of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko Authors: Fougere, Nicolas; Altwegg, K.; Berthelier, J. -J.; Bieler, A.; Bockelée-Morvan, D.; Calmonte, U.; Capaccioni, F.; Combi, M. R.; De Keyser, J.; Debout, V.; Erard, S.; Fiethe, B.; Filacchione, G.; Fink, U.; Fuselier, S. A.; Gombosi, T. I.; Hansen, K. C.; Hässig, M.; Huang, Z.; Le Roy, L.; Leyrat, C.; Migliorini, A.; Piccioni, G.; Rinaldi, G.; Rubin, M.; Shou, Y.; Tenishev, V.; Toth, G.; Tzou, C. -Y. Bibcode: 2016MNRAS.462S.156F Altcode: We analyse the Rosetta Orbiter Spectrometer for Ion and Neutral Analysis (ROSINA) - the Double Focusing Mass Spectrometer data between 2014 August and 2016 February to examine the effect of seasonal variations on the four major species within the coma of 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko (H2O, CO2, CO, and O2), resulting from the tilt in the orientation of the comet's spin axis. Using a numerical data inversion, we derive the non-uniform activity distribution at the surface of the nucleus for these species, suggesting that the activity distribution at the surface of the nucleus has not significantly been changed and that the differences observed in the coma are solely due to the variations in illumination conditions. A three-dimensional Direct Simulation Monte Carlo model is applied where the boundary conditions are computed with a coupling of the surface activity distributions and the local illumination. The model is able to reproduce the evolution of the densities observed by ROSINA including the changes happening at equinox. While O2 stays correlated with H2O as it was before equinox, CO2 and CO, which had a poor correlation with respect to H2O pre-equinox, also became well correlated with H2O post-equinox. The integration of the densities from the model along the line of sight results in column densities directly comparable to the VIRTIS-H observations. Also, the evolution of the volatiles' production rates is derived from the coma model showing a steepening in the production rate curves after equinox. The model/data comparison suggests that the seasonal effects result in the Northern hemisphere of 67P's nucleus being more processed with a layered structure while the Southern hemisphere constantly exposes new material. Title: Evolution of water production of 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko: An empirical model and a multi-instrument study Authors: Hansen, Kenneth C.; Altwegg, K.; Berthelier, J. -J.; Bieler, A.; Biver, N.; Bockelée-Morvan, D.; Calmonte, U.; Capaccioni, F.; Combi, M. R.; de Keyser, J.; Fiethe, B.; Fougere, N.; Fuselier, S. A.; Gasc, S.; Gombosi, T. I.; Huang, Z.; Le Roy, L.; Lee, S.; Nilsson, H.; Rubin, M.; Shou, Y.; Snodgrass, C.; Tenishev, V.; Toth, G.; Tzou, C. -Y.; Simon Wedlund, C.; Rosina Team Bibcode: 2016MNRAS.462S.491H Altcode: We examine the evolution of the water production of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko during the Rosetta mission (2014 June-2016 May) based on in situ and remote sensing measurements made by Rosetta instruments, Earth-based telescopes and through the development of an empirical coma model. The derivation of the empirical model is described and the model is then applied to detrend spacecraft position effects from the Rosetta Orbiter Spectrometer for Ion and Neutral Analysis (ROSINA) data. The inter-comparison of the instrument data sets shows a high level of consistency and provides insights into the water and dust production. We examine different phases of the orbit, including the early mission (beyond 3.5 au) where the ROSINA water production does not show the expected increase with decreasing heliocentric distance. A second important phase is the period around the inbound equinox, where the peak water production makes a dramatic transition from northern to southern latitudes. During this transition, the water distribution is complex, but is driven by rotation and active areas in the north and south. Finally, we consider the perihelion period, where there may be evidence of time dependence in the water production rate. The peak water production, as measured by ROSINA, occurs 18-22 d after perihelion at 3.5 ± 0.5 × 1028 water molecules s-1. We show that the water production is highly correlated with ground-based dust measurements, possibly indicating that several dust parameters are constant during the observed period. Using estimates of the dust/gas ratio, we use our measured water production rate to calculate a uniform surface loss of 2-4 m during the current perihelion passage. Title: A possible mechanism for the formation of magnetic field dropouts in the coma of 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko Authors: Huang, Z.; Tóth, G.; Gombosi, T. I.; Bieler, A.; Combi, M. R.; Hansen, K. C.; Jia, X.; Fougere, N.; Shou, Y.; Cravens, T. E.; Tenishev, V.; Altwegg, K.; Rubin, M. Bibcode: 2016MNRAS.462S.468H Altcode: The Rosetta Plasma Consortium MAGnetometer (RPC-MAG) has detected signatures of diamagnetic regions associated with comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko at distances from 30 to 400 km at different heliocentric distances, which is larger than what has been predicted by numerical simulations of the cometary plasam environment. The physical mechanism behind these diamagnetic regions is still unknown. In this work, we use our newly developed multifluid plasma-neutral model to explore a possible physical mechanism that might create such regions. The model solves the governing multifluid magnetohydrodynamic equations for cometary and solar wind ions and electrons, and the Euler equations for the neutral gas fluid. We find that a local increase of electron thermal pressure is capable of generating many of the observed features of the diamagnetic regions observed by RPC-MAG. The simulation results show that a magnetic field-free region is formed and the recovery phase of the magnetic field magnitude is faster than the declining phase. Title: A new 3D multi-fluid model: a study of kinetic effects and variations of physical conditions in the cometary coma Authors: Shou, Yinsi; Combi, Michael R.; Toth, Gabor; Huang, Zhenguang; Jia, Xianzhe; Fougere, Nicolas; Tenishev, Valeriy; Gombosi, T. I.; Hansen, Kenneth C.; Bieler, Andre Bibcode: 2016DPS....4821705S Altcode: Physics-based numerical coma models are desirable whether to interpret the spacecraft observations of the inner coma or to compare with the ground-based observations of the outer coma. In this work, we develop a multi-neutral-fluid model based on BATS-R-US in the University of Michigan's SWMF (Space Weather Modeling Framework), which is capable of computing both the inner and the outer coma and simulating time-variable phenomena. It treats H2O, OH, H2, O, and H as separate fluids and each fluid has its own velocity and temperature, with collisions coupling all fluids together. The self-consistent collisional interactions decrease the velocity differences, re-distribute the excess energy deposited by chemical reactions among all species, and account for the varying heating efficiency under various physical conditions. Recognizing that the fluid approach has limitations in capturing all of the correct physics for certain applications, especially for very low density environment, we applied our multi-fluid coma model to comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko (CG) at various heliocentric distances and demonstrated that it is able to yield comparable results as the Direct Simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) model, which is based on a kinetic approach that is valid under these conditions. Therefore, our model may be a powerful alternative to the particle-based model, especially for some computationally intensive simulations. In addition, by running the model with several combinations of production rates and heliocentric distances, we can characterize the cometary H2O expansion speeds and demonstrate the nonlinear effect of production rates or photochemical heating. Our results are also compared to previous modeling work (e.g., Bockelee-Morvan & Crovisier 1987) and remote observations (e.g., Tseng et al. 2007), which serve as further validation of our model. This work has been partially supported by grant NNX14AG84G from the NASA Planetary Atmospheres Program, and US Rosetta contracts JPL #1266313, JPL #1266314 and JPL #1286489. Title: Data Constrained Coronal Mass Ejections in A Global Magnetohydrodynamics Model Authors: Jin, M.; Manchester, W. B.; van der Holst, B.; Sokolov, I.; Toth, G.; Mullinix, R. E.; Taktakishvili, A.; Chulaki, A.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2016usc..confE.120J Altcode: We present a first-principles-based coronal mass ejection (CME) model suitable for both scientific and operational purposes by combining a global magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) solar wind model with a flux rope-driven CME model. Realistic CME events are simulated self-consistently with high fidelity and forecasting capability by constraining initial flux rope parameters with observational data from GONG, SDO/HMI, SOHO/LASCO, and STEREO/COR. We automate this process so that minimum manual intervention is required in specifying the CME initial state. With the newly developed data-driven Eruptive Event Generator Gibson-Low (EEGGL), we present a method to derive Gibson-Low (GL) flux rope parameters through a handful of observational quantities so that the modeled CMEs can propagate with the desired CME speeds near the Sun. A test result with CMEs launched with different Carrington rotation magnetograms are shown. Our study shows a promising result for using the first-principles-based MHD global model as a forecasting tool, which is capable of predicting the CME direction of propagation, arrival time, and ICME magnetic field at 1 AU. Title: Direct Simulation Monte-Carlo Modeling of the Major Volatile Species of Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko observed by ROSINA and VIRTIS Authors: Fougere, Nicolas; altwegg, kathrin; Berthelier, Jean-Jacques; Bieler, Andre; Bockelee-Morvan, Dominique; Calmonte, Ursina; Capaccioni, Fabrizio; Combi, Michael R.; De Keyser, Johan; Debout, Vincent; Erard, Stéphane; Fiethe, Björn; Filacchione, Gianrico; Fink, Uwe; Fuselier, Stephen; Gombosi, T. I.; Hansen, Kenneth C.; Hässig, Myrtha; Huang, Zhenguang; Le Roy, Léna; Migliorini, Alessandra; Piccioni, Giuseppe; Rinaldi, Giovanna; Rubin, Martin; Shou, Yinsi; Tenishev, Valeriy; Toth, Gabor; Tzou, Chia-Yu; VIRTIS Team and ROSINA Team Bibcode: 2016DPS....4811610F Altcode: During the past few decades, modeling of cometary coma has known tremendous improvements notably with the increase of computer capacity. While the Haser model is still widely used for interpretation of cometary observations, its rather simplistic assumptions such as spherical symmetry and constant outflow velocity prevent it to explain some of the coma observations. Hence, more complex coma models have emerged taking full advantage of the numerical approach. The only method that can resolve all the flow regimes encountered in the coma due to the drastic changes of Knudsen numbers is the Direct Simulation Monte-Carlo (DSMC) approach.The data acquired by the instruments on board of the Rosetta spacecraft provides a large amount of observations regarding the spatial and temporal variations of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko's coma. These measurements provide constraints that can be applied to the coma model in order to describe best the rarefied atmosphere of 67P. We present the last results of our 3D multi-species DSMC model using the Adaptive Mesh Particle Simulator (Tenishev et al. 2008 and 2011, Fougere 2014). The model uses a realistic nucleus shape model from the OSIRIS team and takes into account the self-shadowing created by its concavities. The gas flux at the surface of the nucleus is deduced from the relative orientation with respect to the Sun and an activity distribution that enables to simulate both the non-uniformity of the surface activity and the heterogeneities of the outgassing.The model results are compared to the ROSINA and VIRTIS observations. Progress in incorporating Rosetta measurements from the last half of the mission into our models will be presented. The good agreement between the model and these measurements from two very different techniques reinforces our understanding of the physical processes taking place in the coma. Title: An empirical model of H2O, CO2 and CO coma distributions and production rates for comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko based on ROSINA/DFMS measurements and AMPS-DSMC simulations Authors: Hansen, Kenneth C.; Altwegg, Kathrin; Bieler, Andre; Berthelier, Jean-Jacques; Calmonte, Ursina; Combi, Michael R.; De Keyser, Johan; Fiethe, Björn; Fougere, Nicolas; Fuselier, Stephen; Gombosi, T. I.; Hässig, Myrtha; Huang, Zhenguang; Le Roy, Léna; Rubin, Martin; Tenishev, Valeriy; Toth, Gabor; Tzou, Chia-Yu; ROSINA Team Bibcode: 2016DPS....4811623H Altcode: We have previously used results from the AMPS DSMC (Adaptive Mesh Particle Simulator Direct Simulation Monte Carlo) model to create an empirical model of the near comet water (H2O) coma of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko. In this work we create additional empirical models for the coma distributions of CO2 and CO. The AMPS simulations are based on ROSINA DFMS (Rosetta Orbiter Spectrometer for Ion and Neutral Analysis, Double Focusing Mass Spectrometer) data taken over the entire timespan of the Rosetta mission. The empirical model is created using AMPS DSMC results which are extracted from simulations at a range of radial distances, rotation phases and heliocentric distances. The simulation results are then averaged over a comet rotation and fitted to an empirical model distribution. Model coefficients are then fitted to piecewise-linear functions of heliocentric distance. The final product is an empirical model of the coma distribution which is a function of heliocentric distance, radial distance, and sun-fixed longitude and latitude angles. The model clearly mimics the behavior of water shifting production from North to South across the inbound equinox while the CO2 production is always in the South.The empirical model can be used to de-trend the spacecraft motion from the ROSINA COPS and DFMS data. The ROSINA instrument measures the neutral coma density at a single point and the measured value is influenced by the location of the spacecraft relative to the comet and the comet-sun line. Using the empirical coma model we can correct for the position of the spacecraft and compute a total production rate based on single point measurements. In this presentation we will present the coma production rates as a function of heliocentric distance for the entire Rosetta mission.This work was supported by contracts JPL#1266313 and JPL#1266314 from the US Rosetta Project and NASA grant NNX14AG84G from the Planetary Atmospheres Program. Title: Coronal response to EUV jets modeled with the Alfvén Wave Solar Model Authors: Szente, Judith; Toth, Gabor; Manchester, Ward B., IV; van der Holst, Bartholomeus; Landi, Enrico; Gombosi, Tamas; DeVore, Carl R.; Antiochos, Spiro K. Bibcode: 2016usc..confE..72S Altcode: We study the thermodynamics of jet phenomena with the use of multiple wavelength SDO-AIA observations [e.g. Adams (2014) and Moore (2015)] combined with advanced numerical simulations made with AWSoM coronal model [van der Holst (2014)]. AWSoM provides a fully three-dimensional, magnetohydrodynamic description of the solar atmosphere heated by the dissipation of kinetic Alfvén waves in a self-consistent manner. In addition, the model's multi-species thermodynamics with electron heat conduction provides for the accurate construction of synthetic line-of-sight images of phenomena. We implement our jets in the solar wind with a magnetic dipole twisted about axis, resulting in EUV jets similar in topology and dynamics as being observed. We show that the coronal atmosphere responds at a large-scale as torsional Alfvén waves propagate into the outer corona (up to 24 solar radii and 40 degrees in latitude), introduced by the small-scale eruptive reconnection events at the footpoint of the jet. Title: A Possible Mechanism for the Formation of Magnetic Field Dropouts Observed by RPC-MAG in the Inner Coma of Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko Authors: Huang, Zhenguang; Toth, Gabor; Gombosi, T. I.; Bieler, Andre; Combi, Michael R.; Hansen, Kenneth C.; Jia, Xianzhe; Fougere, Nicolas; Shou, Yinsi; Cravens, Thomas; Tenishev, Valeriy; Rubin, Martin; altwegg, kathrin Bibcode: 2016DPS....4811620H Altcode: The Rosetta Plasma Consortium MAGnetometer (RPC-MAG) has detected signatures of a diamagnetic cavity associated with the comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko at a distance of 170 km, which is two to three times larger than what has been predicted by numerical simulations of the cometary plasma environment. It remains unclear how this extended diamagnetic cavity forms. In the present work, we investigate this problem with our newly developed multi-fluid plasma-neutral interaction model (Huang et al., 2016). The multi-fluid model solves the governing multifluid MHD equations (for the cometary ions, the solar wind protons and the electrons) and the Euler equations for the neutral gas fluid. We find that a strong increase of electron pressure along a magnetic flux tube is capable of generating similar features of the diamagnetic cavity as those observed by the RPC-MAG. Direct comparison of our model results with the RPC observations shows reasonable agreement in terms of key characteristics of the cavity crossings, such as the duration and the magnetic field variations, suggesting that the mechanism proposed here based on localized enhancement of electron pressure may provide a possible explanation for the unusually large distance of the observed cavity.This work was supported by contracts JPL#1266313 and JPL#1266314 from the US Rosetta Project and NASA grant NNX14AG84G from the Planetary Atmospheres Program. Title: Threaded-Field-Lines Model for the Low Solar Corona Powered by the Alfven Wave Turbulence Authors: Sokolov, Igor V.; van der Holst, Bart; Manchester, Ward B.; Ozturk, Doga Can Su; Szente, Judit; Taktakishvili, Aleksandre; Tóth, Gabor; Jin, Meng; Gombosi, Tamas I. Bibcode: 2016arXiv160904379S Altcode: We present an updated global model of the solar corona, including the transition region. We simulate the realistic tree-dimensional (3D) magnetic field using the data from the photospheric magnetic field measurements and assume the magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) Alfvén wave turbulence and its non-linear dissipation to be the only source for heating the coronal plasma and driving the solar wind. In closed field regions the dissipation efficiency in a balanced turbulence is enhanced. In the coronal holes we account for a reflection of the outward propagating waves, which is accompanied by generation of weaker counter-propagating waves. The non-linear cascade rate degrades in strongly imbalanced turbulence, thus resulting in colder coronal holes. The distinctive feature of the presented model is the description of the low corona as almost-steady-state low-beta plasma motion and heat flux transfer along the magnetic field lines. We trace the magnetic field lines through each grid point of the lower boundary of the global corona model, chosen at some heliocentric distance, $R=R_{b}\sim1.1\ R_\odot$ well above the transition region. One can readily solve the plasma parameters along the magnetic field line from 1D equations for the plasma motion and heat transport together with the Alfvén wave propagation, which adequately describe physics within the heliocentric distances range, $R_{\odot}<R<R_{b}$, in the low solar corona. By interfacing this threaded-field-lines model with the full MHD global corona model at $r=R_{b}$, we find the global solution and achieve a faster-than-real-time performance of the model on $\sim200$ cores. Title: Effects of Numerical Magnetic Dissipation on the Characteristics of the Heliosphere Authors: Michael, Adam Thomas; Opher, Merav; Provornikova, Elena; Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 2016shin.confE.125M Altcode: Through the use of numerical models, we have recently begun to realize the importance the solar wind"s magnetic field has on the location of the termination shock (Izmodenov and Alexashov 2015) as well as the shape of the heliosphere (Opher et al. 2015) and thickness of the heliosheath (Drake et al. 2015). Several studies suggest that there should be a need to move beyond ideal MHD in order to explain the Voyager 1 and 2 observations (Richardson et al. 2013; Michael et al. 2015). In the numerical simulations there is inherent numerical dissipation in the helispheric current sheet that an ideal MHD model cannot control. In a sense the dissipated magnetic energy can be transferred to thermal heating or to ram pressure. The magnetic dissipation inherent in modeling the heliospheric current sheet offers us a chance to explore non-ideal MHD effects in the heliosphere and heliosheath. Solar cycle models that include the reversal of the magnetic field have inherently a large fraction of magnetic dissipation. In this work we investigate the role magnetic dissipation has on the overall structure of the heliosheath. We describe the solar magnetic field both as a dipole, with the magnetic and rotational axes aligned, as well as a unipole. We have seen in Opher et al. 2016 that the use of a dipole magnetic field, in the case without any motion through the ISM, reduces the confinement of the plasma at the current sheet. We investigate how the magnetic dissipation affects the shape and thickness of the heliosheath and heliosphere. Furthermore, we explore how these effects are altered when 11-year solar cycle variations in the solar wind are included and comment on how magnetic dissipation alters the prediction for Voyager 1 and 2 observations. Title: Validating Physics-based Space Weather Models for Operational Use Authors: Gombosi, Tamas; Singer, Howard; Millward, George; Toth, Gabor; Welling, Daniel Bibcode: 2016cosp...41E.696G Altcode: The Geospace components of the Space Weather Modeling Framework developed at the University of Michigan is presently transitioned to operational use by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center. This talk will discuss the various ways the model is validated and skill scores are calculated. Title: Do we know the actual magnetopause position for typical solar wind conditions? Authors: Samsonov, A. A.; Gordeev, E.; Tsyganenko, N. A.; Å afránková, J.; Němeček, Z.; Å imůnek, J.; Sibeck, D. G.; Tóth, G.; Merkin, V. G.; Raeder, J. Bibcode: 2016JGRA..121.6493S Altcode: We compare predicted magnetopause positions at the subsolar point and four reference points in the terminator plane obtained from several empirical and numerical MHD models. Empirical models using various sets of magnetopause crossings and making different assumptions about the magnetopause shape predict significantly different magnetopause positions (with a scatter >1 RE) even at the subsolar point. Axisymmetric magnetopause models cannot reproduce the cusp indentations or the changes related to the dipole tilt effect, and most of them predict the magnetopause closer to the Earth than nonaxisymmetric models for typical solar wind conditions and zero tilt angle. Predictions of two global nonaxisymmetric models do not match each other, and the models need additional verification. MHD models often predict the magnetopause closer to the Earth than the nonaxisymmetric empirical models, but the predictions of MHD simulations may need corrections for the ring current effect and decreases of the solar wind pressure that occur in the foreshock. Comparing MHD models in which the ring current magnetic field is taken into account with the empirical Lin et al. model, we find that the differences in the reference point positions predicted by these models are relatively small for Bz=0. Therefore, we assume that these predictions indicate the actual magnetopause position, but future investigations are still needed. Title: The interaction between the solar wind and the heterogeneous neutral gas coma of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko Authors: Rubin, Martin; Toth, Gabor; Tenishev, Valeriy; Fougere, Nicolas; Huang, Zhenguang Bibcode: 2016cosp...41E1660R Altcode: Comets are surrounded by an extended gas and dust coma. Neutral particles are continuously ionized by solar irradiation and then picked-up by the solar wind. This leads to a complex interaction between the neutral gas coma and the solar wind, which changes over the course of the comet's orbit around the Sun. The European Space Agency's Rosetta spacecraft has been in orbit around comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko since August 2014. Rosetta carries several instruments to investigate the comet's nucleus and surrounding neutral gas coma and plasma. Part of the payload is the Rosetta Orbiter Spectrometer for Ion and Neutral Analysis (ROSINA) that consists of two mass spectrometers and a pressure sensor. ROSINA was designed to measure the neutral gas abundance and composition and low energy ions in the coma in situ. ROSINA observations have shown that the coma is very heterogeneous both in total density and composition of the neutral gas. This heterogeneity is driven in large part by the complex shape of the nucleus and the varying illumination conditions associated with the comet's rotation. In this presentation we will show the time-dependent distribution of the major volatiles around the comet constrained by ROSINA observations. Furthermore we will investigate the impact of the highly non-symmetric neutral gas coma on the interaction of the solar wind with the comet. Title: FDIPS: Finite Difference Iterative Potential-field Solver Authors: Toth, Gabor; van der Holst, Bartholomeus; Huang, Zhenguang Bibcode: 2016ascl.soft06011T Altcode: FDIPS is a finite difference iterative potential-field solver that can generate the 3D potential magnetic field solution based on a magnetogram. It is offered as an alternative to the spherical harmonics approach, as when the number of spherical harmonics is increased, using the raw magnetogram data given on a grid that is uniform in the sine of the latitude coordinate can result in inaccurate and unreliable results, especially in the polar regions close to the Sun. FDIPS is written in Fortran 90 and uses the MPI library for parallel execution. Title: Four-fluid MHD simulations of the plasma and neutral gas environment of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko near perihelion Authors: Huang, Zhenguang; Tóth, Gábor; Gombosi, Tamas I.; Jia, Xianzhe; Rubin, Martin; Fougere, Nicolas; Tenishev, Valeriy; Combi, Michael R.; Bieler, Andre; Hansen, Kenneth C.; Shou, Yinsi; Altwegg, Kathrin Bibcode: 2016JGRA..121.4247H Altcode: The neutral and plasma environment is critical in understanding the interaction of the solar wind and comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko (CG), the target of the European Space Agency's Rosetta mission. To serve this need and support the Rosetta mission, we have developed a 3-D four-fluid model, which is based on BATS-R-US (Block-Adaptive Tree Solarwind Roe-type Upwind Scheme) within SWMF (Space Weather Modeling Framework) that solves the governing multifluid MHD equations and the Euler equations for the neutral gas fluid. These equations describe the behavior and interactions of the cometary heavy ions, the solar wind protons, the electrons, and the neutrals. This model incorporates different mass loading processes, including photoionization and electron impact ionization, charge exchange, dissociative ion-electron recombination, and collisional interactions between different fluids. We simulated the plasma and neutral gas environment near perihelion in three different cases: an idealized comet with a spherical body and uniform neutral gas outflow, an idealized comet with a spherical body and illumination-driven neutral gas outflow, and comet CG with a realistic shape model and illumination-driven neutral gas outflow. We compared the results of the three cases and showed that the simulations with illumination-driven neutral gas outflow have magnetic reconnection, a magnetic pileup region and nucleus directed plasma flow inside the nightside reconnection region, which have not been reported in the literature. Title: The Coma of Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko Pre- and Post- Equinox Authors: Fougere, Nicolas; Altwegg, Kathrin; Berthelier, Jean-Jacques; Bieler, Andre; Bockelee-Morvan, Dominique; Calmonte, Ursina; Capaccioni, Fabrizio; Combi, Mike; Dekeyser, Johan; Debout, Vincent; Erard, Stephane; Fiethe, Bjorn; Fillacchione, Gianrico; Fink, Uwe; Fuselier, Stephen; Gombosi, Tamas; Hansen, Kenneth; Hassig, Myrtha; Huang, Zhenguang; Leroy, Lena; Leyrat, Cedric; Migliorini, Alessandra; Piccioni, Giuseppe; Rinaldi, Giovanna; Rubin, Martin; Tenishev, Valeriy; Toth, Gabor; Tzou, Chia-Yu; Shou, Yinsi Bibcode: 2016EGUGA..1817897F Altcode: As the Rosetta spacecraft escorts comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko (67P) during its journey in the Solar System, it monitors the evolution of the neutrals' distribution in the coma of 67P. Indeed, while the comet orbits around the Sun, the energy input received by the different regions of the nucleus varies, directly impacting 67P's outgassing pattern. We model the H2O, CO2, and CO coma of Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko (67P) pre- and post- equinox using a 3D Direct Monte-Carlo Simulation approach. The use of a kinetic method enables us to model the coma from the nucleus' surface to a few hundreds of kilometers even in the regions where collisions cannot maintain a fluid regime. The activity at the surface of the nucleus is described using a spherical harmonic expansion with 25 terms constrained by ROSINA (Rosetta Orbiter Spectrometer for Ion and Neutral Analysis) observations. The model outputs contain information about numerous macroscopic parameters such as number densities, velocities, and temperatures of each species. Then, the results from the simulations are integrated along the line of sight to be compared with the remote sensing observations from the VIRTIS (Visible and Infrared Thermal Imaging Spectrometer) instrument. The model shows a good agreement with the data, giving a clear evidence of our understanding of the physics of the coma of comet 67P. Title: Four-fluid MHD Simulations of the Plasma and Neutral Gas Environment of Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko Near Perihelion Authors: Huang, Zhenguang; Toth, Gabor; Gombosi, Tamas; Jia, Xianzhe; Rubin, Martin; Fougere, Nicolas; Tenishev, Valeriy; Combi, Michael; Bieler, Andre; Hansen, Kenneth; Shou, Yinsi; Altwegg, Kathrin Bibcode: 2016EGUGA..18.2214H Altcode: The neutral and plasma environment is critical in understanding the interaction of the solar wind and comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko (CG), the target of the European Space Agency's Rosetta mission. In this study, we have developed a 3-D four-fluid model, which is based on BATS-R-US (Block-Adaptive Tree Solarwind Roe-type Upwind Scheme) within SWMF (Space Weather Modeling Framework) that solves the governing multi-fluid MHD equations and the Euler equations for the neutral gas fluid. These equations describe the behavior and interactions of the cometary heavy ions, the solar wind protons, the electrons, and the neutrals. We simulated the plasma and neutral gas environment of comet CG with SHAP5 model near perihelion and we showed that the plasma environment in the inner coma region have some new features: magnetic reconnection in the tail region, a magnetic pile-up region on the nightside, and nucleus directed plasma flow inside the nightside reconnection region. Title: Pre- and Post-equinox ROSINA production rates calculated using a realistic empirical coma model derived from AMPS-DSMC simulations of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko Authors: Hansen, Kenneth; Altwegg, Kathrin; Berthelier, Jean-Jacques; Bieler, Andre; Calmonte, Ursina; Combi, Michael; De Keyser, Johan; Fiethe, Björn; Fougere, Nicolas; Fuselier, Stephen; Gombosi, Tamas; Hässig, Myrtha; Huang, Zhenguang; Le Roy, Lena; Rubin, Martin; Tenishev, Valeriy; Toth, Gabor; Tzou, Chia-Yu Bibcode: 2016EGUGA..1817905H Altcode: We have previously used results from the AMPS DSMC (Adaptive Mesh Particle Simulator Direct Simulation Monte Carlo) model to create an empirical model of the near comet coma (<400 km) of comet 67P for the pre-equinox orbit of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko. In this work we extend the empirical model to the post-equinox, post-perihelion time period. In addition, we extend the coma model to significantly further from the comet (~100,000-1,000,000 km). The empirical model characterizes the neutral coma in a comet centered, sun fixed reference frame as a function of heliocentric distance, radial distance from the comet, local time and declination. Furthermore, we have generalized the model beyond application to 67P by replacing the heliocentric distance parameterizations and mapping them to production rates. Using this method, the model become significantly more general and can be applied to any comet. The model is a significant improvement over simpler empirical models, such as the Haser model. For 67P, the DSMC results are, of course, a more accurate representation of the coma at any given time, but the advantage of a mean state, empirical model is the ease and speed of use. One application of the empirical model is to de-trend the spacecraft motion from the ROSINA COPS and DFMS data (Rosetta Orbiter Spectrometer for Ion and Neutral Analysis, Comet Pressure Sensor, Double Focusing Mass Spectrometer). The ROSINA instrument measures the neutral coma density at a single point and the measured value is influenced by the location of the spacecraft relative to the comet and the comet-sun line. Using the empirical coma model we can correct for the position of the spacecraft and compute a total production rate based on the single point measurement. In this presentation we will present the coma production rate as a function of heliocentric distance both pre- and post-equinox and perihelion. Title: Three-dimensional direct simulation Monte-Carlo modeling of the coma of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko observed by the VIRTIS and ROSINA instruments on board Rosetta Authors: Fougere, N.; Altwegg, K.; Berthelier, J. -J.; Bieler, A.; Bockelée-Morvan, D.; Calmonte, U.; Capaccioni, F.; Combi, M. R.; De Keyser, J.; Debout, V.; Erard, S.; Fiethe, B.; Filacchione, G.; Fink, U.; Fuselier, S. A.; Gombosi, T. I.; Hansen, K. C.; Hässig, M.; Huang, Z.; Le Roy, L.; Leyrat, C.; Migliorini, A.; Piccioni, G.; Rinaldi, G.; Rubin, M.; Shou, Y.; Tenishev, V.; Toth, G.; Tzou, C. -Y. Bibcode: 2016A&A...588A.134F Altcode: Context. Since its rendezvous with comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko (67P), the Rosetta spacecraft has provided invaluable information contributing to our understanding of the cometary environment. On board, the VIRTIS and ROSINA instruments can both measure gas parameters in the rarefied cometary atmosphere, the so-called coma, and provide complementary results with remote sensing and in situ measurement techniques, respectively. The data from both ROSINA and VIRTIS instruments suggest that the source regions of H2O and CO2 are not uniformly distributed over the surface of the nucleus even after accounting for the changing solar illumination of the irregularly shaped rotating nucleus. The source regions of H2O and CO2 are also relatively different from one another.
Aims: The use of a combination of a formal numerical data inversion method with a fully kinetic coma model is a way to correlate and interpret the information provided by these two instruments to fully understand the volatile environment and activity of comet 67P.
Methods: In this work, the nonuniformity of the outgassing activity at the surface of the nucleus is described by spherical harmonics and constrained by ROSINA-DFMS data. This activity distribution is coupled with the local illumination to describe the inner boundary conditions of a 3D direct simulation Monte-Carlo (DSMC) approach using the Adaptive Mesh Particle Simulator (AMPS) code applied to the H2O and CO2 coma of comet 67P.
Results: We obtain activity distribution of H2O and CO2 showing a dominant source of H2O in the Hapi region, while more CO2 is produced in the southern hemisphere. The resulting model outputs are analyzed and compared with VIRTIS-M/-H and ROSINA-DFMS measurements, showing much better agreement between model and data than a simpler model assuming a uniform surface activity. The evolution of the H2O and CO2 production rates with heliocentric distance are derived accurately from the coma model showing agreement between the observations from the different instruments and ground-based observations.
Conclusions: We derive the activity distributions for H2O and CO2 at the surface of the nucleus described in spherical harmonics, which we couple to the local solar illumination to constitute the boundary conditions of our coma model. The model presented reproduces the coma observations made by the ROSINA and VIRTIS instruments on board the Rosetta spacecraft showing our understanding of the physics of 67P's coma. This model can be used for further data analyses, such as dust modeling, in a future work. Title: Response of Mercury's Magnetosphere to Solar Wind Forcing: Results of Global MHD Simulations with Coupled Planetary Interior Authors: Jia, Xianzhe; Slavin, James; Poh, Gangkai; Toth, Gabor; Gombosi, Tamas Bibcode: 2016EGUGA..18.5291J Altcode: As the innermost planet, Mercury arguably undergoes the most direct space weathering interactions due to its weak intrinsic magnetic field and its close proximity to the Sun. It has long been suggested that two processes, i.e., erosion of the dayside magnetosphere due to intense magnetopause reconnection and the shielding effect of the induction currents generated at the conducting core, compete against each other in governing the large-scale structure of Mercury's magnetosphere. An outstanding question concerning Mercury's space weather is which of the two processes is more important. To address this question, we have developed a global MHD model in which Mercury's interior is electromagnetically coupled to the surrounding space environment. As demonstrated in Jia et al. (2015), the new modeling capability allows for self-consistently characterizing the dynamical response of the Mercury system to time-varying external conditions. To assess the relative importance of induction and magnetopause reconnection in controlling the magnetospheric configuration, especially under strong solar driving conditions, we have carried out multiple global simulations that adopt a wide range of solar wind dynamic pressure and IMF conditions. We find that, while the magnetopause standoff distance decreases with increasing solar wind pressure, just as expected, its dependence on the solar wind pressure follows closely a power-law relationship with an index of ~ -1/6, rather than a steeper power-law falling-off expected for the case with only induction present. This result suggests that for the range of solar wind conditions examined, the two competing processes, namely induction and reconnection, appear to play equally important roles in determining the global configuration of Mercury's magnetosphere, consistent with the finding obtained by Slavin et al. (2014) based on MESSENGER observations. We also find that the magnetic perturbations produced by the magnetospheric current systems are spatially non-uniform in nature, and consequently they result in an induced magnetic field at the core that contains significant power in not only the dipole but also high order moments. Based on the simulation results, we determine how the induced magnetic field varies with the external solar wind conditions, and provide quantitative constraints on the ability of Mercury's core to shield the planetary surface from direct solar wind impact. Title: Extended Magnetohydrodynamics with Embedded Particle-in-Cell (XMHD-EPIC) Simulations of Magnetospheric Reconnection Authors: Toth, Gabor; Gombosi, Tamas; Jia, Xianzhe; Welling, Daniel; Chen, Yuxi; Haiducek, John; Jordanova, Vania; Peng, Ivy Bo; Markidis, Stefano; Lapenta, Giovanni Bibcode: 2016EGUGA..18.2344T Altcode: We have recently developed a new modeling capability to embed the implicit Particle-in-Cell (PIC) model iPIC3D into the BATS-R-US extended magnetohydrodynamic model. The PIC domain can cover the regions where kinetic effects are most important, such as reconnection sites. The BATS-R-US code with its block-adaptive grid can efficiently handle the rest of the computational domain where the MHD or Hall MHD description is sufficient. The current implementation of the MHD-EPIC model allows two-way coupled simulations in two and three dimensions with multiple embedded PIC regions. The MHD and PIC grids can have different grid resolutions and grid structures. The MHD variables and the moments of the PIC distribution functions are interpolated and message passed in an efficient manner through the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). Both BATS-R-US and iPIC3D are massively parallel codes fully integrated into, run by and coupled through the SWMF. We have successfully applied the MHD-EPIC code to model Ganymede's and Mercury's magnetospheres. We compared our results with Galileo and MESSENGER magnetic observations, respectively, and found good overall agreement. We will report our progress on modeling the Earth magnetosphere with MHD-EPIC with the goal of providing direct comparison with and global context for the MMS observations. Title: Responses of Venus Ionosphere and Induced Magnetosphere to Solar Wind Pressure Variations Authors: Ma, Yingjuan; Toth, Gabor; Nagy, Andrew F.; Russell, Christopher T. Bibcode: 2016EGUGA..18.9743M Altcode: Often regarded as the Earth's 'sister planet', Venus has similar size and mass as Earth. But it is also remarkably different from Earth in many respects. Even though we have some basic knowledge of the solar wind interaction with Venus based on spacecraft observations, little is known about how the interaction and the resulting plasma escape rates vary in response to solar wind variations due to the lack of coordinated observations of both upstream solar wind conditions and simultaneous plasma properties in the Venus ionosphere. Furthermore, recent observations suggest that plasma escape rates are significantly enhanced during stormy space weather in response to solar wind pressure pulses (Edberg et al., 2011). Thus it is important to understand the plasma interaction under varying solar wind conditions. In this study, we use a sophisticated multi-species MHD model that has been recently developed for Venus (Ma et al., 2013) to characterize the responses of the ionosphere and the induced magnetosphere of Venus to a typical variation of the solar wind: dynamic pressure change. We will examine the response of the ionosphere and the induced magnetosphere to both pressure enhancements and decreases. We will quantify the total plasma escape-rate change in response to such variations and to identify the underlying driver for changes in escape rate. We will also quantify the time scale of the Venus ionosphere and induced magnetosphere in responding to the pressure change of the external solar wind driver. Title: Extended magnetohydrodynamics with embedded particle-in-cell simulation of Ganymede's magnetosphere Authors: Tóth, Gábor; Jia, Xianzhe; Markidis, Stefano; Peng, Ivy Bo; Chen, Yuxi; Daldorff, Lars K. S.; Tenishev, Valeriy M.; Borovikov, Dmitry; Haiducek, John D.; Gombosi, Tamas I.; Glocer, Alex; Dorelli, John C. Bibcode: 2016JGRA..121.1273T Altcode: We have recently developed a new modeling capability to embed the implicit particle-in-cell (PIC) model iPIC3D into the Block-Adaptive-Tree-Solarwind-Roe-Upwind-Scheme magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model. The MHD with embedded PIC domains (MHD-EPIC) algorithm is a two-way coupled kinetic-fluid model. As one of the very first applications of the MHD-EPIC algorithm, we simulate the interaction between Jupiter's magnetospheric plasma and Ganymede's magnetosphere. We compare the MHD-EPIC simulations with pure Hall MHD simulations and compare both model results with Galileo observations to assess the importance of kinetic effects in controlling the configuration and dynamics of Ganymede's magnetosphere. We find that the Hall MHD and MHD-EPIC solutions are qualitatively similar, but there are significant quantitative differences. In particular, the density and pressure inside the magnetosphere show different distributions. For our baseline grid resolution the PIC solution is more dynamic than the Hall MHD simulation and it compares significantly better with the Galileo magnetic measurements than the Hall MHD solution. The power spectra of the observed and simulated magnetic field fluctuations agree extremely well for the MHD-EPIC model. The MHD-EPIC simulation also produced a few flux transfer events (FTEs) that have magnetic signatures very similar to an observed event. The simulation shows that the FTEs often exhibit complex 3-D structures with their orientations changing substantially between the equatorial plane and the Galileo trajectory, which explains the magnetic signatures observed during the magnetopause crossings. The computational cost of the MHD-EPIC simulation was only about 4 times more than that of the Hall MHD simulation. Title: What Controls the Structure and Dynamics of Earth's Magnetosphere? Authors: Eastwood, J. P.; Hietala, H.; Toth, G.; Phan, T. D.; Fujimoto, M. Bibcode: 2016mssf.book..271E Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Separator reconnection at the magnetopause for predominantly northward and southward IMF: Techniques and results Authors: Glocer, A.; Dorelli, J.; Toth, G.; Komar, C. M.; Cassak, P. A. Bibcode: 2016JGRA..121..140G Altcode: In this work, we demonstrate how to track magnetic separators in three-dimensional simulated magnetic fields with or without magnetic nulls, apply these techniques to enhance our understanding of reconnection at the magnetopause. We present three methods for locating magnetic separators and apply them to 3-D resistive MHD simulations of the Earth's magnetosphere using the Block-Adaptive-Tree Solar-wind Roe-type Upwind Scheme code. The techniques for finding separators and determining the reconnection rate are insensitive to interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) clock angle and can in principle be applied to any magnetospheric model. Moreover, the techniques have a number of advantages over prior separator finding techniques applied to the magnetosphere. The present work examines cases of high and low resistivity for two clock angles. We go beyond previous work examine the separator during Flux Transfer Events (FTEs). Our analysis of reconnection on the magnetopause yields a number of interesting conclusions: Reconnection occurs all along the separator even during predominately northward IMF cases. Multiple separators form in low-resistivity conditions, and in the region of an FTE the separator splits into distinct branches. Moreover, the local contribution to the reconnection rate, as determined by the local parallel electric field, drops in the vicinity of the FTE with respect to the value when there are none. Title: Multi-fluid MHD Study of the Solar Wind Interaction with Mars' Upper Atmosphere during the 2015 March 8th ICME Event Authors: Dong, C.; Ma, Y.; Bougher, S. W.; Toth, G.; Nagy, A. F.; Halekas, J. S.; Dong, Y.; Curry, S.; Luhmann, J. G.; Brain, D. A.; Connerney, J. E. P.; Espley, J. R.; Mahaffy, P. R.; Benna, M.; McFadden, J. P.; Mitchell, D. L.; DiBraccio, G. A.; Lillis, R. J.; Jakosky, B. M.; Grebowsky, J. M. Bibcode: 2015AGUFM.P21A2083D Altcode: The 3-D Mars multi-fluid BATS-R-US MHD code is used to study the solar wind interaction with the Martian upper atmosphere during the 2015 March 8th interplanetary coronal mass ejection (ICME). We studied four steady-state cases, corresponding to three major ICME phases: pre-ICME phase (Case 1), sheath phase (Cases 2--3), and ejecta phase (Case 4). Detailed data-model comparisons demonstrate that the simulation results are in good agreement with Mars Atmosphere and Volatile EvolutioN (MAVEN) measurements, indicating that the multi-fluid MHD model can reproduce most of the features observed by MAVEN, thus providing confidence in the estimate of ion escape rates from its calculation. The total ion escape rate is increased by an order of magnitude, from 2.05×1024 s-1 (pre-ICME phase) to 2.25×1025 s-1 (ICME sheath phase), during this time period. The calculated ion escape rates were used to examine the relative importance of the two major ion loss channels from the planet: energetic pickup ion loss through the dayside plume and cold ionospheric ion loss through the nightside plasma wake region. We found that the energetic pickup ions escaping from the dayside plume could be as much as ~23% of the total ion loss prior to the ICME arrival. Interestingly, the tailward ion escape rate is significantly increased at the ejecta phase, leading to a reduction of the dayside ion escape to ~5% of the total ion loss. Under such circumstance, the cold ionospheric ions escaping from the plasma wake comprise the majority of the ion loss from the planet. Furthermore, by comparing four simulation results along the same MAVEN orbit, we note that there is no significant variation in the Martian lower ionosphere. Finally, both bow shock and magnetic pileup boundary (BS, MPB) locations are decreased from (1.2 RMars, 1.57 RMars) at the pre-ICME phase to (1.16 RMars, 1.47 RMars) respectively during the sheath phase along the dayside Sun-Mars line. MAVEN has provided a great opportunity to study the evolution of the Martian atmosphere and climate over its history. A large quantity of useful data has been returned for future studies. These kinds of data-model comparisons can help the community to better understand the Martian upper atmosphere response to the (extreme) variation in the solar wind and its interplanetary environment from a global perspective. Title: Four-fluid MHD Simulations of the Plasma and Neutral Gas Environment of Comet Churyumov-Gerasimenko Near Perihelio Authors: Huang, Z.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I.; Jia, X.; Rubin, M.; Hansen, K. C.; Fougere, N.; Bieler, A. M.; Shou, Y.; Altwegg, K.; Combi, M. R.; Tenishev, V. Bibcode: 2015AGUFM.P31E2116H Altcode: The neutral and plasma environment is critical in understanding the interaction of comet Churyumov-Gerasimenko (CG), the target of the Rosetta mission, and the solar wind. To serve this need and support the Rosetta mission, we develop a 3-D four fluid model, which is based on BATS-R-US within the SWMF (Space Weather Modeling Framework) that solves the governing multi-fluid MHD equations and the Euler equations for the neutral gas fluid. These equations describe the behavior and interactions of the cometary heavy ions, the solar wind protons, the electrons, and the neutrals. This model incorporates different mass loading processes, including photo and electron impact ionization, charge exchange, dissociative ion-electron recombination, and collisional interactions between different fluids. We simulate the near nucleus plasma and neutral gas environment near perihelion with a realistic shape model of CG and compare our simulation results with Rosetta observations. Title: Solar Wind Prediction at Pluto During the New Horizons Flyby: Results From a Two-Dimensional Multi-fluid MHD Model of the Outer Heliosphere Authors: Zieger, B.; Toth, G.; Opher, M.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2015AGUFMSM31D2539Z Altcode: We adapted the outer heliosphere (OH) component of the Space Weather Modeling Framework, which is a 3-D global multi-fluid MHD model of the outer heliosphere with one ion fluid and four neutral populations, for time-dependent 2-D multi-fluid MHD simulations of solar wind propagation from a heliocentric distance of 1 AU up to 50 AU. We used this model to predict the solar wind plasma parameters as well as the interplanetary magnetic field components at Pluto and along the New Horizons trajectory during the whole calendar year of 2015 including the closest approach on July 14. The simulation is run in the solar equatorial plane in the heliographic inertial frame (HGI). The inner boundary conditions along a circle of 1 AU radius are set by near-Earth solar wind observations (hourly OMNI data), assuming that the global solar wind distribution does not change much during a Carrington rotation (27.2753 days). Our 2-D multi-fluid MHD code evolves one ion fluid and two neutral fluids, which are the primary interstellar neutral atoms and the interstellar neutral atoms deflected in the outer heliosheath between the slow bow shock and the heliopause. Spherical expansion effects are properly taken into account for the ions and the solar magnetic field. The inflow parameters of the two neutral fluids (density, temperature, and velocity components) are set at the negative X (HGI) boundary at 50 AU distance, which are taken from previous 3-D global multi-fluid MHD simulations of the heliospheric interface in a much larger simulation box (1500x1500x1500 AU). The inflow velocity vectors of the two neutral fluids define the so-called hydrogen deflection plane. The solar wind ions and the interstellar neutrals interact through charge exchange source terms included in the multi-fluid MHD equations, so the two neutral populations are evolved self-consistently. We validate our model with the available plasma data from New Horizons as well as with Voyager 2 plasma and magnetic field observations within the heliocentric distance of 50 AU. Our new time-dependent 2-D multi-fluid MHD model is generally applicable for solar wind predictions at any outer planet (Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune) or spacecraft in the outer heliosphere where charge exchange between solar wind ions and interstellar neutrals play an important role. Title: Modeling AWSoM CMEs with EEGGL: A New Approach for Space Weather Forecasting Authors: Jin, M.; Manchester, W.; van der Holst, B.; Sokolov, I.; Toth, G.; Vourlidas, A.; de Koning, C. A.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2015AGUFMSH43C..02J Altcode: The major source of destructive space weather is coronal mass ejections (CMEs). However, our understanding of CMEs and their propagation in the heliosphere is limited by the insufficient observations. Therefore, the development of first-principals numerical models plays a vital role in both theoretical investigation and providing space weather forecasts. Here, we present results of the simulation of CME propagation from the Sun to 1AU by combining the analytical Gibson & Low (GL) flux rope model with the state-of-art solar wind model AWSoM. We also provide an approach for transferring this research model to a space weather forecasting tool by demonstrating how the free parameters of the GL flux rope can be prescribed based on remote observations via the new Eruptive Event Generator by Gibson-Low (EEGGL) toolkit. This capability allows us to predict the long-term evolution of the CME in interplanetary space. We perform proof-of-concept case studies to show the capability of the model to capture physical processes that determine CME evolution while also reproducing many observed features both in the corona and at 1 AU. We discuss the potential and limitations of this model as a future space weather forecasting tool. Title: Combining DSMC Simulations and ROSINA/COPS Data of Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko to Develop a Realistic Empirical Coma Model and to Determine Accurate Production Rates Authors: Hansen, K. C.; Fougere, N.; Bieler, A. M.; Altwegg, K.; Combi, M. R.; Gombosi, T. I.; Huang, Z.; Rubin, M.; Tenishev, V.; Toth, G.; Tzou, C. Y. Bibcode: 2015AGUFM.P31E2104H Altcode: We have previously published results from the AMPS DSMC (Adaptive Mesh Particle Simulator Direct Simulation Monte Carlo) model and its characterization of the neutral coma of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko through detailed comparison with data collected by the ROSINA/COPS (Rosetta Orbiter Spectrometer for Ion and Neutral Analysis/COmet Pressure Sensor) instrument aboard the Rosetta spacecraft [Bieler, 2015]. Results from these DSMC models have been used to create an empirical model of the near comet coma (<200 km) of comet 67P. The empirical model characterizes the neutral coma in a comet centered, sun fixed reference frame as a function of heliocentric distance, radial distance from the comet, local time and declination. The model is a significant improvement over more simple empirical models, such as the Haser model. While the DSMC results are a more accurate representation of the coma at any given time, the advantage of a mean state, empirical model is the ease and speed of use. One use of such an empirical model is in the calculation of a total cometary coma production rate from the ROSINA/COPS data. The COPS data are in situ measurements of gas density and velocity along the ROSETTA spacecraft track. Converting the measured neutral density into a production rate requires knowledge of the neutral gas distribution in the coma. Our empirical model provides this information and therefore allows us to correct for the spacecraft location to calculate a production rate as a function of heliocentric distance. We will present the full empirical model as well as the calculated neutral production rate for the period of August 2014 - August 2015 (perihelion). Title: A multifluid magnetohydrodynamic simulation of the interaction between Jupiter's magnetosphere and its moon Europa Authors: Rubin, M.; Jia, X.; Altwegg, K.; Combi, M. R.; Daldorff, L. K. S.; Gombosi, T. I.; Khurana, K. K.; Kivelson, M.; Tenishev, V.; Toth, G.; van der Holst, B.; Wurz, P. Bibcode: 2015AGUFM.P21B..01R Altcode: Jupiter's moon Europa is believed to contain a subsurface water ocean whose finite electrical conductance imposes clear induction signatures on the magnetic field in its surroundings. The evidence rests heavily on measurements performed by the magnetometer on board the Galileo spacecraft during multiple flybys of the moon. Europa's interaction with the Jovian magnetosphere has become a major target of research in planetary science, partly because of the potential of a salty ocean to harbor life outside our own planet. Thus it is of considerable interest to develop numerical simulations of the Europa-Jupiter interaction that can be compared with data in order to refine our knowledge of Europa's subsurface structure. In this presentation we show aspects of Europa's interaction with the Jovian magnetosphere extracted from a multifluid magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) code BATS-R-US recently developed at the University of Michigan. The model dynamically separates magnetospheric and pick-up ions and is capable of capturing some of the physics previously accessible only to kinetic approaches. The model utilizes an adaptive grid to maintain the high spatial resolution on the surface required to resolve the portion of Europa's neutral atmosphere with a scale height of a few tens of kilometers that is in thermal equilibrium. The model also derives the electron temperature, which is crucial to obtain the local electron impact ionization rates and hence the plasma mass loading in Europa's atmosphere. We compare our results with observations made by the plasma particles and fields instruments on the Galileo spacecraft to validate our model. We will show that multifluid MHD is able to reproduce the basic features of the plasma moments and magnetic field observations obtained during the Galileo E4 and E26 flybys at Europa. Title: Using the 11-year Solar Cycle to Predict the Heliosheath Environment at Voyager 1 and 2 Authors: Michael, A.; Opher, M.; Provornikova, E.; Richardson, J. D.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2015AGUFMSH41A2373M Altcode: As Voyager 2 moves further into the heliosheath, the region of subsonic solar wind plasma in between the termination shock and the heliopause, it has observed an increase of the magnetic field strength to large values, all while maintaining magnetic flux conservation. Dr. Burlaga will present these observations in the 2015 AGU Fall meeting (abstract ID: 59200). The increase in magnetic field strength could be a signature of Voyager 2 approaching the heliopause or, possibly, due to solar cycle effects. In this work we investigate the role the 11-year solar cycle variations as well as magnetic dissipation effects have on the heliosheath environments observed at Voyager 1 and 2 using a global 3D magnetohydrodynamic model of the heliosphere. We use time and latitude-dependent solar wind velocity and density inferred from SOHO/SWAN and IPS data and solar cycle variations of the magnetic field derived from 27-day averages of the field magnitude average of the magnetic field at 1 AU from the OMNI database as presented in Michael et al. (2015). Since the model has already accurately matched the flows and magnetic field strength at Voyager 2 until 93 AU, we extend the boundary conditions to model the heliosheath up until Voyager 2 reaches the heliopause. This work will help clarify if the magnetic field observed at Voyager 2 should increase or decrease due to the solar cycle. We describe the solar magnetic field both as a dipole, with the magnetic and rotational axes aligned, and as a monopole, with magnetic field aligned with the interstellar medium to reduce numerical reconnection within the heliosheath, due to the removal of the heliospheric surrent sheet, and at the solar wind - interstellar medium interface. A comparison of the models allows for a crude estimation of the role that magnetic dissipation plays in the system and whether it allows for a better understanding of the Voyager 2 location in the heliosheath. Title: Overview of the SHIELDS Project at LANL Authors: Jordanova, V.; Delzanno, G. L.; Henderson, M. G.; Godinez, H. C.; Jeffery, C. A.; Lawrence, E. C.; Meierbachtol, C.; Moulton, D.; Vernon, L.; Woodroffe, J. R.; Toth, G.; Welling, D. T.; Yu, Y.; Birn, J.; Thomsen, M. F.; Borovsky, J.; Denton, M.; Albert, J.; Horne, R. B.; Lemon, C. L.; Markidis, S.; Young, S. L. Bibcode: 2015AGUFMSM31E..04J Altcode: The near-Earth space environment is a highly dynamic and coupled system through a complex set of physical processes over a large range of scales, which responds nonlinearly to driving by the time-varying solar wind. Predicting variations in this environment that can affect technologies in space and on Earth, i.e. "space weather", remains a big space physics challenge. We present a recently funded project through the Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) Directed Research and Development (LDRD) program that is developing a new capability to understand, model, and predict Space Hazards Induced near Earth by Large Dynamic Storms, the SHIELDS framework. The project goals are to specify the dynamics of the hot (keV) particles (the seed population for the radiation belts) on both macro- and micro-scale, including important physics of rapid particle injection and acceleration associated with magnetospheric storms/substorms and plasma waves. This challenging problem is addressed using a team of world-class experts in the fields of space science and computational plasma physics and state-of-the-art models and computational facilities. New data assimilation techniques employing data from LANL instruments on the Van Allen Probes and geosynchronous satellites are developed in addition to physics-based models. This research will provide a framework for understanding of key radiation belt drivers that may accelerate particles to relativistic energies and lead to spacecraft damage and failure. The ability to reliably distinguish between various modes of failure is critically important in anomaly resolution and forensics. SHIELDS will enhance our capability to accurately specify and predict the near-Earth space environment where operational satellites reside. Title: Initial Predictions of Outflow Rates from Jupiter's Ionosphere Authors: Garcia-Sage, K.; Glocer, A.; Bell, J. M.; Toth, G.; Khazanov, G. V. Bibcode: 2015AGUFMSM31C2518G Altcode: Although Voyager 2 observations of H3+ in Jupiter's magnetosphere indicate an ionospheric source of plasma, very little work has been done to predict outflow rates from Jupiter's ionosphere. We use the Polar Wind Outflow Model (PWOM), originally developed for Saturn and Earth, to model outflow at Jupiter. We use a neutral atmosphere and atmosphere-ionosphere chemistry from the Jupiter-Global Ionosphere and Thermosphere Model (J-GITM) model and solve the field-aligned gyrotropic transport equations along open flux tubes. The model includes the effects of topside electron heat flux, collisional heating, and photoionization. We describe a new modeling approach that includes a kinetic description of superthermal photoelectrons and secondary electron production. We show the preliminary results for vertical transport and outflow of ionospheric H+, H2+, and H3+. These results provide initial predictions for ion populations that Juno may observe over Jupiter's polar regions. Title: Modeling of the Inner Coma of Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko Constrained by VIRTIS and ROSINA Observations Authors: Fougere, N.; Combi, M. R.; Tenishev, V.; Bieler, A. M.; Migliorini, A.; Bockelée-Morvan, D.; Toth, G.; Huang, Z.; Gombosi, T. I.; Hansen, K. C.; Capaccioni, F.; Filacchione, G.; Piccioni, G.; Debout, V.; Erard, S.; Leyrat, C.; Fink, U.; Rubin, M.; Altwegg, K.; Tzou, C. Y.; Le Roy, L.; Calmonte, U.; Berthelier, J. J.; Rème, H.; Hässig, M.; Fuselier, S. A.; Fiethe, B.; De Keyser, J. Bibcode: 2015AGUFM.P31E2105F Altcode: As it orbits around comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko (CG), the Rosetta spacecraft acquires more information about its main target. The numerous observations made at various geometries and at different times enable a good spatial and temporal coverage of the evolution of CG's cometary coma. However, the question regarding the link between the coma measurements and the nucleus activity remains relatively open notably due to gas expansion and strong kinetic effects in the comet's rarefied atmosphere. In this work, we use coma observations made by the ROSINA-DFMS instrument to constrain the activity at the surface of the nucleus. The distribution of the H2O and CO2 outgassing is described with the use of spherical harmonics. The coordinates in the orthogonal system represented by the spherical harmonics are computed using a least squared method, minimizing the sum of the square residuals between an analytical coma model and the DFMS data. Then, the previously deduced activity distributions are used in a Direct Simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) model to compute a full description of the H2O and CO2 coma of comet CG from the nucleus' surface up to several hundreds of kilometers. The DSMC outputs are used to create synthetic images, which can be directly compared with VIRTIS measurements. The good agreement between the VIRTIS observations and the DSMC model, itself constrained with ROSINA data, provides a compelling juxtaposition of the measurements from these two instruments. Acknowledgements Work at UofM was supported by contracts JPL#1266313, JPL#1266314 and NASA grant NNX09AB59G. Work at UoB was funded by the State of Bern, the Swiss National Science Foundation and by the ESA PRODEX Program. Work at Southwest Research institute was supported by subcontract #1496541 from the JPL. Work at BIRA-IASB was supported by the Belgian Science Policy Office via PRODEX/ROSINA PEA 90020. The authors would like to thank ASI, CNES, DLR, NASA for supporting this research. VIRTIS was built by a consortium formed by Italy, France and Germany, under the scientific responsibility of the IAPS of INAF, which guides also the scientific operations. The consortium includes also the LESIA of the Observatoire de Paris, and the Institut für Planetenforschung of DLR. The authors wish to thank the RSGS and the RMOC for their continuous support. Title: MHD Model Results of Solar Wind Interaction with Mars and Comparison with MAVEN Plasma Observations Authors: Ma, Y.; Russell, C. T.; Nagy, A. F.; Fang, X.; Dong, Y.; Toth, G.; Halekas, J. S.; Connerney, J. E. P.; Espley, J. R.; Mahaffy, P. R.; Benna, M.; McFadden, J. P.; Mitchell, D. L.; Jakosky, B. M. Bibcode: 2015AGUFM.P13D..06M Altcode: The Mars Atmosphere and Volatile Evolution mission (MAVEN), launched on November 18, 2013, is now in its primary science phase. The mission was designed to study the upper atmosphere, ionosphere, and magnetosphere of Mars, the response to solar and solar-wind input, and the ability of atmospheric molecules and atoms to escape to space. In this study, we use a time-dependent MHD model to interpret plasma observations made by MAVEN particle and field instruments. Detailed comparisons between the model and the relevant plasma observations from MAVEN are presented for an entire Mars rotation under relatively quiet solar wind conditions. Through comparison along MAVEN orbits, we find that the time-dependent multi-species single-fluid MHD model is able to reproduce the main features of the plasma environment around Mars. Using the model results, we find that photoionization beyond the terminator is the dominant ion source as compared with day-night transport in maintaining the nightside ionosphere. Model results also show that both the time-varying solar wind conditions and the continuously rotating crustal field work together to control the ion escape variation with time. Title: Modeled Interaction of Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko with the Solar Wind Inside 2 AU Authors: Rubin, M.; Gombosi, T. I.; Hansen, K. C.; Ip, W. -H.; Kartalev, M. D.; Koenders, C.; Tóth, G. Bibcode: 2015EM&P..116..141R Altcode: 2015EM&P..tmp...20R Periodic comets move around the Sun on elliptical orbits. As such comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko (hereafter 67P) spends a portion of time in the inner solar system where it is exposed to increased solar insolation. Therefore given the change in heliocentric distance, in case of 67P from aphelion at 5.68 AU to perihelion at ~1.24 AU, the comet's activity—the production of neutral gas and dust—undergoes significant variations. As a consequence, during the inbound portion, the mass loading of the solar wind increases and extends to larger spatial scales. This paper investigates how this interaction changes the character of the plasma environment of the comet by means of multifluid MHD simulations. The multifluid MHD model is capable of separating the dynamics of the solar wind ions and the pick-up ions created through photoionization and electron impact ionization in the coma of the comet. We show how two of the major boundaries, the bow shock and the diamagnetic cavity, form and develop as the comet moves through the inner solar system. Likewise for 67P, although most likely shifted back in time with respect to perihelion passage, this process is reversed on the outbound portion of the orbit. The presented model herein is able to reproduce some of the key features previously only accessible to particle-based models that take full account of the ions' gyration. The results shown herein are in decent agreement to these hybrid-type kinetic simulations. Title: Magnetospheric Simulations With the Three-Dimensional Magnetohydrodynamics With Embedded Particle-in-Cell Model Authors: Toth, G.; Jia, X.; Chen, Y.; Markidis, S.; Peng, B.; Daldorff, L. K. S.; Tenishev, V.; Borovikov, D.; Haiducek, J. D.; Gombosi, T. I.; Glocer, A.; Dorelli, J.; Lapenta, G. Bibcode: 2015AGUFMSM54A..07T Altcode: We have recently developed a new modeling capability to embed the implicit Particle-in-Cell (PIC) model iPIC3D into the BATS-R-US magnetohydrodynamic model. The PIC domain can cover the regions where kinetic effects are most important, such as reconnection sites. The BATS-R-US code, on the other hand, can efficiently handle the rest of the computational domain where the MHD or Hall MHD description is sufficient with its block-adaptive grid. The current implementation of the MHD-EPIC model allows two-way coupled simulations in two and three dimensions with multiple embedded PIC regions. The MHD and PIC grids can have different grid resolutions. The MHD variables and the moments of the PIC distribution functions are interpolated and message passed in an efficient manner through the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). Both BATS-R-US and iPIC3D are massively parallel codes fully integrated into, run by and coupled through the SWMF. We have successfully applied the MHD-EPIC code to model Ganymede's magnetosphere. Using four PIC regions we have in effect performed a fully kinetic simulation of the moon's mini-magnetosphere with a grid resolution that is about 5 times finer than the ion inertial length. The Hall MHD model provides proper boundary conditions for the four PIC regions and connects them with each other and with the inner and outer outer boundary conditions of the much larger MHD domain. We compare our results with Galileo magnetic observations and find good overall agreement with both Hall MHD and MHD-EPIC simulations. The power spectrum for the small scale fluctuations, however, agrees with the data much better for the MHD-EPIC simulation than for Hall MHD. In the MHD-EPIC simulation, unlike in the pure Hall MHD results, we also find signatures of flux transfer events (FTEs) that agree very well with the observed FTE signatures both in terms of shape and amplitudes. We will also highlight our ongoing efforts to model the magnetospheres of Mercury and Earth with the MHD-EPIC model. Title: Magnetohydrodynamics with Embedded Particle-in-Cell Simulation of Mercury's Magnetosphere Authors: Chen, Y.; Toth, G.; Jia, X.; Gombosi, T. I.; Markidis, S. Bibcode: 2015AGUFMSM31A2474C Altcode: Mercury's magnetosphere is much more dynamic than other planetary magnetospheres because of Mercury's weak intrinsic magnetic field and its proximity to the Sun. Magnetic reconnection and Kelvin-Helmholtz phenomena occur in Mercury's magnetopause and magnetotail at higher frequencies than in other planetary magnetosphere. For instance, chains of flux transfer events (FTEs) on the magnetopause, have been frequentlyobserved by the the MErcury Surface, Space ENvironment, GEochemistry and Ranging (MESSENGER) spacecraft (Slavin et al., 2012). Because ion Larmor radius is comparable to typical spatial scales in Mercury's magnetosphere, finite Larmor radius effects need to be accounted for. In addition, it is important to take in account non-ideal dissipation mechanisms to accurately describe magnetic reconnection. A kinetic approach allows us to model these phenomena accurately. However, kinetic global simulations, even for small-size magnetospheres like Mercury's, are currently unfeasible because of the high computational cost. In this work, we carry out global simulations of Mercury's magnetosphere with the recently developed MHD-EPIC model, which is a two-way coupling of the extended magnetohydrodynamic (XMHD) code BATS-R-US with the implicit Particle-in-Cell (PIC) model iPIC3D. The PIC model can cover the regions where kinetic effects are most important, such as reconnection sites. The BATS-R-US code, on the other hand, can efficiently handle the rest of the computational domain where the MHD or Hall MHD description is sufficient. We will present our preliminary results and comparison with MESSENGER observations. Title: Nowcasting Ground Magnetic Perturbations with the Space Weather Modeling Framework Authors: Welling, D. T.; Toth, G.; Singer, H. J.; Millward, G. H.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2015AGUFMSM13F..07W Altcode: Predicting ground-based magnetic perturbations is a critical step towards specifying and predicting geomagnetically induced currents (GICs) in high voltage transmission lines. Currently, the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF), a flexible modeling framework for simulating the multi-scale space environment, is being transitioned from research to operational use (R2O) by NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center. Upon completion of this transition, the SWMF will provide localized B/t predictions using real-time solar wind observations from L1 and the F10.7 proxy for EUV as model input. This presentation describes the operational SWMF setup and summarizes the changes made to the code to enable R2O progress. The framework's algorithm for calculating ground-based magnetometer observations will be reviewed. Metrics from data-model comparisons will be reviewed to illustrate predictive capabilities. Early data products, such as regional-K index and grids of virtual magnetometer stations, will be presented. Finally, early successes will be shared, including the code's ability to reproduce the recent March 2015 St. Patrick's Day Storm. Title: The impact of exospheric neutral dynamics on ring current decay Authors: Ilie, R.; Liemohn, M. W.; Skoug, R. M.; Funsten, H. O.; Gruntman, M.; Bailey, J. J.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2015AGUFMSA32A..01I Altcode: The geocorona plays an important role in the energy budget of the Earth's inner magnetosphere since charge exchange of energetic ions with exospheric neutrals makes the exosphere act as an energy sink for ring current particles. Long-term ring current decay following a magnetic storm is mainly due to these electron transfer reactions, leading to the formation energetic neutral atoms (ENAs) that leave the ring current system on ballistic trajectories. The number of ENAs emitted from a given region of space depends on several factors, such as the energy and species of the energetic ion population in that region and the density of the neutral gas with which the ions undergo charge exchange. However, the density and structure of the exosphere are strongly dependent on changes in atmospheric temperature and density as well as charge exchange with the ions of plasmaspheric origin, which depletes the geocorona (by having a neutral removed from the system). Moreover, the radiation pressure exerted by solar far-ultraviolet photons pushes the geocoronal hydrogen away from the Earth in an anti-sunward direction to form a tail of neutral hydrogen. TWINS ENA images provide a direct measurement of these ENA losses and therefore insight into the dynamics of the ring current decay through interactions with the geocorona. We assess the influence of geocoronal neutrals on ring current formation and decay by analysis of the predicted ENA emissions using 6 different geocoronal models and simulations from the HEIDI ring current model during storm time. Comparison with TWINS ENA images shows that the location of the peak ENA enhancements is highly dependent on the distribution of geocoronal hydrogen density. We show that the neutral dynamics has a strong influence on the time evolution of the ring current populations as well as on the formation of energetic neutral atoms. Title: Global Multi-fluid Solar Corona Model with Temperature Anisotropy Authors: van der Holst, B.; Chandran, B. D. G.; Kasper, J. C.; Szente, J.; Sokolov, I.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2015AGUFMSH13C2448V Altcode: The mechanisms that heat and accelerate the fast and slow wind have not yet been conclusively identified. Plasma properties of Helium in the solar wind are critical tracers for both processes so that understanding them is key towards gaining insight in the solar wind phenomenon, and being able to model it and predict its properties. We present a generalization of the AWSoM model, a global solar corona model with low-frequency Alfvén wave turbulence (van der Holst et al., 2014) to include alpha-particle dynamics. To apportion the wave dissipation to the isotropic electron temperature, parallel and perpendicular ion temperatures, we employ the results of the theories of linear wave damping and nonlinear stochastic heating as described by Chandran et al. (2011, 2013). We account for the instabilities due to the developing temperature anisotropies for the protons (Meng et al., 2012) and alpha particles (Verscharen et al., 2013). We discuss the feasibility for Alfvén wave turbulence to simultaneously address the coronal heating and alpha-proton differential streaming. Title: A study of the variation of physical conditions in the cometary coma based on a 3D multi-fluid model Authors: Shou, Y.; Combi, M. R.; Fougere, N.; Tenishev, V.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I.; Huang, Z.; Jia, X.; Bieler, A. M.; Hansen, K. C. Bibcode: 2015AGUFM.P31E2114S Altcode: Physics-based numerical coma models are desirable whether to interpret the spacecraft observations of the inner coma or to compare with the ground-based observations of the outer coma. One example is Direct Simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) method, which has been successfully adopted to simulate the coma under various complex conditions. However, for bright comets with large production rates, the time step in DSMC model has to be tiny to accommodate the small mean free path and the high collision frequency. In addition a truly time-variable 3D DSMC model would still be computationally difficult or even impossible under most circumstances. In this work, we develop a multi-neutral-fluid model based on BATS-R-US in the University of Michigan's SWMF (Space Weather Modeling Framework), which can serve as a useful alternative to DSMC methods to compute both the inner and the outer coma and to treat time-variable phenomena. This model treats H2O, OH, H2, O, H and CO2 as separate fluids and each fluid has its own velocity and temperature. But collisional interactions can also couple all fluids together. Collisional interactions tend to decrease the velocity differences and are also able to re-distribute the excess energy deposited by chemical reactions among all species. To compute the momentum and energy transfer caused by such interactions self-consistently, collisions between fluids, whose efficiency is proportional to the densities, are included as well as heating from various chemical reactions. By applying the model to comets with different production rates (i.e. 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko, 1P/Halley, etc.), we are able to study how the heating efficiency varies with cometocentric distances and production rates. The preliminary results and comparison are presented and discussed. This work has been partially supported by grant NNX14AG84G from the NASA Planetary Atmospheres Program, and US Rosetta contracts JPL #1266313, JPL #1266314 and JPL #1286489. Title: Dynamics of Polar Jets from the Chromosphere to the Corona: Mass, Momentum and Energy Transfer Authors: Szente, J.; Toth, G.; Manchester, W.; van der Holst, B.; Landi, E.; DeVore, C. R.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2015AGUFMSH23D..05S Altcode: Coronal jets, routinely observed by multiple instruments at multiple wavelengths, provide a unique opportunity to understand the relationships between magnetic field topology, reconnection, and solar wind heating and acceleration. We simulate coronal jets with the Alfvén Wave Solar Model (AWSoM) [van der Holst (2014)] and focus our study on the thermodynamical evolution of the plasma. AWSoM solves the two-temperature MHD equations with electron heat conduction, which not only addresses the thermodynamics of individual species, but also allows for the construction of synthetic images from the EUV and soft X-ray wavelength range. Our jet model takes the form of a slowly rotating bipole field imbedded in the open magnetic field of a coronal hole; a topology suggested by observations. We follow the formation and evolution of polar jets starting from the chromosphere and extending into the outer corona. The simulations show small-scale eruptive reconnection events that self-consistently heat and accelerate the solar wind. Our results provide a quantitative comparison to observations made in the EUV and X-ray spectrum. Title: Magnetized Jets Driven by the Sun, the Structure of the Heliosphere Revisited: Consequences for Draping of BISM ahead of the HP and Time Variability of ENAs Authors: Opher, M.; Drake, J. F.; Zieger, B.; Michael, A.; Toth, G.; Swisdak, M.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2015AGUFMSH41A2371O Altcode: Recently we proposed (Opher et al. 2015) that the structure of the heliosphere might be very different than we previously thought. The classic accepted view of the heliosphere is a quiescent, comet-like shape aligned in the direction of the Sun's travel through the interstellar medium (ISM) extending for thousands of astronomical units. We have shown, based on magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulations, that the tension force of the twisted magnetic field of the Sun confines the solar wind plasma beyond the termination shock and drives jets to the north and south very much like astrophysical jets. These heliospheric jets are deflected into the tail region by the motion of the Sun through the ISM. As in some astrophysical jets the interstellar wind blows the two jets into the tail but is not strong enough to force the lobes into a single comet-like tail. Instead, the interstellar wind flows around the heliosphere and into the equatorial region between the two jets. We show that the heliospheric jets are turbulent (due to large-scale MHD instabilities and reconnection) and strongly mix the solar wind with the ISM. The resulting turbulence has important implications for particle acceleration in the heliosphere. The two-lobe structure is consistent with the energetic neutral atom (ENA) images of the heliotail from IBEX where two lobes are visible in the north and south and the suggestion from the Cassini ENAs that the heliosphere is "tailless." The new structure of the heliosphere is supported by recent analytic work (Drake et al. 2015) that shows that even in high β heliosheath the magnetic field plays a crucial role in funneling the solar wind in two jets. Here we present these recent results and show that the heliospheric jets mediate the draping of the magnetic field and the conditions ahead of the heliopause. We show that reconnection between the interstellar and solar magnetic field both at the flanks of the jets and in between them twist the interstellar magnetic field in a small layer ahead of the HP in agreement with Voyager 1 observations (as seen in Opher & Drake 2013). We present results of the heliospheric jets for a weaker magnetic field, representative of the 2010-2012 period and what is expected to be seen in the ENA maps with solar cycle. Title: Testing the magnetotail configuration based on observations of low-altitude isotropic boundaries during quiet times Authors: Ilie, R.; Ganushkina, N.; Toth, G.; Dubyagin, S.; Liemohn, M. W. Bibcode: 2015JGRA..12010557I Altcode: We investigate the configuration of the geomagnetic field on the nightside magnetosphere during a quiet time interval based on National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Polar Orbiting Environment Satellites Medium Energy Proton and Electron Detector (NOAA/POES MEPED) measurements in combination with numerical simulations of the global terrestrial magnetosphere using the Space Weather Modeling Framework. Measurements from the NOAA/POES MEPED low-altitude data sets provide the locations of isotropic boundaries; those are used to extract information regarding the field structure in the source regions in the magnetosphere. In order to evaluate adiabaticity and mapping accuracy, which is mainly controlled by the ratio between the radius of curvature and the particle's Larmor radius, we tested the threshold condition for strong pitch angle scattering based on the MHD magnetic field solution. The magnetic field configuration is represented by the model with high accuracy, as suggested by the high correlation coefficients and very low normalized root-mean-square errors between the observed and the modeled magnetic field. The scattering criterion, based on the values of k=<mfrac>Rcρ</mfrac> ratio at the crossings of magnetic field lines, associated with isotropic boundaries, with the minimum B surface, predicts a critical value of kCR∼33. This means that, in the absence of other scattering mechanisms, the strong pitch angle scattering takes place whenever the Larmor radius is ∼33 times smaller than the radius of curvature of the magnetic field, as predicted by the Space Weather Modeling Framework. Title: New Publicly Available EEGGL Tool for Simulating Coronal Mass Ejections. Authors: Sokolov, I.; Manchester, W.; van der Holst, B.; Gombosi, T. I.; Jin, M.; Mullinix, R.; Taktakishvili, A.; Chulaki, A.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2015AGUFMSH21B2403S Altcode: We present and demonstrate a new tool, EEGGL (Eruptive Event Generator using Gibson-Low configuration) for simulating CMEs (Coronal Mass Ejections). CMEs are among the most significant space weather events, producing the radiation hazards (via the diffuse shock acceleration of the Solar Energetic Particles - SEPs), the interplanetary shock waves as well as the geomagnetic activity due to the drastic changes of the interplanetary magnetic field within the "magnetic clouds" ("flux ropes"). Some of this effects may be efficiently simulated using the "cone model", which is employed in the real-time simulations of the ongoing CMEs at the NASA-Goddard Space Flight Center. The cone model provides a capability to predict the location, time, width and shape of the hydrodynamic perturbation in the upper solar corona (at ~0.1 AU), which can be used to drive the heliospheric simulation (with the ENLIL code, for example). At the same time the magnetic field orientation in this perturbation is uncertain within the cone model, which limits the capability of the geomagnetic activity forecast. The new EEGGL tool http://ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/analysis/EEGGL/recently developed at the Goddard Space Flight Center in collaboration with the University of Michigan provides a new capability for both evaluating the magnetic field configuration resulting from the CME and tracing the CME through the solar corona. In this way not only the capability to simulate the magnetic field evolution at 1 AU may be achieved, but also the more extensive comparison with the CME observations in the solar corona may be achieved. Based on the magnetogram and evaluation of the CME initial location and speed, the user may choose the active region from which the CME originates and then the EEGGL tools provides the parameters of the Gibson-Low magnetic configuration to parameterize the CME. The recommended parameters may be used then to drive the simulation of CME propagation from the low solar corona to 1 AU using the global code for simulating the solar corona and inner heliosphere. The Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC) provides the capability for CME runs-on-request, to the heliophysics community. Title: Alfvén wave solar model (AWSoM): proton temperature anisotropy and solar wind acceleration Authors: Meng, X.; van der Holst, B.; Tóth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2015MNRAS.454.3697M Altcode: Temperature anisotropy has been frequently observed in the solar corona and the solar wind, yet poorly represented in computational models of the solar wind. Therefore, we have included proton temperature anisotropy in our Alfvén wave solar model (AWSoM). This model solves the magnetohydrodynamic equations augmented with low-frequency Alfvén wave turbulence. The wave reflection due to Alfvén speed gradient and field-aligned vorticity results in turbulent cascade. At the gyroradius scales, the apportioning of the turbulence dissipation into coronal heating of the protons and electrons is through stochastic heating. This paper focuses on the impacts of the proton temperature anisotropy on the solar wind. We apply AWSoM to simulate the steady solar wind from the corona to 1 AU using synoptic magnetograms. The Alfvén wave energy density at the inner boundary is prescribed with a uniform Poynting flux per field strength. We present the proton temperature anisotropy distribution, and investigate the firehose instability in the heliosphere from our simulations. In particular, the comparisons between the simulated and observed solar wind properties at 1 AU during the ramping-up phase and the maximum of solar cycle 24 imply the importance of addressing the proton temperature anisotropy in solar wind modelling to capture the fast solar wind speed. Title: Ganymede as a Laboratory for Multiscale Physics Authors: Glocer, A.; Dorelli, J.; Toth, G.; Daughton, W. S.; Le, A. Bibcode: 2015AGUFMSM54A..03G Altcode: There are multiple scales on which the local physics of collisionless magnetic reconnection operate. These include the ion scale and electron scales defined by the associated inertial lengths. In Earth's magnetosphere, even the ion scale is inaccessible to even very large-scale numerical simulations, as it is just a tiny fraction of the total system size. Therefore we primarily rely on resistive MHD simulations when studying Earth's magnetosphere. In contrast, Ganymede's magnetosphere is much smaller, and the ion inertial length is much larger compared to the system's size. The relatively large scales make it possible to model Ganymede's magnetosphere with more sophisticated approaches while adequately resolving the relevant physical scales. Ganymede is therefore an ideal laboratory for studying both the multiple scales involved in collisionless reconnection as well as the consequences for the global magnetosphere; it is a real magnetosphere with available in situ data that is also accessible to multiple modeling approaches. We present recent Hall MHD simulations with the BATSRUS code, and comparisons to Galileo observations, of this small magnetosphere and demonstrate the global importance of ion scale effects. We further extract magnetic separators and compare the results with resistive MHD, Hybrid and PIC results. As with the GEM reconnection challenge, we find that including ion scale physics is the minimum extension of MHD to capture most basic features of the magnetosphere. Title: Modeling of the VIRTIS-M Observations of the Coma of Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko Authors: Fougere, Nicolas; Combi, Michael R.; Tenishev, Valeriy; Bieler, Andre; Migliorini, Alessandra; Piccioni, Giuseppe; Capaccioni, Fabrizio; Filacchione, Gianrico; Toth, Gabor; Huang, Zhenguang; Gombosi, Tamas; Hansen, Kenneth; Bockelee-Morvan, Dominique; Debout, Vincent; Erard, Stephane; Leyrat, Cedric; Fink, Uwe; Rubin, Martin; Altwegg, Kathrin; Tzou, Chia-Yu; Le Roy, Lena; Calmonte, Ursina; Berthelier, Jean-Jacques; Reme, Henri; Hassig, Myrtha; Fuselier, Stephen; Fiethe, Bjorn; De Keyser, Johan Bibcode: 2015DPS....4741306F Altcode: The recent images of the inner coma of 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko (CG) made by the infrared channel of the VIRTIS-M instrument on board the Rosetta spacecraft show the gas distribution as it expands in the coma (Migliorini et al. 2015, DPS abstract).Since VIRTIS is a remote sensing instrument, a proper modeling of these observations requires the computation of the full coma of comet CG, which necessitates the use of a kinetic approach due to the rather low gas densities. Hence, we apply a Direct Simulation Monde Carlo (DSMC) method to solve the Boltzmann equation and describe CG’s coma from the nucleus surface up to a few hundreds of kilometers. The model uses the SHAP5 nucleus shape model from the OSIRIS team. The gas flux distribution takes into account solar illumination, including self-shadowing. The local activity at the surface of the nucleus is given by spherical harmonics expansion reproducing best the ROSINA-DFMS data. The densities from the DSMC model outputs are then integrated along the line-of-sight to create synthetic images that are directly comparable with the VIRTIS-M column density measurements.The good agreement between the observations and the model illustrates our continuously improving understanding of the physics of the coma of comet CG.AcknowledgementsWork at UofM was supported by contracts JPL#1266313, JPL#1266314 and NASA grant NNX09AB59G. Work at UoB was funded by the State of Bern, the Swiss National Science Foundation and by the European Space Agency PRODEX Program. Work at Southwest Research institute was supported by subcontract #1496541 from the JPL. Work at BIRA-IASB was supported by the Belgian Science Policy Office via PRODEX/ROSINA PEA 90020. The authors would like to thank ASI, CNES, DLR, NASA for supporting this research. VIRTIS was built by a consortium formed by Italy, France and Germany, under the scientific responsibility of the IAPS of INAF, which guides also the scientific operations. The consortium includes also the LESIA of the Observatoire de Paris, and the Institut für Planetenforschung of DLR. The authors wish to thank the RSGS and the RMOC for their continuous support. Title: The Plasma Environment in Comets Over a Wide Range of Heliocentric Distances: Application to Coment C/2006 P1 (McNaught) Authors: Shou, Yinsi; Combi, Michael; Jia, Yingdong; Gombosi, Tamas; Toth, Gabor; Rubin, Martin Bibcode: 2015DPS....4741519S Altcode: On 2007 January 12, comet C/2006 P1 (McNaught) passed its perihelion at 0.17 AU. Abundant remote observations offer plenty of information on the neutral composition and neutral velocities within 1 million kilometers of the comet nucleus. In early February, the Ulysses spacecraft made an in situ measurement of the ion composition, plasma velocity, and magnetic field when passing through the distant ion tail and the ambient solar wind. The measurement by Ulysses was made when the comet was at around 0.8 AU. With the constraints provided by remote and in situ observations, we simulated the plasma environment of Comet C/2006 P1 (McNaught) using a multi-species comet MHD model over a wide range of heliocentric distances from 0.17 to 1.75 AU. The solar wind interaction of the comet at various locations is characterized and typical subsolar standoff distances of the bow shock and contact surface are presented and compared to analytic solutions. We find the variation in the bow shock standoff distances at different heliocentric distances is smaller than the contact surface. In addition, we modified the multi-species model for the case when the comet was at 0.7 AU and achieved comparable water group ion abundances, proton densities, plasma velocities, and plasma temperatures to the Ulysses/SWICS and SWOOPS observations. We discuss the dominating chemical reactions throughout the comet-solar wind interaction region and demonstrate the link between the ion composition near the comet and in the distant tail as measured by Ulysses. The work at the University of Michigan was supported by the NASA Planetary Atmospheres grant NNX14AG84G. Title: Solar wind Mars interaction during the MAVEN Deep Dip campaigns: multi-fluid MHD simulations based upon the SWIA, NGIMS and MAG measurements Authors: Dong, Chuanfei; Bougher, Stephen W.; Ma, Yingjuan; Toth, Gabor; Curry, Shannon M.; Nagy, Andrew F.; Halekas, Jasper S.; Luhmann, Janet G.; Mahaffy, Paul; Benna, Mehdi; Connerney, Jack E. P.; Espley, Jared; Mitchell, David L.; Brain, David A.; Jakosky, Bruce M. Bibcode: 2015DPS....4741913D Altcode: The 3-D Mars multi-fluid Block Adaptive Tree Solar-wind Roe Upwind Scheme (BATS-R-US) MHD code is used to study the solar wind interaction with the Martian upper atmosphere during the MAVEN Deep Dip campaigns. MAVEN made the first comprehensive measurements of Martian thermosphere and ionosphere composition, structure, and variability at altitudes down to ~130 km in the subsolar region during the second of its Deep Dip campaigns. MAVEN will start its fourth Deep Dip campaign this September and a large quantity of useful data will be returned for this study as well. In this study we adopt the MAVEN measurements as the multi-fluid MHD inputs. The estimated solar wind density and velocity, the estimated interplanetary magnetic field (IMF), and the exactly measured neutral atmosphere profile are taken from the SWIA, MAG and NGIMS instruments, respectively. We will compare the calculated ionosphere ion profiles with the NGIMS measurements. In the meantime, we will show the calculations of the global ion escape rates based upon actual measured neutral atmosphere profiles during the MAVEN Deep Dip campaigns. Title: Comparison of 3D kinetic and hydrodynamic models to ROSINA-COPS measurements of the neutral coma of 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko Authors: Bieler, Andre; Altwegg, Kathrin; Balsiger, Hans; Berthelier, Jean-Jacques; Calmonte, Ursina; Combi, Michael; De Keyser, Johan; Fiethe, Björn; Fougere, Nicolas; Fuselier, Stephen; Gasc, Sébastien; Gombosi, Tamas; Hansen, Kenneth; Hässig, Myrtha; Huang, Zhenguang; Jäckel, Annette; Jia, Xianzhe; Le Roy, Lena; Mall, Urs A.; Rème, Henri; Rubin, Martin; Tenishev, Valeriy; Tóth, Gábor; Tzou, Chia-Yu; Wurz, Peter Bibcode: 2015A&A...583A...7B Altcode: 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko (67P) is a Jupiter-family comet and the object of investigation of the European Space Agency mission Rosetta. This report presents the first full 3D simulation results of 67P's neutral gas coma. In this study we include results from a direct simulation Monte Carlo method, a hydrodynamic code, and a purely geometric calculation which computes the total illuminated surface area on the nucleus. All models include the triangulated 3D shape model of 67P as well as realistic illumination and shadowing conditions. The basic concept is the assumption that these illumination conditions on the nucleus are the main driver for the gas activity of the comet. As a consequence, the total production rate of 67P varies as a function of solar insolation. The best agreement between the model and the data is achieved when gas fluxes on the night side are in the range of 7% to 10% of the maximum flux, accounting for contributions from the most volatile components. To validate the output of our numerical simulations we compare the results of all three models to in situ gas number density measurements from the ROSINA COPS instrument. We are able to reproduce the overall features of these local neutral number density measurements of ROSINA COPS for the time period between early August 2014 and January 1 2015 with all three models. Some details in the measurements are not reproduced and warrant further investigation and refinement of the models. However, the overall assumption that illumination conditions on the nucleus are at least an important driver of the gas activity is validated by the models. According to our simulation results we find the total production rate of 67P to be constant between August and November 2014 with a value of about 1 × 1026 molecules s-1. Title: MHD model results of solar wind interaction with Mars and comparison with MAVEN plasma observations Authors: Ma, Y. J.; Russell, C. T.; Fang, X.; Dong, Y.; Nagy, A. F.; Toth, G.; Halekas, J. S.; Connerney, J. E. P.; Espley, J. R.; Mahaffy, P. R.; Benna, M.; McFadden, J. P.; Mitchell, D. L.; Jakosky, B. M. Bibcode: 2015GeoRL..42.9113M Altcode: The Mars Atmosphere and Volatile EvolutioN mission (MAVEN), launched on 18 November 2013, is now in its primary science phase, orbiting Mars with a 4.5 h period. In this study, we use a time-dependent MHD model to interpret plasma observations made by MAVEN particle and field instruments. Detailed comparisons between the model and the relevant plasma observations from MAVEN are presented for an entire Mars rotation under relatively quiet solar wind conditions. Through comparison along MAVEN orbits, we find that the time-dependent multispecies single-fluid MHD model is able to reproduce the main features of the plasma environment around Mars. Using the model results, we find that photoionization beyond the terminator is the dominant ion source as compared with day-night transport in maintaining the nightside ionosphere. Model results also show that both the time-varying solar wind conditions and the continuously rotating crustal field work together to control the ion escape variation with time. Title: Three-dimensional kinetic modeling of the neutral and charged dust in the coma of Rosetta’s target comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko Authors: Tenishev, Valeriy; Borovikov, Dmitry; Combi, Michael R.; Fougere, Nicolas; Huang, Zhenguang; Bieler, Andre; Hansen, Kenneth; Toth, Gabor; Jia, Xianzhe; Shou, Yinsi; Gombosi, Tamas; Rubin, Martin; Rotundi, Alessandra; Della Corte, Vincenzo Bibcode: 2015DPS....4750309T Altcode: Rosetta is the first mission that escorts a comet along its way through the Solar System for an extended amount of time. As a result, the target of the mission, comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko, is an object of great scientific interest.Dust ejected from the nucleus is entrained into the coma by the escaping gas. Interacting with the ambient plasma the dust particles are charged by the electron and ion collection currents. The photo and secondary emission currents can also change the particle charge. The resulting Lorentz force together with the gas drag, gravity, and radiation pressure define the dust particle trajectories.At altitudes comparable to those of the Rosetta trajectory, direction of a dust particle velocity can be significantly different from that in the innermost vicinity of the coma near the nucleus. At such altitudes the angular distribution of the dust grains velocity has a pronounced tail-like structure. This is consistent with Rosetta’s GIADA dust observations showing dust grains moving in the anti-sunward direction.Here, we present results of our model study of the neutral and charged dust in the coma of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko, combining the University of Michigan AMPS kinetic particle model and the BATSRUS MHD model. Trajectories of dust particles within the observable size range of Rosetta’s GIADA dust instrument have been calculated accounting for the radiation pressure, gas drag, the nucleus gravity, the Lorentz force, and the effect of the nucleus rotation. The dust grain electric charge is calculated by balancing the collection currents at the grain’s location. We present angular velocity distribution maps of these charged dust grains for a few locations representative of Rosetta's trajectory around the comet.This work was supported by US Rosetta project contracts JPL-1266313 and JPL-1266314 and NASA Planetary Atmospheres grant NNX14AG84G Title: Multifluid MHD study of the solar wind interaction with Mars' upper atmosphere during the 2015 March 8th ICME event Authors: Dong, Chuanfei; Ma, Yingjuan; Bougher, Stephen W.; Toth, Gabor; Nagy, Andrew F.; Halekas, Jasper S.; Dong, Yaxue; Curry, Shannon M.; Luhmann, Janet G.; Brain, David; Connerney, Jack E. P.; Espley, Jared; Mahaffy, Paul; Benna, Mehdi; McFadden, James P.; Mitchell, David L.; DiBraccio, Gina A.; Lillis, Robert J.; Jakosky, Bruce M.; Grebowsky, Joseph M. Bibcode: 2015GeoRL..42.9103D Altcode: We study the solar wind interaction with the Martian upper atmosphere during the 8 March 2015 interplanetary coronal mass ejection (ICME) by using a global multifluid MHD model. Comparison of the simulation results with observations from Mars Atmosphere and Volatile EvolutioN (MAVEN) spacecraft shows good agreement. The total ion escape rate is increased by an order of magnitude, from 2.05 × 1024 s-1 (pre-ICME phase) to 2.25 × 1025 s-1 (ICME sheath phase), during this time period. Two major ion escape channels are illustrated: accelerated pickup ion loss through the dayside plume and ionospheric ion loss through the nightside plasma wake region. Interestingly, the tailward ion loss is significantly increased at the ejecta phase. Both bow shock and magnetic pileup boundary (BS and MPB) locations are decreased from (1.2RM, 1.57RM) at the pre-ICME phase to (1.16RM, 1.47RM), respectively, during the sheath phase along the dayside Mars-Sun line. Furthermore, both simulation and observational results indicate that there is no significant variation in the Martian ionosphere (at altitudes ≲ 200 km, i.e., the photochemical region) during this event. Title: 3D DSMC Modeling of the Coma of Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko Observed by the VIRTIS and ROSINA instruments Authors: Fougere, N.; Combi, M. R.; Tenishev, V.; Bieler, A.; Toth, G.; Huang, Z.; Gombosi, T. I.; Hansen, K. C.; Capaccioni, F.; Filacchione, G.; Migliorini, A.; Bockelée-Morvan, D.; Debout, V.; Erard, S.; Leyrat, C.; Fink, U.; Rubin, M.; Altwegg, K.; Tzou, C. -Y.; Le Roy, L. Bibcode: 2015EPSC...10..344F Altcode: Since its rendez-vous with comet 67P/Chruryumov- Gerasimenko (CG), the Rosetta spacecraft has provided invaluable information contributing to our understanding of the cometary environment. On board, the VIRTIS and ROSINA instruments can both measure gas parameters in the rarefied cometary atmosphere, the coma, and provide complementary results with remote sensing and in-situ measurements, respectively. The use of a numerical model is a way to correlate the information provided by both VIRTIS and ROSINA to fully understand the volatile environment of comet CG. To describe the entire coma including the regions where collisions cannot maintain the flow in a fluid regime, the use of a kinetic method is necessary. Here, the Direct Simulation Monte-Carlo (DSMC) approach is applied to the cometary coma to solve the Boltzmann equation [1] using the Adaptive Mesh Particle Simulator (AMPS) code [2], [3], [4], [5], and then compared with VIRTIS and ROSINA data. Title: Four-fluid MHD Simulations of the Plasma and Neutral Gas Environment of Comet Churyumov-Gerasimenko Near Perihelion Authors: Huang, Z.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T.; Jia, X.; Rubin, M.; Fougere, N.; Tenishev, V.; Combi, M.; Bieler, A.; Hansen, K.; Shou, Y.; Altwegg, K. Bibcode: 2015EPSC...10..406H Altcode: We develop a 3-D four fluid model to study the plasma environment of comet Churyumov- Gerasimenko (CG), which is the target of the Rosetta mission. Our model is based on BATS-R-US within the SWMF (Space Weather Modeling Framework) that solves the governing multifluid MHD equations and and the Euler equations for the neutral gas fluid. These equations describe the behavior and interactions of the cometary heavy ions, the solar wind protons, the electrons, and the neutrals. This model incorporates mass loading processes, including photo and electron impact ionization, furthermore taken into account are charge exchange, dissociative ion-electron recombination, as well as collisional interactions between different fluids. We simulate the near nucleus plasma and neutral gas environment with a realistic shape model of CG near perihelion and compare our simulation results with Rosetta observations. Title: MHD Model Results of Solar Wind Plasma Interaction with Mars and Comparison with MAVEN Observations during Quiet Solar Wind Conditions Authors: Ma, Y.; Russell, C.; Nagy, A. F.; Toth, G.; Halekas, J. S.; Connerney, J. E. P.; Espley, J. R.; Mahaffy, P. R.; Benna, Mhedi; McFadden, James Bibcode: 2015EPSC...10..316M Altcode: The Mars Atmosphere and Volatile Evolution mission (MAVEN), launched on November 18, 2013, is now in its primary science phase, orbiting Mars with a 4.5 hour period. In this presentation, we show detailed comparisons between the MHD model results and the relevant plasma observations from MAVEN during quiet solar wind conditions. Through comparison with relevant observation along MAVEN orbits, we find that in general, the time-dependent multi-species MHD model reproduces very well the plasma interaction process around Mars. Title: Constraining the pickup ion abundance and temperature through the multifluid reconstruction of the Voyager 2 termination shock crossing Authors: Zieger, Bertalan; Opher, Merav; Tóth, Gábor; Decker, Robert B.; Richardson, John D. Bibcode: 2015JGRA..120.7130Z Altcode: Voyager 2 observations revealed that the hot solar wind ions (the so-called pickup ions) play a dominant role in the thermodynamics of the termination shock and the heliosheath. The number density and temperature of this hot population, however, have remained unknown, since the plasma instrument on board Voyager 2 can only detect the colder thermal ion component. Here we show that due to the multifluid nature of the plasma, the fast magnetosonic mode splits into a low-frequency fast mode and a high-frequency fast mode. The coupling between the two fast modes results in a quasi-stationary nonlinear wave mode, the "oscilliton," which creates a large-amplitude trailing wave train downstream of the thermal ion shock. By fitting multifluid shock wave solutions to the shock structure observed by Voyager 2, we are able to constrain both the abundance and the temperature of the undetected pickup ions. In our three-fluid model, we take into account the nonnegligible partial pressure of suprathermal energetic electrons (0.022-1.5 MeV) observed by the Low-Energy Charged Particle Experiment instrument on board Voyager 2. The best fitting simulation suggests a pickup ion abundance of 20 ± 3%, an upstream pickup ion temperature of 13.4 ± 2 MK, and a hot electron population with an apparent temperature of ~0.83 MK. We conclude that the actual shock transition is a subcritical dispersive shock wave with low Mach number and high plasma β. Title: Solar wind interaction with the Martian upper atmosphere: Crustal field orientation, solar cycle, and seasonal variations Authors: Dong, Chuanfei; Bougher, Stephen W.; Ma, Yingjuan; Toth, Gabor; Lee, Yuni; Nagy, Andrew F.; Tenishev, Valeriy; Pawlowski, Dave J.; Combi, Michael R.; Najib, Dalal Bibcode: 2015JGRA..120.7857D Altcode: A comprehensive study of the solar wind interaction with the Martian upper atmosphere is presented. Three global models: the 3-D Mars multifluid Block Adaptive Tree Solar-wind Roe Upwind Scheme MHD code (MF-MHD), the 3-D Mars Global Ionosphere Thermosphere Model (M-GITM), and the Mars exosphere Monte Carlo model Adaptive Mesh Particle Simulator (M-AMPS) were used in this study. These models are one-way coupled; i.e., the MF-MHD model uses the 3-D neutral inputs from M-GITM and the 3-D hot oxygen corona distribution from M-AMPS. By adopting this one-way coupling approach, the Martian upper atmosphere ion escape rates are investigated in detail with the combined variations of crustal field orientation, solar cycle, and Martian seasonal conditions. The calculated ion escape rates are compared with Mars Express observational data and show reasonable agreement. The variations in solar cycles and seasons can affect the ion loss by a factor of ∼3.3 and ∼1.3, respectively. The crustal magnetic field has a shielding effect to protect Mars from solar wind interaction, and this effect is the strongest for perihelion conditions, with the crustal field facing the Sun. Furthermore, the fraction of cold escaping heavy ionospheric molecular ions [(O2+ and/or O2+)/Total] are inversely proportional to the fraction of the escaping (ionospheric and corona) atomic ion [O+/Total], whereas O2+ and O2+ ion escape fractions show a positive linear correlation since both ion species are ionospheric ions that follow the same escaping path. Title: The Plasma Environment in Comets over a Wide Range of Heliocentric Distances: Application to Comet C/2006 P1 (McNaught) Authors: Shou, Y.; Combi, M.; Jia, Y. -D.; Gombosi, T.; Toth, G.; Rubin, M. Bibcode: 2015ApJ...809..156S Altcode: On 2007 January 12, comet C/2006 P1 (McNaught) passed its perihelion at 0.17 AU. Abundant remote observations offer plenty of information on the neutral composition and neutral velocities within 1 million kilometers of the comet nucleus. In early February, the Ulysses spacecraft made an in situ measurement of the ion composition, plasma velocity, and magnetic field when passing through the distant ion tail and the ambient solar wind. The measurement by Ulysses was made when the comet was at around 0.8 AU. With the constraints provided by remote and in situ observations, we simulated the plasma environment of Comet C/2006 P1 (McNaught) using a multi-species comet MHD model over a wide range of heliocentric distances from 0.17 to 1.75 AU. The solar wind interaction of the comet at various locations is characterized and typical subsolar standoff distances of the bow shock and contact surface are presented and compared to analytic solutions. We find the variation in the bow shock standoff distances at different heliocentric distances is smaller than the contact surface. In addition, we modified the multi-species model for the case when the comet was at 0.7 AU and achieved comparable water group ion abundances, proton densities, plasma velocities, and plasma temperatures to the Ulysses/SWICS and SWOOPS observations. We discuss the dominating chemical reactions throughout the comet-solar wind interaction region and demonstrate the link between the ion composition near the comet and in the distant tail as measured by Ulysses. Title: Solar Cycle Variation of the Magnetic Field Strength and Magnetic Dissipation Effects in the Heliosheath Authors: Michael, Adam Thomas; Opher, Merav; Provornikova, Elena; Richardson, John; Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 2015shin.confE..81M Altcode: We investigate the role the 11-year solar cycle variation of the magnetic field strength as well as magnetic dissipation effects have on the flows within the heliosheath using a global 3D magnetohydrodynamic model of the heliosphere. We use time and latitude-dependent solar wind velocity and density inferred from SOHO/SWAN and IPS data and implemented solar cycle variations of the magnetic field derived from 27-day averages of the field magnitude average of the magnetic field at 1 AU from the OMNI database. This model predicts Voyager 1 (V1) and 2 (V2) will observe similar plasma parameters within the HS. While this model accurately predicts the observations at V2, it does not reproduce the decrease in radial velocity or drop in magnetic flux observed by V1. This implies that the solar cycle variations in solar wind magnetic field observed at 1 AU do not cause the order of magnitude decrease in magnetic flux observed in the V1 data. We describe the solar wind magnetic field as a monopole, to remove the heliospheric current sheet (HCS), with the magnetic field aligned with that of the interstellar medium. This diminishes any numerical reconnection at the ISM - solar wind interface as well as within the heliosheath itself. We compare our model to the same model describing the solar wind magnetic field as a dipole. In the dipole case, there is an intrinsic loss of magnetic energy near the HCS due to reconnection. This reconnection is numerical since we do not include real resistivity in the model. The comparison of the two models allows for an estimation of the effects of reconnection in the HS. We compare both models to observations along V1 and V2 and discuss whether magnetic dissipation is a significant process affecting the flows within the heliosheath. Title: The role of the Hall effect in the global structure and dynamics of planetary magnetospheres: Ganymede as a case study Authors: Dorelli, J. C.; Glocer, Alex; Collinson, Glyn; Tóth, Gábor Bibcode: 2015JGRA..120.5377D Altcode: 2015arXiv150100501D We present high-resolution Hall MHD simulations of Ganymede's magnetosphere demonstrating that Hall electric fields in ion-scale magnetic reconnection layers have significant global effects not captured in resistive MHD simulations. Consistent with local kinetic simulations of magnetic reconnection, our global simulations show the development of intense field-aligned currents along the magnetic separatrices. These currents extend all the way down to the moon's surface, where they may contribute to Ganymede's aurora. Within the magnetopause and magnetotail current sheets, Hall J × B forces accelerate ions to the local Alfvén speed in the out-of-plane direction, producing a global system of ion drift belts that circulates Jovian magnetospheric plasma throughout Ganymede's magnetosphere. We discuss some observable consequences of these Hall-induced currents and ion drifts: the appearance of a sub-Jovian "double magnetopause" structure, an Alfvénic ion jet extending across the upstream magnetopause, and an asymmetric pattern of magnetopause Kelvin-Helmholtz waves. Title: Polar Jet Simulation with the Alfvén Wave Solar Model (AWSoM) Authors: Szente, Judit; Toth, Gabor; van der Holst, Bart; DeVore, C. Richard; Gombosi, Tamas Bibcode: 2015shin.confE..87S Altcode: Coronal jets are being observed by multiple instruments at multiple wavelengths (SOHO, Yohkoh, STEREO, Hinode [Paraschiv (2010, 2015)]). Studying polar jets can lead to an improved understanding of the relations between magnetic field topology and reconnection as well as solar wind heating and acceleration.The thermodynamical evolution of the plasma is the focus of our work. We introduce a slowly accelerated rotating bipole field in the open region of the background magnetic field. Similar magnetic topology is also implied in observations. Our aim is to implement the formation and evolution of polar jets in the coronal hole region starting from the chromosphere up to the outer corona. The simulations show small-scale eruptive reconnection events. The self-consistent heating and acceleration of the solar wind in the AWSoM model [van der Holst (2014)] provides the opportunity to study the energetics of the jet phenomena. This study leads to the possibility of quantitative comparison of the simulation results to X-ray, EUV or white light observations. Title: The two-way relationship between ionospheric outflow and the ring current Authors: Welling, D. T.; Jordanova, V. K.; Glocer, A.; Toth, G.; Liemohn, M. W.; Weimer, D. R. Bibcode: 2015JGRA..120.4338W Altcode: It is now well established that the ionosphere, because it acts as a significant source of plasma, plays a critical role in ring current dynamics. However, because the ring current deposits energy into the ionosphere, the inverse may also be true: the ring current can play a critical role in the dynamics of ionospheric outflow. This study uses a set of coupled, first-principles-based numerical models to test the dependence of ionospheric outflow on ring current-driven region 2 field-aligned currents (FACs). A moderate magnetospheric storm event is modeled with the Space Weather Modeling Framework using a global MHD code (Block Adaptive Tree Solar wind Roe-type Upwind Scheme, BATS-R-US), a polar wind model (Polar Wind Outflow Model), and a bounce-averaged kinetic ring current model (ring current atmosphere interaction model with self-consistent magnetic field, RAM-SCB). Initially, each code is two-way coupled to all others except for RAM-SCB, which receives inputs from the other models but is not allowed to feed back pressure into the MHD model. The simulation is repeated with pressure coupling activated, which drives strong pressure gradients and region 2 FACs in BATS-R-US. It is found that the region 2 FACs increase heavy ion outflow by up to 6 times over the noncoupled results. The additional outflow further energizes the ring current, establishing an ionosphere-magnetosphere mass feedback loop. This study further demonstrates that ionospheric outflow is not merely a plasma source for the magnetosphere but an integral part in the nonlinear ionosphere-magnetosphere-ring current system. Title: Global MHD simulations of Mercury's magnetosphere with coupled planetary interior: Induction effect of the planetary conducting core on the global interaction Authors: Jia, Xianzhe; Slavin, James A.; Gombosi, Tamas I.; Daldorff, Lars K. S.; Toth, Gabor; Holst, Bart Bibcode: 2015JGRA..120.4763J Altcode: Mercury's comparatively weak intrinsic magnetic field and its close proximity to the Sun lead to a magnetosphere that undergoes more direct space-weathering interactions than other planets. A unique aspect of Mercury's interaction system arises from the large ratio of the scale of the planet to the scale of the magnetosphere and the presence of a large-size core composed of highly conducting material. Consequently, there is strong feedback between the planetary interior and the magnetosphere, especially under conditions of strong external forcing. Understanding the coupled solar wind-magnetosphere-interior interaction at Mercury requires not only analysis of observations but also a modeling framework that is both comprehensive and inclusive. We have developed a new global MHD model for Mercury in which the planetary interior is modeled as layers of different electrical conductivities that electromagnetically couple to the surrounding plasma environment. This new modeling capability allows us to characterize the dynamical response of Mercury to time-varying external conditions in a self-consistent manner. Comparison of our model results with observations by the MErcury Surface, Space ENvironment, GEochemistry, and Ranging (MESSENGER) spacecraft shows that the model provides a reasonably good representation of the global magnetosphere. To demonstrate the capability to model induction effects, we have performed idealized simulations in which Mercury's magnetosphere is impacted by a solar wind pressure enhancement. Our results show that due to the induction effect, Mercury's core exerts strong global influences on the way Mercury responds to changes in the external environment, including modifying the global magnetospheric structure and affecting the extent to which the solar wind directly impacts the surface. The global MHD model presented here represents a crucial step toward establishing a modeling framework that enables self-consistent characterization of Mercury's tightly coupled planetary interior-magnetosphere system. Title: Assessing the role of oxygen on ring current formation and evolution through numerical experiments Authors: Ilie, R.; Liemohn, M. W.; Toth, G.; Yu Ganushkina, N.; Daldorff, L. K. S. Bibcode: 2015JGRA..120.4656I Altcode: We address the effect of ionospheric outflow and magnetospheric ion composition on the physical processes that control the development of the 5 August 2011 magnetic storm. Simulations with the Space Weather Modeling Framework are used to investigate the global dynamics and energization of ions throughout the magnetosphere during storm time, with a focus on the formation and evolution of the ring current. Simulations involving multifluid (with variable H+/O+ ratio in the inner magnetosphere) and single-fluid (with constant H+/O+ ratio in the inner magnetosphere) MHD for the global magnetosphere with inner boundary conditions set either by specifying a constant ion density or by physics-based calculations of the ion fluxes reveal that dynamical changes of the ion composition in the inner magnetosphere alter the total energy density of the magnetosphere, leading to variations in the magnetic field as well as particle drifts throughout the simulated domain. A low oxygen to hydrogen ratio and outflow resulting from a constant ion density boundary produced the most disturbed magnetosphere, leading to a stronger ring current but misses the timing of the storm development. Conversely, including a physics-based solution for the ionospheric outflow to the magnetosphere system leads to a reduction in the cross-polar cap potential (CPCP). The increased presence of oxygen in the inner magnetosphere affects the global magnetospheric structure and dynamics and brings the nightside reconnection point closer to the Earth. The combination of reduced CPCP together with the formation of the reconnection line closer to the Earth yields less adiabatic heating in the magnetotail and reduces the amount of energetic plasma that has access to the inner magnetosphere. Title: Stellar winds on the main-sequence. I. Wind model Authors: Johnstone, C. P.; Güdel, M.; Lüftinger, T.; Toth, G.; Brott, I. Bibcode: 2015A&A...577A..27J Altcode: 2015arXiv150306669J
Aims: We develop a method for estimating the properties of stellar winds for low-mass main-sequence stars between masses of 0.4 M and 1.1 M at a range of distances from the star.
Methods: We use 1D thermal pressure driven hydrodynamic wind models run using the Versatile Advection Code. Using in situ measurements of the solar wind, we produce models for the slow and fast components of the solar wind. We consider two radically different methods for scaling the base temperature of the wind to other stars: in Model A, we assume that wind temperatures are fundamentally linked to coronal temperatures, and in Model B, we assume that the sound speed at the base of the wind is a fixed fraction of the escape velocity. In Paper II of this series, we use observationally constrained rotational evolution models to derive wind mass loss rates.
Results: Our model for the solar wind provides an excellent description of the real solar wind far from the solar surface, but is unrealistic within the solar corona. We run a grid of 1200 wind models to derive relations for the wind properties as a function of stellar mass, radius, and wind temperature. Using these results, we explore how wind properties depend on stellar mass and rotation.
Conclusions: Based on our two assumptions about the scaling of the wind temperature, we argue that there is still significant uncertainty in how these properties should be determined. Resolution of this uncertainty will probably require both the application of solar wind physics to other stars and detailed observational constraints on the properties of stellar winds. In the final section of this paper, we give step by step instructions for how to apply our results to calculate the stellar wind conditions far from the stellar surface. Title: Self-consistent multifluid MHD simulations of Europa's exospheric interaction with Jupiter's magnetosphere Authors: Rubin, M.; Jia, X.; Altwegg, K.; Combi, M. R.; Daldorff, L. K. S.; Gombosi, T. I.; Khurana, K.; Kivelson, M. G.; Tenishev, V. M.; Tóth, G.; Holst, B.; Wurz, P. Bibcode: 2015JGRA..120.3503R Altcode: The Jovian moon, Europa, hosts a thin neutral gas atmosphere, which is tightly coupled to Jupiter's magnetosphere. Magnetospheric ions impacting the surface sputter off neutral atoms, which, upon ionization, carry currents that modify the magnetic field around the moon. The magnetic field in the plasma is also affected by Europa's induced magnetic field. In this paper we investigate the environment of Europa using our multifluid MHD model and focus on the effects introduced by both the magnetospheric and the pickup ion populations. The model self-consistently derives the electron temperature that governs the electron impact ionization process, which is the major source of ionization in this environment. The resulting magnetic field is compared to measurements performed by the Galileo magnetometer, the bulk properties of the modeled thermal plasma population is compared to the Galileo Plasma Subsystem observations, and the modeled surface precipitation fluxes are compared to Galileo Ultraviolet Spectrometer observations. The model shows good agreement with the measured magnetic field and reproduces the basic features of the plasma interaction observed at the moon for both the E4 and the E26 flybys of the Galileo spacecraft. The simulation also produces perturbations asymmetric about the flow direction that account for observed asymmetries. Title: What Controls the Structure and Dynamics of Earth's Magnetosphere? Authors: Eastwood, J. P.; Hietala, H.; Toth, G.; Phan, T. D.; Fujimoto, M. Bibcode: 2015SSRv..188..251E Altcode: 2014SSRv..tmp...20E Unlike most cosmic plasma structures, planetary magnetospheres can be extensively studied in situ. In particular, studies of the Earth's magnetosphere over the past few decades have resulted in a relatively good experimental understanding of both its basic structural properties and its response to changes in the impinging solar wind. In this article we provide a broad overview, designed for researchers unfamiliar with magnetospheric physics, of the main processes and parameters that control the structure and dynamics of planetary magnetospheres, especially the Earth's. In particular, we concentrate on the structure and dynamics of three important regions: the bow shock, the magnetopause and the magnetotail. In the final part of this review we describe the current status of global magnetospheric modelling, which is crucial to placing in situ observations in the proper context and providing a better understanding of magnetospheric structure and dynamics under all possible input conditions. Although the parameter regime experienced in the solar system is limited, the plasma physics that is learned by studying planetary magnetospheres can, in principle, be translated to more general studies of cosmic plasma structures. Conversely, studies of cosmic plasma under a wide range of conditions should be used to understand Earth's magnetosphere under extreme conditions. We conclude the review by discussing this and summarizing some general properties and principles that may be applied to studies of other cosmic plasma structures. Title: Plasma and wave properties downstream of Martian bow shock: Hybrid simulations and MAVEN observations Authors: Dong, Chuanfei; Winske, Dan; Cowee, Misa; Bougher, Stephen W.; Andersson, Laila; Connerney, Jack; Epley, Jared; Ergun, Robert; McFadden, James P.; Ma, Yingjuan; Toth, Gabor; Curry, Shannon; Nagy, Andrew; Jakosky, Bruce Bibcode: 2015TESS....130502D Altcode: Two-dimensional hybrid simulation codes are employed to investigate the kinetic properties of plasmas and waves downstream of the Martian bow shock. The simulations are two-dimensional in space but three dimensional in field and velocity components. Simulations show that ion cyclotron waves are generated by temperature anisotropy resulting from the reflected protons around the Martian bow shock. These proton cyclotron waves could propagate downward into the Martian ionosphere and are expected to heat the O+ layer peaked from 250 to 300 km due to the wave-particle interaction. The proton cyclotron wave heating is anticipated to be a significant source of energy into the thermosphere, which impacts atmospheric escape rates. The simulation results show that the specific dayside heating altitude depends on the Martian crustal field orientations, solar cycles and seasonal variations since both the cyclotron resonance condition and the non/sub-resonant stochastic heating threshold depend on the ambient magnetic field strength. The dayside magnetic field profiles for different crustal field orientation, solar cycle and seasonal variations are adopted from the BATS-R-US Mars multi-fluid MHD model. The simulation results, however, show that the heating of O+ via proton cyclotron wave resonant interaction is not likely in the relatively weak crustal field region, based on our simplified model. This indicates that either the drift motion resulted from the transport of ionospheric O+, or the non/sub-resonant stochastic heating mechanism are important to explain the heating of Martian O+ layer. We will investigate this further by comparing the simulation results with the available MAVEN data. These simulated ion cyclotron waves are important to explain the heating of Martian O+ layer and have significant implications for future observations. Title: Lifetime of the Fossil Field in Titan's Ionosphere Authors: Ma, Yingjuan; Russell, Christopher T.; Wei, Hanying; Nagy, Andrew F.; Toth, Gabor; Dougherty, Michele K.; Coates, Andrew J.; Wahlund, Jan-Erik; Edberg, Niklas J. T. Bibcode: 2015EGUGA..17.6940M Altcode: Cassini spacecraft has made more than 100 Titan flybys since October 2004. Among these flybys, there are a few special ones (T32, T42, T85, T96). During or shortly before periapsis on these encounters, Titan was found to be outside the Saturnian magnetosphere, in the magnetosheath region or directly exposed in the solar wind. During the T32 flyby, the first magnetosheath encounter, simulation results and observations clearly demonstrated the existence of fossil field, because the magnetic field direction in the magnetosheath region was opposite to the field orientation surrounding Titan when it had been inside the Saturnian magnetosphere. However, because Cassini passed by Titan shortly after the magnetopause crossing, this flyby only provides a lower limit of the lifetime of the fossil field. Quantifying the lifetime of the fossil field has important implications for understanding the magnetic field of other Titan flybys. Since the plasma is highly dynamic in Saturn's outer magnetosphere, even though the ambient plasma condition is not changing as dramatically as discussed in the presented flyby, Titan's ionosphere could still record some of those changes so that the observed field in the deep ionosphere might have very complicated signatures. The same behavior could also occur at Venus and Mars (in the weak crustal field region), which would help us to understand the complicated magnetic signatures in un-magnetized planetary ionospheres. In this paper, we present observations and simulation results for the other three Titan flybys to provide a better constraint on the lifetime of the fossil field in Titan's ionosphere. Title: Magnetic Flux Conservation in the Heliosheath Including Solar Cycle Variations of Magnetic Field Intensity Authors: Michael, A. T.; Opher, M.; Provornikova, E.; Richardson, J. D.; Tóth, G. Bibcode: 2015ApJ...803L...6M Altcode: In the heliosheath (HS), Voyager 2 has observed a flow with constant radial velocity and magnetic flux conservation. Voyager 1, however, has observed a decrease in the flow’s radial velocity and an order of magnitude decrease in magnetic flux. We investigate the role of the 11 yr solar cycle variation of the magnetic field strength on the magnetic flux within the HS using a global 3D magnetohydrodynamic model of the heliosphere. We use time and latitude-dependent solar wind velocity and density inferred from Solar and Heliospheric Observatory/SWAN and interplanetary scintillations data and implemented solar cycle variations of the magnetic field derived from 27 day averages of the field magnitude average of the magnetic field at 1 AU from the OMNI database. With the inclusion of the solar cycle time-dependent magnetic field intensity, the model matches the observed intensity of the magnetic field in the HS along both Voyager 1 and 2. This is a significant improvement from the same model without magnetic field solar cycle variations, which was over a factor of two larger. The model accurately predicts the radial velocity observed by Voyager 2; however, the model predicts a flow speed ∼100 km s-1 larger than that derived from LECP measurements at Voyager 1. In the model, magnetic flux is conserved along both Voyager trajectories, contrary to observations. This implies that the solar cycle variations in solar wind magnetic field observed at 1 AU does not cause the order of magnitude decrease in magnetic flux observed in the Voyager 1 data. Title: Real-time SWMF-Geospace: A New Website Enabling Community Use Authors: Liemohn, Michael; De Zeeuw, Darren; Kopmanis, Jeff; Ganushkina, Natalia; Welling, Daniel; Toth, Gabor; Ridley, Aaron; Ilie, Raluca; Gombosi, Tamas; Kuznetsova, Maria M.; Maddox, Marlo; Rastaetter, Lutz Bibcode: 2015TESS....120005L Altcode: An experimental real-time simulation of the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) is conducted at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC), (http://ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/realtime.php) and also through the CCMC's Integrated Space Weather Analysis (iSWA) site (http://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystemWebApp/). Presently, two configurations of the SWMF are running in real time at CCMC, both focusing on the geospace modules, using the BATS-R-US magnetohydrodynamic model, the Ridley Ionosphere Model, and with and without the Rice Convection Model for inner magnetospheric drift physics. The model output includes result extractions along satellite trajectories as well as magnetic perturbation vectors at ground-based station locations. Here we unveil a new website (http://csem.engin.umich.edu/realtime) to highlight these real-time model results conducted by the CCMC, present some basic data-model comparisons with real-time observations, and archive the accuracy of this continuously-available simulation. Title: Instantaneous configuration of the geomagnetic field inferred from the low-altitude isotropic boundaries: modeling and observations Authors: Ilie, Raluca; Ganushkina, Natalia; Toth, Gabor; Liemohn, Michael Bibcode: 2015TESS....120601I Altcode: Understanding the interplay between ionospheric, auroral and magnetospheric phenomena requires detailed knowledge of Earth’s magnetic field geometry under various solar wind conditions. This geometry is directly relevant to the magnetic field mapping between different regions of near-Earth space.To evaluate the instantaneous geomagnetic field configuration we probe the isotropic boundaries (IB) of energetic particles measured at low altitudes. Those are interpreted as the boundary between the regions of adiabatic and stochastic particle motion in the equatorial magnetotail and provide information regarding the degree of magnetic field stretching.We investigate the topology and dynamics of the magnetotail current during active and quiet times as de- pendent on solar wind and IMF parameters based on NOAA/POES MEPED and DMSP SSJ/4 measurements in combination with global magnetospheric simulations using the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF).The extensive NOAA/POES MEPED low-altitude data sets give the locations of isotropic boundaries, which are used to extract information regarding particle distributions and field structure in the source regions in the magnetosphere.We present a comparison between the magnetic field lines with the observed IB latitude and those com- puted from the SWMF using the theoretical relation for IB locations in the magnetotail, i.e. where the ratio between curvature radius and Larmor radius is close to 8. This investigation assesses the accuracy of the model magnetic field and the structure of the magnetotail. The results are examined in relation to the solar wind and IMF conditions to determine the corresponding configuration and dynamics of the magnetotail. Title: The Heterogeneous Coma of Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko from Rosetta Observations Authors: Fougere, Nicolas; Tenishev, Valeriy; Bieler, Andre; Combi, Michael; Gombosi, Tamas; Toth, Gabor; Hansen, Kenneth; Shou, Yinsi; Huang, Zhenguang; Jia, Xianzhe; Rubin, Martin; Altwegg, Kathrin; Wurz, Peter; Balsiger, Hans; Jaeckel, Annette; Le Roy, Lena; Gasc, Sebastien; Calmonte, Ursina; Tzou, Chia-Yu; Hässig, Myrtha; Fuselier, Stephen; De Keyser, Johan; Berthelier, Jean-Jacques; Mall, Urs; Rème, Henri; Fiethe, Bjorn Bibcode: 2015EGUGA..17.4695F Altcode: Since its orbit insertion around comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko (CG), the Rosetta spacecraft has revealed invaluable information regarding the cometary coma environment. The prolonged period of observation enabled a relatively extensive spatial coverage of comet CG's coma, which showed distinct spatial distributions for different species. We introduce a fully 3D kinetic model performed with the Direct Simulation Monte-Carlo approach of the H2O, CO, and CO2 coma of comet CG using the Adaptive Mesh Particle Simulator code with the shape model of the Rosetta nucleus. The model allows the description of the full coma of comet CG including the regions where collisions cannot maintain a flow that can be described by a fluid. The model is constrained by Rosetta observations giving clues regarding the gas release of the different species. This constitutes the most advanced coma model of comet CG, which is critical to interpret instrument data and for further mission planning. Title: MHD Model Results of Solar Wind Plasma Interaction with Mars and Comparison with MAVEN Observations Authors: Ma, Y. J.; Russell, C. T.; Nagy, A. F.; Toth, G.; Halekas, J. S.; Connerney, J. E. P.; Espley, J. R.; Mahaffy, P. R. Bibcode: 2015LPI....46.1202M Altcode: 2015LPICo1832.1202M This study investigates in detail how plasma properties in Mars ionosphere are influenced locally by the crustal field and its rotation. Title: A 3D Description of the Coma of Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko Constrained by Rosetta Observations Authors: Fougere, N.; Tenishev, V.; Bieler, A. M.; Combi, M. R.; Gombosi, T. I.; Hansen, K. C.; Jia, X.; Shou, Y.; Huang, Z.; Toth, G.; Altwegg, K.; Wurz, P.; Balsiger, H.; Jäckel, A.; Le Roy, L.; Gasc, S.; Calmonte, U.; Rubin, M.; Tzou, C. Y.; Hässig, M.; Fuselier, S.; De Keyser, J.; Berthelier, J. J.; Mall, U. A.; Rème, H.; Fiethe, B. Bibcode: 2014AGUFM.P41C3930F Altcode: For the first time, the Rosetta spacecraft stays with a comet over an extended period of time during its journey in the inner the solar system. The data provided by the suite of instruments on board the Rosetta spacecraft, notably the ROSINA mass spectrometers and the pressure sensor, provides critical information concerning comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko (CG) and its environment. These measurements reinforce our knowledge of comet CG and enable us to describe the nucleus and the sources with more details. The observations allow us to better constrain and accordingly develop much more realistic models of the comet's coma. We show a 3D simulation of the gas and dust coma of comet CG using a Direct Simulation Monte-Carlo model performed with the Adaptive Mesh Particle Simulator (Tenishev et al. 2008, 2011). The coma model presented includes a realistic nucleus shape, with a gas flux distribution and a surface temperature that takes into account irregularities and concavities of the nucleus. Along with the gas drag, the gravity field drives the dust dynamics and is therefore accurately computed around the irregular nucleus shape. This constitutes the state-of-the-art of cometary coma models, which are crucial to interpret instrument data and for further mission planning. Acknowledgement:This work was supported by contracts JPL#1266313 and JPL#1266314 from the US Rosetta Project and NASA grant NNX09AB59G from the Planetary Atmospheres Program. References:Tenishev et al. 2008 ApJ 685:659, and 2011 ApJ 732:104 Title: Counter-streaming alpha proton plasmas in an eroding magnetic cloud: new insights into space plasma evolution from Wind Authors: Szente, J.; Toth, G.; Manchester, W.; van der Holst, B.; Landi, E.; DeVore, C. R.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2014AGUFMSH23D..05S Altcode: Coronal jets, routinely observed by multiple instruments at multiple wavelengths, provide a unique opportunity to understand the relationships between magnetic field topology, reconnection, and solar wind heating and acceleration. We simulate coronal jets with the Alfvén Wave Solar Model (AWSoM) [van der Holst (2014)] and focus our study on the thermodynamical evolution of the plasma. AWSoM solves the two-temperature MHD equations with electron heat conduction, which not only addresses the thermodynamics of individual species, but also allows for the construction of synthetic images from the EUV and soft X-ray wavelength range. Our jet model takes the form of a slowly rotating bipole field imbedded in the open magnetic field of a coronal hole; a topology suggested by observations. We follow the formation and evolution of polar jets starting from the chromosphere and extending into the outer corona. The simulations show small-scale eruptive reconnection events that self-consistently heat and accelerate the solar wind. Our results provide a quantitative comparison to observations made in the EUV and X-ray spectrum. Title: 3D Direct Simulation Monte Carlo Modeling of the Spacecraft Environment of Rosetta Authors: Bieler, A. M.; Tenishev, V.; Fougere, N.; Gombosi, T. I.; Hansen, K. C.; Combi, M. R.; Huang, Z.; Jia, X.; Toth, G.; Altwegg, K.; Wurz, P.; Jäckel, A.; Le Roy, L.; Gasc, S.; Calmonte, U.; Rubin, M.; Tzou, C. Y.; Hässig, M.; Fuselier, S.; De Keyser, J.; Berthelier, J. J.; Mall, U. A.; Rème, H.; Fiethe, B.; Balsiger, H. Bibcode: 2014AGUFM.P41C3931B Altcode: The European Space Agency's Rosetta mission is the first to escort a comet over an extended time as the comet makes its way through the inner solar system. The ROSINA instrument suite consisting of a double focusing mass spectrometer, a time of flight mass spectrometer and a pressure sensor, will provide temporally and spatially resolved data on the comet's volatile inventory. The effect of spacecraft outgassing is well known and has been measured with the ROSINA instruments onboard Rosetta throughout the cruise phase. The flux of released neutral gas originating from the spacecraft cannot be distinguished from the cometary signal by the mass spectrometers and varies significantly with solar illumination conditions. For accurate interpretation of the instrument data, a good understanding of spacecraft outgassing is necessary. In this talk we present results simulating the spacecraft environment with the Adaptive Mesh Particle Simulator (AMPS) code. AMPS is a direct simulation monte carlo code that includes multiple species in a 3D adaptive mesh to describe a full scale model of the spacecraft environment. We use the triangulated surface model of the spacecraft to implement realistic outgassing rates for different areas on the surface and take shadowing effects in consideration. The resulting particle fluxes are compared to the measurements of the ROSINA experiment and implications for ROSINA measurements and data analysis are discussed. Spacecraft outgassing has implications for future space missions to rarefied atmospheres as it imposes a limit on the detection of various species. Title: The Mars Magnetosphere in the Tail of Comet C/2013 A1(Siding Spring) Authors: Ma, Y.; Jia, Y. D.; Russell, C. T.; Nagy, A. F.; Toth, G.; Combi, M. R.; Yelle, R. V.; Dong, C.; Bougher, S. W. Bibcode: 2014AGUFM.P43A3971M Altcode: Comet C/2013 A1 (Siding Spring) is an Oort cloud comet with an open path. In October 2014, comet Siding Spring passes about 12 Mars radii from the center of the planet. Carrying multiple active spacecraft, Mars is expected to enter the plasma tail of the comet, providing a unique opportunity to study the response of the Mars magnetosphere to the supersonic cometary tail. We use our multi-fluid MHD model, which has been successfully applied to various comets, to simulate the composition of plasma trailing the comet. We include the effects of the decomposition, ionization, and charge exchange of major ion species around the comet in the model. The model result is then extracted along Mars orbit into a time dependent plasma distribution. Second, we simulate the real-time response of the Mars magnetosphere in the comet tail using a multi-fluid model of Mars. The comet tail plasma distribution is used as the upstream boundary conditions for the Mars model. The simulation results will be used to quantify the perturbations of the plasma environment around Mars and provide a baseline for interpreting plasma observations along the MAVEN orbit during the comet passage. Title: Global Multi-Fluid Solar Corona and Inner Heliosphere Model for Solar Probe Plus and Solar Orbite Authors: van der Holst, B.; Sokolov, I.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2014AGUFMSH21B4095V Altcode: The mechanisms that heat and accelerate the fast and slow wind have not yet been conclusively identified, and their understanding is one of the major science goals of the Solar Orbiter (SO) and Solar Probe Plus (SPP) missions. Helium abundance and properties in the solar wind are critical tracers for both processes so that understanding them is key towards gaining insight in the solar wind phenomenon, and being able to model it and predict its properties. SO and SPP will carry critical instrumentation to measure the properties of Helium in the solar wind at distances between within 10 solar radii up to 1 AU. We present a generalization of the recently developed global solar corona and inner heliosphere model with low-frequency Alfvenic turbulence [van der Holst et al. (2014)] to include alpha-particle dynamics. This new multi-fluid model uses the stochastic heating mechanism to partition the turbulence dissipation into coronal heating of the electrons and ions. The momentum and energy exchange rates due to Coulomb collisions are accounted for. We discuss the feasibility for Alfvenic turbulence to simultaneously address the coronal heating and proton-alpha particle differential streaming. Title: Solar Wind Interaction with the Martian Upper Atmosphere at Early Mars/Extreme Solar Conditions Authors: Dong, C.; Bougher, S. W.; Ma, Y.; Toth, G.; Lee, Y.; Nagy, A. F.; Tenishev, V.; Pawlowski, D. J.; Combi, M. R. Bibcode: 2014AGUFM.P53C4032D Altcode: The investigation of ion escape fluxes from Mars, resulting from the solar wind interaction with its upper atmosphere/ionosphere, is important due to its potential impact on the long-term evolution of Mars atmosphere (e.g., loss of water) over its history. In the present work, we adopt the 3-D Mars cold neutral atmosphere profiles (0 ~ 300 km) from the newly developed and validated Mars Global Ionosphere Thermosphere Model (M-GITM) and the 3-D hot oxygen profiles (100 km ~ 5 RM) from the exosphere Monte Carlo model Adaptive Mesh Particle Simulator (AMPS). We apply these 3-D model output fields into the 3-D BATS-R-US Mars multi-fluid MHD (MF-MHD) model (100 km ~ 20 RM) that can simulate the interplay between Mars upper atmosphere and solar wind by considering the dynamics of individual ion species. The multi-fluid MHD model solves separate continuity, momentum and energy equations for each ion species (H+, O+, O2+, CO2+). The M-GITM model together with the AMPS exosphere model take into account the effects of solar cycle and seasonal variations on both cold and hot neutral atmospheres. This feature allows us to investigate the corresponding effects on the Mars upper atmosphere ion escape by using a one-way coupling approach, i.e., both the M-GITM and AMPS model output fields are used as the input for the multi-fluid MHD model and the M-GITM is used as input into the AMPS exosphere model. In this study, we present M-GITM, AMPS, and MF-MHD calculations (1-way coupled) for 2.5 GYA conditions and/or extreme solar conditions for present day Mars (high solar wind velocities, high solar wind dynamic pressure, and high solar irradiance conditions, etc.). Present day extreme conditions may result in MF-MHD outputs that are similar to 2.5 GYA cases. The crustal field orientations are also considered in this study. By comparing estimates of past ion escape rates with the current ion loss rates to be returned by the MAVEN spacecraft (2013-2016), we can better constrain the total ion loss to space over Mars history, and thus enhance the science returned from the MAVEN mission. Title: MHD-Epic: Embedded Particle-in-Cell Simulations of Reconnection in Global 3D Extended MHD Simulations Authors: Daldorff, L. K. S.; Toth, G.; Borovikov, D.; Gombosi, T. I.; Lapenta, G. Bibcode: 2014AGUFMSM13B4161D Altcode: With the new modeling capability in the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) of embedding an implicit Particle-in-Cell (PIC) model iPIC3D into the BATS-R-US magnetohydrodynamics model (Daldorff et al. 2014, JCP, 268, 236) we are ready to locally handle the full physics of the reconnection and its implications on the full system where globally, away from the reconnection region, a magnetohydrodynamic description is satisfactory. As magnetic reconnection is one of the main drivers in magnetospheric and heliospheric plasma dynamics, the self-consistent description of the electron dynamics in the coupled MHD-EPIC model is well suited for investigating the nature of these systems. We will compare the new embedded MHD-EPIC model with pure MHD and Hall MHD simulations of the Earth's magnetosphere. Title: The Multi-fluid Nature of the Termination Shock Authors: Zieger, B.; Opher, M.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2014AGUFMSH21D..05Z Altcode: After the crossing of the termination shock by the Voyager spacecraft, it became clear that pickup ions (PUIs) dominate the thermodynamics of the heliosheath. Particle-in-cell simulations by Wu et al. [2010] have shown that the sum of the thermal solar wind and non-thermal PUI distributions downstream of the termination shock can be approximated with a 2-Maxwellian distribution. Therefore the heliosheath can be described as multi-fluid plasma comprising of cold thermal solar wind ions, hot pickup ions (PUI) and electrons. The abundance of the hot pickup ion population has remained unknown, since the plasma instrument on board Voyager 2 can only detect the colder thermal ion component. Upstream of the termination shock, where the solar wind bulk flow is quasi-perpendicular to the Parker spiral-like heliospheric magnetic field, the two ion fluids are fully coupled. However, in the heliosheath, where the ion flows start to divert from the radial direction, PUIs and thermal solar wind ions become decoupled in the parallel direction, resulting in differential ion flow velocities. This multi-fluid nature of the heliosheath cannot be captured in current single-fluid MHD models of the heliosphere. Here we present our new multi-ion Hall MHD model of the termination shock, which is able to resolve finite gyroradius effects [Zieger et al., 2014]. The addition of hot PUIs to the mixture of thermal solar wind protons and cold electrons results in the mode splitting of fast magnetosonic waves into a high-frequency fast mode (or PUI mode) and a low-frequency fast mode (or thermal proton mode). We show that the multi-fluid nature of the solar wind predicts two termination shocks, one in the thermal and the other in the pickup ion component. We demonstrate that the thermal ion shock is a dispersive shock wave, with a trailing wave train, which is a quasi-stationary nonlinear wave mode, also known as oscilliton. We constrain the previously unknown PUI abundance and the PUI temperature by fitting simulated multi-fluid termination shock profiles to Voyager 2 observations. Our model provides self-consistent energy partitioning between the ion species across the termination shock and predicts the preferential heating of the thermal ion component. The nonlinear oscilliton mode can be a source of compressional turbulence in the heliosheath. Title: Global impact of collisionless magnetic reconnection on the structure of planetary magnetospheres Authors: Dorelli, J.; Glocer, A.; Collinson, G.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2014AGUFMSM13B4159D Altcode: While the local physics of collisionless magnetic reconnection has been well studied, the consequences for global magnetospheric structure remain largely unexplored. It is well known, for example, that Hall electric fields generate a new system of field-aligned currents propagating from the reconnection site along the magnetic separatrices; but it is not known how these currents contribute to the global region 1 and region 2 current systems or to auroral substorm features. In this presentation, we show that collisionless reconnection has a significant impact on the large scale structure of planetary magnetospheres. Using global Hall MHD simulations, we demonstrate that field-aligned currents generated at the reconnection sites (and carried by whistler or kinetic Alfven waves) extend all the way down to the surface of the magnetized body and must therefore be included in the magnetosphere-ionosphere coupling physics (e.g., Harang-like discontinuities in the ionospheric convection pattern -- absent in MHD -- are introduced, and the current densities are large enough to produce auroral emission). More surprisingly, ions and electrons pick up magnetic drifts (due to JxB forces in the ion diffusion regions) that significantly alter the global magnetospheric convection pattern. Ions in the plasma sheet drift duskward while electrons drift dawnward, producing large asymmetries in the plasma sheet structure even in the absense of solar wind asymmetry, asymmetric ionospheric conductance or co-rotation. We discuss the implications of these effects for the reconnection-driven magnetospheres of Ganymede, Mercury and Earth. Title: Global MHD Simulation of the Coronal Mass Ejection on 2011 March 7: from Chromosphere to 1 AU Authors: Jin, M.; Manchester, W.; van der Holst, B.; Sokolov, I.; Toth, G.; Vourlidas, A.; de Koning, C. A.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2014AGUFMSH43A4176J Altcode: Performing realistic simulations of solar eruptions and validating those simulations with observations are important goals in order to achieve accurate space weather forecasts. Here, we perform and analyze results of a global magnetohydrodyanmic (MHD) simulation of the fast coronal mass ejection (CME) that occurred on 2011 March 7. The simulation is made using the newly developed Alfven Wave Solar Model (AWSoM), which describes the background solar wind starting from the upper chromosphere and expands to 24 Rs. Coupling of AWSoM to an inner heliosphere (IH) model with the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) extends the total domain beyond the orbit of Earth. Physical processes included in the model are multi-species thermodynamics, electron heat conduction (both collisional and collisionless formulations), optically thin radiative cooling, and Alfven-wave pressure that accelerates the solar wind. The Alfven-wave description is physically consistent, including non-WKB reflection and physics-based apportioning of turbulent dissipative heating to both electrons and protons. Within this model, we initiate the CME by using the Gibson-Low (GL) analytical flux rope model and follow its evolution for days, in which time it propagates beyond 1 AU. A comprehensive validation study is performed using remote as well as in-situ observations from SDO, SOHO, STEREOA/B, and OMNI. Our results show that the new model can reproduce many of the observed features near the Sun (e.g., CME-driven EUV waves, deflection of the flux rope from the coronal hole, "double-front" in the white light images) and in the heliosphere (e.g., CME-CIR interaction, shock properties at 1 AU). The CME-driven shock arrival time is within 1 hour of the observed arrival time, and nearly all the in-situ parameters are correctly simulated, which suggests the global MHD model as a powerful tool for the space weather forecasting. Title: Time-dependent MHD modeling of Titan's plasma interaction during T32, T85 and T96 and comparison to Cassini data Authors: Ma, Y.; Nagy, A. F.; Toth, G.; Bertucci, C.; Dougherty, M. K.; Coates, A. J.; Wahlund, J. E. Bibcode: 2014AGUFMSM33A..07M Altcode: The Cassini Spacecraft flew past Titan on June 13, 2007 and found Titan was outside Saturn's magnetopause. During this pass (T32), observations showed dramatic changes of magnetic field orientation as well as plasma flow parameters during inbound and outbound segments. We have studied Titan's ionospheric responses to such a sudden change in the upstream plasma conditions, using a sophisticated multi-species global MHD model. Simulation results of three different cases (steady state; simple current sheet crossing and magnetopause crossing) are presented and compared against Cassini Magnetometer (MAG), Langmuir Probe (LP) and Cassini Plasma Spectrometer (CAPS) observations. The simulation results provide clear evidence of the existence of fossil field. The MAG data can be well reproduced with a simple current sheet crossing. The Cassini plasma observations can only be reproduced by the magnetopause crossing case using plasma conditions constrained by CAPS observations. Real-time simulation also reveals how the fossil field formed during the interaction and shows the coexistence of two pile-up regions with opposite magnetic orientation, the formation of a pair of new Alfven wings and tail disconnection during magnetopause crossing process. During two recent Titan flybys T85 and T96, Titan was found to be in the magnetosheath region of Saturn and in the solar wind, respectively. We present simulation results for those two flybys and compare features of Titan's plasma interaction in different plasma environments. Title: High Order Schemes in Bats-R-US for Faster and More Accurate Predictions Authors: Chen, Y.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2014AGUFMSM31A4161C Altcode: BATS-R-US is a widely used global magnetohydrodynamics model that originally employed second order accurate TVD schemes combined with block based Adaptive Mesh Refinement (AMR) to achieve high resolution in the regions of interest. In the last years we have implemented fifth order accurate finite difference schemes CWENO5 and MP5 for uniform Cartesian grids. Now the high order schemes have been extended to generalized coordinates, including spherical grids and also to the non-uniform AMR grids including dynamic regridding. We present numerical tests that verify the preservation of free-stream solution and high-order accuracy as well as robust oscillation-free behavior near discontinuities. We apply the new high order accurate schemes to both heliospheric and magnetospheric simulations and show that it is robust and can achieve the same accuracy as the second order scheme with much less computational resources. This is especially important for space weather prediction that requires faster than real time code execution. Title: The role of superthermal electrons in high latitude ionospheric outflows Authors: Glocer, A.; Khazanov, G. V.; Liemohn, M. W.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2014AGUFMSM44A..06G Altcode: It is well accepted that the ionosphere is a critical source of plasma for the magnetosphere, providing O+, H+, and He+ which can have wide ranging consequences for the space environment system. Changing ion composition affects magnetic reconnection in the magnetosphere, the ring current, and the wave environment which is important for high energy radiation belt electrons. Of the myriad of mechanisms that are important in determining the ionospheric outflow solution at high latitudes, we focus on the role of superthermal electron populations. It has been demonstrated in multiple studies that even small concentrations of superthermal electrons can have a dramatic effect on the outflow solution. In this presentation, we present simulation results using our Polar Wind Outflow Model (PWOM) and our SuperThermal Electron Transport (STET) code. We describe recent results on superthermal electrons role in defining the quiet time solar wind solution with comparisons to observations. We also discuss preliminary results that combine the PWOM and STET codes for a more comprehensive treatment of the impact of superthermal electrons. Title: Magnetic Dissipation Effects on the Flows within the Heliosheath Authors: Michael, A.; Opher, M.; Provornikova, E.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2014AGUFMSH11B4041M Altcode: We investigate the effect that magnetic dissipation has on the flows within the heliosheath (HS), the subsonic plasma in between the termination shock (TS) and the heliopause (HP). We use a global 3D multi-fluid magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model of the heliosphere, which has a grid resolution of 0.5 AU within the heliosphere along both Voyager 1 and Voyager 2 trajectories. We describe the solar wind magnetic field as a monopole, to remove the heliospheric current sheet, with the magnetic field aligned with that of the interstellar medium (ISM) to diminish any numerical reconnection at the ISM - solar wind interface. This configuration of the solar wind magnetic field also reduces any numerical magnetic dissipation effects in the HS. We compare our model to the same model describing the solar wind magnetic field as a dipole. In the dipole case, there is an intrinsic loss of magnetic energy near the heliospheric current sheet (HCS) due to reconnection. This reconnection is numerical since we do not include real resistivity in the model. The comparison of the two models will allow for an estimation of the effects of reconnection in the HS since there is no numerical dissipation of the magnetic field in the monopole model. We compare steady state solutions and the role magnetic dissipation has on the global characteristics of the heliosphere. We find that the monopole model of the solar wind magnetic field removes the asymmetry observed in the TS and predicted for the HP. Furthermore, the TS is considerably closer to the Sun in the monopole model due to the build up of magnetic filed at the HP. We also investigate magnetic dissipation effects in the 11-year solar cycle variations of the solar wind in a 3D time-dependent model. This model includes 3D latitudinal and temporal variations of the solar wind density and velocity taken from SOHO/SWAN and IPS data from 1990 to 2012 as described in Provornikova et al. 2014. We additionally include a time varying magnetic field obtained from the OMNI database. We compare both models to observations along Voyager 1 and Voyager 2 and discuss whether magnetic dissipation is a significant process affecting the flows within the HS. Title: Storm time plasma transport in a unified and inter-coupled global magnetosphere model Authors: Ilie, R.; Liemohn, M. W.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2014AGUFMSM14A..03I Altcode: We present results from the two-way self-consistent coupling between the kinetic Hot Electron and Ion Drift Integrator (HEIDI) model and the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). HEIDI solves the time dependent, gyration and bounced averaged kinetic equation for the phase space density of different ring current species and computes full pitch angle distributions for all local times and radial distances. During geomagnetic times the dipole approximation becomes unsuitable even in the inner magnetosphere. Therefore the HEIDI model was generalized to accommodate an arbitrary magnetic field and through the coupling with SWMF it obtains a magnetic field description throughout the HEIDI domain along with a plasma distribution at the model outer boundary from the Block Adaptive Tree Solar Wind Roe Upwind Scheme (BATS-R-US) magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) model within SWMF. Electric field self-consistency is assured by the passing of convection potentials from the Ridley Ionosphere Model (RIM) within SWMF. In this study we test the various levels of coupling between the 3 physics based models, highlighting the role that the magnetic field, plasma sheet conditions and the cross polar cap potential play in the formation and evolution of the ring current. We show that the dynamically changing geospace environment itself plays a key role in determining the geoeffectiveness of the driver. The results of the self-consistent coupling between HEIDI, BATS-R-US and RIM during disturbed conditions emphasize the importance of a kinetic self-consistent approach to the description of geospace. Title: MHD-EPIC: Extended Magnetohydrodynamics with Embedded Particle-in-Cell Simulation of Ganymede's Magnetosphere. Authors: Toth, G.; Daldorff, L. K. S.; Jia, X.; Gombosi, T. I.; Lapenta, G. Bibcode: 2014AGUFMSM23D..03T Altcode: We have recently developed a new modeling capability to embed theimplicit Particle-in-Cell (PIC) model iPIC3D into the BATS-R-USmagnetohydrodynamic model. The PIC domain can cover the regions wherekinetic effects are most important, such as reconnection sites. TheBATS-R-US code, on the other hand, can efficiently handle the rest ofthe computational domain where the MHD or Hall MHD description issufficient. As one of the very first applications of the MHD-EPICalgorithm (Daldorff et al. 2014, JCP, 268, 236) we simulate theinteraction between Jupiter's magnetospheric plasma with Ganymede'smagnetosphere, where the separation of kinetic and global scalesappears less severe than for the Earth's magnetosphere. Because theexternal Jovian magnetic field remains in an anti-parallel orientationwith respect to Ganymede's intrinsic magnetic field, magneticreconnection is believed to be the major process that couples the twomagnetospheres. As the PIC model is able to describe self-consistentlythe electron behavior, our coupled MHD-EPIC model is well suited forinvestigating the nature of magnetic reconnection in thisreconnection-driven mini-magnetosphere. We will compare the MHD-EPICsimulations with pure Hall MHD simulations and compare both modelresults with Galileo plasma and magnetic field measurements to assess therelative importance of ion and electron kinetics in controlling theconfiguration and dynamics of Ganymede's magnetosphere. Title: A Multi-neutral-fluid model of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko Authors: Shou, Y.; Combi, M. R.; Gombosi, T. I.; Jia, X.; Toth, G.; Hansen, K. C.; Tenishev, V.; Fougere, N. Bibcode: 2014AGUFM.P41C3924S Altcode: As comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko, the Rosetta mission target, is approaching perihelion, the OSIRIS instrument observed the nucleus' very unique dumbbell-like shape recently. It arouses an interesting question as to what the coma will look like with the combination of the irregular shape and the rotation of the nucleus, as a result of solar radiation. A physics-based three dimensional coma model is highly desirable to study this topic. One candidate is Direct Simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) method, and it has been successfully applied to such problems. However, since the comet may be considerably active closer to perihelion and the gas near the nucleus is dense, the time step in DSMC model has to be tiny to accommodate the small mean free path and the high collision frequency, which can make time-variable DSMC modeling computationally expensive. In this work, we develop a multi-neutral-fluid model based on BATS-R-US in the University of Michigan's SWMF (Space Weather Modeling Framework), which can serve as a useful alternative to DSMC methods to compute the inner coma. This model treats cometary heavy neutrals, hydrogen atoms and dusts of different particle sizes as separate fluids. In the model, we include different momentum and energy transfer coefficients for different fluids, heating from chemical reactions and frictions between gas and dust. With other necessary physics considered, it is able to give us a more physical picture than one fluid model. The preliminary results are presented and discussed. This work has been partially supported by NASA Planetary Atmospheres program grant NNX14AG84G and US Rosetta contracts JPL #1266313 and JPL #1266314. Title: High Resolution Magnetotail Simulations of Bursty Bulk Flows Authors: Buzulukova, N.; Dorelli, J.; Glocer, A.; Fok, M. C. H.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2014AGUFMSM23C4236B Altcode: We present the results of high resolution resistive MHD simulations of bursty bulk flows using the BATSRUS magnetosphere model. We performed a number of runs with three levels of constant resistivity. For each resistivity level, we studied the dependence on tail resolution and looked for solutions where numerical resistivity was small compared to the set physical resistivity. For constant solar wind driving (southward Bz IMF), we found the formation of bursty bulk flows (BBFs) and dipolarization fronts when the resistivity was below a critical value. We extracted virtual s/c data through dipolarization fronts and BBFs and compared with observed properties of BBFs. We also studied the ionospheric response to BBF formation. By switching on/off the ring current module (CRCM) in the BATSRUS, we examined relationship between BBFs and ring current injections. Title: Consequences of Kinetic Effects in Nonsymmetric Reconnection Configurations on Large-Scale Dynamical Processes in Magnetosphere and Solar Plasma Authors: Kuznetsova, M. M.; Hesse, M.; Aunai, N.; Wendel, D. E.; Rastaetter, L.; Glocer, A.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2014AGUFMSM44B..04K Altcode: One of the major conclusions of the GEM Reconnection Challenge at the dawn of the millennium was that reconnection rate is independent of the electron mass. This finding allowed to reduce the problem to hall-less pair plasma fluid description and reproduce kinetic reconnection rates in large-scale single-fluid simulations by incorporating kinetic non-gyrotropic corrections to the induction equation. It was demonstrated that nongyrotropic effects incorporated into symmetric magnetotail reconnection could significantly alter the global magnetosphere evolution. In this paper we will extend the approach to non-symmetric configurations relevant to planetary magnetospheres and solar corona. We will examine the applicability of the non-gyrotropic fluid approach to nonsymmetric magnetic reconnection and demonstrate consequences of local kinetic effects on global evolution. Title: Magnetic reconnection in 3D magnetosphere models: magnetic separators and open flux production Authors: Glocer, A.; Dorelli, J.; Toth, G.; Komar, C. M.; Cassak, P. Bibcode: 2014AGUFMSM42A..03G Altcode: There are multiple competing definitions of magnetic reconnection in 3D (e.g., Hesse and Schindler [1988], Lau and Finn [1990], and Boozer [2002]). In this work we focus on separator reconnection. A magnetic separator can be understood as the 3D analogue of a 2D x line with a guide field, and is defined by the line corresponding to the intersection of the separatrix surfaces associated with the magnetic nulls. A separator in the magnetosphere represents the intersection of four distinct magnetic topologies: solar wind, closed, open connected to the northern hemisphere, and open connected to the southern hemisphere. The integral of the parallel electric field along the separator defines the rate of open flux production, and is one measure of the reconnection rate. We present three methods for locating magnetic separators and apply them to 3D resistive MHD simulations of the Earth's magnetosphere using the BATS-R-US code. The techniques for finding separators and determining the reconnection rate are insensitive to IMF clock angle and can in principle be applied to any magnetospheric model. The present work examines cases of high and low resistivity, for two clock angles. We also examine the separator during Flux Transfer Events (FTEs) and Kelvin-Helmholtz instability. Title: Multifluid MHD Simulations of the Plasma Environment of Comet Churyumov-Gerasimenko at Different Heliocentric Distances Authors: Huang, Z.; Jia, X.; Rubin, M.; Fougere, N.; Gombosi, T. I.; Tenishev, V.; Combi, M. R.; Bieler, A. M.; Toth, G.; Hansen, K. C.; Shou, Y. Bibcode: 2014AGUFM.P41C3928H Altcode: We study the plasma environment of the comet Churyumov-Gerasimenko, which is the target of the Rosetta mission, by performing large scale numerical simulations. Our model is based on BATS-R-US within the Space Weather Modeling Framework that solves the governing multifluid MHD equations, which describe the behavior of the cometary heavy ions, the solar wind protons, and electrons. The model includes various mass loading processes, including ionization, charge exchange, dissociative ion-electron recombination, as well as collisional interactions between different fluids. The neutral background used in our MHD simulations is provided by a kinetic Direct Simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) model. We will simulate how the cometary plasma environment changes at different heliocentric distances. Title: Plasma environment of a weak comet - Predictions for Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko from multifluid-MHD and Hybrid models Authors: Rubin, M.; Koenders, C.; Altwegg, K.; Combi, M. R.; Glassmeier, K. -H.; Gombosi, T. I.; Hansen, K. C.; Motschmann, U.; Richter, I.; Tenishev, V. M.; Tóth, G. Bibcode: 2014Icar..242...38R Altcode: The interaction of a comet with the solar wind undergoes various stages as the comet's activity varies along its orbit. For a comet like 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko, the target comet of ESA's Rosetta mission, the various features include the formation of a Mach cone, the bow shock, and close to perihelion even a diamagnetic cavity. There are different approaches to simulate this complex interplay between the solar wind and the comet's extended neutral gas coma which include magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) and hybrid-type models. The first treats the plasma as fluids (one fluid in basic single fluid MHD) and the latter treats the ions as individual particles under the influence of the local electric and magnetic fields. The electrons are treated as a charge-neutralizing fluid in both cases. Given the different approaches both models yield different results, in particular for a low production rate comet. In this paper we will show that these differences can be reduced when using a multifluid instead of a single-fluid MHD model and increase the resolution of the Hybrid model. We will show that some major features obtained with a hybrid type approach like the gyration of the cometary heavy ions and the formation of the Mach cone can be partially reproduced with the multifluid-type model. Title: Plasma Flows in the Heliosheath along the Voyager 1 and 2 Trajectories due to Effects of the 11 yr Solar Cycle Authors: Provornikova, E.; Opher, M.; Izmodenov, V. V.; Richardson, J. D.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2014ApJ...794...29P Altcode: We investigate the role of the 11 yr solar cycle variations in the solar wind (SW) parameters on the flows in the heliosheath using a new three-dimensional time-dependent model of the interaction between the SW and the interstellar medium. For boundary conditions in the model we use realistic time and the latitudinal dependence of the SW parameters obtained from SOHO/SWAN and interplanetary scintillation data for the last two solar cycles (1990-2011). This data set generally agrees with the in situ Ulysses measurements from 1991 to 2009. For the first ~30 AU of the heliosheath the time-dependent model predicts constant radial flow speeds at Voyager 2 (V2), which is consistent with observations and different from the steady models that show a radial speed decrease of 30%. The model shows that V2 was immersed in SW with speeds of 500-550 km s-1 upstream of the termination shock before 2009 and in wind with upstream speeds of 450-500 km s-1 after 2009. The model also predicts that the radial velocity along the Voyager 1 (V1) trajectory is constant across the heliosheath, contrary to observations. This difference in observations implies that additional effects may be responsible for the different flows at V1 and V2. The model predicts meridional flows (VN) higher than those observed because of the strong bluntness of the heliosphere shape in the N direction in the model. The modeled tangential velocity component (VT) at V2 is smaller than observed. Both VN and VT essentially depend on the shape of the heliopause. Title: Effects of crustal field rotation on the solar wind plasma interaction with Mars Authors: Ma, Yingjuan; Fang, Xiaohua; Russell, Christopher T.; Nagy, Andrew F.; Toth, Gabor; Luhmann, Janet G.; Brain, Dave A.; Dong, Chuanfei Bibcode: 2014GeoRL..41.6563M Altcode: The crustal remnant field on Mars rotates with the planet at a period of 24 h 37 min, constantly varying the magnetic field configuration interacting with the solar wind. Until now, there has been no self-consistent modeling investigation on how this varying magnetic field affects the solar wind plasma interaction. Here we include the rotation of this localized crustal field in a multispecies single-fluid MHD model of Mars and simulate an entire day of solar wind interaction under normal solar wind conditions. The MHD model results are compared with Mars Global Surveyor (MGS) magnetic field observations and show very close agreement, especially for the field strength along almost all of the 12 orbits on the day simulated. Model results also show that the ion escape rates slowly vary with rotation, generally anticorrelating with the strength of subsolar magnetic crustal sources, with some time delay. In addition, it is found that in the intense crustal field regions, the densities of heavy ion components enhance significantly along the MGS orbit, implying strong influence of the crustal field on the ionospheric structures. Title: High Order Schemes in BATS-R-US: Is it OK to Simplify Them? Authors: Tóth, G.; Chen, Y.; van der Holst, B.; Daldorff, L. K. S. Bibcode: 2014ASPC..488..273T Altcode: We describe a number of high order schemes and their simplified variants that have been implemented into the University of Michigan global magnetohydrodynamics code BATS-R-US. We compare the various schemes with each other and the legacy 2nd order TVD scheme for various test problems and two space physics applications. We find that the simplified schemes are often quite competitive with the more complex and expensive full versions, despite the fact that the simplified versions are only high order accurate for linear systems of equations. We find that all the high order schemes require some fixes to ensure positivity in the space physics applications. On the other hand, they produce superior results as compared with the second order scheme and/or produce the same quality of solution at a much reduced computational cost. Title: Global Magnetohydrodynamics Simulation of the Coronal Mass Ejection on 2011 March 7: from Chromosphere to 1 AU Authors: Jin, Meng; Manchester, W. B.; van der Holst, B.; Sokolov, I.; Toth, G.; Vourlidas, A.; de Koning, C.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2014shin.confE..10J Altcode: Performing realistic simulations of solar eruptions and validating those simulations with observations are important goals in order to achieve accurate space weather forecasts. Here, we analyze results of a global magnetohydrodyanmic (MHD) simulation of the fast coronal mass ejection (CME) that occurred on 2011 March 7. The simulation is made using the newly developed Alfven Wave Solar Model (AWSoM), which describes the background solar wind starting from the upper chromosphere and expends to 24 Rs. Coupling of AWSoM to an inner heliosphere (IH) model with the Space Weather Modeling Framework extends the total domain beyond the orbit of Earth. Physical processes included in the model are multi-species thermodynamics, electron heat conduction (both collisional and collisionless formulation), optically thin radiative cooling and Alfven-wave pressure that accelerates the solar wind. The Alfven-wave description is physically self-consistent, including non-WKB reflection and physics-based apportioning of turbulent dissipative heating to both electrons and protons. Within this model, we initiate the CME by using the Gibson-Low (GL) analytical flux rope model and follow its evolution for days, in which time it propagates beyond 1 AU. A comprehensive validation study is performed using remote as well as the in situ observations from SDO, SOHO, STEREOA/B, and OMNI. Our results show that the new model can reproduce many of the observed features near the Sun (e.g., CME-driven EUV waves, deflection of the flux rope from the coronal hole, double-front in the white light images) and in the heliosphere (e.g., CME-CIR interaction, shock properties at 1 AU). By fitting the CME speeds near the Sun with observations, the CME-driven shock arrival time is within 1 hour of the observed arrival time and all the in situ parameters are correctly simulated, which suggests the global MHD model as a powerful tool for the space weather forecasting. Title: The behavior of the flows within the heliosheath Authors: Michael, Adam; Opher, Merav; Provornikova, Elena; Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 2014shin.confE..61M Altcode: The current Voyager measurements of the plasma flows reveal the complex nature of the heliosheath, the last boundary between the Solar System and the interstellar medium. These measurements are challenging the standard theories and models. We use a global 3D multi-fluid magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model of the heliosphere to study the flows within the heliosheath. Our model has a grid resolution of 0.5 AU within the heliosphere, along both Voyager 1 and Voyager 2 trajectories, and describes the solar wind magnetic field as a monopole to avoid any numerical magnetic dissipation effects in the heliosheath. We find that the model predicts the heliosheath to be split into two regions, first a thermally dominated region downstream of the termination shock followed by a magnetically dominated region (? < 1) just before the heliopause. We compare the solution to the same model with dipole description of the solar wind magnetic field. The dipole solar wind magnetic field includes a flat heliospheric current sheet where reconnection occurs due to numerical dissipation. The two models predict a considerably different heliosheath. We compare both models to observations along V1 and V2 and discuss whether we can use these models to predict when Voyager 2 is approaching the heliopause. Title: Effects of Crustal Field Rotation on the Solar Wind Plasma Interaction with Mars Authors: Ma, Yingjuan; Fang, Xiaohua; Russell, Christopher; Brain, Dave; Nagy, Andrew; Toth, Gabor; Luhmann, Janet; Dong, Chuanfei Bibcode: 2014EGUGA..16.8381M Altcode: The crustal field on Mars rotates constantly with the planet at a period of 24 h 37 min. In this study, we include the rotation of the crustal field in the multi-species single fluid MHD model of Mars and simulated one entire day of May 15, 2005 using normal solar wind condition to investigate how this rotation affects the solar wind plasma interaction. The MHD model results are compared with MGS magnetic field observations and show remarkably good agreement along almost all of the 12 orbits on that day. Model results also show that the ion escape fluxes vary slowly with rotation, anti-correlating with the strength of subsolar magnetic crustal sources. It is also found that near intense crustal field regions, the densities of the heavy ion components increase significantly, implying a strong influence of the crustal field on the low-altitude ionosphere. Title: Solar wind interaction with Mars upper atmosphere: Results from the one-way coupling between the multifluid MHD model and the MTGCM model Authors: Dong, Chuanfei; Bougher, Stephen W.; Ma, Yingjuan; Toth, Gabor; Nagy, Andrew F.; Najib, Dalal Bibcode: 2014GeoRL..41.2708D Altcode: The 3-D multifluid Block Adaptive Tree Solar-wind Roe Upwind Scheme (BATS-R-US) MHD code (MF-MHD) is coupled with the 3-D Mars Thermospheric general circulation model (MTGCM). The ion escape rate from the Martian upper atmosphere is investigated by using a one-way coupling approach, i.e., the MF-MHD model incorporates the effects of 3-D neutral atmosphere profiles from the MTGCM model. The calculations are carried out for two cases with different solar cycle conditions. The calculated total ion escape flux (the sum of three major ionospheric species, O+, O2+, and CO2+) for solar cycle maximum conditions (6.6×1024 s-1) is about 2.6 times larger than that of solar cycle minimum conditions (2.5×1024 s-1). Our simulation results show good agreement with recent observations of 2-3×1024 s-1 (O+, O2+, and CO2+) measured near solar cycle minimum conditions by Mars Express. An extremely high solar wind condition is also simulated which may mimic the condition of coronal mass ejections or corotating interaction regions passing Mars. Simulation results show that it can lead to a significant value of the escape flux as large as 4.3×1025s-1. Title: Martian ionospheric responses to dynamic pressure enhancements in the solar wind Authors: Ma, Y. J.; Fang, X.; Nagy, A. F.; Russell, C. T.; Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 2014JGRA..119.1272M Altcode: As a weakly magnetized planet, Mars ionosphere/atmosphere interacts directly with the shocked solar wind plasma flow. Even though many numerical studies have been successful in reproducing numerous features of the interaction process, these earlier studies focused mainly on interaction under steady solar wind conditions. Recent observations suggest that plasma escape fluxes are significantly enhanced in response to solar wind dynamic pressure pulses. In this study, we focus on the response of the ionosphere to pressure enhancements in the solar wind. Through modeling of two idealized events using a magnetohydrodynamics model, we find that the upper ionosphere of Mars responds almost instantaneously to solar wind pressure enhancements, while the collision dominated lower ionosphere (below ~150 km) does not have noticeable changes in density. We also find that ionospheric perturbations in density, magnetic field, and velocity can last more than an hour after the solar wind returns to the quiet conditions. The topside ionosphere forms complicated transient shapes in response, which may explain unexpected ionospheric behaviors in recent observations. We also find that ionospheric escape fluxes do not correlate directly with simultaneous solar wind dynamic pressure. Rather, their intensities also depend on the earlier solar wind conditions. It takes a few hours for the ionospheric/atmospheric system to reach a new quasi-equilibrium state. Title: Comet 1P/Halley Multifluid MHD Model for the Giotto Fly-by Authors: Rubin, M.; Combi, M. R.; Daldorff, L. K. S.; Gombosi, T. I.; Hansen, K. C.; Shou, Y.; Tenishev, V. M.; Tóth, G.; van der Holst, B.; Altwegg, K. Bibcode: 2014ApJ...781...86R Altcode: The interaction of comets with the solar wind has been the focus of many studies including numerical modeling. We compare the results of our multifluid MHD simulation of comet 1P/Halley to data obtained during the flyby of the European Space Agency's Giotto spacecraft in 1986. The model solves the full set of MHD equations for the individual fluids representing the solar wind protons, the cometary light and heavy ions, and the electrons. The mass loading, charge-exchange, dissociative ion-electron recombination, and collisional interactions between the fluids are taken into account. The computational domain spans over several million kilometers, and the close vicinity of the comet is resolved to the details of the magnetic cavity. The model is validated by comparison to the corresponding Giotto observations obtained by the Ion Mass Spectrometer, the Neutral Mass Spectrometer, the Giotto magnetometer experiment, and the Johnstone Plasma Analyzer instrument. The model shows the formation of the bow shock, the ion pile-up, and the diamagnetic cavity and is able to reproduce the observed temperature differences between the pick-up ion populations and the solar wind protons. We give an overview of the global interaction of the comet with the solar wind and then show the effects of the Lorentz force interaction between the different plasma populations. Title: Alfvén Wave Solar Model (AWSoM): Coronal Heating Authors: van der Holst, B.; Sokolov, I. V.; Meng, X.; Jin, M.; Manchester, W. B., IV; Tóth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2014ApJ...782...81V Altcode: 2013arXiv1311.4093V We present a new version of the Alfvén wave solar model, a global model from the upper chromosphere to the corona and the heliosphere. The coronal heating and solar wind acceleration are addressed with low-frequency Alfvén wave turbulence. The injection of Alfvén wave energy at the inner boundary is such that the Poynting flux is proportional to the magnetic field strength. The three-dimensional magnetic field topology is simulated using data from photospheric magnetic field measurements. This model does not impose open-closed magnetic field boundaries; those develop self-consistently. The physics include the following. (1) The model employs three different temperatures, namely the isotropic electron temperature and the parallel and perpendicular ion temperatures. The firehose, mirror, and ion-cyclotron instabilities due to the developing ion temperature anisotropy are accounted for. (2) The Alfvén waves are partially reflected by the Alfvén speed gradient and the vorticity along the field lines. The resulting counter-propagating waves are responsible for the nonlinear turbulent cascade. The balanced turbulence due to uncorrelated waves near the apex of the closed field lines and the resulting elevated temperatures are addressed. (3) To apportion the wave dissipation to the three temperatures, we employ the results of the theories of linear wave damping and nonlinear stochastic heating. (4) We have incorporated the collisional and collisionless electron heat conduction. We compare the simulated multi-wavelength extreme ultraviolet images of CR2107 with the observations from STEREO/EUVI and the Solar Dynamics Observatory/AIA instruments. We demonstrate that the reflection due to strong magnetic fields in the proximity of active regions sufficiently intensifies the dissipation and observable emission. Title: Effects of Solar wind Pressure Enhancement and the Diurnal Rotation of the Crustal Field on the Solar Wind Plasma Interaction with Mars Authors: Ma, Yingjuan; Russell, C. T.; Bougher, Stephen; Nagy, Andrew; Toth, Gabor; Fang, Xiaohua Bibcode: 2014cosp...40E1926M Altcode: As Mars is a weakly magnetized planet, its ionosphere/atmosphere interacts directly with the shocked solar wind plasma flow. Recent observations suggest that plasma escape fluxes are significantly enhanced in response to solar wind dynamic pressure pulses. In this presentation, based on multi-species single-fluid MHD numerical simulations, we show the response of the ionosphere to pressure enhancements in the solar wind. We find that the upper ionosphere of Mars responds almost instantaneously to solar wind pressure enhancements, while the collision dominated lower ionosphere (below ~150 km) does not have noticeable changes in density. We also find that ionospheric perturbations in density, magnetic field, and velocity can last more than an hour after the solar wind returns to the quiet conditions. The topside ionosphere forms complicated transient shapes in response, which may explain unexpected ionospheric behavior in recent observations. We also find that ionospheric escape fluxes do not correlate directly with simultaneous solar wind dynamic pressure. Rather, their intensities depend in part on the earlier solar wind conditions. We also include the diurnal rotation of the crustal field in the MHD model to investigate how this rotation affects the solar wind plasma interaction. The MHD model results are compared with MGS magnetic field observations and show remarkably good agreement between the two. Model results also show that the ion escape fluxes vary slowly with rotation, anti-correlating with the strength of subsolar magnetic crustal sources. It is found that near intense crustal field regions, the densities of heavy ion components increase significantly, implying a strong influence on the upper ionosphere by the crustal field. Title: Study of solar cycle effects in the heliosheath in the model based on SWAN/SOHO and IPS data at 1 AU Authors: Provornikova, Elena; Richardson, John; Opher, Merav; Toth, Gabor; Izmodenov, Vladislav Bibcode: 2014cosp...40E2636P Altcode: Observations of plasma in the heliosheath by Voyager 1 and 2 showed highly variable and very different plasma flows. Voyager 2 has been observing nearly constant radial flow ~110 km/s indicating that the spacecraft is still far from the heliopause. Plasma velocity components determined from LECP on Voyager 1 rapidly decreased across the heliosheath to zero values in the stagnation region near the HP. Steady state models of the outer heliosphere do not explain such different flows. These puzzling observational data motivate us to explore different physical effects at the edges of the heliosphere in the models. In this work we focus on time-dependent effects related to 11- year solar cycle. We use a 3D MHD multi-fluid model of interaction of the solar wind with the local interstellar medium (BATSRUS) with time-dependent boundary conditions for the supersonic solar wind. Used realistic boundary conditions (plasma density and velocity) at 1 AU were derived from the measurements of intensities of Lyman-alpha emission on SOHO/SWAN, OMNI data (in the ecliptic plane) and interplanetary scintillations data over two full solar cycles. We present results of the time-dependent model and discuss effects of realistic variations of the solar wind parameters on the flow in the heliosheath and in the vicinity of the heliopause. From comparison of model results with the Voyager 1 and 2 observations we found that the solar cycle effects can explain constant radial flow along the Voyager 2 but do not reproduce the decrease of radial flow to zero seen at Voyager 1. Title: Predicting the time derivative of local magnetic perturbations Authors: Tóth, Gábor; Meng, Xing; Gombosi, Tamas I.; Rastätter, Lutz Bibcode: 2014JGRA..119..310T Altcode: Some of the potentially most destructive effects of severe space weather storms are caused by the geomagnetically induced currents. Geomagnetically induced currents (GICs) can cause failures of electric transformers and result in widespread blackouts. GICs are induced by the time variability of the magnetic field and are closely related to the time derivative of the local magnetic field perturbation. Predicting dB/dt is rather challenging, since the local magnetic perturbations and their time derivatives are both highly fluctuating quantities, especially during geomagnetic storms. The currently available first principles-based and empirical models cannot predict the detailed minute-scale or even faster time variation of the local magnetic field. On the other hand, Pulkkinen et al. (2013) demonstrated recently that several models can predict with positive skill scores whether the horizontal component of dB/dt at a given magnetometer station will exceed some threshold value in a 20 min time interval. In this paper we investigate if one can improve the efficiency of the prediction further. We find that the Space Weather Modeling Framework, the best performing among the five models compared by Pulkkinen et al. (2013), shows significantly better skill scores in predicting the magnetic perturbation than predicting its time derivative, especially for large deviations. We also find that there is a strong correlation between the magnitude of dB/dt and the magnitude of the horizontal magnetic perturbation itself. Combining these two results one can devise an algorithm that gives better skill scores for predicting dB/dt exceeding various thresholds in 20 min time intervals than the direct approach. Title: Geomagnetic Environment Modeling at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center: Successes, Challenges and Perspectives. Authors: Kuznetsova, Maria; Toth, Gabor; Hesse, Michael; Rastaetter, Lutz; Glocer, Alex Bibcode: 2014cosp...40E1723K Altcode: The Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC, http://ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov) hosts an expanding collection of modern space science and space weather models developed by the international space science community. The goals of the CCMC are to support the research and developmental work necessary to substantially increase the present-day space environment modeling capability and to maximize scientific return on investments into model development. CCMC is servicing models through interactive web-based systems, supporting community-wide research projects and designing displays and tools customized for specific applications. The presentation will review the current state of the geomagnetic environment modeling, highlight resent progress, and showcase the role of state-of-the-art magnetosphere models in advancing our understanding of fundamental phenomena in magnetosphere plasma physics. Title: Multi-fluid MHD Study of the Solar Wind Induced Plasma Escape from the Martian Atmosphere Authors: Ma, Y.; Russell, C. T.; Nagy, A. F.; Toth, G.; Dong, C.; Bougher, S. W. Bibcode: 2013AGUFM.P13C..05M Altcode: In this study, the multi-fluid MHD model (Najib et al., 2011) is further improved to include an electron pressure equation to self-consistently calculate the electron temperature. The electron pressure equation included in the improved model can accurately calculate the electron temperature and the electron pressure force. The electron temperature is also needed to calculate rates of some electron temperature dependent chemical reactions such as dissociative recombination and electron impact ionization. So the improvement of the model leads to a more accurate evaluation of the ion density in the ionosphere and a more accurate description of the interaction process. Model results of a typical case with electron pressure equation included are compared in detail to an identical case without the electron pressure equation to identify the effect of the improved physics. The two cases will be examined to identify changes in the global interaction patterns. Electron temperature will also be compared for the two cases to identify regions where temperatures differs the most. The ion density profiles at different locations will be compared to identify the changes of plasma density due to changes of recombination rates and impact ionization rates caused by different electron temperatures. The calculated electron temperature profile will also be compared to the only available pre-MAVEN electron observations from the Viking Retarding Potential Analyzer (RPA) (Hansen et al., 1977). Based on model results, two-dimensional maps of the ion densities and fluxes are to be generated in the tail region at various distances to locate the intense region for plasma bulk escape. We will also plan to fly through the 3D MHD model results using planned MAVEN orbits to predict when and where the spacecraft will pass different plasma boundaries (such as the bow shock, MPB, and ionopause), and the typical range of the plasma parameters in different regions. Title: Global MHD simulations of Mercury's interaction with the solar wind: Influence of the planetary conducting core on the magnetospheric interaction Authors: Jia, X.; Slavin, J. A.; Gombosi, T. I.; Daldorff, L.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2013AGUFMSM21A2139J Altcode: Mercury's comparatively weak intrinsic magnetic field and its close proximity to the Sun lead to a mini-magnetosphere that undergoes more direct space-weathering interactions than other planets. A unique aspect of the Mercury interaction system relates to the large ratio of the scale of the planet to the scale of the tiny magnetosphere and the presence of a large-size core (with radius ~ 80% of the planetary radius) composed of highly conducting material, implying that there is potentially strong feedback between the planet's interior and the magnetosphere, especially under conditions of strong solar wind driving. Understanding the solar wind-magnetosphere-exosphere-interior interaction at Mercury as a highly coupled system requires not only analysis of spacecraft data but also a modeling framework that is both comprehensive and inclusive. To this end, we have developed a new global MHD model of Mercury's interaction with the solar wind based on the BATSRUS code in which the interior of the planet (modeled as layers of different electric conductivities) is electrodynamically coupled to the surrounding space plasma environment. The new modeling capability allows for self-consistently characterizing the dynamical response of the Mercury system to time-varying external conditions. In particular, we have applied the coupled model to assess quantitatively the effect of induction arising from the planet's conducting core on the global magnetosphere. A set of idealized simulations have been carried out in which Mercury's magnetosphere is impacted by solar wind disturbances with different levels of pressure enhancement. Our results show that due to the induction effect, Mercury's core can impose strong global influences on the way Mercury responds to changes in the external environment, including modifying the global magnetospheric structure and affecting the extent to which the solar wind directly impacts the planetary surface. By applying the model to simulate extreme events, such as those observed by MESSENGER during impact of Coronal Mass Ejections (Slavin et al., 2013), we aim to obtain a deeper understanding of the tightly coupled Mercury system, and thereby to develop further constraints on the properties of the planet's interior. Title: Two-way self-consistent coupling of HEIDI in SWMF Authors: Ilie, R.; Liemohn, M. W.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2013AGUFMSM43A2281I Altcode: In this study we present results from the two-way coupling between the kinetic Hot Electron and Ion Drift Integrator (HEIDI) model and the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). HEIDI solves the time dependent, gyration and bounced averaged kinetic equation for the phase space density of different ring current species and computes full pitch angle distributions for all local times and radial distances. This model was generalized to accommodate an arbitrary magnetic field and, through the coupling with SWMF, it obtains the magnetic field description along with the plasma distribution at the model boundaries from the Block Adaptive Tree Solar Wind Roe Upwind Scheme (BATS-R-US) magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) model within the SWMF. Electric field self-consistency is assured by the passing of convection potentials from the Ridley Ionosphere Model (RIM) within SWMF. Our study tests the various levels of coupling between the 3 models, highlighting the roles that the magnetic field, plasma sheet conditions and the cross polar cap potential play in the formation and evolution of the ring current. The results of the self-consistent coupling between HEIDI, BATSRUS and RIM during disturbed conditions emphasize the importance of a kinetic self-consistent approach to the description of the geospace. Title: Evaluating the Importance of Outflow Velocity at the MHD Inner Boundary Authors: Welling, D. T.; Liemohn, M. W.; Toth, G.; Glocer, A. Bibcode: 2013AGUFMSA41A2105W Altcode: Including an ionospheric source of magnetospheric plasma in global magnetohydrodynamic models (MHD) is an exercise in setting inner boundary mass density and radial velocity. Recently, in order to account for the complex processes that accelerate plasmas up from ionospheric altitudes to MHD inner boundary altitudes (typically 2.5 to 3 Earth Radii), empirical and first-principles-based models have been developed to set inner boundary conditions in a dynamic and activity-dependent manner. However, such measures are not necessary to achieve outflowing fluences of the order observed by various spacecraft. Spatially and temporally constant boundary conditions, even with zero radial velocity, have been shown to produce dynamic outflow patterns and supply the bulk of magnetospheric plasma. Noteworthy of this approach is the inherent assumption that no acceleration has occurred between the ionosphere and the inner boundary, that is, the ionosphere is simply a mass reservoir. This assumption is contrary to our understanding of the magnetosphere-ionosphere system, yet the net result - outflowing heavy and light ions that populate the rest of geospace - is similar to that when a more realistic outflow specification is applied. The implication is that radial velocity matters little when supplying outflow to global MHD models. This paper investigates the importance of radial velocity at the inner boundary of MHD codes in driving ionospheric outflows into the greater domain. Multi-fluid BATS-R-US is used to simulate an idealized storm, first using zero radial velocity at the inner boundary, then non-zero constant values, and finally with spatially and temporally dynamic values driven by the Polar Wind Outflow Model (PWOM), which sets radial velocity and number density based on physics-based modeling of gap region populations. The results, in terms of total fluence, spatial outflowing flux patterns, and overall magnetospheric response, are compared to investigate how the simulation depends on this value. Magnetospheric implications are evaluated via density, temperature, and composition within the lobes, plasmasheet, and ring current regions. MHD-derived global indices, such as DST and CPCP, will also be leveraged. The results of this study are a systematic test of the importance of sub-magnetosphere acceleration of ionospheric plasma in magnetospheric dynamics. Title: The Challenge of Incorporating Charged Dust in the Physics of Flowing Plasma Interactions Authors: Jia, Y.; Russell, C. T.; Ma, Y.; Lai, H.; Jian, L.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2013AGUFMSM53A2212J Altcode: The presence of two oppositely charged species with very different mass ratios leads to interesting physical processes and difficult numerical simulations. The reconnection problem is a classic example of this principle with a proton-electron mass ratio of 1836, but it is not the only example. Increasingly we are discovering situations in which heavy, electrically charged dust particles are major players in a plasma interaction. The mass of a 1mm dust particle is about 2000 proton masses and of a 10 mm dust particle about 2 million proton masses. One example comes from planetary magnetospheres. Charged dust pervades Enceladus' southern plume. The saturnian magnetospheric plasma flows through this dusty plume interacting with the charged dust and ionized plume gas. Multiple wakes are seen downstream. The flow is diverted in one direction. The field aligned-current systems are elsewhere. How can these two wake features be understood? Next we have an example from the solar wind. When asteroids collide in a disruptive collision, the solar wind strips the nano-scale charged dust from the debris forming a dusty plasma cloud that may be over 106km in extent and containing over 100 million kg of dust accelerated to the solar wind speed. How does this occur, especially as rapidly as it appears to happen? In this paper we illustrate a start on understanding these phenomena using multifluid MHD simulations but these simulations are only part of the answer to this complex problem that needs attention from a broader range of the community. Title: Solar wind interaction with Mars' upper atmosphere: Results from 3-D studies using one-way coupling between the Multi-fluid MHD, the M-GITM and the AMPS models Authors: Dong, C.; Bougher, S. W.; Ma, Y.; Toth, G.; Lee, Y.; Nagy, A. F.; Tenishev, V.; Pawlowski, D. J.; Meng, X.; Combi, M. R. Bibcode: 2013AGUFM.P12A..01D Altcode: The study of the solar wind interaction with Mars upper atmosphere/ionosphere has triggered a great of interest in recent years. Among the large number of topics in this research area, the investigation of ion escape fluxes has become increasingly important due to its potential impact on the long-term evolution of Mars atmosphere (e.g., loss of water) over its history. In the present work, we adopt the 3-D Mars cold neutral atmosphere profiles (0~300 km) from the newly developed and validated Mars Global Ionosphere Thermosphere Model (M-GITM) and the 3-D hot oxygen profiles (100km~5RM) from the exosphere Monte Carlo model Adaptive Mesh Particle Simulator (AMPS). We apply these 3-D model outputs fields into the 3-D BATS-R-US Mars multi-fluid MHD model (100km~20RM) that can better simulate the interplay between Mars upper atmosphere and solar wind by considering the dynamics of individual ion species. The multi-fluid model solves separate continuity, momentum and energy equations for each ion species (H+, O+, O2+, CO2+). The M-GITM model together with the AMPS exosphere model take into account the effects of solar cycle and seasonal variations on both cold and hot neutral atmospheres, allowing us to investigate the corresponding effects on the Mars upper atmosphere ion escape by using a one-way coupling approach, i.e., both the M-GITM and AMPS model outputs are used as the inputs for the multi-fluid model and M-GITM is used as input into the AMPS exosphere model. The calculations are carried out for selected cases with different nominal solar wind, solar cycle and crustal field orientation conditions. This work has the potential to provide predictions of ion escape rates for comparison to future data to be returned by the MAVEN primary mission (2014-2016) and thereby improve our understanding of present day escape processes. Acknowledgments: The work presented here was supported by NASA grants NNH10CC04C, NNX09AL26G, NSF grant ATM-0535811. Title: Modeling comet 1P/Halley's plasma environment using multifluid MHD Authors: Rubin, M.; Combi, M. R.; Daldorff, L. K. S.; Gombosi, T. I.; Hansen, K. C.; Shou, Y.; Tenishev, V. M.; Tóth, G.; van der Holst, B.; Altwegg, K. Bibcode: 2013EPSC....8...87R Altcode: Observations by ESA's Giotto spacecraft at comet 1P/Halley on March 14, 1986, allowed a detailed glance into the interaction between the neutral gas coma and the solar wind. For a highly productive comet such as 1P/Halley the plasma environment is remarkably diverse when probed at various cometocentric distances. We apply a global scale multifluid magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) approach in which the individual plasma components are treated as a set of coupled magnetized fluids ([1], [2]). This is a continuation of our previous work using a single species model ([3], [4]) and provides insight on some of the involved dynamical processes that might otherwise only be accessible by Monte Carlo Hybrid-type models. Title: Pressure anisotropy in global magnetospheric simulations: Coupling with ring current models Authors: Meng, X.; Tóth, G.; Glocer, A.; Fok, M. -C.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2013JGRA..118.5639M Altcode: We have recently extended the global magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model BATS-R-US to account for pressure anisotropy. Since the inner magnetosphere dynamics cannot be fully described even by anisotropic MHD, we coupled our anisotropic MHD model with two inner magnetospheric models: the Rice Convection Model (RCM) and the Comprehensive Ring Current Model (CRCM). The coupled models provide better representations of the near-Earth plasma, especially during geomagnetic storms. In this paper, we present the two-way coupling algorithms with both ring current models. The major difference between these two couplings is that the RCM assumes isotropic and constant pressures along closed field lines, while the CRCM resolves pitch angle anisotropy. For model validation, we report global magnetosphere simulations performed by the coupled models. The simulation results are compared to the results given by the coupled isotropic MHD and ring current models. We find that in the global MHD simulations coupled with ring current models, pressure anisotropy results in a thinner magnetosheath, a shorter tail, a much smaller Earthward plasma jet from the tail reconnection site, and is also important in controlling the magnetic field configuration. The comparisons with satellite data for the magnetospheric event simulations show improvements on reproducing the measured tail magnetic field and inner magnetospheric flow velocity when including pressure anisotropy in the ring current model coupled global MHD model. Title: Ionospheric Responses to Discontinuities in the Solar Wind Authors: Ma, Y.; Russell, C. T.; Nagy, A. F.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2013EPSC....8..845M Altcode: The solar wind plasma flow and associated IMF are highly variable. Past studies about Mars mainly focus on its interactions with steady solar wind conditions. However recent study found that the total escape fluxes can be significantly enhanced during solar wind pressure pulses [1]. This study focuses on ionosphere response to solar wind 1) density variation and 2) magnetic field direction change. Through numerical modeling, we found that the upper ionosphere of Mars responses almost instantaneously to solar wind density enhancement, while the lower ionosphere (below ~150 km) do not have any noticeable changes in density. Current sheet crossing can cause only moderate changes in the upper ionosphere of Mars with several min time delays. We also found that perturbations in density and integrated escape fluxes caused by the solar wind variations could last more than an hour. Title: Numerical Simulations of Coronal Mass Ejection on 2011 March 7: One-temperature and Two-temperature Model Comparison Authors: Jin, M.; Manchester, W. B.; van der Holst, B.; Oran, R.; Sokolov, I.; Toth, G.; Liu, Y.; Sun, X. D.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2013ApJ...773...50J Altcode: During Carrington rotation (CR) 2107, a fast coronal mass ejection (CME; >2000 km s-1) occurred in active region NOAA 11164. This event is also associated with a solar energetic particle event. In this study, we present simulations of this CME with one-temperature (1T) and two-temperature (2T: coupled thermodynamics of the electron and proton populations) models. Both the 1T and 2T models start from the chromosphere with heat conduction and radiative cooling. The background solar wind is driven by Alfvén-wave pressure and heated by Alfvén-wave dissipation in which we have incorporated the balanced turbulence at the top of the closed field lines. The magnetic field of the inner boundary is set up using a synoptic map from Solar Dynamics Observatory/Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager. The Titov-Démoulin flux-rope model is used to initiate the CME event. We compare the propagation of fast CMEs and the thermodynamics of CME-driven shocks in both the 1T and 2T CME simulations. Also, the synthesized white light images are compared with the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory/Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph observations. Because there is no distinction between electron and proton temperatures, heat conduction in the 1T model creates an unphysical temperature precursor in front of the CME-driven shock and makes the shock parameters (e.g., shock Mach number, compression ratio) incorrect. Our results demonstrate the importance of the electron heat conduction in conjunction with proton shock heating in order to produce the physically correct CME structures and CME-driven shocks. Title: Plasma flow in the outer heliosphere due to variations of the solar wind structure at 1 AU in 11-year solar cycle Authors: Provornikova, Elena; Opher, Merav; Izmodenov, Vlad; Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 2013shin.confE..67P Altcode: Recent observations at Voyager 1 and 2 in the heliosheath - region of hot subsonic solar wind flow at the heliosphere boundary - show complex and very different plasma flows. Voyager 2 has been observing a constant radial flow 110 km/s indicating that the spacecraft is far from the heliopause. Meanwhile, in 2011 Voyager 1 entered a stagnation region at 120 AU with small/near-zero flow velocity components meaning that Voyager 1 may be very close to the HP. Steady state models of the outer heliosphere do not explain such different flows. These puzzling observational data motivate us to explore different physical effects at the edges of the heliosphere in the models. In this work we focus on time-dependent effects related to 11- year solar cycle. We use a global 3D MHD multi-fluid model of interaction of the solar wind with the local interstellar medium with time-dependent boundary conditions for the supersonic solar wind. Realistic boundary conditions (plasma density and velocity) at 1 AU were obtained from the measurements of intensities of Lyman-alpha emission on SOHO/SWAN, OMNI data (in the ecliptic plane) and interplanetary scintillations data over two full solar cycles. We present results of the time-dependent model and discuss effects of realistic variations of the solar wind parameters on the flow in the heliosheath and in the vicinity of the heliopause. From comparison of model results with the Voyager 1 and 2 observations we found that the solar cycle effects can explain constant radial flow along the Voyager 2 but do not reproduce the decrease of radial flow to zero seen at Voyager 1. Title: A slow bow shock ahead of the heliosphere Authors: Zieger, B.; Opher, M.; Schwadron, N. A.; McComas, D. J.; Tóth, G. Bibcode: 2013GeoRL..40.2923Z Altcode: Current estimates of plasma parameters in the local interstellar medium indicate that the speed of the interstellar wind, i.e., the relative speed of the local interstellar cloud with respect to the Sun, is most likely less than both the fast magnetosonic speed (subfast) and the Alfvén speed (sub-Alfvénic) but greater than the slow magnetosonic speed (superslow). In this peculiar parameter regime, MHD theory postulates a slow magnetosonic shock ahead of the heliosphere, provided that the angle between the interstellar magnetic field and the interstellar plasma flow velocity is quite small (e.g., 15° to 30°). In this likely scenario, our multifluid MHD model of the heliospheric interface self-consistently produces a spatially confined quasi-parallel slow bow shock. Voyager 1 is heading toward the slow bow shock, while Voyager 2 is not, which means that the two spacecraft are expected to encounter different interstellar plasma populations beyond the heliopause. The slow bow shock also affects the density and spatial extent of the neutral hydrogen wall. Title: Simulation of the Coronal Mass Ejection on 2011 March 7: from Chromosphere to 1 AU Authors: Jin, Meng; Manchester, Ward; van der Holst, Bart; Oran, Rona; Sokolov, Igor; Toth, Gabor; Gombosi, Tamas I.; Vourlidas, Angelos; Liu, Yang; Sun, Xudong Bibcode: 2013shin.confE...4J Altcode: On 2011 March 7, a fast CME (> 2000 km/s) occurred in NOAA 11164. This event is also associated with a Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) event. In this study, we present the magnetohydrodynamics simulation results of this event by using the newly developed Alfven Wave SOlar Model (AWSOM) in Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). The background solar wind starts from chromosphere with heat conduction and radiative cooling. The solar wind is driven by Alfven-wave pressure and heated by Alfven-wave dissipation. The magnetic field of the inner boundary is specified with a synoptic magnetogram from SDO/HMI. We initiate the CME by using the Gibson-Low flux rope model. In order to produce physically correct CME structures and CME-driven shocks, the electron and proton temperatures are separated so that the electron heat conduction is explicitly treated in conjunction with proton shock heating. We simulate the CME propagation to 1 AU. Comprehensive validation work is done by using the remote as well as the in-situ observation from SOHO, SDO, STEREOA/B, ACE, and WIND. Our results show that the new model can reproduce most of the observed features near the Sun and in the heliosphere. The CME-driven shock is well reproduced, which is important for modeling the SEP event with diffusive shock acceleration. We also try to compare the differences and similarities between this event and previous simulated extreme events (e.g., the 2003 Halloween CMEs). Title: Time-dependent solar wind flows in the heliosheath Authors: Provornikova, E.; Opher, M.; Izmodenov, V.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2013AGUSMSH21A..02P Altcode: Recent observations on Voyager 1 and 2 spacecraft show complex and very different solar wind flows in the heliosheath region. Voyager 2 has been observing constant radial flows (Richardson and Wang 2013). At the beginning of 2011 Voyager 1 entered a region with zero and even negative radial velocity of the plasma flow (Krimigis et al. 2011). Since mid 2012 Voyager 1 continues observing a new region in the heliosheath with fast changing of intensities of anomalous and galactic cosmic rays. These puzzling observational data motivate us to explore different physical effects at the edges of the heliosphere in the models. In order to separate spatial from temporal effects the investigation of time-dependent effects are crucial. In this work we focus on time-dependent effects of the 11-year solar cycle. We use a global MHD multi-fluid model of interaction of the solar wind with the local interstellar medium with time-dependent boundary conditions for the supersonic solar wind. Realistic boundary conditions (plasma density and velocity) at 1 AU for the plasma were obtained from the measurements of Ly-alpha intensities on SOHO/SWAN, OMNI data and interplanetary scintillations data. We present effects of realistic variations of the solar wind dynamic pressure on the solar wind flow in the heliosheath and in the vicinity of the heliopause. Comparing the results of time-dependent model along the Voyager 1 and 2 trajectory with observational data we describe effects of solar cycle on the flows that Voyager measures. Title: Structure of the Heliosheath and Heliopause Authors: Opher, M.; Drake, J. F.; Swisdak, M. M.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2013AGUSMSH24A..06O Altcode: We discuss the structure of the heliosheath (HS) and and heliopause (HP) when reconnection is taken place within the sector region. Observational constrains of reconnection within the sector are challenged by the resolution limitations of the magnetometer. However, indirect constraints such as the lack of conservation of magnetic flux in the heliosheath (Richardson et al. 2013) and the correlation of the variability of energetic particles with the sector region (Hill et al. 2013) indicate that reconnection might be taking place within the sector (Opher et al. 2011). The reconnected sector region in high beta plasma has a multitude of islands and is very similar to a crossing of a normal sector in terms of the overall configuration of the magnetic field and intensity. However, there is substantial reduction of magnetic tension. We show, that Rayleigh-Taylor (RT) instabilities can take place within the sector region where there is no magnetic tension to stabilize the interchange instability (Opher et al. 2013). The RT instability produces elongated flow structures that disturb the heliosheath flow pattern. This instability can explain the large differences between the flows at Voyager 1 and 2. V1 measurements indicate a constant decrease in the radial speed until a region with zero radial speeds while V2 radial speeds are constant. The structure of the HP has been explored with 2-D PIC simulations (Swisdak et al. 2013) to understand what underlies the complex particle and magnetic data seen by V1 in the latter half of 2012. We show using a global MHD model that because of draping the direction of the magnetic field in the interstellar medium (ISM) does not differ significantly from the azimuthal heliospheric field measured in the HS. Magnetic field profiles from cuts of the MHD simulation across the HP are used as input into the initial conditions of the PIC simulation. However, the HS in the PIC simulation is taken to have a sectored structure with a population of pickup ions.The sectored field reconnects first, forming magnetic islands with scales of the order of the sector spacing. These islands then begin reconnecting with the ISM across the HP, slowed by the higher density plasma in the ISM. The HP eventually develops a complex magnetic structure with nested magnetic islands where HS and ISM plasma has mixed. Multiple sharp jumps in the number density of the ISM plasma are seen in cuts across the HP which is revealed not as a single boundary but as a series of boundaries. The jumps occur at separatrices of magnetic islands that exhibit jumps in the population density but no jumps in the magnetic field direction. This important result is consistent with the striking absence of rotation of the magnetic field data seen during jumps in the ACR and GCR intensities seen by V1. Based on these simulation results and the Voyager magnetic and particle data we have constructed the possible magnetic structure of the HP boundary region, which includes a series of nested magnetic islands and separatrices, that produce a porous boundary. The jump in the magnetic field strength measured by Voyager on its approach to the HP very likely arises from the leakage of high pressure HS plasma across this porous boundary into the ISM where it is lost. Title: Propagation into the heliosheath of a large-scale solar wind disturbance bounded by a pair of shocks Authors: Provornikova, E.; Opher, M.; Izmodenov, V.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2013A&A...552A..99P Altcode: 2013arXiv1303.5105P Context. After the termination shock (TS) crossing, the Voyager 2 spacecraft has been observing strong variations of the magnetic field and solar wind parameters in the heliosheath. Anomalous cosmic rays, electrons, and galactic cosmic rays present strong intensity fluctuations. Several works suggested that the fluctuations might be attributed to spatial variations within the heliosheath. Additionally, the variability of the solar wind in this region is caused by different temporal events that occur near the Sun and propagate to the outer heliosphere.
Aims: To understand the spatial and temporal effects in the heliosheath, it is important to study these effects separately. In this work we explore the role of shocks as one type of temporal effects in the dynamics of the heliosheath. Although currently plasma in the heliosheath is dominated by solar minima conditions, with increasing solar cycle shocks associated with transients will play an important role.
Methods: We used a 3D MHD multi-fluid model of the interaction between the solar wind and the local interstellar medium to study the propagation of a pair of forward-reverse shocks in the supersonic solar wind, interaction with the TS, and propagation to the heliosheath.
Results: We found that in the supersonic solar wind the interaction region between the shocks expands, the shocks weaken and decelerate. The fluctuation amplitudes of the plasma parameters vary with heliocentric distance. The interaction of the pair of shocks with the TS creates a variety of new waves and discontinuities in the heliosheath, which produce a highly variable solar wind flow. The collision of the forward shock with the heliopause causes a reflection of fast magnetosonic waves inside the heliosheath.

A movie is available in electronic form at http://www.aanda.org Title: Saturnian Local Time Effects in Titan's Interaction- A multi-fluid MHD study Authors: Ma, Yingjuan; Russell, Chris; Nagy, Andrew; Toth, Gabor; Dougherty, Michele; Cravens, Tom Bibcode: 2013EGUGA..15.3509M Altcode: We use a multi-fluid MHD model to study the effects of Saturnian Local Time(SLT). The multi-fluid model improves the previously used 7-species single-fluid MHD model by solving the density, velocity and pressure equations for each of the seven ion fluids. This model allows the motion of the different ion fluids to be decoupled. The model is first applied to an idealized case and the results are compared in detail with that of the 7-species single-fluid MHD model to illustrate the importance of the multi-fluid effects. Simulation results show that the multi-fluid model is able to reproduce asymmetric results along the convection electric field direction. The velocities patterns are different for different mass ion fluids. The heavier the ion is, the more significant is the flow along the convection electric field direction. Also the multi-fluid MHD model predicts that more heavy ions are escaping from the satellite as compared with the single-fluid model. We also apply the model to test the effects of SLT and find that the escaping fluxes of heavy ions vary significantly with SLT. Title: CRCM + BATS-R-US two-way coupling Authors: Glocer, A.; Fok, M.; Meng, X.; Toth, G.; Buzulukova, N.; Chen, S.; Lin, K. Bibcode: 2013JGRA..118.1635G Altcode: We present the coupling methodology and validation of a fully coupled inner and global magnetosphere code using the infrastructure provided by the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). In this model, the Comprehensive Ring Current Model (CRCM) represents the inner magnetosphere, while the Block-Adaptive-Tree Solar-Wind Roe-Type Upwind Scheme (BATS-R-US) represents the global magnetosphere. The combined model is a global magnetospheric code with a realistic ring current and consistent electric and magnetic fields. The computational performance of the model was improved to surpass real-time execution by the use of the Message Passing Interface (MPI) to parallelize the CRCM. Initial simulations under steady driving found that the coupled model resulted in a higher pressure in the inner magnetosphere and an inflated closed field-line region as compared to simulations without inner-magnetosphere coupling. Our validation effort was split into two studies. The first study examined the ability of the model to reproduce Dst for a range of events from the Geospace Environment Modeling (GEM) Dst Challenge. It also investigated the possibility of a baseline shift and compared two approaches to calculating Dst from the model. We found that the model did a reasonable job predicting Dst and Sym-H according to our two metrics of prediction efficiency and predicted yield. The second study focused on the specific case of the 22 July 2009 moderate geomagnetic storm. In this study, we directly compare model predictions and observations for Dst, THEMIS energy spectragrams, TWINS ENA images, and GOES 11 and 12 magnetometer data. The model did an adequate job reproducing trends in the data. Moreover, we found that composition can have a large effect on the result. Title: A global multispecies single-fluid MHD study of the plasma interaction around Venus Authors: Ma, Y. J.; Nagy, A. F.; Russell, C. T.; Strangeway, R. J.; Wei, H. Y.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2013JGRA..118..321M Altcode: This paper reports a new global multispecies single-fluid MHD model that was recently developed for Venus. This model is similar to the numerical model that has been successfully applied to Mars. Mass densities of proton and three important ionospheric ion species (O+, O2+, and CO2+) are self-consistently calculated in the model by including related chemical reactions and ion-neutral collision processes. The simulation domain covers the region from 100 km altitude above the surface up to 24 RV in the tail. An adaptive spherical grid structure is constructed with radial resolution of about 5 km in the lower ionosphere. Bow shock locations are well reproduced for both solar-maximum and solar-minimum conditions using appropriate solar wind parameters for each case. It is shown that the shock locations are farther from the planet during the solar maximum condition, because of both the enhanced solar radiation strength and the relatively small Mach number. The simulation results also agree well with Venus Express observations, as shown by comparisons between model results with magnetic fields observed by the spacecraft. Title: Predicting the time derivative of local magnetic perturbations with physics based models Authors: Toth, G.; Meng, X.; Liemohn, M. W.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2012AGUFMSM23C2330T Altcode: The Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) expressed interest in predicting the time derivative of the local magnetic field perturbations (dB/dt). The dB/dt quantity is closely related to the geomagnetically induced currents (GIC) which is one of the most important quantities that the end-users of SWPC would like to receive. The Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC) has run several models for several events to evaluate the predictive capabilities of the models. It was clear from the beginning that one cannot hope to predict the instantaneous value of dB/dt with the current models. For this reason it was decided that the models will attempt to predict if some component of dB/dt exceeds or not some threshold values in a time period. The models showed some success in doing so, and achieved positive (better than random) skill scores. Here we investigate if one can improve the efficiency of the prediction further. The idea is that the magnitude of dB/dt is quite strongly correlated to the magnitude of the magnetic perturbation dB. Our model, the Space Weather Modeling Framework, shows significantly better skill scores in predicting the magnetic perturbation than predicting dB/dt, especially for large deviations. This suggests that one can use the predicted value of dB to improve on the prediction accuracy of dB/dt. We find that this is indeed the case. Title: Hall MHD Simulations of Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko Authors: Shou, Y.; Combi, M. R.; Rubin, M.; Hansen, K. C.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2012AGUFM.P43C1932S Altcode: Comets have highly eccentric orbits and a wide range of gas production rates and thus they are ideal subjects to study the interaction between the solar wind and nonmagnetized bodies. Hansen et al. (2007, Space Sci. Rev. 128, 133) used a fluid-based MHD model and a semi-kinetic hybrid particle model to study the plasma environment of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko (CG), the Rosetta mission target comet, at different heliocentric distances. They showed that for such a weak comet at a large heliocentric distance, the length scales of the cometosheath and the bow shock are comparable to or smaller than the ion gyroradius, which violates the underlying assumption for a valid fluid description of the plasma. As a result, the classical ideal MHD model is not able to always give physical results, while the hybrid model, which accounts for the kinetic effects of ions with both cometary and solar wind origin, is more reliable. However, hybrid models are computationally expensive and the results can be noisy. A compromise approach is Hall MHD [Toth et al., 2008], which includes the Hall term in the MHD equations and allows for the decoupling of the ion and electron fluids. We use a single ion species Hall MHD model to simulate the plasma environment of comet 67P/CG and compare the results with the two models mentioned above. We find that the Hall effect is capable of reproducing some features of the hybrid model and thus extends the applicability of MHD. In addition, this study helps to identify the conditions and regions in the cometary plasma where the Hall effect is not negligible. This work is supported by NSF Planetary Astronomy grant AST0707283 and JPL subcontract 1266313 under NASA grant NMO710889. Title: Probing the Nature of the Heliosheath with the Heliospheric Neutral Atom Spectra Measured by IBEX in the Voyager 1 Direction Authors: Opher, M.; Prested, C. L.; McComas, D. J.; Schwadron, N. A.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2012AGUFMSH13D..04O Altcode: The Interstellar Boundary Explorer (IBEX) has been making detailed observations of neutrals from the boundaries of the heliosphere from 0.2-6 keV. Recent studies using the accumulated measurements of three years of observations extended the IBEX spectra down to lower energies (Fusielier et al. ApJ 2012). We compare the modeled ENA spectra to the ones measured by IBEX in order to explore the sensitivity to the heliosheath flows and temperatures along the Voyager 1 trajectory. The models explored are: (a) single-ion, multi-fluid (SI-MF) (Opher et al. 2009) that includes the ionized thermal plasma (solar wind plus pick-up ions (PUIs) plus the neutral H atoms) in a multi-fluid approximation; and our recent model (b) multi-ion, multi-fluid (MI-MF) that treats the PUIs and the thermal ions as separate fluids with maxwellian distributions (Prested et al. 2012). The use of a maxwellian distribution for the transmitted PUIs is supported by works such as Wu et al. (2010). Additionally, in the modeled ENA spectra we account for effects, not present in the models, from: a) the zero flows in the stagnation region (Decker et al. Nature 2012), as from our model that included the sector region (Opher et al. ApJ 2012) 15-20AU before the heliopause; b) extra heating in the stagnation region equivalent to the missing ram pressure; c) extra heating due to reconnection in the stagnation region (Drake et al. 2010; Opher et al. 2011); d) kappa ion distribution with power spectra (~ 1.5 - 2.0) in the heliosheath as produced by models such as Gloeckler and Fisk (2010); e) kappa ion distribution in the outer heliosheath. We find that the models that invoked extra heating in the stagnation region (as in case (b)-(c)) best agree with the low energy IBEX data. We evaluate model results in terms of the number of free parameters versus the level of agreement and comment on the implications of the models. Title: Space Weather Model Validations Using dBH/dt at High and Mid-Latitude Magnetometer Locations Authors: Rastaetter, L.; Kuznetsova, M. M.; Pulkkinen, A.; Toth, G.; Raeder, J.; Wiltberger, M. J. Bibcode: 2012AGUFMSM23B2305R Altcode: As part to the model validation efforts performed at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC), a Research-to-Operation (R2O) modeling challenge was started in 2010 to investigate the performance of first-principles and statistical models of the magnetosphere-ionosphere system to predict magnetic disturbances that can trigger geomagnetically induced currents. These models have to be able to run in real-time on a small-sized computer cluster in order to be able to support space weather operations. The outputs of the models are the horizontal magnetic perturbations ("delta-BH") at a given list of magnetometer stations that cover the high, middle and low latitudes. The "R2O challenge" is a continuation of the 2008 GEM challenge and involves the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF), the OpenGGCM and the Lyon Fedder Mobarry (LFM) models of the global magnetosphere-ionosphere system and the Weimer and Weigel delta-BH specification models. These 5 models have been run for 6 events of at least a day's length that include 2 strong storms, 3 intermediate sized storms and one weak event. We compared model outputs with 12 magnetometers that were selected for the original 2008 GEM challenge. In this paper we describe the calculation of the delta-BH values for the magnetosphere-ionosphere models that include currents in the ionosphere, field-aligned currents and the magnetosphere portions of the simulations. To validate the calculations performed at CCMC we compared our results to delta-BH computed during run-time by the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) model. We present the role and intensity of the contributions to the delta-BH signal coming from the three current systems. The evaluation of the model results is based on an event-based metric using counts of how often the observed or modeled time derivative of delta-BH ("dBH/dt") exceeds a threshold at least once in each of the time windows that cover the storm events. The resulting contingency table (number of hits, false alarms, misses and predicted non-events) for each threshold value and window length is converted to a single skill, such as the Heidke Skill Score that will be used to select models for space weather operations. Title: The inner magnetosphere as simulated by the anisotropic BATS-R-US - CRCM model Authors: Meng, X.; Toth, G.; Glocer, A.; Fok, M. H.; Gombosi, T. I.; Buzulukova, N. Bibcode: 2012AGUFMSM41A2191M Altcode: We have recently developed the two-way coupling between anisotropic BATS-R-US and the CRCM. The coupled model provides us an opportunity to examine the effects of pressure anisotropy on the inner magnetospheric dynamics self-consistently, especially during geomagnetic disturbed time. From the aspect of the CRCM, we investigate the differences between the isotropic-MHD-driven and anisotropic-MHD-driven simulations. We validate the coupled model through comparing the simulated pressure anisotropy, energy flux and other model outputs with TWINS and other satellite observations. Title: New Adventures with the Space Weather Modeling Framework Authors: Gombosi, T. I.; Toth, G.; van der Holst, B.; Sokolov, I.; Manchester, W. B.; Daldorff, L.; DeZeeuw, D.; Welling, D. T.; Ridley, A. J.; Liemohn, M. W.; Oran, R.; Meng, X.; Jin, M. Bibcode: 2012AGUFMSM22D..03G Altcode: This talk will present new capabilities implemented in the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) and new validation studies that were recently carried out at the University of Michigan. We will focus on four new developments: 1) the recently developed anisotropic plasma pressure simulation technique that made it possible to implement a sophisticated two-way coupling of the CRCM ring current model, 2) the newly developed solar wind model that starts at the chromosphere and extends beyond Earth orbit, 3) regional space weather impact modeling capability and 4) new validation studies using various magnetospheric storms. Title: Solar wind flow in the heliosheath due to latitudinal and time variations over the solar cycle Authors: Provornikova, E.; Opher, M.; Izmodenov, V.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2012AGUFMSH11B2203P Altcode: Recent observations by Voyager 2 in the heliosheath showed strong variations of the solar wind density, velocity and temperature. Magnetic field fluctuates considerably as observed on both Voyager 1 and 2. Anomalous and galactic cosmic rays also present large fluctuations of intensity. Spatial variations and temporal effects in the solar wind due to solar cycle attribute to the observed fluctuations. In this work we aim to explore effects of realistic solar cycle on the 3D solar wind flow in the outer heliosphere. We use time and latitudinal variations of the solar wind density and velocity over two last solar cycles as the boundary conditions in a 3D MHD multi-fluid model of the interaction between the solar wind and interstellar medium based on BATSRUS code. These realistic boundary conditions at 1 AU for the plasma were obtained on the base of the measurements of Ly-alpha intensities on SOHO/SWAN and interplanetary scintillations data (IPS). In our simulation a numerical spatial grid is highly refined along the Voyager 2 trajectory in order to capture disturbances propagating in the solar wind and compare the model with the observations. To validate the model and used boundary conditions we compare our results with Voyager 2 plasma data. In particular we focus on the time-dependent plasma flow in the heliosheath. Title: Simulate the Coronal Mass Ejection on 2011 March 7 from Chromosphere to 1 AU Authors: Jin, M.; Manchester, W. B.; van der Holst, B.; Oran, R.; Sokolov, I.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I.; Vourlidas, A.; Liu, Y.; Sun, X. Bibcode: 2012AGUFMSH33E..04J Altcode: On 2011 March 7, a fast CME (> 2000 km/s) occurred in NOAA 11164. This event is also associated with a Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) event. In this study, we present the magnetohydrodynamics simulation results of this event. We initiate the CME by using the Titov-Demoulin flux rope model. The background solar wind starts from chromosphere with heat conduction and radiative cooling. The solar wind is driven by Alfven-wave pressure and heated by Alfven-wave dissipation. The magnetic field of the inner boundary is specified with a synoptic magnetogram from SDO/HMI. In order to produce the physically correct CME structures and CME-driven shocks, the electron and proton temperatures are separated so that the electron heat conduction is explicitly treated in conjunction with proton shock heating. We simulate the CME propagation to 1 AU. A comprehensive validation work is done by using the remote as well as the in-situ observation from SOHO, STEREOA/B, ACE, and WIND. Our result shows that the new model can reproduce most of the observed features near the Sun and in the heliosphere. The CME-driven shock is well reproduced, which is important for modeling the SEP event with diffusive shock acceleration. Title: Solar wind interaction with Mars Upper atmosphere: Results from the one-way coupling between the Multi-fluid MHD model and the M-TGCM model Authors: Dong, C.; Bougher, S. W.; Ma, Y.; Toth, G.; Nagy, A. F.; Brain, D. A.; Najib, D. Bibcode: 2012AGUFM.P21G..02D Altcode: The study of the solar wind interaction with Mars upper atmosphere/ionosphere has triggered great interest in recent years. Among the large number of topics in this research area, the investigation of ion escape rates has become increasingly important due to its potential impact on the long-term evolution of Mars atmosphere (e.g., loss of water) over its history. In the present work, we adopt the 3D Mars neutral atmosphere profiles from the well-regarded Mars Thermospheric Global Circulation Model (M-TGCM) and one-way couple it with the 3D BATS-R-US Mars multi-fluid MHD model that solves separate momentum equations for each ion species. The M-TGCM model takes into account the effects of the solar cycle (solar minimum: F10.7=70 and solar maximum: F10.7=200 with equinox condition: Ls=0), allowing us to investigate the effects of the solar cycle on the Mars upper atmosphere ion escape by using a one-way coupling, i.e., the M-TGCM model outputs are used as inputs for the multi-fluid MHD model. A case for solar maximum with extremely high solar wind parameters is also investigated to estimate how high the escape flux can be for such an extreme case. Moreover, the ion escape flux along a satellite trajectory will be studied. This has the potential to provide predictions of ion escape rates for comparison to future data to be returned by the MAVEN mission (2012-2016). In order to make the code run more efficiently, we adopt a more appropriate grid structure compared to the one used previously. This new grid structure will benefit us to investigate the effects of some dynamic events (such as CME and dust storm) on the ion escape flux. Title: Multi-fluid MHD study of Titan's plasma interaction Authors: Ma, Y.; Russell, C. T.; Nagy, A. F.; Toth, G.; Dougherty, M. K.; Cravens, T. E. Bibcode: 2012AGUFMSM32B..06M Altcode: We study the plasma interaction around Titan using a three dimensional multi-fluid MHD model. The model calculates densities, velocities, and pressures of seven ion species which are important in either Titan's ionosphere or in the ambient plasma. The code uses a spherical grid structure with high radial resolution ~ 30 km in the lower ionosphere. The model is applied to an idealized case of Titan and the results are compared in detail with that of multi-species but single fluid model using the same set of plasma parameters. It is shown that the multi-fluid model is able to produce the flow separation of different ion fluids along the convection electric field direction. Also the multi-fluid model is in favor of the escape of the heavier ion species. The multi-fluid MHD model is also applied to a recent Titan flyby and compared with plasma observations of Cassini. Title: Multi-Scale Simulations of Magnetospheric Dynamics for Steady Solar Wind Driving Authors: Kuznetsova, M.; Rastaetter, L.; Glocer, A.; Hesse, M.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2012AGUFMSM21E..03K Altcode: The variety of magnetopsheric convection patterns for steady solar wind conditions is one of the major challenges in undertanding underlying mechanisms driving the magnetopshere. We utilize the multi-scale and multi-species global MHD code BATSRUS to analyse the relative contribution of solar wind conditions, ionosphere conductance pattern, plasma composition in inner magnetosphere and local conditions at the reconnection sites on the global magnetosphere dynamics. The primary mechanism controlling the dissipation in the vicinity of the reconnection site is incorporated into MHD description in terms of non-gyrotropic corrections to induction and energy equations. The non-gyrotropic terms reflecting ion kinetic effects depend on the local plasma and field parameters and ion Larmor radii. The varying plasma composition is incorporated into the multi-species description through the effective ion mass. Transitions between different modes of convection will be analysed. Title: Viscosity in Global Magnetosphere Simulations Authors: Daldorff, L.; Toth, G.; Meng, X.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2012AGUFMSM21B2280D Altcode: The multiple scales involved in the magnetic reconnection process give rise to many instabilities. Unfortunately we are not able to capture these processes with today's global magnetosphere models. The mixing of the unstable regions can behave in a "viscous" fashion on larger scales. We therefore implemented viscosity into the BATS-R-US global magnetohydrodynamic code to look at how numerical and physical viscosity will influence the global magnetosphere simulations in addition to magnetic dissipation. Our long term goal is to obtain physically reasonable approximations of reconnection on large scales that do not depend on the grid resolution and numerical dissipation. Title: Does a slow magnetosonic bow shock exist in the local interstellar medium? Authors: Zieger, B.; Opher, M.; Schwadron, N. A.; McComas, D. J.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2012AGUFMSH11B2200Z Altcode: The currently accepted best estimates of plasma parameters in the local interstellar medium suggest that the speed of the interstellar wind (i.e. the relative speed of the local interstellar cloud with respect to the Sun) is very slow (i.e., sub-Alfvenic; Opher et al., Science, 2009; Schwadron et al., ApJ, 2011). This means that no fast magnetosonic bow shock can be formed in the local interstellar medium upstream of the heliosphere, [McComas et al., Science, 2012]. However, the existence of a slow magnetosonic bow shock may be possible. With current LISM parameters, the Mach number for upstream propagating slow magnetosonic waves in the pristine LISM is ~2.1, which suggests that a weak quasi-parallel slow bow shock (SBS) in front of our heliopshere may exist in some regions. Our new multi-ion, multi-fluid MHD model of the heliospheric interface [Prested et al., ApJ, 2012] produces such a slow magnetosonic bow shock only in the quasi-parallel region where theta_Bn (i.e. the angle between the interstellar magnetic field and the normal to the slow magnetosonic surface; SMS) is less than 45 degrees. The SBS divides the LISM into two distinct regions with different plasma populations. One is the pristine LISM and the other is the hotter and slower compressed plasma population of the outer heliosheath that is spatially restricted to the downstream region of the quasi-parallel shock. Slow magnetosonic shocks are generally not observed in space plasmas due to their lack of stability. However, the plasma in the local interstellar medium exists in a regime not commonly observed in interplanetary space. We discuss the possible existence of the magnetosonic bow shock in front of the heliosphere, the arguments for and against its stability, and its implications for heliospheric measurements. Title: Multi-ion, multi-fluid 3-D magnetohydrodynamic simulation of the outer heliosphere Authors: Prested, Christina; Opher, Merav; Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 2012arXiv1211.1908P Altcode: Data from the Voyager probes and the Interstellar Boundary Explorer have revealed the importance of pick-up ions (PUIs) in understanding the character and behavior of the outer heliosphere, the region of interaction between the solar wind and the interstellar medium. In the outer heliosphere PUIs carry a large fraction of the thermal pressure, which effects the nature of the termination shock, and they are a dominate component of pressure in the heliosheath. This paper describes the development of a new multi-ion, multi-fluid 3-D magnetohydrodynamic model of the outer heliosphere. This model has the added capability of tracking the individual fluid properties of multiple ion populations. For this initial study two ion populations are modeled: the thermal solar wind ions and PUIs produced in the supersonic solar wind. The model also includes 4 neutral fluids that interact through charge-exchange with the ion fluids. The new multi-ion simulation reproduces the significant heating of PUIs at the termination shock, as inferred from Voyager observations, and provides properties of PUIs in the 3-D heliosheath. The thinning of the heliosheath due to the loss of thermal energy in the heliosheath from PUI and neutral interaction is also quantified. In future work the multi-ion, multi-fluid model will be used to simulate energetic neutral atom (ENA) maps for comparison with the Interstellar Boundary Explorer, particularly at PUI energies of less than 1 keV. Title: TwoDSSM: Self-gravitating 2D shearing sheet Authors: Gammie, Charles F.; McKinney, Jonathan C.; Noble, Scott C.; Tóth, Gábor; Del Zanna, Luca Bibcode: 2012ascl.soft10025G Altcode: TwoDSSM solves the equations of self-gravitating hydrodynamics in the shearing sheet, with cooling. TwoDSSM is configured to use a simple, exponential cooling model, although it contains code for a more complicated (and perhaps more realistic) cooling model based on a one-zone vertical model. The complicated cooling model can be switched on using a flag. Title: A Numerical Study of Comet Mcnaught over a Wide Range of Heliocentric Distances Authors: Shou, Yinsi; Combi, M. R.; Rubin, M.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2012DPS....4431412S Altcode: A numerical study of Comet McNaught over a wide range of heliocentric distances Yinsi Shou, Michael R. Combi, Martin Rubin, Gabor Toth The Comet C/2006 P1 (McNaught) has a small perihelion distance (0.17 AU) and had a very high production rate during its passage close to the Sun in January and February of 2007. During that period, it was monitored by both ground- and space-based observatories, which provided substantial information about the comet. In early February, the Ulysses spacecraft encountered its ion tail and gave clues to the surrounding solar wind conditions and to the cometary environment. Therefore, Comet McNaught is an ideal object to study the cometary structures under extreme conditions and the solar wind-comet interaction over a wide range of heliocentric distances. A numerical study of Comet McNaught combining two models is conducted. First, a single species magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) [Gombosi et al. (1996, JGR 101, 15233)] simulation is performed using a set of ‘observed’ comet parameters as input. Then a chemistry model [Häberli et al. (1997, Icarus 130, 373)] extracts the streamlines from the MHD model and calculates the densities of different species accounting for photo-dissociation, photo-ionization, electron recombination, ion-molecule and charge-exchange reactions. The MHD results are able to give the diamagnetic cavity sizes and shock distances at various heliocentric distances while the chemistry model better resolves the distribution of the major chemical species in the cometary plasma environment. The combination of the two models allows us to obtain detailed information on the chemical composition of a much wider range of atoms and molecules compared to multi-species or multi-fluid MHD models and at much lower computational expense. Some preliminary results are presented and discussed. This work has been partially supported by grant AST-0707283 from the NSF Planetary Astronomy program and NASA Planetary Atmospheres program grant NNX09AB59G. Title: HARM: A Numerical Scheme for General Relativistic Magnetohydrodynamics Authors: Gammie, Charles F.; McKinney, Jonathan C.; Tóth, Gábor Bibcode: 2012ascl.soft09005G Altcode: HARM uses a conservative, shock-capturing scheme for evolving the equations of general relativistic magnetohydrodynamics. The fluxes are calculated using the Harten, Lax, & van Leer scheme. A variant of constrained transport, proposed earlier by Tóth, is used to maintain a divergence-free magnetic field. Only the covariant form of the metric in a coordinate basis is required to specify the geometry. On smooth flows HARM converges at second order. Title: Do Corotating Interaction Region Associated Shocks Survive When They Propagate into the Heliosheath? Authors: Provornikova, E.; Opher, M.; Izmodenov, V.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2012ApJ...756L..37P Altcode: During the solar minimum at the distance of 42-52 AU from the Sun, Voyager 2 observed recurrent sharp, shock-like increases in the solar wind speed that look very much like forward shocks (Lazarus et al.). The shocks were produced by corotating interaction regions (CIRs) that originated near the Sun. After the termination shock (TS) crossing in 2007, Voyager 2 entered the heliosheath and has been observing the plasma emanated during the recent solar minima. Measurements show high variable flow, but there were no shocks detected in the heliosheath. When CIR-driven shocks propagate to the outer heliosphere, their structure changes due to collision and merging processes of CIRs. In this Letter, we explore an effect of the merging of CIRs on the structure of CIR-associated shocks. We use a three-dimensional MHD model to study the outward propagation of the shocks with characteristics similar to those observed by Voyager 2 at ~45 AU (Lazarus et al. 1999). We show that due to merging of CIRs (1) reverse shocks disappear, (2) forward shocks become weaker due to interaction with rarefaction regions from preceding CIRs, and (3) forward shocks significantly weaken in the heliosheath. Merged CIRs produce compression regions in the heliosheath with small fluctuations of plasma parameters. Amplitudes of the fluctuations diminish as they propagate deeper in the sheath. We conclude that interaction of shocks and rarefaction regions could be one of the explanations, why shocks produced by CIRs are not observed in the heliosheath by Voyager 2 while they were frequently observed upstream the TS. Title: The Coupled Evolution of Electrons and Ions in Coronal Mass Ejection-driven shocks Authors: Manchester, W. B., IV; van der Holst, B.; Tóth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2012ApJ...756...81M Altcode: We present simulations of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) performed with a new two-temperature coronal model developed at the University of Michigan, which is able to address the coupled thermodynamics of the electron and proton populations in the context of a single fluid. This model employs heat conduction for electrons, constant adiabatic index (γ = 5/3), and includes Alfvén wave pressure to accelerate the solar wind. The Wang-Sheeley-Arge empirical model is used to determine the Alfvén wave pressure necessary to produce the observed bimodal solar wind speed. The Alfvén waves are dissipated as they propagate from the Sun and heat protons on open magnetic field lines to temperatures above 2 MK. The model is driven by empirical boundary conditions that includes GONG magnetogram data to calculate the coronal field, and STEREO/EUVI observations to specify the density and temperature at the coronal boundary by the Differential Emission Measure Tomography method. With this model, we simulate the propagation of fast CMEs and study the thermodynamics of CME-driven shocks. Since the thermal speed of the electrons greatly exceeds the speed of the CME, only protons are directly heated by the shock. Coulomb collisions low in the corona couple the protons and electrons allowing heat exchange between the two species. However, the coupling is so brief that the electrons never achieve more than 10% of the maximum temperature of the protons. We find that heat is able to conduct on open magnetic field lines and rapidly propagates ahead of the CME to form a shock precursor of hot electrons. Title: Multi-fluid MHD study of the solar wind interaction with Venus at Solar max and Solar min conditions. Authors: Ma, Y. J.; Nagy, A. F.; Russell, C. T.; Najib, D.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2012epsc.conf..137M Altcode: 2012espc.conf..137M We study the solar wind interaction with Venus, using a new advanced multi-fluid MHD model that has been developed recently. The model is similar to the numerical model that was successfully applied to Mars (Najib et al., 2011). Mass densities, velocities and pressures of the protons and three important ionosphere ion species (O+, O2+ and CO2+) are self-consistently calculated by solving the individual coupled continuity, momentum and energy equations. The various chemical reactions and ion-neutral collision processes are considered in the model. The simulation domain covers the region from 100 km altitude above the surface up to 16 RV in the tail. An adaptive spherical grid structure is constructed with radial resolution of about 10 km in the lower ionosphere. The model is applied to both solar-maximum and solar-minimum conditions and model results are compared in detail with multi-species single fluid model results and VEX observations. Title: Test of the weak cosmic censorship conjecture with a charged scalar field and dyonic Kerr-Newman black holes Authors: Tóth, Gábor Zsolt Bibcode: 2012GReGr..44.2019T Altcode: 2012GReGr.tmp...85T; 2011arXiv1112.2382Z A thought experiment considered recently in the literature, in which it is investigated whether a dyonic Kerr-Newman black hole can be destroyed by overcharging or overspinning it past extremality by a massive complex scalar test field, is revisited. Another derivation of the result that this is not possible, i.e. the weak cosmic censorship is not violated in this thought experiment, is given. The derivation is based on conservation laws, on a null energy condition, and on specific properties of the metric and the electromagnetic field of dyonic Kerr-Newman black holes. The metric is kept fixed, whereas the dynamics of the electromagnetic field is taken into account. A detailed knowledge of the solutions of the equations of motion is not needed. The approximation in which the electromagnetic field is fixed is also considered, and a derivation for this case is also given. In addition, an older version of the thought experiment, in which a pointlike test particle is used, is revisited. The same result, namely the non-violation of the cosmic censorship, is rederived in a way which is simpler than in earlier works. Title: Pressure anisotropy in global magnetospheric simulations: A magnetohydrodynamics model Authors: Meng, X.; Tóth, G.; Liemohn, M. W.; Gombosi, T. I.; Runov, A. Bibcode: 2012JGRA..117.8216M Altcode: 2012JGRA..11708216M In order to better describe the space plasmas where pressure anisotropy has prominent effects, we extend the BATS-R-US magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) model to include anisotropic pressure. We implement the anisotropic MHD equations under the double adiabatic approximation with an additional pressure relaxation term into BATS-R-US and perform global magnetospheric simulations. The results from idealized magnetospheric simulations confirm previous studies: pressure anisotropy widens the magnetosheath, increases the density depletion in the vicinity of the magnetopause, enhances the nightside plasma pressure, and introduces an eastward ring current. In addition, we find that the flow speed in the magnetotail is significantly reduced by including pressure anisotropy in MHD simulations. Our model is validated through comparing the simulations to the THEMIS data on both the dayside and nightside of the magnetosphere during quiet times. The comparison to the results from isotropic MHD simulations implies that although anisotropic MHD is comparable to isotropic MHD in matching the measurement, it improves the simulated plasma velocity in some cases. Title: What did we learn about the 3D Global Structure of the Heliosphere with Voyager and IBEX Authors: Opher, Merav; Provornikova, Elena; Toth, Gabor; Drake, James; Swisdak, Marc; Izmodenov, Vladislav Bibcode: 2012cosp...39.1407O Altcode: 2012cosp.meet.1407O In this talk I will review what we have learned in the past couple of years about the global structure of the heliosphere. The recent measurements in-situ by the Voyager spacecrafts, combined with the all-sky images of the heliospheric boundaries by the Interstellar Boundary Explorer (IBEX) mission have transformed radically our knowledge of the boundaries of the heliosphere. Concepts that resisted decades are being revisited due to their puzzling measurements. In this talk, I will cover some of these puzzles and what are learning regarding the dynamic nature of the heliosphere and heliosheath. When uncovering the structure of the heliosheath it is crucial to separate spatial from temporal variations. We were fortunate that the extended solar minima conditions minimized temporal effects in the heliosphere and allowed us to uncover the spatial variations. With the increased solar activity becomes a challenge to incorporate temporal effects. I will review some of the puzzled observations of by Voyager spacecraft in the heliosheath indicating that the presence of the heliospheric current sheet might play a crucial role on organizing the heliosheath; affecting both the flows and transport of energetic particles. I will review as well our attempts to estimate the temporal effects that Corotating Interacting Regions have in the heliosheath. Finally, I will address how knowledge gained from missions such as Ulysses and future out of the ecliptic mission concepts as well as theoretical analysis of physical parameters that may be observed from the solar polar orbit will allow us a better understanding of the global structure of the heliosphere, in particular with its interaction with the interstellar medium. Title: VAC: Versatile Advection Code Authors: Tóth, Gábor; Keppens, Rony Bibcode: 2012ascl.soft07003T Altcode: The Versatile Advection Code (VAC) is a freely available general hydrodynamic and magnetohydrodynamic simulation software that works in 1, 2 or 3 dimensions on Cartesian and logically Cartesian grids. VAC runs on any Unix/Linux system with a Fortran 90 (or 77) compiler and Perl interpreter. VAC can run on parallel machines using either the Message Passing Interface (MPI) library or a High Performance Fortran (HPF) compiler. Title: 3D Global Structure of the Heliosheath with the Sector Region Authors: Opher, Merav; Toth, Gabor; Drake, James; Swisdak, Marc Bibcode: 2012cosp...39.1406O Altcode: 2012cosp.meet.1406O No abstract at ADS Title: Magnetohydrodynamics with Anisotropic Ion Pressure Authors: Meng, X.; Tóth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2012ASPC..459..340M Altcode: To simulate the pressure anisotropy of space plasmas, we extended the global magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) model BATS-R-US based on the study of MHD with anisotropic ion pressure and isotropic electron pressure under both the classical and semirelativistic approximation. We derived the characteristic wave speeds for determining time steps and calculating numerical fluxes. Simulations of the Earth's magnetosphere validated the model's ability to reproduce the pressure anisotropy in the magnetosheath. Title: MHD Modeling of Solar Wind Interaction with Mars Authors: Ma, Yingjuan; Russell, C. T.; Najib, Dalal; Nagy, Andrew; Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 2012cosp...39.1139M Altcode: 2012cosp.meet.1139M No abstract at ADS Title: Simulating radiative shocks in nozzle shock tubes Authors: van der Holst, B.; Tóth, G.; Sokolov, I. V.; Daldorff, L. K. S.; Powell, K. G.; Drake, R. P. Bibcode: 2012HEDP....8..161V Altcode: 2011arXiv1109.4332V We use the recently developed Center for Radiative Shock Hydrodynamics (CRASH) code to numerically simulate laser-driven radiative shock experiments. These shocks are launched by an ablated beryllium disk and are driven down xenon-filled plastic tubes. The simulations are initialized by the two-dimensional version of the Lagrangian Hyades code which is used to evaluate the laser energy deposition during the first 1.1 ns. Later times are calculated with the CRASH code. CRASH solves for the multi-material hydrodynamics with separate electron and ion temperatures on an Eulerian block-adaptive-mesh and includes a multi-group flux-limited radiation diffusion and electron thermal heat conduction. The goal of the present paper is to demonstrate the capability to simulate radiative shocks of essentially three-dimensional experimental configurations, such as circular and elliptical nozzles. We show that the compound shock structure of the primary and wall shock is captured and verify that the shock properties are consistent with order-of-magnitude estimates. The synthetic radiographs produced can be used for comparison with future nozzle experiments at high-energy-density laser facilities. Title: Modeling of heliosphere and magnetic reconnection in the heliosheath Authors: Opher, Merav; Drake, Jim; Swisdak, Marc; Schoeffller, Kevin; Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 2012shin.confE..53O Altcode: The recent measurements in-situ by the Voyager spacecrafts, combined with the all-sky images of the heliospheric boundaries by the Interstellar Boundary Explorer (IBEX) mission have transformed radically our knowledge of the boundaries of the heliosphere. Concepts that resisted decades are being revisited due to their puzzling measurements. In particular after the crossing of the termination shock (TS) by V1 and then by V2, one of the first surprises was that both Voyager found no evidence for the acceleration of the anomalous cosmic rays at the TS as expected for approximately 25 years. Another challenge are the energetically particles intensities that are dramatically different at Voyager 1 and 2. In this talk I will review the state-of-the art of numerical modeling of the global heliosphere as well as our recent model that propose that reconnection is happening in the heliosheath within the sector region. All current global models of the heliosphere are based on the assumption that the magnetic field in the heliosheath is laminar. Recently, we proposed that the annihilation of the 'sectored' magnetic field within the heliosheath as it is compressed on its approach to the heliopause produces anomalous cosmic rays and also energetic electrons. As a product of the annihilation of the sectored magnetic field, densely packed magnetic islands (which further interact to form magnetic bubbles) are produced. These magnetic islands/bubbles will be convected with ambient flows as the sector region is carried to higher latitudes filling the heliosheath. As a result, the magnetic field in the heliosheath sector region will be disordered. I will review results from our three-dimensional MHD simulation for the first time included self-consistently the sector region and particle-in-cells simulations that followed the kinetic evolution of the reconnection of the multiple current sheets. We show that due to the high pressure of the interstellar magnetic field a north-south asymmetry develops such that the disordered sectored region fills a large portion of the northern part of the heliosphere with a smaller extension in the southern hemisphere. I will review observations that support this scenario indicating that the presence of the heliospheric current sheet, where the magnetic field reconnected might play a crucial role on organizing the heliosheath; affecting both the flows and transport of energetic particles. Title: Simulating the long-term evolution of radiative shocks in shock tubes Authors: van der Holst, B.; Toth, G.; Sokolov, I. V.; Torralva, B. R.; Powell, K. G.; Drake, R. P. Bibcode: 2012arXiv1206.1370V Altcode: We present the latest improvements in the Center for Radiative Shock Hydrodynamics (CRASH) code, a parallel block-adaptive-mesh Eulerian code for simulating high-energy-density plasmas. The implementation can solve for radiation models with either a gray or a multigroup method in the flux-limited-diffusion approximation. The electrons and ions are allowed to be out of temperature equilibrium and flux-limited electron thermal heat conduction is included. We have recently implemented a CRASH laser package with 3-D ray tracing, resulting in improved energy deposition evaluation. New, more accurate opacity models are available which significantly improve radiation transport in materials like xenon. In addition, the HYPRE preconditioner has been added to improve the radiation implicit solver. With this updated version of the CRASH code we study radiative shock tube problems. In our set-up, a 1 ns, 3.8 kJ laser pulse irradiates a 20 micron beryllium disk, driving a shock into a xenon-filled plastic tube. The electrons emit radiation behind the shock. This radiation from the shocked xenon preheats the unshocked xenon. Photons traveling ahead of the shock will also interact with the plastic tube, heat it, and in turn this can drive another shock off the wall into the xenon. We are now able to simulate the long term evolution of radiative shocks. Title: Sensitivity of ENA emission to various plasma properties in the outer heliosphere: insight from MHD models Authors: Prested, Christina Lee; Opher, M.; Toth, G.; Schwadron, N. Bibcode: 2012shin.confE..52P Altcode: Using our new 3D multi-ion, multi-fluid MHD model of the outer heliosphere, we probe the nature of energetic neutral atom (ENA) emission in the heliosheath. How does ENA emission vary through the heliosheath and what properties of the plasma and neutrals is it most sensitive to? Where are the majority of ENA's produced and how does this insight affect our interpretation of the IBEX all-sky ENA maps? From this analysis we begin to answer these questions and engage in a dialogue on linking the MHD models of the outer heliosphere with the IBEX ENA maps. Title: How does merging of CIRs affect shocks in the outer heliosphere? Authors: Provornikova, Elena; Opher, Merav; Izmodenov, Vlad; Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 2012shin.confE..56P Altcode: Observations of the solar wind in the outer heliosphere by Voyager 2 exhibit many examples of shocks. During the solar minimum in 1994-1997 near the distance 45 AU from the Sun Voyager 2 observed recurrent shocks and shock-like structures that were produced by corotating merged interaction regions. Measurements of the heliosheath plasma, emanated during the recent solar minima, do not show existence of shocks in the heliosheath. We explore an effect of merging of corotating interaction regions (CIRs) in the solar wind on the structure of CIR associated shocks. Using a 3D MHD model of the solar wind interaction with the local interstellar medium, we show that due to interaction of shocks and rarefaction waves in a process of merging of CIRs, the shocks strongly weaken in the outer heliosphere. Presented study suggests that merging process could be one of the explanations why Voyager 2 did not observe CIR associated shocks in the heliosheath while it showed several examples of shocks in the solar wind upstream the TS. Title: Numerical Simulations of Coronal Mass Ejection on 2011 March 7: One-Temperature and Two-Temperature Model Comparison Authors: Jin, Meng; Manchester, W. B.; van der Holst, B.; Oran, R.; Sokolov, I.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2012shin.confE..42J Altcode: During Carrington Rotation 2107, a fast CME (> 2000 km/s) occurred in NOAA 11164. This event is also associated with a Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) event. In this study, we present simulations of this CME with one-temperature (1T) and two-temperature ( 2T: coupled thermodynamics of the electron and proton populations) models. Both the 1T and 2T models start from chromosphere with heat conduction and radiative cooling. The background solar wind is driven by Alfven-wave pressure and heated by Alfven-wave dissipation in which the counter-propagating waves are included. The magnetic field of the inner boundary is set up using the magnetogram from SDO/HMI. The Titov Demoulin flux-rope model is used to initiate the CME event. We compare the propagation of fast CMEs and the thermodynamics of CME-driven shocks in both the 1T and 2T CME simulations. Our results emphasize the importance of the explicit treatment of electron heat conduction in conjunction with proton shock heating in the CME simulation in order to produce the physically correct CME structures and CME-driven shocks. Title: Near the Boundary of the Heliosphere: A Flow Transition Region Authors: Opher, M.; Drake, J. F.; Velli, M.; Decker, R. B.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2012ApJ...751...80O Altcode: Since April of 2010, Voyager 1 has been immersed in a region of near zero radial flows, where the solar wind seems to have stopped. The existence of this region contradicts current models that predict that the radial flows will go to zero only at the heliopause. These models, however, do not include the sector region (or include it in a kinematic fashion), where the solar magnetic field periodically reverses polarity. Here we show that the presence of the sector region in the heliosheath, where reconnection occurs, fundamentally alters the flows, giving rise to a Flow Transition Region (FTR), where the flow abruptly turns and the radial velocity becomes near zero or negative. We estimate, based on a simulation, that at the Voyager 1 location, the thickness of the FTR is around 7-11 AU. Title: Magnetospheric configuration and dynamics of Saturn's magnetosphere: A global MHD simulation Authors: Jia, Xianzhe; Hansen, Kenneth C.; Gombosi, Tamas I.; Kivelson, Margaret G.; Tóth, Gabor; DeZeeuw, Darren L.; Ridley, Aaron J. Bibcode: 2012JGRA..117.5225J Altcode: 2012JGRA..11705225J We investigate the solar wind interaction with Saturn's magnetosphere by using a global magnetohydrodynamic simulation driven by an idealized time-varying solar wind input that includes features of Corotating Interaction Regions typically seen at Saturn. Our model results indicate that the compressibility of Saturn's magnetosphere is intermediate between the Earth's and Jupiter's, and the magnetopause location appears insensitive to the orientation of the interplanetary magnetic field. The modeled dependences of both the magnetopause and bow shock locations on the solar wind dynamic pressure agree reasonably well with those of data-based empirical models. Our model shows that the centrifugal acceleration of mass-loaded flux tubes leads to reconnection on closed field lines forming plasmoids, an intrinsic process (“Vasyliūnas-cycle”) in Saturn's magnetosphere taking place independent of the external conditions. In addition, another type of reconnection process involving open flux tubes (“Dungey-cycle”) is also seen in our simulation when the external condition is favorable for dayside reconnection. Under such circumstances, plasmoid formation in the tail involves reconnection between open field lines in the lobes, producing stronger global impacts on the magnetosphere and ionosphere compared to that imposed by the Vasyliūnas-cycle directly. Our model also shows that large-scale tail reconnection may be induced by compressions driven by interplanetary shocks. In our simulation, large-scale tail reconnection and plasmoid formation take place in a quasi-periodic manner but the recurrence rate tends to be higher as the dynamic pressure becomes higher. While large-scale plasmoid release clearly is an important process in controlling the magnetospheric dynamics, it appears insufficient to account for all the losses of plasma added by the magnetospheric sources. We find that a large fraction of the planetary plasma is lost through the magnetotail near the flanks probably through relatively small-scale plasmoids, a situation that may also exist at Jupiter. Title: Multi-fluid MHD study of the solar wind interaction with Venus at Solar max and Solar min conditions Authors: Ma, Y.; Nagy, A. F.; Russell, C. T.; Najib, D.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2012EGUGA..1411974M Altcode: We study solar wind interaction with Venus using a new advanced multi-fluid MHD model that has recently been developed. The model is similar to the numerical model that was successfully applied to Mars (Najib et al., 2011). Mass densities, velocities and pressures of the protons and major ionosphere ion species (O+, O2+ and CO2+) are self-consistently calculated by solvng the individual coupled continuity, momentum and energy equations. The various chemical reactions and ion-neutral collision processes are considered in the model. The simulation domain covers the region from 100 km altitude above the surface up to 16 RV in the tail. An adaptive spherical grid structure is constructed with radial resolution of about 10 km in the lower ionosphere. The model is applied to both solar-maximum and solar-minimum conditions and model results are compared in detail with multi-species single fluid model results and observations. Title: Kinetic model of the inner magnetosphere with arbitrary magnetic field Authors: Ilie, Raluca; Liemohn, Michael W.; Toth, Gabor; Skoug, Ruth M. Bibcode: 2012JGRA..117.4208I Altcode: 2012JGRA..11704208I Theoretical and numerical modifications to an inner magnetosphere model—Hot Electron Ion Drift Integrator (HEIDI)—were implemented, in order to accommodate for a nondipolar arbitrary magnetic field. While the dipolar solution for the geomagnetic field during quiet times represents a reasonable assumption in the near-Earth closed field region, during storm activity this assumption becomes invalid. HEIDI solves the time-dependent, gyration- and bounce-averaged kinetic equation for the phase space density of one or more ring current species. New equations are derived for the bounce-averaged coefficients for the distribution function, and their numerical implementation is discussed. Also, numerically solving all the bounce-averaged coefficients for the dipole case does not change the results significantly from the analytical approximation of Ejiri (1978). However, distorting the magnetic field changes all bounce-averaged coefficients that make up the kinetic equation. Initial simulations show that changing the magnetic field changes the whole topology of the ring current. This is because the drifts are altered due to dayside compression and nightside stretching of the field. Therefore, at certain locations, the nondipolar magnetic drifts can dominate the convective drifts, considerably altering the pressure distribution in the equatorial plane. Title: Modeling solar zenith angle effects on the polar wind Authors: Glocer, A.; Kitamura, N.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. Bibcode: 2012JGRA..117.4318G Altcode: 2012JGRA..11704318G We use the Polar Wind Outflow Model (PWOM) to study the geomagnetically quiet conditions in the polar cap during solar maximum. The PWOM solves the gyrotropic transport equations for O+, H+, and He+ along several magnetic field lines in the polar region in order to reconstruct the full 3D solution. We directly compare our simulation results to the data based empirical model of Kitamura et al. (2011) of electron density which is based on 63 months of Akebono satellite observations. The modeled ion and electron temperatures are also compared with a statistical compilation of quiet time data obtained by the EISCAT Svalbard Radar (ESR) and Intercosmos Satellites. The data and model agree reasonably well, albeit with some differences. This study shows that photoelectrons play an important role in explaining the differences between sunlit and dark results of electron density, ion composition, as well as ion and electron temperatures of the quiet time polar wind solution. Moreover, these results provide an initial validation of the PWOM's ability to model the quiet time “background” solution. Title: Perpendicular flow deviation in a magnetized counter-streaming plasma Authors: Jia, Y. -D.; Ma, Y. J.; Russell, C. T.; Lai, H. R.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2012Icar..218..895J Altcode: Charged dust exists in various regions in the Solar System. How this charged dust interacts with the surrounding plasma is not well understood. In this study we neglect the charging process and treat the charged dust as a fluid interacting with the ambient magnetized plasma fluid. The model reproduces the expected plasma deceleration with both positively charged and negatively charged dust, but a new effect arises. Negatively charged dust causes the magnetic field to bend in the direction of the convection electric field, while positively charged dust causes the opposite magnetic field bending. Consequently, the interaction does not only result in a perpendicular shift in the downstream current system, but also a rotation in these currents. We present quantitative results using the multi-fluid MHD code BATSRUS for both subsonic and supersonic interactions. We find that the same perpendicular bending exists for all counter-streaming interaction problems, independent of the shape of the dust cloud. The new model can be applied to plasma interaction studies including, but not limited to, charged dust particles in the solar wind, cometary plasma, the Enceladus plume, and active plasma releases, such as the Active Magnetospheric Particle Tracer Experiment (AMPTE) mission. The predicted behavior is consistent with observations at Enceladus. Title: A Global Two-temperature Corona and Inner Heliosphere Model: A Comprehensive Validation Study Authors: Jin, M.; Manchester, W. B.; van der Holst, B.; Gruesbeck, J. R.; Frazin, R. A.; Landi, E.; Vasquez, A. M.; Lamy, P. L.; Llebaria, A.; Fedorov, A.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2012ApJ...745....6J Altcode: The recent solar minimum with very low activity provides us a unique opportunity for validating solar wind models. During CR2077 (2008 November 20 through December 17), the number of sunspots was near the absolute minimum of solar cycle 23. For this solar rotation, we perform a multi-spacecraft validation study for the recently developed three-dimensional, two-temperature, Alfvén-wave-driven global solar wind model (a component within the Space Weather Modeling Framework). By using in situ observations from the Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory (STEREO) A and B, Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE), and Venus Express, we compare the observed proton state (density, temperature, and velocity) and magnetic field of the heliosphere with that predicted by the model. Near the Sun, we validate the numerical model with the electron density obtained from the solar rotational tomography of Solar and Heliospheric Observatory/Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph C2 data in the range of 2.4 to 6 solar radii. Electron temperature and density are determined from differential emission measure tomography (DEMT) of STEREO A and B Extreme Ultraviolet Imager data in the range of 1.035 to 1.225 solar radii. The electron density and temperature derived from the Hinode/Extreme Ultraviolet Imaging Spectrometer data are also used to compare with the DEMT as well as the model output. Moreover, for the first time, we compare ionic charge states of carbon, oxygen, silicon, and iron observed in situ with the ACE/Solar Wind Ion Composition Spectrometer with those predicted by our model. The validation results suggest that most of the model outputs for CR2077 can fit the observations very well. Based on this encouraging result, we therefore expect great improvement for the future modeling of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and CME-driven shocks. Title: Multi-fluid MHD simulation of the solar wind interaction with Venus Authors: Nagy, A. F.; Najib, D.; Ma, Y.; Russell, C. T.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2011AGUFMSA13A1865N Altcode: This paper reports on a new advanced multi-fluid MHD model that has recently been developed for Venus. The model is similar to the numerical model that was successfully applied to Mars (Najib et al., 2011). Mass densities, velocities and pressures of the protons and major ionosphere ion species (O+, O2+ and CO2+) are self-consistently calculated by solving the individual coupled continuity, momentum and energy equations. The various chemical reactions and ion-neutral collision processes are considered in the model. The simulation domain covers the region from 100 km altitude above the surface up to 16 RV in the tail. An adaptive spherical grid structure is constructed with radial resolution of about 10 km in the lower ionosphere. The model is applied to both solar-maximum and solar-minimum conditions and model results are compared in detail with multi-species single fluid model results. Title: 3D MHD modeling of non-stationary flow in the heliosheath Authors: Provornikova, E.; Opher, M.; Izmodenov, V.; Toth, G.; Oran, R. Bibcode: 2011AGUFMSH11A1910P Altcode: Both Voyager 1 and 2 data show that the heliosheath region is highly dynamic. As we climb out of the extended solar minima, time variations will be more and more important. The variations in the solar wind parameters in the heliosheath can be affected by the propagation of different interplanetary disturbances to the outer heliosphere. Using a 3D MHD multi-fluid code based on BATS-R-US (Opher et al. 2009), with a highly resolved spatial grid in Voyager 2 direction (size of a cell 0.48 AU) we study the propagation of the solar wind large-scale structures in the heliosheath region. We present our first results on the propagation of a forward-reverse shock pair and an abrupt pulse of solar wind dynamic pressure in the heliosheath region. We discuss in details the structure of the flow in the heliosheath and the response of the heliopause to the disturbances. We analyze the intensity of variations of the plasma parameters (magnetic field and speed) as measured in Voyager 2. We conclude that reflected waves appear in the heliosheath and they may contribute to the variations in solar wind parameters measured at Voyager spacecrafts. We present as well the initial results from a realistic propagation of a global merged interaction regions (GMIR) from the Sun to the heliospheric boundaries using a new coupled inner heliosphere-to outer heliosphere module. Title: Multi-fluid MHD study of Ion Loss from Titan's Atmosphere Authors: Ma, Y.; Russell, C. T.; Nagy, A. F.; Toth, G.; Dougherty, M. K.; Cravens, T. E. Bibcode: 2011AGUFMSM21B2014M Altcode: We study the plasma interaction around Titan using our new three dimensional multi-fluid MHD model similar to the one that was used recently to study Mars [Najib et al., 2011]. The multi-fluid MHD model of Titan is solved using the Michigan BATSRUS code. The model calculates densities, velocities, and pressures of seven ion species which are important in either Titan's ionosphere or in the ambient plasma. The code uses a spherical grid structure with high radial resolution ~ 30 km in the lower ionosphere. The model is applied to an idealized case of Titan and the results are compared in detail with that of a single fluid model using the same set of plasma parameters to illustrate the importance of multi-fluid effects near Titan. We present the calculated ion escape rates from both models and discuss the differences. Title: Flow Transition Region in the Heliosheath Authors: Opher, M.; Drake, J. F.; Velli, M.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2011AGUFMSH11A1908O Altcode: The tilt between the solar rotation and magnetic axes creates a sector region. Recently, we argued that the magnetic field in the sector region in the heliosheath has reconnected (Opher et al. 2011) and is filled with magnetic structures disconnected from the sun, called "bubbles". Here we show, that the sector region affects the flows in the heliosheath such as to create a region where the flow abruptly turns and the radial flow is near zero or negative. We dub this the flow transition region (FTR). The FTR is formed due to several effects that we have explored. The sector region in the heliosheath defines two flows: the flow within the sector region (region 1) behaves like an un-magnetized flow while the flow outside the sector (region 2) is connected to the larger heliosphere through the laminar magnetic field. The region 1 flow is dominantly affected by the blunt heliopause ahead of it and is mostly radial. As the flow streamlines approach the heliopause they turn abruptly, creating the FTR.This region didn't exist in previous simulations with no sectors where the flows downstream of the termination shock turn almost immediately to the sides and to higher latitudes. The thickness of FTR varies and is thinner in the southern hemisphere. We estimate, based on a recent 3D MHD simulation (Opher et al. 2011) that at the Voyager 1 location the thickness of FTR is 10-12AU. The simulations accurately reproduce the Voyager 1 flows. Since 2010 Voyager 1 has been immersed in the FTR, based on the negligible flows detected (Krimigis et al. 2011). If no other temporal dependent effects change the overall structure of the heliosphere, Voyager 1 is expected to cross the heliopause in the next 3-5 years. The FTR is much narrower in the southern hemisphere and Voyager 2 is expected to enter that region in the next couple years. Title: Modeling the quiet time outflow solution in the polar cap Authors: Glocer, A.; Kitamura, N.; Gombosi, T. I.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2011AGUFMSM44A..05G Altcode: We use the Polar Wind Outflow Model (PWOM) to study the geomagnetically quiet conditions in the polar cap during solar maximum. The PWOM solves the gyrotropic transport equations for O+, H+, and He+ along several magnetic field lines in the polar region in order to reconstruct the full 3D solution. We directly compare our simulation results to the data based empirical model of Kitamura et al. [2011] of electron density, which is based on 63 months of Akebono satellite observations. The modeled ion and electron temperatures are also compared with a statistical compilation of quiet time data obtained by the EISCAT Svalbard Radar (ESR) and Intercosmos Satellites (Kitamura et al. [2011]). The data and model agree reasonably well. This study shows that photoelectrons play an important role in explaining the differences between sunlit and dark results, ion composition, as well as ion and electron temperatures of the quiet time polar wind solution. Moreover, these results provide validation of the PWOM's ability to model the quiet time "background" solution. Title: The heliospheric structure during the recent solar minimum: shocks in the lower corona and the magnetic field structure in the heliosheath Authors: Opher, M.; Drake, J. F.; Evans, R.; Provornikova, E.; Swisdak, M. M.; Schoeffler, K. M.; van der Holst, B.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2011AGUFMSH23D..06O Altcode: In this talk we review the recent heliospheric structure as affected by the recent solar minimum. We will focus especially on two frontiers areas: a) evolution of shocks in the lower corona and b) the heliosheath. In particular, we will focus on how the recent extended minimum allowed us to separate spatial and temporal effects in the outer heliosphere. We will describe new phenomena that we were able to explore, the reconnection of the sectored magnetic field in the heliosheath. Very little is known on how shocks thought to be driven by CMEs, form and evolve in the lower corona. This is a crucial area since its has been shown by observations that they form low in the corona (1-4Rs) and coincide with the acceleration to GeV energies. We will describe our recent attempts (e.g., Evans et al. 2011; Das et al.; 2011) to uncover the evolution of CMEs at these locations. All the current global models of the heliosphere are based on the assumption that the magnetic field in the heliosheath, in the region close to the heliopause is laminar and connect back to the Sun. We argue recently, based on Voyager observations that in that region the heliospheric magnetic field is not laminar but instead consists of magnetic bubbles, or magnetic structures disconnected from the Sun (Opher et al. 2011). The consequence is that the heliopause might be a porous membrane instead of a shield. As the sun increased its activity, it will be more complicated to disentangle temporal from spatial and global structure. We will comment on how the increased solar activity might affect the sector structure in the heliosheath as well as the implication for our understanding of how galactic cosmic rays enter the heliosphere. Due to the slow flows in the heliosheath, the heliosheath has a long time memory of solar activity. Moreover, Corotating Interaction Regions and Global Merged Interacting Regions are known to disturb the termination shock and heliopause as well as the heliosheath flows and fields. For example it is still poorly understood how temporal effects propagate in the heliosheath and affect the level of turbulence. We will present some of our recent work trying to understand how temporal effects, such as CIRs propagates from the sun into the outer heliosphere. Title: Modeling Solar Wind and Coronal Mass Ejection During Carrington Rotation 2107 Authors: Jin, M.; Manchester, W. B.; van der Holst, B.; Gruesbeck, J. R.; Frazin, R. A.; Landi, E.; Vasquez, A. M.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2011AGUFMSH53C..08J Altcode: With the starting of solar cycle 24, the Sun begins to show more activity. New observations from Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) give us a great opportunity to test and validate our solar corona model for space weather forecasts. During Carrington Rotation 2107, an M3.7 flare occurred in NOAA 11164 on 2011 March 7 with a fast CME (> 2000 km/s). There is also a Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) event associated with this CME. In this study, we will first model the steady state solar wind using a newly developed three-dimensional Alfven-wave-driven global solar wind model within the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF), which includes counter propagating Alfven waves. The magnetic field of the inner boundary is set up using the magnetogram from SDO/HMI. The inner boundary condition for density and temperature are specified from the Differential Emission Measure Tomography (DEMT) of SDO/AIA data. A flux rope is then applied to the active region NOAA 11164 to initiate the CME event. The properties of CME-driven shocks in the model output are studied in detail, which will be used to simulate the related SEP event in the future. By using multispacecraft observations, we perform a validation study for the model results. Title: Variation of Pick-up Ion Pressure throughout the Heliosheath: 3-Dimensional Multi-ion, Multi-fluid Magnetohydrodynamic Simulation of the Outer Heliosphere Authors: Prested, C. L.; Opher, M.; Toth, G.; Schwadron, N. A. Bibcode: 2011AGUFMSH21C..07P Altcode: The interaction between the solar system and interstellar medium (ISM) involves multiple populations of ions and neutrals of both heliosphere and local interstellar origin. Of special interest is the pick-up ion population generated in the inner heliosphere, as it carries upwards of 80% the plasma pressure in the outer heliosphere [Richardson et al., 2008]. The Interstellar Boundary Explorer (IBEX) global energetic neutral atom (ENA) maps of the interstellar-heliosphere interaction show temporal variation in the interaction region upwards of 15% in ENA emission over a time scale of < 6 months. The short time scale and magnitude of the variation implies that the origin of this variation comes from the solar system plasma, which has considerable solar cycle variation, and likely not from variability in the interstellar medium. The dynamic properties of the pressure dominant pick-up ions are a likely candidate for this temporal variation. We ask, how does the pick-up ion pressure vary through the heliosheath, spatially and temporally? In previous 3-dimensional magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulations of the outer heliosphere, a single plasma fluid was used to describe the behavior of the solar wind plasma and the pick-up ions. For simulating ENA maps, the single plasma fluid was assumed to have a kappa distribution, describing the thermal core of solar wind plasma and the suprathermal tail of pick-up ions [Prested et al., 2008]. These simulations captured the global structure of the heliosphere but lost information on how the pick-up ion population and the pressure it carries evolve through the ISM-heliosphere interaction region. This information is vital for understanding the energy-dependent temporal and spatial variations observed in the IBEX global maps. We have extended our previous 3-d MHD multifluid model [Opher et al., 2009] to include the solar wind and pick-up ions as 2 separate ion fluids [i.e. Glocer et al., 2009 ], in addition to treating 4 separate neutral populations. Additionally, we introduce temporal variation by simulating the global heliosphere with solar-minimum and solar-maximum solar wind conditions. We quantify how the pick-up ion pressure varies through the heliosheath under these conditions and validate our results through comparison with the Voyager 1 and 2 heliosheath measurements. From our analysis of the two extreme solar wind cases, we conclude whether or not variation in pick-up ion pressure could be responsible for the 6-month, large scale variation seen in the IBEX global maps. Title: Controlling Reconnection in Global Magnetospheric Simulations Authors: Toth, G.; Meng, X.; Daldorff, L.; Ridley, A. J.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2011AGUFMSM31B2108T Altcode: Magnetic reconnection plays a major role in determining the dynamics of the magnetosphere. Yet, the reconnection rate in most global magnetosphere models relies on numerical resistivity. This means, unfortunately, that the simulation results are sensitive to the numerical parameters, such as grid resolution and the choice of the numerical scheme. We are exploring how we can control the resistivity in a better way. As a preliminary study, we do grid convergence studies of reconnection with constant resistivity in 2 dimensions. We establish the relationship between the grid resolution and the achievable magnetic Reynolds number. Based on these results we can estimate the effective numerical resistivity in global magnetospheric simulations, and use an explicit resistivity to better control the reconnection rate. Title: Anisotropic BATSRUS and CRCM two way coupling Authors: Meng, X.; Toth, G.; Glocer, A.; Fok, M. H.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2011AGUFMSM51B2061M Altcode: As a newly extended capability of the BATSRUS code, anisotropic MHD can solve for the anisotropic ion pressure and isotropic electron pressure. It does a good job on simulating the quiet time magnetosphere, and the coupling with the Rice Convection Model (RCM) produces reasonable solutions for geomagnetic storms. However, RCM assumes the isotropic distribution of particles, which ignores the anisotropy information from BATSRUS. In order to better represent the near-Earth magnetosphere especially during disturbed times, we couple the anisotropic BATSRUS to the Comprehensive Ring Current Model (CRCM), which resolves the pitch-angle distribution. We present the preliminary results here, including the coupling algorithm and some validation tests. Title: Spatial and temporal signatures of flux transfer events in global simulations of magnetopause dynamics Authors: Kuznetsova, M. M.; Sibeck, D. G.; Hesse, M.; Berrios, D.; Rastaetter, L.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2011AGUFMSM53B..01K Altcode: Flux transfer events (FTEs) were originally identified by transient bipolar variations of the magnetic field component normal to the nominal magnetopause centered on enhancements in the total magnetic field strength. Recent Cluster and THEMIS multi-point measurements provided a wide range of signatures that are interpreted as evidence for FTE passage (e.g., crater FTEs, traveling magnetic erosion regions). We use the global magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) code BATS-R-US developed at the University of Michigan to model the global three-dimensional structure and temporal evolution of FTEs during multi-spacecraft magnetopause crossing events. Comparison of observed and simulated signatures and sensitivity analysis of the results to the probe location will be presented. We will demonstrate a variety of observable signatures in magnetic field profile that depend on space probe location with respect to the FTE passage. The global structure of FTEs will be illustrated using advanced visualization tools developed at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center. Title: Simulating the one-dimensional structure of Titan's upper atmosphere: 3. Mechanisms determining methane escape Authors: Bell, Jared M.; Bougher, Stephen W.; Waite, J. Hunter, Jr.; Ridley, Aaron J.; Magee, Brian A.; Mandt, Kathleen E.; Westlake, Joseph; DeJong, Anna D.; Bar-Nun, Akiva; Jacovi, Ronen; Toth, Gabor; De La Haye, Virginie; Gell, David; Fletcher, Gregory Bibcode: 2011JGRE..11611002B Altcode: This investigation extends the work presented by Bell et al. (2010a, 2010b). Using the one-dimensional (1-D) configuration of the Titan Global Ionosphere-Thermosphere Model (T-GITM), we quantify the relative importance of the different dynamical and chemical mechanisms that determine the CH4 escape rates calculated by T-GITM. Moreover, we consider the implications of updated Huygens Gas Chromatograph Mass Spectrometer (GCMS) determinations of both the 40Ar mixing ratios and 15N/14N isotopic ratios in work by Niemann et al. (2010). Combining the GCMS constraints in the lower atmosphere with the Ion Neutral Mass Spectrometer (INMS) measurements in work by Magee et al. (2009), our simulation results suggest that the optimal CH4 homopause altitude is located at 1000 km. Using this homopause altitude, we conclude that topside escape rates of 1.0 × 1010 CH4 m-2 s-1 (referred to the surface) are sufficient to reproduce the INMS methane measurements in work by Magee et al. (2009). These escape rates of methane are consistent with the upper limits to methane escape (1.11 × 1011 CH4 m-2 s-1) established by both the Cassini Plasma Spectrometer (CAPS) and Magnetosphere Imaging Instrument (MIMI) measurements of Carbon-group ions in the near Titan magnetosphere. Title: Numerical investigation of the late-time Kerr tails Authors: Rácz, István; Tóth, Gábor Zs Bibcode: 2011CQGra..28s5003R Altcode: 2011arXiv1104.4199R The late-time behavior of a scalar field on fixed Kerr background is examined in a numerical framework incorporating the techniques of conformal compactification and hyperbolic initial value formulation. The applied code is 1+(1+2) as it is based on the use of the spectral method in the angular directions while in the time-radial section fourth order finite differencing, along with the method of lines, is applied. The evolution of various types of stationary and non-stationary pure multipole initial states are investigated. The asymptotic decay rates are determined not only in the domain of outer communication but along the event horizon and at future null infinity as well. The decay rates are found to be different for stationary and non-stationary initial data, and they also depend on the fall off properties of the initial data toward future null infinity. The energy and angular momentum transfers are found to show significantly different behavior in the initial phase of the time evolution. The quasinormal ringing phase and the tail phase are also investigated. In the tail phase, the decay exponents for the energy and angular momentum losses at I^{\,+} are found to be smaller than at the horizon which is in accordance with the behavior of the field itself and it means that at late times the energy and angular momentum falling into the black hole become negligible in comparison with the energy and angular momentum radiated toward I^{\,+} . The energy and angular momentum balances are used as additional verifications of the reliability of our numerical method. Title: The importance of thermal electron heating in Titan's ionosphere: Comparison with Cassini T34 flyby Authors: Ma, Y. J.; Russell, C. T.; Nagy, A. F.; Toth, G.; Dougherty, M. K.; Wellbrock, A.; Coates, A. J.; Garnier, P.; Wahlund, J. -E.; Cravens, T. E.; Richard, M. S.; Crary, F. J. Bibcode: 2011JGRA..11610213M Altcode: We use a new magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model to study the effects of thermal-electron heating in Titan's ionosphere. This model improves the previously used multispecies MHD model by solving both the electron and ion pressure equations instead of a single plasma pressure equation. This improvement enables a more accurate evaluation of ion and electron temperatures inside Titan's ionosphere. The model is first applied to an idealized case, and the results are compared in detail with those of the single-pressure MHD model to illustrate the effects of the improvement. Simulation results show that the dayside ionosphere thermal pressure is larger than the upstream pressure during normal conditions, when Titan is located in the dusk region; thus Saturn's magnetic field is shielded by the highly conducting ionosphere, similar to the interaction of Venus during solar maximum conditions. This model is also applied to a special flyby of Titan, the T34 flyby, which occurred near the dusk region. It is shown that better agreement with the magnetometer data can be achieved using the two-fluid MHD model with the inclusion of the effects of thermal electron heating. The model results clearly demonstrate the importance of thermal-electron heating in Titan's ionosphere. Title: A 3D Multi-fluid MHD Study of the Interaction of the Solar Wind with the Ionosphere/Atmosphere System of Venus. Authors: Najib, D.; Nagy, A.; Toth, G.; Ma, Y. -J. Bibcode: 2011epsc.conf..158N Altcode: 2011DPS....43..158N We use the latest version of our four species multifluid model to study the interaction of the solar wind with Venus. The model solves simultaneously the continuity, momentum and energy equations of the different ions. The lower boundary of our model is at 100 km, below the main ionospheric peak, and the radial resolution is about 10 km in the ionosphere, thus the model does a very good job in reproducing the ionosphere and the associated processes. We carry out calculations for high and low solar activity conditions and establish the importance of mass loading by the extended exosphere of Venus. We demonstrate the importance of using the multi-fluid rather than a single fluid model. We also calculate the atmospheric escape of the ionospheric species and compare our model results with the observed parameters from Pioneer Venus and Venus Express. Title: Perpendicular Flow Separation in a Magnetized Counterstreaming Plasma: Application to the Dust Plume of Enceladus Authors: Jia, Y. -D.; Ma, Y. J.; Russell, C. T.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I.; Dougherty, M. K. Bibcode: 2011epsc.conf...99J Altcode: 2011DPS....43...99J The interaction of charged dust with a magnetized flowing plasma can be treated with a multi-fluid MHD simulation. We examine the interaction of the corotating Saturnian plasma with the charged-dust plume of Enceladus. The model produces plasma deceleration with both positively and negatively charged dust. In addition, the negatively charged dust causes plasma deflection in the direction of the motional electric field and a kink in the magnetic field extending in the same direction. Positively charged dust causes the opposite plasma deflection and the opposite magnetic field bending. These results agree with the magnetic signatures observed on Cassini plume flybys. The code has been tested on both subsonic and supersonic interactions and is applicable to solar wind dust pickup, ICME interactions with dust trails, cometary plasma pickup, active plasma releases such as the AMPTE barium release as well as the Enceladus plume. Title: Rapid rebuilding of the outer radiation belt Authors: Glocer, A.; Fok, M. -C.; Nagai, T.; Tóth, G.; Guild, T.; Blake, J. Bibcode: 2011JGRA..116.9213G Altcode: Recent observations by the radiation monitor (RDM) on the spacecraft Akebono have shown several cases of >2.5 MeV radiation belt electron enhancements occurring on timescales of less than a few hours. Similar enhancements are also seen in detectors on board the NOAA/POES and TWINS 1 satellites. These intervals are shorter than typical radial diffusion or wave-particle interactions can account for. We choose two so-called “rapid rebuilding” events that occur during high speed streams (4 September 2008 and 22 July 2009) and simulated them with the Space Weather Modeling Framework configured with global magnetosphere, radiation belt, ring current, and ionosphere electrodynamics model. Our simulations produce a weaker and delayed dipolarization as compared to observations, but the associated inductive electric field in the simulations is still strong enough to rapidly transport and accelerate MeV electrons resulting in an energetic electron flux enhancement that is somewhat weaker than is observed. Nevertheless, the calculated flux enhancement and dipolarization is found to be qualitatively consistent with the observations. Taken together, the modeling results and observations support the conclusion that storm-time dipolarization events in the magnetospheric magnetic field result in strong radial transport and energization of radiation belt electrons. Title: Reducing numerical diffusion in magnetospheric simulations Authors: Tóth, Gábor; Meng, Xing; Gombosi, Tamas I.; Ridley, Aaron J. Bibcode: 2011JGRA..116.7211T Altcode: Physics-based global magnetosphere modeling requires large computational resources. It is still impractical to resolve the computational domain to the point where numerical errors become negligible. One possible way of reducing numerical diffusion is the “Boris correction”: the semirelativistic magnetohydrodynamics equations are solved with an artificially reduced speed of light. Here we introduce a new alternative approach, an Implicit Scheme with Limited Numerical Dissipation (ISLND). The fully implicit time stepping provides stability, and the wave speeds are limited in the dissipative numerical fluxes only. This limiting only affects the numerical scheme, and it does not modify the equations being solved. This approach can be employed for most total variation diminishing schemes. The differences between the Boris and ISLND schemes are demonstrated in simple numerical tests. We also perform several simulations for two magnetic storms using the global magnetosphere, the ionosphere electrodynamics, and the inner magnetosphere models of the Space Weather Modeling Framework, and we compare the Boris scheme with the limited numerical dissipation method and also with the unmodified base scheme at various grid resolutions. We find that for these particular simulations the Boris scheme and the ISLND scheme produce comparable results, both being significantly less diffusive than the unmodified scheme. Title: A Global Two-Temperature Corona and Inner Heliosphere Model: A Validation Study Authors: Jin, Meng; Manchester, W. B.; van der Holst, B.; Gruesbeck, J.; Frazin, R. A.; Vasquez, A. M.; Lamy, P. L.; Llebaria, A.; Fedorov, A.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2011shin.confE..12J Altcode: The recent solar minimum with very low activity provides us a unique opportunity for validating solar wind models. During CR2077 (2008, November 20 through December 17), the sunspots number reaches the absolute minimum of solar cycle 23. For this solar rotation, we perform a multi-spacecraft validation study for the recently developed three-dimensional, two-temperature, Alfven-wave-driven global solar wind model (a component within the Space Weather Modeling Framework). By using in situ observations from STEREO A and B, ACE/WIND and Venus Express, we compare the observed proton state (density, temperature and velocity) and magnetic field of the heliosphere with that predicted by the model. Near the Sun, we validate the numerical model with the electron density obtained from the solar rotational tomography of SOHO/LASCO-C2 data in the range of 2.4 to 6 solar radii. Electron temperature and density are determined from differential emission measure tomography of STEREO A and B EUVI data in the range of 1.035 to 1.225 solar radii. Moreover, we compare ionic charge states of carbon, oxygen, silicon, and iron observed in situ with ACE/SWICS and that predicted by our model. The validation results suggest that most of the model outputs for CR2077 can fit the observations very well. Based on this encouraging result, we therefore expect great improvement for the modeling of CMEs and CME-driven shocks in the future. Title: Is the Magnetic Field in the Heliosheath Laminar or a Turbulent Sea of Bubbles? Authors: Opher, M.; Drake, J. F.; Swisdak, M.; Schoeffler, K. M.; Richardson, J. D.; Decker, R. B.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2011ApJ...734...71O Altcode: 2011arXiv1103.2236O All current global models of the heliosphere are based on the assumption that the magnetic field in the heliosheath, in the region close to the heliopause (HP), is laminar. We argue that in that region the heliospheric magnetic field is not laminar but instead consists of magnetic bubbles. We refer to it as the bubble-dominated heliosheath region. Recently, we proposed that the annihilation of the "sectored" magnetic field within the heliosheath as it is compressed on its approach to the HP produces anomalous cosmic rays and also energetic electrons. As a product of the annihilation of the sectored magnetic field, densely packed magnetic islands (which further interact to form magnetic bubbles) are produced. These magnetic islands/bubbles will be convected with ambient flows as the sector region is carried to higher latitudes filling the heliosheath. We further argue that the magnetic islands/bubbles will develop upstream within the heliosheath. As a result, the magnetic field in the heliosheath sector region will be disordered well upstream of the HP. We present a three-dimensional MHD simulation with very high numerical resolution that captures the north-south boundaries of the sector region. We show that due to the high pressure of the interstellar magnetic field a north-south asymmetry develops such that the disordered sectored region fills a large portion of the northern part of the heliosphere with a smaller extension in the southern hemisphere. We suggest that this scenario is supported by the following changes that occurred around 2008 and from 2009.16 onward: (1) the sudden decrease in the intensity of low energy electrons (0.02-1.5 MeV) detected by Voyager 2, (2) a sharp reduction in the intensity of fluctuations of the radial flow, and (3) the dramatic differences in intensity trends between galactic cosmic ray electrons (3.8-59 MeV) at Voyager 1 and 2. We argue that these observations are a consequence of Voyager 2 leaving the sector region of disordered field during these periods and crossing into a region of unipolar laminar field. Title: Kinetic versus Multi-fluid Approach for Interstellar Neutrals in the Heliosphere: Exploration of the Interstellar Magnetic Field Effects Authors: Alouani-Bibi, Fathallah; Opher, Merav; Alexashov, Dimitry; Izmodenov, Vladislav; Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 2011ApJ...734...45A Altcode: 2011arXiv1103.3202A We present a new three-dimensional (3D) self-consistent two-component (plasma and neutral hydrogen) model of the solar wind interaction with the local interstellar medium (LISM). This model (K-MHD) combines the magnetohydrodynamic treatment of the solar wind and the ionized LISM component with a kinetic model of neutral interstellar hydrogen (LISH). The local interstellar magnetic field (B LISM) intensity and orientation are chosen based on an early analysis of the heliosheath flows. The properties of the plasma and neutrals obtained using the K-MHD model are compared to previous multi-fluid and kinetic models. The new treatment of LISH revealed important changes in the heliospheric properties not captured by the multi-fluid model. These include a decrease in the heliocentric distance to the termination shock (TS), a thinner heliosheath, and a reduced deflection angle (θ) of the heliosheath flows. The asymmetry of the TS, however, seems to be unchanged by the kinetic aspect of the LISH. Title: CRASH: A Block-adaptive-mesh Code for Radiative Shock Hydrodynamics—Implementation and Verification Authors: van der Holst, B.; Tóth, G.; Sokolov, I. V.; Powell, K. G.; Holloway, J. P.; Myra, E. S.; Stout, Q.; Adams, M. L.; Morel, J. E.; Karni, S.; Fryxell, B.; Drake, R. P. Bibcode: 2011ApJS..194...23V Altcode: 2011arXiv1101.3758V We describe the Center for Radiative Shock Hydrodynamics (CRASH) code, a block-adaptive-mesh code for multi-material radiation hydrodynamics. The implementation solves the radiation diffusion model with a gray or multi-group method and uses a flux-limited diffusion approximation to recover the free-streaming limit. Electrons and ions are allowed to have different temperatures and we include flux-limited electron heat conduction. The radiation hydrodynamic equations are solved in the Eulerian frame by means of a conservative finite-volume discretization in either one-, two-, or three-dimensional slab geometry or in two-dimensional cylindrical symmetry. An operator-split method is used to solve these equations in three substeps: (1) an explicit step of a shock-capturing hydrodynamic solver; (2) a linear advection of the radiation in frequency-logarithm space; and (3) an implicit solution of the stiff radiation diffusion, heat conduction, and energy exchange. We present a suite of verification test problems to demonstrate the accuracy and performance of the algorithms. The applications are for astrophysics and laboratory astrophysics. The CRASH code is an extension of the Block-Adaptive Tree Solarwind Roe Upwind Scheme (BATS-R-US) code with a new radiation transfer and heat conduction library and equation-of-state and multi-group opacity solvers. Both CRASH and BATS-R-US are part of the publicly available Space Weather Modeling Framework. Title: Obtaining Potential Field Solutions with Spherical Harmonics and Finite Differences Authors: Tóth, Gábor; van der Holst, Bart; Huang, Zhenguang Bibcode: 2011ApJ...732..102T Altcode: 2011arXiv1104.5672T Potential magnetic field solutions can be obtained based on the synoptic magnetograms of the Sun. Traditionally, a spherical harmonics decomposition of the magnetogram is used to construct the current- and divergence-free magnetic field solution. This method works reasonably well when the order of spherical harmonics is limited to be small relative to the resolution of the magnetogram, although some artifacts, such as ringing, can arise around sharp features. When the number of spherical harmonics is increased, however, using the raw magnetogram data given on a grid that is uniform in the sine of the latitude coordinate can result in inaccurate and unreliable results, especially in the polar regions close to the Sun. We discuss here two approaches that can mitigate or completely avoid these problems: (1) remeshing the magnetogram onto a grid with uniform resolution in latitude and limiting the highest order of the spherical harmonics to the anti-alias limit; (2) using an iterative finite difference algorithm to solve for the potential field. The naive and the improved numerical solutions are compared for actual magnetograms and the differences are found to be rather dramatic. We made our new Finite Difference Iterative Potential-field Solver (FDIPS) a publicly available code so that other researchers can also use it as an alternative to the spherical harmonics approach. Title: Three-dimensional, multifluid, high spatial resolution MHD model studies of the solar wind interaction with Mars Authors: Najib, Dalal; Nagy, Andrew F.; Tóth, Gábor; Ma, Yingjuan Bibcode: 2011JGRA..116.5204N Altcode: Our newly developed 3-D, multifluid MHD model is used to study the interaction of the solar wind with Mars. This model is based on the BATS-R-US code, using a spherical grid and a radial resolution equal to 10 km in the ionospheric regions. We solve separate continuity, momentum, and energy equations for each ion fluid and run our model for both solar minimum and maximum conditions. We obtain asymmetric densities, velocities, and magnetic pileup in the plane containing both the direction of the solar wind and the convective electric field. These asymmetries are the result of the decoupling of the individual ions; therefore, our model is able to account for the respective dynamics of the ions and to show new physical processes that could not be observed by the single-fluid model. Our results are consistent with the measured bow shock and magnetic pileup locations and with the Viking-observed ion densities. We also compute the escape fluxes for both solar minimum and solar maximum conditions and compare them to the single-fluid results and the observed values from Mars Express. Title: The effects of dynamic ionospheric outflow on the ring current Authors: Welling, D. T.; Jordanova, V. K.; Zaharia, S. G.; Glocer, A.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2011JGRA..116.0J19W Altcode: The importance of ionospheric O+ on the development of the storm time ring current is recognized but not well understood. The addition of this outflow in global MHD models has the potential to change the magnetic field configuration, particle densities and temperatures, and the convection electric field. This makes including heavy ion outflow in ring current simulations difficult, as this addition cannot be easily decoupled from a host of other changes. This study attempts to overcome this problem by using three coupled models, PWOM, RIM, and BATS-R-US, to drive a ring current model, RAM-SCB. The differences in drivers when outflow is included and is not included are compared to see how outflow changes ring current input. It is found that including this outflow reduces the convection electric field, lowers the plasma sheet number density and temperature, and increases the complexity of the plasma sheet ion composition both temporally and spatially. These changes cause an overall reduction in ring current energy density. Further simulations that attempt to isolate these effects find that the most important change in terms of ring current development is the drop in convection electric field. Local time dependencies of O+ injections are found to be nontrivial as well. Capturing all of these effects requires a whole system, first-principles approach. Title: CRASH: A Block-Adaptive-Mesh Code for Radiative Shock Hydrodynamics Authors: van der Holst, B.; Toth, G.; Sokolov, I. V.; Powell, K. G.; Holloway, J. P.; Myra, E. S.; Stout, Q.; Adams, M. L.; Morel, J. E.; Drake, R. P. Bibcode: 2011ascl.soft01008V Altcode: CRASH (Center for Radiative Shock Hydrodynamics) is a block adaptive mesh code for multi-material radiation hydrodynamics. The implementation solves the radiation diffusion model with the gray or multigroup method and uses a flux limited diffusion approximation to recover the free-streaming limit. The electrons and ions are allowed to have different temperatures and we include a flux limited electron heat conduction. The radiation hydrodynamic equations are solved in the Eulerian frame by means of a conservative finite volume discretization in either one, two, or three-dimensional slab geometry or in two-dimensional cylindrical symmetry. An operator split method is used to solve these equations in three substeps: (1) solve the hydrodynamic equations with shock-capturing schemes, (2) a linear advection of the radiation in frequency-logarithm space, and (3) an implicit solve of the stiff radiation diffusion, heat conduction, and energy exchange. We present a suite of verification test problems to demonstrate the accuracy and performance of the algorithms. The CRASH code is an extension of the Block-Adaptive Tree Solarwind Roe Upwind Scheme (BATS-R-US) code with this new radiation transfer and heat conduction library and equation-of-state and multigroup opacity solvers. Both CRASH and BATS-R-US are part of the publicly available Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). Title: BATSRUS with Anisotropic Ion Pressure Authors: Meng, X.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2010AGUFMSM51B1816M Altcode: We extend the capability of BATSRUS code to simulate anisotropic pressure. Several events are presented here, including quiet time as well as storms. The comparison with measurements, primarily Cluster and THEMIS data are shown. We also investigate the possibility of including a separate evolution equation for the (isotropic) electron pressure. The assumption of isotropy for electrons is reasonable for most space applications. We describe our progress with the implementation and testing. Title: Simulating the one-dimensional structure of Titan's upper atmosphere: 2. Alternative scenarios for methane escape Authors: Bell, Jared M.; Bougher, Stephen W.; Waite, J. Hunter, Jr.; Ridley, Aaron J.; Magee, Brian A.; Mandt, Kathleen E.; Westlake, Joseph; Dejong, Anna D.; de La Haye, Virginie; Bar-Nun, Akiva; Jacovi, Ronen; Toth, Gabor; Gell, David; Fletcher, Gregory Bibcode: 2010JGRE..11512018B Altcode: In Bell et al. (2010) (paper 1), we provide a series of benchmark simulations that validate a newly developed Titan Global Ionosphere-Thermosphere Model (T-GITM) and calibrate its estimates of topside escape rates with recent work by Cui et al. (2008), Strobel (2009), and Yelle et al. (2008). Presently, large uncertainties exist in our knowledge of the density and thermal structure of Titan's upper atmosphere between the altitudes of 500 km and 1000 km. In this manuscript, we explore a spectrum of possible model configurations of Titan's upper atmosphere that are consistent with observations made by the Cassini Ion-Neutral Mass Spectrometer (INMS), Composite Infrared Spectrometer, Cassini Plasma Spectrometer, Magnetospheric Imaging Instrument, and by the Huygens Gas Chromatograph Mass Spectrometer and Atmospheric Science Instrument. In particular, we explore the ramifications of multiplying the INMS densities of Magee et al. (2009) by a factor of 3.0, which significantly alters the overall density, thermal, and dynamical structures simulated by T-GITM between 500 km and 1500 km. Our results indicate that an entire range of topside CH4 escape fluxes can equivalently reproduce the INMS measurements, ranging from ∼108 - 1.86 × 1013 molecules m-2 s-1 (referred to the surface). The lowest topside methane escape rates are achieved by scaling the INMS densities by a factor of 3.0 and either (1) increasing the methane homopause altitude to ∼1000 km or (2) including a physicochemical loss referred to as aerosol trapping. Additionally, when scaling the INMS densities by a factor of 3.0, we find that only Jeans escape velocities are required to reproduce the H2 measurements of INMS. Title: A Data-driven, Two-temperature Solar Wind Model with Alfvén Waves Authors: van der Holst, B.; Manchester, W. B., IV; Frazin, R. A.; Vásquez, A. M.; Tóth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2010ApJ...725.1373V Altcode: We have developed a new three-dimensional magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) solar wind model coupled to the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) that solves for the different electron and proton temperatures. The collisions between the electrons and protons are taken into account as well as the anisotropic thermal heat conduction of the electrons. The solar wind is assumed to be accelerated by the Alfvén waves. In this paper, we do not consider the heating of closed magnetic loops and helmet streamers but do address the heating of the protons by the Kolmogorov dissipation of the Alfvén waves in open field-line regions. The inner boundary conditions for this solar wind model are obtained from observations and an empirical model. The Wang-Sheeley-Arge model is used to determine the Alfvén wave energy density at the inner boundary. The electron density and temperature at the inner boundary are obtained from the differential emission measure tomography applied to the extreme-ultraviolet images of the STEREO A and B spacecraft. This new solar wind model is validated for solar minimum Carrington rotation 2077 (2008 November 20 through December 17). Due to the very low activity during this rotation, this time period is suitable for comparing the simulated corotating interaction regions (CIRs) with in situ ACE/WIND data. Although we do not capture all MHD variables perfectly, we do find that the time of occurrence and the density of CIRs are better predicted than by our previous semi-empirical wind model in the SWMF that was based on a spatially reduced adiabatic index to account for the plasma heating. Title: Is the Magnetic Field in the Heliosheath Sector Region and in the Outer Heliosheath Laminar? Authors: Opher, M.; Drake, J. F.; Swisdak, M. M.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2010AGUFMSH23D..04O Altcode: All the current global models of the heliosphere are based on the assumption that the magnetic field in the outer heliosheath close to the heliopause is laminar. We argue that in the outer heliosheath the heliospheric magnetic field is not laminar but instead consists of nested magnetic islands. Recently, we proposed (Drake et al. 2009) that the annihilation of the ``sectored'' magnetic field within the heliosheath as it is compressed on its approach to the heliopause produces the anomalous cosmic rays (ACRs) and also energetic electrons. As a product of the annihilation of the sectored magnetic field, densly-packed magnetic islands are produced. These magnetic islands will be convected with the ambient flows as the sector boundary is carried to higher latitudes filling the outer heliosheath. We further argue that the magnetic islands will develop upstream (but still within the heliosheath) where collisionless reconnection is unfavorable -- large perturbations of the sector structure near the heliopause will cause compressions of the current sheet upstream, triggering reconnection. As a result, the magnetic field in the heliosheath sector region will be disordered well upstream of the heliopause. We present a 3D MHD simulation with unprecedent numerical resolution that captures the sector boundary. We show that due to the high pressure of the interstellar magnetic field the disordered sectored region fills a large portion of the northern part of the heliosphere with a smaller extension in the southern hemisphere. We test these ideas with observations of energetic electrons, which because of their high velocity are most sensitive to the structure of the magnetic field. We suggest that within our scenario we can explain two significant anomalies in the observations of energetic electrons in the outer heliosphere: the sudden decrease in the intensity of low energy electrons (0.02-1.5MeV) from the LECP instrument on Voyager 2 in 2008 (Decker 2010); and the dramatic differences in intensity trends between Galactic Cosmic Ray Electrons (3.8-59MeV) at Voyager 1 and 2 (McDonald 2010). We argue that these observations are a consequence of Voyager 2 leaving the sector region of disordered field in mid 2008 and crossing into a region of unipolar laminar field. Title: Global MHD simulations of the interaction between Saturn's magnetosphere and the solar wind (Invited) Authors: Jia, X.; Hansen, K. C.; Gombosi, T. I.; Kivelson, M. G.; Toth, G.; de Zeeuw, D.; Ridley, A. J. Bibcode: 2010AGUFMSM31C..01J Altcode: At Saturn, both the external (the solar wind) and the internal (the planet’s rotation and internal plasma source) conditions play an important role in affecting the global structure and dynamics of the magnetosphere. We have used 3D global MHD simulations to investigate the global configuration and dynamics of Saturn’s mass-loaded magnetosphere under different solar wind conditions. Our present model (BATSRUS) adopts a high-resolution, non-uniform spherical grid, which is crucial for capturing fine structures of the large-scale magnetospheric currents responsible for the coupling between the magnetosphere and the ionosphere. In order to examine the effects of the solar wind driving on dynamics of Saturn’s magnetosphere, we have used an idealized solar wind input with features typical of those of Corotating Interaction Regions (CIRs) seen at Saturn’s orbit. Our simulation results indicate that periodic large-scale plasmoid formation occurs in Saturn’s magnetotail, independent of the IMF conditions. However, the periodicity of plasmoid formation in the tail appears to be strongly affected by the upstream solar wind conditions. In this talk, we will compare the global magnetospheric configuration under different solar wind dynamic pressure and IMF conditions. In particular, we will discuss the interplay between the so-called “Vasyliunas-cycle” and “Dungey-cycle” in controlling the global plasma convection in Saturn’s magnetosphere. We will also show the ionospheric response to the solar wind driving, such as changes in the field-aligned currents and convection pattern, and discuss their relationship with dynamics in the magnetosphere. Title: Modeling Ionospheric Outflows In Global Models (Invited) Authors: Glocer, A.; Toth, G.; Fok, M. H.; Gombosi, T. I.; Welling, D. T. Bibcode: 2010AGUFMSA33C..01G Altcode: The magnetosphere contains a significant amount of ionospheric O+, particularly during geomagnetically active times. The presence of this ionospheric plasma has a notable impact on magnetospheric composition and processes. We present our methodology for including an ionospheric mass source into global models, and for tracking the consequences for the space environment system. An overview of our recent efforts is provided. In particular, we illustrate the effect that plasma of ionospheric origin can have on the magnetosphere by simulating extreme geospace events when the fraction of O+ is largest, and contrast those results with simulations of more moderate events. We also compare different techniques of modeling/tracking ionospheric outflow, and explore the implications for the storm-time ring current and magnetospheric magnetic field configuration. Title: Numerical Simulation of Earth Directed CMEs with an Advanced Two-Temperature Coronal Model (Invited) Authors: Manchester, W. B.; van der Holst, B.; Frazin, R. A.; Vasquez, A. M.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2010AGUFMSH32A..02M Altcode: We present progress on modeling Earth-directed CMEs including the December 12, 2008 CME and the May 13, 2005 campaign event from initiation to heliospheric propagation. Our earlier work on the 2005 event followed the CME to the orbit of Saturn employing the coronal model of Cohen et al. (2007), which relies on a spatially varying adiabatic index (gamma) to produce the bimodal solar wind. This model was able to reproduce several features of the observed event, but suffered from artifacts of the artificially thermodynamics. We will examine results of a recent simulation performed with a new two-temperature solar corona model developed at the University of Michigan. This model employs heat conduction for both ion and electron species, constant adiabatic index (=5/3), and includes Alfven waves to drive the solar wind. The model includes SOHO/MDI magnetogram data to calculate the coronal field, and also uses SOHO/EIT observations to specify the density and temperature at the coronal boundary by the Differential Emission Measure Tomography (DEMT) method. The Wang-Sheeley-Arge empirical model is used to determine the Alfven wave pressure necessary to produce the observed solar wind speeds. We find that the new model is much better able to reproduce the solar wind densities, and also correctly captures the compression at the CME-driven shock due to the fixed adiabatic index. Title: Component Reconnexion at the Heliopause Authors: Moore, T. E.; Alouani-Bibi, F.; Opher, M.; Toth, G.; McComas, D. J. Bibcode: 2010AGUFMSH21A1795M Altcode: Extended X lines of component reconnection at the heliopause are derived from 3D MHD simulations of the steady state heliosphere (Alouani-Bibi et al 2010, Opher et al 2009). A similar study established this technique to describe the extended shape of reconnection X-lines at the magnetosphere, as result of its interaction with the interplanetary field of varying orientation (Moore et al., 2002). At the heliopause, reconnection X-line candidates are derived on the basis of geometrical criteria, allowing for shear angles between the interacting fields of less than 180 degree (Cowley 1976) and properties of the magnetic fields and flows outside (interstellar medium) and inside (interplanetary space beyond the termination shock) the heliopause. Kinetic effects addressed by Swisdak et al. (2009) and Opher et al. (2010) can inhibit large scale component reconnection, leading to more localized and nearly anti-parallel reconnection, possibly accounting for the persistent hot spot in IBEX heliopause ribbon. Title: Multi-Scale Modeling of Global Magnetosphere Structure and Dynamics Authors: Kuznetsova, M. M.; Hesse, M.; Rastaetter, L.; Toth, G.; de Zeeuw, D.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2010AGUFMSM31B1868K Altcode: To understand the role of magnetic reconnection in global evolution of magnetosphere and to place spacecraft observations into global context it is essential to perform global simulations with physically motivated model of dissipation that is capable to reproduce reconnection rates predicted by kinetic models. In our efforts to bridge the gap between small scale kinetic modeling and global simulations we introduced an approach that allows to quantify the interaction between large-scale global magnetospheric dynamics and microphysical processes in diffusion regions near reconnection sites. We utilized the high resolution global MHD code BATSRUS and incorporated primary mechanism controlling the dissipation in the vicinity of reconnection sites in terms of kinetic corrections to induction and energy equations. One of the key elements of the multiscale modeling of magnetic reconnection is identification of reconnection sites and boundaries of surrounding diffusion regions where non-MHD corrections are required. Reconnection site search in the equatorial plane implemented in our previous studies is extended to cusp and magnetpause reconnection, as well as for magnetotail reconnection in realistic asymmetric configurations. The role of feedback between the non-ideal effects in diffusion regions and global magnetosphere structure and dynamics will be discussed. Title: Hydrogen deflection in the heliosphere and the effect of local interstellar magnetic field Authors: Alouani-Bibi, F.; Opher, M.; Alexashov, D.; Toth, G.; Izmodenov, V. Bibcode: 2010AGUFMSH21A1800A Altcode: The interaction of solar wind plasma with the local interstellar medium is studied using a coupled 3D Kinetic-MHD model. We show that the deflection of hydrogen atoms that penetrates the heliosphere is affected by the orientation and magnitude of the local interstellar magnetic field (BLISM) as well as by the kinetic treatment of neutral H atoms. We show that the observed deflection by Lallement et al (2005, 2010) of interstellar neutral hydrogen flow at the inner-heliosphere is attained for different orientations and magnitudes of BLISM. The hydrogen deflection plane (HDP, that is the plane containing the He and H vector directions) is not a unique indicator for defining both the BLISM orientation and magnitude. This study is done for a high intensity field, BLISM (4.4µG), based on the analysis of the heliospheric asymmetries (Opher et al. 2009) which used multi-fluid model of solar wind and local interstellar interaction. Comparisons between the kinetic and multi-fluid treatments of neutrals showed substantial reduction in the hydrogen deflection for the kinetic approach. Title: 3D, multi-fluid, MHD calculations of Mars interaction with the solar wind Authors: Najib, D.; Toth, G.; Nagy, A. F.; Curry, S.; Ma, Y. Bibcode: 2010AGUFM.P53E1571N Altcode: We use our 3D multi-fluid MHD model to simulate the interaction of the solar wind with non-magnetized planets, Mars in particular. We set the lower boundary to 100 km and consider photo and electron impact ionization as well as charge exchange in our chemistry. We also add more realistic physical processes to our model, and test it against different solar wind conditions. In addition, we are solving for the electron pressure and therefore for the electron fluid. We also calculate the escape fluxes and compare our results to observations. Title: Numerical simulation of the solar wind disturbances propagating to the distant heliosphere Authors: Provornikova, E. A.; Opher, M.; Izmodenov, V.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2010AGUFMSH51D1721P Altcode: The propagation of waves in the solar wind plasma from 1 AU to the heliospheric boundaries is studied. First we consider the simple 1D spherically symmetric model of the solar wind interaction with the local interstellar medium to describe the wave evolution in the supersonic solar wind flow in which parameters change with heliocentric distance. The hydrodynamics solution and the influence of the interstellar H atoms on the wave structure in the solar wind is discussed. The 2D kinetic-gasdynamic model (Izmodenov et al., 2005, 2008) and 3D MHD model (Opher et al. 2009) are used to study the interaction of the different types of waves in the solar wind with the the termination shock and heliopause. Title: Hall MHD Study of the Solar wind Interaction with Venus Authors: Nagy, A. F.; Ma, Y.; Russell, C. T.; Zhang, T.; Wei, H.; Strangeway, R. J.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2010AGUFMSM33D..01N Altcode: A multi-species, global, Hall MHD model is used to study the solar wind interaction with Venus ionosphere/atmosphere. This model is based on the numerical model that has been successfully applied to Mars (Ma et al., 2004), with Hall effect included. A self-consistent Venus ionosphere is calculated in the model with three ion species (O+, O2+ and CO2+). The related chemical reactions and collision processes are also considered. Our simulation domain covers the region from 100km altitude to 16 Rv in the tail. An adaptive spherical grid structure is used with radial resolution of about 15 km in the lower ionosphere. Mass-loading effect is examined for both solar maximum and solar minimum conditions. The importance of the Hall effect will be discussed. We also show comparisons between our model results with the magnetic fields observed by the magnetometer carried aboard Venus Express. Title: Two Way Coupling RAM-SCB to the Space Weather Modeling Framework Authors: Welling, D. T.; Jordanova, V. K.; Zaharia, S. G.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2010AGUFMSA41B1720W Altcode: The Ring current Atmosphere interaction Model with Self-Consistently calculated 3D Magnetic field (RAM-SCB) has been used to successfully study inner magnetosphere dynamics during different solar wind and magnetosphere conditions. Recently, one way coupling of RAM-SCB with the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) has been achieved to replace all data or empirical inputs with those obtained through first-principles-based codes: magnetic field and plasma flux outer boundary conditions are provided by the Block Adaptive Tree Solar wind Roe-type Upwind Scheme (BATS-R-US) MHD code, convection electric field is provided by the Ridley Ionosphere Model (RIM), and ion composition is provided by the Polar Wind Outflow Model (PWOM) combined with a multi-species MHD approach. These advances, though creating a powerful inner magnetosphere virtual laboratory, neglect the important mechanisms through which the ring current feeds back into the whole system, primarily the stretching of the magnetic field lines and shielding of the convection electric field through strong region two Field Aligned Currents (FACs). In turn, changing the magnetosphere in this way changes the evolution of the ring current. To address this shortcoming, the coupling has been expanded to include feedback from RAM-SCB to the other coupled codes: region two FACs are returned to the RIM while total plasma pressure is used to nudge the MHD solution towards the RAM-SCB values. The impacts of the two way coupling are evaluated on three levels: the global magnetospheric level, focusing on the impact on the ionosphere and the shape of the magnetosphere, the regional level, examining the impact on the development of the ring current in terms of energy density, anisotropy, and plasma distribution, and the local level to compare the new results to in-situ measurements of magnetic and electric field and plasma. The results will also be compared to past simulations using the one way coupling and no coupling whatsoever. This work is the first to fully couple an anisotropic kinetic ring current code with a self-consistently calculated magnetic field to a set of global models. Title: Modeling the Rapid Rebuilding of the Radiation Belts During High Speed Streams Authors: Glocer, A.; Fok, M. H.; Nagai, T.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2010AGUFMSM24A..07G Altcode: Recent observations by Akebono/RDM have shown several cases of >2.5 MeV radiation belt electron enhancements occuring on time scales of less than a few hours. These intervals are shorter than typical radial diffusion or wave-particle interactions can account for. We choose two so-called "rapid rebuilding'' events that occur during high speed streams (July 22, 2009 and September 4, 2008) and simulated them with the coupled BATSRUS-RBE model. We demonstrate that strong dipolarization events in the magnetospheric magnetic field result in strong radial transport and energization of radiation belt electrons. The modeled enhancment, time scales, and commencment time are shown to be consistent with Akebono/RDM observations. Title: Simulating the one-dimensional structure of Titan's upper atmosphere: 1. Formulation of the Titan Global Ionosphere-Thermosphere Model and benchmark simulations Authors: Bell, Jared M.; Bougher, Stephen W.; Waite, J. Hunter; Ridley, Aaron J.; Magee, Brian A.; Mandt, Kathleen E.; Westlake, Joseph; DeJong, Anna D.; Bar–Nun, Akiva; Jacovi, Ronen; Toth, Gabor; De La Haye, Virginie Bibcode: 2010JGRE..11512002B Altcode: We employ a newly developed Navier-Stokes model, the Titan Global Ionosphere-Thermosphere Model (T-GITM) to address the one dimensional (1-D) coupled composition, dynamics, and energetics of Titan's upper atmosphere. Our main goals are to delineate the details of this new theoretical tool and to present benchmark calibration simulations compared against the Ion-Neutral Mass Spectrometer (INMS) neutral density measurements. First, we outline the key physical routines contained in T-GITM and their computational formulation. Then, we compare a series of model simulations against recent 1-D work by Cui et al. (2008), Strobel (2008, 2009), and Yelle et al. (2008) in order to provide a fiducial for calibrating this new model. In paper 2 and a future paper, we explore the uncertainties in our knowledge of Titan's atmosphere between ∼500 km and 1000 km in order to determine how the present measurements constrain our theoretical understanding of atmospheric structures and processes. Title: The effect of the magnetic field stretching on the development of the ring current Authors: Ilie, R.; Toth, G.; Liemohn, M. W.; Skoug, R. M. Bibcode: 2010AGUFMSM31B1871I Altcode: While the dipolar solution for the geomagnetic field during quiet times represents a reasonable assumption, during storm activity this assumption becomes invalid. Theoretical and numerical modifications to an inner magnetosphere - Hot Electron Ion Drift Integrator (HEIDI)- model are implemented, in order to accommodate for a non-dipolar arbitrary magnetic field. HEIDI solves the time dependent, gyration and bounced averaged kinetic equation for the phase space density of one or more ring current species. In this study the effect of the magnetic field stretching on the build-up of the ring current is examined for both real and idealized input conditions. Title: Self-consistent inner magnetosphere simulation driven by a global MHD model Authors: Zaharia, Sorin; Jordanova, V. K.; Welling, D.; Tóth, G. Bibcode: 2010JGRA..11512228Z Altcode: We present results from a one-way coupling between the kinetic Ring Current Atmosphere Interactions Model with Self-Consistent B field (RAM-SCB) and the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). RAM-SCB obtains plasma distribution and magnetic field at model boundaries from the Block Adaptive Tree Solar Wind Roe Upwind Scheme (BATS-R-US) magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) model and convection potentials from the Ridley Ionosphere Model within SWMF. We simulate the large geomagnetic storm of 31 August 2005 (minimum SYM-H of -116 nT). Comparing SWMF output with Los Alamos National Laboratory geostationary satellite data, we find SWMF plasma to be too cold and dense if assumed to consist only of protons; this problem is alleviated if heavier ions are considered. With SWMF inputs, we find that RAM-SCB reproduces well storm time magnetosphere features: ring current morphology, dusk side peak, pitch angle anisotropy, and total energy. The RAM-SCB ring current and Dst are stronger than the SWMF ones and reproduce observations much better. The calculated field-aligned currents (FAC) compare reasonably well with 2 h averaged pictures from Iridium satellite data. As the ring current peak rotates duskward in the storm main phase, the region 2 FACs rotate toward noon, a feature also seen in observations. Finally, the RAM-SCB magnetic field outperforms both the dipole and the BATS-R-US field at Cluster and Polar spacecraft locations. This study shows the importance of a kinetic self-consistent approach and the sensitive dependence of the storm time inner magnetosphere on plasma sheet conditions and the cross polar cap potential. The study showcases the RAM-SCB capability as an inner magnetosphere module coupled with a global MHD model. Title: Improving the physics models in the Space Weather Modeling Framework Authors: Toth, G.; Fang, F.; Frazin, R. A.; Gombosi, T. I.; Ilie, R.; Liemohn, M. W.; Manchester, W. B.; Meng, X.; Pawlowski, D. J.; Ridley, A. J.; Sokolov, I.; van der Holst, B.; Vichare, G.; Yigit, E.; Yu, Y.; Buzulukova, N.; Fok, M. H.; Glocer, A.; Jordanova, V. K.; Welling, D. T.; Zaharia, S. G. Bibcode: 2010AGUFMSM51A1757T Altcode: The success of physics based space weather forecasting depends on several factors: we need sufficient amount and quality of timely observational data, we have to understand the physics of the Sun-Earth system well enough, we need sophisticated computational models, and the models have to run faster than real time on the available computational resources. This presentation will focus on a single ingredient, the recent improvements of the mathematical and numerical models in the Space Weather Modeling Framework. We have developed a new physics based CME initiation code using flux emergence from the convection zone solving the equations of radiative magnetohydrodynamics (MHD). Our new lower corona and solar corona models use electron heat conduction, Alfven wave heating, and boundary conditions based on solar tomography. We can obtain a physically consistent solar wind model from the surface of the Sun all the way to the L1 point without artificially changing the polytropic index. The global magnetosphere model can now solve the multi-ion MHD equations and take into account the oxygen outflow from the polar wind model. We have also added the options of solving for Hall MHD and anisotropic pressure. Several new inner magnetosphere models have been added to the framework: CRCM, HEIDI and RAM-SCB. These new models resolve the pitch angle distribution of the trapped particles. The upper atmosphere model GITM has been improved by including a self-consistent equatorial electrodynamics and the effects of solar flares. This presentation will very briefly describe the developments and highlight some results obtained with the improved and new models. Title: Two-fluid Mhd Study On Ion Loss From Titan'S Atmosphere Authors: Ma, Yingjuan; Russell, C. T.; Nagy, A. F.; Toth, G.; Dougherty, M. K.; Cravens, T. E.; Wellbrock, A.; Coates, A. J.; Garnier, P.; Wahlund, J.; Crary, F. J. Bibcode: 2010DPS....42.3617M Altcode: 2010BAAS...42.1068M This presentation report progress on modeling of Titan's plasma interaction. The single fluid model is improved by including an electron energy equation in the Hall MHD model so that both electron temperature and ion temperature are self-consistently calculated. The plasma interaction with Titan is expected to vary as the moon moves around its orbit. Using the improved model, we compare the structure of the interaction under two extreme conditions, corresponding to upstream flow interacting with the nightside and dayside ionosphere respectively. Model results show that the dayside ionosphere is more extended and the flow is more disturbed in the 6 SLT case than in the 18 SLT case. We also calculate the ion escape rates under these conditions and compare with Cassini observations of the available low altitudes Cassini flybys in corresponding SLTs. Title: Multi-Ion Magnetohydrodynamics Authors: Toth, G.; Glocer, A.; Ma, Y.; Najib, D.; Gombosi, T. Bibcode: 2010ASPC..429..213T Altcode: We derive and numerically solve the full set of magnetohydrodynamic equations with multiple ion fluids. The numerical difficulties and the algorithmic solutions are discussed. We show some preliminary results for the interaction of Mars' ionosphere with the solar wind. Title: Comparison of the open-closed separatrix in a global magnetospheric simulation with observations: The role of the ring current Authors: Rae, I. J.; Kabin, K.; Lu, J. Y.; Rankin, R.; Milan, S. E.; Fenrich, F. R.; Watt, C. E. J.; Zhang, J. -C.; Ridley, A. J.; Gombosi, T. I.; Clauer, C. R.; Tóth, G.; DeZeeuw, D. L. Bibcode: 2010JGRA..115.8216R Altcode: 2010JGRA..11508216R The development of global magnetospheric models, such as Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF), which can accurately reproduce and track space weather processes has high practical utility. We present an interval on 5 June 1998, where the location of the polar cap boundary, or open-closed field line boundary (OCB), can be determined in the ionosphere using a combination of instruments during a period encompassing a sharp northward to southward interplanetary field turning. We present both point- and time-varying comparisons of the observed and simulated boundaries in the ionosphere and find that when using solely the coupled ideal magnetohydrodynamic magnetosphere-ionosphere model, the rate of change of the OCB to a southward turning of the interplanetary field is significantly faster than that computed from the observational data. However, when the inner magnetospheric module is incorporated, the modeling framework both qualitatively, and often quantitatively, reproduces many elements of the studied interval prior to an observed substorm onset. This result demonstrates that the physics of the inner magnetosphere is critical in shaping the boundary between open and closed field lines during periods of southward interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) and provides significant insight into the 3-D time-dependent behavior of the Earth's magnetosphere in response to a northward-southward IMF turning. We assert that during periods that do not include the tens of minutes surrounding substorm expansion phase onset, the coupled SWMF model may provide a valuable and reliable tool for estimating both the OCB and magnetic field topology over a wide range of latitudes and local times. Title: Including gap region field-aligned currents and magnetospheric currents in the MHD calculation of ground-based magnetic field perturbations Authors: Yu, Yiqun; Ridley, Aaron J.; Welling, Dan T.; Tóth, Gabor Bibcode: 2010JGRA..115.8207Y Altcode: 2010JGRA..11508207Y Many high-latitude modeling studies utilize the horizontal ionospheric Hall current in calculating ground-based magnetic perturbations, but low-latitude and midlatitude studies should include current systems such as the magnetospheric, field-aligned, and Pedersen currents. Recently, by including all these current systems, a more precise ground-based perturbation calculator has been implemented in the Space Weather Modeling Framework. Using this new method, ground-based perturbations generated by different current systems are analyzed at low, middle, and high latitudes. As a result of the current systems, MLT-UT maps of ground-based perturbations are studied. Furthermore, nine storms events are simulated at more than 20 low-latitude and midlatitude magnetometer locations and compared with observational ground-based perturbations. These studies show that for specifying the northward component of the ground magnetic perturbations, the inclusion of magnetospheric, field-aligned, and Pedersen current is important and improves the prediction significantly over the prediction only considering the Hall current in the calculation. The improvement is the most during the storm main phase. However, for the vertical and eastward components of the perturbations, which were typically smaller than the northward component, the inclusion of these current systems actually made the specifications worse because the ring current in the model rotates more toward the dayside than in reality. Title: Dynamics of ring current and electric fields in the inner magnetosphere during disturbed periods: CRCM-BATS-R-US coupled model Authors: Buzulukova, N.; Fok, M. -C.; Pulkkinen, A.; Kuznetsova, M.; Moore, T. E.; Glocer, A.; Brandt, P. C.; Tóth, G.; Rastätter, L. Bibcode: 2010JGRA..115.5210B Altcode: 2010JGRA..11505210B We present simulation results from a one-way coupled global MHD model (Block-Adaptive-Tree Solar-Wind Roe-Type Upwind Scheme, BATS-R-US) and kinetic ring current models (Comprehensive Ring Current Model, CRCM, and Fok Ring Current, FokRC). The BATS-R-US provides the CRCM/FokRC with magnetic field information and plasma density/temperature at the polar CRCM/FokRC boundary. The CRCM uses an electric potential from the BATS-R-US ionospheric solver at the polar CRCM boundary in order to calculate the electric field pattern consistent with the CRCM pressure distribution. The FokRC electric field potential is taken from BATS-R-US ionospheric solver everywhere in the modeled region, and the effect of Region II currents is neglected. We show that for an idealized case with southward-northward-southward Bz IMF turning, CRCM-BATS-R-US reproduces well known features of inner magnetosphere electrodynamics: strong/weak convection under the southward/northward Bz; electric field shielding/overshielding/penetration effects; an injection during the substorm development; Subauroral Ion Drift or Polarization Jet (SAID/PJ) signature in the dusk sector. Furthermore, we find for the idealized case that SAID/PJ forms during the substorm growth phase, and that substorm injection has its own structure of field-aligned currents which resembles a substorm current wedge. For an actual event (12 August 2000 storm), we calculate ENA emissions and compare with Imager for Magnetopause-to-Aurora Global Exploration/High Energy Neutral Atom data. The CRCM-BATS-R-US reproduces both the global morphology of ring current and the fine structure of ring current injection. The FokRC-BATS-R-US shows the effect of a realistic description of Region II currents in ring current-MHD coupled models. Title: Interaction of Saturn's magnetosphere and its moons: 1. Interaction between corotating plasma and standard obstacles Authors: Jia, Y. -D.; Russell, C. T.; Khurana, K. K.; Toth, G.; Leisner, J. S.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2010JGRA..115.4214J Altcode: 2010JGRA..11504214J The interaction of Saturn's inner magnetosphere with its moons ranges from the addition of significant quantities of gas, dust, and plasma, causing significant consequences for the dynamics and energetics of the entire Saturnian magnetosphere, to the simple absorption of plasma and energetic particles by the icy moons with non-electrically conducting interiors. The interaction with these moons is complex with the contribution of many physical processes, depending on the geometry of any plume, the structure of the atmosphere, and its interaction with the surface and interior of the moon, the latter by induced fields. Our ultimate goal is to understand the complexities of this interaction and its temporal variations, especially at Enceladus. In this paper we use magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) code for addressing the flow around obstacles that are simpler than the Enceladus interaction. These simulations both help us understand the interaction with other icy moons and prepare us for the simulation of the flow around Enceladus. The processes involved include ordinary collisions, impact ionization, photoionization, and charge exchange. We examine a series of simple canonical interactions before we later apply our simulation where the multiple processes are occurring simultaneously with asymmetric geometries. We apply our 3-D MHD model to simulate the interaction between the Saturnian corotational plasma flow for the following cases: an absorbing body having an insulating surface; ion pickup via photo and impact ionization from a spherically symmetric neutral cloud; charge exchange with such a neutral cloud; and ion pickup at an insulating, absorbing body with an atmosphere acted upon by the sum of the three ionization processes. In addition to validating the model and obtaining a deeper understanding of the consequences of each interaction, we can immediately make some conclusions about the Enceladus interaction. We find that the magnetometer data are most consistent with the surface of Enceladus being absorbing and insulating, rather than the surface being reflecting and electrically conducting. For the conditions in the corotating flow at Enceladus, the perturbation to the plasma flow produced by photo/impact ionization is an order of magnitude smaller than that produced by charge exchange. Moreover, the perturbation to the magnetic field Bz component by a spherically symmetric mass loading source alone is an order of magnitude smaller than that observed in the neighborhood of the plume. Thus, the perturbation observed in the magnetometer data is primarily due to the mass loading in the plume, which is primarily ion-neutral charge exchange. The geometry and source strength of the plume are investigated in a following paper. Title: The Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF): Models and Validation Authors: Gombosi, Tamas; Toth, Gabor; Sokolov, Igor; de Zeeuw, Darren; van der Holst, Bart; Ridley, Aaron; Manchester, Ward, IV Bibcode: 2010cosp...38.4166G Altcode: 2010cosp.meet.4166G In the last decade our group at the Center for Space Environment Modeling (CSEM) has developed the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) that efficiently couples together different models describing the interacting regions of the space environment. Many of these domain models (such as the global solar corona, the inner heliosphere or the global magneto-sphere) are based on MHD and are represented by our multiphysics code, BATS-R-US. SWMF is a powerful tool for coupling regional models describing the space environment from the solar photosphere to the bottom of the ionosphere. Presently, SWMF contains over a dozen components: the solar corona (SC), eruptive event generator (EE), inner heliosphere (IE), outer heliosphere (OH), solar energetic particles (SE), global magnetosphere (GM), inner magnetosphere (IM), radiation belts (RB), plasmasphere (PS), ionospheric electrodynamics (IE), polar wind (PW), upper atmosphere (UA) and lower atmosphere (LA). This talk will present an overview of SWMF, new results obtained with improved physics as well as some validation studies. Title: A 3D Multi-fluid MHD Study of the Interaction of the Solar Wind with the Ionosphere/Atmosphere System of Mars. Authors: Najib, Dalal; Nagy, Andrew; Toth, Gabor; Ma, Yingjuan Bibcode: 2010cosp...38.1406N Altcode: 2010cosp.meet.1406N We use our new four species multi-fluid model to study the interaction of the solar wind with Mars. The lower boundary of our model is at 100 km, below the main ionospheric peak, and the radial resolution is about 10 km in the ionosphere, thus the model does a very good job in reproducing the ionosphere and the associated processes. We carry out calculations for high and low solar activity conditions and establish the importance of mass loading by the extended exosphere of Mars. We also calculate the atmospheric escape of the ionospheric species, including pick up ions. Finally, we compare our model results with the Viking, MGS and Mars Express observations. Title: Exploring the Effects of Ionospheric Outflow on the Inner Magnetosphere using RAM-SCB Authors: Welling, Daniel; Jordanova, Vania; Zaharia, Sorin; Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 2010cosp...38.2212W Altcode: 2010cosp.meet.2212W The Ring current Atmosphere interactions Model with Self-Consistently calculated 3D Mag-netic field (RAM-SCB) has been used to successfully study inner magnetosphere dynamics during different solar wind and magnetosphere conditions. Historically, this numerical model has relied on empirical formulations to provide magnetic field boundary conditions, ionospheric electric potential, and to specify heavy ion composition at the outer boundary. Either empirical models or observations typically specify plasma density and temperature at the boundary. Re-cently, RAM-SCB has been integrated into the Space Weather Modeling Framework, a flexible system that creates real time, two-way coupling between RAM-SCB, the multi-species version of BATS-R-US global MHD and the Polar Wind Outflow Model. Through these couplings, RAM-SCB receives first-principle derived magnetic and plasma boundary conditions as well as convective electric potentials from the SWMF and returns inner magnetosphere plasma pres-sure to correct the MHD solution. This work uses the newly coupled system to explore the relationship between ionospheric outflow and ring current plasma distribution and composition. Data-model comparisons of magnetic field and particle fluxes are used to investigate how well the coupled system represents real world conditions. Title: Global Asymmetries in the Heliosphere: Signature of the Interstellar Magnetic Field Authors: Opher, Merav; Alouani-Bibi, Fathallah; Izmodenov, Vladislav; Richardson, John; Toth, Gabor; Gombosi, Tamas Bibcode: 2010cosp...38.1604O Altcode: 2010cosp.meet.1604O In recent years it become clear that magnetic field effects, plays an important role in the Heliosphere, from shaping it and possible being responsible for the asymmetries observed in the Voyager data (e.g., Opher et al. 2007, 2009). However, the strength and orientation of the field in the local interstellar medium near the heliosphere has been poorly constrained. Previous estimates of the field strength range from 1.8-2.5 G and the field was thought to be parallel to the Galactic plane or inclined by 38-60 (Lallement et al. 2005) or 60-90 (Opher et al. 2007) to this plane. These estimates relied either on indirect observational inferences or modeling in which the interstellar neutral hydrogen was not taken into account. We will discuss recent work that indicate that based on asymmetries detected by Voyager 1 and 2 and measurements of the deflection of the solar wind plasma flows in the heliosheath (Opher et al. 2009) indicate that the field strength in the local interstellar medium is strong, between 4-5 G (Other works such as Izmodenov 2009; Pogorelov et al. 2009; Ratkiewickz et al. 2009 found similar strength). The field is tilted 20-30 from the interstellar medium flow direction (resulting from the peculiar motion of the Sun in the Galaxy) and is at an angle of about 30 from the Galactic plane. We will discuss the effect of such magnetic field in the global asymmetries of the heliosphere. We further will comment on the effect on asymmetries of our recent model of Kinetic-MHD model treating the neutrals in kinetic fashion (Alouani-Bibi et al. 2010). We will relate our findings with the most recent results of IBEX that indicate that the interstellar magnetic field has a strong signature in the emission of energetic neutrals. Title: Magnetosphere modeling using MHD with anisotropic pressure Authors: Toth, Gabor; Meng, Xing; van der Holst, Bart; Gombosi, Tamas Bibcode: 2010cosp...38.2066T Altcode: 2010cosp.meet.2066T In several space physics systems, including the magnetosphere, the parallel and perpendicular (with respect to the magnetic field) components of the pressure tensor can become significantly different. The BATS-R-US code has recently been extended with the capability of solving the magnetohydrodynamic equations with an anisotropic ion pressure. The anisotropy is limited by instabilities and particle-particle and particle-wave interactions. These effects are taken into account as parameterized source terms. We use the total energy equation in combination with the two pressure equations so that we use a conservative scheme as much as possible. This is important to correctly capture the bow shock. We also have the option of allowing the electron temperature to be different from the ion temperature(s). In our current model the separate electron temperature is assumed to be isotropic. Our preliminary results indicate that using anisotropic ion pressure instead of isotropic pressure gives significantly different results. In this talk we will present a systematic comparison between the isotropic and anisotropic MHD models. We will use observational data from the WIND and Cluster satellites to validate our new model for the quiet magnetosphere as well as for magnetic storms. Title: Hybrid simulation of interstellar wind interaction with solar wind plasma Authors: Izmodenov, V.; Alouani Bibi, F.; Opher, M.; Aleksashov, D.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2009AGUFMSH21A1496I Altcode: Iterative Hybrid (Kinetic / MHD) approach is used to study the interaction of the partly ionized interstellar wind with the fully ionized solar wind plasma. Charged and neutral components are coupled though charge exchange. The location and topology (e.g. asymmetries) of the Heliospheric boundaries (BS, HP and TS) are analyzed and compared to previous multi-fluid approach, where the kinetic description of neutrals was approximated by hydrodynamic multi neutral species (4 species). Based on analysis of global heliospheric asymmetries, we use our best estimate for the interstellar magnetic field orientation and intensity. The iterative scheme is performed using the ionized fluid properties obtained with our 3D MHD code as a source term for the neutral H, which is treated by solving the Boltzmann Kinetic equation, the output of the later is fed back to the MHD code as plasma source terms. Each of these phases is allowed to reach a steady state before each iteration. Title: Ion Loss from Titan's Atmosphere versus Local Time: A two-fluid MHD Study Authors: Ma, Y.; Russell, C. T.; Nagy, A. F.; Toth, G.; Dougherty, M. K.; Cravens, T. E.; Wellbrock, A.; Coates, A. J.; Garnier, P.; Wahlund, J.; Crary, F. J. Bibcode: 2009AGUFM.P13D..06M Altcode: This presentation report recent progress on modeling of plasma interaction around Titan. The single fluid MHD model reproduces only the sum of the electron temperature and ion temperature. Our recent modeling includes an electron energy equation in the Hall MHD model so that both electron temperature and ion temperature ARE self-consistently calculated. The plasma interaction with Titan is expected to vary as the moon moves around its orbit. Using the improved model, we compare the structure of the interaction under two extreme conditions, corresponding to upstream flow interacting with the nightside and dayside ionosphere respectively. Model results show that the dayside ionosphere is more extended and the flow is more disturbed in the 6 SLT case than in the 18 SLT case. We calculate the ion escape rates under these conditions and compare with Cassini observations of the only two available low altitudes Cassini flybys in Saturn's dawn (T5 flyby) and dusk (T34 flyby) sectors. Title: Global simulations of dynamic magnetosphere response to steady southward IMF driving Authors: Patel, K.; Kuznetsova, M. M.; Hesse, M.; Rastaetter, L.; Toth, G.; de Zeeuw, D.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2009AGUFMSM13B1608P Altcode: We utilize the global MHD model BATS-R-US with incorporated nongyrotropic effects in diffusion regions to investigate the dynamic magnetosphere response to southward interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) driving. We analyze relative importance of the solar wind conditions, ionosphere conductance and dissipation mechanisms supporting the magnetotail reconnection in controlling the mode of magnetic energy release. The conditions for the quasi-periodic loading/unloading sawtooth response will be discussed. Title: A new method for global magnetosphere simulations: an implicit scheme with limited numerical diffusion Authors: Toth, G.; Meng, X.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2009AGUFMSM51A1321T Altcode: We are introducing a new scheme to model the global magnetosphere with less numerical diffusion. The new scheme combines the stability of an implicit solver with a limited diffusive numerical flux. The new scheme is an alternative to the standard "Boris correction" that solves the semi-relativistic MHD equations with an artificially reduced speed of light. While the Boris correction is an efficient and well established method, it changes the time dependent behavior of the equations, since it artificially reduces the propagation speeds. The new scheme on the other hand does not modify the physics, only the numerical algorithm. We are comparing the limited numerical diffusion scheme with the Boris correction for idealized problems as well as for magnetic storm simulations. Title: A 3D Multi-fluid MHD Study of the Interaction of the Solar Wind with the Ionosphere/Atmosphere System of Mars Authors: Najib, D.; Nagy, A. F.; Ma, Y.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2009AGUFM.P11B1213N Altcode: We use our new four species multi-fluid model to study the interaction of the solar wind with Mars. The lower boundary of our model is at 100 km, below the main ionospheric peak, and the radial resolution is about 10 km in the ionosphere, thus the model does a very good job in reproducing the ionosphere and the associated processes. We carry out calculations for high and low solar activity conditions and establish the importance of the extended exosphere of Mars. We also calculate the atmospheric escape of the ionospheric species and the added contributions from charge exchange in the exosphere. Finally, we compare our model results with the Viking, MGS and Mars observations. Title: Coupling HEIDI into the SWMF Authors: Ilie, R.; Liemohn, M. W.; Toth, G.; Ridley, A. J. Bibcode: 2009AGUFMSM11A1546I Altcode: In this study we will present results from the Hot Electron and Ion Drift Integrator (HEIDI) model, which has been recently coupled into the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). HEIDI solves the time dependent, gyration and bounced averaged kinetic equation for the phase space density of different ring current species. An advantage of using HEIDI is that it computes full pitch angle distributions for all local times and radial distances. The largest modification and improvement to HEIDI is the inclusion of a non-dipolar, time dependent magnetic field. The bounce-averaged coefficients, which make up the bounce-averaged kinetic equation, have been rewritten to account for an arbitrary magnetic field. The gradient/curvature drift includes both azimuthal and radial components. Moreover, arbitrary grid sizes in radial, azimuthal, energy and pitch angle are allowed. HEIDI receives full and realistic magnetic field distributions from BATSRUS and the electric potential from the ionospheric electrodynamics model, through couplers within SWMF. Preliminary results of the self-consistent coupling between HEIDI and BATSRUS during idealized and realistically drive time-periods will be presented. Title: Multifluid Block-Adaptive-Tree Solar wind Roe-type Upwind Scheme: Magnetospheric composition and dynamics during geomagnetic storms—Initial results Authors: Glocer, A.; Tóth, G.; Ma, Y.; Gombosi, T.; Zhang, J. -C.; Kistler, L. M. Bibcode: 2009JGRA..11412203G Altcode: The magnetosphere contains a significant amount of ionospheric O+, particularly during geomagnetically active times. The presence of ionospheric plasma in the magnetosphere has a notable impact on magnetospheric composition and processes. We present a new multifluid MHD version of the Block-Adaptive-Tree Solar wind Roe-type Upwind Scheme model of the magnetosphere to track the fate and consequences of ionospheric outflow. The multifluid MHD equations are presented as are the novel techniques for overcoming the formidable challenges associated with solving them. Our new model is then applied to the May 4, 1998 and March 31, 2001 geomagnetic storms. The results are juxtaposed with traditional single-fluid MHD and multispecies MHD simulations from a previous study, thereby allowing us to assess the benefits of using a more complex model with additional physics. We find that our multifluid MHD model (with outflow) gives comparable results to the multispecies MHD model (with outflow), including a more strongly negative Dst, reduced CPCP, and a drastically improved magnetic field at geosynchronous orbit, as compared to single-fluid MHD with no outflow. Significant differences in composition and magnetic field are found between the multispecies and multifluid approach further away from the Earth. We further demonstrate the ability to explore pressure and bulk velocity differences between H+ and O+, which is not possible when utilizing the other techniques considered. Title: The link between pick-up ions and energetic neutral atoms Authors: Alouani Bibi, F.; Opher, M.; Prested, C. L.; Schwadron, N. A.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2009AGUFMSH21B1508A Altcode: We study the source (starting inside the termination shock) and transport of pick-up ions (PUI) linked to the generation of energetic neutral atoms (ENA). We use a three dimensional multi-fluid (seven populations: thermal protons, four neutral populations, PUI ions and ENA) magneto-hydrodynamic model. PUIs are injected into the simulation grid as an inner-boundary condition at 30 AU and appropriate PUI source terms are included inside the heliopause. At the inner-boundary, the PUI initial density and temperature are derived analytically assuming a Vasyliunas-Siscoe distribution function for these suprathermal particles. PUI production beyond the heliopause is neglected. The variations in the non-thermal solar wind pressure inside the heliopause as a result of PUI production and convection are analyzed. Implications of these pressure variations on the heliospheric boundaries and resulting ENA maps are discussed. Title: Comparing Different Approaches of Modeling Magnetospheric Composition Authors: Glocer, A.; Toth, G.; Fok, M. H.; Gombosi, T. I.; Yu, Y.; Moore, T. Bibcode: 2009AGUFMSM22A..08G Altcode: The magnetosphere contains a significant amount of ionospheric O+, particularly during geomagnetically active times. The presence of this ionospheric plasma has a notable impact on magnetospheric composition and processes. There currently exist only a handful of approaches to model magnetospheric composition: multi-fluid MHD, multi-species MHD, and individual particle tracing techniques. We present an overview of the advantages and disadvantages of these different approaches and provide a direct comparison of their results. Details of the new multi-fluid and multi-species MHD versions of the BATS-R-US model of the magnetosphere are given. The multi-fluid and multi-species MHD approaches are directly compared for May 4, 1998 and March 31, 2001 geomagnetic storms. These approaches yield comparable results, namely a more strongly negative Dst, reduced CPCP, and a drastically improved magnetic field at geosynchronous orbit, as compared to single-fluid MHD with no ionospheric outflow. We also simulate the October 2002 geomagnetic storm and directly compare our multi-fluid and multi-species simulations to the particle tracing approach used by Fok et al, [2008]. Title: Orientation and Magnitude of the Interstellar Magnetic Field from Heliosheath Flows Authors: Opher, M.; Alouani Bibi, F.; Toth, G.; Richardson, J. D.; Izmodenov, V.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2009AGUFMSH32A..04O Altcode: We show that the heliosheath flows can be used as a new and highly important data set to determine the interstellar magnetic field orientation and magnitude. We use a new three-dimensional model that includes both the plasma and the neutral H atoms as well as the interplanetary and interstellar magnetic fields. The field orientation and magnitude that we derive differ substantially from the those previously reported (Opher et al. 2006, 2007). We comment on the consequences of this result on the heliospheric global asymmetries (such as the field-aligned streaming of low energy particles, the distance of the termination shock, and the shape of the heliopause). We comments as well on the inference on the conditions on the local interstellar medium. We study the effect of numerical resolution and non-stationary on the model shock and find them to be negligible. We also comment on the possible effects of the tilt of current sheet, not included currently in the model (which at the time of the termination shock crossings of Voyager 1 and 2 was about 30 degrees). We present a simulation with a scaled down heliosphere which includes a dynamic time dependent current sheet. Title: Coupling RAM-SCB to a Magnetospheric GCM and Polar Wind Outflow Model Authors: Welling, D. T.; Jordanova, V.; Zaharia, S. G.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2009AGUFMSM13C1617W Altcode: The Ring current Atmosphere interaction Model with Self-Consistently calculated 3D Magnetic field (RAM-SCB) has been used to successfully study inner magnetosphere dynamics during different solar wind and magnetosphere conditions. Historically, this numerical model has relied on empirical formulations to provide magnetic field boundary conditions, ionospheric electric potential, and to specify heavy ion content at the outer boundary. Either empirical models or observations typically specify plasma density at the boundary. Recently, RAM-SCB has been integrated into the Space Weather Modeling Framework, a flexible system that creates real time, two-way coupling between RAM-SCB, the multi-species version of BATS-R-US global MHD and the Polar Wind Outflow Model. Through these couplings, RAM-SCB receives first-principle derived magnetic and plasma boundary conditions from the SWMF and returns inner magnetosphere plasma pressure to correct the MHD solution. This paper summarizes the methodology used and presents simulation results of magnetospheric storms using the coupled codes. The impact of the coupling, especially the delivery of heavy ionospheric ions to RAM-SCB, on plasma pressure, energy density, and anisotropy in the inner magnetosphere are explored. Data-model comparisons are used to investigate how well the coupled system represents real world conditions. Title: BATSRUS with Hall MHD and anisotropic pressure Authors: Meng, X.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2009AGUFMSM51A1344M Altcode: We describe our progress in extending the capabilities of the BATS-R-US MHD code to model anisotropic pressure. In several space physics applications the assumption of isotropic pressure is not valid, and the parallel and perpendicular (with respect to the magnetic field) components of the pressure tensor can become significantly different. We will describe the equations and our progress with the implementation and testing of this new capability. Title: A strong, highly-tilted interstellar magnetic field near the Solar System Authors: Opher, M.; Bibi, F. Alouani; Toth, G.; Richardson, J. D.; Izmodenov, V. V.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2009Natur.462.1036O Altcode: Magnetic fields play an important (sometimes dominant) role in the evolution of gas clouds in the Galaxy, but the strength and orientation of the field in the interstellar medium near the heliosphere has been poorly constrained. Previous estimates of the field strength range from 1.8-2.5μG and the field was thought to be parallel to the Galactic plane or inclined by 38-60° (ref. 2) or 60-90° (ref. 3) to this plane. These estimates relied either on indirect observational inferences or modelling in which the interstellar neutral hydrogen was not taken into account. Here we report measurements of the deflection of the solar wind plasma flows in the heliosheath to determine the magnetic field strength and orientation in the interstellar medium. We find that the field strength in the local interstellar medium is 3.7-5.5μG. The field is tilted ~20-30° from the interstellar medium flow direction (resulting from the peculiar motion of the Sun in the Galaxy) and is at an angle of about 30° from the Galactic plane. We conclude that the interstellar medium field is turbulent or has a distortion in the solar vicinity. Title: Integration of the radiation belt environment model into the space weather modeling framework Authors: Glocer, A.; Toth, G.; Fok, M.; Gombosi, T.; Liemohn, M. Bibcode: 2009JASTP..71.1653G Altcode: We have integrated the Fok radiation belt environment (RBE) model into the space weather modeling framework (SWMF). RBE is coupled to the global magnetohydrodynamics component (represented by the Block-Adaptive-Tree Solar-wind Roe-type Upwind Scheme, BATS-R-US, code) and the Ionosphere Electrodynamics component of the SWMF, following initial results using the Weimer empirical model for the ionospheric potential. The radiation belt (RB) model solves the convection-diffusion equation of the plasma in the energy range of 10 keV to a few MeV. In stand-alone mode RBE uses Tsyganenko's empirical models for the magnetic field, and Weimer's empirical model for the ionospheric potential. In the SWMF the BATS-R-US model provides the time dependent magnetic field by efficiently tracing the closed magnetic field-lines and passing the geometrical and field strength information to RBE at a regular cadence. The ionosphere electrodynamics component uses a two-dimensional vertical potential solver to provide new potential maps to the RBE model at regular intervals. We discuss the coupling algorithm and show some preliminary results with the coupled code. We run our newly coupled model for periods of steady solar wind conditions and compare our results to the RB model using an empirical magnetic field and potential model. We also simulate the RB for an active time period and find that there are substantial differences in the RB model results when changing either the magnetic field or the electric field, including the creation of an outer belt enhancement via rapid inward transport on the time scale of tens of minutes. Title: Multiscale Modeling of Reconnection: Effects on CME Dynamics Authors: Evans, Rebekah Minnel; Kuznetsova, Maria M.; Opher, Merav; Toth, Gabor; Gombosi, Tamas I. Bibcode: 2009shin.confE.189E Altcode: Magnetic reconnection is believed to play a crucial role in the initiation and liftoff of a CME, and could continue during propagation. However, the best tool to study these events - advanced global MHD models - operates in the fluid regime and therefore is limited to unphysical numerical and/or ad hoc anomalous reconnection terms. Recently, efforts to include kinetic reconnection effects in a global MHD code were successfully implemented into the BATS-R-US model for the magnetotail. By applying the same techniques used in multiscale modeling of magnetospheric reconnection, we simulate for the first time the dissipation of magnetic energy of a CME as it propagates through the interplanetary medium and the feedback on the background solar wind. We initiate the CME using a modified Titov-Demoulin flux rope with the Space Weather Modeling Framework and determine the effects of the nongyrotropic corrections on the evolution out to 3Rsun. Title: Modeling ionospheric outflows and their impact on the magnetosphere, initial results Authors: Glocer, A.; Tóth, G.; Gombosi, T.; Welling, D. Bibcode: 2009JGRA..114.5216G Altcode: 2009JGRA..11405216G Ionospheric outflow has been shown to be a significant contributor to the plasma population of the magnetosphere during active geomagnetic conditions. We present the results of new efforts to model the source and effects of out-flowing plasma in the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). In particular, we develop and use the Polar Wind Outflow Model (PWOM), a field-aligned, multifluid, multifield line polar wind code to simulate the ionospheric outflow. The PWOM is coupled to the ionosphere electrodynamics and global magnetosphere components of the SWMF, so we can calculate the outflow and its resulting impact on magnetospheric composition and dynamics. By including the outflow as part of a coupled system, we study the consequences of outflow on the larger space environment system. We present our methodology for the magnetosphere-ionosphere coupling, as well as the effect of outflow on the magnetosphere during two geomagnetic storms. Moreover, we explore the use of multispecies MHD to track the resulting plasma composition in the magnetosphere. We find that, by including ionospheric outflow during geomagnetic storms, we can reduce the RMS error in the simulated magnetic field as compared with various GOES satellites by as much as 50%. Additionally, we find that the outflow causes a strong decrease in Dst and in the cross-polar cap potential. Title: Cavities of weak magnetic field strength in the wake of FTEs: Results from global magnetospheric MHD simulations Authors: Kuznetsova, M. M.; Sibeck, D. G.; Hesse, M.; Wang, Y.; Rastaetter, L.; Toth, G.; Ridley, A. Bibcode: 2009GeoRL..3610104K Altcode: We use the global magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) code BATS-R-US to model multipoint observations of Flux Transfer Event (FTE) signatures. Simulations with high spatial and temporal resolution predict that cavities of weak magnetic field strength protruding into the magnetosphere trail FTEs. These predictions are consistent with recently reported multi-point Cluster observations of traveling magnetopause erosion regions (TMERs). Title: Modeling the Radiation Belts During a Geomagnetic Storm Authors: Glocer, A.; Fok, M.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2009AGUSMSM72A..07G Altcode: We utilize the Radiation Belt Environment (RBE) model to simulate the radiation belt electrons during a geomagnetic storm. Particularly, we focus on the relative contribution of whistler mode wave-particle interactions and radial diffusion associated with rapid changes in the magnetospheric magnetic field. In our study, the RBE model obtains a realistic magnetic field from the BATS-R-US magnetosphere model at a regular, but adjustable, cadence. We simulate the storm with and without wave particle interactions, and with different frequencies for updating the magnetic field. The impacts of the wave-particle interactions, and the rapid variations in the magnetospheric magnetic field, can then be studied. Simulation results are also extracted along various satellite trajectories for direct comparison where appropriate. Title: Simulations of Radiative Shocks in the Regime of SN Breakout Shocks. Authors: Drake, R. Paul; Doss, F. W.; Fryxell, B.; Grosskopf, M. J.; Holloway, J. P.; van der Holst, B.; Huntington, C.; Kuranz, C. C.; Myra, E. S.; Powell, K. G.; Sokolov, I. V.; Stout, Q. F.; Toth, G.; Visco, A. J. Bibcode: 2009AAS...21442706D Altcode: We have entered an era when detection of shock breakout from SNe will become routine. Such shocks are radiative, as radiative energy transport is a dominant aspect of their dynamics. They are for a time in the regime where the system is optically thin outward from the density jump but optically thick inward. Accurate simulations of such shocks will be a challenge, as their radiation transport occurs on multiple scales and their hydrodynamics is unstable. In our Center for Radiative Shock Hydrodynamics we are developing a simulation code to simulate experimental radiative shocks that are in the regime of the SN breakout shocks. The code will feature block-adaptive hydrodynamics, realistic treatment of materials, and a variety of radiation transport options. We plan in due course to apply this code to SN breakout shocks. We will describe the code and show results of initial simulations of the experiments. The experiments produce such shock waves in Xe or Ar by using a laser to shock, ionize, and accelerate a Be plate into a gas-filled shock tube at above 100 km/s. We will discuss and show how structure develops in these systems due to both radiative energy transfer and hydrodynamic instability.

Supported by the DOE NNSA under the Predictive Sci. Academic Alliance Program by grant DE-FC52-08NA28616, the Stewardship Sci. Academic Alliances program by grant DE-FG52-04NA00064, and the Nat. Laser User Facility by grant DE-FG03-00SF22021. Title: The Space Weather Modeling Framework Authors: Toth, G. Bibcode: 2009AGUSMSH22A..03T Altcode: The Center for Space Environment Modeling (CSEM) at the University of Michigan has developed the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) that integrates independently developed models into a high performance simulation tool. The SWMF models a dozen physics domains spanning from the solar corona and heliosphere to the magnetosphere, ionosphere and thermosphere of the Earth. The SWMF can perform a realistic Sun-to-thermosphere simulation faster than real time on today's supercomputers. We also use subsets of the SWMF components to model various space physics systems. I will describe the current status of the SWMF and our plans for future development. Title: 3D, Multi-fluid, MHD Calculations of the Solar Wind Interaction with Mars and the Associated Plasma Escape. Authors: Najib, D.; Nagy, A.; Toth, G.; Ma, Y. -J. Bibcode: 2009EGUGA..11.2219N Altcode: We have used our new 3D, multi-fluid, MHD model to study the interaction of the solar wind with Mars. Our lower boundary is set at 100 km and we have a radial grid resolution of about 10 km in the ionosphere. We consider both photo and electron impact ionization, as well as charge exchange processes. We compare a number of calculated and measured parameters, such as bow shock and MPB locations. We also calculate the plasma escape fluxes, for a variety of solar and upstream conditions. We compare our calculated escape fluxes with the published, measured values obtained by the ASPERA instrument carried by Mars Express. Title: Hall MHD on Block-Adaptive Grids Authors: Tóth, G.; Ma, Y. -J.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2009ASPC..406..287T Altcode: This proceedings paper is based on a much longer research paper that was published during the conference (Toth et al. 2008). We present a conservative second order accurate finite volume discretization of the magnetohydrodynamics equations including the Hall term on three dimensional block adaptive grids with Cartesian or generalized coordinates. Both explicit and implicit time integration schemes are developed. The parallel scaling and robustness are demonstrated by three dimensional simulations of planetary magnetospheres. Title: Breakout Coronal Mass Ejection or Streamer Blowout: The Bugle Effect Authors: van der Holst, B.; Manchester, W., IV; Sokolov, I. V.; Tóth, G.; Gombosi, T. I.; DeZeeuw, D.; Cohen, O. Bibcode: 2009ApJ...693.1178V Altcode: We present three-dimensional numerical magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulations of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) initiated by the breakout mechanism. The initial steady state consists of a bipolar active region embedded in the solar wind. The field orientation of the active region is opposite to that of the overarching helmet streamer, so that this pre-eruptive region consists of three arcades with a magnetic null line on the leading edge of the central arcade. By applying footpoint motion near the polarity inversion line of the central arcade, the breakout reconnection is turned on. During the eruption, the plasma in front of the breakout arcade gets swept up. The latter effect causes a pre-event swelling of the streamer. The width of the helmet streamer increases in time and follows a "bugle" pattern. In this paper, we will demonstrate that if this pre-event streamer swelling is insufficient, reconnection on the sides of the erupting breakout arcade/flux rope sets in. This will ultimately disconnect the helmet top, resulting in a streamer blowout CME. On the other hand, if this pre-event swelling is effective enough, the breakout reconnection will continue all the way to the top of the helmet streamer. The breakout mechanisms will then succeed in creating a breakout CME. Title: Confronting Observations and Modeling: The Role of the Interstellar Magnetic Field in Voyager 1 and 2 Asymmetries Authors: Opher, M.; Richardson, J. D.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2009SSRv..143...43O Altcode: 2008SSRv..tmp..178O Magnetic effects are ubiquitous and known to be crucial in space physics and astrophysical media. We have now the opportunity to probe these effects in the outer heliosphere with the two spacecraft Voyager 1 and 2. Voyager 1 crossed, in December 2004, the termination shock and is now in the heliosheath. On August 30, 2007 Voyager 2 crossed the termination shock, providing us for the first time in-situ measurements of the subsonic solar wind in the heliosheath. With the recent in-situ data from Voyager 1 and 2 the numerical models are forced to confront their models with observational data. Our recent results indicate that magnetic effects, in particular the interstellar magnetic field, are very important in the interaction between the solar system and the interstellar medium. We summarize here our recent work that shows that the interstellar magnetic field affects the symmetry of the heliosphere that can be detected by different measurements. We combined radio emission and energetic particle streaming measurements from Voyager 1 and 2 with extensive state-of-the art 3D MHD modeling, to constrain the direction of the local interstellar magnetic field. The orientation derived is a plane ∼60°-90° from the galactic plane. This indicates that the field orientation differs from that of a larger scale interstellar magnetic field, thought to parallel the galactic plane. Although it may take 7-12 years for Voyager 2 to leave the heliosheath and enter the pristine interstellar medium, the subsonic flows are immediately sensitive to the shape of the heliopause. The flows measured by Voyager 2 in the heliosheath indicate that the heliopause is being distorted by local interstellar magnetic field with the same orientation as derived previously. As a result of the interstellar magnetic field the solar system is asymmetric being pushed in the southern direction. The presence of hydrogen atoms tend to symmetrize the solutions. We show that with a strong interstellar magnetic field with our most current model that includes hydrogen atoms, the asymmetries are recovered. It remains a challenge for future works with a more complete model, to explain all the observed asymmetries by V1 and V2. We comment on these results and implications of other factors not included in our present model. Title: Time-dependent global MHD simulations of Cassini T32 flyby: From magnetosphere to magnetosheath Authors: Ma, Y. J.; Russell, C. T.; Nagy, A. F.; Toth, G.; Bertucci, C.; Dougherty, M. K.; Neubauer, F. M.; Wellbrock, A.; Coates, A. J.; Garnier, P.; Wahlund, J. -E.; Cravens, T. E.; Crary, F. J. Bibcode: 2009JGRA..114.3204M Altcode: 2009JGRA..11403204M When the Cassini spacecraft flew by Titan on 13 June 2007, at 13.6 Saturn local time, Titan was directly observed to be outside Saturn's magnetopause. Cassini observations showed dramatic changes of magnetic field orientation as well as other plasma flow parameters during the inbound and outbound segments. In this paper, we study Titan's ionospheric responses to such a sudden change in the upstream plasma conditions using a sophisticated multispecies global MHD model. Simulation results of three different cases (steady state, simple current sheet crossing, and magnetopause crossing) are presented and compared against Cassini Magnetometer, Langmuir Probe, and Cassini Plasma Spectrometer observations. The simulation results provide clear evidence for the existence of a fossil field that was induced in the ionosphere. The main interaction features, as observed by the Cassini spacecraft, are well reproduced by the time-dependent simulation cases. Simulation also reveals how the fossil field was trapped during the interaction and shows the coexistence of two pileup regions with opposite magnetic orientation, as well as the formation of a pair of new Alfven wings and tail disconnection during the magnetopause crossing process. Title: Confronting Observations and Modeling: The Role of the Interstellar Magnetic Field in Voyager 1 and 2 Asymmetries Authors: Opher, M.; Richardson, J. D.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2009fohl.book...43O Altcode: Magnetic effects are ubiquitous and known to be crucial in space physics and astrophysical media. We have now the opportunity to probe these effects in the outer heliosphere with the two spacecraft Voyager 1 and 2. Voyager 1 crossed, in December 2004, the termination shock and is now in the heliosheath. On August 30, 2007 Voyager 2 crossed the termination shock, providing us for the first time in-situ measurements of the subsonic solar wind in the heliosheath. With the recent in-situ data from Voyager 1 and 2 the numerical models are forced to confront their models with observational data. Our recent results indicate that magnetic effects, in particular the interstellar magnetic field, are very important in the interaction between the solar system and the interstellar medium. We summarize here our recent work that shows that the interstellar magnetic field affects the symmetry of the heliosphere that can be detected by different measurements. We combined radio emission and energetic particle streaming measurements from Voyager 1 and 2 with extensive state-of-the art 3D MHD modeling, to constrain the direction of the local interstellar magnetic field. The orientation derived is a plane ∼60°-90° from the galactic plane. This indicates that the field orientation differs from that of a larger scale interstellar magnetic field, thought to parallel the galactic plane. Although it may take 7-12 years for Voyager 2 to leave the heliosheath and enter the pristine interstellar medium, the subsonic flows are immediately sensitive to the shape of the heliopause. The flows measured by Voyager 2 in the heliosheath indicate that the heliopause is being distorted by local interstellar magnetic field with the same orientation as derived previously. As a result of the interstellar magnetic field the solar system is asymmetric being pushed in the southern direction. The presence of hydrogen atoms tend to symmetrize the solutions. We show that with a strong interstellar magnetic field with our most current model that includes hydrogen atoms, the asymmetries are recovered. It remains a challenge for future works with a more complete model, to explain all the observed asymmetries by V1 and V2. We comment on these results and implications of other factors not included in our present model. Title: Investigating the Earth's magnetosphere response to IMF Bz magnitude using SWMF Authors: Cai, X.; Clauer, R. C.; Ridley, A. J.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2008AGUFMSM23B1693C Altcode: Observations indicate that the magnitude of southward interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) contributes to different magnetosphere response modes. Using the University of Michigan Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF), including a global magnetosphere model, coupled with an inner magnetosphere model and an ionosphere electrodynamics model, we attempt to quantify the role of the IMF Bz in determining the level of activity in the magnetosphere. In separate experiments, the IMF Bz component is set to -2.5 nT, - 5 nT, -10 nT, -15 nT and -20 nT while keeping the other input solar wind parameters constant. We have found that the magnetosphere becomes more and more active as IMF Bz becomes more negative. The average vertical magnetic field at geosynchronous orbit, at all local times, decrease systematically, i.e., the inner magnetosphere becomes more stretched as the IMF Bz becomes more negative. The standard deviation also becomes larger, implying that the magnetosphere shows more variability. When the IMF is weak (-2.5 nT), the magnetic field at local midnight is quasi-steady. The magnetosphere starts to show quasi- periodic (~ 2 hours) dipolarizations when IMF is -5 nT and stronger. However, as the IMF Bz becomes more negative, increased turbulence develops around the inner magnetosphere and appears to disrupt the periodic formation of the night side reconnection. Title: Improvements in the Space Weather Modeling Framework Authors: Ridley, A. J.; Liemohn, M.; Dezeeuw, D.; Ilie, R.; Sokolov, I.; Toth, G.; Yu, Y. Bibcode: 2008AGUFMSA51A1530R Altcode: The magnetosphere within the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) has been represented by a global magnetosphere model (BATSRUS), an inner magnetosphere model (the Rice Convection Model) and a model of the ionospheric electrodynamics. We present significant improvements in the SWMF: (1) We have implemented a spherical grid within BATSRUS and have utilized this for modeling the magnetosphere; (2) We have significantly improved the physics of the auroral oval within the ionospheric electrodynamics code, modeling a self-consistent diffuse and discrete auroral oval; (3) We utilize the multifluid MHD code within BATSRUS to allow for more accurate specification and differentiation of the density within the magnetosphere; and (4) we have incorporated the Hot Electron and Ion Drift Integrator (HEIDI) ring current code within the SWMF. We will present these improvements and show the quantitative differences within the model results when comparing to a suite of measurements for a number of different intervals. Title: Magnetic Storm Simulation With Multiple Ion Fluids: Algorithm Authors: Toth, G.; Glocer, A.; Gombosi, T. Bibcode: 2008AGUFMSM11A1568T Altcode: We describe our progress in extending the capabilities of the BATS-R-US MHD code to model multiple ion fluids. We solve the full multiion equations with no assumptions about the relative motion of the ion fluids. We discuss the numerical difficulties and the algorithmic solutions: the use of a total ion fluid in combination with the individual ion fluids, the use of point-implicit source terms with analytic Jacobian, using a simple criterion to separate the single-ion and multiion regions in our magnetosphere applications, and an artificial friction term to limit the relative velocities of the ion fluids to reasonable values. This latter term is used to mimic the effect of two-stream instabilities in a crude manner. The new code is fully integrated into the Space Weather Modeling Framework and it has been coupled with the ionosphere, inner magnetosphere and polar wind models to simulate the May 4 1998 magnetic storm. Title: Non-steady Reconnection in Global Simulations of Magnetosphere Dynamics. Authors: Kuznetsova, M.; Hesse, M.; Sibeck, D.; Rastaetter, L.; Toth, G.; Ridley, A. Bibcode: 2008AGUFMSM23C..04K Altcode: To analyze the non-steady magnetic reconnection during quasi-steady solar wind driving we employed high resolution global MHD model BATSRUS with non-MHD corrections in diffusion regions around the reconnection sites. To clarify the role of small-scale non-MHD effects on the global magnetospheric dynamic we performed simulations with different models of dissipation. We found that magnetopause surface is not in steady state even during extended periods of steady solar wind conditions. The so-called tilted reconnection lines become unstable due to formation of pressure bubbles, strong core field flux tubes, vortices, and traveling magnetic field cavities. Non-steady dayside reconnection results in formation of flux tubes with bended axis magnetically connecting magnetic field cavities generated at flanks and strong core segments formed near the subsolar region. We found that the rate of magnetic flux loading to the tail lobes is not very sensitive to the dissipation mechanism and details of the dayside reconnection. On the other hand the magnetotail reconnection rate, the speed of the reconnection site retreat and the global magnetotail dynamics strongly depend on the model of dissipation. THEMIS and Cluster observations are consistent with signatures predicted by simulations. Title: Breakout coronal mass ejection or streamer blowout: the bugle effect Authors: van der Holst, B.; Manchester, C.; Sokolov, I.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T.; Dezeeuw, D.; Cohen, O. Bibcode: 2008AGUFMSH23B1640V Altcode: We present three-dimensional numerical magnetohydrodynamic simulations of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) initiated by the breakout mechanism. The initial steady state consists of a bipolar active region embedded in the solar wind. The field orientation of the active region is opposite to that of the overarching helmet streamer, so that this pre-eruptive region consists of three arcades with a magnetic null line on the leading edge of the central arcade. By applying footpoint motion near the polarity inversion line of the central arcade, the breakout reconnection is turned on. During the eruption, the plasma in front of the breakout arcade gets swept up. The latter effect causes a pre-event swelling of the streamer. The width of the helmet streamer increases in time and follows a "bugle" pattern. In this paper, we will demonstrate that if this pre- event streamer swelling is insufficient, reconnection on the sides of the erupting breakout arcade/flux rope sets in. This will ultimately disconnect the helmet top, resulting in a streamer blowout CME. On the other hand, if this pre-event swelling is effective enough, the breakout reconnection will continue all the way to the top of the helmet streamer. The breakout mechanisms will then succeed in creating a breakout CME. Title: 3D, Multi-fluid, MHD Calculations Of Plasma Escape From Mars Authors: Najib, D.; Toth, G.; Nagy, A.; Ma, Y. Bibcode: 2008AGUFMSM13A1670N Altcode: We use our new multi-fluid, MHD model to calculate plasma escape from Mars. Our lower boundary is set at 100 km and we have a radial grid resolution of about 10 km in the ionosphere. We consider both photo and electron impact ionization, as well as charge exchange processes in calculating the escape fluxes, using a variety of solar and upstream conditions. Title: Storm-time Inner Magnetosphere: Self-consistent Kinetic Simulation Driven by the Space Weather Modeling Framework Authors: Zaharia, S. G.; Jordanova, V. K.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2008AGUFMSM14A..03Z Altcode: Accurately modeling inner magnetosphere dynamics requires proper treatment of both the kinetic drift physics as well as the interaction between particles and fields. Observations consistently show the inner magnetosphere magnetic field to be significantly depressed during geomagnetic storms. The field changes are caused by large amounts of injected ring current plasma, which in turn strongly influence the dynamic evolution of the plasma. We have developed a self-consistent inner magnetosphere code that treats this self- consistent interaction, through coupling a kinetic ring current model (RAM) with an Euler potential-based 3D plasma equilibrium code; in our approach, the magnetic field is computed in force balance with the kinetic model anisotropic pressures (anisotropy being critically important for the excitation of EMIC waves), and then fed back into the kinetic code. Here we report results from simulating a geomagnetic storm using this model, with plasma and magnetic field on the boundary supplied from the global BATSRUS MHD code from the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF); we focus in particular on the following aspects: 1). the effect of the MHD model boundary vs. observation-based (from LANL satellites) boundary conditions; 2). the effect of magnetic self-consistency on ring current plasma pressure, anisotropy and EMIC wave instability; and 3). the relative magnitude of the induced vs. convective electric fields in the inner magnetosphere during the storm. Title: Magnetic storm simulation with multiple ion fluids: results and analysis Authors: Glocer, A.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. Bibcode: 2008AGUFMSM11A1569G Altcode: Ionosheric outflow can be a significant contributor to the plasma population of the magnetosphere during active geomagnetic conditions. We present preliminary results and analysis of new efforts to model the source and effects of out-flowing plasma in the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). In particular, we use the Polar Wind Outflow Model (PWOM), a field-aligned multi-fluid polar wind code to study the ionospheric outflow, and a newly developed multi-fluid version of the BATS-R-US model of the magnetosphere to track the fate of that outflow. We present our methodology and a description of the evolution of magnetospheric composition during the May 4th 1998 geomagnetic storm. Title: Balancing Act: The Role of The Interstellar Magnetic Field and Neutral H in Voyager 1 and 2 Asymmetries Authors: Opher, M.; Stone, E. C.; Toth, G.; Izmodenov, V.; Alexashov, V.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2008AGUFMSH14A..07O Altcode: We present results from recently developed 5 fluid MHD model (4 neutral fluids and 1 ionized fluid). We present a benchmark comparison between our model and the kinetic Moscow model for the case of strong interstellar magnetic field, and no interplanetary field. The presence of neutral H, as pointed out by previous works, has the effect of diminishing the global heliospheric asymmetries. With a stronger interstellar field, however, the asymmetries are increased. Results of the 5-fluid MHD model have been employed as an starting point for a new kinetic-MHD model that combines the BATS-R-US MHD code with the 3D Monte- Carlo Moscow code. We present first results of this new coupled model. We discuss these results and compare with our previous work (Opher et al. 2006, 2007). Our goal is to constrain the orientation and intensity of the interstellar magnetic field that can satisfy the different constraints from the observed asymmetries (energetic particles streaming (east- west); the 10AU differences between V1 and V2 crossing; radio emission; and neutral H deflection). Title: Inner magnetosphere--global MHD coupled code: initial results Authors: Buzulukova, N.; Fok, M.; Kuznetsova, M.; Pulkkinen, A.; Rastaetter, L.; Brandt, P.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2008AGUFMSM11A1571B Altcode: We present results of a one-way coupling between a global MHD model (BATSRUS) and a ring current model with ionosphere feedback (CRCM). The MHD model provides magnetic field in all computational regions and electric field potential, temperature and density at the outer boundary. The ring current model calculates the plasma distribution (H+ and e-) in the energy range 1-200keV, field-aligned currents of Region-2 and electric fields. We consider inner magnetosphere dynamics during an idealized case with south-north-south Bz turning as well as a real event during the 12 August 2000 storm. For the idealized case, we reproduce basic features of the electric field in the inner magnetosphere: strong convection during southward IMF and shielding, weak convection during northward IMF and overshielding. Additionally, we estimate characteristic times for shielding/overshielding formation. For the 12 August 2000 event we calculate ring current 3D fluxes and reconstruct energetic neutral atom (ENA) images. We compare the modeled ENA images with those observed by IMAGE HENA imager and investigate global ring current dynamics during 12 August 2000 event. Title: Three-dimensional MHD Simulation of the 2003 October 28 Coronal Mass Ejection: Comparison with LASCO Coronagraph Observations Authors: Manchester, Ward B., IV; Vourlidas, Angelos; Tóth, Gábor; Lugaz, Noé; Roussev, Ilia I.; Sokolov, Igor V.; Gombosi, Tamas I.; De Zeeuw, Darren L.; Opher, Merav Bibcode: 2008ApJ...684.1448M Altcode: 2008arXiv0805.3707M We numerically model the coronal mass ejection (CME) event of 2003 October 28 that erupted from AR 10486 and propagated to Earth in less than 20 hr, causing severe geomagnetic storms. The magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model is formulated by first arriving at a steady state corona and solar wind employing synoptic magnetograms. We initiate two CMEs from the same active region, one approximately a day earlier that preconditions the solar wind for the much faster CME on the 28th. This second CME travels through the corona at a rate of over 2500 km s-1, driving a strong forward shock. We clearly identify this shock in an image produced by the Large Angle Spectrometric Coronagraph (LASCO) C3 and reproduce the shock and its appearance in synthetic white-light images from the simulation. We find excellent agreement with both the general morphology and the quantitative brightness of the model CME with LASCO observations. These results demonstrate that the CME shape is largely determined by its interaction with the ambient solar wind and may not be sensitive to the initiation process. We then show how the CME would appear as observed by wide-angle coronagraphs on board the Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory (STEREO) spacecraft. We find complex time evolution of the white-light images as a result of the way in which the density structures pass through the Thomson sphere. The simulation is performed with the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). Title: MHD Simulations of CME-Driven Shocks: Structures Relevant to Particle Acceleration Authors: Manchester, W. B.; Toth, G.; Sokolov, I.; Zurbuchen, T. H.; Kota, J. Bibcode: 2008AIPC.1039..273M Altcode: Fast Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) drive strong shocks from the corona through interplanetary space where these large-scale disturbances accelerate particles typically associated with gradual events. The acceleration of solar energetic particles (SEPs) is strongly dependent on shock speed and geometry, which may exhibit significant temporal and spatial variations as the CME propagates. Here, we examine three-dimensional (3-D) magnetohydrodynamic simulations of CMEs, and find that the ambient solar wind structure strongly affects the evolution of CME-driven shocks. Variations in wind speed deform the shock front, resulting in strong meridional flows and compressions in the CME sheath. We also find that CMEs can cause stream interactions that result in high-latitude reverse shocks Sunward of the CME. Understanding and predicting such CME driven shocks is a necessary step in building a quantitative model of SEP acceleration and transport that can be used to forecast and mitigate radiation hazards. Title: Hall magnetohydrodynamics on block-adaptive grids Authors: Tóth, Gábor; Ma, Yingjuan; Gombosi, Tamas I. Bibcode: 2008JCoPh.227.6967T Altcode: We present a conservative second order accurate finite volume discretization of the magnetohydrodynamics equations including the Hall term. The scheme is generalized to three-dimensional block-adaptive grids with Cartesian or generalized coordinates. The second order accurate discretization of the Hall term at grid resolution changes is described in detail. Both explicit and implicit time integration schemes are developed. The stability of the explicit time integration is ensured by including the whistler wave speed for the shortest discrete wave length into the numerical dissipation, but then second order accuracy requires the use of symmetric limiters in the total variation diminishing scheme. The implicit scheme employs a Newton Krylov Schwarz type approach, and can achieve significantly better efficiency than the explicit scheme with an appropriate preconditioner. The second order accuracy of the scheme is verified by numerical tests. The parallel scaling and robustness are demonstrated by three-dimensional simulations of planetary magnetospheres. Title: Modeling Ionospheric Outflows and Magnetosphere Composition During Quiet and Active Times Authors: Glocer, A.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. Bibcode: 2008AGUSMSM41A..03G Altcode: Ionosheric outflow can be a significant contributor to the plasma population of the magnetosphere during active geomagnetic conditions. Most Magnetosphere- Ionosphere Coupling (MIC) models do not include this outflow in a physical manner; instead they rely on pressure gradient terms to draw plasma off the inner boundary of the magnetosphere. We present preliminary results of new ef- forts to model the source and effects of out-flowing plasma in the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). In particular, we use the Polar Wind Outflow Model (PWOM), a field-aligned multi-fluid polar wind code, coupled to the Iono- sphere Electrodynamics (IE), and Global Magnetosphere (GM) components of the SWMF. We present our methodology for the MIC, as well as the evolution of the outflow during a geomagnetic storm. Moreover, we explore the use of multi-species and multi-fluid MHD to track the resulting plasma composition in the magnetosphere. Title: Multi-Fluid Simulations of a Coupled Ionosphere-Magnetosphere System Authors: Gombosi, T. I.; Glocer, A.; Toth, G.; Ridley, A. J.; Sokolov, I. V.; de Zeeuw, D. L. Bibcode: 2008AGUSMSM33A..02G Altcode: In the last decade we have developed the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) that efficiently couples together different models describing the interacting regions of the space environment. Many of these domain models (such as the global solar corona, the inner heliosphere or the global magnetosphere) are based on MHD and are represented by our multiphysics code, BATS-R-US. BATS-R-US can solve the equations of "standard" ideal MHD, but it can also go beyond this first approximation. It can solve resistive MHD, Hall MHD, semi-relativistic MHD (that keeps the displacement current), multispecies (different ion species have different continuity equations) and multifluid (all ion species have separate continuity, momentum and energy equations) MHD. Recently we added two-fluid Hall MHD (solving the electron and ion energy equations separately) and are working on an extended magnetohydrodynamics model with anisotropic pressures. Ionosheric outflow can be a significant contributor to the plasma population of the magnetosphere during active geomagnetic conditions. This talk will present preliminary results of our simulations when we couple a new field- aligned multi-fluid polar wind code to the Ionosphere Electrodynamics (IE), and Global Magnetosphere (GM) components of the SWMF. We use multi-species and multi-fluid MHD to track the resulting plasma composition in the magnetosphere. Title: Effects of Heavy Ions on Ring Current Dynamics from Dipolar, Empirical, or Self-Consistent Magnetic Field Simulations Authors: Jordanova, V. K.; Zaharia, S.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2008AGUSMSM44A..04J Altcode: The plasma composition in the near-Earth magnetosphere varies significantly with geomagnetic and solar activity, with H+ being the dominant ring current ion species during quiet time, and O+ contributing mostly during active time. We use our kinetic ring current-atmosphere interactions model (RAM) that has been recently extended for non-dipolar magnetic field geometry to investigate the effects of various O+/H+ composition ratios applied at the outer boundary on ring current dynamics. The RAM is coupled with a 3-D equilibrium model that calculates self-consistently the magnetic field in force balance with the anisotropic ring current ion distributions. Such anisotropy is critically important for the excitation of EMIC waves, whose characteristics depend strongly on the presence of both cold and energetic heavy ions (mainly He+ and O+) in the plasmas. We simulate the sunward transport, acceleration, and loss of ring current ions during a geomagnetic storm using this newly improved model with plasma and magnetic field boundary conditions supplied from the global BATSRUS model from the SWMF. Ring current development and EMIC wave instability during various storm phases are presented and their dependence on ion composition is discussed. The effect of non-dipolar magnetic field geometry and the feedback of a self-consistently computed magnetic field on ring current dynamics are investigated. Title: Parallel Explicit/Implicit Time Stepping Scheme on Block-Adaptive Grids Authors: Tóth, G.; de Zeeuw, D. L.; Ma, Y. -J.; Gombosi, T. I.; Powell, K. G. Bibcode: 2008ASPC..385..237T Altcode: This proceedings paper is mostly based on a much longer research paper tet{Toth2006}. We present a parallel explicit/implicit time integration scheme well suited for block-adaptive grids. Load balancing and the optimal choice of the time step for speed and robustness are discussed. The parallel efficiency of the scheme is demonstrated for a three-dimensional Hall magnetohydrodynamics problem. Title: Role of periodic loading-unloading in the magnetotail versus interplanetary magnetic field Bz flipping in the ring current buildup Authors: Taktakishvili, A.; Kuznetsova, M. M.; Hesse, M.; Fok, M. -C.; RastäTter, L.; Maddox, M.; Chulaki, A.; Tóth, G.; Gombosi, T. I.; de Zeeuw, D. L. Bibcode: 2008JGRA..113.3206T Altcode: Introducing kinetic corrections into the to BATSRUS code in the magnetotail region leads to fast reconnection rates observed in kinetic simulations and quasi-periodic loading-unloading cycles in the magnetotail during a long period of steady southward interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) Bz (Kuznetsova et al., 2006, 2007). We use the global MHD code BATSRUS output to drive the Fok Ring Current (FRC) model, which then exhibits quasi-periodic oscillations of geosynchronous energetic particle fluxes, similar to "sawtooth" injection profiles. We compare these results with the results of the FRC model driven by BATSRUS for periodically flipping IMF Bz component, without kinetic corrections. The comparison shows the dominant role of quasi-periodic loading-unloading in the tail over the role of flipping IMF Bz component in the formation of geosynchronous fluxes for various energies. This same result is confirmed by the analysis of particle number and energy content within geosynchronous orbit. Title: Sun to Earth Simulation of 15-May-2005 Space Weather Event Authors: Yuan, Xingqiu; Trichtchenko, Larisa; Rankin, Robert; Kabin, Konstantin; Toth, Gabor; Manchester, Ward, IV Bibcode: 2008cosp...37.3570Y Altcode: 2008cosp.meet.3570Y The numerical simulation of typical space weather events is a necessary step towards developing real-time space weather forecasting. It can help us to evaluate the physical model, to enhance the speed of calculations with reasonable reduced resolution, and provide a global picture of the transient disturbance interacting with the background solar wind. In this paper, the well-defined halo-CME space weather events of 15-May-2005 are chosen to investigate the propagation of the solar disturbance in the moderately fast background solar wind environment, and its successive geoeffectiveness. Detailed comparisons of the simulation results with the groundand satellitebased observations are presented. It is found that the simulation results are qualitatively in good agreement with the observations. Title: Modeling Ionospheric Outflows and Magnetosphere Composition During Quiet and Active Times Authors: Glocer, Alex; Toth, Gabor; Gombosi, Tamas Bibcode: 2008cosp...37.1029G Altcode: 2008cosp.meet.1029G Ionosheric outflow can be a significant contributor to the plasma population of the magnetosphere during active geomagnetic conditions. Most Magnetosphere-Ionosphere Coupling (MIC) models do not include this outflow in a physical manner; instead they rely on pressure gradient terms to draw plasma off the inner boundary of the magnetosphere. We present preliminary results of new efforts to model the source and effects of out-flowing plasma in the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). In particular, we use the Polar Wind Outflow Model (PWOM), a field-aligned multi-fluid polar wind code, coupled to the Ionosphere Electrodynamics (IE), and Global Magnetosphere (GM) components of the SWMF. We present our methodology for the MIC, as well as the evolution of the outflow during a geomagnetic storm. Moreover, we explore the use of multi-species and multi-fluid MHD to track the resulting plasma composition in the magnetosphere. Title: Simulating the interaction of the 2007 April 19 CME with Comet Encke Authors: Manchester, Ward, IV; Gombosi, Tamas; Frazin, Richard; Vourlidas, Angelos; Toth, Gabor; Cohen, Ofer; Hansen, Kenneth; Sokolov, Igor; van der Holst, Bart Bibcode: 2008cosp...37.1896M Altcode: 2008cosp.meet.1896M We model the propagation of a coronal mass ejection (CME) that was observed with LASCO on April 19, 2007. The resulting ICME was observed with SECCHI (STEREO A) to impact comet Encke on April 20. We compare the results of our three-dimensional global MHD simulation of this event with both sets of coronagraph observations. In particular, we make synthetic Thomson-scattered white light images from the simulation to quantitatively compare to the coronagraph images made with LASCO and SECCHI. We then propagate the CME into interplanetary space where it interacts with comet Encke. We simulate the complex response of the cometary plasma to the CME impact. Title: When Magnetized Winds Collide: Role of the Interstellar Magnetic Field Shaping the Heliosphere Authors: Opher, Merav; Stone, Edward; Richardson, John; Toth, Gabor; Alexashov, Dmitry; Izmodenov, Vladislav; Gombosi, Tamas Bibcode: 2008cosp...37.2295O Altcode: 2008cosp.meet.2295O Magnetic effects are ubiquitous and known to be crucial in space physics and astrophysical media; Space physics is an excellent plasma laboratory and provide observational data that add crucial constraints to theoretical models. Voyager 1 crossed in Dec 2004, the termination shock and is now in the heliosheath. On August 30, 2007 Voyager 2 crossed the termination shock providing us for the first time with in-situ measurements of the subsonic solar wind in the heliosheath. In this talk I will review our recent results that indicate that magnetic effects, in particular the interstellar magnetic field, are very important in the interaction between the solar system and the interstellar medium. Recently, combining radio emission and energetic particle streaming measurements from Voyager 1 and 2 with extensive state-of-the art 3D MHD modeling, we were able to constrain the direction of the local interstellar magnetic field. Although might take 7-12 years for Voyager 2 to leave the heliosheath and enter the pristine interstellar medium, the subsonic flows are immediately sensitive to the shape of the heliopause. We show that the flows measured by Voyager 2 from days 258-350 indicate that the heliopause is being distorted by a local interstellar magnetic field 60° -90° from the galactic plane. This confirms our earlier prediction that the field orientation in the Local Interstellar Cloud differs that of a larger scale interstellar magnetic field, thought to parallel the galactic plane. As a result of the interstellar magnetic field the solar system is asymmetric being pushed in the southern direction. I will comment on these results and present preliminary results of the effect of H neutrals on our previous MHD results. Title: Global MHD Simulations of Magnetospheric and Ionospheric Responses to the 5th June 1998 Event Authors: Lu, Jianyong; Rae, Ian; Rankin, Robert; Zhang, Jichun; Kabin, Konstantin; Gombosi, T.; de Zeeuw, D. L.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2008cosp...37.1831L Altcode: 2008cosp.meet.1831L Using WIND and ACE solar wind data, we have simulated the magnetospheric and ionospheric responses to the 5th June 1998 event with global MHD model SWMF. The chosen time period in our calculations includes a sharp northward turning and a southward turning in the IMF, followed by a period of relatively stead condition, respectively. We first investigate the calculation influence of running the code in different ways: (1) with or without RICE convection model, and (2) time-accurate run or local time stepping or some combinations of both to drive to a steady state before time-varying solar wind. We show that the simulated magnetospheric and ionospheric responses, such as the location of the polar cap boundary and ionospheric currents, can be significantly affected by the treatment of the steady conditions. We conclude that, with appropriate treatment of the true magnetospheric configuration, the modelling framework SWMF can accurately reflect the dynamic features of the solar wind-magnetosphere-ionosphere coupling and provide reliable results for estimating magnetic field topology and ionospheric responses. Title: Multi-physics simulations of space weather Authors: Gombosi, Tamas; Toth, Gabor; Sokolov, Igor; de Zeeuw, Darren; van der Holst, Bart; Cohen, Ofer; Glocer, Alex; Manchester, Ward, IV; Ridley, Aaron Bibcode: 2008cosp...37.1047G Altcode: 2008cosp.meet.1047G Presently magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) models represent the "workhorse" technology for simulating the space environment from the solar corona to the ionosphere. While these models are very successful in describing many important phenomena, they are based on a low-order moment approximation of the phase-space distribution function. In the last decade our group at the Center for Space Environment Modeling (CSEM) has developed the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) that efficiently couples together different models describing the interacting regions of the space environment. Many of these domain models (such as the global solar corona, the inner heliosphere or the global magnetosphere) are based on MHD and are represented by our multiphysics code, BATS-R-US. BATS-R-US can solve the equations of "standard" ideal MHD, but it can also go beyond this first approximation. It can solve resistive MHD, Hall MHD, semi-relativistic MHD (that keeps the displacement current), multispecies (different ion species have different continuity equations) and multifluid (all ion species have separate continuity, momentum and energy equations) MHD. Recently we added two-fluid Hall MHD (solving the electron and ion energy equations separately) and are working on extended magnetohydrodynamics with anisotropic pressures. This talk will show the effects of added physics and compare space weather simulation results to "standard" ideal MHD. Title: D Breakout Coronal Mass Ejections in the Solar Wind Authors: van der Holst, Bart; Toth, Gabor; Sokolov, Igor; Gombosi, Tamas; Manchester, Ward, IV; Cohen, Ofer; de Zeeuw, Darren Bibcode: 2008cosp...37.3281V Altcode: 2008cosp.meet.3281V The initiation and evolution of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is studied by means of the breakout model embedded in a 3D solar wind in the framework of numerical magnetohydrodynamics. The initial steady equilibrium contains a pre-eruptive region consisting three arcades with alternating magnetic flux polarity and with correspondingly three neutral lines on the phtosphere. The magnetic tension of the overlying closed magnetic field of the helmet streamer keeps this structure in place. The most crucual element in the initial breakout topology is the existence of an X-point on the leading edge of the central arcade. By applying shear flow, the reconnection with the overlying helmet streamer field is turned on. The breakout reconnection opens the overlying field in an energetically efficient way. Initially, this process will speed up the CME. The simulations will exploit the new spherical grids in BATS-R-US to accurately capture the dynamics. Title: Investigating the periodicity of sawtooth events using the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) - preliminary results Authors: Cai, X.; Clauer, C. R.; Ridley, A. J.; Toth, G.; Liemohn, M. W.; Gombosi, T. I.; Kuznetsova, M. M. Bibcode: 2007AGUFMSM32A..06C Altcode: By introducing a non-gyrotropic correction to the induction equation in a BATS-R-US simulation, it has been reported that periodic dipolarizations similar to sawtooth oscillations are seen at geosynchronous orbit in the magnetosphere. However the simulated periodicity reported is around 60 minutes, while the observed periodicity, obtained from a analysis of around 400 individual teeth, is about 180 minutes. We report here preliminary results from an investigation that examines how solar wind parameters may affect the periodicity using a series of Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) simulations which includes the non-gyrotropic BATS-R-US model. We examine the effects of the external driving conditions by systematically changing the magnitude of solar wind dynamic pressure and interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) southward component (Bz) in the simulations. Title: Validating SWMF Particle Density and Energy: Initial Results Authors: Welling, D. T.; Ridley, A. J.; Gombosi, T. I.; de Zeeuw, D.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2007AGUFMSM43E..01W Altcode: First principle-based models can be a powerful tool for scientific and operational space weather forecasting and analysis. A key step for improving current models and preparing them for operational use is thorough data-model comparisons. Of particular interest is particle density and energy distribution in the magnetosphere, which are key values for spacecraft surface charging calculations. In this study, we compare particle density and energy spectrum values generated by the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) to in situ LANL geosynchronous measurements. The SWMF is configured to use a self-consistent ionospheric electrodynamics model, the BATSRUS global MHD model, and the Rice Convection Model (RCM). Coupling these models allows for tracing the magnetic field lines from the MHD solution to provide the RCM with an improved open/closed field line boundary. It also allows for the extraction of the RCM solution along any satellite trajectory by tracing the magnetic field line from the 3D location of the satellite to the 2D RCM ionospheric grid. The SWMF is further configured to run in near-real time on 32 Columbia SGI processors, creating a solution that better reflects the SWMF's capabilities in an operational environment. This study is an extension of previous work to validate the SWMF's modeled magnetic field. Title: Modeling STEREO White-Light Observations of CMEs with 3D MHD Simulations Authors: Manchester, M. B.; Vourlidas, A.; Toth, G.; Lugaz, N.; Sokolov, I.; Gombosi, T.; de Zeeuw, D.; Opher, M. Bibcode: 2007AGUFMSH32A0785M Altcode: We model the Thomson-scattered white-light appearance of a variety of 3D MHD models of CMEs during solar minimum to reproduce large-scale features of SECCHI observations. We create a gallery of expected CME shapes at large elongations as seen by SECCHI. We examine evidence of shock propagation, magnetic clouds, CME pancaking, and complex time evolution as CMEs propagate at large elongation past the Thomson sphere. A key point is to determine how the structure of CMEs and CME-driven shocks are affected by interaction with the ambient solar wind. MHD models are performed with BATSRUS and SWMF, and formulated by first arriving at a steady state corona and solar wind employing synoptic magnetograms. We initiate CMEs from active regions low in the corona with magnetic flux ropes. Title: The Orientation of the Local Interstellar Magnetic Field and Induced Asymmetries of the Heliosphere: Neutrals-MHD model Authors: Opher, M.; Stone, E. C.; Izmodenov, V.; Malama, Y.; Alexashov, D.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. Bibcode: 2007AGUFMSH12B..03O Altcode: We present the results of a 3D Neutral-MHD model of the heliosphere. The neutrals are treated in a multi-fluid approach coupled to the ionized component by charge exchange. Comparisons are made with previous studies that showed that the local interstellar magnetic field introduces asymmetries in the heliosphere that are consistent with Voyager 1 and 2 observations of radio emissions and energetic particle streaming (Opher et al. Science 2007; Opher et al. ApJL 2006). We present, additionally, preliminary results of a 3D Kinetic-MHD model. The main advantage of this model is a rigorous kinetic description of interstellar H atoms, especially at the Bow Shock, Heliopause and Termination Shock interfaces. Differences of kinetic and multi-fluid approaches are discussed. The new model should provide refined estimates of the strength and direction of the local interstellar field and of the resulting distortions of the shape of the heliosphere. Title: The Michigan Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) Authors: de Zeeuw, D.; Gombosi, T.; Ridley, A.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2007AGUFMSM41A0310D Altcode: The Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) developed at the University of MIchigan has been used to model a wide variety of space environments. It is especially well suited to space weather modeling and can follow the complete system from CME initiation to interaction with the upper atmosphere at Earth. A graphical user interface (GUI) has been developed to facilitate setup, execution, and visualization of model runs. This GUI has been enhanced to allow more complete visualization and model result analysis, including comparisons with data. Examples will be shown of the SWMF use through the GUI for a variety of space weather events. Title: Numerical Simulations of the Interaction of Enceladus' Interaction With Saturn's Magnetosphere Using a 3D Multi-Species, Hall MHD Model Authors: Najib, D.; Nagy, A. F.; Toth, G.; Combi, M. R.; Ma, Y. J.; Khurana, K.; Crary, F. F.; Coates, A. J. Bibcode: 2007AGUFM.P43A1009N Altcode: We have used our new multi-species, Hall MHD model to study the interaction of Saturn's magnetosphere with Enceladus. We used neutral densities, consistent with the values observed during the Cassini's July 14, 2005 flyby of Enceladus. We used a simple ion chemistry scheme and approximated the upstream conditions from CAPS and MAG observations. We compare our calculated plasma and magnetic field values with the observed ones. Title: Modeling Ionospheric Outflow During a Geomagnetic Storm Authors: Glocer, A.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. Bibcode: 2007AGUFMSA51B0521G Altcode: Ionosheric outflow can be a significant contributor to the plasma population of the magnetosphere during active geomagnetic conditions. Most Magnetosphere-Ionosphere Coupling (MIC) models do not include this outflow in a physical manner; instead they rely on pressure gradient terms to draw plasma off the inner boundary of the magnetosphere. We present preliminary results of new efforts to model the source and effects of out-flowing plasma in the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). In particular, we use the Polar Wind Outflow Model (PWOM), a field-aligned multi-fluid polar wind code, coupled to the Ionosphere Electrodynamics (IE), and Global Magnetosphere (GM) components of the SWMF. We present our methodology for the MIC, as well as the evolution of the outflow during a geomagnetic storm. Title: Integration of the Radiation Belt Environment Model Into the Space Weather Modeling Framework Authors: Toth, G.; Glocer, A.; Fok, M.; Gombosi, T. Bibcode: 2007AGUFMSM12A..07T Altcode: We have integrated the Fok Radiation Belt Environment model (RBE) into the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). RBE is coupled to the global magnetohydrodynamics component (represented by BATSRUS) of the SWMF. The radiation belt model solves the convection-diffusion equation of the plasma in the range of 10keV to a few MeV. In stand-alone mode RBE uses Tsyganenko's empirical models for the magnetic field. In the SWMF the BATSRUS model provides the time dependent magnetic field by efficiently tracing the closed magnetic field lines and passing the geometrical and field strength information to RBE at a regular cadence. We discuss the coupling algorithm and show some preliminary results with the coupled code. We run our new coupled model for periods of steady northward and southward IMF and compare our results to the radiation belt model using an empirical magnetic field model. We also simulate the radiation belts for an event of active time period. Title: 3D global multi-species Hall-MHD simulation of the Cassini T9 flyby Authors: Ma, Ying-Juan; Nagy, Andrew F.; Toth, Gabor; Cravens, Thomas E.; Russell, Christopher T.; Gombosi, Tamas I.; Wahlund, Jan-Erik; Crary, Frank J.; Coates, Andrew J.; Bertucci, César L.; Neubauer, Fritz M. Bibcode: 2007GeoRL..3424S10M Altcode: The wake region of Titan is an important component of Titan's interaction with its surrounding plasma and therefore a thorough understanding of its formation and structure is of primary interest. The Cassini spacecraft passed through the distant downstream region of Titan on 18:59:30 UT Dec. 26, 2005, which is referred to as the T9 flyby and provided a great opportunity to test our understanding of the highly dynamic wake region. In this paper we compare the observational data (from the magnetometer, plasma analyzer and Langmuir probe) with numerical results using a 7-species Hall MHD Titan model. There is a good agreement between the observed and modeled parameters, given the uncertainties in plasma measurements and the approximations inherent in the Hall MHD model. Our simulation results also show that Hall MHD model results fit the observations better than the non-Hall MHD model for the flyby, consistent with the importance of kinetic effects in the Titan interaction. Based on the model results, we also identify various regions near Titan where Hall MHD models are applicable. Title: Multiscale modeling of magnetospheric reconnection Authors: Kuznetsova, M. M.; Hesse, M.; RastäTter, L.; Taktakishvili, A.; Toth, G.; de Zeeuw, D. L.; Ridley, A.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2007JGRA..11210210K Altcode: In our efforts to bridge the gap between small-scale kinetic modeling and global simulations, we introduced an approach that allows to quantify the interaction between large-scale global magnetospheric dynamics and microphysical processes in diffusion regions near reconnection sites. We use the global MHD code BATS-R-US and replace an ad hoc anomalous resistivity often employed by global MHD models with a physically motivated dissipation model. The primary kinetic mechanism controlling the dissipation in the diffusion region in the vicinity of the reconnection site is incorporated into the MHD description in terms of nongyrotropic corrections to the induction equation. We developed an algorithm to search for reconnection sites in north-south symmetric magnetotail. Spatial scales of the diffusion region and magnitude of the reconnection electric field are calculated consistently using local MHD plasma and field parameters. The locations of the reconnection sites are constantly updated during the simulations. To clarify the role of nongyrotropic effects in the diffusion region on the global magnetospheric dynamics, we perform simulations with steady southward interplanetary magnetic field driving of the magnetosphere. Ideal MHD simulations with magnetic reconnection supported by numerical resistivity often produce quasi-steady configuration with almost stationary near-Earth neutral line (NENL). Simulations with nongyrotropic corrections demonstrate dynamic quasi-periodic response to the steady driving conditions. Fast magnetotail reconnection supported by nongyrotropic effects results in tailward retreat of the reconnection site with average speed of the order of 100 km/s followed by a formation of a new NENL in the near-Earth thin current sheet. This approach allowed to model for the first time loading/unloading cycle frequently observed during extended periods of steady low-mach-number solar wind with southward interplanetary magnetic field. Title: Leakage of photospheric acoustic waves into non-magnetic solar atmosphere Authors: Erdélyi, R.; Malins, C.; Tóth, G.; de Pontieu, B. Bibcode: 2007A&A...467.1299E Altcode: Aims:This paper aims to look at the propagation of synthetic photospheric oscillations from a point source into a two-dimensional non-magnetic solar atmosphere. It takes a particular interest in the leakage of 5-min global oscillations into the atmosphere, and aims to complement efforts on the driving of chromospheric dynamics (e.g. spicules and waves) by 5-min oscillations.
Methods: A model solar atmosphere is constructed based on realistic temperature and gravitational stratification. The response of this atmosphere to a wide range of adiabatic periodic velocity drivers is numerically investigated in the hydrodynamic approximation.
Results: The findings of this modelling are threefold. Firstly, high-frequency waves are shown to propagate from the lower atmosphere across the transition region experiencing relatively low reflection and transmitting energy into the corona. Secondly, it is demonstrated that driving the upper solar photosphere with a harmonic piston driver at around the 5 min period may generate three separate standing modes with similar periods in the chromosphere and transition region. In the cavity formed by the chromosphere and bounded by regions of low cut-off period at the photospheric temperature minimum and the transition region this is caused by reflection, while at either end of this region in the lower chromosphere and transition region the standing modes are caused by resonant excitation. Finally, the transition region becomes a guide for horizontally propagating surface waves for a wide range of driver periods, and in particular at those periods which support chromospheric standing waves. Crucially, these findings are the results of a combination of a chromospheric cavity and resonant excitation in the lower atmosphere and transition region. Title: The Michigan Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) Graphical User Interface Authors: de Zeeuw, D.; Gombosi, T.; Toth, G.; Ridley, A. Bibcode: 2007AGUSMSM23A..09D Altcode: The Michigan Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) is a powerful tool available for the community that has been used to model from the Sun to Earth and beyond. As a research tool, however, it still requires user experience with parallel compute clusters and visualization tools. Thus, we have developed a graphical user interface (GUI) that assists with configuring, compiling, and running the SWMF, as well as visualizing the model output. This is accomplished through a portable web interface. Live examples will be demonstrated and visualization of several archived events will be shown. Title: Coupling a polar wind model to the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) Authors: Glocer, A.; Gombosi, T.; Toth, G.; Hansen, K.; Ridley, A. Bibcode: 2007AGUSMSA33A..05G Altcode: Polar wind and other ionospheric outflows are a vital source of plasma to the magnetosphere. Ambipolar electric fields, Field Aligned Currents (FACs), Joule heating, centrifugal acceleration, wave-particle interactions, and other physical phenomenon accelerate plasma and can lead to mass flow from the ionosphere to the magnetosphere. Most Magnetosphere-Ionosphere Coupling (MIC) in models ignores these processes instead relying on pressure gradient terms to draw plasma off the inner boundary of the magnetosphere. We present preliminary results of new efforts to incorporate this important physics into the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). In particular, we use the Polar Wind Outflow Model (PWOM), a field-aligned multi-fluid polar wind code, and describe efforts to couple it to the Upper Atmosphere (UA), Ionosphere Electrodynamics (IE), and Global Magnetosphere (GM) components of the SWMF. We present our methodology for the MIC, as well as several controlled numerical experiments demonstrating the importance of different physical processes. Title: Simulated CMEs and Predictions for STEREO Authors: Manchester, M. B.; Vourlidas, A.; Gombosi, T.; Sokolov, I. V.; Cohen, O.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2007AGUSMSH41A..06M Altcode: We compare results of our global MHD simulations of CMEs propagating from Sun-to-Earth to observations made with STEREO. We model a number of events of varying degree of complexity, and model the observations that are made by the SECCHI coronagraph suite and in situ observations by IMPACT and PLASTIC. We make synthetic Thomson-scattered white light images from the simulations as they would appear to the COR1, COR2, and wide-angle coronagraphs HI1 and HI2. We identify shock structures in the coronagraph images and follow their evolution to Earth orbit. At large elongation, we find complex time evolution of the white- light images as a result of three-dimensional structures encountering large variations in scattering efficiency as they pass through the Thomson sphere. We then compare the modeled ICME plasma structures with observations from PLASTIC. We also model solar energetic particles and compare them with IMPACT observations. Title: Comparison of Hall MHD and the non-gyrotropic resistivity model in the global magnetohydrodynamic code BATSRUS Authors: Toth, G.; Ma, Y.; Gombosi, T. I.; Kuznetsova, M. M. Bibcode: 2007AGUSMSM51A..12T Altcode: We have recently added Hall MHD to the global magnetohydrodynamic code BATSRUS. Compared to ideal or resistive MHD, Hall MHD provides a more realistic modeling of the interaction of the solar wind with unmagnetized bodies and the reconnection process in magnetospheres. On the other hand accurate modeling of reconnection is rather expensive due to the required resolution and the stiffness of the Hall MHD equations. The non-gyrotropic resistivity model of Kuznetsova et al. is a phenomenological approximation based on the results of particle simulations. It provides an inexpensive but surprisingly accurate model for the reconnection process. We will systematically compare the two approaches within the BATSRUS code. Title: Numerical Investigation of the Homologous Coronal Mass Ejection Events from Active Region 9236 Authors: Lugaz, N.; Manchester, W. B., IV; Roussev, I. I.; Tóth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2007ApJ...659..788L Altcode: We present a three-dimensional compressible magneto-hydrodynamics (MHD) simulation of the three coronal mass ejections (CMEs) of 2000 November 24, originating from NOAA active region 9236. These three ejections, with velocities around 1200 km s-1 and associated with X-class flares, erupted from the Sun in a period of about 16.5 hr. In our simulation, the coronal magnetic field is reconstructed from MDI magnetogram data, the steady-state solar wind is based on a varying polytropic index model, and the ejections are initiated using out-of-equilibrium semicylindrical flux ropes with a size smaller than the active region. The simulations are carried out with the Space Weather Modeling Framework. We are able to reproduce the shape and velocity of the CMEs as observed by the LASCO C3 coronograph. The complex ejecta resulting from the interaction of the three CMEs is preceded at Earth by a single shock wave, which, in our simulation, arrives at Earth 10 hr later than the shock observed by the Wind spacecraft. This article discusses the three-dimensional aspects of the propagation, interaction, and merging of the forward shock waves associated with the three ejections. Synthetic images from the Heliospheric Imagers onboard the STEREO spacecraft are produced, and we predict that the large density jump associated with the interaction of the shocks should be observed by those coronographs in the near future. Title: Understanding storm-time ring current development through data-model comparisons of a moderate storm Authors: Zhang, Jichun; Liemohn, Michael W.; de Zeeuw, Darren L.; Borovsky, Joseph E.; Ridley, Aaron J.; Toth, Gabor; Sazykin, Stanislav; Thomsen, Michelle F.; Kozyra, Janet U.; Gombosi, Tamas I.; Wolf, Richard A. Bibcode: 2007JGRA..112.4208Z Altcode: 2007JGRA..11204208Z With three components, global magnetosphere (GM), inner magnetosphere (IM), and ionospheric electrodynamics (IE), in the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF), the moderate storm on 19 May 2002 is globally simulated over a 24-hour period that includes the sudden storm commencement (SSC), initial phase, and main phase of the storm. Simulation results are validated by comparison with in situ observations from Geotail, GOES 8, GOES 10, Polar, LANL MPA, and the Sym-H and Dst indices. It is shown that the SWMF is reaching a sophistication level for allowing quantitative comparison with the observations. Major storm characteristics at the SSC, in the initial phase, and in the main phase are successfully reproduced. The simulated plasma parameters exhibit obvious dawn-dusk asymmetries or symmetries in the ring current region: higher density near the dawn and higher temperature in the afternoon and premidnight sectors; the pressure is highest on the nightside and exhibits a near dawn-dusk symmetry. In addition, it is found in this global modeling that the upstream solar wind/IMF conditions control the storm activity and an important plasma source of the ring current is in the solar wind. However, the ionospheric outflow can also affect the ring current development, especially in the main phase. Activity in the high-latitude ionosphere is also produced reasonably well. However, the modeled cross polar cap potential drop (CPCP) in the Southern Hemisphere is almost always significantly larger than that in the Northern Hemisphere during the May storm. Title: Polar wind outflow model: Saturn results Authors: Glocer, A.; Gombosi, T. I.; Toth, G.; Hansen, K. C.; Ridley, A. J.; Nagy, A. Bibcode: 2007JGRA..112.1304G Altcode: 2007JGRA..11201304G The Saturnian system's configuration and dynamics are to a large extent controlled by the planet's rapid rotation and the plasma in the magnetosphere. Therefore characterizing the relative importance of the various plasma sources is crucial to understanding Saturn's magnetosphere. Most research in this area focuses on the addition of mass from the icy satellites, the rings, and Titan, while comparatively little attention has been paid to the ionospheric source. We investigate the ionospheric source at high latitude using multifluid numerical simulations of Saturn's polar wind and find that the magnitude of the particle source rate out of the polar cap is between 2.1 × 1026 and 7.5 × 1027 s-1. Our multifluid simulations are carried out using the Polar Wind Outflow Model (PWOM). This new model is capable of calculating the polar wind at Earth and Saturn by solving the gyrotropic transport equations. The polar wind at Saturn is modeled from below the peak ionospheric density to an altitude of one Saturn radius, yielding fluxes for H3+, H+, and electrons. Because the neutral temperature is ill constrained, we calculate source rates for various Saturnian atmospheric profiles corresponding to neutral temperatures of 420, 600, 800, 1000, 1500 K. We compare the results with those calculated from other models and measurements where appropriate. Title: Parallel Adaptive Solution of the MHD Equations and Its Role in the Space-Weather Modeling Framework Authors: Powell, K. G.; Gombosi, T. I.; Stout, Q. F.; de Zeeuw, D. L.; Tóth, G.; Sokolov, I. V.; Ridley, A. J.; Hansen, K. C.; Manchester, W. B.; Roussev, I. I. Bibcode: 2006ASPC..359...33P Altcode: Over the last ten years, a collaboration of researchers in space physics, computer science and computational fluid dynamics has grown into the Center for Space Environment Modeling at the University of Michigan. The group has partnered with researchers at Rice, Stanford, NCAR, and NASA Goddard, among other institutions, to develop a first-principles-based software framework for modeling space-weather events.

In this paper, a solution-adaptive method for solving the MHD equations in a highly efficient manner on parallel computers is presented. In addition, an overview of the broader effort to develop the Space Weather Modeling Framework is given. Title: The Polar Wind Outflow Model: Saturn Results Authors: Nagy, A.; Glocer, A.; Gombosi, T.; Toth, G.; Hansen, K.; Ridley, A. Bibcode: 2006AGUFMSM31C..03N Altcode: The Saturnian system's configuration and dynamics are to a large extent controlled by the planet's rapid rotation and the plasma in the magnetosphere. Therefore, characterizing the relative importance of the various plasma sources is crucial to understanding Saturn's magnetosphere. Most research in this area focuses on the addition of mass from the icy satellites, the rings, and Titan, while comparatively little attention has been paid to the ionospheric source. We investigate the ionospheric source at high latitude using multi-fluid numerical simulations of Saturn's polar wind, and find that the magnitude of the particle source rate out of the polar cap is between 2.1×10^{26} and 7.5×10^{27} s-1. Our multi-fluid simulations are carried out using the Polar Wind Outflow Model (PWOM). This new model is capable of calculating the polar wind at Earth and Saturn by solving the gyrotropic transport equations. The polar wind at Saturn is modeled from below the peak ionospheric density to an altitude of one Saturn radius, yielding fluxes for H3+, H+, and electrons. Because the neutral temperature is ill constrained, we calculate source rates for various Saturnian atmospheric profiles corresponding to neutral temperatures of 420, 600, 800, 1000, 1500 K. We compare the results with those calculated from other models and measurements where appropriate. Title: 3D Global MHD Simulation of Titan's interaction with its surrounding plasma Authors: Ma, Y.; Nagy, A. F.; Toth, G.; Najib, D.; Cravens, T. E.; Crary, F.; Coates, A. J.; Bertucci, C.; Neubauer, F. M. Bibcode: 2006AGUFM.P21B..07M Altcode: The interaction of Titan's ionosphere with its surrounding plasma flow is more complex than analogous solar wind-planet interactions, because of Titan's varying relative location in the Sun-Saturn system. We have studied the role of the angle between the direction of the solar radiation and the corotating plasma flow using our 3D multi-species MHD model. We also present results from a comparison between our model simulations and the observations corresponding to the T9 flyby of Cassini, using the measured upstream plasma parameters. Title: Hall MHD Simulations on Block Adaptive Grids Authors: Toth, G.; Ma, Y.; Gombosi, T. I.; Sokolov, I. V. Bibcode: 2006AGUFMSM34B..02T Altcode: We have recently extended the global magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) code BATSRUS to include the physics of Hall MHD. The numerical algorithm is developed on a block adaptive grid with explicit and implicit time integration. We discuss the algorithm, numerical tests, and initial simulation results applied to magnetospheric simulations. The effects of Hall MHD on the reconnection process is of particular initerest at the day-side magnetopause and in the magnetotail region. Title: Collisionless Reconnection in Global Modeling of Magnetospheric Dynamics Authors: Kuznetsova, M. M.; Hesse, M.; Rastaetter, L.; Gombosi, T.; de Zeeuw, D.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2006AGUFMSM34B..03K Altcode: Recent advances in small-scale kinetic modeling of magnetic reconnection significantly improved our understanding of physical mechanisms controlling the dissipation in the vicinity of the reconnection site in collisionless plasma. However the progress in studies of small-scale geometries was not very helpful for large scale simulations. Global magnetosphere simulations usually include non-ideal processes in terms of numerical dissipation and/or ad hoc anomalous resistivity. To understand the role of magnetic reconnection in global evolution of magnetosphere and to place spacecraft observations into global context it is desirable to perform global simulations with physically motivated model of dissipation that are capable to reproduce reconnection rates observed in kinetic models. In our efforts to bridge the gap between small scale kinetic modeling and global simulations we introduced an approach that allows to quantify the interaction between large-scale global magnetospheric dynamics and microphysical processes in diffusion regions near reconnection sites. We utilized the global MHD code BATSRUS and incorporate primary mechanism controlling the dissipation in the vicinity of the reconnection site in terms of non-gyrotropic corrections to the induction equation. We demonstrated that nongyrotropic effects can significantly alter the global magnetosphere evolution. Our approach allowed for the first time to model loading/unloading cycle in response to steady southward IMF driving. We will extend our approach to cases with nonzero IMF By and analyze the effects of solar wind parameters and ionospheric conductance on reconnection rate and global magnetosphere dynamics. Title: Ring Current Decay of Moderate Storms at Solar Maximum: Global Modeling Using Superposed Epoch Upstream Conditions Authors: Zhang, J.; Wolf, R. A.; Sazykin, S.; Toffoletto, F. R.; Liemohn, M. W.; de Zeeuw, D. L.; Ridley, A. J.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2006AGUFMSM33D..06Z Altcode: This study is an extension of our previous high-performance storm simulation with the coupled BATS-R-US (Block Adaptive Tree Solar-wind Roe-type Upwind Scheme) global magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) model, Rice Convection Model (RCM), and Ridley Ionosphere Model (RIM). In this work, the superposed epoch recovery phase of 34 moderate storms at solar maximum (July, 1999 -- June, 2002) is simulated for averaged upstream solar wind conditions with the standalone RCM and also with the coupled codes. Superposed epoch averages of Dst, Sym-H, and the Los Alamos Magnetospheric Plasma Analyzer (MPA) observations at geosynchronous orbit are used to validate the modeling results. In addition, parameters in the standalone RCM and the coupled codes are adjusted to systematically study the effects of interchange instability, charge exchange rate, particle drift intensity, and particle energy levels on the ring current decay. Computer experiments will also explore how magnetic field changes and time-dependent plasma-sheet density affect the recovery phase. Title: Modeling the "gap" region between the ionosphere and magnetosphere Authors: Glocer, A.; Gombosi, T.; Toth, G.; Hansen, K.; Ridley, A. Bibcode: 2006AGUFMSA41B1419G Altcode: The gap region refers to the 2-3 Re space between the outer boundary of most ionosphere models, and the inner boundary of most magnetosphere models. Ambipolar electric fields, Field Aligned Currents (FACs), Joule heating, centrifugal acceleration, wave-particle interactions, and other physical phenomenon in the gap region accelerate plasma and can lead to mass flow from the ionosphere to the magnetosphere. Most Magnetosphere-Ionosphere Coupling (MIC) models ignore these processes instead relying on pressure gradient terms to draw plasma off the inner boundary of the magnetosphere. We present preliminary results of new efforts to model the "gap" region in the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). In particular, we use the Polar Wind Outflow Model (PWOM), a field-aligned multi-fluid polar wind code, and describe efforts to couple it to the Upper Atmosphere (UA), Ionosphere Electrodynamics (IE), and Global Magnetosphere (GM) components of the SWMF. We present our methodology for the MIC, as well as several controlled numerical experiments demonstrating the importance of different physical processes in the gap region. Title: 3D Global MHD Simulation of the Saturn Magnetospheric Plasma Interaction with Titan's Ionosphere Authors: Ma, Yingjuan; Nagy, A. F.; Cravens, T. E.; Toth, G.; Crary, F. J.; Coates, A. J.; Dougherty, M. K. Bibcode: 2006DPS....38.2703M Altcode: 2006BAAS...38..527M The interaction between Titan's ionosphere and its surrounding plasma is simulated using our 3D multi-species MHD model.We compare the simulation results with the observations obtained during the T9 flyby, using the upstream plasma parameters measured during the flyby. The Hall term (JXB) is also included in the model to investigate the ion gyro-radii effect. Title: Enhancement of Photospheric Meridional Flow by Reconnection Processes Authors: Cohen, O.; Fisk, L. A.; Roussev, I. I.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2006ApJ...645.1537C Altcode: We simulate the two-dimensional transport of the open magnetic flux on the surface of the Sun. The temporal evolution of the flux density depends on the advective motions due to solar differential rotation and poleward meridional flow and on an effective spatial diffusive motion. The latter is a result of the uniform diffusion of field line footpoints in the network lanes and a nonuniform diffusion of field lines due to reconnection of open field lines with closed loops on the solar surface. The gradient of the diffusion coefficient represents an effective velocity in addition to the advective velocity. We investigate the behavior of the steady state solution for solar minimum and solar maximum conditions with spatially uniform and nonuniform diffusion coefficients. We find that for solar minimum conditions, the effect of spatial diffusion resulting from reconnection processes enhances the poleward meridional flow due to the large-scale preferred direction in the gradient of the diffusion coefficient. For solar maximum conditions, the net effect of spatial diffusion is minimal because of the isotropic and local gradients of the diffusion coefficient. Our simulation demonstrates that magnetic reconnection processes on the solar surface can be a mechanism to vary motions on the photosphere, in particular, poleward meridional flow. Title: Understanding Ring Current Sources of Moderate and Intense Storms at Solar Maximum: Global Modeling Using Superposed Epoch Upstream Conditions Authors: Zhang, J.; Liemohn, M. W.; de Zeeuw, D. L.; Borovsky, J. E.; Ridley, A. J.; Toth, G.; Sazykin, S.; Thomsen, M. F.; Kozyra, J. U.; Gombosi, T. I.; Wolf, R. A. Bibcode: 2006AGUSMSM53A..07Z Altcode: With the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF), we conduct storm simulations for superposed epoch upstream solar wind conditions of 34 moderate storms and 64 intense storms at solar maximum (July, 1999 - June, 2002). In comparison with superposed epoch averages of Dst, Sym-H, and the Los Alamos Magnetospheric Plasma Analyzer (MPA) observations at geosynchronous orbit, modeling results are validated. It is shown that the SWMF is sophisticated enough to make quantitative data-model comparisons. The major storm characteristics are successfully reproduced. With the two levels of storm intensity and different SWMF parameter settings, the influences on storms of upstream conditions, ionospheric outflow and ionospheric conductance are assessed. It is shown that the integrated energy input for a storm is much more important than the short-lived peaks in the upstream solar wind values. Consistent with the MPA averaged measurements, it is found that in the inner magnetosphere in the simulated main phase plasmas become denser near dawn than around duskside; plasma temperature is higher in the afternoon and pre-midnight sectors; but enhanced plasma pressure is always symmetric on the nightside with a peak at midnight. Possible reasons for these plasma parameter asymmetries and symmetries are investigated and discussed.

personal.umich.edu/~jichunz/ Title: The global ionosphere thermosphere model Authors: Ridley, A. J.; Deng, Y.; Tóth, G. Bibcode: 2006JASTP..68..839R Altcode: 2006JATP...68..839R The recently created global ionosphere thermosphere model (GITM) is presented. GITM uses a three-dimensional spherical grid that can be stretched in both latitude and altitude, while having a fixed resolution in longitude. GITM is nontraditional in that it does not use a pressure-based coordinate system. Instead it uses an altitude-based grid and does not assume a hydrostatic solution. This allows the model to more realistically capture physics in the high-latitude region, where auroral heating is prevalent. The code can be run in a one-dimensional (1-D) or three-dimensional (3-D) mode. In 3-D mode, the modeling region is broken into blocks of equal size for parallelization. In 1-D mode, a single latitude and longitude is modeled by neglecting any horizontal transport or gradients, except in the ionospheric potential. GITM includes a modern advection solver and realistic source terms for the continuity, momentum, and energy equations. Each neutral species has a separate vertical velocity, with coupling of the velocities through a frictional term. The ion momentum equation is solved for assuming steady-state, taking into account the pressure, gravity, neutral winds, and external electric fields. GITM is an extremely flexible code—allowing different models of high-latitude electric fields, auroral particle precipitation, solar EUV inputs, and particle energy deposition to be used. The magnetic field can be represented by an ideal dipole magnetic field or a realistic APEX magnetic field. Many of the source terms can be controlled (switched on and off, or values set) by an easily readable input file. The initial state can be set in three different ways: (1) using an ideal atmosphere, where the user inputs the densities and temperature at the bottom of the atmosphere; (2) using MSIS and IRI; and (3) restarting from a previous run. A 3-D equinox run and a 3-D northern summer solstice run are presented. These simulations are compared with MSIS and IRI to show that the large-scale features are reproduced within the code. We conduct a second equinox simulation with different initial conditions to show that the runs converge after approximately 1.5 days. Additionally, a 1-D simulation is presented to show that GITM works in 1-D and that the dynamics are what is expected for such a model. Title: Multi-Scale Modeling of Magnetospheric Reconnection. Authors: Kuznetsova, M. M.; Hesse, M.; Rastatter, L.; Toth, G.; Dezeeuw, D. L.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2006AGUSMSM21A..04K Altcode: One of the major challenges in modeling the magnetospheric magnetic reconnection is to quantify the interaction between large-scale global magnetospheric dynamics and microphysical processes in diffusion regions near reconnection sites. There is still considerable debate as to what degree microphysical processes on kinetic scales affect the global evolution and how important it is to substitute numerical dissipation and/or ad hoc anomalous resistivity by a physically motivated model of dissipation. Comparative studies of magnetic reconnection in small scale geometries demonstrated that MHD simulations that included non-ideal processes in terms of a resistive term η J did not produce the fast reconnection rates observed in kinetic simulations. For a broad range of physical parameters in collisionless magnetospheric plasma, the primary mechanism controlling the dissipation in the vicinity of the reconnection site is non-gyrotropic effects with spatial scales comparable with the particle Larmor radius. We utilize the global MHD code BATSRUS and incorporate nongyrotropic effects in diffusion regions in terms of corrections to the induction equation. We developed an algorithm to search for magnetotail reconnection sites, specifically where the magnetic field components perpendicular to the local current direction approaches zero and form an X-type configuration. Spatial scales of the diffusion region and magnitude of the reconnection electric field are calculated self-consistently using MHD plasma and field parameters in the vicinity of the reconnection site. The location of the reconnection sites is updated during the simulations. To clarify the role of nongyrotropic effects in diffusion region on the global magnetospheric dynamic we perform simulations with steady southward IMF driving of the magnetosphere. Ideal MHD simulations with magnetic reconnection supported by numerical resistivity produce steady configuration with almost stationary near-earth neutral line (NENL). Simulations with non-gyrotropic corrections demonstrate dynamic quasi-periodic response to the steady driving condition. The loading/unloading cycle in non-gyrotropic MHD results has a non-stationary reconnection site in the magnetotail, with the retreating during the stretching phase and then a new NENL forming in the resulting thin plasma sheet. We expect that this model will lead to improved representations of space weather event in the magnetosphere. Title: Simulation of the Ejections From NOAA AR 9236 With the SWMF Authors: Lugaz, N.; Manchester, W.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2006AGUSMSA23A..01L Altcode: NOAA active region 9236 produced a series of 5 X-class flares and 5 full halo CMEs between November 24 and November 27, 2000. Some of these ejections interacted on their way to Earth and produced a complex ejecta observed by the ACE satellite. We performed a MHD simulation of the ejections of November 24 using the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). We are able to reproduce LASCO C2 and C3 coronograph images with good agreement and to get a better understanding of the interaction of multiple CMEs resulting in the formation of a long-lived magnetic storm at Earth. Title: Understanding Ring Current Sources of Moderate and Intense Storms at Solar Maximum: Global Modeling Using Superposed Epoch Upstream Conditions Authors: Zhang, J. -C.; Liemohn, M. W.; de Zeeuw, D. L.; Borovsky, J. E.; Ridley, A. J.; Toth, G.; Sazykin, S.; Thomsen, M. F.; Kozyra, J. U.; Gombosi, T. I.; Swmf; Mpa Team Bibcode: 2006cosp...36.3321Z Altcode: 2006cosp.meet.3321Z With the Space Weather Modeling Framework SWMF we conduct storm simulations for superposed epoch upstream solar wind conditions of 34 moderate storms and 64 intense storms at solar maximum July 1999 - June 2002 In comparison with superposed epoch averages of Dst Sym-H and the Los Alamos Magnetospheric Plasma Analyzer MPA observations at geosynchronous orbit modeling results are validated It is shown that the SWMF is sophisticated enough to make quantitative data-model comparisons The major storm characteristics are successfully reproduced With the two levels of storm intensity and different SWMF parameter settings the influences on storms of upstream conditions ionospheric outflow and ionospheric conductance are assessed It is shown that the integrated energy input for a storm is much more important than the short-lived peaks in the upstream solar wind values Consistent with the MPA averaged measurements it is found that in the inner magnetosphere in the simulated main phase plasmas become denser near dawn than around duskside plasma temperature is higher in the afternoon and pre-midnight sectors but enhanced plasma pressure is always symmetric on the nightside with a peak at midnight Possible reasons for these plasma parameter asymmetries and symmetries are investigated and discussed Title: Space weather simulations with the Space Weather Modeling Framework Authors: Gombosi, T.; Toth, G.; Sokolov, I.; Ridley, A.; de Zeeuw, D.; Manchester, W.; Clauer, R. Bibcode: 2006cosp...36.1541G Altcode: 2006cosp.meet.1541G The Space Weather Modeling Framework SWMF aims at providing a flexible framework for physics based space weather simulations The SWMF combines numerical models of the Solar Corona which includes the Eruptive Event Generator the Inner Heliosphere Solar Energetic Particles Global Magnetosphere Inner Magnetosphere Radiation Belt Ionosphere Electrodynamics and Upper Atmosphere into a parallel high performance model All the components can be replaced with alternatives and one has the option to use only a subset of the components The SWMF enables us to do simulations that were not possible with the individual components We highlight some numerical simulations obtained with the SWMF Title: Kelvin-Helmholtz Instability and Turbulence Forming Behind a CME-driven Shock. Authors: Manchester, W. B.; Opher, M.; Gombosi, T.; Dezeeuw, D.; Sokolov, I.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2005AGUFMSH53A1245M Altcode: We have found that a fast CME propagating through a bimodal solar wind produces variety of unexpected results. By means of a three-dimensional (3-D) numerical ideal magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) model we explore the interaction of a fast CME with a solar wind that possesses fast and slow speed solar wind at high and low latitude respectively. Within this model system, a CME erupts from the coronal streamer belt with an initial speed in excess of 1000 km/s which naturally drives a forward shock. An indentation in the shock forms at low latitude where it propagates through the slow solar wind. This indentation causes the fast-mode shock to deflect the flow toward the impinging flux rope. The plasma flow then must reverses direction to move around the rope, resulting in strong velocity shears. The shear flow is shown to be susceptible to the Kelvin-Helmholtz instability, which results in significant turbulence producing an environment very conducive to particle acceleration. Title: Understanding Storm-time Ring Current Sources through Data-Model Comparisons of a Moderate Storm, an Intense Storm and a Super-storm Authors: Zhang, J.; Liemohn, M. W.; Dezeeuw, D. L.; Borovsky, J. E.; Ridley, A. J.; Toth, G.; Sazykin, S.; Thomsen, M. F.; Kozyra, J. U.; Gombosi, T. I.; Wolf, R. A. Bibcode: 2005AGUFMSM22A..08Z Altcode: With the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF), the moderate storm on 19 May 2002, the intense storm on 11 May 2002, and the super-storm on 20 November 2003 are simulated. In comparison with in-situ observations from Wind, Geotail, Polar, Goes8, Goes10, Goes12, LANL MPA, and measured Sym-H, simulation results are validated. It is shown that the SWMF is sophisticated enough to make quantitative data- model comparisons. The major characteristics of the three storms are successfully reproduced. Observations and modeling results match better in the outer than inner magnetosphere; they match better during the quiet than disturbed times. With different SWMF parameter settings and storm sizes, the influences on storms of upstream solar wind conditions, ionospheric outflow and ionospheric conductance are assessed. Results from `virtual satellites', placed at geosynchronous orbit in the SWMF, show that plasma temperature and entropy are asymmetric on the nightside with a peak at 7:00 - 8:00 PM local time. After the solar wind shock hits the magnetosphere, the nightside plasma becomes denser closer to dawn and dusk. Possible reasons for the number density peaks are investigated and discussed. Title: Statistical Study of the Probability of Titan Being in the Solar Wind or in Saturn's Magnetosheath Authors: Lundberg, E. T.; Hansen, K. C.; Gombosi, T. I.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2005AGUFM.P43A0957L Altcode: We present the results of a statistical study of the location of Titan relative to the bow shock and the magnetopause of Saturn's magnetosphere. Using statistical distributions of solar wind ram pressure at Saturn's orbit and the dependence of the magnetosphere's boundaries on this pressure we are able to calculate the probability of finding Titan in the solarwind, the magnetosheath or the magnetosphere for each point along its orbit. As a preliminary example consider Titan at the sub-solar point for 2004 solar wind conditions. We find that Titan would have spent 56.7% of its time in the magnetosphere, 42.1% in the magnetosheath and 1.3% in the solarwind for these conditions when at the sub-solar point. We will present statistics for Titan at a set of local times along its orbit as well as integrated over its entire orbit. We obtain solar wind conditions at the orbit of Saturn by propagating ACE and other spacecraft measurements of the solar wind conditions at the Earth radially outward using a 1D MHD model. The propagation is validated against Voyager, Pioneer and Cassini data. For our calculations, we use different models for the shape of the bow shock and magnetopause. These include the traditional Slavin model as well as a new boundary model generated by fitting geometric surfaces to a global 3D MHD model of Saturn's magnetosphere. Title: Magnetic Reconnection in Global MHD Modeling of Magnetosphere Dynamics Authors: Kuznetsova, M. M.; Hesse, M.; Rastatter, L.; Toth, G.; de Zeeuw, D.; Gombosi, T. Bibcode: 2005AGUFMSM31B0418K Altcode: One of the major challenges in global MHD modeling of magnetosphere dynamics is to find an accurate description of the reconnection rate. We will take advantage of recent progress in small-scale kinetic studies of magnetic reconnection, which demonstrated that the reconnection rate is controlled by ion nongyrotropic behavior near the reconnection site. It can then be expressed in terms of nongyrotropic corrections to the electric field. We will demonstrate that the reconnection electric field can be estimated as a convection electric field v x B at the edge of the non-MHD diffusion region. The BATSRUS adaptive grid structure allows to perform global simulations with spatial resolution near the reconnection site comparable with ion kinetic scales. To reproduce fast reconnection rates observed in kinetic simulations we modified the global MHD code BATSRUS by introducing nongyrotropic corrections to the magnetic induction equation. The role of the nongyrotropic effects near the reconnection site on the global magnetospheric dynamics will be analyzed. Testing the ability of global MHD models to describe magnetospheric dynamics is one of the elements of science based validation efforts at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center. Title: Space Weather Modeling Framework: A new tool for the space science community Authors: Tóth, GáBor; Sokolov, Igor V.; Gombosi, Tamas I.; Chesney, David R.; Clauer, C. Robert; de Zeeuw, Darren L.; Hansen, Kenneth C.; Kane, Kevin J.; Manchester, Ward B.; Oehmke, Robert C.; Powell, Kenneth G.; Ridley, Aaron J.; Roussev, Ilia I.; Stout, Quentin F.; Volberg, Ovsei; Wolf, Richard A.; Sazykin, Stanislav; Chan, Anthony; Yu, Bin; Kóta, József Bibcode: 2005JGRA..11012226T Altcode: The Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) provides a high-performance flexible framework for physics-based space weather simulations, as well as for various space physics applications. The SWMF integrates numerical models of the Solar Corona, Eruptive Event Generator, Inner Heliosphere, Solar Energetic Particles, Global Magnetosphere, Inner Magnetosphere, Radiation Belt, Ionosphere Electrodynamics, and Upper Atmosphere into a high-performance coupled model. The components can be represented with alternative physics models, and any physically meaningful subset of the components can be used. The components are coupled to the control module via standardized interfaces, and an efficient parallel coupling toolkit is used for the pairwise coupling of the components. The execution and parallel layout of the components is controlled by the SWMF. Both sequential and concurrent execution models are supported. The SWMF enables simulations that were not possible with the individual physics models. Using reasonably high spatial and temporal resolutions in all of the coupled components, the SWMF runs significantly faster than real time on massively parallel supercomputers. This paper presents the design and implementation of the SWMF and some demonstrative tests. Future papers will describe validation (comparison of model results with measurements) and applications to challenging space weather events. The SWMF is publicly available to the scientific community for doing geophysical research. We also intend to expand the SWMF in collaboration with other model developers. Title: Magnetic Reconnection Rate in Collisionless Plasma. Authors: Patel, K.; Kuznetsova, M. M.; Hesse, M.; Rastatter, L.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. Bibcode: 2005AGUFMSH51D..06P Altcode: The physical processes controlling the magnetic reconnection rate are of principle importance for many phenomena in space plasma. Comparative study of magnetic reconnection in kinetic and fluid simulations demonstrated that the reconnection rate is controlled by ion nongyrotropic behavior near the reconnection site. We will demonstrate that reconnection electric field can be estimated as a convection electric field v x B at the edge of the non-MHD diffusion region and can be incorporated into the MHD description. We employ small scale and global MHD simulation codes and introduce non-ideal corrections to the induction equation in terms of nongyrotropic corrections to the electric field. The role of the nongyrotropic effects near the reconnection site on the global dynamics will be analyzed. Title: Multiple Scales in the Solar Wind Interaction with the Magnetosphere Authors: Gombosi, T. I.; Ridley, A. J.; de Zeeuw, D. L.; Sokolov, I. V.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2005AGUFMSM34A..01G Altcode: The solar wind interaction with the magnetosphere takes place on many scales ranging from global scale current systems to mesoscale processes like ionospheric outflows, to microscale phenomena involving kinetic effects and reconnection. This talk will discuss a new computational tool, the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF), that was specifically designed to self-consistently couple different physics domains described by different approximate models. SWMF can couple global MHD codes to kinetic drift physics models (such as RCM), as well as other mesoscale and/or microscale codes. We will show several simulations and data comparisons investigating the effects of various processes on the configuration and dynamics of the magnetosphere. Title: Numerical Simulation of Transport of Open Magnetic Flux on the Solar Surface Authors: Cohen, O.; Fisk, L. A.; Gombosi, T. I.; Roussev, I. I.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2005AGUFMSH41A1116C Altcode: Following Fisk (2005), we simulate the transport and evolution of the open magnetic flux on the surface of the sun. The temporal evolution of the flux density depends on the convective motion due to solar differential rotation and poleward meridional flow, and an effective diffusive motion. The latter is a result of the diffusion of field-lines footpoints in the network lanes, and the diffusion of field-lines due to reconnection of open field lines with closed loops on the solar surface. The diffusion coefficient of the network lanes motion is constant everywhere, while the diffusion coefficient due to the reconnection process is non-uniform, and depends on the open flux density and the rate of emergence of the new magnetic loops. The gradient of the diffusion coefficient due to reconnection represents an effective velocity in addition to the convective motion. We investigate the behavior of the steady-state solution with constant and spatial diffusion coefficient; we also examine the behavior of the effective velocity due to the non-uniform diffusion coefficient. In the future, we plan to extend the current 2D model to a 3D geometry in order to investigate the role of the open flux in the evolution of the large-scale solar magnetic field and in solar wind acceleration, in the extent of a global model. Title: Sun-to-Thermosphere Simulation of the October 28, 2003 Event With the Space Weather Modeling Framework Authors: Toth, G.; de Zeeuw, D. L.; Gombosi, T. I.; Manchester, W. B.; Ridley, A. J.; Roussev, I. I.; Sokolov, I. V. Bibcode: 2005AGUFMSM11A..05T Altcode: Space weather forecasting requires faster than real-time simulations of the entire Sun-to-Earth model chain at high enough spatial and temporal resolution to resolve the important geoeffective features in the solar wind and the magnetosphere-ionosphere-thermosphere system. We present a complete end-to-end simulation of one of the most intensive solar storms, the October 28, 2003 CME. The physical domain models spanning from the Solar Corona model to the Upper Atmosphere model are self-consistently coupled together by the high-performance Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). We discuss technological advances enabling the faster than real-time operation of the SWMF with high resolution. We also compare the simulation results with observations. Title: Magnetotail Current Sheet Thinning in Global Simulations of Magnetosphere Dynamics. Authors: Taktakishvili, A.; Kuznetsova, M.; Hesse, M.; Rastatter, L.; Toth, G.; de Zeeuw, D.; Gombosi, T. Bibcode: 2005AGUFMSM23B0430T Altcode: We perform simulations of magnetotail dynamics using the global MHD models at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC). We select solar wind conditions which drive the accumulation of magnetic field in the tail lobes and subsequent magnetotail current sheet thinning. We will demonstrate the formation of bifurcated and triple-peak current sheets during this phase. In addition, we will analyze the dependence of the thin current sheet structure, location, rate of the thinning and timing of reconnection onset on solar wind conditions. Finally, we will discuss the role of dayside reconnection rate, of diffusion at the flanks, and of distant tail processes on the dynamics of the current sheet thinning. Title: The Polar Wind as a Mass Source for Saturn's Magnetosphere Authors: Glocer, A.; Gombosi, T.; Toth, G.; Hansen, K.; Ridley, A. Bibcode: 2005AGUFM.P52A..06G Altcode: Characterizing the relative importance of the various mass sources is crucial to understanding Saturn's magnetosphere. Most research in this area focuses on the addition of mass from the icy satellites and rings. Comparatively little attention has been paid to the ionospheric source. Our study addresses this issue by using multi-fluid numerical simulations of Saturn's polar wind to determine the magnitude of the contribution. We introduce a model capable of calculating the polar wind at Earth and Saturn, solving the gyrotropic transport equations. The polar wind at Saturn is calculated from below the peak ionospheric density to an altitude of one Saturn radius, giving fluxes for H3+, H+, and electrons. Similarly, at Earth the calculation ranges from 200 km to approximately one Earth radius, providing fluxes for O+, H+, and He+. We calculate source rates for various atmospheric profiles, and compare the results with those calculated from other models and measurements where appropriate. Title: Transport and Acceleration of Electrons from the Outer to the Inner Magnetosphere Authors: Schriver, D.; Ashour-Abdalla, M.; Zelenyi, L.; Gombosi, T.; Ridley, A.; Toth, G.; Travnicek, P. Bibcode: 2005AGUFMSM33C0469S Altcode: To examine the transport and acceleration of electrons throughout the Earth's magnetosphere, a global model that follows electron motion in magnetic and electric fields representative of the magnetospheric configuration has been developed. The goal is to understand the formation of the seed electron population with energies > keV located at about 10 R_E from the Earth in the equatorial plane. The results show that electrons launched in the outer magnetospere are adibatically compressed as they convect towards the magnetic midplane in the magnetotail forming a heated central plasma sheet towards the Earth. A group of electrons accelerated near a reconnection region located in the deep magnetotail also contributes to the plasma sheet population and the heated distribution function that forms in the seed region (at about 10 R_E) is a combination of electrons that are accelerated adiabatically and non-adiabatically. The results also show that the seed electron distribution is highly anisotropic with the perpendicular temperature about 2 times the parallel temperature. Results that consider different magnetic activity levels will be discussed and comparisions with Cluster satellite data in the near-Earth plasma sheet region will be presented. Title: Numerical simulations of vertical oscillations of a solar coronal loop Authors: Selwa, M.; Murawski, K.; Solanki, S. K.; Wang, T. J.; Tóth, G. Bibcode: 2005A&A...440..385S Altcode: We consider the impulsive excitation of fast vertical kink standing waves in a solar coronal loop that is embedded in a potential arcade. The two-dimensional numerical model we implement includes the effects of field line curvature and nonlinearity on the excitation and damping of standing fast magnetosonic waves. The results of the numerical simulations reveal wave signatures which are characteristic of vertical loop oscillations seen in recent TRACE observational data. Title: Global MHD simulations of Saturn's magnetosphere at the time of Cassini approach Authors: Hansen, K. C.; Ridley, A. J.; Hospodarsky, G. B.; Achilleos, N.; Dougherty, M. K.; Gombosi, T. I.; Tóth, G. Bibcode: 2005GeoRL..3220S06H Altcode: We present the results of a 3D global magnetohydrodynamic simulation of the magnetosphere of Saturn for the period of Cassini's initial approach and entry into the magnetosphere. We compare calculated bow shock and magnetopause locations with the Cassini measurements. In order to match the measured locations we use a substantial mass source due to the icy satellites (~1 × 1028 s-1 of water product ions). We find that the location of bow shock and magnetopause crossings are consistent with previous spacecraft measurements, although Cassini encountered the surfaces further from Saturn than the previously determined average location. In addition, we find that the shape of the model bow shock and magnetopause have smaller flaring angles than previous models and are asymmetric dawn-to-dusk. Finally, we find that tilt of Saturn's dipole and rotation axes results in asymmetries in the bow shock and magnetopause and in the magnetotail being hinged near Titan's orbit (~20 RS). Title: Cross-Disciplinary Modeling of Heliospheric Phenomena with the Space Weather Modeling Framework Authors: Gombosi, T. I.; Toth, G.; Sokolov, I. V.; Stout, Q. F.; Clauer, C. R.; de Zeeuw, D. L.; Hansen, K. C.; Manchester, W. B.; Powell, K. G.; Ridley, A. J.; Roussev, I. I. Bibcode: 2005AGUSMSH11B..01G Altcode: The Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) aims at providing a high-performance flexible plug-and-play type framework for physics based space weather simulations, as well as for various space physics applications. The SWMF combines numerical models of the Solar Corona, Eruptive Event Generator, Inner Heliosphere, Solar Energetic Particles, Global Magnetosphere, Inner Magnetosphere, Radiation Belt, Ionosphere Electrodynamics and Upper Atmosphere into a high performance coupled model. All the components can be replaced with alternatives, and one can use only a subset of the components. The components are coupled to the control module via standardized interfaces, and an efficient parallel coupling toolkit can be used for the pairwise coupling of the components. The SWMF enables us to do simulations that were not possible with the individual components. Using reasonably high spatial and temporal resolutions in all the coupled components, the SWMF can still run significantly faster than real time on massively parallel supercomputers. This talk presents the design and implementation of the SWMF with a demonstrative application to a space weather event. Title: Fast Magnetotail Reconnection: Challenge to Global MHD Modeling Authors: Kuznetsova, M. M.; Hesse, M.; Rastaetter, L.; Toth, G.; de Zeeuw, D.; Gombosi, T. Bibcode: 2005AGUSMSM33A..02K Altcode: Representation of fast magnetotail reconnection rates during substorm onset is one of the major challenges to global MHD modeling. Our previous comparative study of collisionless magnetic reconnection in GEM Challenge geometry demonstrated that the reconnection rate is controlled by ion nongyrotropic behavior near the reconnection site and that it can be described in terms of nongyrotropic corrections to the magnetic induction equation. To further test the approach we performed MHD simulations with nongyrotropic corrections of forced reconnection for the Newton Challenge setup. As a next step we employ the global MHD code BATSRUS and test different methods to model fast magnetotail reconnection rates by introducing non-ideal corrections to the induction equation in terms of nongyrotropic corrections, spatially localized resistivity, or current dependent resistivity. The BATSRUS adaptive grid structure allows to perform global simulations with spatial resolution near the reconnection site comparable with spatial resolution of local MHD simulations for the Newton Challenge. We select solar wind conditions which drive the accumulation of magnetic field in the tail lobes and subsequent magnetic reconnection and energy release. Testing the ability of global MHD models to describe magnetotail evolution during substroms is one of the elements of science based validation efforts at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center. Title: Evolution of CME-driven Shocks in the Lower Corona for the October-November 2003 Events Authors: Opher, M.; Manchester, W.; Gombosi, T.; Liewer, P.; Roussev, I.; Sokolov, I.; Dezeeuw, D.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2005AGUSMSH13B..03O Altcode: While it is generally accepted that the largest energetic particle events are created by CME-driven shocks in interplanetary space, the relative importance of CME-driven shocks versus flare-related processes in creating energetic particles low in the corona is not understood and is an area of active research. We analyzed the formation of CME driven shocks in the lower corona for the Halloween Space Storms that occurred in late October and early November 2003. We used the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) developed at the University of Michigan to create a realistic corona. The CME was modeled as an out of equilibrium flux rope lying under a closed field region in the AR 10486. The MHD code was first used to create realistic background corona using observed photospheric fields for boundary conditions for the Carrington rotation 2008. The background corona was validated by comparing results from the model with in situ solar wind observations from ACE/WIND. We discuss the magnetosonic speed profile in the lower corona and the consequences for the CME shock formation. Consequences for the acceleration of particles to GeV/nucleon are discussed. The computational runs were performed at the supercomputer Columbia at NASA/AMES. Title: Are high-latitude forward-reverse shock pairs driven by over-expansion? Authors: Manchester, W. B.; Zurbuchen, T. H.; Gombosi, T. I.; de Zeeuw, D. L.; Sokolov, I. V.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2005AGUSMSH52A..04M Altcode: During its passage through the high-latitude heliosphere, Ulysses observed Interplanetary CMEs (ICMEs) bounded by shocks. These forward-reverse shock pairs have only been observed at high latitude in the fast solar. It has been suggested (e.g. Gosling et al. 1995) that these shock pairs are the result of the expansion of the coronal mass ejection in the ambient solar wind, so called "over-expansion". Here we demonstrate and alternative explanation for forward-reverse shock pairs by means of a three-dimensional (3-D) numerical ideal magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) model of a CME interacting with the solar wind. Our global steady-state coronal model possesses fast and slow speed solar wind at high and low latitude respectively reminiscent of near solar minimum conditions. Within this model system, a CME erupts from the coronal streamer belt with an initial speed in excess of 1000 km/s which naturally drives a forward shock. When the CME is greater than 40 Rs from the Sun, we find that a reverse shock forms poleward of the CME as a result of the interaction of the CME with the bimodal solar wind. In front of the CME, the slow wind is deflected to higher latitude while behind the CME, fast wind is deflected to low latitude. The deflected streams collide to form a reverse shock. The shock pair formed in this way naturally forms at high latitude in the fast wind stream. We will discuss these model results in the context of in situ solar wind data and make testable predictions based on this model. Title: Effects of a Tilted Heliospheric Current Sheet in the Heliosheath Authors: Opher, M.; Liewer, P.; Velli, M.; Gombosi, T.; Manchester, W.; Dezeeuw, D.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2005AGUSMSH23A..07O Altcode: Effects of a Tilted Heliospheric Current Sheet in the Heliosheath Recent observations indicate that Voyager 1, now beyond 90 AU, is in a region unlike any encountered in it's 26 years of exploration. There is currently a controversy as to whether Voyager 1 has already crossed the Termination Shock, the first boundary of the Heliosphere (Krimigis et al. 2003; McDonald et al. 2003, Burlaga et al. 2003). An important aspect of this controversy is our poor understanding of this region. The region between the Termination Shock and the Heliopause, the Helisheath, is one of the most unknown regions theoretically. In the Heliosheath magnetic effects are crucial, as the solar magnetic field is compressed at the Termination Shock by the slowing flow. Therefore, to accurately model the heliosheath the inclusion of the solar magnetic field is crucial. Recently, our simulations showed that the Heliosheath presents remarkable dynamics, with turbulent flows and a presence of a jet flow at the current sheet that is unstable due to magnetohydrodynamic instabilities (Opher et al. 2003; 2004). We showed that to capture these phenomena, spatial numerical resolution is a crucial ingredient, therefore requiring the use of an adaptive mesh refinement (AMR). These previous works assumed that the solar rotation and the magnetic axis were aligned. Here we present including, for the first time, the tilt of the heliocurrent sheet using a 3D MHD AMR simulation with BATS-R-US code. We discuss the effects on the global structure of the Heliosheath, the flows, turbulence and magnetic field structure. We access the consequences for the observations measured by Voyager 1 since mid-2002. This intensive computational run was done at the supercomputer Columbia at NASA/AMES Title: Validation of the Space Weather Modeling Framework for Northward IMF Conditions Authors: Toth, G.; Ridley, A. J.; Oieroset, M.; de Zeeuw, D. L.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2005AGUSMSM42A..01T Altcode: We have simulated the magnetosphere and the ionosphere for an extended period of northward interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) conditions that occurred between 17:00 UT October 22 2003 and 00:00 UT October 24 2003. The Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) is run with the coupled global magnetosphere (BATSRUS), inner magnetosphere (RCM) and ionosphere electro-dynamics (Ridley) components. The simulation results are compared with the magnetic field measurements of the GOES 10, GOES 12, Polar, Wind and Geotail satellites, and with the density, temperature, magnetic field and velocity measured by the Cluster satellites. We examine the effects of the grid resolution, Joule heating, resistivity, and coupling with the Inner Magnetosphere. It is found that the coupling with the RCM significantly improves the agreement between the observed and simulated magnetic fields near the Earth. In order to better match the far-tail Wind observations, resistivity needs to be added to the simulation. This indicates that the numerical resistivity in the code is most likely too low in the reconnection sites. In addition, it is shown that the amount of Joule heating in the reconnection site has a strong influence on the density and temperature of the plasma sheet. This series of simulations also serve as a validation of the SWMF. Title: Coronal Mass Ejection Shock and Sheath Structures Relevant to Particle Acceleration Authors: Manchester, W. B., IV; Gombosi, T. I.; De Zeeuw, D. L.; Sokolov, I. V.; Roussev, I. I.; Powell, K. G.; Kóta, J.; Tóth, G.; Zurbuchen, T. H. Bibcode: 2005ApJ...622.1225M Altcode: Most high-energy solar energetic particles are believed to be accelerated at shock waves driven by coronal mass ejections (CMEs). The acceleration process strongly depends on the shock geometry and the structure of the sheath that forms behind the shock. In an effort to understand the structure and time evolution of such CME-driven shocks and their relevance to particle acceleration, we investigate the interaction of a fast CME with the ambient solar wind by means of a three-dimensional numerical ideal MHD model. Our global steady state coronal model possesses high-latitude coronal holes and a helmet streamer structure with a current sheet near the equator, reminiscent of near solar minimum conditions. Fast and slow solar winds flow at high and low latitude, respectively, and the Archimedean spiral geometry of the interplanetary magnetic field is reproduced by solar rotation. Within this model system, we drive a CME to erupt by introducing a Gibson-Low magnetic flux rope that is embedded in the helmet streamer in an initial state of force imbalance. The flux rope rapidly expands and is ejected from the corona with maximum speeds in excess of 1000 km s-1, driving a fast-mode shock from the inner corona to a distance of 1 AU. We find that the ambient solar wind structure strongly affects the evolution of the CME-driven shocks, causing deviations of the fast-mode shocks from their expected global configuration. These deflections lead to substantial compressions of the plasma and magnetic field in their associated sheath region. The sudden postshock increase in magnetic field strength on low-latitude field lines is found to be effective for accelerating particles to the GeV range. Title: Modelling gravity gradient variation due to water mass fluctuations Authors: Völgyesi, L.; Tóth, G. Bibcode: 2005ggsm.conf..364V Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Determination of gravity anomalies from torsion balance measurements Authors: Völgyesi, L.; Tóth, G.; Csapó, G. Bibcode: 2005ggsm.conf..292V Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: A Physics-Based Software Framework for Sun-Earth Connection Modeling Authors: Toth, G.; Volberg, O.; Ridley, A. J.; Gombosi, T. I.; de Zeeuw, D.; Hansen, K. C.; Chesney, D. R.; Stout, Q. F.; Powell, K. G.; Kane, K. J.; Oehmke, R. C. Bibcode: 2005mcsp.conf..383T Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Electron Transport in the Earth's Outer and Inner Magnetosphere Authors: Schriver, D.; Ashour-Abdalla, M.; Zelenyi, L.; Gombosi, T.; Ridley, A. J.; Dezeeuw, D.; Toth, G.; Monostori, G. Bibcode: 2004AGUFMSM33B..06S Altcode: As electrons are transported from the solar wind and through the Earth's magnetosphere, they can be accelerated to energies > 10 keV when they reach the so-called seed region located at about 10 RE radially from the Earth in the equatorial plane. As these seed electrons move closer to the Earth, wave-particle interactions can cause further acceleration of electrons to relativistic (MeV) energies. This process occurs during the recovery of magnetic storms, where relativistic electron fluxes are usually observed to be enhanced over pre-storm values in the inner magnetosphere near geosynchronous orbit. In this study, the transport of electrons from the solar wind and outer magnetosphere towards the seed region is examined. This is done by following electron trajectories from different starting points in a global model for the magnetospheric magnetic and electric fields. The electron particle trajectories are followed based on the guiding center approximation and both an empirical and an MHD model (BATS-R-US code) are used for the global magnetospheric fields. In regions where the local fields are very weak (e.g., near reconnection regions), non-adiabatic effects could be important and this is included when following electrons by switching from the guiding center approximation to a full trajectory calculation using the Lorentz force equation in these localized regions of space. Electron distribution functions formed at different locations in the magnetotail as well as in the seed region will be discussed. Title: New Simulations of Saturn's Polar Wind Authors: Glocer, A.; Gombosi, T.; Hansen, K.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2004AGUFM.P51A1417G Altcode: We present preliminary results of a new simulation of Saturn's polar wind. The results include new vertical ion and electron density profiles, fluxes, and net source rates. Our model solves the 13 moment gyrotropic transport equations. The gyration dominated assumption allows us to assume that the flow is field aligned, and justifies the use of a one dimensional model. Furthermore, the effect of solar zenith angle and optical depth on the solar flux is taken into account. While capable of modeling transient behavior, only steady state results are presented. Similarly, the ability to include field aligned currents is built into the model, but their effect is not yet studied. By combining polar wind model output with a global MHD simulation of the magnetosphere-ionosphere system, we are able to calculate the net ionospheric source due to the polar wind. Like Earth, we expect that Saturn's ionosphere is an important source of magnetospheric plasma. The recent arrival of Cassini is giving unprecedented amounts of data. The time is therefore ripe for an attempt to characterize the ionospheric source at Saturn, and this simulation will help further this objective. Title: Coupling of a global MHD code and an inner magnetospheric model: Initial results Authors: de Zeeuw, Darren L.; Sazykin, Stanislav; Wolf, Richard A.; Gombosi, Tamas I.; Ridley, Aaron J.; Tóth, Gabor Bibcode: 2004JGRA..10912219D Altcode: This paper describes the coupling of BATS-R-US (Block Adaptive Tree Solar-wind Roe-type Upwind Scheme), a magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) code representing the Earth's global magnetosphere and its coupling to the ionosphere and solar wind, and the Rice Convection Model (RCM), which represents the inner magnetosphere and its coupling to the ionosphere. The MHD code provides a time-evolving magnetic field model for the RCM as well as continuously updated boundary conditions for the electric potential and plasma. The RCM computes the distribution functions of inner magnetospheric particles, including transport of inner plasmasheet and ring current particles by gradient/curvature drifts; it thus calculates more accurate inner magnetospheric pressures, which are frequently passed to the MHD model and used to nudge the MHD values. Results are presented for an initial run with the coupled code for the case of uniform ionospheric conductance with steady solar wind and southward interplanetary magnetic field (IMF). The results are compared with those for a run of the MHD code alone. The coupled-code run shows significantly higher inner magnetospheric particle pressures. It also exhibits several well-established characteristics of inner magnetospheric electrodynamics, including strong region-2 Birkeland currents and partial shielding of the inner magnetosphere from the main force of the convection electric field. A sudden northward turning of the IMF causes the ring current to become more nearly symmetric. The inner magnetosphere exhibits an overshielding (dusk-to-dawn) electric field that begins about 10 min after the northward turning reaches the magnetopause and lasts just over an hour. Title: Space Weather Modeling Framework: Modeling the Sun-Earth System Faster Than Real Time Authors: Toth, G.; Sokolov, I. V.; Kane, K. J.; Gombosi, T. I.; de Zeeuw, D. L.; Ridley, A. J.; Volberg, O.; Hansen, K. C.; Manchester, W. B.; Roussev, I. I.; Stout, Q. F.; Powell, K. G. Bibcode: 2004AGUFMSH53B0325T Altcode: The Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) aims at providing a flexible plug-and-play type framework for physics based space weather simulations, as well as for various space physics applications. The SWMF combines numerical models of the Solar Corona (including an Eruptive Event Generator), the Inner Heliosphere, Solar Energetic Particles, Global Magnetosphere, Inner Magnetosphere, Radiation Belt, Ionosphere Electrodynamics and Upper Atmosphere into a high performance coupled model. All the components can be replaced with alternatives, and one can use only a subset of the components. The configuration, compilation and execution of the framework can be done with a user friendly Graphical User Interface. The components are coupled to the control module via standardized interfaces, and an efficient parallel coupling toolkit is used for the pairwise coupling of the components. The execution and parallel layout of the components is controlled by the SWMF. Both sequential and concurrent execution models are supported. The SWMF enables us to do simulations that were not possible with the individual components. Using reasonably high spatial and temporal resolutions in all the coupled components, the SWMF can still run significantly faster than real time on massively parallel super computers. We highlight some numerical simulations obtained with the SWMF. Title: Effects of a Tilted Heliospheric Current Sheet in the Heliosheath: 3D MHD Modeling Authors: Opher, M.; Liewer, P.; Velli, M.; Gombosi, T.; Manchester, W.; Dezeeuw, D.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2004AGUFMSH42A..02O Altcode: Recent observations indicate that Voyager 1, now beyond 90 AU, is in a region unlike any encountered in it's 26 years of exploration. There is currently a controversy as to whether Voyager 1 has already crossed the Termination Shock, the first boundary of the Heliosphere (Krimigis et al. 2003; McDonald et al. 2003, Burlaga et al. 2003). An important aspect of this controversy is our poor understanding of this region. The region between the Termination Shock and the Heliopause, the Helisheath, is one of the most unknown regions theoretically. In the Heliosheath magnetic effects are crucial, as the solar magnetic field is compressed at the Termination Shock by the slowing flow. Therefore, to accurately model the Heliosheath the inclusion of the solar magnetic field is crucial. Recently, our simulations showed that the Heliosheath presents remarkable dynamics, with turbulent flows and a presence of a jet flow at the current sheet that is unstable due to magnetohydrodynamic instabilities (Opher et al. 2003; 2004). We showed that to capture these phenomena, spatial numerical resolution is a crucial ingredient, therefore requiring the use of an adaptive mesh refinement (AMR). These previous works assumed that the solar rotation and the magnetic axis were aligned. Here we present for the first time results including the tilt of the heliocurrent sheet using a 3D MHD AMR simulation, with BATS-R-US code. We discuss the effects on the global structure of the Heliosheath, the flows, turbulence and magnetic field structure. We assess the consequences for the observations measured by Voyager 1 since mid-2002. Title: 3D Density Structure and LOS Observations of a Model CME Authors: Manchester, W. B.; Lugaz, N.; Gombosi, T.; de Zeeuw, D.; Sokolov, I.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2004AGUFMSH21D..04M Altcode: We present synthetic Thomson-scattered white-light images of a simulated coronal mass ejection (CME). The simulations are based on a 3-D MHD model of a CME propagating through a bimodal solar wind characteristic of solar minimum. The CME is driven by a 3-D Gibson-Low flux rope inserted in the helmet streamer of the steady-state corona. Synthetic coronograph images are produced that follow the evolution of the CME to 1 AU from several points of view. The white light images provide a basis for comparison with wide angle coronographs, like those of SMEI or STEREO. We find that a large amount of plasma is swept up from the solar wind by the CME-driven shock wave, which dominates the density structure far from the Sun. We also find that the shape of this compressed plasma is highly distorted by the variation in speed of the ambient solar wind. Comparisons of 2-D integrated images to the 3-D density structure show that the viewing angle severely effects the line-of-sight appearance of the CME, as well as the estimated mass of the CME from such 2D images. Title: CME Shock and Sheath Structures Relevant to Particle Acceleration Authors: Manchester, W. B.; Kota, J.; Gombosi, T.; Igor, S. V.; Roussev, I.; de Zeeuw, D.; Powell, K.; Toth, G.; Zurbuchen, T. Bibcode: 2004AGUFMSH33A1188M Altcode: Most high-energy solar energetic particles (SEPs) are believed to be accelerated at shock waves driven by coronal mass ejections (CMEs). The acceleration process strongly depends on the shock geometry, and the structure of the sheath that forms behind the shock. In an effort to understand the structure and time evolution of such CME-driven shocks and their relevance to particle acceleration, we investigate the interaction of a fast CME with the ambient solar wind by means of a three-dimensional (3-D) numerical ideal magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) model. Our global steady-state coronal model possesses high-latitude coronal holes and a helmet streamer structure with a current sheet near the equator, reminiscent of near solar minimum conditions. Fast and slow speed solar wind flow at high and low latitude respectively and the Archimedian spiral geometry of the interplanetary magnetic field is reproduced by solar rotation. Within this model system, we drive a CME to erupt by the introduction of a Gibson-Low magnetic flux rope that is embedded in the helmet streamer in an initial state of force imbalance. The flux rope rapidly expands and is ejected from the corona with maximum speeds in excess of 1000 km/s driving a fast-mode shock from the inner corona to a distance of 1 astronomical unit (AU). We find that the ambient solar wind structure strongly affects the evolution of the CME-driven shocks causing deviations of the of the fast-mode shocks from their expected global configuration. These deflections lead to substantial compressions of the plasma and magnetic field in their associated sheath region. The sudden post-shock increase in magnetic field strength on low latitude field lines is found to be effective for accelerating particles to the GeV range. Title: Effects of a Tilted Heliospheric Current Sheet at the Edge of the Solar System Authors: Opher, M.; Liewer, P.; Manchester, W.; Gombosi, T.; DeZeeuw, D.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2004AAS...205.4306O Altcode: 2004BAAS...36.1412O Recent observations indicate that Voyager 1, now beyond 90 AU, is in a region unlike any encountered in it's 26 years of exploration. There is currently a controversy as to whether Voyager 1 has already crossed the Termination Shock, the first boundary of the Heliosphere (Krimigis et al. 2003; McDonald et al. 2003, Burlaga et al. 2003). An important aspect of this controversy is our poor understanding of this region. The region between the Termination Shock and the Heliopause, the Helisheath, is one of the most unknown regions theoretically. In the Heliosheath magnetic effects are crucial, as the solar magnetic field is compressed at the Termination Shock by the slowing flow. Therefore, to accurately model the heliosheath the inclusion of the solar magnetic field is crucial.Recently, our simulations showed that the Heliosheath presents remarkable dynamics, with turbulent flows and a presence of a jet flow at the current sheet that is unstable due to magnetohydrodynamic instabilities (Opher et al. 2003; 2004). We showed that to capture these phenomena, spatial numerical resolution is a crucial ingredient, therefore requiring the use of an adaptive mesh refinement (AMR). These previous works assumed that the solar rotation and the magnetic axis were aligned. Here we present for the first time results including the tilt of the heliocurrent sheet using a 3D MHD AMR simulation , with BATS-R-US code. We discuss the effects on the global structure of the Heliosheath, the flows, turbulence and magnetic field structure. We access the consequences for the observations measured by Voyager 1 since mid-2002. Title: Space Weather Modeling Framework: An Overview and Application to the October 29, 2003 Storm Authors: Ridley, A. J.; Gombosi, T.; Toth, G.; Sokolov, I. V.; de Zeeuw, D.; Chesney, D.; Volberg, O.; Powell, K.; Stout, Q.; Hansen, K.; Kane, K. Bibcode: 2004AGUFMSA41B..04R Altcode: The University of Michigan's Space Weather Modeling Framework (SMWF) aims at providing framework for physics based space weather simulations, as well as for various space physics applications. The SWMF combines numerical models of the Solar Corona, Inner Heliosphere, Solar Energetic Particles, Global Magnetosphere, Inner Magnetosphere, Radiation Belts, Ionosphere and Upper Atmosphere into a parallel, high performance model. We present SWMF results from the October 29, 2003 storm, in which the global magnetosphere (BATSRUS), inner magnetosphere (RCM), ionospheric electrodynamics, and upper atmospheric models (GITM) are run together driven by data from the upstream ACE satellite. We will present comparisons between the simulation results and data from different magnetospheric satellites. We will further present model comparisons between the global magnetosphere run with and without the inner magnetosphere coupling. Title: Space Environment Forecasting for the Exploration Initiative with the Space Weather Modeling Framework Authors: Gombosi, T. I.; Toth, G.; Sokolov, I. V.; de Zeeuw, D. L.; Ridley, A. J.; Kane, K.; Volberg, O.; Hansen, K. C.; Manchester, W. B.; Roussev, I. I.; Clauer, C. R.; Powell, K. G.; Stout, Q. F. Bibcode: 2004AGUFMSH53C..05G Altcode: Robotic and human exploration of the solar system poses the challenge to model and eventually forecast the plasma and energetic particle environment throughout the inner heliosphere. This talk will describe the recently developed Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) that combines numerical models of the solar corona (the global structure is determined by synoptic magnetograms), magnetically driven solar eruptions, the inner heliosphere out to Saturn's orbit, solar energetic particles, the global magnetosphere, the particle drift physics controlled inner magnetosphere, the radiation belts, the ionospheric electrodynamics and the upper atmosphere and ionosphere into a high performance coupled simulation. This powerful simulation tool is presently capable of running faster than real-time from the Sun to Earth and it will be further developed into a space weather forecasting tool for the Exploration initiative. Particular attention will be paid to predicting solar energetic particle spectra and fluxes throughout the inner heliosphere. The SWMF is capable of simulating the acceleration and transport of energetic particles together with a self-consistent description of interplanetary transients that generate and accelerate the SEP population. Title: Three-dimensional MHD simulations of the magnetosphere of Uranus Authors: Tóth, GáBor; KováCs, DáNiel; Hansen, Kenneth C.; Gombosi, Tamas I. Bibcode: 2004JGRA..10911210T Altcode: We have successfully simulated the magnetosphere of Uranus for the time period of the Voyager 2 flyby in January 1986. On the basis of the Voyager measurements, a self-consistent numerical solution is obtained with the parallel block adaptive three-dimensional (3-D) MHD code BATS-R-US. The time-dependent simulation has been carried out with a new explicit-implicit time integration scheme. By comparing corotating steady state solutions and a fully time-dependent 3-D simulation with the Voyager data, we show that the magnetosphere of Uranus at the time of the flyby can be regarded as stationary relative to the frame corotating with the planet. We obtained excellent agreement with the observed magnetic field vector along the whole path of the flyby, which includes the near-Uranus offset dipole field as well as several current sheet crossings in the tail. The location of the bow shock and the magnetopause also agree to high accuracy. We are confident that our numerical solution is a good representation of the three-dimensional magnetosphere of Uranus during the flyby. The numerical solution shows a twisted magnetotail with field lines that are also stretched due to the flow of plasma in the magnetotail. Title: On the evolution of the solar wind between 1 and 5 AU at the time of the Cassini Jupiter flyby: Multispacecraft observations of interplanetary coronal mass ejections including the formation of a merged interaction region Authors: Hanlon, P. G.; Dougherty, M. K.; Forsyth, R. J.; Owens, M. J.; Hansen, K. C.; Tóth, G.; Crary, F. J.; Young, D. T. Bibcode: 2004JGRA..109.9S03H Altcode: The Cassini flyby of Jupiter occurred at a time near solar maximum. Consequently, the pre-Jupiter data set reveals clear and numerous transient perturbations to the Parker Spiral solar wind structure. Limited plasma data are available at Cassini for this period due to pointing restrictions imposed on the instrument. This renders the identification of the nature of such structures ambiguous, as determinations based on the magnetic field data alone are unreliable. However, a fortuitous alignment of the planets during this encounter allowed us to trace these structures back to those observed previously by the Wind spacecraft near the Earth. Of the phenomena that we are satisfactorily able to trace back to their manifestation at 1 AU, two are identified as being due to interplanetary coronal mass ejections. One event at Cassini is shown to be a merged interaction region, which is formed from the compression of a magnetic cloud by two anomalously fast solar wind streams. The flux-rope structure associated with this magnetic cloud is not as apparent at Cassini and has most likely been compressed and deformed. Confirmation of the validity of the ballistic projections used here is provided by results obtained from a one-dimensional magnetohydrodynamic projection of solar wind parameters measured upstream near the Earth. It is found that when the Earth and Cassini are within a few tens of degrees in heliospheric longitude, the results of this one-dimensional model predict the actual conditions measured at 5 AU to an impressive degree. Finally, the validity of the use of such one-dimensional projections in obtaining quasi-solar wind parameters at the outer planets is discussed. Title: Dual spacecraft observations of a compression event within the Jovian magnetosphere: Signatures of externally triggered supercorotation? Authors: Hanlon, P. G.; Dougherty, M. K.; Krupp, N.; Hansen, K. C.; Crary, F. J.; Young, D. T.; Tóth, G. Bibcode: 2004JGRA..109.9S09H Altcode: By using Cassini as an upstream solar wind monitor, we are able to infer increases in the interplanetary dynamic pressure upstream of Jupiter as the spacecraft approached the planet. Observations are made of the effect that these pressure increases had upon both the fields and particles within the Jovian magnetosphere as measured by the Galileo orbiter, which had subsequently reentered the magnetosphere on the duskside. As the external pressure increased, so too did the total field magnitude at Galileo (in particular the Bz and Bϕ components). In addition, strongly leading field angles were observed following the onset of the compression and strongly lagging fields during reexpansion. These observations are consistent with the concept of external control of the angular velocity of the magnetospheric plasma due to conservation of angular momentum within the system. Heating of the plasma can be seen as a pronounced increase in particle flux as measured by the Energetic Particles Detector (EPD) instrument aboard Galileo. Changes in plasma velocity inferred from energetic particle anisotropies at Galileo appear to be consistent with the behavior of the changing magnetic field angle. The overall behavior and response time of the system appears to be consistent with recently published theoretical modeling of the Jovian magnetosphere-ionosphere coupling system. Title: Magnetic Effects Change Our View of the Heliosheath Authors: Opher, M.; Liewer, P. C.; Velli, M.; Gombosi, T. I.; Manchester, W.; Dezeeuw, D. L.; Toth, G.; Sokolov, I. Bibcode: 2004AIPC..719..105O Altcode: 2004astro.ph..6184O There is currently a controversy as to whether Voyager 1 has already crossed the termination Shock, the first boundary of the heliosphere. The region between the termination shock and the heliopause, the heliosheath, is one of the most unknown regions theoretically. In the heliosheath magnetic effects are crucial, as the solar magnetic field is compressed at the termination shock by the slowing flow. Recently, our simulations showed that the heliosheath presents remarkable dynamics, with turbulent flows and the presence of a jet flow at the current sheet that is unstable due to magnetohydrodynamic instabilities. In this paper we review these recent results, and present an additional simulation with constant neutral atom background. In this case the jet is still present but with reduced intensity. Further study, e.g., including neutrals and the tilt of the solar rotation from the magnetic axis, is required before we can definitively address how the heliosheath behaves. Already we can say that this region presents remarkable dynamics, with turbulent flows, indicating that the heliosheath might be very different from what we previously thought. Title: Magnetic Effects at the Edge of the Solar System: MHD Instabilities, the de Laval Nozzle Effect, and an Extended Jet Authors: Opher, M.; Liewer, P. C.; Velli, M.; Bettarini, L.; Gombosi, T. I.; Manchester, W.; DeZeeuw, D. L.; Toth, G.; Sokolov, I. Bibcode: 2004ApJ...611..575O Altcode: 2004astro.ph..6182O To model the interaction between the solar wind and the interstellar wind, magnetic fields must be included. Recently, Opher et al. found that by including the solar magnetic field in a three-dimensional high-resolution simulation using the University of Michigan BATS-R-US code, a jet-sheet structure forms beyond the solar wind termination shock. Here we present an even higher resolution three-dimensional case in which the jet extends for 150 AU beyond the termination shock. We discuss the formation of the jet due to a de Laval nozzle effect and its subsequent large-period oscillation due to magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) instabilities. To verify the source of the instability, we also perform a simplified two-dimensional geometry MHD calculation of a plane fluid jet embedded in a neutral sheet with the profiles taken from our three-dimensional simulation. We find remarkable agreement with the full three-dimensional evolution. We compare both simulations and the temporal evolution of the jet, showing that the sinuous mode is the dominant mode that develops into a velocity-shear instability with a growth rate of 5×10-9s-1=0.027 yr-1. As a result, the outer edge of the heliosphere presents remarkable dynamics, such as turbulent flows caused by the motion of the jet. Further study, including neutrals and the tilt of the solar rotation from the magnetic axis, is required before we can definitively address how this outer boundary behaves. Already, however, we can say that the magnetic field effects are a major player in this region, changing our previous notion of how the solar system ends. Title: Magnetic Effects and our Changing View of the Heliosheath Authors: Liewer, P. C.; Opher, M.; Velli, M.; Gombosi, T. I.; Manchester, W.; DeZeeuw, D. L.; Toth, G.; Sokolov, I. Bibcode: 2004AAS...204.7208L Altcode: 2004BAAS...36R.799L The Sun traveling through the interstellar medium carves out a bubble of solar wind called the Heliosphere. Recent observations indicate that Voyager 1, now beyond 90 AU, is in a region unlike any encountered in it's 26 years of exploration. There is currently a controversy as to whether or not Voyager 1 has already crossed the Termination Shock, the first boundary of the Heliosphere (Krimigis et al. 2003; McDonald et al. 2003, Burlaga et al. 2003). The controversy stems from different interpretations of observations from several instruments. Contributing to this controversy is our poor understanding of the outer heliosphere. The region between the Termination Shock and the Heliopause, the Heliosheath, is one of the most unknown regions theoretically. In the Heliosheath magnetic effects are crucial, as the solar magnetic field is compressed at the Termination Shock by the slowing flow. Recently, our simulations showed that the Heliosheath is remarkably dynamic, with turbulent flows resulting from an unstable jet flow at the current sheet (Opher et al. 2003; 2004). In this talk we review these recent results, and present additional results from simulations of the unstable jet with a constant neutral atom background. Further studies which include additional effects such as the tilt between the solar rotation axis and the magnetic axis, are required before we can definitively address the structure and dynamics of the outer heliosphere. Already we can say that this region presents remarkable dynamics, with turbulent flows, indicating that the Heliosheath might be very different from what we previously thought. Title: Learning from our Sun: The Interaction of Stellar with Interstellar Winds Authors: Opher, M.; Liewer, P. C.; Velli, M.; Gombosi, T. I.; Manchester, W.; DeZeeuw, D. L.; Toth, G.; Sokolov, I. V. Bibcode: 2004AAS...204.0303O Altcode: 2004BAAS...36..671O Stars have winds which interact with the interstellar medium. The intensity of the winds can be 10 million times greater than that of the solar wind. The magnetic fields of these stars can be orders of magnitude greater than that of the Sun. The rotation periods can be appreciably different from that of the Sun. A detailed description of the interaction of stellar winds with the interstellar winds has never been made. The interaction between the Sun and Interstellar Medium creates three major structures: Termination Shock, Heliopause and Bow Shock. Recently, we found (Opher et al. 2003, 2004) that beyond the region where the solar wind become subsonic, the Termination Shock, a jet-sheet structure forms in the equatorial plane of the Sun rotation axis. This structure forms due to the compression of the solar magnetic field by the interstellar wind. The structure of the jet-sheet resembles a the "brim of a baseball cap"- it extends beyond the Termination Shock for 150 AU (almost touching the Bow Shock) and has a width of 10AU. This result is due to a novel application of a state-of-art 3D Magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) code with a highly refined grid (0.75 AU 4 orders of magnitude smaller than the physical dimensions of the system). The jet-sheet is unstable and oscillates up and down due to a velocity shear instability. We showed that the sinuous mode is the dominant mode that develops into a velocity-shear-instability with a growth rate of 0.027 years-1. We are the first to predict the formation of this structure at the equatorial region in the interaction of magnetized rotating star and an external wind (for a stellar rotation and magnetic field axis aligned). In this work, we extend our previous solar studies and investigate the effect in other solar-like stars. We present the dependence of the jet-sheet structure and the velocity-shear instability on the star mass-loss rate and magnetic field. We discuss further applications to other stellar wind interactions and the observational limits for the detection of this structure. Title: Modeling the Carrington Event: sun-to-earth propagation of a very fast CME Authors: Manchester, W. B.; Ridley, A. J.; Gombosi, T.; de Zeeuw, D.; Sokolov, I. V.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2004AGUSMSH43A..06M Altcode: We present a three-dimensional (3D) numerical ideal magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) model describing the time-dependent propagation of a CME from the solar corona to Earth in just 18 hours. The simulations are performed using the BATS-R-US (Block Adaptive Tree Solarwind Roe Upwind Scheme) code. We begin by developing a global steady-state model of the corona that possesses high-latitude coronal holes and a helmet streamer structure with a current sheet at the equator. The Archimedian spiral topology of the interplanetary magnetic field is reproduced along with fast and slow speed solar wind. Within this model system, we drive a CME to erupt by the introduction of a Gibson-Low magnetic flux rope that is embedded in the helmet streamer in an initial state of force imbalance. The flux rope rapidly expands driving a very fast CME with an initial speed of in excess of 4000 km/s and slowing to a speed of nearly 2000 km/s at Earth. We find our model predicts a thin sheath around the flux rope, passing the earth in only two hours. Shocked solar wind temperatures at 1 AU are in excess of 10 million degrees. Physics based AMR allows us to capture the structure of the CME focused on a particular Sun-Earth line with high spatial resolution given to the bow shock ahead of the flux rope. Title: Parallel field line and stream line tracing algorithms for space physics applications Authors: Toth, G.; de Zeeuw, D.; Monostori, G. Bibcode: 2004AGUSMSM54A..04T Altcode: Field line and stream line tracing is required in various space physics applications, such as the coupling of the global magnetosphere and inner magnetosphere models, the coupling of the solar energetic particle and heliosphere models, or the modeling of comets, where the multispecies chemical equations are solved along stream lines of a steady state solution obtained with single fluid MHD model. Tracing a vector field is an inherently serial process, which is difficult to parallelize. This is especially true when the data corresponding to the vector field is distributed over a large number of processors. We designed algorithms for the various applications, which scale well to a large number of processors. In the first algorithm the computational domain is divided into blocks. Each block is on a single processor. The algorithm folows the vector field inside the blocks, and calculates a mapping of the block surfaces. The blocks communicate the values at the coinciding surfaces, and the results are interpolated. Finally all block surfaces are defined and values inside the blocks are obtained. In the second algorithm all processors start integrating along the vector field inside the accessible volume. When the field line leaves the local subdomain, the position and other information is stored in a buffer. Periodically the processors exchange the buffers, and continue integration of the field lines until they reach a boundary. At that point the results are sent back to the originating processor. Efficiency is achieved by a careful phasing of computation and communication. In the third algorithm the results of a steady state simulation are stored on a hard drive. The vector field is contained in blocks. All processors read in all the grid and vector field data and the stream lines are integrated in parallel. If a stream line enters a block, which has already been integrated, the results can be interpolated. By a clever ordering of the blocks the execution speed can be increased dramatically. The communication occurs via file in an asynchronous manner. Disk access efficiency is improved by caching the data in memory. Title: Modeling a space weather event from the Sun to the Earth: CME generation and interplanetary propagation Authors: Manchester, Ward B.; Gombosi, Tamas I.; Roussev, Ilia; Ridley, Aaron; de Zeeuw, Darren L.; Sokolov, I. V.; Powell, Kenneth G.; Tóth, GáBor Bibcode: 2004JGRA..109.2107M Altcode: We present a three-dimensional (3-D) numerical ideal magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) model describing the time-dependent expulsion of a coronal mass ejection (CME) from the solar corona propagating to 1 astronomical unit (AU). The simulations are performed using the Block Adaptive Tree Solar-Wind Roe Upwind Scheme (BATS-R-US) code. We begin by developing a global steady-state model of the corona that possesses high-latitude coronal holes and a helmet streamer structure with a current sheet at the equator. The Archimedean spiral topology of the interplanetary magnetic field is reproduced along with fast and slow speed solar wind. Within this model system, we drive a CME to erupt by the introduction of a Gibson-Low magnetic flux rope that is anchored at both ends in the photosphere and embedded in the helmet streamer in an initial state of force imbalance. The flux rope rapidly expands and is ejected from the corona with maximum speeds in excess of 1000 km/s. Physics-based adaptive mesh refinement (AMR) allows us to capture the structure of the CME focused on a particular Sun-Earth line with high spatial resolution given to the bow shock ahead of the flux rope as well as to the current sheet behind. The CME produces a large magnetic cloud at 1 AU (>100 R) in which Bz undergoes a full rotation from north to south with an amplitude of 20 nT. In a companion paper, we find that the CME is very effective in generating strong geomagnetic activity at the Earth in two ways. First, through the strong sustained southward Bz (lasting more than 10 hours) and, second, by a pressure increase associated with the CME-driven shock that compresses the magnetosphere. Title: Three-dimensional MHD simulation of a flux rope driven CME Authors: Manchester, Ward B.; Gombosi, Tamas I.; Roussev, Ilia; de Zeeuw, Darren L.; Sokolov, I. V.; Powell, Kenneth G.; Tóth, GáBor; Opher, Merav Bibcode: 2004JGRA..109.1102M Altcode: We present a three-dimensional (3-D) numerical ideal magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) model, describing the time-dependent expulsion of plasma and magnetic flux from the solar corona that resembles a coronal mass ejection (CME). We begin by developing a global steady-state model of the corona and solar wind that gives a reasonable description of the solar wind conditions near solar minimum. The model magnetic field possesses high-latitude coronal holes and closed field lines at low latitudes in the form of a helmet streamer belt with a current sheet at the solar equator. We further reproduce the fast and slow speed solar wind at high and low latitudes, respectively. Within this steady-state heliospheric model, conditions for a CME are created by superimposing the magnetic field and plasma density of the 3-D Gibson-Low flux rope inside the coronal streamer belt. The CME is launched by initial force imbalance within the flux rope resulting in its rapid acceleration to a speed of over 1000 km/s and then decelerates, asymptotically approaching a final speed near 600 km/s. The CME is characterized by the bulk expulsion of ∼1016 g of plasma from the corona with a maximum of ∼5 × 1031 ergs of kinetic energy. This energy is derived from the free magnetic energy associated with the cross-field currents, which is released as the flux rope expands. The dynamics of the CME are followed as it interacts with the bimodal solar wind. We also present synthetic white-light coronagraph images of the model CME, which show a two-part structure that can be compared with coronagraph observations of CMEs. Title: First 3D MHD simulations of the inner magnetosphere with an embedded drift physics model: The October 22-23, 1996 magnetic storm Authors: de Zeeuw, D. L.; Gombosi, T. I.; Liemohn, M. W.; Ridley, A. J.; Tóth, G.; Sazykin, S.; Wolf, R. A. Bibcode: 2004cosp...35...75D Altcode: 2004cosp.meet...75D This paper describes the coupling of BATS-R-US, a magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) code representing the Earth's global magnetosphere and its coupling to the ionosphere and solar wind, and the Rice Convection Model (RCM), which represents the inner magnetosphere and its coupling to the ionosphere. The MHD code provides a time-evolving magnetic field model for the RCM as well as continuously updated boundary conditions for the electric potential and plasma. The RCM computes the distribution functions of inner magnetospheric particles, including transport of inner plasmasheet and ring-current particles by gradient/curvature drifts; it thus calculates more accurate inner magnetospheric pressures, which are frequently passed to the MHD model and used to nudge the MHD values. Results are presented with the coupled code first for the case of uniform ionospheric conductance with steady solar wind and southward IMF. The results are compared with those from a run of the MHD code alone. The coupled-code run shows significantly higher inner magnetospheric particle pressures. It also exhibits several well-established characteristics of inner magnetospheric electrodynamics, including strong region-2 Birkeland currents and partial shielding of the inner magnetosphere from the main force of the convection electric field. A sudden northward turning of the IMF causes the ring current to become more nearly symmetric. The inner magnetosphere exhibits an overshielding (dusk-to-dawn) electric field that begins about 10 minutes after the northward turning reaches the magnetopause and lasts just over an hour. A second coupled-code run was made for a moderate storm (Oct 22-23 1996). This event is characterized by a long period of mildly (5-10nT) Southward IMF followed by a Northward turning and roughly 600km/s velocities. While the maximum field aligned current in the coupled code was often larger than for MHD alone, the ionospheric cross polar cap potentials were smaller due to current closure through the enhanced region 2 current region. Many of the features described in the simpler first case above are also evident here, including significant stretching of the tail. Title: A virtual upstream solar wind monitor for the Cassini mission at Saturn Authors: Hansen, K. C.; Glocer, A.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2004cosp...35.3063H Altcode: 2004cosp.meet.3063H In order to provide solar wind conditions upstream of Saturn, we have developed a method to propagate the solar wind radially outward from the Earth to Saturn using a 1D MHD code. We will present the initial results and validation studies of our method. Having upstream solar wind conditions will add significant value to the Cassini measurements by allowing correlation studies between solar wind and magnetospheric phenomena. In order to understand the response of Saturn's magnetosphere to solar wind driving, we must have knowledge of the solar wind conditions while at the same time making magnetospheric measurements. These could be either remote measurements of the aurora or in situ measurements in the magnetosphere. During Cassini's nominal four year mission, a favorable alignment where Cassini can measure the solar wind while at the same time imaging the aurora will occur only for a few month period during the first orbit. In addition, it is obvious that Cassini cannot make solar wind measurements and in situ magnetospheric measurements simultaneously. In order to overcome these limitations and to provide solar wind conditions more often during the Cassini mission, we have developed a method to propagate solar wind conditions measured at the Earth out to Saturn using a 1D MHD code. Because the method does not take into account solar longitudinal variations, this method is expected to work reasonably well only during the period where the Sun, the Earth and Saturn are aligned (opposition). We have validated the model and the time range around opposition of its applicability using Cassini data from the Jupiter flyby (Dec. 2000) and from more recent Cassini measurements (Jan. 2004). In addition, using ISEE3 (1979-1982) data as input at 1AU, we have been able to model 10 opposition periods and compare model results with Pioneer 11, Voyager 1 and Voyager 2 data. During this time, the three spacecraft were at a range of radial distances between Jupiter and Saturn. We have shown the model to work reasonably well during a period of roughly a month, centered at opposition. We will discuss the strength and weaknesses of the model during solar maximum and solar minimum conditions as well as ways to extend the model after the launch of Stereo near the end of 2005. Title: Eruption of a Buoyantly Emerging Magnetic Flux Rope Authors: Manchester, W. B.; Fan, Y.; Gombosi, T.; de Zeeuw, D.; Sokolov, I.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2003AGUFMSH22A0178M Altcode: We present a three-dimensional numerical ideal magnetohydrodynamic simulation designed to model the emergence of magnetic flux passing from below the photosphere into the corona. For the initial state, we prescribe a plane parallel atmosphere that comprises the convection zone, isothermal photosphere and chromosphere, and isothermal corona. Embedded in this system is a isolated horizontal magnetic flux rope located 10 photospheric pressure scale heights below the photosphere. The flux rope is uniformly twisted with plasma temperature inside the tube reduced to compensate for the magnetic pressure. Density is reduced in the middle of the rope so that this section buoyantly rises. The early evolution of precedes with the middle of the rope rising to the photosphere and expanding into the corona. Just as it seems the system might approach equilibrium, the upper part of the flux rope begins to separate from the lower, mass ladened part. The separation occurs by stretching of the field to form a current sheet where reconnection severs the field lines to form a new system of closed flux. This flux then erupts into the corona. Essential to the eruption process are shearing motions driven by the Lorentz force which naturally occurs as the rope expands in the pressure stratified atmosphere. The shearing motions transport axial flux and energy to the expanding portion of the magnetic field which contributes to the eruption. Once the axial flux is largely transported from the submerged field, the expansion of the magnetic field in the corona begins to decelerate. Title: Dual Spacecraft Observations of a Compression Event Within the Jovian Magnetosphere Authors: Hanlon, P. G.; Dougherty, M. K.; Krupp, N.; Hansen, K. C.; Crary, F. J.; Young, D. T.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2003AGUFMSM31C1125H Altcode: By using Cassini as an upstream solar wind monitor we were able to infer increases in the interplanetary dynamic pressure upstream of Jupiter as the spacecraft approached the planet. Observations are made of the effect that these pressure increases had upon both the fields and particles within the Jovian magnetosphere as measured by the Galileo orbiter, which had subsequently re-entered the magnetosphere on the dusk side. As the external pressure increased, so too did the total field magnitude at Galileo (in particular the B-z and B-phi components). In addition strongly leading field angles were observed subsequent to the onset of the compression and strongly lagging fields during re-expansion, this being consistent with the concept of external control of the angular velocity of the magnetospheric plasma due to conservation of angular momentum within the system. Heating of the plasma can be seen clearly as a pronounced increase in particle flux as measured by the EPD instrument aboard Galileo. Changes in plasma velocity as inferred from energetic particle anisotropies at Galileo appear to be well correlated with the behavior of the changing magnetic field angle. The overall behavior and response time of the system appears to be comparable to that predicted by recent theoretical modeling of the Jovian magnetosphere-ionosphere coupling system. Title: MHD Simulations of the Magnetosphere of Uranus: Successful Comparison With Voyager 2 Authors: Tóth, G.; Tóth, G.; Kovacs, D.; Hansen, K. C.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2003AGUFMSM31C1130T Altcode: We have successfully simulated the magnetosphere of Uranus for the time period of the Voyager 2 flyby in January 1986. Based on the Voyager measurements, a self-consistent numerical solution is obtained with the parallel block adaptive 3D MHD code BATSRUS. By comparing corotating steady state solutions and fully time dependent 3D simulations with the Voyager data we show that the magnetosphere of Uranus at the time of the flyby can be regarded as stationary relative to the frame corotating with the planet. We obtained excellent agreement with the observed magnetic field along the whole path of the flyby, which includes the close by offset dipole field as well as several current sheet crossings in the tail. The location of the bow shock and the magnetopause also agree to high accuracy. We are confident that our numerical solution is a good representation of the 3 dimensional magnetosphere of Uranus during the flyby. The numerical solution shows a twisted magnetotail and field lines are also stretched due to the flow of plasma in the magnetotail. The time dependent simulations were carried out with an explicit-implicit time integration scheme, while stationary solutions were obtained with the local time stepping scheme. Even with these advanced numerical schemes the time dependent simulation required a full day on 30 CPU-s. Title: Modeling the May 1, 1998 CME propagation from the Sun to the Earth Authors: Manchester, W. B.; Roussev, I.; Sokolov, I.; Ridley, A.; Gombosi, T.; de Zeeuw, D.; Hansen, K.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2003AGUFMSM11D..01M Altcode: We present a three-dimensional numerical ideal magnetohydrodynamics model describing the halo coronal mass ejection (CME) of May 1, 1998 propagating from the solar corona to 1 A.U. We begin by developing a realistic global steady-state model of the corona and solar wind in which the magnetic field is derived from synoptic magnetograms. The Archimedian spiral topology of the interplanetary magnetic field is reproduced along with fast and slow speed solar wind. Within this model system, we drive the CME eruption by placing a Gibson-Low magnetic flux rope in the helmet streamer of the pre-event active region. The flux rope is in an initial state of force imbalance and expands at such a rate as to approximate the observed speed of the May 1, 1998 CME. Physics based AMR of the BATS-R-US (Block Adaptive Tree Solarwind Roe Upwind Scheme) code allows us to capture the structure of the CME on a particular Sun-Earth line with high spatial resolution. In particular, we highly resolve the the bow shock ahead of the flux rope as well as to the current sheet behind. We compare our model CME plasma parameters at 1 AU to observed values. In a companion paper, we use the model CME-perturbed solar wind as input for an Earth-Magnetospheric/Ionosphere/Thermosphere simulation and compare the geoffectiveness of the Earth-system model to observations. Title: Doing It In The SWMF Way: From Separate Space Physics Simulation Programs To The Framework For Space Weather Simulation. Authors: Volberg, O.; Toth, G.; Sokolov, I.; Ridley, A. J.; Gombosi, T. I.; de Zeeuw, D. C.; Hansen, K. C.; Chesney, D. R.; Stout, Q. F.; Powell, K. G.; Kane, K. J.; Oehmke, R. C. Bibcode: 2003AGUFMSM22A0223V Altcode: The NASA-funded Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) is developed to provide "plug and play" type Sun-to-Earth simulation capabilities serving the space physics modeling community. In its fully developed form, the SWMF will comprise a series of interoperating models of physics domains, ranging from the surface of the Sun to the upper atmosphere of the Earth. In its current form the SWMF links together five models: Global Magnetosphere, Inner Heliosphere, Ionosphere Electrodynamics, Upper Atmosphere, and Inner Magnetosphere. The framework permits to switch models of any type. The SWMF is a structured collection of software building blocks that can be used or customized to develop Sun-Earth system modeling components, and to assemble them into application. The SWMF consist of utilities and data structures for creating model components and coupling them. The SWMF contains Control Model, which controls initialization and execution of the components. It is responsible for component registration, processor layout for each component and coupling schedules. A component is created from the user-supplied physics code by adding a wrapper, which provides the control functions and coupling interface to perform the data exchange with other components. Both the wrapper and coupling interface are constructed from the building blocks provided by the framework itself. The current SWMF implementation is based on the latest component technology and uses many important concepts of Object-Oriented Programming emulated in Fortran 90. Currently it works on Linux Beowulf clusters, SGI Origin 2000 and Compaq ES45 machines. Title: Entry and Acceleration of Solar Wind Electrons in the Earth's Outer Magnetosphere Authors: Schriver, D.; Ashour-Abdalla, M.; Zelenyi, L.; Gombosi, T.; Ridley, A.; de Zeeuw, D.; Toth, G.; Monostori, G. Bibcode: 2003AGUFMSH42A0484S Altcode: It is well known that during the recovery of magnetic storms, relativistic electron fluxes are usually enhanced over pre-storm values in the inner magnetosphere near geosynchronous orbit. Although the final acceleration of electrons to MeV energies most likely occurs in the inner magnetosphere, observations indicate that an enhanced flux of energized electrons (> 10 keV) forms in the so-called seed region located at about 10 RE radially from the Earth in the equatorial plane. To examine the acceleration of electrons from the solar wind to the seed region, a study is being undertaken whereby electron trajectories are followed starting upstream of the bow shock, through the magnetopause and throughout the outer magnetosphere. The entry locations of electrons will be examined along with acceleration mechanisms that occur between the solar wind and seed region. The electron particle trajectories are followed based on the guiding center approximation in a global MHD model of the solar wind interaction with the Earth's magnetosphere for various interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) conditions. Title: Magnetic Effects at the Edge of the Solar System: MHD Instabilities, the de Laval nozzle effect and an Extended Jet Authors: Opher, M.; Liewer, P.; Velli, M.; Bettarini, L.; Gombosi, T. I.; Manchester, W.; Dezeeuw, D. L.; Toth, G.; Sokolov, I. Bibcode: 2003AGUFMSH11C1114O Altcode: To model the interaction between the solar system and the interstellar wind magnetic fields, ionized and neutral components besides cosmic rays must be included. Recently (Opher et al. ApJL 2003) found, that by including the solar magnetic field in an high resolution run with the University of Michigan BATS-R-US code, a jet-sheet structure forms beyond the Termination Shock. Here we discuss the formation of the jet and its subsequent large period oscillation due to magnetohydrodynamic instabilities. We perform in a simplified two dimensional geometry resistive magnetohydrodynamic calculation of a plane fluid jet embedded in a neutral sheet with the profiles taken from our simulation. We find remarkable agreement with the full three dimensional evolution. We present an even higher resolution three dimensional case where the jet extends for 150AU beyond the Termination Shock. We compare the temporal evolution of the jet showing that the sinuous mode is the dominant mode that develops into a velocity-shear-instability with a growth rate of 5 x 10-9 sec-1=0.027 years-1. As a result the outer edge of the heliosphere presents remarkable dynamics, such as turbulence and flows caused by the motion of the jet. Further study, e.g., including neutrals and the tilt of the solar rotation from the magnetic axis, is required before we can definitively address how this outer boundary behaves. Already, however, we can say that the magnetic field effects are a major player in this region changing our previous notion of how the solar system ends. Title: A Three-dimensional Model of the Solar Wind Incorporating Solar Magnetogram Observations Authors: Roussev, I. I.; Gombosi, T. I.; Sokolov, I. V.; Velli, M.; Manchester, W., IV; DeZeeuw, D. L.; Liewer, P.; Tóth, G.; Luhmann, J. Bibcode: 2003ApJ...595L..57R Altcode: We present a new compressible MHD model for simulating the three-dimensional structure of the solar wind under steady state conditions. The initial potential magnetic field is reconstructed throughout the computational volume using the source surface method, in which the necessary boundary conditions for the field are provided by solar magnetogram data. The solar wind in our simulations is powered by the energy interchange between the plasma and large-scale MHD turbulence, assuming that the additional energy is stored in the ``turbulent'' internal degrees of freedom. In order to reproduce the observed bimodal structure of the solar wind, the thermodynamic quantities for the initial state are varied with the heliographic latitude and longitude depending on the strength of the radial magnetic field. Title: Parallel, Adaptive-Mesh-Refinement MHD for Global Space-Weather Simulations Authors: Powell, Kenneth G.; Gombosi, Tamas I.; de Zeeuw, Darren L.; Ridley, Aaron J.; Sokolov, Igor V.; Stout, Quentin F.; Tóth, Gábor Bibcode: 2003AIPC..679..807P Altcode: The first part of this paper reviews some issues representing major computational challenges for global MHD models of the space environment. These issues include mathematical formulation and discretization of the governing equations that ensure the proper jump conditions and propagation speeds, regions of relativistic Alfvén speed, and controlling the divergence of the magnetic field. The second part of the paper concentrates on modern solution methods that have been developed by the aerodynamics, applied mathematics and DoE communities. Such methods have recently begun to be implemented in space-physics codes, which solve the governing equations for a compressible magnetized plasma. These techniques include high-resolution upwind schemes, block-based solution-adaptive grids and domain decomposition for parallelization. We describe the space physics MHD code developed at the University of Michigan, based on the developments listed above. Title: Probing the Edge of the Solar System: Formation of an Unstable Jet-Sheet Authors: Opher, Merav; Liewer, Paulett C.; Gombosi, Tamas I.; Manchester, Ward; DeZeeuw, Darren L.; Sokolov, Igor; Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 2003ApJ...591L..61O Altcode: 2003astro.ph..5420O The Voyager spacecraft is now approaching the edge of the solar system. Near the boundary between the solar system and the interstellar medium we find that an unstable ``jet-sheet'' forms. The jet-sheet oscillates up and down because of a velocity shear instability. This result is due to a novel application of a state-of-the-art three-dimensional MHD code with a highly refined grid. We assume as a first approximation that the solar magnetic and rotation axes are aligned. The effect of a tilt of the magnetic axis with respect to the rotation axis remains to be seen. We include in the model self-consistently magnetic field effects in the interaction between the solar and interstellar winds. Previous studies of this interaction had poorer spatial resolution and did not include the solar magnetic field. This instability can affect the entry of energetic particles into the solar system and the intermixing of solar and interstellar material. The same effect found here is predicted for the interaction of rotating magnetized stars possessing supersonic winds and moving with respect to the interstellar medium, such as O stars. Title: Adaptive Mesh Refinement for conservative systems: multi-dimensional efficiency evaluation Authors: Keppens, R.; Nool, M.; Tóth, G.; Goedbloed, J. P. Bibcode: 2003CoPhC.153..317K Altcode: 2004astro.ph..3124K Obtainable computational efficiency is evaluated when using an Adaptive Mesh Refinement (AMR) strategy in time accurate simulations governed by sets of conservation laws. For a variety of 1D, 2D, and 3D hydro- and magnetohydrodynamic simulations, AMR is used in combination with several shock-capturing, conservative discretization schemes. Solution accuracy and execution times are compared with static grid simulations at the corresponding high resolution and time spent on AMR overhead is reported. Our examples reach corresponding efficiencies of 5 to 20 in multi-dimensional calculations and only 1.5-8% overhead is observed. For AMR calculations of multi-dimensional magnetohydrodynamic problems, several strategies for controlling the ∇.B=0 constraint are examined. Three source term approaches suitable for cell-centered B representations are shown to be effective. For 2D and 3D calculations where a transition to a more globally turbulent state takes place, it is advocated to use an approximate Riemann solver based discretization at the highest allowed level(s), in combination with the robust Total Variation Diminishing Lax-Friedrichs method on the coarser levels. This level-dependent use of the spatial discretization acts as a computationally efficient, hybrid scheme. Title: Interpreting Coronagraph Data used Simulated White Light Images and 3D MHD Models of CMEs Authors: Liewer, P. C.; Opher, M.; Velli, M.; Manchester, W.; DeZeeuw, D.; Gombose, T.; Roussev, I.; Sokolov, I.; Toth, G.; Powell, K. Bibcode: 2003SPD....34.0511L Altcode: 2003BAAS...35Q.816L We use a 3D time-dependent MHD model of a CME to try to understand the relationship between the CME structure and the bright features seen in coronagraph images. Questions addressed include whether the bright leading edge seen in LASCO coronagraph images of CMEs corresponds to compressed coronal material or shocked solar wind. We will analyze the evolution of the density and magnetic field as the CME propagates for CMEs of various field strengths and initial speeds. Coronagraph line-of-sight (LOS) images show 2D projections of the 3D density structure of the CME. Synthetic coronagraph images will be computed for the various CME cases to relate the structure to the LOS images. We use the University of Michigan BATS-R-US time-dependent adaptive grid MHD code to compute the CME evolution. The CME is created by inserting a flux-rope CME into a steady-state solution for the corona. The flux rope is anchored at both ends in the photosphere and embedded in a helmet streamer; it is not initially in equilibrium. The subsequent evolution of the flux rope - its expansion and propagation through the corona to 1 AU - is computed self-consistently with the evolution of the background corona and solar wind. Title: The Formation of an Unstable Jet-Sheet at the Edge of the Solar System Authors: Opher, M.; Liewer, P.; Velli, M.; Gombosi, T.; Manchester, W.; DeZeeuw, D.; Sokolov, I.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2003SPD....34.0604O Altcode: 2003BAAS...35Q.818O We find that the boundary between the solar system and the interstellar medium an unstable jet-sheet forms. The jet is unstable and oscillates up and down due to Kelvin-Helmholtz type instability. We use a state-of-art 3D MHD code art with an adaptive grid mesh especially designed to refine the region at the current sheet and in the region between the termination shock and the heliopause. In the present study we assume as a first approximation that the solar magnetic field and rotation axis are aligned. We include in the model self-consistently magnetic field effects in the interaction between the solar and interstellar winds. Previous studies of this interaction had poorer spatial resolution and did not include the solar magnetic field. We present results from three different resolutions (ranging from 0.5AU to 6AU at the current sheet) and discuss the effect of resolution on the characteristics of the jet such as strength and width. We show that in order to resolve the jet, there is a need of a resolution higher than 3-4AU, the resolution used in previous studies. The neutrals interacting with the plasma component by charge-exchange interactions can affect the formation of the jet and we present results discussing their effect. Title: HARM: A Numerical Scheme for General Relativistic Magnetohydrodynamics Authors: Gammie, Charles F.; McKinney, Jonathan C.; Tóth, Gábor Bibcode: 2003ApJ...589..444G Altcode: 2003astro.ph..1509G We describe a conservative, shock-capturing scheme for evolving the equations of general relativistic magnetohydrodynamics. The fluxes are calculated using the Harten, Lax, & van Leer scheme. A variant of constrained transport, proposed earlier by Tóth, is used to maintain a divergence-free magnetic field. Only the covariant form of the metric in a coordinate basis is required to specify the geometry. We describe code performance on a full suite of test problems in both special and general relativity. On smooth flows we show that it converges at second order. We conclude by showing some results from the evolution of a magnetized torus near a rotating black hole. Title: Modeling a space weather event from the Sun to the Earth: Magnetospheric Storm Results Authors: Ridley, A.; de Zeeuw, D.; Gombosi, T.; Hansen, K.; Manchester, W.; Sokolov, I.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2003EAEJA.....7651R Altcode: This papers shows magnetospheric results from one of the first ever Sun to Earth MHD simulations. The University of Michigan's BATSRUS MHD code was used to launch a Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) near the solar surface and simulate the propagation of the CME through interplanetary space. Because the CME was tracked using adaptive mesh refinement, the resolution within the shock was 1/8 of a solar radius (14 Earth radii, or R_e) at 1 AU. The CME had large field strengths (27 nT), densities (35 cm-3), and velocities (540 km/s) at 1 AU. Two dimensional results from the CME simulation at 1 AU were used to drive the magnetospheric simulation. This allowed gradients and correct propagation planes to be resolved at the upstream boundary. The magnetospheric simulation was run using a maximum resolution of 1/8 R_e at the inner boundary, which was set to 2.5 R_e, and a minimum resolution of 8 R_e near the side and outflow boundaries. The location of the dayside magnetopause was tracked over time as well latitude of the last closed field line. The strength of the auroral precipitation and cross polar cap were also investigated. The magnetospheric and ionospheric results from this simulation will be presented. Title: On the evolution of the Solar Wind between 1 and 5 AU at solar maximum and its effect upon Jovian auroral emission Authors: Hanlon, P. G.; Dougherty, M. K.; Forsyth, R. J.; Hansen, K. C.; Pryor, W.; Crary, F.; Tóth, G. Bibcode: 2003EAEJA....12234H Altcode: The Cassini fly-by of Jupiter occurred at a time of solar maximum, and as a consequence, the in-situ measurements taken in the Solar Wind upstream of the planet, reveal numerous Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections (ICMEs). A fortuitous alignment of the planets allowed us to trace these events back to observations taken at the Earth. In particular one event observed by Cassini is shown to be a Merged Interaction Region (MIR), created from the coalescence of multiple ICMEs between 1 and 5 AU. We examine results from a one dimensional Magneto-hydrodynamic (MHD) simulation of the Solar Wind at Earth propagated out to Cassini and compare with the in-situ data taken. It is found that by integrating along the nominal Parker Spiral field we can to some extent, correct for the changing angular offset between the two points of observation by obtaining a fractional increase or decrease in the propagation time of the events observed. The results of this MHD simulation are then allowed to propagate further to the planet allowing comparisons to be made between the state of the Solar Wind and remote observations of the planetary aurorae that were taken simultaneously. Title: Modeling a space weather event from the sun to earth: CME generation and interplanetary propagation Authors: Manchester, W.; de Zeeuw, D.; Gombosi, T.; Hansen, K.; Ridley, A.; Roussev, I.; Sokolov, I.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2003EAEJA.....6645M Altcode: We present a three-dimensional (3D) numerical ideal magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) model describing the time-dependent expulsion of a CME from the solar corona propagating all the way to 1 A.U.. The simulations are performed using the BATS-R-US (Block Adaptive Tree Solarwind Roe Upwind Scheme) code. We begin by developing a global steady-state model of the corona that possesses high-latitude coronal holes and a helmet streamer structure with a current sheet at the equator. The Archimedian spiral topology of the interplanetary magnetic field is reproduced along with fast and slow speed solar wind. Within this model system, we drive a CME to erupt by the introduction of a Gibson-Low magnetic flux rope that is anchored at both ends in the photosphere and embedded in the helmet streamer in an initial state of force imbalance. The flux rope rapidly expands and is ejected from the corona with maximum speeds in excess of 1500 km/sec. Physics based AMR allows us to capture the structure of the CME focused on a particular Sun-Earth line with high spatial resolution given to the bow shock ahead of the flux rope as well as to the current sheet behind. We find our model CME plasma parameters at 1 AU to be geoeffective and use this as solar wind input for an Earth-Magnetospheric simulation in a companion paper. Title: Global flow patterns and ionospheric convection in Jupiter's magnetosphere Authors: Hansen, K. C.; de Zeeuw, D. L.; Gombosi, T. I.; Ridley, A. J.; Toth, G.; Sokolov, I. Bibcode: 2003EAEJA.....6812H Altcode: The size and configuration of Jupiter's magnetosphere is controlled by the ambient solar wind conditions, Jupiter's strong rotation and intrinsic magnetic field and the plasma sources internal to the magnetosphere. We will examine the relative importance of each of these factors using our 3D global magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model of the Jovian magnetosphere. This model uses adaptive mesh refinement (AMR) to model the global Jovian system, including the mass loading region near Io's orbit. The inner boundary of the MHD model, at 3 R_J, is coupled to a height integrated ionospheric electric potential model. We will present results of the coupled model and show similarities and differences to other planetary magnetospheres. We will show that Jupiter's magnetosphere without mass loading and rotation is Earth-like in all but size. Adding rotation determines, to a large extent, the flow pattern in the magnetosphere. The addition of mass loading, although extremely important, does not change the character or topology of the magnetospheric convection but instead modifies the locations of magnetospheric features such as the bow shock, the magnetopause and the location of reconnection sites. In addition, we will show how features like the magnetospheric "wings" [Song, ASR, 2001] at the Earth are manifest and modified in the magnetosphere of Jupiter. Title: 3D MHD description of the region beyond the termination shock: The behaviour of the Current Sheet Authors: Opher, M.; Liewer, P.; Gombosi, T.; Manchester, W.; Dezeeuw, D. L.; Powell, K.; Sokolov, I.; Toth, G.; Velli, M. Bibcode: 2002AGUFMSH21A0485O Altcode: A fully self consistent MHD study of the heliosheath region is carried out, using BATSRUS, a three dimensional time dependent adaptive grid magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model. The heliosheath, located between the termination shock and the heliopause, has not been studied in detail. At the termination shock the solar wind passes from a supersonic to a subsonic regime decelerating until it reaches the heliopause where it is diverted to the heliotail. This region is intersected in the equatorial plane (assuming a no-tilt for the dipole field) by a current sheet as the solar magnetic field changes polarity. One of the major questions is whether the current sheet remains at the equatorial plane. The magnetic field of the solar wind is included. In order to isolate the effects at this region we assumed no magnetic field in the interstellar medium. We observe a much faster flow of the current sheet, where the compressed azimuthal magnetic field is absent, leading to large velocity shear. With BATSRUS, we were able to obtain high resolution needed to analyze the behavior of this complicated regime, in particular the stability of the current sheet. We report the results and comment on the major processes responsible. Title: 3D MHD Simulation of CME Propagation from Solar Corona to 1 AU Authors: Manchester, W. B.; Roussev, I.; Opher, M.; Gombosi, T.; Dezeeuw, D.; Toth, G.; Sokolov, I.; Powell, K. Bibcode: 2002AGUFMSH21A0501M Altcode: We present a three-dimensional (3D) numerical ideal magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) model describing the time-dependent expulsion of a CME from the solar corona propagating all the way to 1 A.U.. The simulations are performed using the BATS-R-US (Block Adaptive Tree Solarwind Roe Upwind Scheme) code. We begin by developing a global steady-state model of the corona that possesses high-latitude coronal holes and a helmet streamer structure with a current sheet at the equator. The Archimedian spiral topology of the interplanetary magnetic field is reproduced along with fast and slow speed solar wind at high and low latitudes respectively. Within this model system, we drive a CME to erupt by the introduction of a Gibson-Low magnetic flux rope that is anchored at both ends in the photosphere and embedded in the helmet streamer in an initial state of force imbalance. The flux rope then rapidly accelerates to speeds in excess of 1500 km/sec driving a strong MHD shock as part of the CME. We find that both the shock front and the flux rope are strongly effected by bi-modal solar wind as the CME travels to 1 AU. Physics based AMR allows us to capture the complexity of the CME development and propagation focused on a particular Sun-Earth line. The applied numerical algorithm is designed to use optimal computational resources for the sake of tracing CMEs with very high spatial resolution all the way from Sun to Earth. We compare the model CME plasma parameters at 1 AU to observations and find the event to be geoeffective. Title: University of Michigan MHD results of the Geospace Global Circulation Model metrics challenge Authors: Ridley, A. J.; Hansen, K. C.; Tóth, G.; de Zeeuw, D. L.; Gombosi, T. I.; Powell, K. G. Bibcode: 2002JGRA..107.1290R Altcode: We present University of Michigan MHD code results of the "metrics challenge." We have simulated the magnetospheric and ionospheric configuration during the 16-17 April 1999 CME, the 10-11 December 1998 time period, and the 5-6 November 1998 time period. The simulation results were compared to the DMSP cross-track velocities, and the RMS differences were examined. We have found that the code reproduces the DMSP data quite accurately except for the sharpness of the gradients and the transients which were observed. The cross polar cap potential was well matched, as was the location of the convection reversal boundary. In addition, the code reproduced features of statistical models of the ionospheric electric potential. Title: BAIKAL experiment: status report Authors: Osipova, E.; Pavlov, A.; Pańkov, L.; Panfilov, A.; Pliskovsky, E.; Klimov, A.; Pokhil, P.; Polecshuk, V.; Popova, E.; Prosin, V.; Rosanov, M.; Rubtzov, V.; Semeney, Y.; Spiering, C.; Streicher, O.; Tarashanky, B.; Thon, T.; Toth, G.; Vasiliev, R.; Wischnewski, R.; Yashin, I.; Zhukov, V. Bibcode: 2002NuPhS.110..504O Altcode: 2001astro.ph.12446D We review the present status of the Baikal Neutrino Project and present the results obtained with the deep underwater neutrino telescope NT-200. Title: Towards an Operational Sun-to-Earth Model for Space Weather Forecasting Authors: Gombosi, T. I.; Clauer, C. R.; De Zeeuw, D. L.; Hansen, K. C.; Manchester, W. B.; Powell, K. G.; Ridley, A. J.; Roussev, I.; Sokolov, I. V.; Toth, G.; Wolf, R. A.; Sazykin, S.; Holzer, T. E.; Low, B. C.; Richmond, A. D.; Roble, R. G. Bibcode: 2002AGUSMSH51B..06G Altcode: We are presently developing a physics based, modular, large-scale model of the solar-terrestrial environment simulating space weather phenomena and providing a framework to test theories and explore the possibility of operational use in space weather forecasting. This talk will describe the main components of the model (a global MHD code, an upper atmosphere and ionosphere model, and the inner magnetosphere drift physics model). We will also discuss the testing and transitioning the model through CCMC to operational use by NOAA SEC and the Air Force. Particular attention will be paid to the need of validation and metrics studies. Title: Studying the Complexity in Dynamics and Magnetic Topology of CME with 3D MHD Simulations Involving Dynamic AMR Authors: Roussev, I. I.; Manchester, W. B.; Gombosi, T. I.; De Zeeuw, D. L.; Sokolov, I. V.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2002AGUSMSH21A..01R Altcode: It is of fundamental importance in solar, heliospheric, and magnetospheric physics to explore the high degree of variability and complex internal magnetic and plasma structure of CMEs. Three-dimensional (3D) magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulations provide excellent grounds for studying the complexity in dynamics of this and other solar phenomena. We present some results on state-of-art numerical experiments of CME propagation, including dynamic Adaptive Mesh Refinement (AMR). All computations presented here are carried out using the BATS-R-US (Block Adaptive Tree Solarwind Roe Upwind Scheme) code and involve 3D MHD. The CME is initiated through an eruption of twisted flux rope in the solar corona. The MHD shock created ahead of the CME is essential in determining geoeffective events. The physics based AMR allows to reveal the complexity of the CME development and propagation on the particular ray Sun-Earth. The applied numerical algorithm is designed to use optimal computational resources for the sake of tracing CMEs with very high spatial resolution all the way from Sun to Earth, and beyond. We further discuss the differences in using various criteria for mesh refinement on the overall physical picture of the CME dynamics. Title: 3D MHD Simulations of Flux Rope Driven CMEs Authors: Manchester, W. B.; Roussev, I.; Opher, M.; Gombosi, T.; DeZeeuw, D.; Toth, G.; Sokolov, I.; Powell, K. Bibcode: 2002AGUSMSH22D..03M Altcode: We present a three-dimensional (3D) numerical ideal magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) model describing the time-dependent expulsion of a CME from the solar corona propagating all the way to 1 A.U.. The simulations are performed using the BATS-R-US (Block Adaptive Tree Solarwind Roe Upwind Scheme) code. We begin by developing a global steady-state model of the corona that possesses high-latitude coronal holes and a helmet streamer structure with a current sheet at the equator. The Archimedian spiral topology of the interplanetary magnetic field is reproduced along with fast and slow speed solar wind at high and low latitudes respectively. Within this model system,we drive a CME to erupt by the introduction of a twisted magnetic flux rope that is anchored at both ends in the photosphere and embedded in the helmet streamer. The flux rope configuration that we employ was first developed by Gibson and Low as part of a 3D self-similar model of a CME. In this case, the flux rope has the form of a spherical ball of twisted magnetic field distorted to a tear shape by a stretching transformation. The stretch transformation produces an outward radially directed Lorentz force within the flux rope that rapidly accelerates the leading edge of the rope to speeds of 1800 km/sec, driving a strong shock as part of the CME. We follow the evolution of the CME from the low corona as it makes its way through the heliosphere. We explore the dynamics of the expanding flux rope as it interacts with the rotating, bi-modal solar wind to determine significant MHD effects. Finally we present synthetic white-light coronagraph images of the model CME which show a three-part structure that can be compared with observations of CME structure. Title: 3D adaptive grid MHD simulations of the global heliosphere with self- consistent fluid neutral hydrogen Authors: Opher, M.; Liewer, P.; Gombosi, T.; Manchester, W.; Dezeeuw, D.; Powell, K.; Sokolov, I.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2002cosp...34E.835O Altcode: 2002cosp.meetE.835O A three dimensional adaptive grid magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model of the interaction of the solar wind with the local interstellar medium is presented. The code used is the BATS-R-US time-dependent adaptive grid three-dimensional magnetohydrodynamic, which is similar to the code used by Linde et al. JGR, 103, 1889 (1998). The magnetic field of both the solar wind and the interstellar medium are included. The latitute dependence of the solar wind is also taken into account. The neutral atoms are included self-consistently as a fluid, without assuming constant the density, velocity or temperature as previous 3D MHD studies. The location of the termination shock and heliopause in the steady state solution for different values and directions of interstellar magnetic field are presented and compared with previous results. We also present results where we isolated the effects of neutrals and magnetic field showing their relative importance, in particular the heliopause. Title: Simulations of erupting flux rope driven CMEs Authors: Manchester, W.; Gombosi, T.; de Zeeuw, D.; Powell, K.; Roussev, I.; Sokolov, I.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2002cosp...34E2635M Altcode: 2002cosp.meetE2635M We present a three-dimensional (3D) numerical ideal magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) model describing the time-dependent expulsion of a CME from the solar corona. We begin by developing a global steady-state model of the corona that possesses highlatitude coronal holes and a helmet streamer structure with a current sheet at the equator. The Archimedian spiral topology of the interplanetary magnetic field is reproduced along with fast and slow speed solar wind at high and low latitudes respectively. Within this model system, we drive a CME to erupt by the introduction of a twisted magnetic flux rope that is anchored at both ends in the photosphere and embedded in the helmet streamer. The flux rope configuration that we employ was first developed by Gibson and Low as part of a 3D self-similar model of a CME. In this case, the flux rope has the form of a spherical ball of twisted magnetic field distorted to a tear shape by a stretching transformation. The stretch transformation produces an outward radially directed Lorentz force within the flux rope that rapidly accelerates the leading edge of the rope to speeds of 1200 km/sec, driving strong shock as part of the CME. We follow the evolution of the CME from the low corona as it makes its way through the heliosphere. We explore the dynamics of the expanding flux rope as it interacts with the rotating, bi-modal solar wind to determine significant MHD effects. Finally we present synthetic white-light coronagraphs images of the model CME to determine the degree to which they match observations of CME structure. Title: Development of an Integrated Predictive MHD Space Weather Model from the Solar Surface to the Earth's Upper Atmosphere Authors: Clauer, C. R.; Gombosi, T. I.; Powell, K. G.; Stout, Q. F.; Toth, G.; Dezeeuw, D.; Ridley, A. J.; Wolf, R. A.; Roble, R. G.; Holzer, T. E. Bibcode: 2002swsm.conf..149C Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Using dynamic AMR to simulate geoeffective interplanetary transients Authors: Roussev, I.; Manchester, W.; Gombosi, T.; de Zeeuw, D.; Sokolov, I.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 2002cosp...34E.555R Altcode: 2002cosp.meetE.555R It is of fundamental importance for solar, heliospheric, and magnetospheric physics to explore the complex dynamic evolution and geoeffectiveness of coronal transients, commonly known as CMEs, all the way from their origin at the Sun, through the interplanetary space, to Earth. In this light, three-dimensional (3D) magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulations provide excellent grounds for studying the complexity in dynamics of this and other solar phenomena. We present some results on state-of-art numerical experiments of CME propagation, including dynamic Adaptive Mesh Refinement (AMR). All computations presented here are carried out using the BATS-R-US (Block Adaptive Tree Solarwind Roe Upwind Scheme) code and involve 3D time-dependent MHD. The CME is initiated through an eruption of double-twisted magnetic flux rope originating from the solar corona. The MHD shock formed ahead of the solar transient is essential in determining geoeffective events. The physics based AMR allows us to examine in great detail the complexity of the CME development and propagation on the particular ray Sun-Earth. The applied numerical algorithm is designed to use optimal computational resources for the sake of tracing CMEs with very high spatial resolution all the way from Sun to Earth, and beyond. We further discuss the differences in using various criteria for mesh refinement on the overall physical picture of the CME dynamics. Title: Pulsar wind nebulae in supernova remnants. Spherically symmetric hydrodynamical simulations Authors: van der Swaluw, E.; Achterberg, A.; Gallant, Y. A.; Tóth, G. Bibcode: 2001A&A...380..309V Altcode: A spherically symmetric model is presented for the interaction of a pulsar wind with the associated supernova remnant. This results in a pulsar wind nebula whose evolution is coupled to the evolution of the surrounding supernova remnant. This evolution can be divided in three stages. The first stage is characterised by a supersonic expansion of the pulsar wind nebula into the freely expanding ejecta of the progenitor star. In the next stage the pulsar wind nebula is not steady; the pulsar wind nebula oscillates between contraction and expansion due to interaction with the reverse shock of the supernova remnant: reverberations which propagate forward and backward in the remnant. After the reverberations of the reverse shock have almost completely vanished and the supernova remnant has relaxed to a Sedov solution, the expansion of the pulsar wind nebula proceeds subsonically. In this paper we present results from hydrodynamical simulations of a pulsar wind nebula through all these stages in its evolution. The simulations were carried out with the Versatile Advection Code. Title: 3D Global MHD Simulations of Flux-Rope-Driven CMEs Authors: Gombosi, T. I.; Manchester, W. B.; De Zeeuw, D. L.; Toth, G.; Powell, K. G.; Sokolov, I. Bibcode: 2001AGUFMSH12B0759G Altcode: We present a three-dimensional (3D) numerical ideal magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) model describing the time-dependent expulsion of a CME form the solar corona. We begin by developing a 3D MHD model of a steady-state helmet streamer enveloped by a solar wind. We then drive the helmet streamer to erupt in a CME by introduction of a twisted magnetic flux rope that is anchored at both ends in the photosphere and embedded in the helmet streamer. We follow the evolution of the CME from the low corona as it makes its way through heliosphere. We explore the dynamics of the expanding flux rope as it interacts with the rotating, bi-modal solar wind to determine significant MHD effects such as shock formation. Finally we present synthetic white-light coronagraphs images of the model CME to determine the degree to which they match observations of CME structure. Title: Inner Magnetosphere Simulations - Coupling the Michigan MHD Model with the Rice Convection Model. Authors: De Zeeuw, D.; Sazykin, S.; Ridley, A.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T.; Powell, K.; Wolf, D. Bibcode: 2001AGUFMSM42A0830D Altcode: The adaptive-grid Michigan MHD model (BATSRUS) has been coupled to a new high performance Rice Convection Model (RCM). This fully coupled code allows us to self-consistently simulate the physics in the inner magnetosphere, including Region 1 and Region 2 currents. We will describe the two models and how they are coupled, report on the results of a synthetic event with the coupled code and show a comparison with and without coupling. Title: 3D MHD Simulation of a Coronal Arcade Eruption by Self-Induced Shearing Authors: Manchester, W. B.; Toth, G.; De Zeeuw, D. L.; Gombosi, T. I.; Powell, K. G. Bibcode: 2001AGUFMSH12B0758M Altcode: We present the results of a three-dimensional time-dependent magnetohydrodynamic(MHD) simulation of the nonlinear development of instabilities of a magnetically-sheared arcade and show how it relates to coronal mass ejections (CMEs). To model the arcade eruption, we capitalize on a family of analytical solutions for initial states, which describe magnetic arcades in uniform gravity that are characterized by magnetic shear. In our simulations we find that such an arcade is unstable when subjected to small velocity perturbations and responds by slowly rising and expanding. Most significantly, we find shearing motions naturally arise in conjunction with the instability. This field line shearing is in response to the Lorentz, force which drives large amplitude Alfvén waves, which transport magnetic shear from the lower to the upper extremities of the arcade. The self-induced shear Alfvén waves, coupled with magnetic buoyancy, provide a powerful feedback mechanism that drives the arcades to a loss of equilibrium and eruption following a long period of expansion. The simulation of the arcade eruption is significant with regard to CME initiation for two major reasons. First, the arcade eruption is the result of undriven MHD instabilities and second, magnetic field line shearing is an intrinsic aspect of the instability that occurs spontaneously. Title: Combined Explicit-Implicit Techniques for Faster than Real-Time Space Weather Simulations Authors: Toth, G.; Powell, K. G.; De Zeeuw, D. L.; Gombosi, T. I. Bibcode: 2001AGUSM..SM52A03T Altcode: The Alfvén speed can approach the speed of light near the Earth. This poses a severe problem for numerical modeling of the magnetosphere, since the time steps of an explicit time integration scheme are limited by the CFL numerical stability condition: the waves must not propagate more than one cell size in one time step. In a well resolved simulation, the cell size may be as small as several 100 km-s, which limits the time step to be less than 0.01 or even 0.001 seconds. On the other hand, typical time scales of the magnetosphere are on the order of minutes. This discrepancy calls for the use of implicit time stepping techniques, which are not limited by the CFL stability condition. We are reporting our preliminary results with a newly implemented Newton-Krylov-Schwarz type implicit time stepping scheme in our block-adaptive parallel 3D MHD code. The linear problems arising from the Newton scheme are solved with a parallel Krylov subspace type iterative scheme using a Schwarz type preconditioner. We also explore the possibility of combining the implicit and explicit time stepping schemes: the expensive but stable implicit scheme is used near the Earth where the wave speeds are high, while the inexpensive explicit scheme is employed where the stability condition on the time step is not restrictive. Title: Results of the Michigan MHD Metrics Challenge Authors: Ridley, A. J.; Gombosi, T.; De Zeeuw, D.; Toth, G.; Powell, K. Bibcode: 2001AGUSM..SM32A06R Altcode: We present University of Michigan MHD code results of the so-called "Metrics Challenge". We have simulated the magnetospheric and ionospheric configuration during the CME of April 16 - 17, 1999. The simulation results were compared with DMSP cross track velocities and the RMS differences were examined. We have found that the code reproduces the DMSP data accurately except for the sharpness of the gadients and the transients which were observed. The cross polar cap potential was well matched, as was the location of the convection reversal boundary. Title: Coupled MHD-Inner Magnetosphere Simulations of Geomagnetic Storms Authors: De Zeeuw, D.; Sazykin, S.; Ridley, A.; Toth, G.; Gombosi, T.; Clauer, B.; Powell, K.; Wolf, D.; Spiro, B. Bibcode: 2001AGUSM..SM32A02D Altcode: The adaptive-grid Michigan MHD model (BATSRUS) has been coupled to a new high Rice Convection Model (RCM). This fully coupled code gives the possibility to realistically undertake global MHD simulations of a magnetic storm and the computation of both Region 1 and Region 2 currents. We will review details of the two models and their coupling, and report on the results of our first storm time simulation with the coupled code and show a comparison with observations. We will discuss the global observations provided by arrays of magnetometers which measure the temporal and spatial development of the ring current as well as high latitude global electrodynamic parameters derived from the AMIE and LiMIE data inversion techniques. Title: Adaptive mesh refinement MHD for global simulations Authors: Gombosi, T. I.; Tóth, G.; de Zeeuw, D. L.; Powell, K. G.; Stout, Q. F. Bibcode: 2001sps..proc...88G Altcode: Techniques that have become common in aerodynamics codes have recently begun to be implemented in space-physic codes, which solve the governing equations for a compressible plasma. These techniques include high-resolution upwind schemes, block-based solution-adaptive grids and domain decomposition for parallelization. While some of these techniques carry over relatively straightforwardly from aerodynamics to space physics, space physics simulations pose some new challenges. This paper gives a brief review of the state-of-the-art in modern space-physics codes, including a validation study of several of the techniques in common use. A remaining challenge is that of flows that include regions in which relativistic effects are important; some background and preliminary results for these problems are given. 1 Governing equations The governing equations for an ideal, non-relativistic, compressible plasma may be written in a number of different forms. In primitive variables, the governing equations, which represent a combination of the Euler equations of gasdynamics and the Maxwell equations of electromagnetics, may be written as: ∂ρ ∂t + u · ρ + ρ · u = 0 ρ ∂u ∂t + ρu · u + p - j × B = 0 ∂B ∂t + × E = 0 ∂p ∂t + u · p + γp · u = 0 (1) where the current density j and the electric field vector E are related to the magnetic field B by Amp`ere's law and Ohm's Title: Storage of a Strong Magnetic Field Below the Solar Convection Zone (CD-ROM Directory: contribs/rempel) Authors: Rempel, M.; Schüssler, M.; Moreno-Insertis, F.; Tóth, G. Bibcode: 2001ASPC..223..738R Altcode: 2001csss...11..738R No abstract at ADS Title: Pulsar wind nebulae in supernova remnants Authors: van der Swaluw, E.; Achterberg, A.; Gallant, Y. A.; Tóth, G. Bibcode: 2000astro.ph.12440V Altcode: A spherically symmetric model is presented for the interaction of a pulsar wind with the associated supernova remnant. This results in a pulsar wind nebula whose evolution is coupled to the evolution of the surrounding supernova remnant. This evolution can be divided in three stages. The first stage is characterised by a supersonic expansion of the pulsar wind nebula into the freely expanding ejecta of the progenitor star. In the next stage the pulsar wind nebula is not steady; the pulsar wind nebula oscillates between contraction and expansion due to interaction with the reverse shock of the supernova remnant: reverberations which propagate forward and backward in the remnant. After the reverberations of the reverse shock have almost completely vanished and the supernova remnant has relaxed to a Sedov solution, the expansion of the pulsar wind nebula proceeds subsonically. In this paper we present results from hydrodynamical simulations of a pulsar wind nebula through all these stages in its evolution. The simulations were carried out with the Versatile Advection Code. Title: Storage of magnetic flux at the bottom of the solar convection zone Authors: Rempel, M.; Schüssler, M.; Tóth, G. Bibcode: 2000A&A...363..789R Altcode: We consider the mechanical equilibrium of a layer of axisymmetric toroidal magnetic field located in a subadiabatically stratified region near the bottom of the solar convection zone, with particular emphasis on the effects of spherical geometry. We determine equilibrium configurations and simulate numerically how these are reached from a non-equilibrium initial situation. While a subadiabatic stratification is essential for suppressing the buoyancy force, the latitudinal component of the magnetic curvature force is balanced by a latitudinal pressure gradient (in the case of a large subadiabaticity, as in the radiative interior) or by the Coriolis force due to a toroidal flow along the field lines (in the case of small subadiabaticity, as in a layer of convective overshoot). The latter case is found relevant for storing the magnetic flux generated by the solar dynamo. The corresponding equilibrium properties are similar to those of isolated magnetic flux tubes. Significant variations of the differential rotation at the bottom of the convection zone in the course of the solar cycle are expected for such a kind of equilibrium. Title: Solar Physics Simulations with the Versatile Advection Code Authors: Tóth, G. Bibcode: 1999ESASP.448..389T Altcode: 1999mfsp.conf..389T; 1999ESPM....9..389T No abstract at ADS Title: Wave Heating and Nonlinear Dynamics of Coronal Loops Authors: Beliën, A. J. C.; Martens, P. C. H.; Keppens, R.; Tóth, G. Bibcode: 1999ASPC..184..248B Altcode: We present the first results of 2.5D nonlinear magnetohydrodynamic wave heating simulations of solar coronal loops with inclusion of the modeling of the coupling to the transition region and chromosphere. Magnetic flux tubes with fixed lengths are considered but the coronal extent of the loops as situated in between the two transition regions can vary dynamically. The numerical simulations were carried out with the Versatile Advection Code. The loops are excited with linearly polarized Alfvén waves at the chromospheric base. The main finding is that resonant absorption is not efficient since most of the Poynting flux that enters the loop will be used to support all the nonlinearly generated magnetoacoustic motions and the corresponding compression of coronal plasma. Title: On the Azimuthal Stability of Shock Waves around Black Holes Authors: Molteni, Diego; Tóth, Gábor; Kuznetsov, Oleg A. Bibcode: 1999ApJ...516..411M Altcode: 1998astro.ph.12453M Analytical studies and numerical simulations of time-dependent axially symmetric flows onto black holes have shown that it is possible to produce stationary shock waves with a stable position for both ideal inviscid and moderately viscous accretion disks. We perform several two-dimensional numerical simulations of accretion flows in the equatorial plane to study shock stability against nonaxisymmetric azimuthal perturbations. We find a peculiar new result. A very small perturbation seems to produce an instability as it crosses the shock, but after some small oscillations, the shock wave suddenly transforms into an asymmetric closed pattern and stabilizes with a finite radial extent, despite the fact that the inflow and outflow boundary conditions are perfectly symmetric. The main characteristics of the final flow are: (1) The deformed shock rotates steadily without any damping. It is a permanent feature, and the thermal energy content and the emitted energy vary periodically with time. (2) This behavior is also stable against further perturbations. (3) The average shock is still very strong and well defined, and its average radial distance is somewhat larger than that of the original axially symmetric circular shock. (4) Shocks obtained with larger angular momentum exhibit more frequencies and beating phenomena. (5) The oscillations occur in a wide range of parameters, so this new effect may have relevant observational consequences, such as (quasi-) periodic oscillations, for the accretion of matter onto black holes. Typical timescales for the periods are 0.01 and 1000 s for black holes with 10 and 106 Msolar, respectively. Title: Nonlinear dynamics of Kelvin-Helmholtz unstable magnetized jets: Three-dimensional effects Authors: Keppens, R.; Tóth, G. Bibcode: 1999PhPl....6.1461K Altcode: 1999astro.ph..1383K A numerical study of the Kelvin-Helmholtz instability in compressible magnetohydrodynamics is presented. The three-dimensional simulations consider shear flow in a cylindrical jet configuration, embedded in a uniform magnetic field directed along the jet axis. The growth of linear perturbations at specified poloidal and axial mode numbers demonstrate intricate nonlinear coupling effects. The physical mechanisms leading to induced secondary Kelvin-Helmholtz instabilities at higher mode numbers are identified. The initially weak magnetic field becomes locally dominant in the nonlinear dynamics before and during saturation. Thereby, it controls the jet deformation and eventual breakup. The results are obtained using the Versatile Advection Code [G. Tóth, Astrophys. Lett. Commun. 34, 245 (1996)], a software package designed to solve general systems of conservation laws. An independent calculation of the same Kelvin-Helmholtz unstable jet configuration using a three-dimensional pseudospectral code gives important insights into the coupling and excitation events of the various linear mode numbers. Title: Numerical simulation of prominence oscillations Authors: Schutgens, N. A. J.; Tóth, G. Bibcode: 1999A&A...345.1038S Altcode: 1999astro.ph..3128S We present numerical simulations, obtained with the Versatile Advection Code, of the oscillations of an inverse polarity prominence. The internal prominence equilibrium, the surrounding corona and the inert photosphere are well represented. Gravity and thermodynamics are not taken into account, but it is argued that these are not crucial. The oscillations can be understood in terms of a solid body moving through a plasma. The mass of this solid body is determined by the magnetic field topology, not by the prominence mass proper. The model also allows us to study the effect of the ambient coronal plasma on the motion of the prominence body. Horizontal oscillations are damped through the emission of slow waves while vertical oscillations are damped through the emission of fast waves. Title: Simulations of small-scale explosive events on the Sun Authors: Innes, D. E.; Tóth, G. Bibcode: 1999SoPh..185..127I Altcode: 1999astro.ph..1342I Small-scale explosive events or microflares occur throughout the chromospheric network of the Sun. They are seen as sudden bursts of highly Doppler-shifted spectral lines of ions formed at temperatures in the range 2×104−5×105 K. They tend to occur near regions of cancelling photospheric magnetic fields and are thought to be directly associated with magnetic field reconnection. Recent observations have revealed that they have a bi-directional jet structure reminiscent of Petschek reconnection. In this paper compressible MHD simulations of the evolution of a current sheet to a steady Petschek, jet-like configuration are computed using the Versatile Advection Code. We obtain velocity profiles that can be compared with recent ultraviolet line-profile observations. By choosing initial conditions representative of magnetic loops in the solar corona and chromosphere, it is possible to explain the fact that jets flowing outward into the corona are more extended and appear before jets flowing towards the chromosphere. This model can reproduce the high Doppler-shifted components of the line profiles, but the brightening at low velocities, near the center of the bi-directional jet, cannot be explained by this simple MHD model. Title: Growth and saturation of the Kelvin-Helmholtz instability with parallel and antiparallel magnetic fields Authors: Keppens, Rony; Tóth, G.; Westermann, R. H. J.; Goedbloed, J. P. Bibcode: 1999JPlPh..61....1K Altcode: 1999astro.ph..1166K Available from http://journals.cambridge.org/bin/bladerunner?REQUNIQ=1105385252&REQSESS=958582&118000REQEVENT=&REQINT1=18471&REQAUTH=0 Title: A high Reynolds number algorithm for polytropic accretion disk studies Authors: Nauta, Michiel D.; Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 1998A&A...336..791N Altcode: An algorithm is proposed to study two-dimensional vortices in thin, polytropic accretion disks. It is based on a method which has been used to study vortices in planetary atmospheres. It is special in that it conserves both energy and potential enstrophy in the absence of dissipation. This leads to desirable stability properties which permit calculations at relatively high Reynolds numbers. The algorithm is tested and compared to existing methods, in particular with a Total Variation Diminishing method. Title: Implicit and semi-implicit schemes in the Versatile Advection Code: numerical tests Authors: Toth, G.; Keppens, R.; Botchev, M. A. Bibcode: 1998A&A...332.1159T Altcode: We describe and evaluate various implicit and semi-implicit time integration schemes applied to the numerical simulation of hydrodynamical and magnetohydrodynamical problems. The schemes were implemented recently in the software package Versatile Advection Code, which uses modern shock capturing methods to solve systems of conservation laws with optional source terms. The main advantage of implicit solution strategies over explicit time integration is that the restrictive constraint on the allowed time step can be (partially) eliminated, thus the computational cost is reduced. The test problems cover one and two dimensional, steady state and time accurate computations, and the solutions contain discontinuities. For each test, we confront explicit with implicit solution strategies. Title: Nonlinear MHD Simulations of Wave Dissipation in Flux Tubes Authors: Poedts, S.; Tóth, G.; Beliën, A. J. C.; Goedbloed, J. P. Bibcode: 1997SoPh..172...45P Altcode: 1997ESPM....8...45P The phase mixing and resonant dissipation of Alfvén waves is studied in both the 'closed' magnetic loops and the 'open' coronal holes observed in the hot solar corona. The resulting energy transfer from large to small length scales contributes to the heating of these magnetic structures. The nonlinear simulations show that the periodically varying shear flows that occur in the resonant layers are unstable. In coronal holes, the phase mixing of running Alfvén waves is speeded up by the 'flaring out' of the magnetic field lines in the lower chromosphere. Title: Numerical Simulation of Magnetohydrodynamic Flows Authors: Toth, G. Bibcode: 1997CoKon.100..259T Altcode: 1997CoKon..12..259T This review deals with the numerical simulation of magnetohydrodynamic flows. A general overview of the different numerical techniques compares their advantages, disadvantages and points to the appropriate application areas. Some specific schemes, and their implementation in the Versatile Advection Code are discussed in more detail. Title: A General Code for Modeling MHD Flows on Parallel Computers: Versatile Advection Code Authors: Tóth, G. Bibcode: 1996ApL&C..34..245T Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: A General Code for Modeling MilD Flows on Parallel Computers: VersatileAdvection Code Authors: Toth, G. Bibcode: 1996mpsa.conf..471T Altcode: 1996IAUCo.153..471T No abstract at ADS Title: Simulations of the Wardle Instability of C-Type Shock Waves Authors: Tóth, G. Bibcode: 1995Ap&SS.233..301T Altcode: C-type shocks in the partially ionized ISM are modelled by numerical simulations. Under certain conditions the shocks are subject to the Wardle instability, which initially makes the shock front rippled, then in the non-linear stage can produce density variations in both the ion and neutral fluids. A systematic search in the numerically accessible parameter space is done to determine the wave vector kmax and the growth rates max of the fastest growing modes. The neutral Alfvén number, and the angleθ sbetween the shock normal and the upstream magnetic field determine the strength and obliqueness of the shock, as well as the dimensionless parameters of the fastest growing mode. The results confirm and extend Wardle's linear analysis. The non-linear evolution shows saturation of the instability and the formation of high density regions that detach from the shock front with the downstream flow. Numerical difficulties are partially solved by an implicit treatment of the ion-neutral friction terms, but strong shocks still can not be modelled efficiently. A fully implicit method for the ions and the magnetic field is used to model C-type shocks with low fractional ionization and high ion Alfvén speed. Title: Simulations of the Wardle instability of C-type shock waves Authors: Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 1995MNRAS.274.1002T Altcode: C-type shocks in the partially ionized interstellar medium (ISM) are modelled by numerical simulations. Under certain conditions the shocks are subject to the Wardle instability, which initially makes the shock front rippled, and then, in the non-linear stage, can produce density enhancements in both the ion and neutral fluids. A systematic search in the numerically accessible parameter space is carried out to determine the wave vector k_max and the growth rate s_max of the fastest growing modes. The neutral Alfven number, A^(n)=v_s/v^(n)A, where v_s is the shock speed and v^(n)A is the Alfven speed in the limit of strong coupling between the two fluids, and the angle theta_s between the shock normal and the upstream magnetic field determine the strength and obliqueness of the shock, as well as the dimensionless parameters of the fastest growing mode. The results confirm and extend Wardle's linear analysis. The non-linear evolution shows saturation of the instability and the formation of regions with enhanced density that detach from the shock front with the downstream flow. Numerical difficulties are partially solved by an implicit treatment of the ion-neutral friction terms, but strong shocks still cannot be modelled efficiently. A fully implicit method for the ions and the magnetic field is used to model C-type shocks with low fractional ionization and high ion Alfven speed. Title: Numerical Study of Two-Fluid C-Type Shock Waves Authors: Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 1994ApJ...425..171T Altcode: C-type magnetohydrodynamic shocks in the partially ionized interstellar medium are studied in the two-fluid approximation. The ionized fluid can move along the magnetic field lines, while it interacts with the neutral fluid via ion-neutral elastic scattering. I use an explicitly flux-conserving two-dimensional Eulerian flux-corrected transport code to study the dynamics of two-fluid shocks. A numerical instability intrinsic to two-fluid problems was discovered, and a solution to the problem is proposed. The code can successfully simulate C-type shocks. The results of the linear stability analysis by Wardle are confirmed, and the nonlinear behavior of the instability is explored. Title: Instability of C-shocks in the ISM. Authors: Tóth, G. Bibcode: 1994nsa..book..224T Altcode: C-type MHD shocks in the partially ionized ISM are studied in the two-fluid approximation. The ionized fluid can move along the magnetic field lines, while it interacts with the neutral fluid via ion-neutron elastic scattering. The author uses an explicitly flux conserving 2-dimensional Eulerian FCT (Flux Corrected Transport) code to study the dynamics of two-fluid shocks. A numerical instability intrinsic to two-fluid problems was discovered, and a fix to the problem is proposed. The code can successfully simulate C-type shocks. The results of the linear stability analysis by Wardle are confirmed, and the non-linear behavior of the instability is explored. Title: Oscillatory Instability of Radiative Shocks with Transverse Magnetic Field: Linear Analysis and Nonlinear Simulations Authors: Toth, G.; Draine, B. T. Bibcode: 1993ApJ...413..176T Altcode: We examine the stability of plane-parallel radiative shocks with a transverse magnetic field, for radiative cooling laws in which Lambda varies as rho-squared T exp alpha; the instability is a global thermal one driving a periodic oscillation of the shock front, and corresponding oscillation in the instantaneous shock speed. The two dimensionless parameters determining the stability of the system are alpha, the exponent of the power law, and the Alfven Mach number MA. We determine the stable and unstable regions of this 2D parameter space for the fundamental mode and the first seven overtone modes through linear analysis of the hydrodynamical equations. As expected, the magnetic field has a stabilizing influence. For alpha greater than 0, even a relatively weak magnetic field can stabilize against all modes. For alpha greater than 0.5, even weaker fields are sufficient to suppress thermal instability. We also determine the linear growth rates and frequencies of the fundamental mode and the first and second overtones for 12 pairs of the parameters alpha and MA. Title: Instability of Radiative and C-Type MHD Shock Waves Authors: Toth, Gabor Bibcode: 1993PhDT........30T Altcode: Radiative shocks with a cooling law Lambda ~ rho^2T^alpha can be subject to a global thermal instability which drives a periodic oscillation of the shock front. The stabilizing effect of a transverse magnetic field is examined. The two dimensionless parameters determining the stability of the system are alpha and the Alfven Mach number MA. The stable and unstable regions of this two-dimensional parameter space are determined through linear analysis. For alpha > 0 even a relatively weak magnetic field (MA < 8) can stabilize against all modes. The results are confirmed by means of numerical simulations. The simulations show saturation or secondary shock formation in the non-linear regime. Radiative shocks with v_{s } _sp{~}< 160km s^{-1} radiative shocks in the "warm ISM" may be magnetically stabilized. In higher density gas, however, the magnetic field is not strong enough to appreciably affect the shock stability. Next the dynamics of C-type MHD shocks in the partially ionized ISM are studied in the two-fluid approximation by an explicitly flux conserving two-dimensional Eulerian FCT code. A numerical instability intrinsic to two-fluid problems is discovered, and a fix to the problem is proposed. The code can successfully simulate a rippling instability of the shock front discovered by Wardle through linear analysis. Numerical simulations are presented to find the wave vector vec kmax and the growth rate smax of the fastest growing modes. For perpendicular shocks the analytic calculations are confirmed, while for oblique shocks k_ {|} equiv k cos phik, the component of the wave vector lying in the plane of the magnetic field and the shock normal, is found to be the critical parameter determining smax. The phimax angle is only weakly constrained. These results confirm and generalize the predictions of the linear analysis. The simulation of a weak perpendicular shock shows that saturation of the Wardle-instability occurs only when the density perturbations reach an amplitude comparable to the total density jump through the shock front. The simulations show a strong transient amplification of the initial perturbations, thus to some extent the amplitude and spectrum of the seed perturbations in the ambient ISM will contribute to the selection of the dominant growing mode. Title: Instability of radiative and C-type MHD shock waves Authors: Tóth, Gábor Bibcode: 1993PhDT.......130T Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Oscillatory instability of radiative shocks with transverse magnetic field: linear analysis and nonlinear simulations. Authors: Tóth, G.; Draine, B. T. Bibcode: 1992BAAS...24.1261T Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Oscillatory Instability of Radiative Shocks with Transverse Magnetic Field: Linear Analysis and Nonlinear Simulations Authors: Toth, G.; Draine, B. T. Bibcode: 1992AAS...181.8605T Altcode: We examine the stability of plane-parallel radiative shocks with a transverse magnetic field, for radiative cooling laws Lambda ~ rho (2) T(alpha ). The instability of interest is a global thermal instability which drives a periodic oscillation of the shock front, and corresponding oscillation in the instantaneous shock speed. The two dimensionless parameters determining the stability of the system are alpha , the exponent of the power law, and the Alfven Mach number M_Aequiv v_s/v_A, where v_s is the average shock speed and v_A is the Alfven velocity in the preshock medium. We determine the stable and unstable regions of this two dimensional parameter space for the fundamental mode and the first seven overtone modes through linear analysis of the hydrodynamical equations. As expected, the magnetic field has a stabilizing influence. For alpha >0 even a relatively weak magnetic field (M_A < 8) can stabilize against all modes. For alpha > 0.5 even weaker fields (M_A < 33) are sufficient to suppress thermal instability. We also determine the linear growth rates and frequencies of the fundamental mode and the first and second overtones for twelve pairs of the parameters alpha and M_A. A fully dynamical numerical simulation of these twelve cases confirms the results of the linear analysis, and also explores the nonlinear behavior of the oscillations. In most of the unstable cases the amplitude of the shock front oscillation saturates at a level of 5% to 10% of the length of the cooling region. In the least stable cases, however, the flow develops multiple shocks. Using a simple approximation to the cooling function for shocked interstellar gas, we show that v_s < ~= 160kms(-1) radiative shocks in interstellar gas with n_H < ~eq0.4cm(-3) (the "warm ionized medium" or "warm neutral medium") may be magnetically stabilized. In higher density gas, however, the magnetic field is not strong enough to appreciably affect the shock stability. Title: Oscillatory Instability of Radiative Shocks with Transverse Magnetic Field: Linear Analysis and Nonlinear Simulations Authors: Tóth, G.; Draine, B. T. Bibcode: 1992AAS...181.8505T Altcode: 1992BAAS...24.1259T No abstract at ADS Title: Galactic Disks, Infall, and the Global Value of Omega Authors: Toth, G.; Ostriker, J. P. Bibcode: 1992ApJ...389....5T Altcode: The thinness and coldness of galactic disks can be used to set stringent limits on the current rate of infall of satellite systems onto spiral galaxies. After reviewing the literature concerning numerical results, we develop analytical arguments which confirm and considerably extend prior work. For infalling satellites on isotropically oriented circular orbits, we show that, due to scattering, the thermal energy gain of the disk exceeds the satellite energy loss from dynamical friction by a factor of 1.6, with 25% deposited in z motion and 75% in planar motions. This factor almost compensates for the frictional loss to the halo, with halo-to-disk loss rates being approximately 2.87rρ_h_(r)/{SIGMA}_d_(r). For our chosen Galactic model this corresponds to 62% of the energy deposited in the spherical component at the solar radius. While satellite infall will thicken disks by perturbing the stellar orbits, it will cause adiabatic contraction too. If there is gas infall, this makes the disk thinner by settling down in the galactic plane. However, the first effect dominates, the ratio between stellar heating and gas cooling being 0.11(v_rot/σ_normal_)^2^~7 for equal masses added in stars and gas. Applying these arguments to current models for our Galaxy, we find that no more than 4% of its mass inside the solar radius can have accreted within the last 5 billion years, or else its scale height and its Toomre Q-parameter would exceed observed values. We find that tidal stripping of infalling dwarfs is not a large effect unless core radii significantly exceed 1 kpc. In standard cold dark matter-dominated models for the growth of structure with {OMEGA}_tot_ = 1, the mass accreted in dark matter lumps rises faster than t^2/3^ and would exceed 28% in the last 5 Gyr. If our Galaxy is typical (and the prevalence of spiral structure indicates that this is so), then such models for the growth of structure may be ruled out. There is no such difficulty in open universes, since accretion declines after a time t_1/2_= H^-1^_0pi{OMEGA}_0_/(1 - {OMEGA}^3/2^, nor is there a problem if {OMEGA} = 1 in the form of radiation, {LAMBDA}, or a hot component which would not accrete. Heating from satellite infall may account for a substantial fraction of the increase of velocity dispersion and scale height with age that is observed in our Galaxy. In addition, since the satellite infall events are discrete, the age-velocity dispersion relation should reflect this, and the velocity distribution will have a non-Gaussian tail, which will contribute to a thick disk. Title: Three-Point Correlations of Galaxy Clusters Authors: Toth, Gabor; Hollosi, Joseph; Szalay, Alexander S. Bibcode: 1989ApJ...344...75T Altcode: We estimate the irreducible angular three-point correlation function of Abell clusters in distance classes 5 and 6 with Galactic latitude |b^II^| >= 40^deg^ from the Abell and Abell, Corwin, and Olowin catalog and of clusters identified in the Shane-Wirtanen catalog (Shectman). We find that the distribution of these clusters satisfies a relation between the two- and three-point correlation functions: Title: Angular Cross-Correlation of Abell Clusters in Different Distance Classes Authors: Szalay, A. S.; Hollosi, J.; Toth, G. Bibcode: 1989ApJ...339L...5S Altcode: We estimate the angular autocorrelation and cross-correlation functions of the D = 1... 4, D = 5, and D = 6 distance class Abell clusters. While the autocorrelation functions can be described by a power-law form w(θ) is proportional to θ^-1^, the cross-correlations are found to be much flatter. Moreover, there is a strong anticorrelation between the most distant D = 6 and the closest D = 1... 4 subsamples. We believe this to be an artifact of the cluster identification process presumably due to the finite angular size of the cluster. This anticorrelation seems to contradict some recent estimations of projection contaminations in the Abell catalog. We suggest that the angular proximity of a foreground cluster may have caused a background cluster not to be counted as it was thought to be a subcluster or it was erroneously assigned to a nearer distance class. Title: Three-Point Correlations of Abell Clusters Authors: Toth, Gabor; Hollosi, Joseph; Szalay, Alex S. Bibcode: 1988LNP...310..195T Altcode: 1988lssu.work..195T The irreducible three-point correlations of Abell clusters are estimated using all distance class 5 + 6 clusters with a latitude greater than or equal to 40 deg. It is found that the clusters satisfy a relation between the two- and three-point correlation functions similar to that for galaxies. There is a strong discrepancy between the northern and southern galactic caps. Title: Three-point correlations of Abell clusters. Authors: Tóth, G.; Hollósi, J.; Szalay, A. S. Bibcode: 1988lssu.conf..195T Altcode: The authors estimate the irreducible three-point correlations of Abell clusters using all distance class 5+6 clusters with latitude |bII| ≥ 40°. They find that these clusters satisfy a relation between the two- and three-point correlation functions: ζ(r,s,u) ≈ Q(ξ(r)ξ(s) + ξ(s)ξ(u) + ξ(u)ξ(r)) similar to that for galaxies. The value of Q has large uncertainties: Q = 0.9±0.5. Higher order terms seem to be absent in ζ. Several error estimation methods are applied. Title: Book Reviews Authors: Hodgson, R. G.; Smith, R. J.; Brasch, K. R.; Tóth, G.; McIntosh, P. S.; Trusell, F. C. Bibcode: 1963StAst..17...74H Altcode: 1963JALPO..17...74H Six books are reviewed: The System of Minor Planets by Günter D. Roth; Star Gazing with Telescope and Camera by George T. Keene; Der Sternhimmel 1963, Edited by Robert A. Naef; The Physics of the Moon by P. Hedervari; Solar Research, by Giorgio Abetti; and Soviet Science of Interstellar Space, by S. Pikelner.