Author name code: vrsnak ADS astronomy entries on 2022-09-14 author:"Vrsnak, Bojan" ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Title: Determination of CME orientation and consequences for their propagation Authors: Martinic, Karmen; Vrsnak, Bojan; Veronig, Astrid; Dumbovic, Mateja; Temmer, Manuela Bibcode: 2022cosp...44.2441M Altcode: The configuration of the interplanetary magnetic field and features of the related ambient solar wind in the ecliptic and meridional plane are different. Therefore, one can expect that the orientation of the flux rope axis of a coronal mass ejection (CME) influences the propagation of the CME itself. However, the determination of the CME's orientation remains a challenging task to perform. This study aims to provide a reference to different CME orientation determination methods in the near-Sun environment. Also, it aims to investigate the non-radial flow in the sheath region of the interplanetary CME (ICME) in order to provide the first proxy to relate the ICME orientation with its propagation. We investigated 22 isolated CME-ICME events in the period 2008-2015. We first determined the CME orientation in the near-Sun environment using a 3D reconstruction of the CME with the graduated cylindrical shell (GCS) model applied to coronagraphic images provided by the STEREO and SOHO missions. The CME orientation in the near-Sun environment was determined using an ellipse fitting technique to the CME outer front as determined from the SOHO/LASCO coronagraph. In the near-Earth environment, we obtained the orientation of the corresponding ICME using in-situ plasma and field data and also investigated the non-radial flow in its sheath region. The ability of GCS and ellipse fitting to determine the CME orientation is found to be limited to reliably distinguish only between the high or low inclination of the events. Most of the CME-ICME pairs under investigation were found to be characterized by a low inclination. The majority of CME-ICME pairs have a consistent estimation of tilt from remote and in situ data. The observed non-radial flows in the sheath region show a greater y-direction to z-direction flow ratio for high-inclination events indicating that CME orientation could have an impact to the CME propagation. Title: Development and evaluation of Drag-Based Ensemble Model (DBEM) Authors: Čalogović, Jaša; Vrsnak, Bojan; Veronig, Astrid; Dumbovic, Mateja; Temmer, Manuela Bibcode: 2022cosp...44.3443C Altcode: The Drag-based Model (DBM) is a well-known 2D analytical model for simulating the heliospheric propagation of Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs). Main output is the prediction of the CME arrival time and speed at Earth or any other given target in the solar system. Due to a very short computational time of DBM (< 0.01s), the probabilistic Drag-Based Ensemble Model (DBEM) was developed by making an ensemble of n different input parameters to account for possible variability (uncertainties) in the input parameters. Using such an approach to obtain the distribution and significance of the DBM results, the DBEM determines the CME hit chance, most probable arrival times and speeds, quantifies the prediction uncertainties and calculates the confidence intervals. As an important tool for space weather forecasters, the fully operational DBM/DBEM web application is integrated as one of the ESA Space Situational Awareness portal services (https://swe.ssa.esa.int/current-space-weather). In the last few years, DBM/DBEM has been constantly improved with various new features such as Graduated Cylindrical Shell (GCS) option for the CME geometry input, the CME propagation visualizations as well as a new DBEM version employing the variable solar wind speeds. The model development, new features and the corresponding model evaluations will be presented. Title: Galactic cosmic rays as signatures of interplanetary transients Authors: Dumbovic, Mateja; Kühl, Patrick; Heber, Bernd; Vrsnak, Bojan; Temmer, Manuela; Kirin, Anamarija; Hörlöck, Malte; Jensen, Stefan; Benko, Ilona; Kramaric, Luka Bibcode: 2022cosp...44.1255D Altcode: Coronal mass ejections (CMEs), interplanetary shocks, and corotating interaction regions (CIRs) drive heliospheric variability, causing various interplanetary as well as planetary disturbances. One of their very common in-situ signatures are short-term reductions in the galactic cosmic ray (GCR) flux (i.e. Forbush decreases), which are measured by ground-based instruments at Earth and Mars, as well as various spacecraft throughout the heliosphere (most recently by Solar Orbiter). In general, interplanetary magnetic structures interact with GCRs producing depressions in the GCR flux. Therefore, different types of interplanetary magnetic structures cause different types of Forbush decreases, allowing us to distinguish between them. We recently developed and employed two different analytical models to explain CME-related and CIR-related Forbush decreases, using an expansion-diffusion and the convection-diffusion approaches, respectively. We used observation-based generic CME and CIR profiles as the theoretical background for the models and tested the models on various case studies. Moreover, the CME-related Forbush decrease model (ForbMod, Dumbovic et al., 2018; 2020) is brought one step further, as it also considers the energy dependance of the detector with which the measurements are made. ForbMod is tested through model-to-observations comparison to analyse to how many CMEs it is applicable and could ultimately provide a helpful tool to analyse Forbush decreases. With new modelling efforts, as well as observational analysis we are one step closer in utilizing GCR measurements to provide information on interplanetary transients, especially where other measurements (e.g. plasma, magnetic field) are lacking. Title: Determination of coronal mass ejection orientation and consequences for their propagation Authors: Martinić, K.; Dumbović, M.; Temmer, M.; Veronig, A.; Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2022A&A...661A.155M Altcode: 2022arXiv220410112M Context. The configuration of the interplanetary magnetic field and features of the related ambient solar wind in the ecliptic and meridional plane are different. Therefore, one can expect that the orientation of the flux-rope axis of a coronal mass ejection (CME) influences the propagation of the CME itself. However, the determination of the CME orientation, especially from image data, remains a challenging task to perform. Aim. This study aims to provide a reference to different CME orientation determination methods in the near-Sun environment. Also, it aims to investigate the non-radial flow in the sheath region of the interplanetary CME (ICME) in order to provide the first proxy to relate the ICME orientation with its propagation.
Methods: We investigated 22 isolated CME-ICME events in the period 2008-2015. We determined the CME orientation in the near-Sun environment using the following: (1) a 3D reconstruction of the CME with the graduated cylindrical shell (GCS) model applied to coronagraphic images provided by the STEREO and SOHO missions; and (2) an ellipse fitting applied to single spacecraft data from SOHO/LASCO C2 and C3 coronagraphs. In the near-Earth environment, we obtained the orientation of the corresponding ICME using in situ plasma and field data and also investigated the non-radial flow in its sheath region.
Results: The ability of GCS and ellipse fitting to determine the CME orientation is found to be limited to reliably distinguish only between the high or low inclination of the events. Most of the CME-ICME pairs under investigation were found to be characterized by a low inclination. For the majority of CME-ICME pairs, we obtain consistent estimations of the tilt from remote and in situ data. The observed non-radial flows in the sheath region show a greater y direction to z direction flow ratio for high-inclination events, indicating that the CME orientation could have an impact on the CME propagation. Title: How the area of solar coronal holes affects the properties of high-speed solar wind streams near Earth: An analytical model Authors: Hofmeister, Stefan J.; Asvestari, Eleanna; Guo, Jingnan; Heidrich-Meisner, Verena; Heinemann, Stephan G.; Magdalenic, Jasmina; Poedts, Stefaan; Samara, Evangelia; Temmer, Manuela; Vennerstrom, Susanne; Veronig, Astrid; Vršnak, Bojan; Wimmer-Schweingruber, Robert Bibcode: 2022A&A...659A.190H Altcode: 2022arXiv220315689H Since the 1970s it has been empirically known that the area of solar coronal holes affects the properties of high-speed solar wind streams (HSSs) at Earth. We derive a simple analytical model for the propagation of HSSs from the Sun to Earth and thereby show how the area of coronal holes and the size of their boundary regions affect the HSS velocity, temperature, and density near Earth. We assume that velocity, temperature, and density profiles form across the HSS cross section close to the Sun and that these spatial profiles translate into corresponding temporal profiles in a given radial direction due to the solar rotation. These temporal distributions drive the stream interface to the preceding slow solar wind plasma and disperse with distance from the Sun. The HSS properties at 1 AU are then given by all HSS plasma parcels launched from the Sun that did not run into the stream interface at Earth distance. We show that the velocity plateau region of HSSs as seen at 1 AU, if apparent, originates from the center region of the HSS close to the Sun, whereas the velocity tail at 1 AU originates from the trailing boundary region. Small HSSs can be described to entirely consist of boundary region plasma, which intrinsically results in smaller peak velocities. The peak velocity of HSSs at Earth further depends on the longitudinal width of the HSS close to the Sun. The shorter the longitudinal width of an HSS close to the Sun, the more of its "fastest" HSS plasma parcels from the HSS core and trailing boundary region have impinged upon the stream interface with the preceding slow solar wind, and the smaller is the peak velocity of the HSS at Earth. As the longitudinal width is statistically correlated to the area of coronal holes, this also explains the well-known empirical relationship between coronal hole areas and HSS peak velocities. Further, the temperature and density of HSS plasma parcels at Earth depend on their radial expansion from the Sun to Earth. The radial expansion is determined by the velocity gradient across the HSS boundary region close to the Sun and gives the velocity-temperature and density-temperature relationships at Earth their specific shape. When considering a large number of HSSs, the assumed correlation between the HSS velocities and temperatures close to the Sun degrades only slightly up to 1 AU, but the correlation between the velocities and densities is strongly disrupted up to 1 AU due to the radial expansion. Finally, we show how the number of particles of the piled-up slow solar wind in the stream interaction region depends on the velocities and densities of the HSS and preceding slow solar wind plasma. Title: Generic profile of a long-lived corotating interaction region and associated recurrent Forbush decrease Authors: Dumbović, M.; Vršnak, B.; Temmer, M.; Heber, B.; Kühl, P. Bibcode: 2022A&A...658A.187D Altcode: 2022arXiv220109623D Context. Corotating interaction regions (CIRs), formed by the interaction of slow solar wind and fast streams that originate from coronal holes (CHs), produce recurrent Forbush decreases, which are short-term depressions in the galactic cosmic ray (GCR) flux.
Aims: Our aim is to prepare a reliable set of CIR measurements to be used as a textbook for modeling efforts. For that purpose, we observe and analyse a long-lived CIR, originating from a single CH, recurring in 27 consecutive Carrington rotations 2057-2083 in the time period from June 2007-May 2009.
Methods: We studied the in situ measurements of this long-lived CIR as well as the corresponding depression in the cosmic ray (CR) count observed by SOHO/EPHIN throughout different rotations. We performed a statistical analysis, as well as the superposed epoch analysis, using relative values of the key parameters: the total magnetic field strength, B, the magnetic field fluctuations, dBrms, plasma flow speed, v, plasma density, n, plasma temperature, T, and the SOHO/EPHIN F-detector particle count, and CR count.
Results: We find that the mirrored CR count-time profile is correlated with that of the flow speed, ranging from moderate to strong correlation, depending on the rotation. In addition, we find that the CR count dip amplitude is correlated to the peak in the magnetic field and flow speed of the CIR. These results are in agreement with previous statistical studies. Finally, using the superposed epoch analysis, we obtain a generic CIR example, which reflects the in situ properties of a typical CIR well.
Conclusions: Our results are better explained based on the combined convection-diffusion approach of the CIR-related GCR modulation. Furthermore, qualitatively, our results do not differ from those based on different CHs samples. This indicates that the change of the physical properties of the recurring CIR from one rotation to another is not qualitatively different from the change of the physical properties of CIRs originating from different CHs. Finally, the obtained generic CIR example, analyzed on the basis of superposed epoch analysis, can be used as a reference for testing future models. Title: Analytic modeling of recurrent Forbush decreases caused by corotating interaction regions Authors: Vršnak, B.; Dumbović, M.; Heber, B.; Kirin, A. Bibcode: 2022A&A...658A.186V Altcode: 2022arXiv220109619V Context. On scales of days, the galactic cosmic ray (GCR) flux is affected by coronal mass ejections and corotating interaction regions (CIRs), causing so-called Forbush decreases and recurrent Forbush decreases (RFDs), respectively.
Aims: We explain the properties and behavior of RFDs recorded at about 1 au that are caused by CIRs generated by solar wind high-speed streams (HSSs) that emanate from coronal holes.
Methods: We employed a convection-diffusion GCR propagation model based on the Fokker-Planck equation and applied it to solar wind and interplanetary magnetic field properties at 1 au.
Results: Our analysis shows that the only two effects that are relevant for a plausible overall explanation of the observations are the enhanced convection effect caused by the increased velocity of the HSS and the reduced diffusion effect caused by the enhanced magnetic field and its fluctuations within the CIR and HSS structure. These two effects that we considered in the model are sufficient to explain not only the main signatures of RFDs, but also the sometimes observed "over-recovery" and secondary dips in RFD profiles. The explanation in terms of the convection-diffusion GCR propagation hypothesis is tested by applying our model to the observations of a long-lived CIR that recurred over 27 rotations in 2007-2008.
Conclusions: Our analysis demonstrates a very good match of the model results and observations. Title: Influence of the CME Orientation on the ICME Propagation Authors: Martinic, Karmen; Dumbovic, Mateja; Vrsnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2021AGUFMSH35B2057M Altcode: Beyond certain distance the ICME propagation becomes mostly governed by the interaction of the ICME and the ambient solar wind. Configuration of the interplanetary magnetic field and features of the related ambient solar wind in the ecliptic and meridional plane are different. Therefore, one can expect that the inclination of the CME flux rope axis i.e. tilt, influences the propagation of the ICME itself. In order to study the relation between the tilt parameter and the ICME propagation we investigated isolated Earth-impacting CME-ICME evets in the time period from 2006. to 2014. We determined the CME tilt in the near-Sun environment from the 3D reconstruction of the CME, obtained by the Graduated Cylindrical Shell model using coronagraphic images provided by the STEREO and SOHO missions. We determined the tilt of the ICME in the near-Earth environment using in-situ data. We constrained our study to CME-ICME events that show no evidence of rotation while propagating, i.e. have a similar tilt in the near-Sun and near-Earth environment. For those events we also calculated the drag parameter to check the implications for space-weather forecasting using the drag based(ensemble) [DB(E)M] model of heliospheric propagation. Title: Earth-affecting solar transients: a review of progresses in solar cycle 24 Authors: Zhang, Jie; Temmer, Manuela; Gopalswamy, Nat; Malandraki, Olga; Nitta, Nariaki V.; Patsourakos, Spiros; Shen, Fang; Vršnak, Bojan; Wang, Yuming; Webb, David; Desai, Mihir I.; Dissauer, Karin; Dresing, Nina; Dumbović, Mateja; Feng, Xueshang; Heinemann, Stephan G.; Laurenza, Monica; Lugaz, Noé; Zhuang, Bin Bibcode: 2021PEPS....8...56Z Altcode: 2020arXiv201206116Z This review article summarizes the advancement in the studies of Earth-affecting solar transients in the last decade that encompasses most of solar cycle 24. It is a part of the effort of the International Study of Earth-affecting Solar Transients (ISEST) project, sponsored by the SCOSTEP/VarSITI program (2014-2018). The Sun-Earth is an integrated physical system in which the space environment of the Earth sustains continuous influence from mass, magnetic field, and radiation energy output of the Sun in varying timescales from minutes to millennium. This article addresses short timescale events, from minutes to days that directly cause transient disturbances in the Earth's space environment and generate intense adverse effects on advanced technological systems of human society. Such transient events largely fall into the following four types: (1) solar flares, (2) coronal mass ejections (CMEs) including their interplanetary counterparts ICMEs, (3) solar energetic particle (SEP) events, and (4) stream interaction regions (SIRs) including corotating interaction regions (CIRs). In the last decade, the unprecedented multi-viewpoint observations of the Sun from space, enabled by STEREO Ahead/Behind spacecraft in combination with a suite of observatories along the Sun-Earth lines, have provided much more accurate and global measurements of the size, speed, propagation direction, and morphology of CMEs in both 3D and over a large volume in the heliosphere. Many CMEs, fast ones, in particular, can be clearly characterized as a two-front (shock front plus ejecta front) and three-part (bright ejecta front, dark cavity, and bright core) structure. Drag-based kinematic models of CMEs are developed to interpret CME propagation in the heliosphere and are applied to predict their arrival times at 1 AU in an efficient manner. Several advanced MHD models have been developed to simulate realistic CME events from the initiation on the Sun until their arrival at 1 AU. Much progress has been made on detailed kinematic and dynamic behaviors of CMEs, including non-radial motion, rotation and deformation of CMEs, CME-CME interaction, and stealth CMEs and problematic ICMEs. The knowledge about SEPs has also been significantly improved. An outlook of how to address critical issues related to Earth-affecting solar transients concludes this article. Title: Coronal Hole Detection and Open Magnetic Flux Authors: Linker, Jon A.; Heinemann, Stephan G.; Temmer, Manuela; Owens, Mathew J.; Caplan, Ronald M.; Arge, Charles N.; Asvestari, Eleanna; Delouille, Veronique; Downs, Cooper; Hofmeister, Stefan J.; Jebaraj, Immanuel C.; Madjarska, Maria S.; Pinto, Rui F.; Pomoell, Jens; Samara, Evangelia; Scolini, Camilla; Vršnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2021ApJ...918...21L Altcode: 2021arXiv210305837L Many scientists use coronal hole (CH) detections to infer open magnetic flux. Detection techniques differ in the areas that they assign as open, and may obtain different values for the open magnetic flux. We characterize the uncertainties of these methods, by applying six different detection methods to deduce the area and open flux of a near-disk center CH observed on 2010 September 19, and applying a single method to five different EUV filtergrams for this CH. Open flux was calculated using five different magnetic maps. The standard deviation (interpreted as the uncertainty) in the open flux estimate for this CH ≍ 26%. However, including the variability of different magnetic data sources, this uncertainty almost doubles to 45%. We use two of the methods to characterize the area and open flux for all CHs in this time period. We find that the open flux is greatly underestimated compared to values inferred from in situ measurements (by 2.2-4 times). We also test our detection techniques on simulated emission images from a thermodynamic MHD model of the solar corona. We find that the methods overestimate the area and open flux in the simulated CH, but the average error in the flux is only about 7%. The full-Sun detections on the simulated corona underestimate the model open flux, but by factors well below what is needed to account for the missing flux in the observations. Under-detection of open flux in coronal holes likely contributes to the recognized deficit in solar open flux, but is unlikely to resolve it. Title: Probabilistic Drag-Based Ensemble Model (DBEM) Evaluation for Heliospheric Propagation of CMEs Authors: Čalogović, Jaša; Dumbović, Mateja; Sudar, Davor; Vršnak, Bojan; Martinić, Karmen; Temmer, Manuela; Veronig, Astrid M. Bibcode: 2021SoPh..296..114C Altcode: 2021arXiv210706684C The Drag-based Model (DBM) is a 2D analytical model for heliospheric propagation of Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) in ecliptic plane predicting the CME arrival time and speed at Earth or any other given target in the solar system. It is based on the equation of motion and depends on initial CME parameters, background solar wind speed, w and the drag parameter γ . A very short computational time of DBM (< 0.01 s) allowed us to develop the Drag-Based Ensemble Model (DBEM) that takes into account the variability of model input parameters by making an ensemble of n different input parameters to calculate the distribution and significance of the DBM results. Thus the DBEM is able to calculate the most likely CME arrival times and speeds, quantify the prediction uncertainties and determine the confidence intervals. A new DBEMv3 version is described in detail and evaluated for the first time determining the DBEMv3 performance and errors by using various CME-ICME lists and it is compared with previous DBEM versions, ICME being a short-hand for interplanetary CME. The analysis to find the optimal drag parameter γ and ambient solar wind speed w showed that somewhat higher values (γ ≈0.3 ×10−7 km−1, w ≈ 425 km s−1) for both of these DBEM input parameters should be used for the evaluation than the previously employed ones. Based on the evaluation performed for 146 CME-ICME pairs, the DBEMv3 performance with mean error (ME) of −11.3 h, mean absolute error (MAE) of 17.3 h was obtained. There is a clear bias towards the negative prediction errors where the fast CMEs are predicted to arrive too early, probably due to the model physical limitations and input errors (e.g. CME launch speed). This can be partially reduced by using larger values for γ resulting in smaller prediction errors (ME =−3.9 h, MAE = 14.5 h) but at the cost of larger prediction errors for single fast CMEs as well as larger CME arrival speed prediction errors. DBEMv3 showed also slight improvement in the performance for all calculated output parameters compared to the previous DBEM versions. Title: Drag-based model (DBM) tools for forecast of coronal mass ejection arrival time and speed Authors: Dumbović, Mateja; Čalogović, Jaša; Martinić, Karmen; Vršnak, Bojan; Sudar, Davor; Temmer, Manuela; Veronig, Astrid Bibcode: 2021FrASS...8...58D Altcode: 2021arXiv210314292D Forecasting the arrival time of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and their associated shocks is one of the key aspects of space weather research and predictions. One of the commonly used models is, due to its simplicity and calculation speed, the analytical drag-based model (DBM) for heliospheric propagation of CMEs. DBM relies on the observational fact that slow CMEs accelerate whereas fast CMEs decelerate, and is based on the concept of MHD drag, which acts to adjust the CME speed to the ambient solar wind. Although physically DBM is applicable only to the CME magnetic structure, it is often used as a proxy for the shock arrival. In recent years, the DBM equation has been used in many studies to describe the propagation of CMEs and shocks with different geometries and assumptions. Here we give an overview of the five DBM versions currently available and their respective tools, developed at Hvar Observatory and frequently used by researchers and forecasters. These include: 1) basic 1D DBM, a 1D model describing the propagation of a single point (i.e. the apex of the CME) or concentric arc (where all points propagate identically); 2) advanced 2D self-similar cone DBM, a 2D model which combines basic DBM and cone geometry describing the propagation of the CME leading edge which evolves self-similarly; 3) 2D flattening cone DBM, a 2D model which combines basic DBM and cone geometry describing the propagation of the CME leading edge which does not evolve self-similarly; 4) DBEMv1, an ensemble version of the 2D flattening cone DBM which uses CME ensembles as an input and 5) DBEMv3, an ensemble version of the 2D flattening cone DBM which creates CME ensembles based on the input uncertainties. All five versions have been tested and published in recent years and are available online or upon request. We provide an overview of these five tools, of their similarities and differences, as well as discuss and demonstrate their application. Title: Influence of the CME orientation on the ICME propagation Authors: Martinić, Karmen; Dumbović, Mateja; Vršnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2021EGUGA..23.2526M Altcode: Beyond certain distance the ICME propagation becomes mostly governed by the interaction of the ICME and the ambient solar wind. Configuration of the interplanetary magnetic field and features of the related ambient solar wind in the ecliptic and meridional plane are different. Therefore, one can expect that the inclination of the CME flux rope axis i.e. tilt, influences the propagation of the ICME itself. In order to study the relation between the tilt parameter and the ICME propagation we investigated isolated Earth-impacting CME-ICME evets in the time period from 2006. to 2014. We determined the CME tilt in the "near-Sun" environment from the 3D reconstruction of the CME, obtained by the Graduated Cylindrical Shell model using coronagraphic images provided by the STEREO and SOHO missions. We determined the tilt of the ICME in the "near-Earth" environment using in-situ data. We constrained our study to CME-ICME events that show no evidence of rotation while propagating, i.e. have a similar tilt in the "near-Sun" and "near-Earth" environment. We present preliminary results of our study and discuss their implications for space-weather forecasting using the drag-based(ensemble) [DB(E)M] model of heliospheric propagation. Title: Deriving CME volume and density from remote sensing data Authors: Temmer, Manuela; Holzknecht, Lukas; Dumbovic, Mateja; Vrsnak, Bojan; Sachdeva, Nishtha; Heinemann, Stephan G.; Dissauer, Karin; Scolini, Camilla; Asvestari, Eleanna; Veronig, Astrid M.; Hofmeister, Stefan Bibcode: 2021EGUGA..23.2535T Altcode: Using combined STEREO-SOHO white-light data, we present a method to determine the volume and density of a coronal mass ejection (CME) by applying the graduated cylindrical shell model (GCS) and deprojected mass derivation. Under the assumption that the CME mass is roughly equally distributed within a specific volume, we expand the CME self-similarly and calculate the CME density for distances close to the Sun (15-30 Rs) and at 1 AU. The procedure is applied on a sample of 29 well-observed CMEs and compared to their interplanetary counterparts (ICMEs). Specific trends are derived comparing calculated and in-situ measured proton densities at 1 AU, though large uncertainties are revealed due to the unknown mass and geometry evolution: i) a moderate correlation for the magnetic structure having a mass that stays rather constant and ii) a weak correlation for the sheath density by assuming the sheath region is an extra mass - as expected for a mass pile-up process - that is in its amount comparable to the initial CME deprojected mass. High correlations are derived between in-situ measured sheath density and the solar wind density and solar wind speed as measured 24 hours ahead of the arrival of the disturbance. This gives additional confirmation that the sheath-plasma indeed stems from piled-up solar wind material. While the CME interplanetary propagation speed is not related to the sheath density, the size of the CME may play some role in how much material is piled up. Title: Validation of Global EUV Wave MHD Simulations and Observational Techniques Authors: Downs, Cooper; Warmuth, Alexander; Long, David M.; Bloomfield, D. Shaun; Kwon, Ryun-Young; Veronig, Astrid M.; Vourlidas, Angelos; Vršnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2021ApJ...911..118D Altcode: Global EUV waves remain a controversial phenomenon more than 20 yr after their discovery by SOHO/EIT. Although consensus is growing in the community that they are most likely large-amplitude waves or shocks, the wide variety of observations and techniques used to identify and analyze them have led to disagreements regarding their physical properties and interpretation. Here, we use a 3D magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model of the solar corona to simulate an EUV wave event on 2009 February 13 to enable a detailed validation of the various commonly used detection and analysis techniques of global EUV waves. The simulated event exhibits comparable behavior to that of a real EUV wave event, with similar kinematic behavior and plasma parameter evolution. The kinematics of the wave are estimated via visual identification and profile analysis, with both approaches providing comparable results. We find that projection effects can affect the derived kinematics of the wave, due to the variation in fast-mode wave speed with height in the corona. Coronal seismology techniques typically used for estimates of the coronal magnetic field are also tested and found to estimate fast-mode speeds comparable to those of the model. Plasma density and temperature variations of the wave front are also derived using a regularized inversion approach and found to be consistent with observed wave events. These results indicate that global waves are best interpreted as large-amplitude waves and that they can be used to probe the coronal medium using well-defined analysis techniques. Title: Analytical and empirical modelling of the origin and heliospheric propagation of coronal mass ejections, and space weather applications Authors: Vršnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2021JSWSC..11...34V Altcode: The focus is on the physical background and comprehension of the origin and the heliospheric propagation of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs), which can cause most severe geomagnetic disturbances. The paper considers mainly the analytical modelling, providing useful insight into the nature of ICMEs, complementary to that provided by numerical MHD models. It is concentrated on physical processes related to the origin of CMEs at the Sun, their heliospheric propagation, up to the effects causing geomagnetic perturbations. Finally, several analytical and statistical forecasting tools for space weather applications are described. Title: Deriving CME Density From Remote Sensing Data and Comparison to In Situ Measurements Authors: Temmer, M.; Holzknecht, L.; Dumbović, M.; Vršnak, B.; Sachdeva, N.; Heinemann, S. G.; Dissauer, K.; Scolini, C.; Asvestari, E.; Veronig, A. M.; Hofmeister, S. J. Bibcode: 2021JGRA..12628380T Altcode: 2020arXiv201106880T We determine the three dimensional geometry and deprojected mass of 29 well observed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and their interplanetary counterparts (ICMEs) using combined Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory Solar and Heliospheric Observatory white light data. From the geometry parameters, we calculate the volume of the CME for the magnetic ejecta (flux rope type geometry) and sheath structure (shell like geometry resembling the (I)CME frontal rim). Working under the assumption that the CME mass is roughly equally distributed within a specific volume, we expand the CME self similarly and calculate the CME density for distances close to the Sun (15-30 Rs) and at 1 AU. Specific trends are derived comparing calculated and in situ measured proton densities at 1 AU, though large uncertainties are revealed due to the unknown mass and geometry evolution: (1) a moderate correlation for the magnetic structure having a mass that stays rather constant (cc ≈ 0.56 - 0.59), and (2) a weak correlation for the sheath density (cc ≈ 0.26) by assuming the sheath region is an extra mass—as expected for a mass pile up process—that is in its amount comparable to the initial CME deprojected mass. High correlations are derived between in situ measured sheath density and the solar wind density (cc ≈ -0.73) and solar wind speed (cc ≈ 0.56) as measured 24 h ahead of the arrival of the disturbance. This gives additional confirmation that the sheath plasma indeed stems from piled up solar wind material. While the CME interplanetary propagation speed is not related to the sheath density, the size of the CME may play some role in how much material could be piled up. Title: Forecasting the arrival time of coronal mass ejections Authors: Dumbovic, Mateja; Mays, M. Leila; Riley, Pete; Mierla, Marilena; Kay, Christina; Vrsnak, Bojan; Veronig, Astrid; Cremades, Hebe; Čalogović, Jaša; Verbeke, Christine; Temmer, Manuela; Sudar, Davor; Scolini, Camilla; Hinterreiter, Jürgen; Paouris, Evangelos; Palmerio, Erika; Balmaceda, Laura Bibcode: 2021cosp...43E1038D Altcode: Forecasting the arrival time of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and their associated shocks is one of the key aspects of space weather. In recent years many models have been developed by various research groups aiming to forecast CME arrival time. The models differ based on the input, approach, assumptions and complexity ranging from simple empirical and analytical to complex numerical and machine learning models. One of the commonly used models is, due to its simplicity and calculation speed, the analytical drag-based (ensemble) model [DB(E)M] for heliospheric propagation of CMEs. DB(E)M relies on the observational fact that slow CMEs accelerate whereas fast CMEs decelerate, and is based on the concept of MHD drag, which acts to adjust the CME speed to the ambient solar wind. However, regardless of the model, forecasting CME arrival time has proven to be exceedingly challenging. One of the major setbacks is the uncertainty of the CME observational input, which is still substantial despite state-of-the-art remote observational capacities such as high-resolution EUV imagers and stereoscopic observations. Another major setback is the uncertainty in the CME propagation itself, due to e.g. unrealistic background solar wind and/or complex interactions. These limits will be discussed in the scope of DB(E)M and the CME input analysis performed by the ISSI Bern team on the "Understanding Our Capabilities In Observing And Modeling Coronal Mass Ejections". Title: CME evolution and the corresponding Forbush decrease: modelling vs multi-spacecraft observation Authors: Dumbovic, Mateja; Moestl, Christian; Podladchikova, Tatiana; Guo, Jingnan; Heber, Bernd; Vrsnak, Bojan; Dissauer, Karin; Veronig, Astrid; Amerstorfer, Tanja; Temmer, Manuela; Carcaboso, Fernando; Kirin, Anamarija Bibcode: 2021cosp...43E1747D Altcode: One of the very common in-situ signatures of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs), as well as other interplanetary transients are Forbush decreases (FDs), i.e. short-term reductions in the galactic cosmic ray (GCR) flux. FD phenomena are caused by the interaction of GCRs with a magnetic structure, therefore it is expected that different types of interplanetary substructures cause different types of GCR time profiles, allowing us to distinguish between shock/sheath, flux rope and SIR-type of FDs. Moreover, since the interaction of GCRs and CME magnetic structure (i.e. flux rope) occurs all the way from Sun to Earth, FDs reflect the evolutionary properties of CMEs. We apply modelling to different ICME regions in order to obtain a generic FD profile. We model the shock/sheath-related FD using the propagating diffusive barrier (PDB) model, the flux-rope-related FD using the diffusion model for the expanding flux rope (ForbMod), and the exponential time profile approximates the recovery after the event. The modeled generic FD profile qualitatively agrees with our current observation-based understanding of FDs. In addition, we test ForbMod against a set of multi-spacecraft observations of the same ICME. We find a reasonable agreement of the ForbMod model with multi-spacecraft measurements, indicating that modelled FDs reflect well the flux rope evolution. Title: Evolution of coronal mass ejections and the corresponding Forbush decreases: modelling vs. multi-spacecraft observations Authors: Dumbovic, M.; Vrsnak, B.; Guo, J.; Heber, B.; Dissauer, K.; Carcaboso-Morales, F.; Temmer, M.; Veronig, A.; Podladchikova, T.; Moestl, C.; Amerstorfer, T.; Kirin, A. Bibcode: 2020AGUFMSH046..08D Altcode: One of the very common in situ signatures of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs), as well as other interplanetary transients, are Forbush decreases (FDs), i.e. short-term reductions in the galactic cosmic ray (GCR) flux. A two-step FD is often regarded as a textbook example, which presumably owes its specific morphology to the fact that the measuring instrument passed through the ICME head-on, encountering first the shock front (if developed), then the sheath and finally the CME magnetic structure. The interaction of GCRs and the shock/sheath region, as well as the CME magnetic structure, occurs all the way from Sun to Earth, therefore, FDs are expected to reflect the evolutionary properties of CMEs and their sheaths. We apply modelling to different ICME regions in order to obtain a generic two-step FD profile, which qualitatively agrees with our current observation-based understanding of FDs. We next adapt the models for energy dependence to enable comparison with different GCR measurement instruments (as they measure in different particle energy ranges). We test these modelling efforts against a set of multi-spacecraft observations of the same event, using the Forbush decrease model for the expanding flux rope (ForbMod). We find a reasonable agreement of the ForbMod model for the GCR depression in the CME magnetic structure with multi-spacecraft measurements, indicating that modelled FDs reflect well the CME evolution. Title: Characteristics of a long-lived CIR and the corresponding depression in the GCR flux Authors: Dumbovic, M.; Vrsnak, B.; Temmer, M.; Heber, B. Bibcode: 2020AGUFMSH0440026D Altcode: We observe a long-lived CIR recurring in 27 consecutive Carrington rotations 2057-2083 in the time period from June 2007 - May 2009. We characterize the in situ measurements of this long-lived CIR as well as the corresponding depression in the GCR count observed by SOHO/EPHIN, and analyze them throughout different rotations. We find that the behavior of the flow speed peak roughly shows a rising phase and a declining phase. This is similar to the evolutionary profile of some observed coronal hole areas, but without a clear peak. The GCR count evolutionary profile roughly follows that of the flow speed peak, but moreover we find that the inverted GCR count time-profile matches very well with that of the flow speed throughout different rotations. We perform a statistical analysis and find the GCR count amplitude correlated to the peak in the magnetic field and flow speed, as expected based on previous statistical studies. In order to characterize a generic CIR profile for modelling purposes, we perform the superposed epoch analysis using relative values of the key parameters. Based on the observed properties we propose a simple analytical model starting from the basic Fokker-Planck equation. Title: Solar Flare-CME Coupling throughout Two Acceleration Phases of a Fast CME Authors: Gou, Tingyu; Veronig, Astrid M.; Liu, Rui; Zhuang, Bin; Dumbović, Mateja; Podladchikova, Tatiana; Reid, Hamish A. S.; Temmer, Manuela; Dissauer, Karin; Vršnak, Bojan; Wang, Yuming Bibcode: 2020ApJ...897L..36G Altcode: 2020arXiv200611707G Solar flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are closely coupled through magnetic reconnection. CMEs are usually accelerated impulsively within the low solar corona, synchronized with the impulsive flare energy release. We investigate the dynamic evolution of a fast CME and its associated X2.8 flare occurring on 2013 May 13. The CME experiences two distinct phases of enhanced acceleration, an impulsive one with a peak value of ∼5 km s-2, followed by an extended phase with accelerations up to 0.7 km s-2. The two-phase CME dynamics is associated with a two-episode flare energy release. While the first episode is consistent with the "standard" eruption of a magnetic flux rope, the second episode of flare energy release is initiated by the reconnection of a large-scale loop in the aftermath of the eruption and produces stronger nonthermal emission up to γ-rays. In addition, this long-duration flare reveals clear signs of ongoing magnetic reconnection during the decay phase, evidenced by extended hard X-ray bursts with energies up to 100-300 keV and intermittent downflows of reconnected loops for >4 hr. The observations reveal that the two-step flare reconnection substantially contributes to the two-phase CME acceleration, and the impulsive CME acceleration precedes the most intense flare energy release. The implications of this non-standard flare/CME observation are discussed. Title: Evolution of Coronal Mass Ejections and the Corresponding Forbush Decreases: Modeling vs. Multi-Spacecraft Observations Authors: Dumbović, Mateja; Vršnak, Bojan; Guo, Jingnan; Heber, Bernd; Dissauer, Karin; Carcaboso, Fernando; Temmer, Manuela; Veronig, Astrid; Podladchikova, Tatiana; Möstl, Christian; Amerstorfer, Tanja; Kirin, Anamarija Bibcode: 2020SoPh..295..104D Altcode: 2020arXiv200602253D One of the very common in situ signatures of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs), as well as other interplanetary transients, are Forbush decreases (FDs), i.e. short-term reductions in the galactic cosmic ray (GCR) flux. A two-step FD is often regarded as a textbook example, which presumably owes its specific morphology to the fact that the measuring instrument passed through the ICME head on, encountering first the shock front (if developed), then the sheath, and finally the CME magnetic structure. The interaction of GCRs and the shock/sheath region, as well as the CME magnetic structure, occurs all the way from Sun to Earth, therefore, FDs are expected to reflect the evolutionary properties of CMEs and their sheaths. We apply modeling to different ICME regions in order to obtain a generic two-step FD profile, which qualitatively agrees with our current observation-based understanding of FDs. We next adapt the models for energy dependence to enable comparison with different GCR measurement instruments (as they measure in different particle energy ranges). We test these modeling efforts against a set of multi-spacecraft observations of the same event, using the Forbush decrease model for the expanding flux rope (ForbMod). We find a reasonable agreement of the ForbMod model for the GCR depression in the CME magnetic structure with multi-spacecraft measurements, indicating that modeled FDs reflect well the CME evolution. Title: Sun-to-Earth Observations and Characteristics of Isolated Earth-Impacting Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections During 2008 - 2014 Authors: Maričić, D.; Vršnak, B.; Veronig, A. M.; Dumbović, M.; Šterc, F.; Roša, D.; Karlica, M.; Hržina, D.; Romštajn, I. Bibcode: 2020SoPh..295...91M Altcode: 2020arXiv200810265M A sample of isolated Earth-impacting interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) that occurred in the period January 2008 to August 2014 is analyzed to study in detail the ICME in situ signatures, with respect to the type of filament eruption related to the corresponding CME. Observations from different vantage points provided by the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) and the Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory Ahead and Behind (STEREO-A and B) are used to determine whether each CME under study is Earth directed or not. For Earth-directed CMEs, a kinematical study was performed using the STEREO-A and B COR1 and COR2 coronagraphs and the Heliospheric Imagers (HI1), to estimate the CME arrival time at 1 AU and to link the CMEs with the corresponding in situ solar wind counterparts. Based on the extrapolated CME kinematics, we identified interacting CMEs, which were excluded from further analysis. Applying this approach, a set of 31 isolated Earth-impacting CMEs was unambiguously identified and related to the in situ measurements recorded by the Wind spacecraft. We classified the events into subsets with respect to the CME source location, as well as with respect to the type of the associated filament eruption. Hence, the events are divided into three subsamples: active region (AR) CMEs, disappearing filament (DSF) CMEs, and stealthy CMEs. The related three groups of ICMEs were further divided into two subsets: magnetic obstacle (MO) events (out of which four were stealthy), covering ICMEs that at least partly showed characteristics of flux ropes, and ejecta (EJ) events, not showing such characteristics. In this way, 14 MO-ICMEs and 17 EJ-ICMES were identified. The solar source regions of the non-stealthy MO-ICMEs are found to be located predominantly (9/10, 90%) within ±30 from the solar central meridian, whereas EJ-ICMEs originate predominantly (16/17, 94%) from source regions that are outside ±30. In the next step, MO-events were analyzed in more detail, considering the magnetic field strength and the plasma characteristics in three different segments, defined as the turbulent sheath (TS), the frontal region (FR), and the MO itself. The analysis revealed various well-defined correlations for AR, DSF, and stealthy ICMEs, which we interpreted considering basic physical concepts. Our results support the hypothesis that ICMEs show different signatures depending on the in situ spacecraft trajectory, in terms of apex versus flank hits. Title: CME evolution and the corresponding Forbush decrease: modelling vs multi-spacecraft observation Authors: Dumbovic, Mateja; Vrsnak, Bojan; Guo, Jingnan; Heber, Bernd; Dissauer, Karin; Carcaboso-Morales, Fernando; Temmer, Manuela; Veronig, Astrid; Podladchikova, Tatiana; Möstl, Christian; Amerstorfer, Tanja; Kirin, Anamarija Bibcode: 2020EGUGA..2210446D Altcode: One of the very common in-situ signatures of ICMEs, as well as other interplanetary transients are Forbush decreases (FDs), i.e. short-term reductions in the galactic cosmic ray (GCR) flux. A two-step FD is often regarded as a textbook example, which presumably owns its specific morphology to the fact that the measuring instrument passed through the ICME head-on, encountering first the shock front (if developed), then the sheath and finally the magnetic structure. The interaction of GCRs and the shock/sheath region as well as CME magnetic structure occurs all the way from Sun to Earth, therefore, FDs are expected to reflect the evolutionary properties of CMEs and their sheaths. We apply modelling to different ICME regions in order to obtain a generic two-step FD profile, which qualitatively agrees with our current observation-based understanding of FDs. We next adapt the models for energy dependence to enable comparison with different GCR measurement instruments (as they measure in different particle energy ranges). We test these modelling efforts against a set of multi-spacecraft observations of the same event. Title: Relating CME density derived from remote sensing data to CME sheath solar wind plasma pile up as measured in-situ Authors: Temmer, Manuela; Holzknecht, Lukas; Dumbovic, Mateja; Vrsnak, Bojan; Sachdeva, Nishtha; Heinemann, Stephan; Dissauer, Karin; Scolini, Camilla; Asvestari, Eleanna; Veronig, Astrid; Hofmeister, Stefan Bibcode: 2020EGUGA..22.3341T Altcode: For better estimating the drag force acting on coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in interplanetary space and ram-pressure at planets, improved knowledge of the evolution of CME density/mass is highly valuable. We investigate a sample of 29 well observed CME-ICME events, for which we determine the de-projected 3D mass (STEREO-A and -B data), and the CME volume using GCS modeling (STEREO, SoHO). Expanding the volume to 1AU distance, we derive the density and compare the results to in-situ proton density measurements separately for the ICME sheath and magnetic structure. A fair agreement between calculated and measured density is derived for the magnetic structure as well for the sheath if taking into account mass pile up of solar wind plasma. We give evidence and observational assessment that during the interplanetary propagation of a CME 1) the magnetic structure has rather constant mass and 2) the sheath region at the front of the driver is formed from piled-up mass that is rather depending on the solar wind density ahead of the CME, than on the CME speed. Title: On the Interaction of Galactic Cosmic Rays with Heliospheric Shocks During Forbush Decreases Authors: Kirin, Anamarija; Vršnak, Bojan; Dumbović, Mateja; Heber, Bernd Bibcode: 2020SoPh..295...28K Altcode: 2020arXiv200209454K Forbush decreases (FDs) are depletions in the galactic cosmic ray (GCR) count rate that last typically for about a week and can be caused by coronal mass ejections (CMEs) or corotating interacting regions (CIRs). Fast CMEs that drive shocks cause large FDs that often show a two-step decrease where the first step is attributed to the shock/sheath region, while the second step is attributed to the closed magnetic structure. Since the difference in size of shock and sheath region is significant, and since there are observed effects that can be related to shocks and not necessarily to the sheath region we expect that the physical mechanisms governing the interaction with GCRs in these two regions are different. We therefore aim to analyze interaction of GCRs with heliospheric shocks only. We approximate the shock by a structure where the magnetic field linearly changes with position within this structure. We assume protons of different energy, different pitch angle and different incoming direction. We also vary the shock parameters such as the magnetic field strength and orientation, as well as the shock thickness. The results demonstrate that protons with higher energies are less likely to be reflected. Also, thicker shocks and shocks with stronger field reflect protons more efficiently. Title: Genesis and impulsive evolution of the fast CME associated with the X8.2 flare on 2017 September 10 Authors: Veronig, A.; Podladchikova, T.; Dissauer, K.; Temmer, M.; Seaton, D. B.; Long, D.; Guo, J.; Vrsnak, B.; Harra, L. K.; Kliem, B. Bibcode: 2019AGUFMSH13A..02V Altcode: The X8.2 event of 2017 September 10 provides unique observations to study the genesis, magnetic morphology, impulsive dynamics and shock formation in a very fast coronal mass ejection (CME). As will be discussed in this presentation, fundamental insight in the processes of magnetic reconnection, CME acceleration and shock formation are provided through EUV observations of the middle corona.

Combining the large field-of-view and high-cadence imagery from GOES-16/SUVI and SDO/AIA EUV, respectively, we identify a hot (T ≈ 10-15 MK) bright rim around a quickly expanding cavity, embedded inside a much larger CME shell (T ≈ 1-2 MK). The CME shell develops from a dense set of large AR loops (>0.5Rs) and seamlessly evolves into the CME front observed in LASCO C2. The strong lateral overexpansion of the CME shell acts as a piston initiating the fast and globally propagating EUV shock wave. The hot cavity rim is demonstrated to be a manifestation of the dominantly poloidal flux and frozen-in plasma added to the rising flux rope by magnetic reconnection in the current sheet beneath. The same structure is later observed as the core of the white-light CME, challenging the traditional interpretation of the CME three-part morphology (Veronig et al. 2018).

The large amount of added magnetic flux suggested by these observations can explain the extreme accelerations of the radial and lateral expansion of the CME shell and cavity, all reaching values up to 5-10 km s-2. The acceleration peaks occur simultaneously with the first RHESSI 100-300 keV hard X-ray burst of the associated flare, further underlining the importance of the reconnection process for the impulsive CME evolution in the low and middle corona. Title: Heliospheric Evolution of Magnetic Clouds Authors: Vršnak, B.; Amerstorfer, T.; Dumbović, M.; Leitner, M.; Veronig, A. M.; Temmer, M.; Möstl, C.; Amerstorfer, U. V.; Farrugia, C. J.; Galvin, A. B. Bibcode: 2019ApJ...877...77V Altcode: 2019arXiv190408266V The interplanetary evolution of 11 magnetic clouds (MCs) recorded by at least two radially aligned spacecraft is studied. The in situ magnetic field measurements are fitted to a cylindrically symmetric Gold-Hoyle force-free uniform-twist flux-rope configuration. The analysis reveals that in a statistical sense, the expansion of the studied MCs is compatible with self-similar behavior. However, individual events expose a large scatter of expansion rates, ranging from very weak to very strong expansion. Individually, only four events show an expansion rate compatible with isotropic self-similar expansion. The results indicate that the expansion has to be much stronger when the MCs are still close to the Sun than in the studied 0.47-4.8 au distance range. The evolution of the magnetic field strength shows a large deviation from the behavior expected for the case of isotropic self-similar expansion. In the statistical sense, as well as in most of the individual events, the inferred magnetic field decreases much slower than expected. Only three events show behavior compatible with self-similar expansion. There is also a discrepancy between the magnetic field decrease and the increase of the MC size, indicating that magnetic reconnection and geometrical deformations play a significant role in the MC evolution. About half of the events show a decay of the electric current as expected for self-similar expansion. Statistically, the inferred axial magnetic flux is broadly consistent with remaining constant. However, events characterized by a large magnetic flux show a clear tendency toward decreasing flux. Title: Genesis, magnetic morphology and impulsive evolution of the coronal mass ejection associated with the X8.2 flare on 2017 September 10 Authors: Veronig, Astrid; Podladchikova, Tatiana; Dissauer, Karin; Temmer, Manuela; Seaton, Daniel; Long, David; Guo, Jingnan; Vrsnak, Bojan; Harra, Louise; Kliem, Bernhard Bibcode: 2019EGUGA..21.9243V Altcode: The extreme X8.2 event of 2017 September 10 provides unique observations to study the genesis, magnetic morphology, impulsive dynamics and shock formation in a very fast coronal mass ejection (CME). Combining GOES-16/SUVI and SDO/AIA EUV imagery, we identify a hot (T ≈ 10-15 MK) bright rim around a quickly expanding cavity, embedded inside a much larger CME shell (T ≈ 1-2 MK). The CME shell develops from a dense set of large AR loops (>0.5Rs) and seamlessly evolves into the CME front observed in LASCO C2. The strong lateral overexpansion of the CME shell acts as a piston initiating the fast EUV shock wave. The hot cavity rim is demonstrated to be a manifestation of the dominantly poloidal flux and frozen-in plasma added to the rising flux rope by magnetic reconnection in the current sheet beneath. The same structure is later observed as the core of the white-light CME, challenging the traditional interpretation of the CME three-part morphology. The large amount of added magnetic flux suggested by these observations explains the extreme accelerations of the radial and lateral expansion of the CME shell and cavity, all reaching values up to 5-10 km s-2. The acceleration peaks occur simultaneously with the first RHESSI 100-300 keV hard X-ray burst of the associated flare, further underlining the importance of the reconnection process for the impulsive CME evolution. Finally, the much higher radial propagation speed of the flux rope in relation to the CME shell causes a distinct deformation of the white-light CME front and shock. Title: Observational assessment on CME mass pile up in interplanetary space Authors: Temmer, Manuela; Holzknecht, Lukas; Dumbovic, Mateja; Vrsnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2019EGUGA..21.9578T Altcode: Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) propagating in the heliosphere are exposed to a drag force due to the ambient solar wind. Mass pile-up in interplanetary space can have strong effects on the drag force, and with that on the CME propagation time and energy input to the magnetosphere. For a sample of well observed events, we determine the de-projected 3D mass and its evolution up to a distance range of about 15Rs using combined STEREO-SECCHI COR1 and COR2 data, for which no pile-up at the CME front is found (see also Bein et al., 2013). Applying the GCS forward fitting model (Thernisien et al., 2006, 2009) on COR2 data, we obtain the volume of the CMEs. Working under the assumption that the CME mass is constant beyond 15Rs and that the CME undergoes self-similar expansion, we estimate the CME density at the distance of 1AU. The results are compared to in-situ proton density data measured for the associated ICME's sheath and magnetic structure for which we derive a trend towards a mass increase at the CME front. Title: Study of Interplanetary CMEs/Shocks During Solar Cycle 24 Using Drag-Based Model: The Role of Solar Wind Authors: Suresh, K.; Prasanna Subramanian, S.; Shanmugaraju, A.; Vršnak, Bojan; Umapathy, S. Bibcode: 2019SoPh..294...47S Altcode: In this paper we analyze a set of 27 fast interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) observed during the period January 2010 - December 2013 in Solar Cycle 24. The arrivals of interplanetary shocks and CMEs at 1 AU are found from OMNI spacecraft high resolution data and their travel times are compared with Empirical Shock Arrival (ESA; Gopalswamy et al. in Adv. Space Res.36, 2289, 2005) and Drag Based Model (DBM; Vršnak et al. in Solar Phys.285, 295, 2013). The analysis of the transit time, deceleration, and drag parameter is used to examine the role of the solar-wind characteristics in the dynamics of ICMEs. The obtained ICME parameters (deceleration, drag parameter) are compared with the decelerated events (34 of 91 events in Solar Cycle 23) from the study of Manoharan et al. (J. Geophy. Res.109, A06109, 2004). The interplanetary (IP) deceleration shows similar trend between the cycles. Though the Cycle 24 has weak solar wind, it does not affect the arrival time behavior. It is concluded that the solar-wind behavior is considered to be the same in Cycles 23 and 24 for ICMEs. The IP drag parameter is linearly correlated with CME initial speed. The p-value between CME speed and drag parameter suggests that they are highly significant. The important result of the study is that the solar wind showed a similar kind of drag effect for the propagating CMEs in both cycles. Title: Multiple EUV wave reflection from a coronal hole Authors: Podladchikova, Tatiana; Veronig, Astrid M.; Podladchikova, Olena; Dissauer, Karin; Vršnak, Bojan; Saqri, Jonas; Piantschitsch, Isabell; Temmer, Manuela Bibcode: 2019EGUGA..21.9793P Altcode: EUV waves are large-scale propagating disturbances in the solar corona initiated by coronal mass ejections. We investigate the multiple EUV wave reflections at a coronal hole boundary, as observed by SDO/AIA on 1 April 2017. The EUV wave originates from Active Region (AR) 12645 close to the disk center and propagates toward the south polar coronal hole with an average velocity of 430 km/s. The interaction of the EUV wave with the coronal hole, which represents a region of high Alfven speed, is observed as a splitting into two wave components: one continues propagation inside the coronal hole with an increased velocity of 850 km/s (transmitted wave), while the other one moves back toward the AR, also with an increased velocity of 600 km/s (reflected wave). The reflected EUV wave is subsequently reflected again from the AR and propagates toward the coronal hole with an average velocity of 350 km/s, where it is reflected for the second time at the coronal hole boundary and propagates again toward the AR with a velocity of 300 km/s. These events are observed over an interval of 40 minutes. The high cadence SDO imagery allows us to study in detail the kinematics of the direct and multiple times reflected EUV wave. In addition, its multi-wavelength EUV imagery allows us to derive the plasma properties of the corona and the EUV wave pulse via Differential Emission Measure analysis. These results are used to compare the observed characteristics of the wave interaction with the coronal hole with simulations. Title: Gradual pre-eruptive phase of solar coronal eruptions Authors: Vršnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2019FrASS...6...28V Altcode: Physical background of the evolution of a coronal magnetic flux rope embedded in the magnetic arcade during the gradual-rise pre-eruptive stage is studied. It is assumed that this stage represents an externyly-driven evolution of the preeruptive structure through a series of quasi-equilibrium states, until a point when system losses equilibrium and erupts. In particular, three driving processes are considered: twisting motions of the flux-rope footpoints, emergence of new magnetic flux beneath the flux rope, and the mass leakage down the flux-rope legs. For that purpose, an analytical flux-rope model is employed, to inspect how fast the equilibrium height of the structure rises due to the increase of the poloidal-toaxial field ratio, the increase of axial electric current, and the decrease of mass. It is shown that the flux-rope twisting itself is not sufficient to reproduce the rising speeds observed during the pre-eruptive stage. Yet, it is essential for the loss-ofequilibrium process. On the other hand, the considered emerging flux and the mass loss processes reproduce well the rate at which the pre-eruptive structure rises before the main acceleration stage of the eruption sets in. Title: The Physical Processes of CME/ICME Evolution Authors: Manchester, Ward, IV; Kilpua, Emilia K. J.; Liu, Ying D.; Lugaz, Noé; Riley, Pete; Török, Tibor; Vršnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2019sfsw.book..165M Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: The Origin, Early Evolution and Predictability of Solar Eruptions Authors: Green, Lucie M.; Török, Tibor; Vršnak, Bojan; Manchester, Ward, IV; Veronig, Astrid Bibcode: 2019sfsw.book..113G Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Genesis and Impulsive Evolution of the 2017 September 10 Coronal Mass Ejection Authors: Veronig, Astrid M.; Podladchikova, Tatiana; Dissauer, Karin; Temmer, Manuela; Seaton, Daniel B.; Long, David; Guo, Jingnan; Vršnak, Bojan; Harra, Louise; Kliem, Bernhard Bibcode: 2018ApJ...868..107V Altcode: 2018arXiv181009320V The X8.2 event of 2017 September 10 provides unique observations to study the genesis, magnetic morphology, and impulsive dynamics of a very fast coronal mass ejection (CME). Combining GOES-16/SUVI and SDO/AIA EUV imagery, we identify a hot (T ≈ 10-15 MK) bright rim around a quickly expanding cavity, embedded inside a much larger CME shell (T ≈ 1-2 MK). The CME shell develops from a dense set of large AR loops (≳0.5R s ) and seamlessly evolves into the CME front observed in LASCO C2. The strong lateral overexpansion of the CME shell acts as a piston initiating the fast EUV wave. The hot cavity rim is demonstrated to be a manifestation of the dominantly poloidal flux and frozen-in plasma added to the rising flux rope by magnetic reconnection in the current sheet beneath. The same structure is later observed as the core of the white-light CME, challenging the traditional interpretation of the CME three-part morphology. The large amount of added magnetic flux suggested by these observations explains the extreme accelerations of the radial and lateral expansion of the CME shell and cavity, all reaching values of 5-10 km s-2. The acceleration peaks occur simultaneously with the first RHESSI 100-300 keV hard X-ray burst of the associated flare, further underlining the importance of the reconnection process for the impulsive CME evolution. Finally, the much higher radial propagation speed of the flux rope in relation to the CME shell causes a distinct deformation of the white-light CME front and shock. Title: Evolution of flux rope, CME and associated EUV wave in the 10-Sep-2018 X8.2 event Authors: Podladchikova, Tatiana; Veronig, Astrid M.; Dissauer, Karin; Temmer, Manuela; Seaton, Daniel B.; Long, David; Guo, Jingnan; Vršnak, Bojan; Harra, Louise; Kliem, Bernhard Bibcode: 2018csc..confE..38P Altcode: We combine the high-cadence and large field-of-view EUV imagery of the Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (AIA) onboard SDO and the Solar Ultraviolet Imager (SUVI) onboard GOES-16 to study the origin and impulsive evolution of the fast CME that originated in the September 10th 2017 X8.2 event as well as the initiation of the associated EUV wave. In the LASCO field-of-view, the CME reveals speeds >3000 km/s. In the low-to-mid corona, it shows a distinct bubble in the EUV imagery that reveals a significant lateral overexpansion. In addition, is also shows a distinct expanding cavity that is interpreted as manifestation of the flux rope driving the eruption. We present a method to automatically identify and segment the CME bubble in SUVI images and to derive its radial and lateral evolution up to about 2 solar radii, in terms of velocity and acceleration. These measurements are set into context with the evolution of the embedded flux rope/cavity observed by AIA. The observations show clear signatures of new poloidal flux added to the flux rope by magnetic reconnection in the current sheet beneath the eruptive structure, which is important for the high accelerations observed in this event. The radial propagation of the CME shell revealed a peak value of the acceleration of about 5.3 km/s2, whereas the lateral expansion reached a peak value of 10.1 km/s2, which is the largest value reported so far. The flux rope/cavity reveals a radial acceleration of 6.7 km/s2 and lateral acceleration of 5.3 km/s2. We note that at this early evolution phase, the speed of the cavity/flux rope is higher than that of the CME bubble (front). The EUV wave associated with this eruption was observed by AIA, SUVI and STEREO-A EUVI, which had a separation angle with Earth of 128°, and the common field of view of the spacecraft was 52°. AIA and SUVI images above the solar limb reveal the initiation of the EUV wave by the accelerating flanks of the CME bubble, followed by detachment and propagation of the wave with a speed of 1100 km/s. The EUV wave shows a global propagation over the full hemisphere visible to Earth view as well as into the STEREO-A field-of-view. We study the propagation and kinematics of the direct as well as the various reflected and refracted EUV wave components on the solar sphere, finding speeds in the range from 370 to 1010 km/s. Finally, we note that this EUV wave is also distinct as it reveals propagation and transmission through the polar coronal holes. Title: Photospheric and chromospheric observations with solar telescope at Hvar Observatory Authors: Calogovic, J.; Brajsa, Roman; Vrsnak, Bojan; Dumbovic, Mateja; Skokic, Ivica Bibcode: 2018cosp...42E.496C Altcode: The double solar telescope at the Hvar Observatory consists of two Carl Zeiss refractors, one with 217 mm objective diameter used for photospheric observations and the second one with 130 mm objective used for chromospheric observations. Hvar solar telescope aims to produce the high-resolution and high-cadence imaging of active regions on the Sun using a field of view of about 11 arcmin for the photosphere and 7 arcmin for the chromosphere. The modern Pulnix TM-4200GE 12-bit 4 megapixel CCD cameras recording seven frames per second together with the software that automatically selects the sharpest frames allow to study the rapid changes on the Sun in great detail. High-cadence ground-based observations are an important tool to identify and study solar flares, filaments and other solar phenomena that are associated with coronal mass ejections and their propagation to the Earth. Aiming to improve the space weather forecasts using ground-based observations, we compiled the catalogue of Hvar solar telescope observations in the solar cycle 24. In addition, expansion of this catalogue in future will be used for comparison with ALMA-SSALMON observations. This work has been supported by the Croatian Science Foundation project 6212 "Solar and Stellar Variability" (SOLSTEL). Title: The possible impact of solar activity on extratropical cyclone activity Authors: Calogovic, J.; Vrsnak, Bojan; Dumbovic, Mateja; Rieder, Harald Bibcode: 2018cosp...42E.497C Altcode: The mechanism based on the global electric circuit (GEC) flowing vertically from the ionosphere to the Earth's surface could potentially provide the link between the solar modulated energetic particles and Earth's weather and climate. Cosmic ray induced atmospheric ionization modulates the vertical current density (Jz) and introduces the changes in GEC that could alter the microphysical properties of the clouds (Tinsley, 2008). Due to the complexity and scale of the GEC and its feedbacks, possible implications and importance of this mechanism are still mostly unknown. One of the possible feedbacks to GEC alteration could be the proces of storm invigoration and occurrence of extratropical cyclones. Using 6-hourly sea level pressure (SLP) fields from the ERA-Interim data, extratropical cyclones are identified by tracking their low-pressure centers. Daily timescale epoch-superpositional (composite) analysis is performed to analyze the occurrence of extratropical cyclones during the biggest Forbush decrease events in the last three solar cycles. Since autocorrelations are the common feature of geophysical data, to test the significance of results we use robust Monte Carlo significance testing. This work has been supported by the Croatian Science Foundation project 6212 "Solar and Stellar Variability" (SOLSTEL). Title: Forbush decrease model for expanding CMEs (ForbMod) Authors: Dumbovic, Mateja; Möstl, Christian; Guo, Jingnan; Heber, Bernd; Vrsnak, Bojan; Temmer, Manuela Bibcode: 2018cosp...42E.917D Altcode: Forbush decreases (FDs) can be used as one of the "signatures" of an ICME passage. An analytical diffusion-expansion FD model (ForbMod) was developed that is based on the widely used approach of an initially empty, closed magnetic structure (i.e. flux rope) that fills up slowly with particles by diffusion perpendicular to the magnetic field of the flux rope. In our approach the FD amplitude is not only determined by the diffusion process but also by the expansion of the flux rope. While the first process leads to a smaller amplitude the second one leads again to a larger effect. Remote CME observations and 3D reconstruction is used to constrain initial and boundary conditions. CME evolutionary properties are taken into account by incorporating the flux rope expansion. Several options of flux rope expansion are regarded as competing mechanism to diffusion, which can lead to different FD characteristics, and forward modelling is used to analyse flux rope expansion and further constrain the model. In testing the model, a number of spacecraft and planetary observation is utilised, including those by the Radiation Assessment Detector aboard the Mars Rover Curiosity. This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Sk_odowska-Curie grant agreement No 745782. Title: Type II solar radio burst band-splitting: Measure of coronal magnetic field strength Authors: Mahrous, Ayman; Alielden, Khaled; Vršnak, Bojan; Youssef, Mohamed Bibcode: 2018JASTP.172...75M Altcode: Studies of the relationship between solar radio bursts and CMEs are essential for understanding of the nature of type II bursts. In this study, we examine the type II solar radio burst recorded on 16 March 2016 by the Learmonth radio spectrograph and compare its characteristics with the kinematics of the associated CMEs observed by STEREO and SOHO spacecraft. The burst showed a well-defined band-split, which was used to estimate the magnetic field strength in the solar corona. The magnetic field decreases from ≈ 4 G at R ≈ 2.6 R to 0.62 G at R ≈ 3.77 R depending on the coronal electron density model employed. We found that two CMEs occurred successively in a 4-h interval. During this interval, a type II radio burst occurred, lasting for about 10 min. Tracking of the shock that produced type II burst and comparison with the CMEs heights as observed by STEREO and SOHO spacecraft help us to deduce the driver of the shock. According to the analysis, the type II burst occurrence was associated with the interaction of the shock driven by the second CME with a streamer located south of the first CME, since that the type II band-split significantly increased during the shock-streamer interaction. Our results show that the analysis of the type II burst band-split supplemented by the coronagraphic observations of the corona is an important tool for the understanding of the coronal eruptive processes. Title: Drag-based ensemble model (DBEM) Authors: Dumbovic, Mateja; Möstl, Christian; Mays, M. Leila; Vrsnak, Bojan; Veronig, Astrid; Salogovic, Jara; Piantschitsch, Isabell; Amerstorfer, Tanja; Temmer, Manuela; Sudar, Davor Bibcode: 2018cosp...42E.918D Altcode: The drag-based model (DBM) for heliospheric propagation of ICMEs is a widely used simple analytical model which can predict ICME arrival time and speed at a given heliospheric distance (Vr_nak et al., 2013, SolPhys). It is based on the assumption that the heliospheric propagation of ICMEs, is solely under the influence of MHD drag, where ICME propagation is determined based on CME properties as well as the properties of the ambient solar wind. The current version of the DBM is operational as part of ESA's SSA programme (http://swe.ssa.esa.int/web/guest/graz-dbm-federated). The DBM takes into account the ICME geometry to track the whole leading edge of an ICME, it can estimate whether or not an ICME will reach the observer and calculate the transit time and impact speed. To estimate the uncertainty for a single event, Drag-Based Ensemble Model (DBEM) was developed (Dumbovic et al., 2018, ApJ) which utilizes an ensemble of the observation-based CME input and synthetic values of the ambient solar wind speed and drag parameter. Using multiple runs with different input parameters, distributions of predicted arrival times and speeds are obtained allowing to forecast the confidence in the likelihood of the ICME arrival. The DBEM was further developed to an on-line application to provide the real-time CME forecast, which is currently in a test phase, and will soon be a part of ESA-SSA Heliospheric Weather Expert Service Group (http://swe.ssa.esa.int/heliospheric-weather). We test the model and the on-line application using observations and compare the performance with other CME propagation models. Title: An Analytical Diffusion-Expansion Model for Forbush Decreases Caused by Flux Ropes Authors: Dumbović, Mateja; Heber, Bernd; Vršnak, Bojan; Temmer, Manuela; Kirin, Anamarija Bibcode: 2018ApJ...860...71D Altcode: 2018arXiv180500916D We present an analytical diffusion-expansion Forbush decrease (FD) model ForbMod, which is based on the widely used approach of an initially empty, closed magnetic structure (i.e., flux rope) that fills up slowly with particles by perpendicular diffusion. The model is restricted to explaining only the depression caused by the magnetic structure of the interplanetary coronal mass ejection (ICME). We use remote CME observations and a 3D reconstruction method (the graduated cylindrical shell method) to constrain initial boundary conditions of the FD model and take into account CME evolutionary properties by incorporating flux rope expansion. Several flux rope expansion modes are considered, which can lead to different FD characteristics. In general, the model is qualitatively in agreement with observations, whereas quantitative agreement depends on the diffusion coefficient and the expansion properties (interplay of the diffusion and expansion). A case study was performed to explain the FD observed on 2014 May 30. The observed FD was fitted quite well by ForbMod for all expansion modes using only the diffusion coefficient as a free parameter, where the diffusion parameter was found to correspond to an expected range of values. Our study shows that, in general, the model is able to explain the global properties of an FD caused by a flux rope and can thus be used to help understand the underlying physics in case studies. Title: Numerical Simulation of Coronal Waves Interacting with Coronal Holes. III. Dependence on Initial Amplitude of the Incoming Wave Authors: Piantschitsch, Isabell; Vršnak, Bojan; Hanslmeier, Arnold; Lemmerer, Birgit; Veronig, Astrid; Hernandez-Perez, Aaron; Čalogović, Jaša Bibcode: 2018ApJ...860...24P Altcode: 2018arXiv181112735P We performed 2.5D magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulations showing the propagation of fast-mode MHD waves of different initial amplitudes and their interaction with a coronal hole (CH), using our newly developed numerical code. We find that this interaction results in, first, the formation of reflected, traversing, and transmitted waves (collectively, secondary waves) and, second, in the appearance of stationary features at the CH boundary. Moreover, we observe a density depletion that is moving in the opposite direction of the incoming wave. We find a correlation between the initial amplitude of the incoming wave and the amplitudes of the secondary waves as well as the peak values of the stationary features. Additionally, we compare the phase speed of the secondary waves and the lifetime of the stationary features to observations. Both effects obtained in the simulation, the evolution of secondary waves, as well as the formation of stationary fronts at the CH boundary, strongly support the theory that coronal waves are fast-mode MHD waves. Title: Using Forbush decreases to derive the transit time of ICMEs propagating from 1 AU to Mars Authors: von Forstner, Johan; Guo, Jingnan; Wimmer-Schweingruber, Robert F.; Hassler, Donald M.; Temmer, Manuela; Dumbović, Mateja; Jian, Lan K.; Appel, Jan K.; Čalogović, Jaša; Ehresmann, Bent; Heber, Bernd; Lohf, Henning; Posner, Arik; Vršnak, Bojan; Zeitlin, Cary J. Bibcode: 2018EGUGA..20.9306V Altcode: The propagation of 15 interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) from Earth's orbit (1 AU) to Mars (∼1.5 AU) has been studied with their propagation speed estimated from both measurements and simulations. The enhancement of magnetic fields related to ICMEs and their shock fronts cause the so-called Forbush decrease, which can be detected as a reduction of galactic cosmic ray (GCR) intensity measured on-ground or on a spacecraft. This effect can be used to detect the passage of ICMEs at various locations in the heliosphere, for example at Earth (using neutron monitors), the STEREO A and B spacecraft (HET) as well the on the surface of Mars using the Radiation Assessment Detector (RAD) instrument on the Mars Science Laboratory (MSL) rover. A set of ICME events has been selected during the periods when Earth (or STEREO A or B) and Mars locations were nearly aligned on the same side of the Sun in the ecliptic plane (so-called opposition phase). Such lineups allow us to estimate the ICMEs' transit times between 1 and 1.5 AU by determining the time delay between the corresponding Forbush decreases measured at each location. We investigate the evolution of the ICME propagation speeds before and after passing Earth's orbit and find that their deceleration due to interaction with the ambient solar wind may continue beyond 1 AU. We also find a substantial variance of the speed evolution among different events revealing the dynamic and diverse nature of eruptive solar events. Furthermore, the results are compared to simulation data obtained from two CME propagation models, namely the Drag-Based Model and ENLIL plus cone model. Title: Forbush decrease model for expanding CMEs (ForbMod) Authors: Dumbovic, Mateja; Temmer, Manuela; Guo, Jingnan; Heber, Bernd; Möstl, Christian; Vrsnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2018EGUGA..2015396D Altcode: The Project ForbMod aims to unravel how galactic cosmic rays are influenced by solar storms in the inner solar system (Sun to Mars) by developing a new model and utilizing a number of spacecraft and planetary observation, including those by the Radiation Assessment Detector aboard the Mars Rover Curiosity. The project focuses on Forbush decreases (FDs) in the galactic cosmic ray flux, which can be used as one of the "signatures" of an ICME passage. An analytical diffusion-expansion FD model was developed that is based on the widely used approach of an initially empty, closed magnetic structure (i.e. flux rope) that fills up slowly with particles by perpendicular diffusion. Remote CME observations and 3D reconstruction is used to constrain initial and boundary conditions. CME evolutionary properties are taken into account by incorporating the flux rope expansion. Several options of flux rope expansion are regarded as competing mechanism to diffusion, which can lead to different FD characteristics. This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement No 745782. Title: Numerical Simulation of Coronal Waves Interacting with Coronal Holes. II. Dependence on Alfvén Speed Inside the Coronal Hole Authors: Piantschitsch, Isabell; Vršnak, Bojan; Hanslmeier, Arnold; Lemmerer, Birgit; Veronig, Astrid; Hernandez-Perez, Aaron; Čalogović, Jaša Bibcode: 2018ApJ...857..130P Altcode: 2018arXiv181112726P We used our newly developed magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) code to perform 2.5D simulations of a fast-mode MHD wave interacting with coronal holes (CHs) of varying Alfvén speed that result from assuming different CH densities. We find that this interaction leads to effects like reflection, transmission, stationary fronts at the CH boundary, and the formation of a density depletion that moves in the opposite direction to the incoming wave. We compare these effects with regard to the different CH densities and present a comprehensive analysis of morphology and kinematics of the associated secondary waves. We find that the density value inside the CH influences the phase speed and the amplitude values of density and magnetic field for all different secondary waves. Moreover, we observe a correlation between the CH density and the peak values of the stationary fronts at the CH boundary. The findings of reflection and transmission on the one hand and the formation of stationary fronts caused by the interaction of MHD waves with CHs on the other hand strongly support the theory that large-scale disturbances in the corona are fast-mode MHD waves. Title: The Dependence of the Peak Velocity of High-Speed Solar Wind Streams as Measured in the Ecliptic by ACE and the STEREO satellites on the Area and Co-latitude of Their Solar Source Coronal Holes Authors: Hofmeister, Stefan J.; Veronig, Astrid; Temmer, Manuela; Vennerstrom, Susanne; Heber, Bernd; Vršnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2018JGRA..123.1738H Altcode: 2018arXiv180409579H We study the properties of 115 coronal holes in the time range from August 2010 to March 2017, the peak velocities of the corresponding high-speed streams as measured in the ecliptic at 1 AU, and the corresponding changes of the Kp index as marker of their geoeffectiveness. We find that the peak velocities of high-speed streams depend strongly on both the areas and the co-latitudes of their solar source coronal holes with regard to the heliospheric latitude of the satellites. Therefore, the co-latitude of their source coronal hole is an important parameter for the prediction of the high-speed stream properties near the Earth. We derive the largest solar wind peak velocities normalized to the coronal hole areas for coronal holes located near the solar equator and that they linearly decrease with increasing latitudes of the coronal holes. For coronal holes located at latitudes ≳60°, they turn statistically to zero, indicating that the associated high-speed streams have a high chance to miss the Earth. Similarly, the Kp index per coronal hole area is highest for the coronal holes located near the solar equator and strongly decreases with increasing latitudes of the coronal holes. We interpret these results as an effect of the three-dimensional propagation of high-speed streams in the heliosphere; that is, high-speed streams arising from coronal holes near the solar equator propagate in direction toward and directly hit the Earth, whereas solar wind streams arising from coronal holes at higher solar latitudes only graze or even miss the Earth. Title: The Origin, Early Evolution and Predictability of Solar Eruptions Authors: Green, Lucie M.; Török, Tibor; Vršnak, Bojan; Manchester, Ward; Veronig, Astrid Bibcode: 2018SSRv..214...46G Altcode: 2018arXiv180104608G Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were discovered in the early 1970s when space-borne coronagraphs revealed that eruptions of plasma are ejected from the Sun. Today, it is known that the Sun produces eruptive flares, filament eruptions, coronal mass ejections and failed eruptions; all thought to be due to a release of energy stored in the coronal magnetic field during its drastic reconfiguration. This review discusses the observations and physical mechanisms behind this eruptive activity, with a view to making an assessment of the current capability of forecasting these events for space weather risk and impact mitigation. Whilst a wealth of observations exist, and detailed models have been developed, there still exists a need to draw these approaches together. In particular more realistic models are encouraged in order to asses the full range of complexity of the solar atmosphere and the criteria for which an eruption is formed. From the observational side, a more detailed understanding of the role of photospheric flows and reconnection is needed in order to identify the evolutionary path that ultimately means a magnetic structure will erupt. Title: The Drag-based Ensemble Model (DBEM) for Coronal Mass Ejection Propagation Authors: Dumbović, Mateja; Čalogović, Jaša; Vršnak, Bojan; Temmer, Manuela; Mays, M. Leila; Veronig, Astrid; Piantschitsch, Isabell Bibcode: 2018ApJ...854..180D Altcode: 2018arXiv180107473D The drag-based model for heliospheric propagation of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is a widely used analytical model that can predict CME arrival time and speed at a given heliospheric location. It is based on the assumption that the propagation of CMEs in interplanetary space is solely under the influence of magnetohydrodynamical drag, where CME propagation is determined based on CME initial properties as well as the properties of the ambient solar wind. We present an upgraded version, the drag-based ensemble model (DBEM), that covers ensemble modeling to produce a distribution of possible ICME arrival times and speeds. Multiple runs using uncertainty ranges for the input values can be performed in almost real-time, within a few minutes. This allows us to define the most likely ICME arrival times and speeds, quantify prediction uncertainties, and determine forecast confidence. The performance of the DBEM is evaluated and compared to that of ensemble WSA-ENLIL+Cone model (ENLIL) using the same sample of events. It is found that the mean error is ME = -9.7 hr, mean absolute error MAE = 14.3 hr, and root mean square error RMSE = 16.7 hr, which is somewhat higher than, but comparable to ENLIL errors (ME = -6.1 hr, MAE = 12.8 hr and RMSE = 14.4 hr). Overall, DBEM and ENLIL show a similar performance. Furthermore, we find that in both models fast CMEs are predicted to arrive earlier than observed, most likely owing to the physical limitations of models, but possibly also related to an overestimation of the CME initial speed for fast CMEs. Title: Properties and relationship between solar eruptive flares and Coronal Mass Ejections during rising phase of Solar Cycles 23 and 24 Authors: Syed Ibrahim, M.; Shanmugaraju, A.; Moon, Y. -J.; Vrsnak, B.; Umapathy, S. Bibcode: 2018AdSpR..61..540S Altcode: Statistical relationship between major flares and the associated CMEs during rising phases of Solar Cycles 23 and 24 are studied. Totally more than 6000 and 10,000 CMEs were observed by SOHO/LASCO (Solar and Heliospheric Observatory/Large Angle Spectrometric Coronagraph) during 23rd [May 1996-June 2002] and 24th [December 2008-December 2014] solar cycles, respectively. In particular, we studied the relationship between properties of flares and CMEs using the limb events (longitude 70-85°) to avoid projection effects of CMEs and partial occultation of flares that occurred near 90°. After selecting a sample of limb flares, we used certain spatial and temporal constraints to find the flare-CME pairs. Using these constraints, we compiled 129 events in Solar Cycle 23 and 92 events in Solar Cycle 24. We compared the flare-CME relationship in the two solar cycles and no significant differences are found between the two cycles. We only found out that the CME mean width was slightly larger and the CME mean acceleration was slightly higher in cycle 24, and that there was somewhat a better relation between flare flux and CME deceleration in cycle 24 than in cycle 23. Title: Using Forbush Decreases to Derive the Transit Time of ICMEs Propagating from 1 AU to Mars Authors: Freiherr von Forstner, Johan L.; Guo, Jingnan; Wimmer-Schweingruber, Robert F.; Hassler, Donald M.; Temmer, Manuela; Dumbović, Mateja; Jian, Lan K.; Appel, Jan K.; Čalogović, Jaša.; Ehresmann, Bent; Heber, Bernd; Lohf, Henning; Posner, Arik; Steigies, Christian T.; Vršnak, Bojan; Zeitlin, Cary J. Bibcode: 2018JGRA..123...39F Altcode: 2017arXiv171207301V The propagation of 15 interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) from Earth's orbit (1 AU) to Mars (∼1.5 AU) has been studied with their propagation speed estimated from both measurements and simulations. The enhancement of magnetic fields related to ICMEs and their shock fronts causes the so-called Forbush decrease, which can be detected as a reduction of galactic cosmic rays measured on ground. We have used galactic cosmic ray (GCR) data from in situ measurements at Earth, from both STEREO A and STEREO B as well as GCR measurements by the Radiation Assessment Detector (RAD) instrument on board Mars Science Laboratory on the surface of Mars. A set of ICME events has been selected during the periods when Earth (or STEREO A or STEREO B) and Mars locations were nearly aligned on the same side of the Sun in the ecliptic plane (so-called opposition phase). Such lineups allow us to estimate the ICMEs' transit times between 1 and 1.5 AU by estimating the delay time of the corresponding Forbush decreases measured at each location. We investigate the evolution of their propagation speeds before and after passing Earth's orbit and find that the deceleration of ICMEs due to their interaction with the ambient solar wind may continue beyond 1 AU. We also find a substantial variance of the speed evolution among different events revealing the dynamic and diverse nature of eruptive solar events. Furthermore, the results are compared to simulation data obtained from two CME propagation models, namely the Drag-Based Model and ENLIL plus cone model. Title: CME volume calculation from 3D GCS reconstruction Authors: Holzknecht, L.; Temmer, M.; Dumbović, M.; Wellenzohn, S.; Krikova, K.; Heinemann, S. G.; Rodari, M.; Vršnak, B.; Veronig, A. M. Bibcode: 2018CEAB...42....3H Altcode: 2019arXiv190411418H The mass evolution of a coronal mass ejection (CME) is an important parameter characterizing the drag force acting on a CME as it propagates through interplanetary space. Spacecraft measure in-situ plasma densities of CMEs during crossing events, but for investigating the mass evolution, we also need to know the CME geometry, more specific, its volume. Having derived the CME volume and mass from remote sensing data using 3D reconstructed CME geometry, we can calculate the CME density and compare it with in-situ proton density measurements near Earth. From that we may draw important conclusions on a possible mass increase as the CME interacts with the ambient solar wind in the heliosphere. In this paper we will describe in detail the method for deriving the CME volume using the graduated cylindrical shell (GCS) model tep[][see \ref{fig:GCSModel}]{thernisien06,thernisien09}. We show that, assuming self-similar expansion, one can derive the volume of the CME from two GCS parameters and that it furthermore can be expressed as a function of distance. Title: Multi-spacecraft observations of ICMEs propagating beyond Earth orbit during MSL/RAD flight and surface phases Authors: von Forstner, J.; Guo, J.; Wimmer-Schweingruber, R. F.; Hassler, D.; Temmer, M.; Vrsnak, B.; Čalogović, J.; Dumbovic, M.; Lohf, H.; Appel, J. K.; Heber, B.; Steigies, C. T.; Zeitlin, C.; Ehresmann, B.; Jian, L. K.; Boehm, E.; Boettcher, S. I.; Burmeister, S.; Martin-Garcia, C.; Brinza, D. E.; Posner, A.; Reitz, G.; Matthiae, D.; Rafkin, S. C.; weigle, G., II; Cucinotta, F. Bibcode: 2017AGUFMSH53A2543V Altcode: The propagation of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) between Earth's orbit (1 AU) and Mars ( 1.5 AU) has been studied with their propagation speed estimated from both measurements and simulations. The enhancement of the magnetic fields related to ICMEs and their shock fronts cause so-called Forbush decreases, which can be detected as a reduction of galactic cosmic rays measured on-ground or on a spacecraft. We have used galactic cosmic ray (GCR) data from in-situ measurements at Earth, from both STEREO A and B as well as the GCR measurement by the Radiation Assessment Detector (RAD) instrument onboard Mars Science Laboratory (MSL) on the surface of Mars as well as during its flight to Mars in 2011-2012. A set of ICME events has been selected during the periods when Earth (or STEREO A or B) and MSL locations were nearly aligned on the same side of the Sun in the ecliptic plane (so-called opposition phase). Such lineups allow us to estimate the ICMEs' transit times between 1 AU and the MSL location by estimating the delay time of the corresponding Forbush decreases measured at each location. We investigate the evolution of their propagation speeds after passing Earth's orbit and find that the deceleration of ICMEs due to their interaction with the ambient solar wind continues beyond 1 AU. The results are compared to simulation data obtained from two CME propagation models, namely the Drag-Based Model (DBM) and the WSA-ENLIL plus cone model. Title: A Numerical Simulation of Coronal Waves Interacting with Coronal Holes. I. Basic Features Authors: Piantschitsch, Isabell; Vršnak, Bojan; Hanslmeier, Arnold; Lemmerer, Birgit; Veronig, Astrid; Hernandez-Perez, Aaron; Čalogović, Jaša; Žic, Tomislav Bibcode: 2017ApJ...850...88P Altcode: 2018arXiv181112073P We have developed a new numerical code that is able to perform 2.5D simulations of a magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) wave propagation in the corona, and its interaction with a low-density region, such as a coronal hole (CH). We show that the impact of the wave on the CH leads to different effects, such as reflection and transmission of the incoming wave, stationary features at the CH boundary, or formation of a density depletion. We present a comprehensive analysis of the morphology and kinematics of primary and secondary waves, I.e., we describe in detail the temporal evolution of density, magnetic field, plasma flow velocity, phase speed, and position of the wave amplitude. Effects like reflection, refraction, and transmission of the wave strongly support the theory that large-scale disturbances in the corona are fast MHD waves and distinguish that theory from the competing pseudo-wave theory. The formation of stationary bright fronts was one of the main reasons for the development of pseudo-waves. Here, we show that stationary bright fronts can be produced by interactions of an MHD wave with a CH. We find secondary waves that are traversing through the CH and we show that one part of these traversing waves leaves the CH again, while another part is being reflected at the CH boundary inside the CH. We observe a density depletion that is moving in the opposite direction of the primary wave propagation. We show that the primary wave pushes the CH boundary to the right, caused by the wave front exerting dynamic pressure on the CH. Title: The Physical Processes of CME/ICME Evolution Authors: Manchester, Ward; Kilpua, Emilia K. J.; Liu, Ying D.; Lugaz, Noé; Riley, Pete; Török, Tibor; Vršnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2017SSRv..212.1159M Altcode: 2017SSRv..tmp...90M As observed in Thomson-scattered white light, coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are manifest as large-scale expulsions of plasma magnetically driven from the corona in the most energetic eruptions from the Sun. It remains a tantalizing mystery as to how these erupting magnetic fields evolve to form the complex structures we observe in the solar wind at Earth. Here, we strive to provide a fresh perspective on the post-eruption and interplanetary evolution of CMEs, focusing on the physical processes that define the many complex interactions of the ejected plasma with its surroundings as it departs the corona and propagates through the heliosphere. We summarize the ways CMEs and their interplanetary CMEs (ICMEs) are rotated, reconfigured, deformed, deflected, decelerated and disguised during their journey through the solar wind. This study then leads to consideration of how structures originating in coronal eruptions can be connected to their far removed interplanetary counterparts. Given that ICMEs are the drivers of most geomagnetic storms (and the sole driver of extreme storms), this work provides a guide to the processes that must be considered in making space weather forecasts from remote observations of the corona. Title: Geomagnetic Effects of Corotating Interaction Regions Authors: Vršnak, Bojan; Dumbović, Mateja; Čalogović, Jaša; Verbanac, Giuliana; Poljančić Beljan, Ivana Bibcode: 2017SoPh..292..140V Altcode: We present an analysis of the geoeffectiveness of corotating interaction regions (CIRs), employing the data recorded from 25 January to 5 May 2005 and throughout 2008. These two intervals in the declining phase of Solar Cycle 23 are characterised by a particularly low number of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs). We study in detail how four geomagnetic-activity parameters (the Dst, Ap, and AE indices, as well as the Dst time derivative, dDst /d t ) are related to three CIR-related solar wind parameters (flow speed, V , magnetic field, B , and the convective electric field based on the southward Geocentric solar magnetospheric (GSM) magnetic field component, VBs) on a three-hour time resolution. In addition, we quantify statistical relationships between the mentioned geomagnetic indices. It is found that Dst is correlated best to V , with a correlation coefficient of cc ≈0.6 , whereas there is no correlation between dDst /d t and V . The Ap and AE indices attain peaks about half a day before the maximum of V , with correlation coefficients ranging from cc ≈0.6 to cc ≈0.7 , depending on the sample used. The best correlations of Ap and AE are found with VBs with a delay of 3 h, being characterised by cc ≳0.6 . The Dst derivative dDst /d t is also correlated with VBs, but the correlation is significantly weaker cc ≈0.4 - 0.5, with a delay of 0 - 3 h, depending on the employed sample. Such low values of correlation coefficients indicate that there are other significant effects that influence the relationship between the considered parameters. The correlation of all studied geomagnetic parameters with B are characterised by considerably lower correlation coefficients, ranging from cc =0.3 in the case of dDst /d t up to cc =0.56 in the case of Ap. It is also shown that peak values of geomagnetic indices depend on the duration of the CIR-related structures. The Dst is closely correlated with Ap and AE (cc =0.7 ), Dst being delayed for about 3 h. On the other hand, dDst /d t peaks simultaneously with Ap and AE, with correlation coefficients of 0.48 and 0.56, respectively. The highest correlation (cc =0.81 ) is found for the relationship between Ap and AE. Title: Validation of the CME Geomagnetic Forecast Alerts Under the COMESEP Alert System Authors: Dumbović, Mateja; Srivastava, Nandita; Rao, Yamini K.; Vršnak, Bojan; Devos, Andy; Rodriguez, Luciano Bibcode: 2017SoPh..292...96D Altcode: Under the European Union 7th Framework Programme (EU FP7) project Coronal Mass Ejections and Solar Energetic Particles (COMESEP, http://comesep.aeronomy.be), an automated space weather alert system has been developed to forecast solar energetic particles (SEP) and coronal mass ejection (CME) risk levels at Earth. The COMESEP alert system uses the automated detection tool called Computer Aided CME Tracking (CACTus) to detect potentially threatening CMEs, a drag-based model (DBM) to predict their arrival, and a CME geoeffectiveness tool (CGFT) to predict their geomagnetic impact. Whenever CACTus detects a halo or partial halo CME and issues an alert, the DBM calculates its arrival time at Earth and the CGFT calculates its geomagnetic risk level. The geomagnetic risk level is calculated based on an estimation of the CME arrival probability and its likely geoeffectiveness, as well as an estimate of the geomagnetic storm duration. We present the evaluation of the CME risk level forecast with the COMESEP alert system based on a study of geoeffective CMEs observed during 2014. The validation of the forecast tool is made by comparing the forecasts with observations. In addition, we test the success rate of the automatic forecasts (without human intervention) against the forecasts with human intervention using advanced versions of the DBM and CGFT (independent tools available at the Hvar Observatory website, http://oh.geof.unizg.hr). The results indicate that the success rate of the forecast in its current form is unacceptably low for a realistic operation system. Human intervention improves the forecast, but the false-alarm rate remains unacceptably high. We discuss these results and their implications for possible improvement of the COMESEP alert system. Title: Investigation on M-class Flare-Associated Coronal Mass Ejections with and Without DH Type II Radio Bursts Authors: Selvarani, G.; Shanmugaraju, A.; Vrsnak, Bojan; Lawrance, M. Bendict Bibcode: 2017SoPh..292...74S Altcode: We perform a statistical analysis on 157 M-class soft X-ray flares observed during 1997 - 2014 with and without deca-hectometric (DH) type II radio bursts aiming at the reasons for the non-occurrence of DH type II bursts in certain events. All the selected events are associated with halo Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) detected by the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) / Large Angle Spectrometric and COronograph (LASCO). Out of 157 events, 96 (61%; "Group I") events are associated with a DH type II burst observed by the Radio and Plasma Wave (WAVES) experiment onboard the Wind spacecraft and 61 (39%; "Group II") events occur without a DH type II burst. The mean CME speed of Group I is 1022 km/s and that of Group II is 647 km/s. It is also found that the properties of the selected M-class flares such as flare intensity, rise time, duration and decay time are greater for the DH associated flares than the non-DH flares. Group I has a slightly larger number (56%) of western events than eastern events (44%), whereas Group II has a larger number of eastern events (62%) than western events (38%). We also compare this analysis with the previous study by Lawrance, Shanmugaraju, and Vršnak (Solar Phys.290, 3365L, 2015) concerning X-class flares and confirm that high-intensity flares (X-class and M-class) have the same trend in the CME and flare properties. Additionally we consider aspects like acceleration and the possibility of CME-streamer interaction. The average deceleration of CMEs with DH type II bursts is weaker (a =−4.39 m/s2) than that of CMEs without a type II burst (a =−12.21 m/s2). We analyze the CME-streamer interactions for Group I events using the model proposed by Mancuso and Raymond (Astron. Astrophys.413, 363, 2004) and find that the interaction regions are the most probable source regions for DH type II radio bursts. Title: Validation of the CME Geomagnetic forecast alerts under COMESEP alert system Authors: Dumbovic, Mateja; Srivastava, Nandita; Khodia, Yamini; Vršnak, Bojan; Devos, Andy; Rodriguez, Luciano Bibcode: 2017EGUGA..1914917D Altcode: An automated space weather alert system has been developed under the EU FP7 project COMESEP (COronal Mass Ejections and Solar Energetic Particles: http://comesep.aeronomy.be) to forecast solar energetic particles (SEP) and coronal mass ejection (CME) risk levels at Earth. COMESEP alert system uses automated detection tool CACTus to detect potentially threatening CMEs, drag-based model (DBM) to predict their arrival and CME geo-effectiveness tool (CGFT) to predict their geomagnetic impact. Whenever CACTus detects a halo or partial halo CME and issues an alert, DBM calculates its arrival time at Earth and CGFT calculates its geomagnetic risk level. Geomagnetic risk level is calculated based on an estimation of the CME arrival probability and its likely geo-effectiveness, as well as an estimate of the geomagnetic-storm duration. We present the evaluation of the CME risk level forecast with COMESEP alert system based on a study of geo-effective CMEs observed during 2014. The validation of the forecast tool is done by comparing the forecasts with observations. In addition, we test the success rate of the automatic forecasts (without human intervention) against the forecasts with human intervention using advanced versions of DBM and CGFT (self standing tools available at Hvar Observatory website: http://oh.geof.unizg.hr). The results implicate that the success rate of the forecast is higher with human intervention and using more advanced tools. This work has received funding from the European Commission FP7 Project COMESEP (263252). We acknowledge the support of Croatian Science Foundation under the project 6212 „Solar and Stellar Variability". Title: Characteristics of Low-latitude Coronal Holes near the Maximum of Solar Cycle 24 Authors: Hofmeister, Stefan J.; Veronig, Astrid; Reiss, Martin A.; Temmer, Manuela; Vennerstrom, Susanne; Vršnak, Bojan; Heber, Bernd Bibcode: 2017ApJ...835..268H Altcode: 2017arXiv170202050H We investigate the statistics of 288 low-latitude coronal holes extracted from SDO/AIA-193 filtergrams over the time range of 2011 January 01-2013 December 31. We analyze the distribution of characteristic coronal hole properties, such as the areas, mean AIA-193 intensities, and mean magnetic field densities, the local distribution of the SDO/AIA-193 intensity and the magnetic field within the coronal holes, and the distribution of magnetic flux tubes in coronal holes. We find that the mean magnetic field density of all coronal holes under study is 3.0 ± 1.6 G, and the percentaged unbalanced magnetic flux is 49 ± 16%. The mean magnetic field density, the mean unsigned magnetic field density, and the percentaged unbalanced magnetic flux of coronal holes depend strongly pairwise on each other, with correlation coefficients cc > 0.92. Furthermore, we find that the unbalanced magnetic flux of the coronal holes is predominantly concentrated in magnetic flux tubes: 38% (81%) of the unbalanced magnetic flux of coronal holes arises from only 1% (10%) of the coronal hole area, clustered in magnetic flux tubes with field strengths >50 G (10 G). The average magnetic field density and the unbalanced magnetic flux derived from the magnetic flux tubes correlate with the mean magnetic field density and the unbalanced magnetic flux of the overall coronal hole (cc > 0.93). These findings give evidence that the overall magnetic characteristics of coronal holes are governed by the characteristics of the magnetic flux tubes. Title: Understanding the Physical Nature of Coronal "EIT Waves" Authors: Long, D. M.; Bloomfield, D. S.; Chen, P. F.; Downs, C.; Gallagher, P. T.; Kwon, R. -Y.; Vanninathan, K.; Veronig, A. M.; Vourlidas, A.; Vršnak, B.; Warmuth, A.; Žic, T. Bibcode: 2017SoPh..292....7L Altcode: 2016arXiv161105505L For almost 20 years the physical nature of globally propagating waves in the solar corona (commonly called "EIT waves") has been controversial and subject to debate. Additional theories have been proposed over the years to explain observations that did not agree with the originally proposed fast-mode wave interpretation. However, the incompatibility of observations made using the Extreme-ultraviolet Imaging Telescope (EIT) onboard the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory with the fast-mode wave interpretation was challenged by differing viewpoints from the twin Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory spacecraft and data with higher spatial and temporal resolution from the Solar Dynamics Observatory. In this article, we reexamine the theories proposed to explain EIT waves to identify measurable properties and behaviours that can be compared to current and future observations. Most of us conclude that the so-called EIT waves are best described as fast-mode large-amplitude waves or shocks that are initially driven by the impulsive expansion of an erupting coronal mass ejection in the low corona. Title: Solar eruptions: The CME-flare relationship Authors: Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2016AN....337.1002V Altcode: Coronal mass ejections (CMEs), caused by large-scale eruptions of the coronal magnetic field, often are accompanied by a more localized energy release in the form of flares, as a result of dissipative magnetic-field reconfiguration. Morphology and evolution of such flares, also denoted as dynamical flares are often explained as a consequence of reconnection of the arcade magnetic field, taking place below the erupting magnetic flux rope. A close relationship of the CME acceleration and the flare energy release is evidenced by various statistical correlations between parameters describing CMEs and flares, as well as by the synchronization of the CME acceleration phase with the impulsive phase of the associated flare. Such behavior implies that there must be a feedback relation between the dynamics of the CME and the flare-associated reconnection process. From the theoretical standpoint, magnetic reconnection affects the CME dynamics in several ways. First, it reduces the tension of the overlying arcade magnetic field and increases the magnetic pressure below the flux rope, and in this way enhances the CME acceleration. Furthermore, it supplies the poloidal magnetic flux to the flux rope, which helps sustaining the electric current in the rope and prolonging the action of the driving Lorentz force to large distances. The role of these processes, directly relating solar flares and CMEs, is illustrated by employing a simple model, where the erupting structure is represented by a curved flux rope anchored at both sides in the dense/inert photosphere, being subject to the kink and torus instability. It is shown that in most strongly accelerated ejections, where values on the order of 10 km s-2 are attained, the poloidal flux supplied to the erupting rope has to be several times larger than was the initial flux. Title: Understanding the Physical Nature of Coronal "EIT Waves" Authors: Long, D. M.; Bloomfield, D. S.; Chen, P. -F.; Downs, C.; Gallagher, P. T.; Kwon, R. -Y.; Vanninathan, K.; Veronig, A.; Vourlidas, A.; Vrsnak, B.; Warmuth, A.; Zic, T. Bibcode: 2016usc..confE..24L Altcode: For almost 20 years the physical nature of globally-propagating waves in the solar corona (commonly called "EIT waves") has been controversial and subject to debate. Additional theories have been proposed throughout the years to explain observations that did not fit with the originally proposed fast-mode wave interpretation. However, the incompatibility of observations made using the Extreme-ultraviolet Imaging Telescope (EIT) on the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory with the fast-mode wave interpretation have been challenged by differing viewpoints from the Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory spacecraft and higher spatial/temporal resolution data from the Solar Dynamics Observatory. In this paper, we reexamine the theories proposed to explain "EIT waves" to identify measurable properties and behaviours that can be compared to current and future observations. Most of us conclude that "EIT waves" are best described as fast-mode large-amplitude waves/shocks, which are initially driven by the impulsive expansion of an erupting coronal mass ejection in the low corona. Title: On the propagation of a geoeffective coronal mass ejection during 15-17 March 2015 Authors: Wang, Yuming; Zhang, Quanhao; Liu, Jiajia; Shen, Chenglong; Shen, Fang; Yang, Zicai; Zic, T.; Vrsnak, B.; Webb, D. F.; Liu, Rui; Wang, S.; Zhang, Jie; Hu, Qiang; Zhuang, Bin Bibcode: 2016JGRA..121.7423W Altcode: 2016arXiv160707750W The largest geomagnetic storm so far, called 2015 St. Patrick's Day event, in the solar cycle 24 was produced by a fast coronal mass ejection (CME) originating on 15 March 2015. It was an initially west-oriented CME and expected to only cause a weak geomagnetic disturbance. Why did this CME finally cause such a large geomagnetic storm? We try to find some clues by investigating its propagation from the Sun to 1 AU. First, we reconstruct the CME's kinematic properties in the corona from the SOHO and Solar Dynamics Observatory imaging data with the aid of the graduated cylindrical shell model. It is suggested that the CME propagated to the west ∼33°±10° away from the Sun-Earth line with a speed of about 817 km s-1 before leaving the field of view of the SOHO/Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph (LASCO) C3 camera. A magnetic cloud (MC) corresponding to this CME was measured in situ by the Wind spacecraft 2 days after the CME left LASCO's field of view. By applying two MC reconstruction methods, we infer the configuration of the MC as well as some kinematic information, which implies that the CME possibly experienced an eastward deflection on its way to 1 AU. However, due to the lack of observations from the STEREO spacecraft, the CME's kinematic evolution in interplanetary space is not clear. In order to fill this gap, we utilize numerical MHD simulation, drag-based CME propagation model (DBM) and the model for CME deflection in interplanetary space (DIPS) to recover the propagation process, especially the trajectory, of the CME from 30RS to 1 AU under the constraints of the derived CME's kinematics near the Sun and at 1 AU. It is suggested that the trajectory of the CME was deflected toward the Earth by about 12°, consistent with the implication from the MC reconstruction at 1 AU. This eastward deflection probably contributed to the CME's unexpected geoeffectiveness by pushing the center of the initially west-oriented CME closer to the Earth. Title: VizieR Online Data Catalog: Predicting coronal mass ejections transit times (Sudar+, 2016) Authors: Sudar, D.; Vrsnak, B.; Dumbovic, M. Bibcode: 2016yCat..74561542S Altcode: We compiled a list of 153 CMEs for which their ICME counterparts were detected and their TT to Earth was measured. We used only the events for which the CME source position could be determined. All CME-ICME pairings were taken from the catalogue provided by Richardson & Cane (2010, Sol. Phys., 264, 189).

(1 data file). Title: Detailed Analysis of Solar Data Related to Historical Extreme Geomagnetic Storms: 1868 - 2010 Authors: Lefèvre, Laure; Vennerstrøm, Susanne; Dumbović, Mateja; Vršnak, Bojan; Sudar, Davor; Arlt, Rainer; Clette, Frédéric; Crosby, Norma Bibcode: 2016SoPh..291.1483L Altcode: 2016SoPh..tmp...64L An analysis of historical Sun-Earth connection events in the context of the most extreme space weather events of the last ∼150 years is presented. To identify the key factors leading to these extreme events, a sample of the most important geomagnetic storms was selected based mainly on the well-known aa index and on geomagnetic parameters described in the accompanying paper (Vennerstrøm et al., Solar Phys. in this issue, 2016, hereafter Paper I). This part of the analysis focuses on associating and characterizing the active regions (sunspot groups) that are most likely linked to these major geomagnetic storms. Title: Extreme Geomagnetic Storms - 1868 - 2010 Authors: Vennerstrom, S.; Lefevre, L.; Dumbović, M.; Crosby, N.; Malandraki, O.; Patsou, I.; Clette, F.; Veronig, A.; Vršnak, B.; Leer, K.; Moretto, T. Bibcode: 2016SoPh..291.1447V Altcode: 2016SoPh..tmp...73V We present the first large statistical study of extreme geomagnetic storms based on historical data from the time period 1868 - 2010. This article is the first of two companion papers. Here we describe how the storms were selected and focus on their near-Earth characteristics. The second article presents our investigation of the corresponding solar events and their characteristics. The storms were selected based on their intensity in the aa index, which constitutes the longest existing continuous series of geomagnetic activity. They are analyzed statistically in the context of more well-known geomagnetic indices, such as the Kp and Dcx/Dst index. This reveals that neither Kp nor Dcx/Dst provide a comprehensive geomagnetic measure of the extreme storms. We rank the storms by including long series of single magnetic observatory data. The top storms on the rank list are the New York Railroad storm occurring in May 1921 and the Quebec storm from March 1989. We identify key characteristics of the storms by combining several different available data sources, lists of storm sudden commencements (SSCs) signifying occurrence of interplanetary shocks, solar wind in-situ measurements, neutron monitor data, and associated identifications of Forbush decreases as well as satellite measurements of energetic proton fluxes in the near-Earth space environment. From this we find, among other results, that the extreme storms are very strongly correlated with the occurrence of interplanetary shocks (91 - 100 %), Forbush decreases (100 %), and energetic solar proton events (70 %). A quantitative comparison of these associations relative to less intense storms is also presented. Most notably, we find that most often the extreme storms are characterized by a complexity that is associated with multiple, often interacting, solar wind disturbances and that they frequently occur when the geomagnetic activity is already elevated. We also investigate the semiannual variation in storm occurrence and confirm previous findings that geomagnetic storms tend to occur less frequently near solstices and that this tendency increases with storm intensity. However, we find that the semiannual variation depends on both the solar wind source and the storm level. Storms associated with weak SSC do not show any semiannual variation, in contrast to weak storms without SSC. Title: Forbush Decrease Prediction Based on Remote Solar Observations Authors: Dumbovic, Mateja; Vrsnak, Bojan; Calogovic, Jasa Bibcode: 2016EGUGA..18.6369D Altcode: We study the relation between remote observations of coronal mass ejections (CMEs), their associated solar flares and short-term depressions in the galactic cosmic-ray flux (so called Forbush decreases). Statistical relations between Forbush decrease magnitude and several CME/flare parameters are examined. In general we find that Forbush decrease magnitude is larger for faster CMEs with larger apparent width, which is associated with stronger flares that originate close to the center of the solar disk and are (possibly) involved in a CME-CME interaction. The statistical relations are quantified and employed to forecast expected Forbush decrease magnitude range based on the selected remote solar observations of the CME and associated solar flare. Several verification measures are used to evaluate the forecast method. We find that the forecast is most reliable in predicting whether or not a CME will produce a Forbush decrease with a magnitude >3 %. The main advantage of the method is that it provides an early prediction, 1-4 days in advance. Based on the presented research, an online forecast tool was developed (Forbush Decrease Forecast Tool, FDFT) available at Hvar Observatory web page: http://oh.geof.unizg.hr/FDFT/fdft.php. We acknowledge the support of Croatian Science Foundation under the project 6212 "Solar and Stellar Variability" and of European social fond under the project "PoKRet". Title: Forecasting the Arrival of Coronal Mass Ejections: The Drag-Based Model Authors: Vršnak, B.; Temmer, M.; Zic, T.; Dumbović, M.; Čalogović, J. Bibcode: 2016ASPC..504..209V Altcode: Arrival-time predictions based on the numerical "WSA-ENLIL+Cone model" and the analytical "Drag-based model" (DBM) are analyzed, employing a sample of 50 well observed CMEs. The best match between the two models is obtained if the background solar-wind speed of w = 400 km s-1 is applied in DBM. It is also demonstrated that both models show similar prediction accuracy. Title: Predicting coronal mass ejections transit times to Earth with neural network Authors: Sudar, D.; Vršnak, B.; Dumbović, M. Bibcode: 2016MNRAS.456.1542S Altcode: 2015arXiv151107620S Predicting transit times (TT) of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from their initial parameters is a very important subject, not only from the scientific perspective, but also because CMEs represent a hazard for human technology. We used a neural network (NN) to analyse TT for 153 events with only two input parameters: initial velocity of the CME, v, and central meridian distance, CMD, of its associated flare. We found that transit time dependence on v is showing a typical drag-like pattern in the solar wind. The results show that the speed at which acceleration by drag changes to deceleration is v ≈ 500 km s-1. TT are also found to be shorter for CMEs associated with flares on the western hemisphere than those originating on the eastern side of the Sun. We attribute this difference to the eastward deflection of CMEs on their path to 1 AU. The average error of the NN prediction in comparison to observations is ≈12 h which is comparable to other studies on the same subject. Title: Forbush Decrease Prediction Based on Remote Solar Observations Authors: Dumbović, M.; Vršnak, B.; Čalogović, J. Bibcode: 2016SoPh..291..285D Altcode: 2015SoPh..tmp..169D; 2015arXiv151003282D We employ remote observations of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and the associated solar flares to forecast the CME-related Forbush decreases, i.e. short-term depressions in the galactic cosmic-ray flux. The relation between the Forbush effect at Earth and remote observations of CMEs and associated solar flares is studied via a statistical analysis. Relations between Forbush decrease magnitude and several CME/flare parameters were found: the initial CME speed, apparent width, source position, associated solar-flare class, and the effect of successive-CME occurrence. Based on the statistical analysis, remote solar observations are employed to forecast a Forbush-decrease. For this purpose, an empirical probabilistic model is constructed that uses selected remote solar observations of the CME and associated solar flare as input and gives the expected Forbush-decrease magnitude range as output. The forecast method is evaluated using several verification measures, indicating that as the forecast tends to be more specific, it is less reliable, which is its main drawback. However, the advantages of the method are that it provides an early prediction and that the input does not necessarily depend on using a spacecraft. Title: Formation of Coronal Large-Amplitude Waves and the Chromospheric Response Authors: Vršnak, B.; Žic, T.; Lulić, S.; Temmer, M.; Veronig, A. M. Bibcode: 2016SoPh..291...89V Altcode: 2015SoPh..tmp..175V An in-depth analysis of numerical simulations is performed to obtain a deeper insight into the nature of various phenomena occurring in the solar atmosphere as a consequence of the eruption of unstable coronal structures. Although the simulations take into account only the most basic characteristics of a flux-rope eruption, the simulation analysis reveals important information on various eruption-related effects. It quantifies the relation between the eruption dynamics and the evolution of the large-amplitude coronal magnetohydrodynamic wave and the associated chromospheric downward-propagating perturbation. We show that the downward propagation of the chromospheric Moreton-wave disturbance can be approximated by a constant-amplitude switch-on shock that moves through a medium of rapidly decreasing Alfvén velocity. The presented analysis reveals the nature of secondary effects that are observed as coronal upflows, secondary shocks, various forms of wave-trains, delayed large-amplitude slow disturbances, transient coronal depletions, etc. We also show that the eruption can cause an observable Moreton wave and a secondary coronal front only if it is powerful enough and is preferably characterized by significant lateral expansion. In weaker eruptions, only the coronal and transition-region signatures of primary waves are expected to be observed. In powerful events, the primary wave moves at an Alfvén Mach number significantly larger than 1 and steepens into a shock that is due to the nonlinear evolution of the wavefront. After the eruption-driven phase, the perturbation evolves as a freely propagating simple wave, characterized by a significant deceleration, amplitude decrease, and wave-profile broadening. In weak events the coronal wave does not develop into a shock and propagates at a speed close to the ambient magnetosonic speed. Title: Flare-CME Models: An Observational Perspective (Invited Review) Authors: Schmieder, B.; Aulanier, G.; Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2015SoPh..290.3457S Altcode: 2015SoPh..tmp...64S Eruptions, flares, and coronal mass ejection (CMEs) are due to physical phenomena mainly driven by an initially force-free current-carrying magnetic field. We review some key observations relevant to the current theoretical trigger mechanisms of the eruption and to the energy release via reconnection. Sigmoids observed in X-rays and UV, as well as the pattern (double J-shaped) of electric currents in the photosphere show clear evidence of the existence of currents parallel to the magnetic field and can be the signature of a flux rope that is detectable in CMEs. The magnetic helicity of filaments and active regions is an interesting indirectly measurable parameter because it can quantify the twist of the flux rope. On the other hand, the magnetic helicity of the solar structures allows us to associate solar eruptions and magnetic clouds in the heliosphere. The magnetic topology analysis based on the 3D magnetic field extrapolated from vector magnetograms is a good tool for identifying the reconnection locations (null points and/or the 3D large volumes - hyperbolic flux tube, HFT). Flares are associated more with quasi-separatrix layers (QSLs) and HFTs than with a single null point, which is a relatively rare case. We review various mechanisms that have been proposed to trigger CMEs and their observable signatures: by "breaking" the field lines overlying the flux rope or by reconnection below the flux rope to reduce the magnetic tension, or by letting the flux rope to expand until it reaches a minimum threshold height (loss of equilibrium or torus instability). Additional mechanisms are commonly operating in the solar atmosphere. Examples of observations are presented throughout the article and are discussed in this framework. Title: Investigation of X-class Flare-Associated Coronal Mass Ejections with and without DH Type II Radio Bursts Authors: Lawrance, M. Bendict; Shanmugaraju, A.; Vršnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2015SoPh..290.3365L Altcode: 2015SoPh..tmp..163L A statistical analysis of 135 out of 141 X-class flares observed during 1997 - 2012 with and without deca-hectometric (DH) type II radio bursts has been performed. It was found that 79 events (X-class flares and coronal mass ejections - Group I) were associated with DH type II radio bursts and 62 X-class flare events were not. Out of these 62 events without DH type IIs, 56 events (Group II) have location information, and they were selected for this study. Of these 56 events, only 32 were associated with CMEs. Most of the DH-associated X-class events (∼79 % ) were halo CMEs, in contrast to 14 % in Group II. The average CME speed of the X-class flares associated with DH type IIs is 1555 km s−1, which is nearly twice that of the X-class flare-associated CMEs without DH event (744 km s−1). The X-class flares associated with DH radio bursts have a mean flare intensity (3.63 ×10−4Wm−2) that is 38 % greater than that of X-class flares without DH radio bursts (2.23 ×10−4Wm−2). In addition to the greater intensity, it is also found that the the duration and rise time of flares associated with DH radio emission (DH flares) is more than twice than that of the flares without DH radio emission. When the events were further divided into two categories with respect to their source locations in eastern and western regions, 65 % of the events in the radio-loud category (with DH radio bursts) are from the western hemisphere and the remaining 35 % are from the eastern hemisphere. On the other hand, in the radio-quiet category (without DH radio bursts), nearly 60 % of the events are from the eastern hemisphere in contrast to those of the radio-loud category. It is found that 81 % of the events from eastern regions have flare durations > 30 min in the DH-flare category, in contrast to a nearly equal number from the western side for flare durations longer/shorter than 30 min. Similarly, the eastern events in the DH-flare category have a longer average rise-time of 34 min, while the western events have an average flare rise-time of 26 min. On the other hand, the CME speed and flare strength are found to be nearly equal among east and west side events, except that both these parameters are greater for events with DH type IIs. Title: Division II: Commission 10: Solar Activity Authors: van Driel-Gesztelyi, Lidia; Scrijver, Karel J.; Klimchuk, James A.; Charbonneau, Paul; Fletcher, Lyndsay; Hasan, S. Sirajul; Hudson, Hugh S.; Kusano, Kanya; Mandrini, Cristina H.; Peter, Hardi; Vršnak, Bojan; Yan, Yihua Bibcode: 2015IAUTB..28..106V Altcode: The Business Meeting of Commission 10 was held as part of the Business Meeting of Division II (Sun and Heliosphere), chaired by Valentin Martínez-Pillet, the President of the Division. The President of Commission 10 (C10; Solar activity), Lidia van Driel-Gesztelyi, took the chair for the business meeting of C10. She summarised the activities of C10 over the triennium and the election of the incoming OC. Title: Heliospheric Propagation of Coronal Mass Ejections: Drag-based Model Fitting Authors: Žic, T.; Vršnak, B.; Temmer, M. Bibcode: 2015ApJS..218...32Z Altcode: 2015arXiv150608582Z The so-called drag-based model (DBM) simulates analytically the propagation of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in interplanetary space and allows the prediction of their arrival times and impact speeds at any point in the heliosphere (“target”). The DBM is based on the assumption that beyond a distance of about 20 solar radii from the Sun, the dominant force acting on CMEs is the “aerodynamic” drag force. In the standard form of DBM, the user provisionally chooses values for the model input parameters, by which the kinematics of the CME over the entire Sun-“target” distance range is defined. The choice of model input parameters is usually based on several previously undertaken statistical studies. In other words, the model is used by ad hoc implementation of statistics-based values of the input parameters, which are not necessarily appropriate for the CME under study. Furthermore, such a procedure lacks quantitative information on how well the simulation reproduces the coronagraphically observed kinematics of the CME, and thus does not provide an estimate of the reliability of the arrival prediction. In this paper we advance the DBM by adopting it in a form that employs the CME observations over a given distance range to evaluate the most suitable model input parameters for a given CME by means of least-squares fitting. Furthermore, the new version of the model automatically responds to any significant change of the conditions in the ambient medium (solar wind speed, density, CME-CME interactions, etc.) by changing the model input parameters according to changes in the CME kinematics. The advanced DBM is shaped in a form that can be readily employed in an operational system for real-time space-weather forecasting by promptly adjusting to a successively expanding observational data set, thus providing a successively improving prediction of the CME arrival. Title: Strong coronal channelling and interplanetary evolution of a solar storm up to Earth and Mars Authors: Möstl, Christian; Rollett, Tanja; Frahm, Rudy A.; Liu, Ying D.; Long, David M.; Colaninno, Robin C.; Reiss, Martin A.; Temmer, Manuela; Farrugia, Charles J.; Posner, Arik; Dumbović, Mateja; Janvier, Miho; Démoulin, Pascal; Boakes, Peter; Devos, Andy; Kraaikamp, Emil; Mays, Mona L.; Vršnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2015NatCo...6.7135M Altcode: 2015arXiv150602842M; 2015NatCo...6E7135M The severe geomagnetic effects of solar storms or coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are to a large degree determined by their propagation direction with respect to Earth. There is a lack of understanding of the processes that determine their non-radial propagation. Here we present a synthesis of data from seven different space missions of a fast CME, which originated in an active region near the disk centre and, hence, a significant geomagnetic impact was forecasted. However, the CME is demonstrated to be channelled during eruption into a direction +37+/-10° (longitude) away from its source region, leading only to minimal geomagnetic effects. In situ observations near Earth and Mars confirm the channelled CME motion, and are consistent with an ellipse shape of the CME-driven shock provided by the new Ellipse Evolution model, presented here. The results enhance our understanding of CME propagation and shape, which can help to improve space weather forecasts. Title: Real-Time Solar Wind Prediction Based on SDO/AIA Coronal Hole Data Authors: Rotter, T.; Veronig, A. M.; Temmer, M.; Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2015SoPh..290.1355R Altcode: 2015arXiv150106697R; 2015SoPh..tmp...37R We present an empirical model based on the visible area covered by coronal holes close to the central meridian with the aim to predict the solar wind speed at 1 AU with a lead time of up to four days in advance with a time resolution of one hour. Linear prediction functions are used to relate coronal hole areas to solar wind speed. The function parameters are automatically adapted by using the information from the previous three Carrington Rotations. Thus the algorithm automatically reacts to the changes of the solar wind speed during different phases of the solar cycle. The adaptive algorithm was applied to and tested on SDO/AIA-193 Å observations and ACE measurements during the years 2011 - 2013, covering 41 Carrington Rotations. The solar wind needs on average 4.02±0.5 days to reach Earth. The algorithm produces good predictions for the 156 solar wind high-speed streams peak amplitudes with correlation coefficients of cc≈0.60. For 80 % of the peaks, the predicted arrival matches the ACE in situ measurements within a time window of 0.5 days. The same algorithm, using linear predictions, was also applied to predict the magnetic field strength in wind streams originating from coronal hole areas, but it did not give reliable predictions (cc≈0.15). Title: Strong coronal deflection of a CME and its interplanetary evolution to Earth and Mars Authors: Möstl, Christian; Rollett, Tanja; Frahm, Rudy A.; Liu, Ying D.; Long, David M.; Colaninno, Robin C.; Reiss, Martin A.; Temmer, Manuela; Farrugia, Charles J.; Posner, Arik; Dumbovic, Mateja; Janvier, Miho; Demoulin, Pascal; Boakes, Peter; Devos, Andy; Kraaikamp, Emil; Mays, Mona L.; Vrsnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2015EGUGA..17.1366M Altcode: We discuss multipoint imaging and in situ observations of the coronal mass ejection (CME) on January 7 2014 which resulted in a major false alarm. While the source region was almost at disk center facing Earth, the eruption was strongly deflected in the corona, and in conjunction with its particular orientation this CME missed Earth almost entirely, leading to no significant geomagnetic effects. We demonstrate this by a synthesis of data from 7 different heliospheric and planetary space missions (STEREO-A/B, SOHO, SDO, Wind, Mars Express, Mars Science Laboratory). The CMEs ecliptic part was deflected by 37 ± 10° in heliospheric longitude, a value larger than previously thought. Multipoint in situ observations at Earth and Mars confirm the deflection, and are consistent with an elliptical interplanetary shock shape of aspect ratio 1.4 ± 0.4. We also discuss our new method, the Ellipse Evolution (ElEvo) model, which allows us to optimize the global shape of the CME shock with multipoint in situ observations of the interplanetary CME arrival. ElEvo, which is an extension to the Drag-Based-Model by Vrsnak et al., may also be used for real time space weather forecasting. The presented results enhance our understanding of CME deflection and shape, which are fundamental ingredients for improving space weather forecasts. Title: Geoeffectiveness of Coronal Mass Ejections in the SOHO Era Authors: Dumbović, M.; Devos, A.; Vršnak, B.; Sudar, D.; Rodriguez, L.; Ruždjak, D.; Leer, K.; Vennerstrøm, S.; Veronig, A. Bibcode: 2015SoPh..290..579D Altcode: 2014arXiv1410.3303D The main objective of the study is to determine the probability distributions of the geomagnetic Dst index as a function of the coronal mass ejection (CME) and solar flare parameters for the purpose of establishing a probabilistic forecast tool for the intensity of geomagnetic storms. We examined several CME and flare parameters as well as the effect of successive CME occurrence in changing the probability for a certain range of Dst index values. The results confirm some previously known relationships between remotely observed properties of solar eruptive events and geomagnetic storms: the importance of the initial CME speed, apparent width, source position, and the class of the associated solar flare. We quantify these relationships in a form that can be used for future space-weather forecasting. The results of the statistical study are employed to construct an empirical statistical model for predicting the probability of the geomagnetic storm intensity based on remote solar observations of CMEs and flares. Title: Initiation and Evolution of Global Coronal Waves Authors: Vršnak, B.; Muhr, N.; Žic, T.; Lulić, S.; Kienreich, I. W.; Temmer, M.; Veronig, A. M. Bibcode: 2015CEAB...39...65V Altcode: Some essential outcomes of a detailed analysis of the formation and evolution of the coronal EUV wave of 15 February 2011 are presented, focused on the relationship between the source region expansion, wave kinematics, and the evolution of the wave amplitude. The observations are explained in terms of the results of the numerical MHD simulations, providing new insights into the physical background of coronal waves, especially considering the nature of the relationship of the wave amplitude and propagation velocity in different phases of the wave evolution. Title: Forbush decreases associated to Stealth Coronal Mass Ejections Authors: Heber, B.; Wallmann, C.; Galsdorf, D.; Herbst K.; Kühl, P.; Dumbovic, M.; Vršnak, B.; Veronig, A.; Temmer, M.; Möstl, C.; Dalla, S. Bibcode: 2015CEAB...39...75H Altcode: Interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) are structures in the solar wind that are the counterparts of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) at the Sun. It is commonly believed that enhanced magnetic fields in interplanetary shocks and solar ejecta as well as the increased turbulence in the solar wind sheath region are the cause of Forbush decreases (FDs) representing decreases of galactic cosmic ray (GCR) intensities. Recently, stealth CMEs i.e.~CMEs with no apparent solar surface association have become a subject in recent studies of solar activity. Whether all of such stealth CMEs can drive a FD is difficult to investigate on the basis of neutron monitor NM measurements because these measurements not only reflect the GCR intensity variation in interplanetary space but also the variation of the geomagnetic field as well as the conditions in the Earth atmosphere. Single detector counter from spacecraft instrumentation, here SOHO and Chandra EPHIN, exceed counting statistic of NMs allowing to determine intensity variation of less than 1 permil in interplanetary space on the basis of 30 minute count rate averages. Here we present the ongoing analysis of eleven stealth CMEs. Title: Statistical Analysis of Large-Scale EUV Waves Observed by STEREO/EUVI Authors: Muhr, N.; Veronig, A. M.; Kienreich, I. W.; Vršnak, B.; Temmer, M.; Bein, B. M. Bibcode: 2014SoPh..289.4563M Altcode: 2014arXiv1408.2513M; 2014SoPh..tmp..126M We statistically analyzed the kinematical evolution and wave pulse characteristics of 60 strong large-scale EUV wave events that occurred during January 2007 to February 2011 with the STEREO twin spacecraft. For the start velocity, the arithmetic mean is 312±115 km s−1 (within a range of 100 - 630 km s−1). For the mean (linear) velocity, the arithmetic mean is 254±76 km s−1 (within a range of 130 - 470 km s−1). 52 % of all waves under study show a distinct deceleration during their propagation (a≤−50 m s−2), the other 48 % are consistent with a constant speed within the uncertainties (−50≤a≤50 m s−2). The start velocity and the acceleration are strongly anticorrelated with c≈−0.8, i.e. initially faster events undergo stronger deceleration than slower events. The (smooth) transition between constant propagation for slow events and deceleration in faster events occurs at an EUV wave start-velocity of v≈230 km s−1, which corresponds well to the fast-mode speed in the quiet corona. These findings provide strong evidence that the EUV waves under study are indeed large-amplitude fast-mode MHD waves. This interpretation is also supported by the correlations obtained between the peak velocity and the peak amplitude, impulsiveness, and build-up time of the disturbance. We obtained the following association rates of EUV wave events with other solar phenomena: 95 % are associated with a coronal mass ejection (CME), 74 % to a solar flare, 15 % to interplanetary type II bursts, and 22 % to coronal type II bursts. These findings are consistent with the interpretation that the associated CMEs are the driving agents of the EUV waves. Title: Interaction Between Two CMEs During 14 - 15 February 2011 and Their Unusual Radio Signature Authors: Shanmugaraju, A.; Prasanna Subramanian, S.; Vrsnak, Bojan; Ibrahim, M. Syed Bibcode: 2014SoPh..289.4621S Altcode: 2014SoPh..tmp..125S We report a detailed analysis of an interaction between two coronal mass ejections (CMEs) that were observed on 14 - 15 February 2011 and the corresponding radio enhancement, which was similar to the "CME cannibalism" reported by Gopalswamy et al. (Astrophys. J.548, L91, 2001). A primary CME, with a mean field-of-view velocity of 669 km s−1 in the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO)/Large Angle Spectrometric Coronagraph (LASCO), was more than as twice as fast as the slow CME preceding it (326 km s−1), which indicates that the two CMEs interacted. A radio-enhancement signature (in the frequency range 1 MHz - 400 kHz) due to the CME interaction was analyzed and interpreted using the CME data from LASCO and from the Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory (STEREO) HI-1, radio data from Wind/Radio and Plasma Wave Experiment (WAVES), and employing known electron-density models and kinematic modeling. The following results are obtained: i) The CME interaction occurred around 05:00 - 10:00 UT in a height range 20 - 25 R. An unusual radio signature is observed during the time of interaction in the Wind/WAVES dynamic radio spectrum. ii) The enhancement duration shows that the interaction segment might be wider than 5 R. iii) The shock height estimated using density models for the radio enhancement region is 10 - 30 R. iv) Using kinematic modeling and assuming a completely inelastic collision, the decrease of kinetic energy based on speeds from LASCO data is determined to be 0.77×1023 J, and 3.67×1023 J if speeds from STEREO data are considered. vi) The acceleration, momentum, and force are found to be a=−168 m s−2, I=6.1×1018 kg m s−1, and F=1.7×1015 N, respectively, using STEREO data. Title: Heliospheric Propagation of Coronal Mass Ejections: Comparison of Numerical WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model and Analytical Drag-based Model Authors: Vršnak, B.; Temmer, M.; Žic, T.; Taktakishvili, A.; Dumbović, M.; Möstl, C.; Veronig, A. M.; Mays, M. L.; Odstrčil, D. Bibcode: 2014ApJS..213...21V Altcode: Real-time forecasting of the arrival of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) at Earth, based on remote solar observations, is one of the central issues of space-weather research. In this paper, we compare arrival-time predictions calculated applying the numerical "WSA-ENLIL+Cone model" and the analytical "drag-based model" (DBM). Both models use coronagraphic observations of CMEs as input data, thus providing an early space-weather forecast two to four days before the arrival of the disturbance at the Earth, depending on the CME speed. It is shown that both methods give very similar results if the drag parameter Γ = 0.1 is used in DBM in combination with a background solar-wind speed of w = 400 km s-1. For this combination, the mean value of the difference between arrival times calculated by ENLIL and DBM is \overline{Δ }=0.09+/- 9.0 hr with an average of the absolute-value differences of \overline{\vert Δ \vert }=7.1 hr. Comparing the observed arrivals (O) with the calculated ones (C) for ENLIL gives O - C = -0.3 ± 16.9 hr and, analogously, O - C = +1.1 ± 19.1 hr for DBM. Applying Γ = 0.2 with w = 450 km s-1 in DBM, one finds O - C = -1.7 ± 18.3 hr, with an average of the absolute-value differences of 14.8 hr, which is similar to that for ENLIL, 14.1 hr. Finally, we demonstrate that the prediction accuracy significantly degrades with increasing solar activity. Title: Combined Multipoint Remote and in situ Observations of the Asymmetric Evolution of a Fast Solar Coronal Mass Ejection Authors: Rollett, T.; Möstl, C.; Temmer, M.; Frahm, R. A.; Davies, J. A.; Veronig, A. M.; Vršnak, B.; Amerstorfer, U. V.; Farrugia, C. J.; Žic, T.; Zhang, T. L. Bibcode: 2014ApJ...790L...6R Altcode: 2014arXiv1407.4687R We present an analysis of the fast coronal mass ejection (CME) of 2012 March 7, which was imaged by both STEREO spacecraft and observed in situ by MESSENGER, Venus Express, Wind, and Mars Express. Based on detected arrivals at four different positions in interplanetary space, it was possible to strongly constrain the kinematics and the shape of the ejection. Using the white-light heliospheric imagery from STEREO-A and B, we derived two different kinematical profiles for the CME by applying the novel constrained self-similar expansion method. In addition, we used a drag-based model to investigate the influence of the ambient solar wind on the CME's propagation. We found that two preceding CMEs heading in different directions disturbed the overall shape of the CME and influenced its propagation behavior. While the Venus-directed segment underwent a gradual deceleration (from ~2700 km s-1 at 15 R to ~1500 km s-1 at 154 R ), the Earth-directed part showed an abrupt retardation below 35 R (from ~1700 to ~900 km s-1). After that, it was propagating with a quasi-constant speed in the wake of a preceding event. Our results highlight the importance of studies concerning the unequal evolution of CMEs. Forecasting can only be improved if conditions in the solar wind are properly taken into account and if attention is also paid to large events preceding the one being studied. Title: Shock ahead ICMEs analyzed from in situ data Authors: Maricic, D.; Rosa, D.; Karlica, M.; Dumbovic, M.; Vrsnak, B.; Hrzina, D.; Romstajn, I. Bibcode: 2014simi.conf....7M Altcode: We analyzed solar wind disturbances recorded by WIND satellite which can be connected with corresponding ICMEs recorded in Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory (STEREO) data, in the period from 2008 to 2013. Detailed analysis of the in situ data reveals complex and different internal structures of the disturbances, where signatures of the initially independent ICMEs could be recognized. Separating the disturbances in different types, we focus on the disturbances in which we can analyze shock ahead the ICMEs. Correlations of the magnetic field strength, solar-wind speed, proton density and thermal velocity are presented. Finally, we employ the ground-based cosmic ray observations and Dst index, to investigate the connection between CME manifestations with the Forbush decrease (FD) and its influence on the Earth's magnetic field. The results presented provide a better understanding of the ICME morphology and reveal effects that should be taken into account in forecasting of the arrival of such compound structures. Title: Connecting Speeds, Directions and Arrival Times of 22 Coronal Mass Ejections from the Sun to 1 AU Authors: Möstl, C.; Amla, K.; Hall, J. R.; Liewer, P. C.; De Jong, E. M.; Colaninno, R. C.; Veronig, A. M.; Rollett, T.; Temmer, M.; Peinhart, V.; Davies, J. A.; Lugaz, N.; Liu, Y. D.; Farrugia, C. J.; Luhmann, J. G.; Vršnak, B.; Harrison, R. A.; Galvin, A. B. Bibcode: 2014ApJ...787..119M Altcode: 2014arXiv1404.3579M Forecasting the in situ properties of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from remote images is expected to strongly enhance predictions of space weather and is of general interest for studying the interaction of CMEs with planetary environments. We study the feasibility of using a single heliospheric imager (HI) instrument, imaging the solar wind density from the Sun to 1 AU, for connecting remote images to in situ observations of CMEs. We compare the predictions of speed and arrival time for 22 CMEs (in 2008-2012) to the corresponding interplanetary coronal mass ejection (ICME) parameters at in situ observatories (STEREO PLASTIC/IMPACT, Wind SWE/MFI). The list consists of front- and backsided, slow and fast CMEs (up to 2700 km s-1). We track the CMEs to 34.9 ± 7.1 deg elongation from the Sun with J maps constructed using the SATPLOT tool, resulting in prediction lead times of -26.4 ± 15.3 hr. The geometrical models we use assume different CME front shapes (fixed-Φ, harmonic mean, self-similar expansion) and constant CME speed and direction. We find no significant superiority in the predictive capability of any of the three methods. The absolute difference between predicted and observed ICME arrival times is 8.1 ± 6.3 hr (rms value of 10.9 hr). Speeds are consistent to within 284 ± 288 km s-1. Empirical corrections to the predictions enhance their performance for the arrival times to 6.1 ± 5.0 hr (rms value of 7.9 hr), and for the speeds to 53 ± 50 km s-1. These results are important for Solar Orbiter and a space weather mission positioned away from the Sun-Earth line. Title: Morphology of an ICME-event derived by Multi-point in Situ and Heliospheric Imaging Data Authors: Rollett, Tanja; Möstl, Christian; Temmer, Manuela; Veronig, Astrid M.; Frahm, Rudy A.; Davies, Jackie A.; Vrsnak, Bojan; Farrugia, Charles J.; Amerstorfer, Ute V. Bibcode: 2014EGUGA..1610892R Altcode: We show the analysis of an outstanding fast interplanetary coronal mass ejection (ICME) of 07 March 2012, which has been observed stereoscopically from both STEREO spacecraft. Assuming self-similar expansion and constant direction of motion we derive the kinematical profiles for the eastern and the western part of the roughly Earth-directed ICME. As additional constraints we use the huge advantage of in situ measurements at various locations during the ICME's propagation, namely from Venus Express, Messenger, Wind and Mars Express. We found that the eastern part of the ICME had a much higher propagation speed than its western part. Using the drag-based model, a model for the propagation of ICMEs in the inner heliosphere, we analyzed the influence of the drag on both sides of the ICME due to the surrounding solar wind conditions. These different solar wind conditions could have been the reason for the differing velocities and therefore for a distortion of the ICME front. These studies are fundamental in order to deepen the understanding of ICME evolution and to enhance existing forecasting methods. Title: Connecting speeds, directions and arrival times of 22 coronal mass ejections from the Sun to 1 AU Authors: Möstl, Christian; Amla, Keshav; Hall, Jeff R.; Liewer, Paulett C.; DeJong, Eric M.; Colaninno, Robin C.; Veronig, Astrid M.; Rollett, Tanja; Temmer, Manuela; Peinhart, Vanessa; Davies, Jackie A.; Lugaz, Noé; Liu, Ying; Farrugia, Charles J.; Luhmann, Janet G.; Vrsnak, Bojan; Harrison, Richard A.; Galvin, Antoinette B. Bibcode: 2014EGUGA..16.1755M Altcode: Forecasting in situ properties of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from remote images is expected to strongly enhance predictions of space weather, and is of general interest for studying the interaction of the solar wind with planetary environments. We study the feasibility of using a heliospheric imager (HI) instrument, which is able to image the solar wind density along the full Sun to 1 AU distance, for connecting remote images to in situ observations of CMEs. Such an instrument is currently in operation on each of the two STEREO spacecraft. We compare the predictions for speed and arrival time for 22 different CME events (between 2008-2012), each observed remotely by one STEREO spacecraft, to the interplanetary coronal mass ejection (ICME) speed and arrival time observed at in situ observatories (STEREO PLASTIC/IMPACT, Wind SWE/MFI). We use croissant modeling for STEREO/COR2, and with a single-spacecraft STEREO/HI instrument, we track each CME to 34.9 ± 7.1 degree elongation from the Sun with J-maps constructed with the SATPLOT tool. We then fit geometrical models to each track, assuming different CME front shapes (Fixed-Φ, Harmonic Mean, Self-Similar Expansion), and constant CME speed and direction. We find no significant preference in the predictive capability for any of the three geometrical modeling methods used on the full event list, consisting of front- and backsided, slow and fast CMEs (up to 2700 km s-1). The absolute difference between predicted and observed ICME arrival times is 8.1 ± 6.4 hours (rms value of 10.9h), and speeds are consistent within 284 ± 291 km s-1, including the geometric effects of CME apex or flank encounters. We derive new empirical corrections to the imaging results, enhancing the performance of the arrival time predictions to 6.1 ± 5.0 hours (rms value of 7.9h), and the speed predictions to 53 ± 50 km s-1, for this particular set of events. The prediction lead time is around 1 day (-26.4 ± 15.3h). CME directions given by the HI methods differ considerably, and biases are found on the order of 30-50 degree in heliospheric longitude, consistent with theoretical expectations. These results are of interest concerning future missions such as Solar Orbiter or a dedicated space weather mission positioned remotely from the Earth. Title: Asymmetry in the CME-CME Interaction Process for the Events from 2011 February 14-15 Authors: Temmer, M.; Veronig, A. M.; Peinhart, V.; Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2014ApJ...785...85T Altcode: 2014arXiv1402.6891T We present a detailed study of the interaction process of two coronal mass ejections (CMEs) successively launched on 2011 February 14 (CME1) and 2011 February 15 (CME2). Reconstructing the three-dimensional shape and evolution of the flux ropes, we verify that the two CMEs interact. The frontal structure of both CMEs, measured along different position angles (PAs) over the entire latitudinal extent, reveals differences in the kinematics for the interacting flanks and the apexes. The interaction process is strongly PA-dependent in terms of timing as well as kinematical evolution. The central interaction occurs along PA-100°, which shows the strongest changes in kinematics. During interaction, CME1 accelerates from ~400 km s-1 to ~700 km s-1 and CME2 decelerates from ~1300 km s-1 to ~600 km s-1. Our results indicate that a simplified scenario such as inelastic collision may not be sufficient to describe the CME-CME interaction. The magnetic field structures of the intertwining flux ropes and the momentum transfer due to shocks each play an important role in the interaction process. Title: Investigation of the Coronal Magnetic Field Using a Type II Solar Radio Burst Authors: Vasanth, V.; Umapathy, S.; Vršnak, Bojan; Žic, Tomislav; Prakash, O. Bibcode: 2014SoPh..289..251V Altcode: 2013arXiv1305.1760V The type II solar radio burst recorded on 13 June 2010 by the Hiraiso Solar Observatory Radio Spectrograph was employed to estimate the magnetic-field strength in the solar corona. The burst was characterized by a well-pronounced band splitting, which we used to estimate the density jump at the shock and Alfvén Mach number using the Rankine-Hugoniot relation. We convert the plasma frequency of the type II burst into height [R] in solar radii using an appropriate density model, and then we estimated the shock speed [Vs], coronal Alfvén velocity [VA], and the magnetic-field strength at different heights. The relative bandwidth of the band splitting was found to be in the range 0.2 - 0.25, corresponding to a density jump of X=1.44 - 1.56, and an Alfvén Mach number of MA=1.35 - 1.45. The inferred mean shock speed was on the order of V≈667 km s−1. From the dependencies V(R) and MA(R) we found that the Alfvén speed slightly decreases at R≈1.3 - 1.5 R. The magnetic-field strength decreases from a value between 2.7 and 1.7 G at R≈1.3 - 1.5 R, depending on the coronal-density model employed. Our results are in good agreement with the empirical scaling by Dulk and McLean (Solar Phys. 57, 279, 1978) and Gopalswamy et al. (Astrophys. J.744, 72, 2012). Our results show that the type II band-splitting method is an important tool for inferring the coronal magnetic field, especially when independent measurements are made from white-light observations. Title: Transit Time of Coronal Mass Ejections under Different Ambient Solar Wind Conditions Authors: Shanmugaraju, A.; Vršnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2014SoPh..289..339S Altcode: The speed [v(R)] of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) at various distances from the Sun is modeled (as proposed by Vršnak and Gopalswamy in J. Geophys. Res. 107, 2002, doi:10.1029/2001/JA000120) by using the equation of motion adrag=γ(v−w) and its quadratic form adrag=γ(v−w)|v−w|, where v and w are the speeds of the CME and solar wind, respectively. We assume that the parameter γ can be expressed as γ=αRβ, where R is the heliocentric distance, and α and β are constants. We extend the analysis of Vršnak and Gopalswamy to obtain a more detailed insight into the dependence of the CME Sun-Earth transit time on the CME speed and the ambient solar-wind speed, for different combinations of α and β. In such a parameter-space analysis, the results obtained confirm that the CME transit time depends strongly on the state of the ambient solar wind. Specifically, we found that: i) for a particular set of values of α and β, a difference in the solar-wind speed causes larger transit-time differences at low CME speeds [v0], than at high v0; ii) the difference between transit times of slow and fast CMEs is larger at low solar-wind speed [w0] than at high w0; iii) transit times of fast CMEs are only slightly influenced by the solar-wind speed. The last item is especially important for space-weather forecasting, since it reduces the number of key parameters that determine the arrival time of fast CMEs, which tend to be more geo-effective than the slow ones. Finally, we compared the drag-based model results with the observational data for two CME samples, consisting of non-interacting and interacting CMEs (Manoharan et al. in J. Geophys. Res.109, 2004). The comparison reveals that the model results are in better agreement with the observations for non-interacting events than for the interacting events. It was also found that for slow CMEs (v0<500 km s−1), there is a deviation between the observations and the model if slow-wind speeds (≈ 300 - 400 km s−1) are taken for the model input. On the other hand, the model values and the observed data agree for both the slow and the fast CMEs if higher solar-wind speeds are assumed. It is also found that the quadratic form of the drag equation reproduces the observed transit times of fast CMEs better than the linear drag model. Title: Kinematics of Interacting ICMEs and Related Forbush Decrease: Case Study Authors: Maričić, D.; Vršnak, B.; Dumbović, M.; Žic, T.; Roša, D.; Hržina, D.; Lulić, S.; Romštajn, I.; Bušić, I.; Salamon, K.; Temmer, M.; Rollett, T.; Veronig, A.; Bostanjyan, N.; Chilingarian, A.; Mailyan, B.; Arakelyan, K.; Hovhannisyan, A.; Mujić, N. Bibcode: 2014SoPh..289..351M Altcode: We study heliospheric propagation and some space weather aspects of three Earth-directed interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs), successively launched from the active region AR 11158 in the period 13 - 15 February 2011. From the analysis of the ICME kinematics, morphological evolution, and in situ observations, we infer that the three ICMEs interacted on their way to Earth, arriving together at 1 AU as a single interplanetary disturbance. Detailed analysis of the in situ data reveals complex internal structure of the disturbance, where signatures of the three initially independent ICMEs could be recognized. The analysis also reveals compression and heating of the middle ICME, as well as ongoing magnetic reconnection between the leading and the middle ICME. We present evidence showing that the propagation of these two, initially slower ICMEs, was boosted by the fastest, third ICME. Finally, we employ the ground-based cosmic ray observations, to show that this complex disturbance produced a single cosmic ray event, i.e., a simple Forbush decrease (FD). The results presented provide a better understanding of the ICME interactions and reveal effects that should be taken into account in forecasting of the arrival of such compound structures. Title: Initiation of Coronal Mass Ejections by Sunspot Rotation Authors: Valori, G.; Török, T.; Temmer, M.; Veronig, A. M.; van Driel-Gesztelyi, L.; Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2014IAUS..300..201V Altcode: We report observations of a filament eruption, two-ribbon flare, and coronal mass ejection (CME) that occurred in Active Region NOAA 10898 on 6 July 2006. The filament was located South of a strong sunspot that dominated the region. In the evolution leading up to the eruption, and for some time after it, a counter-clockwise rotation of the sunspot of about 30 degrees was observed. We suggest that the rotation triggered the eruption by progressively expanding the magnetic field above the filament. To test this scenario, we study the effect of twisting the initially potential field overlying a pre-existing flux rope, using three-dimensional zero-β MHD simulations. We consider a magnetic configuration whose photospheric flux distribution and coronal structure is guided by the observations and a potential field extrapolation. We find that the twisting leads to the expansion of the overlying field. As a consequence of the progressively reduced magnetic tension, the flux rope quasi-statically adapts to the changed environmental field, rising slowly. Once the tension is sufficiently reduced, a distinct second phase of evolution occurs where the flux rope enters an unstable regime characterized by a strong acceleration. Our simulation thus suggests a new mechanism for the triggering of eruptions in the vicinity of rotating sunspots. Title: The Wave-Driver System of the Off-Disk Coronal Wave of 17 January 2010 Authors: Temmer, M.; Vrsnak, B.; Veronig, A. M. Bibcode: 2013SoPh..287..441T Altcode: 2012arXiv1207.2857T; 2012SoPh..tmp..194T We study the 17 January 2010 flare-CME-wave event by using STEREO/SECCHI-EUVI and -COR1 data. The observational study is combined with an analytic model that simulates the evolution of the coronal wave phenomenon associated with the event. From EUV observations, the wave signature appears to be dome shaped having a component propagating on the solar surface (\overline{v}≈280~km s^{-1}) as well as one off-disk (\overline{v}≈ 600~km s^{-1}) away from the Sun. The off-disk dome of the wave consists of two enhancements in intensity, which conjointly develop and can be followed up to white-light coronagraph images. Applying an analytic model, we derive that these intensity variations belong to a wave-driver system with a weakly shocked wave, initially driven by expanding loops, which are indicative of the early evolution phase of the accompanying CME. We obtain the shock standoff distance between wave and driver from observations as well as from model results. The shock standoff distance close to the Sun (< 0.3 R above the solar surface) is found to rapidly increase with values of ≈ 0.03 - 0.09 R, which gives evidence of an initial lateral (over)expansion of the CME. The kinematical evolution of the on-disk wave could be modeled using input parameters that require a more impulsive driver (duration t=90 s, acceleration a=1.7 km s−2) compared to the off-disk component (duration t=340 s, acceleration a=1.5 km s−2). Title: Comparison of geoeffectiveness of coronal mass ejections and corotating interaction regions Authors: Verbanac, G.; Živković, S.; Vršnak, B.; Bandić, M.; Hojsak, T. Bibcode: 2013A&A...558A..85V Altcode: Context. A detailed comparison of the geomagnetic responses to interplanetary coronal mass ejection (ICMEs) and corotating interaction regions (CIRs) during solar cycle 23 was performed using geomagnetic indices Dst, Ap, and AE.
Aims: We aim to find out if there are relative differences in the response of various magnetospheric current systems to the impact of ICMEs and CIRs. In addition, we are exploring the possibility of forecasting geomagnetic activity using the coronagraphic observations of the ICME take-off.
Methods: The peak values of the plasma characteristics of ICMEs and CIRs (velocity V, magnetic field B, and BV related to the electric field), and geomagnetic indices were investigated by applying the linear and power-law cross correlation analysis. The influence of the time-resolution on the results was performed for two time resolutions obtained by one-hour (three-hour for Ap) and six-hour data averaging.
Results: For ICMEs the power-law fits are found to be important only for the relationships between BV and geomagnetic indices. For Ap and Dst, there is no difference between the one-hour (three-hour for Ap) and six-hour option. For AE, the one-hour data distribution shows more clearly the non-linear dependence on BV. Our data set shows that below BV ~ 5 mV m-1 ICMEs have practically no geomagnetic effect at low and mid latitudes, but at high latitudes at least some geomagnetic activity will be triggered. For all HSS/CIRs dependencies, a power law is found to better describe the data than the linear fit. The data distributions show that BV has to reach ~4 mV m-1 in order to drive at least some geomagnetic activity at all latitudes. We observed that there are fast CMEs that have almost no geomagnetic effect at low and mid latitudes. On the other hand, at high latitudes, fast CMEs always trigger some geomagnetic activity. This might be have implications for space weather forecasting.
Conclusions: Magnetospheric response to both solar drivers (ICMEs and CIRs) is different at various latitudes, thus results in different development of various current systems within the Earth's magnetosphere and ionosphere. Furthermore, we show that ICMEs and CIRs cause different geomagnetic activity. In the case of ICMEs equatorial current system responses in a linear manner, while the response of the polar-current system is likely to be non-linear. For HSS/CIRs, apparently all current systems respond in a non-linear way, especially the polar current system. Title: Initiation of Coronal Mass Ejections by Sunspot Rotation Authors: Török, T.; Temmer, M.; Valori, G.; Veronig, A. M.; van Driel-Gesztelyi, L.; Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2013SoPh..286..453T Altcode: 2014arXiv1401.2922T We study a filament eruption, two-ribbon flare, and coronal mass ejection (CME) that occurred in NOAA Active Region 10898 on 6 July 2006. The filament was located South of a strong sunspot that dominated the region. In the evolution leading up to the eruption, and for some time after it, a counter-clockwise rotation of the sunspot of about 30 degrees was observed. We suggest that the rotation triggered the eruption by progressively expanding the magnetic field above the filament. To test this scenario, we study the effect of twisting the initially potential field overlying a pre-existing flux-rope, using three-dimensional zero-β MHD simulations. We first consider a relatively simple and symmetric system, and then study a more complex and asymmetric magnetic configuration, whose photospheric-flux distribution and coronal structure are guided by the observations and a potential field extrapolation. In both cases, we find that the twisting leads to the expansion of the overlying field. As a consequence of the progressively reduced magnetic tension, the flux-rope quasi-statically adapts to the changed environmental field, rising slowly. Once the tension is sufficiently reduced, a distinct second phase of evolution occurs where the flux-rope enters an unstable regime characterised by a strong acceleration. Our simulations thus suggest a new mechanism for the triggering of eruptions in the vicinity of rotating sunspots. Title: Formation of Coronal Shock Waves Authors: Lulić, S.; Vršnak, B.; Žic, T.; Kienreich, I. W.; Muhr, N.; Temmer, M.; Veronig, A. M. Bibcode: 2013SoPh..286..509L Altcode: 2013arXiv1303.2786L Magnetosonic wave formation driven by an expanding cylindrical piston is numerically simulated to obtain better physical insight into the initiation and evolution of large-scale coronal waves caused by coronal eruptions. Several very basic initial configurations are employed to analyze intrinsic characteristics of MHD wave formation that do not depend on specific properties of the environment. It turns out that these simple initial configurations result in piston/wave morphologies and kinematics that reproduce common characteristics of coronal waves. In the initial stage, the wave and the expanding source region cannot be clearly resolved; i.e. a certain time is needed before the wave detaches from the piston. Thereafter, it continues to travel as what is called a "simple wave." During the acceleration stage of the source region inflation, the wave is driven by the piston expansion, so its amplitude and phase-speed increase, whereas the wavefront profile steepens. At a given point, a discontinuity forms in the wavefront profile; i.e. the leading edge of the wave becomes shocked. The time/distance required for the shock formation is shorter for a more impulsive source-region expansion. After the piston stops, the wave amplitude and phase speed start to decrease. During the expansion, most of the source region becomes strongly rarefied, which reproduces the coronal dimming left behind the eruption. However, the density increases at the source-region boundary, and stays enhanced even after the expansion stops, which might explain stationary brightenings that are sometimes observed at the edges of the erupted coronal structure. Also, in the rear of the wave a weak density depletion develops, trailing the wave, which is sometimes observed as weak transient coronal dimming. Finally, we find a well-defined relationship between the impulsiveness of the source-region expansion and the wave amplitude and phase speed. The results for the cylindrical piston are also compared with the outcome for a planar wave that is formed by a one-dimensional piston, to find out how different geometries affect the evolution of the wave. Title: Solar TErrestrial Relations Observatory-A (STEREO-A) and PRoject for On-Board Autonomy 2 (PROBA2) Quadrature Observations of Reflections of Three EUV Waves from a Coronal Hole Authors: Kienreich, I. W.; Muhr, N.; Veronig, A. M.; Berghmans, D.; De Groof, A.; Temmer, M.; Vršnak, B.; Seaton, D. B. Bibcode: 2013SoPh..286..201K Altcode: 2012SoPh..tmp..138K We investigate the interaction of three consecutive large-scale coronal waves with a polar coronal hole, simultaneously observed on-disk by the Solar TErrestrial Relations Observatory (STEREO)-A spacecraft and on the limb by the PRoject for On-Board Autonomy 2 (PROBA2) spacecraft on 27 January 2011. All three extreme ultraviolet (EUV) waves originate from the same active region, NOAA 11149, positioned at N30E15 in the STEREO-A field of view and on the limb in PROBA2. For the three primary EUV waves, we derive starting velocities in the range of ≈ 310 km s−1 for the weakest up to ≈ 500 km s−1 for the strongest event. Each large-scale wave is reflected at the border of the extended coronal hole at the southern polar region. The average velocities of the reflected waves are found to be smaller than the mean velocities of their associated direct waves. However, the kinematical study also reveals that in each case the ending velocity of the primary wave matches the initial velocity of the reflected wave. In all three events, the primary and reflected waves obey the Huygens-Fresnel principle, as the incident angle with ≈ 10° to the normal is of the same magnitude as the angle of reflection. The correlation between the speed and the strength of the primary EUV waves, the homologous appearance of both the primary and the reflected waves, and in particular the EUV wave reflections themselves suggest that the observed EUV transients are indeed nonlinear large-amplitude MHD waves. Title: Propagation of Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections: The Drag-Based Model Authors: Vršnak, B.; Žic, T.; Vrbanec, D.; Temmer, M.; Rollett, T.; Möstl, C.; Veronig, A.; Čalogović, J.; Dumbović, M.; Lulić, S.; Moon, Y. -J.; Shanmugaraju, A. Bibcode: 2013SoPh..285..295V Altcode: 2012SoPh..tmp..124V We present the "Drag-Based Model" (DBM) of heliospheric propagation of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs). The DBM is based on the hypothesis that the driving Lorentz force, which launches a CME, ceases in the upper corona and that beyond a certain distance the dynamics becomes governed solely by the interaction of the ICME and the ambient solar wind. In particular, we consider the option where the drag acceleration has a quadratic dependence on the ICME relative speed, which is expected in a collisionless environment, where the drag is caused primarily by emission of magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) waves. In this paper we present the simplest version of DBM, where the equation of motion can be solved analytically, providing explicit solutions for the Sun-Earth ICME transit time and impact speed. This offers easy handling and straightforward application to real-time space-weather forecasting. Beside presenting the model itself, we perform an analysis of DBM performances, applying a statistical and case-study approach, which provides insight into the advantages and drawbacks of DBM. Finally, we present a public, DBM-based, online forecast tool. Title: Evolution of CMEs in the inner heliosphere - observations versus models Authors: Temmer, Manuela; Vrsnak, Bojan; Möstl, Christian; Veronig, Astrid; Rollett, Tanja; Bein, Bianca Bibcode: 2013EGUGA..15.1328T Altcode: With the SECCHI instrument suite aboard STEREO, coronal mass ejections (CMEs) can be observed from multiple vantage points during their entire propagation all the way from the Sun to 1 AU. The propagation behavior of CMEs in the interplanetary space is mainly influenced by the ambient solar wind flow. CMEs that are faster than the ambient solar wind get decelerated, whereas slower ones are accelerated until the CME speed is finally adjusted to the solar wind speed. On a statistical basis, empirical models taking into account the drag force acting on CMEs, are able to describe the observed kinematical behaviors. For several well observed events, we will present a comparative study showing the kinematical evolution of CMEs derived from remote sensing and in situ data, as well as from empirical models using 2D and 3D input parameters. From this we aim to obtain the distance regime at which the solar wind drag force is dominating the CME propagation. Title: Radial evolution of magnetic cloud properties Authors: Rollett, Tanja; Veronig, Astrid M.; Leitner, Martin; Vrsnak, Bojan; Möstl, Christian; Farrugia, Charles J.; Temmer, Manuela Bibcode: 2013EGUGA..15.2710R Altcode: Magnetic clouds (MCs) are characterized as intervals of enhanced, smoothly rotating interplanetary magnetic field, low plasma beta and temperature in spacecraft in situ data and can be part of ICMEs. In this study we analyze the radial evolution of MCs using a sample of events detected by radial aligned spacecrafts at different heliocentric distances. The data-sets are fitted with a force-free, constant-alpha flux rope model. Using the outcome of this fitting model we calculate the estimated cross section diameter (assuming a cylindrical flux tube), the poloidal and the axial magnetic field, the current, the magnetic flux and the inductance. All these parameter are further studied as a function of heliocentric distance. Strong variations of the current or the magnetic flux could be a hint for magnetic reconnection between the MC and the solar wind. This work has received funding from the European Commission FP7 Project COMESEP (263252). Title: The chaotic solar cycle. II. Analysis of cosmogenic 10Be data Authors: Hanslmeier, A.; Brajša, R.; Čalogović, J.; Vršnak, B.; Ruždjak, D.; Steinhilber, F.; MacLeod, C. L.; Ivezić, Ž.; Skokić, I. Bibcode: 2013A&A...550A...6H Altcode: 2014arXiv1402.2776H Context. The variations of solar activity over long time intervals using a solar activity reconstruction based on the cosmogenic radionuclide 10Be measured in polar ice cores are studied.
Aims: The periodicity of the solar activity cycle is studied. The solar activity cycle is governed by a complex dynamo mechanism. Methods of nonlinear dynamics enable us to learn more about the regular and chaotic behavior of solar activity. In this work we compare our earlier findings based on 14C data with the results obtained using 10Be data.
Methods: By applying methods of nonlinear dynamics, the solar activity cycle is studied using solar activity proxies that have been reaching into the past for over 9300 years. The complexity of the system is expressed by several parameters of nonlinear dynamics, such as embedding dimension or false nearest neighbors, and the method of delay coordinates is applied to the time series. We also fit a damped random walk model, which accurately describes the variability of quasars, to the solar 10Be data and investigate the corresponding power spectral distribution. The periods in the data series were searched by the Fourier and wavelet analyses.
Results: The solar activity on the long-term scale is found to be on the edge of chaotic behavior. This can explain the observed intermittent period of longer lasting solar activity minima. Filtering the data by eliminating variations below a certain period (the periods of 380 yr and 57 yr were used) yields a far more regular behavior of solar activity. A comparison between the results for the 10Be data with the 14C data shows many similarities. Both cosmogenic isotopes are strongly correlated mutually and with solar activity. Finally, we find that a series of damped random walk models provides a good fit to the 10Be data with a fixed characteristic time scale of 1000 years, which is roughly consistent with the quasi-periods found by the Fourier and wavelet analyses.
Conclusions: The time series of solar activity proxies used here clearly shows that solar activity behaves differently from random data. The unfiltered data exhibit a complex dynamics that becomes more regular when filtering the data. The results indicate that solar activity proxies are also influenced by other than solar variations and reflect solar activity only on longer time scales. Title: The Successive CME on 13th; 14th and 15th February 2011 and Forbush decrease on 18 February 2011 Authors: Maričić, D.; Bostasyan, N.; Dumbović, M.; Chilingarian, A.; Mailyan, B.; Rostomyan, H.; Arakelyan, K.; Vršnak, B.; Roša, D.; Hržina, D.; Romštajn, I.; Veronig, A. Bibcode: 2013JPhCS.409a2158M Altcode: Aims. We analyze the kinematics of three interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) that occurred on 13th, 14th and 15th February 2011 in the active region AR 11155 and have shown that they appeared at the Earth orbit on February, 18th and caused Forbush decrease (FD). Methods. The solar coordinates of flares are (S19W03), (S20W14) and (S21W18). The kinematic curves were obtained using STEREO (A&B) data. Additionally, we explore the possibility of the CME-CME interaction for these three events. We compare obtained estimates of ICME arrival with the in-situ measurements from WIND satellite at L1 point and with ground-based cosmic ray data obtained from SEVAN network. Results. The acceleration of each CME is highly correlated with the associated SXR flares energy release. CMEs that erupted at 13 and 14 Feb 2011 are not associated with prominence eruption; maximum velocity was vmax550 ± 50 km/s and vmax400 ± 50 km/s, respectively. However, 15 Feb 2011 CME is connected with much more violent eruption associated with a prominence, with maximum velocity of vmax 1400 ± 50 km/s. The last overtakes 13th and 14th Feb CMEs at distances of 32 and 160 Rsolar, respectively. Title: Solar eruptive filament studies at USO for the COMESEP project Authors: Srivastava, N.; Crosby, N.; Veronig, A.; Robrrecht, E.; Vršnak, B.; Vennerstrom, S.; Malandraki, O.; Dalla, S.; Rodriguez, L.; Hesse, M.; Odstrcil, D. Bibcode: 2013ASInC..10...67S Altcode: The Coronal Mass Ejections and Solar Energetic Particles (COMESEP) project is developing tools for forecasting geomagnetic storms and solar energetic particle (SEP) radiation storms. By analysis of historical solar and interplanetary data, complemented with the extensive data coverage of solar cycle 23, the key ingredients that lead to geomagnetic storms, SEP events and the factors that are responsible for false alarms are being identified. Based on the insights gained, and making use of algorithms for the automated detection of CMEs, forecasting tools for geomagnetic and SEP radiation storms will be developed and optimised. Validation and implementation of the developed tools into an operational Space Weather Alert system will be performed. COMESEP is a unique cross collaboration effort and bridges the gap between the SEP, CME and terrestrial effects scientific communities. The role of the Udaipur Solar Observatory (USO) in addressing some of the goals of this project are highlighted in this paper. In particular, USO is engaged in studying the CMEs associated with eruptive filaments. We describe the studies undertaken to understand space weather effects related to these CMEs. Title: Relation Between Coronal Hole Areas on the Sun and the Solar Wind Parameters at 1 AU Authors: Rotter, T.; Veronig, A. M.; Temmer, M.; Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2012SoPh..281..793R Altcode: 2012SoPh..tmp..202R We analyze the relationship between the coronal hole (CH) characteristics on the Sun (area, position, and intensity levels) and the corresponding solar wind parameters (solar wind speed v, proton temperature T, proton density n, and magnetic field strength B) measured in situ at 1 AU with a 6-h time resolution. We developed a histogram-based intensity thresholding method to obtain fractional CH areas from SOHO/EIT 195 Å images. The algorithm was applied to 6-h cadence EIT 195 Å images for the year 2005, which were characterized by a low solar activity. In calculating well-defined peaks of the solar wind parameters corresponding to the peaks in CH area, we found that the solar wind speed v shows a high correlation with correlation coefficient cc=0.78, medium correlation for T and B with cc=0.41 and cc=0.41. No significant correlation was found with the proton density n. Applying an intensity-weighted CH area did not improve the relations, since the size and the mean intensity of the CH areas are not independent parameters but strongly correlated (cc=− 0.72). Comparison of the fractional CH areas derived from GOES/SXI and SOHO/EIT and the related solar wind predictions shows no systematic differences (cc=0.79). Title: Coronal Mass Ejection of 26 February 2000: Complete analysis of the three-part CME structure Authors: Maričić, D.; Vršnak, B.; Roša, D.; Hržina, D. Bibcode: 2012SunGe...7...85M Altcode: We analyze the kinematics and morphology of the limb coronal mass ejection (CME) of 26 February 2000, utilizing observations from Mauna Loa Solar Observatory (MLSO), the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) and the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES). Also, we analyze the relation between dynamics of the CME and the energy release in the associated flare.

An intricate structure (prominence, prominence-like absorbing feature, cavity and bright overlying arcade) is clearly recognizable in the low corona during the pre-eruption phase of slow rise. This provided measurements of kinematics of verious features from the very beginning of the eruption up to the post-acceleration phase which was followed up to 32 solar radii. Such events are observed only occasionaly, and are of great importance for the comprehension of the nature of forces driving CMEs. The acceleration maximum was attained at the radial distance of 2.4 solar radii from the solar center and ceased beyond 12 solar radii. The time profiles of the acceleration of various features of CME are showing "self-similar" expansion and implying a common driver. The acceleration phase was synchronized to a certain degree with the impulsive phase of the associated two-ribbon flare. Observations provide clear evidence that CME eruption caused a global restructuring of the magnetic field in the outer and inner corona. Furthermore, kinematics and morphological properties of this CME show possibility that in some events the prominence can evolve into a structure which looks like three-part structure CME, i.e. where the frontal rim is just a part of helically twisted prominence. Title: Impulsive Acceleration of Coronal Mass Ejections. II. Relation to Soft X-Ray Flares and Filament Eruptions Authors: Bein, B. M.; Berkebile-Stoiser, S.; Veronig, A. M.; Temmer, M.; Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2012ApJ...755...44B Altcode: 2012arXiv1206.2144B Using high time cadence images from the STEREO EUVI, COR1, and COR2 instruments, we derived detailed kinematics of the main acceleration stage for a sample of 95 coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in comparison with associated flares and filament eruptions. We found that CMEs associated with flares reveal on average significantly higher peak accelerations and lower acceleration phase durations, initiation heights, and heights, at which they reach their peak velocities and peak accelerations. This means that CMEs that are associated with flares are characterized by higher and more impulsive accelerations and originate from lower in the corona where the magnetic field is stronger. For CMEs that are associated with filament eruptions we found only for the CME peak acceleration significantly lower values than for events that were not associated with filament eruptions. The flare rise time was found to be positively correlated with the CME acceleration duration and negatively correlated with the CME peak acceleration. For the majority of the events the CME acceleration starts before the flare onset (for 75% of the events) and the CME acceleration ends after the soft X-ray (SXR) peak time (for 77% of the events). In ~60% of the events, the time difference between the peak time of the flare SXR flux derivative and the peak time of the CME acceleration is smaller than ±5 minutes, which hints at a feedback relationship between the CME acceleration and the energy release in the associated flare due to magnetic reconnection. Title: Forecasting Geomagnetic Storms and Solar Energetic Particle Events: the COMESEP Project Authors: Crosby, N.; Veronig, A.; Robbrecht, E.; Vrsnak, B.; Vennerstrøm, S.; Malandraki, O.; Dalla, S.; Srivastava, N.; Hesse, M.; Odstrcil, D. Bibcode: 2012EGUGA..1412544C Altcode: COMESEP (COronal Mass Ejections and Solar Energetic Particles), funded by the European Union Framework 7 programme, is a three-year collaborative project that has been running for one year. Tools for forecasting geomagnetic storms and solar energetic particle (SEP) radiation storms are being developed under the project. By analysis of historical data, complemented by the extensive data coverage of solar cycle 23, the key ingredients that lead to magnetic storms and SEP events and the factors that are responsible for false alarms are being identified. To enhance our understanding of the 3D kinematics and interplanetary propagation of coronal mass ejections (CMEs), the structure, propagation and evolution of CMEs are being investigated. In parallel, the sources and propagation of SEPs are being examined and modeled. Based on the insights gained, and making use of algorithms for the automated detection of CMEs, forecasting tools for geomagnetic and SEP radiation storms are being developed and optimised. Validation and implementation of the produced tools into an operational Space Weather Alert system will be performed. Geomagnetic and SEP radiation storm alerts will be based on the COMESEP definition of risk. COMESEP is a unique cross-collaboration effort and bridges the gap between the SEP and CME scientific communities. For more information about the project, see the COMESEP website http://www.comesep.eu/ . This work has received funding from the European Commission FP7 Project COMESEP (263252). Title: STEREO-A and PROBA2 Quadrature Observations of Reflections of three EUV Waves from a Coronal Hole Authors: Kienreich, Ines Waltraud; Muhr, Nicole; Veronig, Astrid; Berghmans, David; de Groof, Anik; Temmer, Manuela; Vršnak, Bojan; Seaton, Dan Bibcode: 2012arXiv1204.6472K Altcode: 2012arXiv1204.6472W We investigate the interaction of three consecutive large-scale coronal waves with a polar coronal hole, simultaneously observed on-disk by the Solar TErrestrial Relations Observatory (STEREO)-A spacecraft and on the limb by the PRoject for On-Board Autonomy 2 (PROBA2) spacecraft on January 27, 2011. All three extreme-ultraviolet(EUV) waves originate from the same active region NOAA 11149 positioned at N30E15 in the STEREO-A field-of-view and on the limb in PROBA2. We derive for the three primary EUV waves start velocities in the range of ~310 km/s for the weakest up to ~500 km/s for the strongest event. Each large-scale wave is reflected at the border of the extended coronal hole at the southern polar region. The average velocities of the reflected waves are found to be smaller than the mean velocities of their associated direct waves. However, the kinematical study also reveals that in each case the end velocity of the primary wave matches the initial velocity of the reflected wave. In all three events the primary and reflected waves obey the Huygens-Fresnel principle, as the incident angle with ~10° to the normal is of the same size as the angle of reflection. The correlation between the speed and the strength of the primary EUV waves, the homologous appearance of both the primary and the reflected waves, and in particular the EUV wave reflections themselves implicate that the observed EUV transients are indeed nonlinear large-amplitude MHD waves. Title: Commission 10: Solar Activity Authors: van Driel-Gesztelyi, Lidia; Schrijver, Carolus J.; Klimchuk, James A.; Charbonneau, Paul; Fletcher, Lyndsay; Hasan, S. Sirajul; Hudson, Hugh S.; Kusano, Kanya; Mandrini, Cristina H.; Peter, Hardi; Vršnak, Bojan; Yan, Yihua Bibcode: 2012IAUTA..28...69V Altcode: Commission 10 of the International Astronomical Union has more than 650 members who study a wide range of activity phenomena produced by our nearest star, the Sun. Solar activity is intrinsically related to solar magnetic fields and encompasses events from the smallest energy releases (nano- or even picoflares) to the largest eruptions in the Solar System, coronal mass ejections (CMEs), which propagate into the Heliosphere reaching the Earth and beyond. Solar activity is manifested in the appearance of sunspot groups or active regions, which are the principal sources of activity phenomena from the emergence of their magnetic flux through their dispersion and decay. The period 2008-2009 saw an unanticipated extended solar cycle minimum and unprecedentedly weak polar-cap and heliospheric field. Associated with that was the 2009 historical maximum in galactic cosmic rays flux since measurements begun in the middle of the 20th Century. Since then Cycle 24 has re-started solar activity producing some spectacular eruptions observed with a fleet of spacecraft and ground-based facilities. In the last triennium major advances in our knowledge and understanding of solar activity were due to continuing success of space missions as SOHO, Hinode, RHESSI and the twin STEREO spacecraft, further enriched by the breathtaking images of the solar atmosphere produced by the Solar Dynamic Observatory (SDO) launched on 11 February 2010 in the framework of NASA's Living with a Star program. In August 2012, at the time of the IAU General Assembly in Beijing when the mandate of this Commission ends, we will be in the unique position to have for the first time a full 3-D view of the Sun and solar activity phenomena provided by the twin STEREO missions about 120 degrees behind and ahead of Earth and other spacecraft around the Earth and ground-based observatories. These new observational insights are continuously posing new questions, inspiring and advancing theoretical analysis and modelling, improving our understanding of the physics underlying magnetic activity phenomena. Commission 10 reports on a vigorously evolving field of research produced by a large community. The number of refereed publications containing `Sun', `heliosphere', or a synonym in their abstracts continued the steady growth seen over the preceding decades, reaching about 2000 in the years 2008-2010, with a total of close to 4000 unique authors. This report, however, has its limitations and it is inherently incomplete, as it was prepared jointly by the members of the Organising Committee of Commission 10 (see the names of the primary contributors to the sections indicated in parentheses) reflecting their fields of expertise and interest. Nevertheless, we believe that it is a representative sample of significant new results obtained during the last triennium in the field of solar activity. Title: CME-CME interaction during the 2010 August 1 events Authors: Temmer, M.; Vrsnak, B.; Rollett, T.; Bein, B.; deKoning, C. A.; Liu, Y.; Bosman, E.; Davies, J. A.; Möstl, C.; Zic, T.; Veronig, A. M.; Bothmer, V.; Harrison, R.; Nitta, N.; Bisi, M.; Flor, O.; Eastwood, J.; Odstrcil, D.; Forsyth, R. Bibcode: 2012EGUGA..14.1677T Altcode: We study a CME-CME interaction that occurred during the 2010 August 1 events using STEREO/SECCHI data (COR and HI). The CMEs were Earth directed where clear signatures of magnetic flux ropes could be measured from in situ Wind data. To give evidence of the actual interaction we derive the direction of motion for both CMEs applying several independent methods. From this we obtain that both CMEs head into similar directions enabling us to actually observe the merging in the HI1 field-of-view (and rule out the possibility that this is just a line of sight effect). The full de-projected kinematics of the faster CME from Sun to Earth is derived when combining data points from remote observations with in situ parameters of the ICME measured at 1 AU. We study the evolution of the kinematical profile of the faster CME by applying a drag based model. Title: Characteristics of Kinematics of a Coronal Mass Ejection during the 2010 August 1 CME-CME Interaction Event Authors: Temmer, Manuela; Vršnak, Bojan; Rollett, Tanja; Bein, Bianca; de Koning, Curt A.; Liu, Ying; Bosman, Eckhard; Davies, Jackie A.; Möstl, Christian; Žic, Tomislav; Veronig, Astrid M.; Bothmer, Volker; Harrison, Richard; Nitta, Nariaki; Bisi, Mario; Flor, Olga; Eastwood, Jonathan; Odstrcil, Dusan; Forsyth, Robert Bibcode: 2012ApJ...749...57T Altcode: 2012arXiv1202.0629T We study the interaction of two successive coronal mass ejections (CMEs) during the 2010 August 1 events using STEREO/SECCHI COR and heliospheric imager (HI) data. We obtain the direction of motion for both CMEs by applying several independent reconstruction methods and find that the CMEs head in similar directions. This provides evidence that a full interaction takes place between the two CMEs that can be observed in the HI1 field of view. The full de-projected kinematics of the faster CME from Sun to Earth is derived by combining remote observations with in situ measurements of the CME at 1 AU. The speed profile of the faster CME (CME2; ~1200 km s-1) shows a strong deceleration over the distance range at which it reaches the slower, preceding CME (CME1; ~700 km s-1). By applying a drag-based model we are able to reproduce the kinematical profile of CME2, suggesting that CME1 represents a magnetohydrodynamic obstacle for CME2 and that, after the interaction, the merged entity propagates as a single structure in an ambient flow of speed and density typical for quiet solar wind conditions. Observational facts show that magnetic forces may contribute to the enhanced deceleration of CME2. We speculate that the increase in magnetic tension and pressure, when CME2 bends and compresses the magnetic field lines of CME1, increases the efficiency of drag. Title: Flare-generated Type II Burst without Associated Coronal Mass Ejection Authors: Magdalenić, J.; Marqué, C.; Zhukov, A. N.; Vršnak, B.; Veronig, A. Bibcode: 2012ApJ...746..152M Altcode: We present a study of the solar coronal shock wave on 2005 November 14 associated with the GOES M3.9 flare that occurred close to the east limb (S06° E60°). The shock signature, a type II radio burst, had an unusually high starting frequency of about 800 MHz, indicating that the shock was formed at a rather low height. The position of the radio source, the direction of the shock wave propagation, and the coronal electron density were estimated using Nançay Radioheliograph observations and the dynamic spectrum of the Green Bank Solar Radio Burst Spectrometer. The soft X-ray, Hα, and Reuven Ramaty High Energy Solar Spectroscopic Imager observations show that the flare was compact, very impulsive, and of a rather high density and temperature, indicating a strong and impulsive increase of pressure in a small flare loop. The close association of the shock wave initiation with the impulsive energy release suggests that the impulsive increase of the pressure in the flare was the source of the shock wave. This is supported by the fact that, contrary to the majority of events studied previously, no coronal mass ejection was detected in association with the shock wave, although the corresponding flare occurred close to the limb. Title: Cosmic ray modulation by different types of solar wind disturbances Authors: Dumbović, M.; Vršnak, B.; Čalogović, J.; Župan, R. Bibcode: 2012A&A...538A..28D Altcode: Context. Solar wind disturbances such as interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) and corotating interaction regions (CIRs) cause short-term cosmic ray depressions, generally denoted as Forbush decreases.
Aims: We conduct a systematic statistical study of various aspects of Forbush decreases. The analysis provides empirical background for physical interpretations of short-term cosmic ray modulations.
Methods: Firstly, we analyzed the effects of different types of solar wind disturbances, and secondly, we focused on the phenomenon of over-recovery (the return of the cosmic ray count to a value higher than the pre-decrease level). The analysis is based on ground-based neutron monitor data and the solar wind data recorded by the Advanced Composition Explorer. The correlations between various cosmic ray depressions and solar wind parameters as well as their statistical significance are analyzed in detail. In addition, we performed a normalized superposed epoch analysis for depressions and magnetic field enhancements.
Results: The analysis revealed differences in the relationship between different solar wind disturbances and cosmic ray depression parameters. The amplitude of the depression for ICMEs was found to correlate well with the amplitudes of magnetic field strength and fluctuations, whereas for CIRs we found only the correlation between the amplitude of the depression and the solar wind disturbance dimension proxy vtB. Similar behavior was found for shock and no-shock events, respectively. The CIR/ICME composites show a specific behavior that is a mixture of both ICMEs and CIRs. For all analyzed categories we found that the duration of the depression correlates with the duration of the solar wind disturbance. The analysis of the over-recovery showed that there is no straightforward relationship to either "branching-effect" or geomagnetic effects, therefore we propose a scenario where the "branching-effect" is caused by several factors and is only indirectly related to the over-recovery. Title: Solar influences on the short-term cosmic ray modulation Authors: Dumbović, M.; Vršnak, B.; Čalogović, J. Bibcode: 2012CEAB...36...65D Altcode: This study aims to provide a quantitative basis for physical interpretations of Forbush decreases (FDs) caused by disturbances in the interplanetary magnetic field. A superposed epoch analysis is applied to the magnetic field strength and fluctuations data obtained from the Advanced Composition Explorer, and to the cosmic ray data obtained from ground level neutron monitors. We found that the morphology, as well as the amplitude and duration of FDs, are dependent on the type of the disturbance that caused the FD. Title: Characteristics of DH type II bursts, CMEs and flares with respect to the acceleration of CMEs Authors: Prakash, O.; Umapathy, S.; Shanmugaraju, A.; Pappa Kalaivani, P.; Vršnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2012Ap&SS.337...47P Altcode: 2011Ap&SS.tmp..608P A detailed investigation on DH-type-II radio bursts recorded in Deca-Hectometer (hereinafter DH-type-II) wavelength range and their associated CMEs observed during the year 1997-2008 is presented. The sample of 212 DH-type-II associated with CMEs are classified into three populations: (i) Group I (43 events): DH-type-II associated CMEs are accelerating in the LASCO field view ( a>15 m s-2); (ii) Group II (99 events): approximately constant velocity CMEs (-15< a<15 m s-2) and (iii) Group III (70 events): represents decelerating CMEs ( a<-15 m s-2). Our study consists of three steps: (i) statistical properties of DH-type-II bursts of Group I, II and III events; (ii) analysis of time lags between onsets of flares and CMEs associated with DH-type-II bursts and (iii) statistical properties of flares and CMEs of Group I, II and III events. We found statistically significant differences between the properties of DH-type-II bursts of Group I, II and III events. The significance ( P a ) is found using the one-way ANOVA-test to examine the differences between means of groups. For example, there is significant difference in the duration ( P a =5%), ending frequency ( P a =4%) and bandwidth ( P a =4%). The accelerating and decelerating CMEs have more kinetic energy than the constant speed CMEs. There is a significant difference between the nose height of CMEs at the end time of DH-type-IIs ( P a ≪1%). From the time delay analysis, we found: (i) there is no significant difference in the delay (flare start—DH-type-II start and flare peak—DH-type-II start); (ii) small differences in the time delay between the CME onset and DH-type-II start, delay between the flare start and CME onset times. However, there are high significant differences in: flare duration ( P a =1%), flare rise time ( P a =0.5%), flare decay time ( P a =5%) and CMEs speed ( P a ≪1%) of Group I, II and III events. The general LASCO CMEs have lower width and speeds when compared to the DH CMEs. It seems there is a strong relation between the kinetic energy of CMEs and DH-type-II properties. Title: Solar Hα and white light telescope at Hvar Observatory Authors: Čalogović, J.; Dumbović, M.; Novak, N.; Vršnak, B.; Brajša, R.; Pötzi, W.; Hirtenfellner-Polanec, W.; Veronig, A.; Hanslmeier$, A.; Klvaňa, M.; Ambrož, P. Bibcode: 2012CEAB...36...83C Altcode: Recently, the double solar telescope at Hvar Observatory was equipped with the fourth generation of acquisition hardware and software. It provides a valuable instrument to study rapid changes of chromospheric and photospheric features in great detail. The telescope consists of two Carl Zeiss refractors (photosphere d=217mm, chromosphere d=130mm) mounted as one unit on a German parallax mounting. Using a field of view of about 7 and 11 arcmin, it aims to produce high-resolution high-cadence imaging of active regions on the Sun. New Pulnix TM-4200GE 12-bit CCD cameras allow to obtain time series with a cadence up to 30 images per minute. Title: Plasma Diagnostics of an EIT Wave Observed by Hinode/EIS and SDO/AIA Authors: Veronig, A. M.; Gömöry, P.; Kienreich, I. W.; Muhr, N.; Vršnak, B.; Temmer, M.; Warren, H. P. Bibcode: 2011ApJ...743L..10V Altcode: 2011arXiv1111.3505V We present plasma diagnostics of an Extreme-Ultraviolet Imaging Telescope (EIT) wave observed with high cadence in Hinode/Extreme-Ultraviolet Imaging Spectrometer (EIS) sit-and-stare spectroscopy and Solar Dynamics Observatory/Atmospheric Imaging Assembly imagery obtained during the HOP-180 observing campaign on 2011 February 16. At the propagating EIT wave front, we observe downward plasma flows in the EIS Fe XII, Fe XIII, and Fe XVI spectral lines (log T ≈ 6.1-6.4) with line-of-sight (LOS) velocities up to 20 km s-1. These redshifts are followed by blueshifts with upward velocities up to -5 km s-1 indicating relaxation of the plasma behind the wave front. During the wave evolution, the downward velocity pulse steepens from a few km s-1 up to 20 km s-1 and subsequently decays, correlated with the relative changes of the line intensities. The expected increase of the plasma densities at the EIT wave front estimated from the observed intensity increase lies within the noise level of our density diagnostics from EIS Fe XIII 202/203 Å line ratios. No significant LOS plasma motions are observed in the He II line, suggesting that the wave pulse was not strong enough to perturb the underlying chromosphere. This is consistent with the finding that no Hα Moreton wave was associated with the event. The EIT wave propagating along the EIS slit reveals a strong deceleration of a ≈ -540 m s-2 and a start velocity of v 0 ≈ 590 km s-1. These findings are consistent with the passage of a coronal fast-mode MHD wave, pushing the plasma downward and compressing it at the coronal base. Title: Influence of the Ambient Solar Wind Flow on the Propagation Behavior of Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections Authors: Temmer, Manuela; Rollett, Tanja; Möstl, Christian; Veronig, Astrid M.; Vršnak, Bojan; Odstrčil, Dusan Bibcode: 2011ApJ...743..101T Altcode: 2011arXiv1110.0827T We study three coronal mass ejection (CME)/interplanetary coronal mass ejection (ICME) events (2008 June 1-6, 2009 February 13-18, and 2010 April 3-5) tracked from Sun to 1 AU in remote-sensing observations of Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory Heliospheric Imagers and in situ plasma and magnetic field measurements. We focus on the ICME propagation in interplanetary (IP) space that is governed by two forces: the propelling Lorentz force and the drag force. We address the question: which heliospheric distance range does the drag become dominant and the CME adjust to the solar wind flow. To this end, we analyze speed differences between ICMEs and the ambient solar wind flow as a function of distance. The evolution of the ambient solar wind flow is derived from ENLIL three-dimensional MHD model runs using different solar wind models, namely, Wang-Sheeley-Arge and MHD-Around-A-Sphere. Comparing the measured CME kinematics with the solar wind models, we find that the CME speed becomes adjusted to the solar wind speed at very different heliospheric distances in the three events under study: from below 30 R , to beyond 1 AU, depending on the CME and ambient solar wind characteristics. ENLIL can be used to derive important information about the overall structure of the background solar wind, providing more reliable results during times of low solar activity than during times of high solar activity. The results from this study enable us to obtain greater insight into the forces acting on CMEs over the IP space distance range, which is an important prerequisite for predicting their 1 AU transit times. Title: Propagation behavior of interplanetary CMEs: driving versus drag force Authors: Temmer, M.; Rollett, T.; Moestl, C.; Veronig, A. M.; Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 2011AGUFMSH23C1968T Altcode: The evolution of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is governed by the Lorentz and the drag force. Initially, the CME is launched and driven by the Lorentz force, whereas the drag force owing to the ambient solar wind controls the CME kinematics as it propagates into interplanetary (IP) space. The subject of the current study is to infer a heliospheric distance at which the drag force starts to prevail over the driving force. With the SECCHI instrument suite aboard STEREO, CMEs can be observed during their entire propagation all the way from Sun to 1 AU. In combination with in-situ measurements at 1 AU we are able to derive the direction and speed of a CME. This information is used as input to derive the kinematical behavior of well observed CME events in the IP distance regime, which is subsequently compared to the output from ENLIL (NASA/CCMC) MHD model runs for the ambient solar wind flow. Title: Characteristics of Type-II Radio Bursts Associated with Flares and CMEs Authors: Vasanth, V.; Umapathy, S.; Vršnak, Bojan; Anna Lakshmi, M. Bibcode: 2011SoPh..273..143V Altcode: 2011SoPh..tmp..360V We present a statistical study of the characteristics of type-II radio bursts observed in the metric (m) and deca-hectometer (DH) wavelength range during 1997-2008. The collected events are divided into two groups: Group I contains the events of m-type-II bursts with starting frequency ≥ 100 MHz, and group II contains the events with starting frequency of m-type-II radio bursts < 100 MHz. We have analyzed both samples considering three different aspects: i) statistical properties of type-II bursts, ii) statistical properties of flares and CMEs associated with type-II bursts, and iii) time delays between type-II bursts, flares, and CMEs. We find significant differences in the properties of m-type-II bursts in duration, bandwidth, drift rate, shock speed and delay between m- and DH-type-II bursts. From the timing analysis we found that the majority of m-type-II bursts in both groups occur during the flare impulsive phase. On the other hand, the DH-type-II bursts in both groups occur during the decaying phase of the associated flares. Almost all m-DH-type-II bursts are found to be associated with CMEs. Our results indicate that there are two kinds of shock in which group I (high frequency) m-type-II bursts seem to be ignited by flares whereas group II (low frequency) m-type-II bursts are CME-driven. Title: Analysis of Characteristic Parameters of Large-scale Coronal Waves Observed by the Solar-Terrestrial Relations Observatory/Extreme Ultraviolet Imager Authors: Muhr, N.; Veronig, A. M.; Kienreich, I. W.; Temmer, M.; Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2011ApJ...739...89M Altcode: The kinematical evolution of four extreme ultraviolet waves, well observed by the Extreme Ultraviolet Imager on board the Solar-Terrestrial Relations Observatory (STEREO), is studied by visually tracking wave fronts as well as by a semi-automatized perturbation profile method, which leads to results matching each other within the error limits. The derived mean velocities of the events under study lie in the range of 220-350 km s-1. The fastest of the events (2007 May 19) reveals a significant deceleration of ≈ - 190 m s-2, while the others are consistent with a constant velocity during wave propagation. The evolution of maximum-intensity values reveals initial intensification of 20%-70% and decays to original levels within 40-60 minutes, while the widths at half-maximum and full-maximum of the perturbation profiles broaden by a factor of two to four. The integral below the perturbation profile remains basically constant in two cases, while it shows a decrease by a factor of three to four in the other two cases. From the peak perturbation amplitudes, we estimate the corresponding magnetosonic Mach numbers M ms, which range from 1.08-1.21. The perturbation profiles reveal three distinct features behind the propagating wave fronts: coronal dimmings, stationary brightenings, and rarefaction regions. All features appear after the wave passage and only slowly fade away. Our findings indicate that the events under study are weak-shock fast-mode magnetohydrodynamic waves initiated by the CME lateral expansion. Title: Solar wind high-speed streams and related geomagnetic activity in the declining phase of solar cycle 23 Authors: Verbanac, G.; Vršnak, B.; Živković, S.; Hojsak, T.; Veronig, A. M.; Temmer, M. Bibcode: 2011A&A...533A..49V Altcode: Context. Coronal holes (CHs) are the source of high-speed streams (HSSs) in the solar wind, whose interaction with the slow solar wind creates corotating interaction regions (CIRs) in the heliosphere.
Aims: We investigate the magnetospheric activity caused by CIR/HSS structures, focusing on the declining phase of the solar cycle 23 (years 2005 and 2006), when the occurrence rate of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) was low. We aim to (i) perform a systematic analysis of the relationship between the CH characteristics, basic parameters of HSS/CIRs, and the geomagnetic indices Dst, Ap and AE; (ii) study how the magnetospheric/ionospheric current systems behave when influenced by HSS/CIR; (iii) investigate if and how the evolution of the background solar wind from 2005 to 2006 affected the correlations between CH, CIR, and geomagnetic parameters.
Methods: The cross-correlation analysis was applied to the fractional CH area (CH) measured in the central meridian distance interval ± 10°, the solar wind velocity (V), the interplanetary magnetic field (B), and the geomagnetic indices Dst, Ap, and AE.
Results: The performed analysis shows that Ap and AE are better correlated with CH and solar wind parameters than Dst, and quantitatively demonstrates that the combination of solar wind parameters BV2 and BV plays the central role in the process of energy transfer from the solar wind to the magnetosphere.
Conclusions: We provide reliable relationships between CH properties, HSS/CIR parameters, and geomagnetic indices, which can be used in forecasting the geomagnetic activity in periods of low CME activity. Title: Impulsive Acceleration of Coronal Mass Ejections. I. Statistics and Coronal Mass Ejection Source Region Characteristics Authors: Bein, B. M.; Berkebile-Stoiser, S.; Veronig, A. M.; Temmer, M.; Muhr, N.; Kienreich, I.; Utz, D.; Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2011ApJ...738..191B Altcode: 2011arXiv1108.0561B We use high time cadence images acquired by the STEREO EUVI and COR instruments to study the evolution of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from their initiation through impulsive acceleration to the propagation phase. For a set of 95 CMEs we derived detailed height, velocity, and acceleration profiles and statistically analyzed characteristic CME parameters: peak acceleration, peak velocity, acceleration duration, initiation height, height at peak velocity, height at peak acceleration, and size of the CME source region. The CME peak accelerations we derived range from 20 to 6800 m s-2 and are inversely correlated with the acceleration duration and the height at peak acceleration. Seventy-four percent of the events reach their peak acceleration at heights below 0.5 R sun. CMEs that originate from compact sources low in the corona are more impulsive and reach higher peak accelerations at smaller heights. These findings can be explained by the Lorentz force, which drives the CME accelerations and decreases with height and CME size. Title: Evolution of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity Indices, and Their Relationship: 1960 - 2001 Authors: Verbanac, G.; Mandea, M.; Vršnak, B.; Sentic, S. Bibcode: 2011SoPh..271..183V Altcode: 2011SoPh..tmp..133V; 2011SoPh..tmp..190V; 2011SoPh..tmp..259V We employ annually averaged solar and geomagnetic activity indices for the period 1960 - 2001 to analyze the relationship between different measures of solar activity as well as the relationship between solar activity and various aspects of geomagnetic activity. In particular, to quantify the solar activity we use the sunspot number Rs, group sunspot number Rg, cumulative sunspot area Cum, solar radio flux F10.7, and interplanetary magnetic field strength IMF. For the geomagnetic activity we employ global indices Ap, Dst and Dcx, as well as the regional geomagnetic index RES, specifically estimated for the European region. In the paper we present the relative evolution of these indices and quantify the correlations between them. Variations have been found in: i) time lag between the solar and geomagnetic indices; ii) relative amplitude of the geomagnetic and solar activity peaks; iii) dual-peak distribution in some of solar and geomagnetic indices. The behavior of geomagnetic indices is correlated the best with IMF variations. Interestingly, among geomagnetic indices, RES shows the highest degree of correlation with solar indices. Title: Analysis of characteristic parameters of large-scale coronal waves observed by STEREO/EUVI Authors: Muhr, N.; Veronig, A. M.; Kienreich, I. W.; Temmer, M.; Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 2011arXiv1107.0921M Altcode: The kinematical evolution of four EUV waves, well observed by the Extreme UltraViolet Imager (EUVI) onboard the Solar-Terrestrial Relations Observatory (STEREO), is studied by visually tracking the wave fronts as well as by a semiautomatized perturbation profile method leading to results matching each other within the error limits. The derived mean velocities of the events under study lie in the range of 220-350 km/s. The fastest of the events (May 19, 2007) reveals a significant deceleration of \approx -190 m s-2 while the others are consistent with a constant velocity during the wave propagation. The evolution of the maximum intensity values reveals initial intensification by 20 up to 70%, and decays to original levels within 40-60 min, while the width at half maximum and full maximum of the perturbation profiles are broadening by a factor of 2 - 4. The integral below the perturbation profile remains basically constant in two cases, while it shows a decrease by a factor of 3 - 4 in the other two cases. From the peak perturbation amplitudes we estimate the corresponding magnetosonic Mach numbers Mms which are in the range of 1.08-1.21. The perturbation profiles reveal three distinct features behind the propagating wave fronts: coronal dimmings, stationary brightenings and rarefaction regions. All of them appear after the wave passage and are only slowly fading away. Our findings indicate that the events under study are weak shock fast-mode MHD waves initiated by the CME lateral expansion. Title: Cosmic ray modulation by solar wind disturbances Authors: Dumbović, M.; Vršnak, B.; Čalogović, J.; Karlica, M. Bibcode: 2011A&A...531A..91D Altcode:
Aims: We perform a systematic statistical study of the relationship between characteristics of solar wind disturbances, caused by interplanetary coronal mass ejections and corotating interaction regions, and properties of Forbush decreases (FDs). Since the mechanism of FDs is still being researched, this analysis should provide a firm empirical basis for physical interpretations of the FD phenomenon.
Methods: The analysis is based on the ground-based neutron monitor data and the solar wind data recorded by the Advanced Composition Explorer, where the disturbances were identified as increases in proton speed, magnetic field, and magnetic field fluctuations. We focus on the relative timing of FDs, as well as on the correlations between various FD and solar wind parameters, paying special attention to the statistical significance of the results.
Results: It was found that the onset, the minimum, and the end of FDs are delayed after the onset, the maximum, and the end of the magnetic field enhancement. The t-test shows that at the 95% significance level the average lags have to be longer than 3, 7, and 26 h, respectively. FD magnitude (| FD|) is correlated with the magnetic field strength (B), magnetic field fluctuations (δB), and speed (v), as well as with combined parameters, BtB, Bv, vtB, and BvtB, where tB is the duration of the magnetic field disturbance. In the |FD|(B) dependence, a "branching" effect was observed, i.e., two different trends exist. The analysis of the FD duration and recovery period reveals a correlation with the duration of the magnetic field enhancement. The strongest correlations are obtained for the dependence on combined solar wind parameters of the product of the FD duration and magnitude, implying that combined parameters are in fact true variables themselves, rather than just a product of variables.
Conclusions: From the time lags we estimate that "the penetration depth" in the disturbance, at which FD onset becomes recognizable, is on the order of 100 Larmor radii and is comparable to a typical shock-sheath dimension. The results for the FD time profile indicate "shadow effect" of the solar wind disturbance before and after it passes the observer. The importance of reduced parallel diffusion during the passage of the disturbance is discussed, along with the influence of terrestrial effects on the observed "branching effect".

Appendices A-C are available in electronic form at http://www.aanda.org Title: The Drag Based Model of ICME Propagation Authors: Dumbović, M.; Vršnak, B.; Žic, T.; Vrbanec, D.; Veronig, A.; Temmer, M.; Rollett, T.; Moestl, C.; Moon, Y. -J. Bibcode: 2011simi.confR...2D Altcode: One of central issues of space weather is the propagation of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs). At the heliospheric distances beyond R=20 solar radii the "aerodynamic" drag is presumably the dominant force governing ICME propagation; therefore, a drag based model (DBM) was established, which can be used to forecast the ICME arrival at the Earth.

First, the model was tested on a sample of CMEs by combining remote observations of the CME take-off gained by the LASCO onboard SOHO, and in situ measurements from ACE and Wind satellites. The results of the DBM were compared to observational data and a fairly good agreement of the two was found. The model was then tested against STEREO observations. The ICME kinematics was inferred from STEREO observations by applying the Harmonic Mean method and compared to the DBM results. In this way we were able to reproduce the propagation of both slow and fast ICMEs, as well as to identify ICME-ICME interactions and a transition from fast-to-slow solar wind regimes. Finally, a statistical study was performed, where parameters were varied within a model in order to obtain optimal values, for which the average difference in the observed and calculated TT is zero (O-C=0) and the O-C scatter gets minimum. The source of the scatter in O–C values was investigated.

The research leading to the results presented in this paper has received funding from European Community's Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007-2013) under grant agreement No. 218816. Title: Cosmic Ray Modulation by Solar Wind Disturbances Authors: Dumbović, M.; Vršnak, B.; Čalogović, J.; Karlica, M. Bibcode: 2011simi.confQ...2D Altcode: Solar wind disturbances (SWDs), namely interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) and corotating interaction regions (CIRs), cause short-term depressions in galactic cosmic ray (GCR) flux. The mechanism of this modulation is still a matter of research from observational point and theoretical modeling. Since GCR flux reflects solar activity, solving this problem represents an important aspect of space weather.

We analyze the influence of different SWD parameters on the amplitude and the duration of the depressions, using ground-based neutron monitor data and in situ solar wind data from the ACE satellite. We test correlations between GCR depression amplitudes and solar wind speed, IMF and IMF fluctuations. Time profiles are also examined. The analysis is performed for SWDs in general, ICMEs, CIRs, mixed ICME/CIR events, events associated with an interplanetary shock, and events without shock.

A statistical analysis is also performed regarding the delay of the depression after the onset of the IMF increase. We find that in the majority of cases the decrease follows the onset in IMF increase with an average delay on the order of the typical shock-sheath thickness. High correlation between the depression magnitude and the increase in IMF fluctuations and strength was found, favoring reduced diffusion as a modulation mechanism. Furthermore, the proxies of time integrals are found to behave as physical quantities. The differences were observed between the data sorted by type (ICME, CIR, and mixed) and shock association. Obtained results can be used to test theoretical models. Title: Coronal Mass Ejection of 12 June 2010: CME Kinematical Parameters Authors: Maričić, D.; Vršnak, B.; Roša, D.; Hržina, D.; Romštajn, I. Bibcode: 2011simi.confQ...5M Altcode: We investigate the initiation and development of the limb coronal mass ejection (CME) which launched 12 June 2010, utilizing observations from Mauna Loa Solar Observatory (MLSO), Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO), Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory (STEREO) and Solar Dynamic Observatory (SDO). The goal of this study is to investigate the new, relatively fast method for determining true geometric and kinematical CME parameters from simultaneous observation of CMEs by various satellites and ground based MLSO observatory. These parameters are direction of CME motion, velocity and acceleration of the different parts of CME (the frontal rim, the cavity, and the prominence) and CME angular size. Furthermore, we investigate the driving mechanisms of CME and infer the magnetic field properties at the onset of the instability. To determine the driving mechanism, we quantitatively and qualitatively compared the observationally obtained kinematic evolution with that predicted by various CME models, mainly based on toroidal geometry (cf., Chen, 1989; Vršnak, 1990; Forbes and Isenberg, 1991; Amari et al., 2000; Wu et al., 2000; T r k and Kliem, 2005). Title: Comparison between Linear and Quadratic Drag Models for ICME Propagation Authors: Moon, Yong-Jae; Vrsnak, B.; Gopalswamy, N.; Yashiro, S. Bibcode: 2011SPD....42.2318M Altcode: 2011BAAS..43S.2318M In this paper, we have examined a recent issue what kinds of drag form (linear or quadratic drag) is proper for interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs). For this work, we have examined well-observed LASCO CMEs associated with DH Type II bursts satisfying the following conditions: (1) the CMEs speeds are larger than 600 km/s, (2) their longitudes are larger than 60 degrees, (3) the numbers of their LASCO data points are larger than 6, and (4) their accelerations are smaller than -1 m/s2. We find that their accelerations (Log a) in the LASCO field of view has a very good quadratic relationship with the CME relative speeds Log (Vcme-400) with the correlation coefficient of R=0.83, supporting the quadratic drag force. Another test has been made by applying two drag models to two well-observed STEREO/SECCHI events. As a result, we found that (1) while two speed profiles are well fitted by the quadratic drag model, one speed profile can not be fitted by the linear model; (2) while the physical parameters for the quadratic model are well consistent with observations, the kinematic viscosity for the linear model should be four orders larger than its observed value. From this study, we conclude that the quadratic drag model for ICME propagation should be proper than the linear drag model. Title: Correlation between CME and Flare Parameters (with and without Type II Bursts) Authors: Shanmugaraju, A.; Moon, Y. -J.; Vršnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2011SoPh..270..273S Altcode: 2011SoPh..tmp...58S; 2011SoPh..tmp...81S CMEs and flares are the two energetic phenomena on the Sun responsible for generating shocks. Our main aim is to study the relation between the physical properties of CMEs and flares associated with and without type II radio bursts. We considered a set of 290 SOHO/LASCO CMEs associated with GOES X-ray flares observed during the period from January 1997 to December 2000. The relationship between the flares and CMEs is examined for the two sets i) with metric-type IIs and ii) without metric-type IIs. Physical properties such as rise time, duration, and strength of the flares and width, speed, and acceleration of CMEs are considered. We examined the energy relationship and temporal relationship between the CMEs and flares. First, all the events in each group were considered, and then the limb events in each group were considered separately. While there is a relationship between the temporal characteristics of flares and CME properties in the case of with-type IIs, it is absent in the case of all without-type IIs. Among all the relations studied, the correlation between flare duration and CME properties is found to be highly significant compared to the other relations. Also, the relationship between flare strength and CME speed found in the with-type II events is absent in the case of all without-type II events. However, when the limb without-type II events (with reduced time window between flare and CME) are studied separately, we found the energy relationship and the temporal relationship. Title: Equatorial coronal holes, solar wind high-speed streams, and their geoeffectiveness Authors: Verbanac, G.; Vršnak, B.; Veronig, A.; Temmer, M. Bibcode: 2011A&A...526A..20V Altcode: Context. Solar wind high-speed streams (HSSs), originating in equatorial coronal holes (CHs), are the main driver of the geomagnetic activity in the late-declining phase of the solar cycle.
Aims: We analyze correlations between CH characteristics, HSSs parameters, and the geomagnetic activity indices, to establish empirical relationships that would provide forecasting of the solar wind characteristics, as well as the effect of HSSs on the geomagnetic activity in periods when the effect of coronal mass ejections is low.
Methods: We apply the cross-correlation analysis to the fractional CH area (CH) measured between central meridian distances ±10°, solar wind parameters (flow velocity V, proton density n, temperature T, and the magnetic field B), and the geomagnetic indices Dst and Ap.
Results: The cross-correlation analysis reveals a high degree of correlation between all studied parameters. In particular, we show that the Ap index is considerably more sensitive to HSS and CH characteristics than Dst. The Ap and Dst indices are most tightly correlated with the solar wind parameter BV2.
Conclusions: From the point of view of space weather, the most important result is that the established empirical relationships provide a few-days-in-advance forecasting of the HSS characteristics and the related geomagnetic activity at the six-hour resolution.

Appendices, Figs. 9-14, and table 4 are only available in electronic form at http://www.aanda.org Title: Case Study of Four Homologous Large-scale Coronal Waves Observed on 2010 April 28 and 29 Authors: Kienreich, I. W.; Veronig, A. M.; Muhr, N.; Temmer, M.; Vršnak, B.; Nitta, N. Bibcode: 2011ApJ...727L..43K Altcode: 2011arXiv1101.5232K On 2010 April 28 and 29, the Solar TErrestrial Relations Observatory B/Extreme Ultraviolet Imager observed four homologous large-scale coronal waves, the so-called EIT-waves, within 8 hr. All waves emerged from the same source active region, were accompanied by weak flares and faint coronal mass ejections, and propagated into the same direction at constant velocities in the range of ~220-340 km s-1. The last of these four coronal wave events was the strongest and fastest, with a velocity of 337 ± 31 km s-1 and a peak perturbation amplitude of ~1.24, corresponding to a magnetosonic Mach number of M ms ~ 1.09. The magnetosonic Mach numbers and velocities of the four waves are distinctly correlated, suggestive of the nonlinear fast-mode magnetosonic wave nature of the events. We also found a correlation between the magnetic energy buildup times and the velocity and magnetosonic Mach number. Title: Inventorying the Solar System with LSST Authors: Jones, R. Lynne; Brown, M. E.; Abel, P. A.; Chesley, S. R.; Durech, J.; Fernandez, Y. R.; Harris, A. W.; Holman, M. J.; Ivezic, Z.; Jedicke, R.; Kaasalainen, M.; Kaib, N. A.; Knevezic, Z.; Milani, A.; Park, A.; Ragozzine, D.; Ridgway, S. T.; Trilling, D. E.; Vrsnak, B.; LSST Solar System Science Collaboration Bibcode: 2011AAS...21725210J Altcode: 2011BAAS...4325210J Near the ecliptic, LSST is expected to detect approximately 4000 moving objects per 9.6 square degree field of view. Each pointing (with mag limits r 24.5) will be revisited within 30-45 minutes, several times per month. Automated software will provide the means to link these individual detections into orbits. The result will be publicly available catalogs of hundreds of thousands of NEOs and Jupiter Trojans, millions of asteroids, tens of thousands of TNOs, as well as thousands of other objects such as comets and irregular satellites of the major planets. These catalogs will contain final orbits as well as the individual (multi-color) observations, calibrated to high precisision in astrometry ( 50 mas) and photometry ( 0.01 mag).

With these large datasets, LSST will provide new insights into links between populations of moving objects, such as the relationship between Main Belt asteroids and NEOs. Models of solar system evolution, such as the Nice model, can be tested against an order of magnitude larger statistical sample, providing much stronger constraints than are currently possible. With high accuracy multi-color photometry, lightcurves and colors will be determined for a significant fraction of the objects detected. Using sparse lightcurve inversion, spin state and shape models will be derived for tens of thousands of main belt asteroids. Derivation of proper elements for Main Belt asteroids will greatly enlarge existing asteroid families, particularly at smaller sizes, and precise color information will facilitate further division. More unpredictable discoveries, such as the potential for observing a real-time collision, could lead to new insights into physical properties, the size distribution at very small diameters, the orbital evolution of asteroids, or the discovery of possible space mission targets. Title: Application of data assimilation to solar wind forecasting models Authors: Innocenti, M.; Lapenta, G.; Vrsnak, B.; Temmer, M.; Veronig, A.; Bettarini, L.; Lee, E.; Markidis, S.; Skender, M.; Crespon, F.; Skandrani, C.; Soteria Space-Weather Forecast; Data Assimilation Team Bibcode: 2010AGUFMSM54A..08I Altcode: Data Assimilation through Kalman filtering [1,2] is a powerful statistical tool which allows to combine modeling and observations to increase the degree of knowledge of a given system. We apply this technique to the forecast of solar wind parameters (proton speed, proton temperature, absolute value of the magnetic field and proton density) at 1 AU, using the model described in [3] and ACE data as observations. The model, which relies on GOES 12 observations of the percentage of the meridional slice of the sun covered by coronal holes, grants 1-day and 6-hours in advance forecasts of the aforementioned quantities in quiet times (CMEs are not taken into account) during the declining phase of the solar cycle and is tailored for specific time intervals. We show that the application of data assimilation generally improves the quality of the forecasts during quiet times and, more notably, extends the periods of applicability of the model, which can now provide reliable forecasts also in presence of CMEs and for periods other than the ones it was designed for. Acknowledgement: The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Commission’s Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007-2013) under the grant agreement N. 218816 (SOTERIA project: http://www.soteria-space.eu). References: [1] R. Kalman, J. Basic Eng. 82, 35 (1960); [2] G. Welch and G. Bishop, Technical Report TR 95-041, University of North Carolina, Department of Computer Science (2001); [3] B. Vrsnak, M. Temmer, and A. Veronig, Solar Phys. 240, 315 (2007). Title: On the Origin of the Solar Moreton Wave of 2006 December 6 Authors: Balasubramaniam, K. S.; Cliver, E. W.; Pevtsov, A.; Temmer, M.; Henry, T. W.; Hudson, H. S.; Imada, S.; Ling, A. G.; Moore, R. L.; Muhr, N.; Neidig, D. F.; Petrie, G. J. D.; Veronig, A. M.; Vršnak, B.; White, S. M. Bibcode: 2010ApJ...723..587B Altcode: We analyzed ground- and space-based observations of the eruptive flare (3B/X6.5) and associated Moreton wave (~850 km s-1 ~270° azimuthal span) of 2006 December 6 to determine the wave driver—either flare pressure pulse (blast) or coronal mass ejection (CME). Kinematic analysis favors a CME driver of the wave, despite key gaps in coronal data. The CME scenario has a less constrained/smoother velocity versus time profile than is the case for the flare hypothesis and requires an acceleration rate more in accord with observations. The CME picture is based, in part, on the assumption that a strong and impulsive magnetic field change observed by a GONG magnetograph during the rapid rise phase of the flare corresponds to the main acceleration phase of the CME. The Moreton wave evolution tracks the inferred eruption of an extended coronal arcade, overlying a region of weak magnetic field to the west of the principal flare in NOAA active region 10930. Observations of Hα foot point brightenings, disturbance contours in off-band Hα images, and He I 10830 Å flare ribbons trace the eruption from 18:42 to 18:44 UT as it progressed southwest along the arcade. Hinode EIS observations show strong blueshifts at foot points of this arcade during the post-eruption phase, indicating mass outflow. At 18:45 UT, the Moreton wave exhibited two separate arcs (one off each flank of the tip of the arcade) that merged and coalesced by 18:47 UT to form a single smooth wave front, having its maximum amplitude in the southwest direction. We suggest that the erupting arcade (i.e., CME) expanded laterally to drive a coronal shock responsible for the Moreton wave. We attribute a darkening in Hα from a region underlying the arcade to absorption by faint unresolved post-eruption loops. Title: Modeling UV and X-ray Emission in a Post-coronal Mass Ejection Current Sheet Authors: Ko, Yuan-Kuen; Raymond, John C.; Vršnak, Bojan; Vujić, Eugen Bibcode: 2010ApJ...722..625K Altcode: 2010arXiv1008.1732K A post-coronal mass ejection (CME) current sheet (CS) is a common feature developed behind an erupting flux rope in CME models. Observationally, white light observations have recorded many occurrences of a thin ray appearing behind a CME eruption that closely resembles a post-CME CS in its spatial correspondence and morphology. UV and X-ray observations further strengthen this interpretation by the observations of high-temperature emission at locations consistent with model predictions. The next question then becomes whether the properties inside a post-CME CS predicted by a model agree with observed properties. In this work, we assume that the post-CME CS is a consequence of Petschek-like reconnection and that the observed ray-like structure is bounded by a pair of slow mode shocks developed from the reconnection site. We perform time-dependent ionization calculations and model the UV line emission. We find that such a model is consistent with SOHO/UVCS observations of the post-CME CS. The change of Fe XVIII emission in one event implies an inflow speed of ~10 km s-1 and a corresponding reconnection rate of MA ~ 0.01. We calculate the expected X-ray emission for comparison with X-ray observations by Hinode/XRT, as well as the ionic charge states as would be measured in situ at 1 AU. We find that the predicted count rate for Hinode/XRT agrees with what was observed in a post-CME CS on 2008 April 9, and the predicted ionic charge states are consistent with high ionization states commonly measured in the interplanetary CMEs. The model results depend strongly on the physical parameters in the ambient corona, namely the coronal magnetic field, the electron density, and temperature during the CME event. It is crucial to obtain these ambient coronal parameters and as many facets of the CS properties as possible by observational means so that the post-CME CS models can be scrutinized more effectively. Title: Type-II Bursts in Meter and Deca - Hectometer Wavelengths and Their Relation to Flares and CMEs: II Authors: Prakash, O.; Umapathy, S.; Shanmugaraju, A.; Pappa kalaivani, P.; Vršnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2010SoPh..266..135P Altcode: 2010SoPh..tmp..148P A study of the relationship between 38 type-II bursts recorded in meter and deca-hectometer (hereinafter m and DH) wavelength range and the associated flares and CMEs observed during the years 2000 - 2005 was carried out by Prakash et al. (2009). These events were divided into two classes: i) Class I, representing events where DH-type-II bursts are not a continuation of m-type-II bursts and ii) Class II, where DH-type-II bursts are a continuation of m-type-II bursts. In the present work, we extend the analysis of this sample of 38 events in three different steps: i) statistical properties of m- and DH-type-II bursts; ii) analysis of time lags between onsets of flares and CMEs associated with type-II bursts; and iii) statistical properties and relation between flares and CMEs of Class I and Class II events. We found a significant difference between the properties of m- and DH-type-II bursts of Class I and Class II events. For example, there are significant differences in starting and ending frequencies, bandwidth and speed. From the time delay analysis, we found the following. i) In 64% of Class I events, flares start after the onset of CMEs and the remaining 36% of flares start before the onset of CMEs. On the other hand, in the case of Class II events, the values are 83% and 17%, respectively. ii) The difference between the mean values of delay between flare start and DH start has high statistical significance (probability P of null hypothesis <1%). The time delays between the start of m-type-II burst and the CME onset are considerably larger for Class I events (P=7%) than Class II events. iii) There are notable differences in: (a) delay between the flare and CME onset times (P<1%); (b) flare rise time of Class I and Class II events (P<5%). iv) While the flare rise time is well correlated with the lag between the flare start and the CME onset in Class I events, there is no such correlation for Class II events. Title: Observations of Chromospheric Flare Re-brightenings Authors: Miklenic, C. H.; Veronig, A. M.; Vršnak, B.; Bárta, M. Bibcode: 2010ApJ...719.1750M Altcode: We investigate an active region that produced three C-class flares and one M-class flare within 2.5 hr. The morphology and location of the C-flares indicate that these events constitute a set of homologous flares. Radio observations indicate the occurrence of a downward-moving plasmoid during the impulsive phase of the M flare. We use TRACE 1700 Å filtergrams and SOHO Michelson Doppler Imager magnetograms to examine the character of the UV brightenings; i.e., we search for re-brightenings of former flare areas both across the series of events and within one and the same event. We find that essentially the same footpoints re-brighten in each C flare. Based on the progression of both the derived magnetic flux change rate and the observed Radio Solar Telescope Network microwave emission, we speculate about a further re-brightening during the decay phase of the M flare as a further member of the series of homologous flares. We conclude that the "postflare" field is driven to repeated eruption by continuous, shear-increasing, horizontal, photospheric flows, as one end of the involved magnetic arcade is anchored in the penumbra of a large sunspot. The observed motion pattern of the UV kernels indicates that the arcade evolves during the series of events from a both highly sheared and heavily entangled state to a still sheared but more organized state. Title: Multiwavelength Imaging and Spectroscopy of Chromospheric Evaporation in an M-class Solar Flare Authors: Veronig, A. M.; Rybák, J.; Gömöry, P.; Berkebile-Stoiser, S.; Temmer, M.; Otruba, W.; Vršnak, B.; Pötzi, W.; Baumgartner, D. Bibcode: 2010ApJ...719..655V Altcode: 2010arXiv1007.0930V We study spectroscopic observations of chromospheric evaporation mass flows in comparison with the energy input by electron beams derived from hard X-ray (HXR) data for the white-light M2.5 flare of 2006 July 6. The event was captured in high-cadence spectroscopic observing mode by SOHO/CDS combined with high-cadence imaging at various wavelengths in the visible, extreme ultraviolet, and X-ray domain during the joint observing campaign JOP171. During the flare peak, we observe downflows in the He I and O V lines formed in the chromosphere and transition region, respectively, and simultaneous upflows in the hot coronal Si XII line. The energy deposition rate by electron beams derived from RHESSI HXR observations is suggestive of explosive chromospheric evaporation, consistent with the observed plasma motions. However, for a later distinct X-ray burst, where the site of the strongest energy deposition is exactly located on the Coronal Diagnostics Spectrometer (CDS) slit, the situation is intriguing. The O V transition region line spectra show the evolution of double components, indicative of the superposition of a stationary plasma volume and upflowing plasma elements with high velocities (up to 280 km s-1) in single CDS pixels on the flare ribbon. However, the energy input by electrons during this period is too small to drive explosive chromospheric evaporation. These unexpected findings indicate that the flaring transition region is much more dynamic, complex, and fine structured than is captured in single-loop hydrodynamic simulations. Title: Coronal Shocks Associated with Impulsive and Decaying Phases of Solar Flares Authors: Suresh, K.; Umapathy, S.; Shanmugaraju, A.; Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2010SoPh..264..353S Altcode: 2010SoPh..tmp..108S We have analyzed a set of 147 metric Type II radio bursts observed by Culgoora radio spectrograph from November 1997 to December 2006. These events were divided into two sets: The first subset contains Type II events that started during the impulsive phase of the associated solar flares and the second subset contains those starting during the decaying phase of flares. Our main aim is to differentiate the metric Type IIs, flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) of these two subsets. It is found that while Type II burst characteristics of both subsets are very similar, there are significant differences between flare and CME properties for these two subsets. Considering all analyzed relationships between the characteristics of Type IIs, flares and CMEs in these two Type II subsets, we conclude that most of the coronal shocks causing metric Type II bursts are driven by CMEs, but that a fraction of events are probably ignited by solar flares. Title: Origin of Coronal Shock Waves Associated with Slow Coronal Mass Ejections Authors: Magdalenić, J.; Marqué, C.; Zhukov, A. N.; Vršnak, B.; Žic, T. Bibcode: 2010ApJ...718..266M Altcode: We present a multiwavelength study of five coronal mass ejection/flare events (CME/flare) and associated coronal shock waves manifested as type II radio bursts. The study is focused on the events in which the flare energy release, and not the associated CME, is the most probable source of the shock wave. Therefore, we selected events associated with rather slow CMEs (reported mean velocity below 500 km s-1). To ensure minimal projection effects, only events related to flares situated close to the solar limb were included in the study. We used radio dynamic spectra, positions of radio sources observed by the Nançay Radioheliograph, GOES soft X-ray flux measurements, Large Angle Spectroscopic Coronagraph, and Extreme-ultraviolet Imaging Telescope observations. The kinematics of the shock wave signatures, type II radio bursts, were analyzed and compared with the flare evolution and the CME kinematics. We found that the velocities of the shock waves were significantly higher, up to one order of magnitude, than the contemporaneous CME velocities. On the other hand, shock waves were closely temporally associated with the flare energy release that was very impulsive in all events. This suggests that the impulsive increase of the pressure in the flare was the source of the shock wave. In four events the shock wave was most probably flare-generated, and in one event results were inconclusive due to a very close temporal synchronization of the CME, flare, and shock. Title: Investigations of the sensitivity of a coronal mass ejection model (ENLIL) to solar input parameters Authors: Falkenberg, T. V.; Vršnak, B.; Taktakishvili, A.; Odstrcil, D.; MacNeice, P.; Hesse, M. Bibcode: 2010SpWea...8.6004F Altcode: Understanding space weather is not only important for satellite operations and human exploration of the solar system but also to phenomena here on Earth that may potentially disturb and disrupt electrical signals. Some of the most violent space weather effects are caused by coronal mass ejections (CMEs), but in order to predict the caused effects, we need to be able to model their propagation from their origin in the solar corona to the point of interest, e.g., Earth. Many such models exist, but to understand the models in detail we must understand the primary input parameters. Here we investigate the parameter space of the ENLILv2.5b model using the CME event of 25 July 2004. ENLIL is a time-dependent 3-D MHD model that can simulate the propagation of cone-shaped interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) through the solar system. Excepting the cone parameters (radius, position, and initial velocity), all remaining parameters are varied, resulting in more than 20 runs investigated here. The output parameters considered are velocity, density, magnetic field strength, and temperature. We find that the largest effects on the model output are the input parameters of upper limit for ambient solar wind velocity, CME density, and elongation factor, regardless of whether one's main interest is arrival time, signal shape, or signal amplitude of the ICME. We find that though ENLILv2.5b currently does not include the magnetic cloud of the ICME, it replicates the signal at L1 well in the studied event. The arrival time difference between satellite data and the ENLILv2.5b baseline run of this study is less than 30 min. Title: First Observations of a Dome-shaped Large-scale Coronal Extreme-ultraviolet Wave Authors: Veronig, A. M.; Muhr, N.; Kienreich, I. W.; Temmer, M.; Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2010ApJ...716L..57V Altcode: 2010arXiv1005.2060V We present first observations of a dome-shaped large-scale extreme-ultraviolet coronal wave, recorded by the Extreme Ultraviolet Imager instrument on board STEREO-B on 2010 January 17. The main arguments that the observed structure is the wave dome (and not the coronal mass ejection, CME) are (1) the spherical form and sharpness of the dome's outer edge and the erupting CME loops observed inside the dome; (2) the low-coronal wave signatures above the limb perfectly connecting to the on-disk signatures of the wave; (3) the lateral extent of the expanding dome which is much larger than that of the coronal dimming; and (4) the associated high-frequency type II burst indicating shock formation low in the corona. The velocity of the upward expansion of the wave dome (v ~ 650 km s-1) is larger than that of the lateral expansion of the wave (v ~ 280 km s-1), indicating that the upward dome expansion is driven all the time, and thus depends on the CME speed, whereas in the lateral direction it is freely propagating after the CME lateral expansion stops. We also examine the evolution of the perturbation characteristics: first the perturbation profile steepens and the amplitude increases. Thereafter, the amplitude decreases with r -2.5 ± 0.3, the width broadens, and the integral below the perturbation remains constant. Our findings are consistent with the spherical expansion and decay of a weakly shocked fast-mode MHD wave. Title: Four decades of geomagnetic and solar activity: 1960-2001 Authors: Verbanac, Giuli; Vršnak, Bojan; Temmer, Manuela; Mandea, Mioara; Korte, Monika Bibcode: 2010JASTP..72..607V Altcode: We analyze the relationship between some space weather indices (Dst, Ap, F10.7) and geomagnetic effects on the regional (European) scale, over the period 1960-2001. The remaining external field signal (RES) detected in the Northward magnetic component of the European observatory annual means are used as an indicator of the regional geomagnetic activity. Relationship RES-F10.7 suggests correction factors for getting the geomagnetic annual means of the Northern component less affected by the external sources. We have found some time lags among investigated parameters. These delays may suggest that the Ap responds to the solar activity in a differently than Dst and RES, Ap being more sensitive to the high-speed streams (HSS) and the Alfvenic waves present in HSS, while Dst and RES being more influenced by the coronal mass ejections activity (CME). Title: Combined STEREO/RHESSI Study of Coronal Mass Ejection Acceleration and Particle Acceleration in Solar Flares Authors: Temmer, M.; Veronig, A. M.; Kontar, E. P.; Krucker, S.; Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2010ApJ...712.1410T Altcode: 2010arXiv1002.3080T Using the potential of two unprecedented missions, Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory (STEREO) and Reuven Ramaty High-Energy Solar Spectroscopic Imager (RHESSI), we study three well-observed fast coronal mass ejections (CMEs) that occurred close to the limb together with their associated high-energy flare emissions in terms of RHESSI hard X-ray (HXR) spectra and flux evolution. From STEREO/EUVI and STEREO/COR1 data, the full CME kinematics of the impulsive acceleration phase up to ~4 R sun is measured with a high time cadence of <=2.5 minutes. For deriving CME velocity and acceleration, we apply and test a new algorithm based on regularization methods. The CME maximum acceleration is achieved at heights h <= 0.4 R sun, and the peak velocity at h <= 2.1 R sun (in one case, as small as 0.5 R sun). We find that the CME acceleration profile and the flare energy release as evidenced in the RHESSI HXR flux evolve in a synchronized manner. These results support the "standard" flare/CME model which is characterized by a feedback relationship between the large-scale CME acceleration process and the energy release in the associated flare. Title: The role of aerodynamic drag in propagation of interplanetary coronal mass ejections Authors: Vršnak, B.; Žic, T.; Falkenberg, T. V.; Möstl, C.; Vennerstrom, S.; Vrbanec, D. Bibcode: 2010A&A...512A..43V Altcode: Context. The propagation of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) and the forecast of their arrival on Earth is one of the central issues of space weather studies.
Aims: We investigate to which degree various ICME parameters (mass, size, take-off speed) and the ambient solar-wind parameters (density and velocity) affect the ICME Sun-Earth transit time.
Methods: We study solutions of a drag-based equation of motion by systematically varying the input parameters. The analysis is focused on ICME transit times and 1 AU velocities.
Results: The model results reveal that wide ICMEs of low masses adjust to the solar-wind speed already close to the sun, so the transit time is determined primarily by the solar-wind speed. The shortest transit times and accordingly the highest 1 AU velocities are related to narrow and massive ICMEs (i.e. high-density eruptions) propagating in high-speed solar wind streams. We apply the model to the Sun-Earth event associated with the CME of 25 July 2004 and compare the results with the outcome of the numerical MHD modeling. Title: Quasi-Periodic Oscillations in Lasco Coronal Mass Ejection Speeds Authors: Shanmugaraju, A.; Moon, Y. -J.; Cho, K. -S.; Bong, S. C.; Gopalswamy, N.; Akiyama, S.; Yashiro, S.; Umapathy, S.; Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 2010ApJ...708..450S Altcode: Quasi-periodic oscillations in the speed profile of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in the radial distance range 2-30 solar radii are studied. We considered the height-time data of the 307 CMEs recorded by the Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph (LASCO) during 2005 January-March. In order to study the speed-distance profile of the CMEs, we have used only 116 events for which there are at least 10 height-time measurements made in the LASCO field of view. The instantaneous CME speed is estimated using a pair of height-time data points, providing the speed-distance profile. We found quasi-periodic patterns in at least 15 speed-distance profiles, where the speed amplitudes are larger than the speed errors. For these events we have determined the speed amplitude and period of oscillations. The periods of quasi-periodic oscillations are found in the range 48-240 minutes, tending to increase with height. The oscillations have similar properties as those reported by Krall et al., who interpreted them in terms of the flux-rope model. The nature of forces responsible for the motion of CMEs and their oscillations are discussed. Title: Inventorying the Solar System with LSST Authors: Jones, R. Lynne; Chesley, S. R.; Abell, P. A.; Brown, M. E.; Durech, J.; Fernandez, Y. R.; Harris, A. W.; Holman, M. J.; Ivezic, Z.; Jedicke, R.; Kaasaleinen, M.; Kaib, N. A.; Knevezic, Z.; Milani, A.; Parker, A.; Ridgway, S. T.; Trilling, D. E.; Vrsnak, B.; LSST Solar System Science Collaboration Bibcode: 2010AAS...21540107J Altcode: 2010BAAS...42..218J LSST's extremely wide sky coverage (>30,000 square degrees), coupled with a faint limiting magnitude (r 24.7 per image), and a rapid observational cadence -- each field is observed twice per night, 4-5 times each month -- result in a survey telescope with powerful potential for detecting small moving objects. Near the ecliptic, LSST is expected to detect approximately 4000 moving objects per 9.6 square degree field of view; automated software will provide the means to link these individual detections into orbits. The result will be catalogs of hundreds of thousands of NEOs and Jupiter Trojans, millions of asteroids, tens of thousands of TNOs, and thousands of other objects such as comets and irregular satellites of the major planets. These catalogs will be publicly available, both final orbits and the underlying multi-color observations, with highly accurate measurements in astrometry ( 50 mas) and photometry ( 0.01-0.02 mag).

With these large datasets, LSST will provide new insights into links between populations of moving objects, such as the relationship between Main Belt asteroids and NEOs. Models of solar system evolution, such as the Nice model, can be tested against an order of magnitude larger statistical sample, providing much stronger constraints than are currently possible. Detection of populations of objects beyond Neptune at a wide range of ecliptic latitudes as well as a well-characterized measurement of cometary populations will permit measurements of the nature of the inner and outer Oort cloud. Using high accuracy multicolor photometry, lightcurves and colors will be determined for a significant fraction of the objects detected. Through sparse lightcurve inversion, spin state and shape models will be derived for tens of thousands of main belt asteroids. Derivation of proper elements for Main Belt asteroids will greatly enlarge existing asteroid families, particularly at smaller sizes, and precise color information will facilitate further divisions. Title: Analysis of a Global Moreton Wave Observed on 2003 October 28 Authors: Muhr, N.; Vršnak, B.; Temmer, M.; Veronig, A. M.; Magdalenić, J. Bibcode: 2010ApJ...708.1639M Altcode: 2009arXiv0911.4405M We study the well-pronounced Moreton wave that occurred in association with the X17.2 flare/CME event of 2003 October 28. This Moreton wave is striking for its global propagation and two separate wave centers, which implies that two waves were launched simultaneously. The mean velocity of the Moreton wave, tracked within different sectors of propagation direction, lies in the range of v ≈ 900-1100 km s-1 with two sectors showing wave deceleration. The perturbation profile analysis of the wave indicates amplitude growth followed by amplitude weakening and broadening of the perturbation profile, which is consistent with a disturbance first driven and then evolving into a freely propagating wave. The Extreme-Ultraviolet Imaging Telescope wave front is found to lie on the same kinematical curve as the Moreton wave fronts indicating that both are different signatures of the same physical process. Bipolar coronal dimmings are observed on the same opposite east-west edges of the active region as the Moreton wave ignition centers. The radio type II source, which is cospatially located with the first wave front, indicates that the wave was launched from an extended source region (gsim60 Mm). These findings suggest that the Moreton wave is initiated by the coronal mass ejection expanding flanks. Title: Flare-generated coronal shock on 14 November 2005 Authors: Magdalenic, Jasmina; Marque, Christophe; Zhukov, Andrei; Veronig, Astrid; Vrsnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2010cosp...38.1798M Altcode: 2010cosp.meet.1798M Origin of coronal shock waves is still not completely understood. Since the flare impulsive phase and the acceleration phase of a CME are usually well synchronized, it is difficult to give a conclusive answer on the shock wave origin in flare/CME events. We present multiwave-length study of a shock wave associated with the flare event recorded on 14 November 2005. The evolution of the shock wave signature -type II radio burst -is analysed using dynamic spectra recorded by the Green Bank Solar Radio Bursts Spectrometer and Nançay Radioheliograph imaging. The observations of the plasma dynamics in the low and high corona were provided by EIT and LASCO instruments onboard SOHO. The strong type II emission starts at unusually high frequency of 700 MHz. The obtained values for the shock velocity, Alfven velocity and Alfven Mach number are in the range of typical shock parameters. The shock wave was closely associated with the impulsive phase of the compact M3.9 flare in the NOAA AR 10822 (located at S06E60). The short impulsive phase of the flare (4 minutes), suggests that a strong pressure pulse was ignited by the flare. Additionally, RHESSI observations show compact event of a rather high density and high temperature which gives indication of a strong, impulsive increase of pressure in the small flare loop. SOHO/LASCO observations do not show any CME associated with this event. Since the active region is rather close to the limb, the possibility that the corresponding CME is not observed due to the unfavorable geometry is unlikely. We therefore conclude that the shock wave recorded on 14 November 2005 was a blast wave launched by the impulsive energy release in the course of the flare. Title: Study of the kinematics and driver of the global Moreton wave observed on 2003 October 28 Authors: Muhr, Mmag. Nicole; Vrsnak, Bojan; Temmer, Manuela; Veronig, Astrid; Magdalenic, Jasmina Bibcode: 2010cosp...38.1844M Altcode: 2010cosp.meet.1844M We analyze the evolution and kinematics of the fast, globally propagating Moreton wave of 2003 October 28 associated with the extreme X17.2 solar flare/CME event. This Moreton wave is distinct due to its strengths and azimuthal span of span 360. We study the wave kinematics in different propagation directions, and compare it with the following associated phenomena: EIT wave, coronal dimmings, fast halo CME, flare, and type II burst. The sectoral analysis yield mean velocity values in the range 900-1000 km/s; two sectors show wave deceleration. The perturbation profile evolution indicates an amplitude growth followed by amplitude weakening and broadening, which is consistent with a disturbance first driven and then evolving into a freely propagating wave. We find two `'radiant points" for the Moreton wave fronts on opposite east-west edges of the source region, roughly co-spatial with the bipolar coronal dimming. The co-spatiality of the associated radio type II burst source and the first Moreton wave fronts indicate that the wave was launched from an extended region. These findings indicate that the wave is initiated by the CME expanding flanks. Title: LSST Science Book, Version 2.0 Authors: LSST Science Collaboration; Abell, Paul A.; Allison, Julius; Anderson, Scott F.; Andrew, John R.; Angel, J. Roger P.; Armus, Lee; Arnett, David; Asztalos, S. J.; Axelrod, Tim S.; Bailey, Stephen; Ballantyne, D. R.; Bankert, Justin R.; Barkhouse, Wayne A.; Barr, Jeffrey D.; Barrientos, L. Felipe; Barth, Aaron J.; Bartlett, James G.; Becker, Andrew C.; Becla, Jacek; Beers, Timothy C.; Bernstein, Joseph P.; Biswas, Rahul; Blanton, Michael R.; Bloom, Joshua S.; Bochanski, John J.; Boeshaar, Pat; Borne, Kirk D.; Bradac, Marusa; Brandt, W. N.; Bridge, Carrie R.; Brown, Michael E.; Brunner, Robert J.; Bullock, James S.; Burgasser, Adam J.; Burge, James H.; Burke, David L.; Cargile, Phillip A.; Chandrasekharan, Srinivasan; Chartas, George; Chesley, Steven R.; Chu, You-Hua; Cinabro, David; Claire, Mark W.; Claver, Charles F.; Clowe, Douglas; Connolly, A. J.; Cook, Kem H.; Cooke, Jeff; Cooray, Asantha; Covey, Kevin R.; Culliton, Christopher S.; de Jong, Roelof; de Vries, Willem H.; Debattista, Victor P.; Delgado, Francisco; Dell'Antonio, Ian P.; Dhital, Saurav; Di Stefano, Rosanne; Dickinson, Mark; Dilday, Benjamin; Djorgovski, S. G.; Dobler, Gregory; Donalek, Ciro; Dubois-Felsmann, Gregory; Durech, Josef; Eliasdottir, Ardis; Eracleous, Michael; Eyer, Laurent; Falco, Emilio E.; Fan, Xiaohui; Fassnacht, Christopher D.; Ferguson, Harry C.; Fernandez, Yanga R.; Fields, Brian D.; Finkbeiner, Douglas; Figueroa, Eduardo E.; Fox, Derek B.; Francke, Harold; Frank, James S.; Frieman, Josh; Fromenteau, Sebastien; Furqan, Muhammad; Galaz, Gaspar; Gal-Yam, A.; Garnavich, Peter; Gawiser, Eric; Geary, John; Gee, Perry; Gibson, Robert R.; Gilmore, Kirk; Grace, Emily A.; Green, Richard F.; Gressler, William J.; Grillmair, Carl J.; Habib, Salman; Haggerty, J. S.; Hamuy, Mario; Harris, Alan W.; Hawley, Suzanne L.; Heavens, Alan F.; Hebb, Leslie; Henry, Todd J.; Hileman, Edward; Hilton, Eric J.; Hoadley, Keri; Holberg, J. B.; Holman, Matt J.; Howell, Steve B.; Infante, Leopoldo; Ivezic, Zeljko; Jacoby, Suzanne H.; Jain, Bhuvnesh; R; Jedicke; Jee, M. James; Garrett Jernigan, J.; Jha, Saurabh W.; Johnston, Kathryn V.; Jones, R. Lynne; Juric, Mario; Kaasalainen, Mikko; Styliani; Kafka; Kahn, Steven M.; Kaib, Nathan A.; Kalirai, Jason; Kantor, Jeff; Kasliwal, Mansi M.; Keeton, Charles R.; Kessler, Richard; Knezevic, Zoran; Kowalski, Adam; Krabbendam, Victor L.; Krughoff, K. Simon; Kulkarni, Shrinivas; Kuhlman, Stephen; Lacy, Mark; Lepine, Sebastien; Liang, Ming; Lien, Amy; Lira, Paulina; Long, Knox S.; Lorenz, Suzanne; Lotz, Jennifer M.; Lupton, R. H.; Lutz, Julie; Macri, Lucas M.; Mahabal, Ashish A.; Mandelbaum, Rachel; Marshall, Phil; May, Morgan; McGehee, Peregrine M.; Meadows, Brian T.; Meert, Alan; Milani, Andrea; Miller, Christopher J.; Miller, Michelle; Mills, David; Minniti, Dante; Monet, David; Mukadam, Anjum S.; Nakar, Ehud; Neill, Douglas R.; Newman, Jeffrey A.; Nikolaev, Sergei; Nordby, Martin; O'Connor, Paul; Oguri, Masamune; Oliver, John; Olivier, Scot S.; Olsen, Julia K.; Olsen, Knut; Olszewski, Edward W.; Oluseyi, Hakeem; Padilla, Nelson D.; Parker, Alex; Pepper, Joshua; Peterson, John R.; Petry, Catherine; Pinto, Philip A.; Pizagno, James L.; Popescu, Bogdan; Prsa, Andrej; Radcka, Veljko; Raddick, M. Jordan; Rasmussen, Andrew; Rau, Arne; Rho, Jeonghee; Rhoads, James E.; Richards, Gordon T.; Ridgway, Stephen T.; Robertson, Brant E.; Roskar, Rok; Saha, Abhijit; Sarajedini, Ata; Scannapieco, Evan; Schalk, Terry; Schindler, Rafe; Schmidt, Samuel; Schmidt, Sarah; Schneider, Donald P.; Schumacher, German; Scranton, Ryan; Sebag, Jacques; Seppala, Lynn G.; Shemmer, Ohad; Simon, Joshua D.; Sivertz, M.; Smith, Howard A.; Allyn Smith, J.; Smith, Nathan; Spitz, Anna H.; Stanford, Adam; Stassun, Keivan G.; Strader, Jay; Strauss, Michael A.; Stubbs, Christopher W.; Sweeney, Donald W.; Szalay, Alex; Szkody, Paula; Takada, Masahiro; Thorman, Paul; Trilling, David E.; Trimble, Virginia; Tyson, Anthony; Van Berg, Richard; Vanden Berk, Daniel; VanderPlas, Jake; Verde, Licia; Vrsnak, Bojan; Walkowicz, Lucianne M.; Wandelt, Benjamin D.; Wang, Sheng; Wang, Yun; Warner, Michael; Wechsler, Risa H.; West, Andrew A.; Wiecha, Oliver; Williams, Benjamin F.; Willman, Beth; Wittman, David; Wolff, Sidney C.; Wood-Vasey, W. Michael; Wozniak, Przemek; Young, Patrick; Zentner, Andrew; Zhan, Hu Bibcode: 2009arXiv0912.0201L Altcode: A survey that can cover the sky in optical bands over wide fields to faint magnitudes with a fast cadence will enable many of the exciting science opportunities of the next decade. The Large Synoptic Survey Telescope (LSST) will have an effective aperture of 6.7 meters and an imaging camera with field of view of 9.6 deg^2, and will be devoted to a ten-year imaging survey over 20,000 deg^2 south of +15 deg. Each pointing will be imaged 2000 times with fifteen second exposures in six broad bands from 0.35 to 1.1 microns, to a total point-source depth of r~27.5. The LSST Science Book describes the basic parameters of the LSST hardware, software, and observing plans. The book discusses educational and outreach opportunities, then goes on to describe a broad range of science that LSST will revolutionize: mapping the inner and outer Solar System, stellar populations in the Milky Way and nearby galaxies, the structure of the Milky Way disk and halo and other objects in the Local Volume, transient and variable objects both at low and high redshift, and the properties of normal and active galaxies at low and high redshift. It then turns to far-field cosmological topics, exploring properties of supernovae to z~1, strong and weak lensing, the large-scale distribution of galaxies and baryon oscillations, and how these different probes may be combined to constrain cosmological models and the physics of dark energy. Title: Relative Kinematics of the Leading Edge and the Prominence in Coronal Mass Ejections Authors: Maričić, Darije; Vršnak, Bojan; Roša, Dragan Bibcode: 2009SoPh..260..177M Altcode: We present a statistical analysis of the relationship between the kinematics of the leading edge and the eruptive prominence in coronal mass ejections (CMEs). We study the acceleration phase of 18 CMEs in which kinematics was measured from the pre-eruption stage up to the post-acceleration phase. In all CMEs, the three part structure (the leading edge, the cavity, and the prominence) was clearly recognizable from early stages of the eruption. The data show a distinct correlation between the duration of the leading edge (LE) acceleration and eruptive prominence (EP) acceleration. In the majority of events (78%) the acceleration phase onset of the LE is very closely synchronized (within ± 20 min) with the acceleration of EP. However, in two events the LE acceleration started significantly earlier than the EP acceleration (> 50 min), and in two events the EP acceleration started earlier than the LE acceleration (> 40 min). The average peak acceleration of LEs (281 m s−2) is about two times larger than the average peak acceleration of EPs (136 m s−2). For the first time, our results quantitatively demonstrate the level of synchronization of the acceleration phase of LE and EP in a rather large sample of events, i.e., we quantify how often the eruption develops in a "self-similar" manner. Title: Analytic Modeling of the Moreton Wave Kinematics Authors: Temmer, M.; Vršnak, B.; Žic, T.; Veronig, A. M. Bibcode: 2009ApJ...702.1343T Altcode: 2009arXiv0908.3746T The issue whether Moreton waves are flare-ignited or coronal mass ejection (CME)-driven, or a combination of both, is still a matter of debate. We develop an analytical model describing the evolution of a large-amplitude coronal wave emitted by the expansion of a circular source surface in order to mimic the evolution of a Moreton wave. The model results are confronted with observations of a strong Moreton wave observed in association with the X3.8/3B flare/CME event from 2005 January 17. Using different input parameters for the expansion of the source region, either derived from the real CME observations (assuming that the upward moving CME drives the wave), or synthetically generated scenarios (expanding flare region, lateral expansion of the CME flanks), we calculate the kinematics of the associated Moreton wave signature. Those model input parameters are determined which fit the observed Moreton wave kinematics best. Using the measured kinematics of the upward moving CME as the model input, we are not able to reproduce the observed Moreton wave kinematics. The observations of the Moreton wave can be reproduced only by applying a strong and impulsive acceleration for the source region expansion acting in a piston mechanism scenario. Based on these results we propose that the expansion of the flaring region or the lateral expansion of the CME flanks is more likely the driver of the Moreton wave than the upward moving CME front. Title: Type II bursts in Meter and Decameter - Hectometer Wavelength Ranges and Their Relation to Flares and CMEs Authors: Prakash, O.; Umapathy, S.; Shanmugaraju, A.; Vršnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2009SoPh..258..105P Altcode: Statistical analysis of the relationship between type II radio bursts appearing in the metric (m) and decameter-to-hectometer (DH) wavelength ranges is presented. The associated X-ray flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are also reported. The sample is divided into two classes using the frequency-drift plots: Class I, representing those events where DH-type-II bursts are not continuation of m-type-II bursts and Class II, where the DH-type-II bursts are extensions of m-type-II bursts. Our study consists of three steps: i) comparison of characteristics of the Class I and II events; ii) correlation of m-type-II and DH-type-II burst characteristics with X-ray flare properties and iii) correlation of m-type-II and DH-type-II burst characteristics with CME properties. We have found no clear correlation between properties of m-type-II bursts and DH-type-II bursts. For example, there is no correlation between drift rates of m-type-II bursts and DH-type-II bursts. Similarly there is no correlation between their starting frequencies. In Class I events we found correlations between X-ray flare characteristics and properties of m-type-II bursts and there is no correlation between flare parameters and DH-type-II bursts. On the other hand, the correlation between CME parameters and m-type-II bursts is very weak, but it is good for CME parameters and DH-type-II bursts. These results indicate that Class I m-type-II bursts are related to the energy releases in flares, whereas DH-type-II bursts tend to be related to CMEs. On the contrary, for Class II events in the case of m-type-II and DH-type-II bursts we have found no clear correlation between both flare and CMEs. Title: Radial Evolution of Well-Observed Slow CMEs in the Distance Range 2 - 30 R Authors: Shanmugaraju, A.; Moon, Y. -J.; Vrsnak, Bojan; Vrbanec, Dijana Bibcode: 2009SoPh..257..351S Altcode: We performed a detailed analysis of 27 slow coronal mass ejections (CMEs) whose heights were measured in at least 30 coronagraphic images and were characterized by a high quality index (≥4). Our primary aim was to study the radial evolution of these CMEs and their properties in the range 2 - 30 solar radii. The instantaneous speeds of CMEs were calculated by using successive height - time data pairs. The obtained speed - distance profiles [v(R)] are fitted by a power law v = a(R−b)c. The power-law indices are found to be in the ranges a=30 - 386, b=1.95 - 3.92, and c=0.03 - 0.79. The power-law exponent c is found to be larger for slower and narrower CMEs. With the exception of two events that had approximately constant velocity, all events were accelerating. The majority of accelerating events shows a v(R) profile very similar to the solar-wind profile deduced by Sheeley et al. (Astrophys. J.484, 472, 1997). This indicates that the dynamics of most slow CMEs are dominated by the solar wind drag. Title: Analyses of magnetic field structures for active region 10720 using a data-driven 3D MHD model Authors: Wu, S. T.; Wang, A. H.; Gary, G. Allen; Kucera, Ales; Rybak, Jan; Liu, Yang; Vrśnak, Bojan; Yurchyshyn, Vasyl Bibcode: 2009AdSpR..44...46W Altcode: In order to understand solar eruptive events (flares and CMEs) we need to investigate the changes at the solar surface. Thus, we use a data-driven, three-dimensional magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model to analyze a flare and coronal mass ejection productive active region, AR 10720 on January 15, 2005. The measured magnetic field from Big Bear Solar Observatory (BBSO) digital vector magnetograph (DGVM) was used to model the non-potential coronal magnetic field changes and the evolution of electric current before and after the event occurred. The numerical results include the change of magnetic flux ( Φ), the net electric current ( IN), the length of magnetic shear of the main neutral line ( Lss), the flux normalized measure of the field twist (α={μIN}/{Φ}) with μ being the magnetic permeability. The current helicity ( Hc) injected into the corona and the photospheric surface velocity are also computed. The characteristic parameters of the buildup process before the event and the decay process after the event are investigated and the amount of magnetic energy converted to drive the event is estimated. Title: Morphology and density structure of post-CME current sheets Authors: Vršnak, B.; Poletto, G.; Vujić, E.; Vourlidas, A.; Ko, Y. -K.; Raymond, J. C.; Ciaravella, A.; Žic, T.; Webb, D. F.; Bemporad, A.; Landini, F.; Schettino, G.; Jacobs, C.; Suess, S. T. Bibcode: 2009A&A...499..905V Altcode: 2009arXiv0902.3705V Context: Eruption of a coronal mass ejection (CME) drags and “opens” the coronal magnetic field, presumably leading to the formation of a large-scale current sheet and field relaxation by magnetic reconnection.
Aims: We analyze the physical characteristics of ray-like coronal features formed in the aftermath of CMEs, to confirm whether interpreting this phenomenon in terms of a reconnecting current sheet is consistent with observations.
Methods: The study focuses on measurements of the ray width, density excess, and coronal velocity field as a function of the radial distance.
Results: The morphology of the rays implies that they are produced by Petschek-like reconnection in the large-scale current sheet formed in the wake of CME. The hypothesis is supported by the flow pattern, often showing outflows along the ray, and sometimes also inflows into the ray. The inferred inflow velocities range from 3 to 30 km s-1, and are consistent with the narrow opening-angle of rays, which add up to a few degrees. The density of rays is an order of magnitude higher than in the ambient corona. The density-excess measurements are compared with the results of the analytical model in which the Petschek-like reconnection geometry is applied to the vertical current sheet, taking into account the decrease in the external coronal density and magnetic field with height.
Conclusions: The model results are consistent with the observations, revealing that the main cause of the density excess in rays is a transport of the dense plasma from lower to higher heights by the reconnection outflow. Title: Temporal comparison of nonthermal flare emission and magnetic-flux change rates Authors: Miklenic, C. H.; Veronig, A. M.; Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2009A&A...499..893M Altcode: 2009arXiv0910.1701M Context: To understand the mechanisms that trigger solar flares, we require models describing and quantifying observable responses to the original energy release process, since the coronal energy release site itself cannot be resolved with current technical equipment. Testing the usefulness of a particular model requires the comparison of its predictions with flare observations.
Aims: To test the standard flare model (CSHKP-model), we measured the magnetic-flux change rate in five flare events of different GOES classes using chromospheric/photospheric observations and compared its progression with observed nonthermal flare emission. We calculated the cumulated positive and negative magnetic flux participating in the reconnection process, as well as the total reconnection flux. Finally, we investigated the relations between the total reconnection flux, the GOES class of the events, and the linear velocity of the flare-associated CMEs.
Methods: Using high-cadence Hα and TRACE 1600 Å image time-series data and MDI/SOHO magnetograms, we measured the required observables (newly brightened flare area and magnetic-field strength inside this area). RHESSI and INTEGRAL hard X-ray time profiles in nonthermal energy bands were used as observable proxies for the flare-energy release rate.
Results: We detected strong temporal correlations between the derived magnetic-flux change rate and the observed nonthermal emission of all events. The cumulated positive and negative fluxes, with flux ratios of between 0.64 and 1.35, were almost equivalent to each other. Total reconnection fluxes ranged between 1.8×1021 Mx for the weakest event (GOES class B9.5) and 15.5×1021 Mx for the most energetic one (GOES class X17.2). The amount of magnetic flux participating in the reconnection process was higher in more energetic events than in weaker ones. Flares with more reconnection flux were associated with faster CMEs. Title: The role of aerodynamic drag in dynamics of coronal mass ejections Authors: Vršnak, Bojan; Vrbanec, Dijana; Čalogović, Jaša; Žic, Tomislav Bibcode: 2009IAUS..257..271V Altcode: Dynamics of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is strongly affected by the interaction of the erupting structure with the ambient magnetoplasma: eruptions that are faster than solar wind transfer the momentum and energy to the wind and generally decelerate, whereas slower ones gain the momentum and accelerate. Such a behavior can be expressed in terms of “aerodynamic” drag. We employ a large sample of CMEs to analyze the relationship between kinematics of CMEs and drag-related parameters, such as ambient solar wind speed and the CME mass. Employing coronagraphic observations it is demonstrated that massive CMEs are less affected by the aerodynamic drag than light ones. On the other hand, in situ measurements are used to inspect the role of the solar wind speed and it is shown that the Sun-Earth transit time is more closely related to the wind speed than to take-off speed of CMEs. These findings are interpreted by analyzing solutions of a simple equation of motion based on the standard form for the drag acceleration. The results show that most of the acceleration/deceleration of CMEs on their way through the interplanetary space takes place close to the Sun, where the ambient plasma density is still high. Implications for the space weather forecasting of CME arrival-times are discussed. Title: Cosmic ray modulation by corotating interaction regions Authors: Čalogović, Jaša; Vršnak, Bojan; Temmer, Manuela; Veronig, Astrid M. Bibcode: 2009IAUS..257..425C Altcode: We analyzed the relationship between the ground-based modulation of cosmic rays (CR) and corotating interaction regions (CIRs). Daily averaged data from 8 different neutron monitor (NM) stations were used, covering rigidities from Rc = 0 - 12.91 GeV. The in situ solar wind data were taken from the Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE) database, whereas the coronal hole (CH) areas were derived from the Solar X-Ray Imager onboard GOES-12. For the analysis we have chosen a period in the declining phase of solar cycle 23, covering the period 25 January-5 May 2005. During the CIR periods CR decreased typically from 0.5% to 2%. A cross-correlation analysis showed a distinct anti-correlation between the magnetic field and CR, with the correlation coefficient (r) ranging from -0.31 to -0.38 (mean: -0.36) and with the CR time delay of 2 to 3 days. Similar anti-correlations were found for the solar wind density and velocity characterized by the CR time lag of 4 and 1 day, respectively. The relationship was also established between the CR modulation and the area of the CIR-related CH with the CR time lag of 5 days after the central-meridian passage of CH. Title: Type II Radio Bursts with High and Low Starting Frequencies Authors: Shanmugaraju, Annamalai; Moon, Y. -J.; Vrsnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2009SoPh..254..297S Altcode: We report on the detailed analysis of i) differences between the properties of type IIs with various starting frequencies (high: ≥100 MHz; low: ≤50 MHz; mid: 50 MHz ≤f≤ 100 MHz) and ii) the properties of CMEs and flares associated with them. For this study, we considered a sample of type II radio bursts observed by Culgoora radio spectrograph from January 1998 to December 2000. The X-ray flares and CMEs associated with these events are identified using GOES and SOHO/LASCO data. The secondary aim is to study the frequency dependence on other properties of type IIs, flares, and CMEs. We found that the type IIs with high starting frequencies have larger drift rate, relative drift rate, and shock speed than the type IIs with low starting frequencies. The flares associated with high frequency type IIs are of impulsive in nature with shorter rise time, duration and delay between the flare start and type II start times than the low frequency type IIs. There is a distinct power - law relationship between the flare parameters and the starting frequencies of type II bursts, whereas the trend in the CME parameters shows low correlation. While the mean speed of CMEs is larger for the mid-frequency group, it is nearly the same for the high and low frequency groups. On the other hand, the percentage of CME association (90%) is larger for low frequency type IIs than for the high frequency type IIs (75%). Title: Magnetic Flux Change Rates and Nonthermal Flare Emission Authors: Miklenic, C.; Veronig, A.; Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2009CEAB...33..197M Altcode: We tested the standard flare model by measuring the magnetic flux change rate in five flares of different GOES classes and compared it to the observed nonthermal flare hard X-ray emission. In addition we calculated the cumulated positive and negative magnetic reconnection flux, as well as the total reconnection flux. We also investigated the relations between the total reconnection flux, the GOES importance of the events, and the linear velocity of the flare-associated CMEs. The required observables (newly brightened flare area and magnetic field strength inside this area) were measured using high-cadence Hα and TRACE 1600 Å image time series along with MDI/SOHO magnetograms. RHESSI and INTEGRAL hard X-ray time profiles in nonthermal energy bands served as observable proxies for the flare energy release rate. We found good temporal correlations between the derived magnetic flux change rate and the observed nonthermal emission in all events. Cumulated positive and negative fluxes were roughly balanced. The amount of magnetic reconnection flux was larger in more energetic events than in weaker ones. Flares with more reconnection flux were associated with faster CMEs. The findings indicate that the standard flare model is applicable to the analysed events. Title: Commission 10: Solar Activity Authors: Klimchuk, James A.; van Driel-Gesztelyi, Lidia; Schrijver, Carolus J.; Melrose, Donald B.; Fletcher, Lyndsay; Gopalswamy, Natchimuthuk; Harrison, Richard A.; Mandrini, Cristina H.; Peter, Hardi; Tsuneta, Saku; Vršnak, Bojan; Wang, Jing-Xiu Bibcode: 2009IAUTA..27...79K Altcode: 2008arXiv0809.1444K Commission 10 deals with solar activity in all of its forms, ranging from the smallest nanoflares to the largest coronal mass ejections. This report reviews scientific progress over the roughly two-year period ending in the middle of 2008. This has been an exciting time in solar physics, highlighted by the launches of the Hinode and STEREO missions late in 2006. The report is reasonably comprehensive, though it is far from exhaustive. Limited space prevents the inclusion of many significant results. The report is divided into the following sections: Photosphere and chromosphere; Transition region; Corona and coronal heating; Coronal jets; flares; Coronal mass ejection initiation; Global coronal waves and shocks; Coronal dimming; The link between low coronal CME signatures and magnetic clouds; Coronal mass ejections in the heliosphere; and Coronal mass ejections and space weather. Primary authorship is indicated at the beginning of each section. Title: Cylindrical and Spherical Pistons as Drivers of MHD Shocks Authors: Žic, Tomislav; Vršnak, Bojan; Temmer, Manuela; Jacobs, Carla Bibcode: 2008SoPh..253..237Z Altcode: 2008SoPh..tmp..153Z We consider an expanding three-dimensional (3-D) piston as a driver of an MHD shock wave. It is assumed that the source-region surface accelerates over a certain time interval to achieve a particular maximum velocity. Such an expansion creates a large-amplitude wave in the ambient plasma. Owing to the nonlinear evolution of the wavefront, its profile steepens and after a certain time and distance a discontinuity forms, marking the onset of the shock formation. We investigate how the formation time and distance depend on the acceleration phase duration, the maximum expansion velocity (defining also acceleration), the Alfvén velocity (defining also Mach number), and the initial size of the piston. The model differs from the 1-D case, since in the 3-D evolution, a decrease of the wave amplitude with distance must be taken into account. We present basic results, focusing on the timing of the shock formation in the low- and high-plasma-beta environment. We find that the shock-formation time and the shock-formation distance are (1) approximately proportional to the acceleration phase duration; (2) shorter for a higher expansion velocity; (3) larger in a higher Alfvén speed environment; (4) only weakly dependent on the initial source size; (5) shorter for a stronger acceleration; and (6) shorter for a larger Alfvén Mach number of the source surface expansion. To create a shock causing a high-frequency type II burst and the Moreton wave, the source region expansion should, according to our results, achieve a velocity on the order of 1000 km s−1 within a few minutes, in a low Alfvén velocity environment. Title: A Flare-Generated Shock during a Coronal Mass Ejection on 24 December 1996 Authors: Magdalenić, J.; Vršnak, B.; Pohjolainen, S.; Temmer, M.; Aurass, H.; Lehtinen, N. J. Bibcode: 2008SoPh..253..305M Altcode: 2008SoPh..tmp..120M We present a multiwavelength study of the large-scale coronal disturbances associated with the CME - flare event recorded on 24 December 1996. The kinematics of the shock wave signature, the type II radio burst, is analyzed and compared with the flare evolution and the CME kinematics. We employ radio dynamic spectra, position of the Nançay Radioheliograph sources, and LASCO-C1 observations, providing detailed study of this limb event. The obtained velocity of the shock wave is significantly higher than the contemporaneous CME velocity (1000 and 235 km s−1, respectively). Moreover, since the main acceleration phase of the CME took place 10 - 20 min after the shock wave was launched, we conclude that the shock wave on 24 December 1996 was probably not driven by the CME. However, the shock wave was closely associated with the flare impulsive phase, indicating that it was ignited by the energy release in the flare. Title: Investigation of geomagnetic and solar activity over time span 1960-2001 Authors: Verbanac, G.; Vrsnak, B.; Korte, M.; Mandea, M.; Temmer, M. Bibcode: 2008AGUFMSH13A1502V Altcode: The solar-terrestrial relationship has been widely studied by means of space weather indices and various solar wind parameters. In this study we perform such an investigation over four decades (1960--2001) on the global scale, and for the first time on the regional scale as well. The variations regarded as the remaining external field signal (thereafter RES) and present in the European observatory annual means of the Northward, X, magnetic component is used as an indicator of the regional geomagnetic activity and are investigated regarding different processes occurring on the Sun. In order to understand how various geomagnetic activity indices respond to the interplanetary disturbances during different periods of the solar cycle, the annual means of the solar activity index, F10.7, and geomagnetic Ap and Dst indices, are studied. The indices are inherently complex since they include contributions from different solar phenomena. By studying the cross-correlations we aim to distinguish between different generation mechanisms. The relationships between the solar parameter F10.7 and RES, Dst, Ap, characterized by high cross-correlation coefficients, suggest the possibility to evaluate the behaviour of these geomagnetic parameters on short timescale. We found finite time lags among the investigated parameters. Our study suggests a one year delay of both RES and Dst after F10.7. The Ap is clearly delayed for about two years with respect to F10.7 and about one year with respect to Dst and RES. This indicate that the Ap responds to the solar activity in a different manner than Dst and RES, which are dominated by the coronal mass ejections activity. On the other hand, it seems that Ap is more sensitive to the high--speed streams (HSS) and Alfvenic waves present in HSS. The existence of time lags gives us the possibility to forecast different parameters. Importantly, the proposed forecasting procedure offers the possibility to reconstruct the F10.7 from the inferred geomagnetic activity for the epochs prior to solar activity monitoring. This study contributes to understanding some physical processes on the Sun that cause the perturbations in the near-Earth interplanetary space and consequently in the Earth's magnetic field. Moreover such investigations may provide a better insight into the time evolution of the open and closed solar magnetic field, and into long term changes in the solar activity with related physical processes. Title: Origin of Coronal Shock Waves. Invited Review Authors: Vršnak, Bojan; Cliver, Edward W. Bibcode: 2008SoPh..253..215V Altcode: 2008SoPh..tmp..142V The basic idea of the paper is to present transparently and confront two different views on the origin of large-scale coronal shock waves, one favoring coronal mass ejections (CMEs), and the other one preferring flares. For this purpose, we first review the empirical aspects of the relationship between CMEs, flares, and shocks (as manifested by radio type II bursts and Moreton waves). Then, various physical mechanisms capable of launching MHD shocks are presented. In particular, we describe the shock wave formation caused by a three-dimensional piston, driven either by the CME expansion or by a flare-associated pressure pulse. Bearing in mind this theoretical framework, the observational characteristics of CMEs and flares are revisited to specify advantages and drawbacks of the two shock formation scenarios. Finally, we emphasize the need to document clear examples of flare-ignited large-scale waves to give insight on the relative importance of flare and CME generation mechanisms for type II bursts/Moreton waves. Title: Dynamics of coronal mass ejections. The mass-scaling of the aerodynamic drag Authors: Vršnak, B.; Vrbanec, D.; Čalogović, J. Bibcode: 2008A&A...490..811V Altcode: Context: Coronal and interplanetary propagation of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is strongly affected by aerodynamic drag.
Aims: The dependence of the drag acceleration on the mass of the CMEs is investigated to establish a quantitative empirical relationship, which might be important in semi-empirical space-weather forecasting.
Methods: We employ a large sample of CMEs observed in the radial distance range of 2-30 solar radii by the Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph on board the SoHO mission to statistically analyze the acceleration-velocity relationship in subsamples of various classes of CME masses.
Results: It is demonstrated that the slope and the v-axis intercept of the anti-correlation of the CME acceleration a and velocity v depend on the mean mass of CMEs included in the sample. The slope k of the correlation is less steep for subsamples of higher masses, revealing that massive CMEs are less affected by the aerodynamic drag. Furthermore, it is found that the v-axis intercept is shifted to higher velocities for subsamples of higher masses. This indicates that, on average, the driving force is greater in more massive CMEs.
Conclusions: The empirically established dependence of the a(v) slope on the CME mass is very close to the dependence kpropto m-1/3 which follows from the physical characteristics of the aerodynamic drag. Title: Processes and mechanisms governing the initiation and propagation of CMEs Authors: Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2008AnGeo..26.3089V Altcode: The most important observational characteristics of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are summarized, emphasizing those aspects which are relevant for testing physical concepts employed to explain the CME take-off and propagation. In particular, the kinematics, scalings, and the CME-flare relationship are stressed. Special attention is paid to 3-dimensional (3-D) topology of the magnetic field structures, particularly to aspects related to the concept of semi-toroidal flux-rope anchored at both ends in the dense photosphere and embedded in the coronal magnetic arcade. Observations are compared with physical principles and concepts employed in explaining the CME phenomenon, and implications are discussed. A simple flux-rope model is used to explain various stages of the eruption. The model is able to reproduce all basic observational requirements: stable equilibrium and possible oscillations around equilibrium, metastable state and possible destabilization by an external disturbance, pre-eruptive gradual-rise until loss of equilibrium, possibility of fallback events and failed eruptions, relationship between impulsiveness of the CME acceleration and the source-region size, etc. However, it is shown that the purely ideal MHD process cannot account for highest observed accelerations which can attain values up to 10 km s-2. Such accelerations can be achieved if the process of reconnection beneath the erupting flux-rope is included into the model. Essentially, the role of reconnection is in changing the magnetic flux associated with the flux-rope current and supplying "fresh" poloidal magnetic flux to the rope. These effects help sustain the electric current flowing along the flux-rope, and consequently, reinforce and prolong the CME acceleration. The model straightforwardly explains the observed synchronization of the flare impulsive phase and the CME main-acceleration stage, as well as the correlations between various CME and flare parameters. Title: Two-spacecraft reconstruction of a magnetic cloud and comparison to its solar source Authors: Möstl, C.; Miklenic, C.; Farrugia, C. J.; Temmer, M.; Veronig, A.; Galvin, A. B.; Vršnak, B.; Biernat, H. K. Bibcode: 2008AnGeo..26.3139M Altcode: This paper compares properties of the source region with those inferred from satellite observations near Earth of the magnetic cloud which reached 1 AU on 20 November 2003. We use observations from space missions SOHO and TRACE together with ground-based data to study the magnetic structure of the active region NOAA 10501 containing a highly curved filament, and determine the reconnection rates and fluxes in an M4 flare on 18 November 2003 which is associated with a fast halo CME. This event has been linked before to the magnetic cloud on 20 November 2003. We model the near-Earth observations with the Grad-Shafranov reconstruction technique using a novel approach in which we optimize the results with two-spacecraft measurements of the solar wind plasma and magnetic field made by ACE and WIND. The two probes were separated by hundreds of Earth radii. They pass through the axis of the cloud which is inclined -50 degree to the ecliptic. The magnetic cloud orientation at 1 AU is consistent with an encounter with the heliospheric current sheet. We estimate that 50% of its poloidal flux has been lost through reconnection in interplanetary space. By comparing the flare ribbon flux with the original cloud fluxes we infer a flux rope formation during the eruption, though uncertainties are still significant. The multi-spacecraft Grad-Shafranov method opens new vistas in probing of the spatial structure of magnetic clouds in STEREO-WIND/ACE coordinated studies. Title: Large-scale Coronal Waves Observed with EUVI/STEREO Authors: Veronig, A.; Temmer, M.; Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 2008ESPM...12.2.97V Altcode: We report first observations and analysis of flare/CME associated large-scale coronal waves (so-called "EIT waves") observed with high time cadence by the EUVI instruments onboard the recent STEREO mission. The EIT instrument onboard SOHO for the first time directly imaged global disturbances in the solar corona, but the observations are severely hampered by the low cadence of EIT (12-15 min). Thus, the nature and origin of these large-scale disturbances are still not sufficiently constraint by observations, and it is an intense matter of debate whether EIT waves: a) are the coronal counterparts of Moreton waves observed in the chromosphere; b) are caused by the flare explosive energy release or by the erupting CME; c) are waves at all or rather propagating disturbances related to magnetic field line opening and restructuring associated with the CME lift-off. The high cadence full-disk coronal imaging by the EUVI instruments on the twin STEREO spacecraft provide us with the unprecedented opportunity to study the dynamics and origin of flare/CME associated coronal waves. We present first studies of global coronal waves observed with EUVI finding wave deceleration, indicative of an MHD blast wave (Veronig et al. 2008, ApJ Lett., in press). Title: Relation between CME SchmiederAcceleration Profile and Flare Energy Release derived from Combined STEREO and RHESSI Observations Authors: Temmer, M.; Veronig, A. M.; Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 2008ESPM...12.2.96T Altcode: In the standard flare/CME picture magnetic reconnection occurs in a current sheet formed behind the CME, which may provide a feedback relationship between both phenomena. To study the relationship of the large-scale CME acceleration and the energy release in the associated flare we analyze three well observed events. The observations cover the early (low corona) evolution of the CMEs with the EUVI instruments aboard the twin STEREO spacecraft and the RHESSI hard X-ray emission of the associated flare. Since the flare hard X-rays are due to fast electrons, they provide the most direct indicator of the evolution of the flare energy release in the flare. The results are compared to case studies for halo-CMEs where a close synchronization between the CME acceleration and the flare energy release was found (Temmer et al., ApJ, 2008, 673, L95). Title: High-Cadence Observations of a Global Coronal Wave by STEREO EUVI Authors: Veronig, Astrid M.; Temmer, Manuela; Vršnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2008ApJ...681L.113V Altcode: 2008arXiv0806.0710V We report a large-scale coronal wave (so-called EIT wave) observed with high cadence by EUVI on board STEREO in association with the GOES B9.5 flare and double CME event on 2007 May 19. The EUVI instruments provide us with the unprecedented opportunity to study the dynamics of flare/CME associated coronal waves. The coronal wave under study reveals deceleration, indicative of a freely propagating MHD wave. Complementary analysis of the associated flare and erupting filament/CME hint at wave initiation by the CME expanding flanks, which drive the wave only over a limited distance. The associated flare is very weak and occurs too late to account for the wave initiation. Title: Analysis of a Moreton Wave Associated with the X17.2/4B Flare/CME of 28-10-2003 Authors: Muhr, M.; Temmer, M.; Veronig, A.; Vršnak, B.; Hanslmeier, A. Bibcode: 2008CEAB...32...79M Altcode: The fast Moreton wave of 28-Oct-2003 associated with the extreme X17.2 solar flare/CME event is studied. It can be followed in four sectors, spanning almost over 360° on the visible solar disc. The mean wave velocity lies in the range of v∼900-1000 km s^{-1}. We find two wave ignition centres on opposite edges of the source region, which may indicate that the wave is driven by the CME expanding flanks. Title: Proper Motions of Coronal Bright Points Authors: Brajša, R.; Wöhl, H.; Vršnak, B.; Ruždjak, V.; Clette, F.; Hochedez, J. -F.; Verbanac, G.; Skokić, I.; Hanslmeier, A. Bibcode: 2008CEAB...32..165B Altcode: Full-field full-resolution solar images obtained by the Extreme Ultraviolet Imaging Telescope on board the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory are used to analyse proper motions, velocity distributions, lifetimes, and diffusion coefficient of coronal bright points. The results obtained by the interactive method for three tracer subtypes (point-like structures, small loops, and small active regions) of coronal bright points for the period 4 June 1998 to 22 May 1999 are presented and compared. Distributions of meridional velocities, residual azimuthal velocities and velocities of proper motions are presented for the three tracer subtypes. Lifetimes up to 54 hours are found for 98% of all observed coronal bright points. Small active regions last on the average longer than point-like structures and small loops. The correlation between the absolute velocity of proper motion and lifetime is investigated and the mean free path (in the range from 3000 km to 15000 km) and the diffusion coefficient (approximately 200 km2/s) of coronal bright points are estimated. Finally, characteristics of the random walk process associated to the motions of coronal bright points are discussed in the Appendix. Title: Acceleration in Fast Halo CMEs and Synchronized Flare HXR Bursts Authors: Temmer, M.; Veronig, A. M.; Vršnak, B.; Rybák, J.; Gömöry, P.; Stoiser, S.; Maričić, D. Bibcode: 2008ApJ...673L..95T Altcode: We study two well-observed, fast halo CMEs, covering the full CME kinematics including the initiation and impulsive acceleration phase, and their associated flares. We find a close synchronization between the CME acceleration profile and the flare energy release as indicated by the RHESSI hard X-ray flux onsets, as well as peaks occur simultaneously within 5 minutes. These findings indicate a close physical connection between both phenomena and are interpreted in terms of a feedback relationship between the CME dynamics and the reconnection process in the current sheet beneath the CME. Title: Large-scale coronal waves observed with STEREO/EUVI Authors: Veronig, Astrid; Temmer, Manuela; Vrsnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2008cosp...37.3328V Altcode: 2008cosp.meet.3328V The EUVI instruments onboard the twin STEREO spacecraft provide high-cadence full-disk imaging of the solar atmosphere with four different filters at EUV wavelengths. These observations are highly suitable to study the kinematics and dynamics of flare/CME associated coronal waves, so-called "EIT waves". We present a detailed analysis of one coronal wave captured by the EUVI instruments, with particular emphasis on the wave dynamics and its connection to the associated flare (RHESSI hard X-rays) and CME (STEREO COR1) in terms of blast wave versus driven wave scenario. Title: Dynamics of plasmoids formed by the current sheet tearing Authors: Bárta, M.; Vršnak, B.; Karlický, M. Bibcode: 2008A&A...477..649B Altcode: Context: Moving blob-like features observed in the soft X-ray and EUV range above flare-loops are often interpreted as signatures of plasmoids formed by the current sheet tearing in the flare-associated reconnection process.
Aims: We investigate the evolution of the flare-associated current sheet numerically in order to analyse the kinematics and dynamics of plasmoids. The goal is to explain the broad diversity of kinematical properties of the plasmoid signatures recorded by various observational techniques.
Methods: We performed a 2-dimensional resistive-MHD numerical simulation of the reconnection starting from the Harris-type current sheet. After identifying the plasmoids, we followed their motion to determine basic kinematical parameters (velocity and acceleration), and we analysed the associated magnetic field topology.
Results: The simulation reveals a broad variety of the kinematical/dynamical properties of plasmoids - after formation, a plasmoid can move upward, downward, or can even change its direction of propagation. The highest velocities, in the range of the ambient Alfvén speed, are found in the case of upward propagating plasmoids. The acceleration is determined by the net magnetic field tension of the reconnected field lines. Downwardly propagating plasmoids achieve only a fraction of the ambient Alfvén speed. They strongly decelerate during the coalescence with low-lying flare-loops, when distinct energy-release peaks occur and loop system oscillations are excited.
Conclusions: The presented results explain, qualitatively and quantitatively, the broad spectrum of kinematical properties of various observational features attributed to the current-sheet plasmoids. Title: The role of reconnection in the initiation, acceleration, and interplanetary propagation of CMEs Authors: Vrsnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2008cosp...37.3368V Altcode: 2008cosp.meet.3368V The central issue of the presentation is the role of reconnection in the acceleration of coronal mass ejections (CMEs). Following basic physical concepts it is demonstrated that impulsive acceleration of fast CMEs is not possible without reconnection. In the absence of reconnection the magnetic flux associated with the erupting structure remains conserved, causing the inductive decay of the electric current and cessation of the Lorentz force. Under such circumstances, the acceleration is constrained to values in the order of 100 m s-2 and acts over distances too short to provide velocities ∼ 1000 km s-1 . However, if the flare-associated reconnection in the wake of the erupting flux-rope supplies the rope with additional poloidal flux, the Lorentz-force acceleration can attain values up to 10 km s-2 and prolong to large heights. The results of a simple analytical model of a semitoroidal line-tied flux-rope are confronted with observations: various aspects of the CME-flare relationship are addressed, particularly emphasizing proxy measurements of the reconnected flux. Beside this central topic, the role of reconnection in the evolution and destabilization of the pre-eruptive structure is discussed, focusing on scenarios that lead to loss of equilibrium. Finally, the effect of reconnection ahead/aside of the CME during its propagation through the upper corona and interplanetary space is addressed. Title: Synchronization between the CME acceleration and the energy release in the associated flare Authors: Temmer, Manuela; Veronig, Astrid; Vrsnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2008cosp...37.3167T Altcode: 2008cosp.meet.3167T In the standard flare/CME picture magnetic reconnection occurs in a current sheet formed behind the CME, which is indicative of a feedback relationship between both phenomena. We analyze two X-class flare/CME events which were well covered by RHESSI hard X-ray observations, and the early evolution of the CMEs could be observed in TRACE and GOES/SXI images. Since the flare hard X-rays are due to fast electrons, they provide the most direct indicator of the evolution of the energy release in the flare. This data set enables us to study in detail the relationship of the large-scale CME acceleration and the energy release in the associated flare. Title: Projection effects in coronal mass ejections studied with STEREO and SoHO Authors: Temmer, Manuela; Preiss, Stefanie; Veronig, Astrid; Vrsnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2008cosp...37.3168T Altcode: 2008cosp.meet.3168T The STEREO mission consists of two identical satellites, positioned ahead (A) and behind (B) the Earth, which observe the Sun from viewing angles different from that of LASCO aboard SoHO (positioned at L1). The kinematics (speed) and width of a coronal mass ejection (CME) is derived by measuring distinct CME features observed in projection against the plane of sky. As STEREO-A, STEREO-B, and LASCO/SoHO, observe a CME from three different viewing angles, the resulting CME kinematics and widths differ. By combining the observations from the three satellites we study for several well observed CMEs the importance of projection effects for the CME kinematics and expansion. Title: On the solar rotation and activity Authors: Brajša, R.; Wöhl, H.; Ruždjak, D.; Vršnak, B.; Verbanac, G.; Svalgaard, L.; Hochedez, J. -F. Bibcode: 2007AN....328.1013B Altcode: The interaction between differential rotation and magnetic fields in the solar convection zone was recently modelled by Brun (2004). One consequence of that model is that the Maxwell stresses can oppose the Reynolds stresses, and thus contribute to the transport of the angular momentum towards the solar poles, leading to a reduced differential rotation. So, when magnetic fields are weaker, a more pronounced differential rotation can be expected, yielding a higher rotation velocity at low latitudes taken on the average. This hypothesis is consistent with the behaviour of the solar rotation during the Maunder minimum. In this work we search for similar signatures of the relationship between the solar activity and rotation determined tracing sunspot groups and coronal bright points. We use the extended Greenwich data set (1878-1981) and a series of full-disc solar images taken at 28.4 nm with the EIT instrument on the SOHO spacecraft (1998-2000). We investigate the dependence of the solar rotation on the solar activity (described by the relative sunspot number) and the interplanetary magnetic field (calculated from the interdiurnal variability index). Possible rotational signatures of two weak solar activity cycles at the beginning of the 20th century (Gleissberg minimum) are discussed. Title: The magnetic flux and self-inductivity of a thick toroidal current Authors: Žic, Tomislav; Vršnak, Bojan; Skender, Marina Bibcode: 2007JPlPh..73..741Z Altcode: 2007JPlPh..73..741A We investigate numerically the magnetic flux and self-inductivity of a toroidal current I of arbitrary aspect ratio (R0/r0 = 1/η, where R0 and r0 are the major and the minor torus radii, respectively). The total flux Ψ is represented by the sum of the flux outside the torus envelope (Ψo) and the internal flux within the torus body (Ψi). Analogously, the total inductivity is expressed as L = Lo + Li. The outside self-inductivity is determined directly from the magnetic flux Ψo, utilizing Ψo = Lo I. On the other hand, the internal inductivity is evaluated as the magnetic energy contained in the poloidal field. The calculations are performed for three different radial profiles of the current density, j(r).

It is found that Ψo(η) and Lo (η) depend only very weakly on the form of j(r). On the other hand, Ψi and Li do not depend on η, but depend on the form of j(r). In the range 0.02 η 0.5, the numerical values of Lo can be very well fitted by the function of the form Lofit1(η) = -A log(η) - B. Such a relation is analogous to that for a slender torus, although the coefficients are different. For η 0.01 the slender-torus approximation (Lo*) matches the numerical results better than our function Lofit1, whereas for thicker tori, Lofit1 becomes more appropriate. It is shown that, beyond η 0.1, the departure of the slender-torus analytical expression from the numerical values becomes greater than 10%, and the difference becomes larger than 100% at η 0.55. In the range η 0.5, the numerical values of Lo can be very well expressed by the function Lofit2(η)=c1 (1 - η)c2. Furthermore, since the internal flux and inductivity become larger than that outside the envelope, Ψi and Li become larger than Ψo and Lo. The total inductivity Ltotfit = Lofit + Li, calculated by appropriately employing our functions Lofit1 and Lofit2, never deviates by more than 1% from the numerically determined values of Ltot. Title: Transit times of interplanetary coronal mass ejections and the solar wind speed Authors: Vršnak, B.; Žic, T. Bibcode: 2007A&A...472..937V Altcode: Aims: The Sun-Earth transit time of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) is one of central issues of space weather forecasting. Our aim is to find out to what degree the ICME transit time depends on the solar wind speed. Methods. Two samples of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and the associated ICMEs are used to analyze the relationship between transit times, TT, and the solar wind speed, w, measured at 1 AU ahead and behind the ICME. Results. We found a distinct correlation TT(w), clearly showing that the transit time is dependent not only on the ICME take-off speed vCME, but also on the solar wind speed. After dividing the samples into the solar wind speed bins w≤400, 400 < w ≤ 500, w > 500 km s^-1, we compared the corresponding TT(vCME) correlations to find that the transit times in the case of w ≤ 400 km s^-1 subset are longer, on average, for about 20-30 hours than in the case of the w > 500 km s^1 subset. Conclusions. Since the ICME transit time is significantly influenced by the solar wind speed, this effect should be included in statistical and kinematical methods of the space weather forecast. Title: Large amplitude oscillatory motion along a solar filament Authors: Vršnak, B.; Veronig, A. M.; Thalmann, J. K.; Žic, T. Bibcode: 2007A&A...471..295V Altcode: 2007arXiv0707.1752V Context: Large amplitude oscillations of solar filaments is a phenomenon that has been known for more than half a century. Recently, a new mode of oscillations, characterized by periodical plasma motions along the filament axis, was discovered.
Aims: We analyze such an event, recorded on 23 January 2002 in Big Bear Solar Observatory Hα filtergrams, to infer the triggering mechanism and the nature of the restoring force.
Methods: Motion along the filament axis of a distinct buldge-like feature was traced, to quantify the kinematics of the oscillatory motion. The data were fitted by a damped sine function to estimate the basic parameters of the oscillations. To identify the triggering mechanism, morphological changes in the vicinity of the filament were analyzed.
Results: The observed oscillations of the plasma along the filament were characterized by an initial displacement of 24 Mm, an initial velocity amplitude of 51 km s-1, a period of 50 min, and a damping time of 115 min. We interpret the trigger in terms of poloidal magnetic flux injection by magnetic reconnection at one of the filament legs. The restoring force is caused by the magnetic pressure gradient along the filament axis. The period of oscillations, derived from the linearized equation of motion (harmonic oscillator) can be expressed as P=π√{2}L/v_Aϕ≈4.4L/v_Aϕ, where v_Aϕ =Bϕ0/√μ_0ρ represents the Alfvén speed based on the equilibrium poloidal field Bϕ0.
Conclusions: Combination of our measurements with some previous observations of the same kind of oscillations shows good agreement with the proposed interpretation.

Movie to Fig. 1 is only available in electronic form at http://www.aanda.org Title: Projection effects in coronal mass ejections Authors: Vršnak, B.; Sudar, D.; Ruždjak, D.; Žic, T. Bibcode: 2007A&A...469..339V Altcode: Context: Basic observational parameters of a coronal mass ejection (CME) are its speed and angular width. Measurements of the CME speed and angular width are severely influenced by projection effects.
Aims: The goal of this paper is to investigate a statistical relationship between the plane-of-sky speeds of CMEs and the direction of their propagation, hopefully providing an estimate of the true speeds of CMEs.
Methods: We analyze the correlation between the plane-of-sky velocity and the position of the CME source region, employing several non-halo CME samples. The samples are formed applying various restrictions to avoid crosstalk of relevant parameters. For example, we select only CMEs observed to radial distances larger than 10 solar radii; we omit CMEs showing a considerable acceleration in the considered distance range and treat CMEs of different angular widths separately. Finally, we combine these restriction criteria, up to the limits beyond which the statistical significance of the results becomes ambiguous.
Results: A distinct anti-correlation is found between the angular width of CMEs and their source-region position, clearly showing an increasing trend towards the disc center. Similarly, all of the considered subsamples show a correlation between the CME projected speed and the distance of the source region from the disc center. On average, velocities of non-halo limb-CMEs are 1.5-2 times higher than in the case of non-halo CMEs launched from regions located close to the disc center.
Conclusions: Unfortunately, the established empirical relationships provide only a rough estimate of the velocity correction as a function of the source-region location. To a certain degree, the results can be explained in terms of CME cone models, but only after taking crosstalk of various parameters and observational artifacts into account. Title: Periodic Appearance of Coronal Holes and the Related Variation of Solar Wind Parameters Authors: Temmer, Manuela; Vršnak, Bojan; Veronig, Astrid M. Bibcode: 2007SoPh..241..371T Altcode: We compared the variability of coronal hole (CH) areas (determined from daily GOES/SXI images) with solar wind (daily ACE data) and geomagnetic parameters for the time span 25 January 2005 until 11 September 2005 (late declining phase of solar cycle 23). Applying wavelet spectral analysis, a clear 9-day period is found in the CH time series. The GOES/SXI image sequence suggests that this periodic variation is caused by a mutual triangular distribution of CHs ∼120° apart in longitude. From solar wind parameters a 9-day periodicity was obtained as well, simultaneously with the 9-day period in the CH area time series. These findings provide strong evidence that the 9-day period in solar wind parameters, showing up as higher harmonic of the solar rotation frequency, is caused by the "periodic" longitudinal distribution of CHs on the Sun recurring for several solar rotations. The shape of the wavelet spectrum from the Dst index matches only weakly with that from the CH areas and is more similar to the wavelet spectrum of the solar wind magnetic field magnitude. The distinct 9-day period does not show up in sunspot group areas which gives further evidence that the solar wind modulation is strongly related to CH areas but not to active region complexes. The wavelet power spectra for the whole ACE data range (∼1998 - 2006) suggest that the 9-day period is not a singular phenomenon occurring only during a specific time range close to solar minimum but is occasionally also present during the maximum and decay phase of solar cycle 23. The main periods correspond to the solar rotation (27d) as well as to the second (13.5d) and third (9d) harmonic. Title: Acceleration Phase of Coronal Mass Ejections: I. Temporal and Spatial Scales Authors: Vršnak, Bojan; Maričić, Darije; Stanger, Andrew L.; Veronig, Astrid M.; Temmer, Manuela; Roša, Dragan Bibcode: 2007SoPh..241...85V Altcode: We study kinematics of 22 coronal mass ejections (CMEs) whose motion was traced from the gradual pre-acceleration phase up to the post-acceleration stage. The peak accelerations in the studied sample range from 40, up to 7000 m s−2, and are inversely proportional to the acceleration phase duration and the height range involved. Accelerations and velocities are, on average, larger in CMEs launched from a compact source region. The acceleration phase duration is proportional to the source region dimensions; i.e., compact CMEs are accelerated more impulsively. Such behavior is interpreted as a consequence of stronger Lorentz force and shorter Alfvén time scales involved in compact CMEs (with stronger magnetic field and larger Alfvén speed being involved at lower heights). CMEs with larger accelerations and velocities are on average wider, whereas the widths are not related to the source region dimensions. Such behavior is explained in terms of the field pile-up ahead of the erupting structure, which is more effective in the case of a strongly accelerated structure. Title: Acceleration Phase of Coronal Mass Ejections: II. Synchronization of the Energy Release in the Associated Flare Authors: Maričić, Darije; Vršnak, Bojan; Stanger, Andrew L.; Veronig, Astrid M.; Temmer, Manuela; Roša, Dragan Bibcode: 2007SoPh..241...99M Altcode: We analyze the relationship between the acceleration of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and the energy release in associated flares, employing a sample of 22 events in which the CME kinematics were measured from the pre-eruption stage up to the post-acceleration phase. The data show a distinct correlation between the duration of the acceleration phase and the duration of the associated soft X-ray (SXR) burst rise, whereas the CME peak acceleration and velocity are related to the SXR peak flux. In the majority of events the acceleration started earlier than the SXR burst, and it is usually prolonged after the SXR burst maximum. In about one half of the events the acceleration phase is very closely synchronized with the fastest growth of the SXR burst. An additional one quarter of the events may be still considered as relatively well-synchronized, whereas in the remaining quarter of the events there is a considerable mismatch. The results are interpreted in terms of the feedback relationship between the CME dynamics and the reconnection process in the wake of the CME. Title: Coronal Holes and Solar Wind High-Speed Streams: II. Forecasting the Geomagnetic Effects Authors: Vršnak, Bojan; Temmer, Manuela; Veronig, Astrid M. Bibcode: 2007SoPh..240..331V Altcode: We present a simple method of forecasting the geomagnetic storms caused by high-speed streams (HSSs) in the solar wind. The method is based on the empirical correlation between the coronal hole area/position and the value of the Dst index, which is established in a period of low interplanetary coronal mass ejection (ICME) activity. On average, the highest geomagnetic activity, i.e., the minimum in Dst, occurs four days after a low-latitude coronal hole (CH) crosses the central meridian. The amplitude of the Dst dip is correlated with the CH area and depends on the magnetic polarity of the CH due to the Russell - McPherron effect. The Dst variation may be predicted by employing the expression Dst(t)=(−65±25×cos λ)[A(t*)]0.5, where A(t*) is the fractional CH area measured in the central-meridian slice [−10°,10°] of the solar disc, λ is the ecliptic longitude of the Earth, ± stands for positive/negative CH polarity, and t−t*=4 days. In periods of low ICME activity, the proposed expression provides forecasting of the amplitude of the HSS-associated Dst dip to an accuracy of ≈30%. However, the time of occurrence of the Dst minimum cannot be predicted to better than ±2 days, and consequently, the overall mean relative difference between the observed and calculated daily values of Dst ranges around 50%. Title: Coronal Holes and Solar Wind High-Speed Streams: I. Forecasting the Solar Wind Parameters Authors: Vršnak, Bojan; Temmer, Manuela; Veronig, Astrid M. Bibcode: 2007SoPh..240..315V Altcode: We analyze the relationship between the coronal hole (CH) area/position and physical characteristics of the associated corotating high-speed stream (HSS) in the solar wind at 1 AU. For the analysis we utilize the data in the period DOY 25 - 125 of 2005, characterized by a very low coronal mass ejection (CME) activity. Distinct correlations between the daily averaged CH parameters and the solar wind characteristics are found, which allows us to forecast the solar wind velocity v, proton temperature T, proton density n, and magnetic field strength B, several days in advance in periods of low CME activity. The forecast is based on monitoring fractional areas A, covered by CHs in the meridional slices embracing the central meridian distance ranges [−40°,−20°], [−10°,10°], and [20°,40°]. On average, the peaks in the daily values of n, B, T, and v appear delayed by 1, 2, 3, and 4 days, respectively, after the area A attains its maximum in the central-meridian slice. The peak values of the solar wind parameters are correlated to the peak values of A, which provides also forecasting of the peak values of n, B, T, and v. The most accurate prediction can be obtained for the solar wind velocity, for which the average relative difference between the calculated and the observed peak values amounts to \overline{\vertδ\vert}≈10 %. The forecast reliability is somewhat lower in the case of T, B, and n ( \overline{\vertδ\vert}≈20 , 30, and 40%, respectively). The space weather implications are discussed, including the perspectives for advancing the real-time calculation of the Sun - Earth transit times of coronal mass ejections and interplanetary shocks, by including more realistic real-time estimates of the solar wind characteristics. Title: Observational Characteristics of Magnetic Reconnection in a Two-Ribbon Flare Authors: Miklenic, C. H.; Veronig, A. M.; Vršnak, B.; Hanslmeier, A. Bibcode: 2007CEAB...31...39M Altcode: A well-observed GOES M3.9 two-ribbon flare was analysed in order to derive the local reconnection rate (coronal electric field) and the global reconnection rate (magnetic flux change rate), as well as the energy release rate (Poynting flux) in a two-ribbon flare from chromospheric/photospheric observations, using TRACE 1600 Å, Kanzelhöhe Hα, SOHO/MDI, and RHESSI hard X-ray (HXR) data. We found good temporal correlations between the derived time profiles and observed HXR flux. Furthermore, it was confirmed that equal shares of positive and negative magnetic flux participated in the reconnection process. The findings indicate that the 2D reconnection model is applicable to the analysed flare. Title: Analysis of the Flare Wave Associated with the 3B/X3.8 Flare of January 17, 2005 Authors: Thalmann, J. K.; Veronig, A. M.; Temmer, M.; Vršnak, B.; Hanslmeier, A. Bibcode: 2007CEAB...31..187T Altcode: The flare wave associated with the 3B/X3.8 flare and coronal mass ejection (CME) of January 17, 2005 are studied using imaging data in the Hα and EUV spectral channels. Due to the high-cadence Hα observations from Kanzelhöhe Solar Observatory (KSO), a distinct Moreton wave can be identified in ∼40 Hα frames over a period of ∼7 minutes. The associated coronal EIT wave is identifiable in only one EUV frame and appears close to the simultaneously observed Moreton wave front, indicating that they are closely associated phenomena. Beside the morphology of the wave across the solar disc (covering an angular extend of ∼130°), the evolution in different directions is studied to analyse the influence of a coronal hole (CH) on the wave propagation. The Moreton wave shows a decelerating character which can be interpreted in terms of a freely propagating fast-mode MHD shock. The parts of the wave front moving towards the CH show a lower initial and mean speed, and a greater amount of deceleration than the segments moving into the undisturbed direction. This is interpreted as the tendency of high Alfvén velocity regions to influence the propagation of wave packets. Title: Solar Rotation Velocity Determined by Coronal Bright Points - New Data and Analysis Authors: Mulec, M.; Brajša, R.; Wöhl, H.; Hanslmeier, A.; Vršnak, B.; Ruždjak, V.; Hochedez, J. -F.; Engler, J. Bibcode: 2007CEAB...31....1M Altcode: Full-disc solar images obtained with the Extreme Ultraviolet Imaging Telescope on board the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory were used to analyse solar differential rotation determined by tracing coronal bright points. Rotation velocity residuals, meridional motions and their relationship are investigated for a new data set from October 1, 1999 to March 31, 2000. Further we take care for the evolution of the single structures, dividing them into Point-Like-Structures, Small Loops and Small Active Regions and analysing their variation in intensity and size. Title: Helical Eruptive Prominence Associated with a Pair of Overlapping CMEs on 21 April 2001 Authors: Ali, Syed Salman; Uddin, Wahab; Chandra, Ramesh; Mary, D. L.; Vršnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2007SoPh..240...89A Altcode: The eruption of limb prominence on 21 April 2001 associated with two coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is investigated. Hα images reveal two large-scale eruptions (a prominence body and a southern foot-point arch), both showing helical internal structure. These two eruptions are found to be spatially and temporally associated with the corresponding CMEs. The kinematics and the study of geometrical parameters of the prominence show that the eruption was quite impulsive (with peak acceleration ≈470 m s−2) and has taken place for relatively low pitch angle of helical threads, not exceeding tan θ≈1.2. The stability criteria of the prominence are revisited in the light of the model of Vršnak (1990, Solar Phys.129, 295) and the analysis shows that the eruption violates the instability criteria of that model. Finally, the energy stored in the prominence circuit and the energies (kinetic, potential, and magnetic) of the associated CMEs are estimated and it is found that there was enough energy stored in the prominence to drive the two CMEs. Title: Spatial Restriction to HXR Footpoint Locations by Reconnection Site Geometries Authors: Temmer, M.; Vršnak, B.; Veronig, A.; Miklenic, M. Bibcode: 2007CEAB...31...49T Altcode: 2007astro.ph..1203T It is assumed that HXR sources map to the primary energy release site in flares where particle acceleration occurs. Strong HXR sources are mostly observed at confined regions along the reconnecting magnetic arcade. We make a general approach on how the geometry of the reconnecting current sheet (CS) may influence the strength and localization of observed HXR sources. For this we use results from an analysis on the 3B/X3.8 flare on January 17, 2005 (Temmer et al., 2007), as well as measurements from the associated CME. Due to the close match of the CME acceleration profile and the flare HXR flux, we suppose that the CME might play a certain role in modifying the geometry of the CS (``symmetric'' versus ``asymmetric'' vertically stretched CS). This could be the driver for ``guiding'' the accelerated particles to confined areas along the flaring arcade and might explain the spatially limited occurrence of strong HXR sources in comparison to elongated ribbons as seen in Hα and UV. Title: Reconnection and energy release rates in a two-ribbon flare Authors: Miklenic, C. H.; Veronig, A. M.; Vršnak, B.; Hanslmeier, A. Bibcode: 2007A&A...461..697M Altcode: Aims:The aim of this study was to derive the local reconnection rate (coronal electric field) and the global reconnection rate (magnetic flux change rate), as well as the energy release rate (Poynting flux), in a two-ribbon flare from chromospheric/photospheric observations. Furthermore, we tested whether equal shares of positive and negative magnetic flux are involved in the flare process.
Methods: A well-observed GOES M3.9 two-ribbon flare was analyzed. The required observables (ribbon expansion velocity, newly brightened area, and magnetic field strength at the ribbon front) were extracted from the TRACE 1600 Å and Kanzelhöhe Hα image time series, and a SOHO MDI magnetogram. Furthermore, the ratio of the converted positive vs. negative magnetic flux was determined. Both RHESSI hard X-ray 20-60 keV full-disk time profiles and subregion time profiles derived from a time series of RHESSI images in the same energy range were used as independent, observable proxies for the energy release rate. The RHESSI images were also used to localize the sites where the bulk of the energy was deposited by fast electrons.
Results: We found good temporal correlations between the derived time profiles (local and global reconnection rate, Poynting flux) and observed HXR flux. The local reconnection-rate peak values ranged from 2.7 {V cm-1} to 11.8 {V cm-1}, whereas the positive and the negative magnetic flux covered by the flare emission were equal within 5-10%.
Conclusions: .The results indicate that the local reconnection rate, the global reconnection rate, and the energy release rate in a simple two-ribbon flare can be derived from chromospheric/photospheric observations. Furthermore, it was confirmed that equal shares of positive and negative magnetic flux participated in the reconnection process. Title: Recent Research: Large-scale Disturbances, their Origin and Consequences Authors: Mann, Gottfried; Vršnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2007LNP...725..203M Altcode: This article gives a flavour of recent research dedicated to the large-scale coronal disturbances and the related interplanetary phenomena. The discussions include the take-off and propagation of coronal mass ejections (CMEs); the CME-flare relationship; the origin and propagation of shocks; the role of flares, CMEs, and shocks in particle acceleration; radio signatures of CMEs and shocks; coronal and IP plasma diagnostics offered by the radio emission excited by these phenomena. Title: Energy Release Rates along Hα Flare Ribbons and the Location of Hard X-Ray Sources Authors: Temmer, M.; Veronig, A. M.; Vršnak, B.; Miklenic, C. Bibcode: 2007ApJ...654..665T Altcode: Local reconnection and energy release rates for an X3.8 flare that occurred on 2005 January 17 are derived. In particular, we distinguish between Hα flare ribbon segments that were accompanied by RHESSI hard X-ray (HXR) footpoints and those without HXRs. We find that the reconnection and energy release rates are not uniform along the flare ribbons but much larger at the locations where the HXR footpoints are observed. The difference is about 2 orders of magnitude in the case of the energy release rates and 1 order of magnitude for the reconnection rates (with peak values up to 8 kV m-1). These differences are enough to explain the different flare morphologies typically observed in HXRs (compact footpoints) and Hα/UV (extended ribbons) by the limited dynamic range of present HXR instruments. Our results are consistent with a scenario in which the electrons are accelerated primarily along a certain subsystem of magnetic loops as outlined by the HXR footpoints, and only a minor fraction (for the 2005 January 17 flare estimated to be about 1/15) go into the large flare arcade outlined by the Hα ribbons and EUV postflare loops. Title: MHD Waves and Shocks Generated during Magnetic Field Reconnection Authors: Bárta, M.; Karlický, M.; Vršnak, B.; Goossens, M. Bibcode: 2007CEAB...31..165B Altcode: We use a 2D MHD model of magnetic field reconnection to investigate if and how bursts of reconnection activity, changes of the magnetic field and shock wave generation are related. We found that major bursts of power dissipated into Joule heat occur during topological transitions of the magnetic field structure. These bursts are followed by shocks and waves. Along the plasma outflow jet not only MHD waves, but also ion-sound shocks are formed. After the phase of more or less quiet reconnection (Petschek-type) the tearing mode produces plasmoids. The interactions of these plasmoids are associated with further bursts of the reconnection activity and a complex structure of shock waves. Finally, all these processes are discussed as possible sources of various radio bursts. Title: Millisecond solar radio bursts in the metric wavelength range Authors: Magdalenić, J.; Hillaris, A.; Zlobec, P.; Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2006AIPC..848..224M Altcode: 2010arXiv1009.4477M A study and classification of super-short structures (SSSs) recorded during metric type IV bursts is presented. The most important property of SSSs is their duration, at half power ranging from 4-50 ms, what is up to 10 times shorter than spikes at corresponding frequencies. The solar origin of the SSSs is confirmed by one-to-one correspondence between spectral recordings of Artemis-IV1 and high time resolution single frequency measurements of the TSRS2.

We have divided the SSSs in the following categories:

1. Broad-Band SSSs: They were partitioned in two subcategories, the SSS-Pulses and Drifting SSSs;

2. Narrow-band: They appear either as Spike-Like SSSs or as Patch-Like SSSs;

3. Complex SSS: They consist of the absorption-emission segments and were morphologically subdivided into Rain-drop Bursts (narrow-band emission head and a broad-band absorption tail) and Blinkers. Title: Interaction of a Moreton/EIT Wave and a Coronal Hole Authors: Veronig, Astrid M.; Temmer, Manuela; Vršnak, Bojan; Thalmann, Julia K. Bibcode: 2006ApJ...647.1466V Altcode: 2006astro.ph..4613V We report high-cadence Hα observations of a distinct Moreton wave observed at Kanzelhöhe Solar Observatory associated with the 3B/X3.8 flare and coronal mass ejection (CME) event of 2005 January 17. The Moreton wave can be identified in about 40 Hα frames over a period of 7 minutes. The EIT wave is observed in only one frame, but the derived propagation distance is close to that of the simultaneously measured Moreton wave fronts, indicating that they are closely associated phenomena. The large angular extent of the Moreton wave allows us to study the wave kinematics in different propagation directions with respect to the location of a polar coronal hole (CH). In particular, we find that the wave segment whose propagation direction is perpendicular to the CH boundary (``frontal encounter'') is stopped by the CH, which is in accordance with observations reported from EIT waves. However, we also find that at a tongue-shaped edge of the coronal hole, where the front orientation is perpendicular to the CH boundary (the wave ``slides along'' the boundary), the wave signatures can be found up to 100 Mm inside the CH. These findings are briefly discussed in the frame of recent modeling results. Title: Reconnection and Energy Release Rates in aTwo-Ribbon Flare Authors: Miklenic, Christiane H.; Veronig, A. M.; Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 2006SPD....37.0801M Altcode: 2006BAAS...38..230M We tried to verify whether the local reconnection rate (coronal electric field) and the global reconnection rate (magnetic flux change rate) as well as the energy release rate (Poynting flux) in a two-ribbon flare can be derived from chromospheric/photospheric observations. Furthermore, we tested whether equal shares of positive and negative magnetic flux are involved in the flare process.A well observed GOES M3.9 two-ribbon flare was analyzed. The required observables (ribbon expansion velocity, magnetic field strength at the ribbon front, and newly brightened area) were extracted from TRACE 1600 Å and Kanzelhöhe H-alpha image time series, and a SOHO MDI magnetogram, respectively. Furthermore, the ratio of the converted positive vs. negative magnetic flux was determined. RHESSI Hard X-ray 20 - 60 keV full-disk time profiles as well as subregion imaging light curves derived from a time series of RHESSI images in the same energy range, were used as independent, observable proxies of the reconnection and the energy release rate, respectively. The RHESSI images were also used to localize the sites where the bulk of the energy was deposited by fast electrons.We found good temporal correlations between derived time profiles (local and global reconnection rate, Poynting flux) and observed HXR flux. The local reconnection rate peak values ranged from 1.4 V/cm to 4.6 V/cm, and the ratio of converted positive vs. negative magnetic flux deviated from the theoretically expected value by only 5 - 10%.The results indicate that the local reconnection rate, the global reconnection rate as well as the energy release rate in a simple two-ribbon flare can be derived from chromospheric/photospheric observations. Furthermore, it was confirmed that equal shares of positive and negative magnetic flux participated in the reconnection process.This work is supported by the Austrian ‘Fonds zur Förderung der wissenschaftlichen Forschung’ under project P15344. Title: Classification and Properties of Supershort Solar Radio Bursts Authors: Magdalenić, J.; Vršnak, B.; Zlobec, P.; Hillaris, A.; Messerotti, M. Bibcode: 2006ApJ...642L..77M Altcode: Characteristics of supershort structures (SSSs) occurring in the metric solar type IV radio bursts are described. The most important property of SSSs is their duration, which, at half-power, ranges from 4 to 60 ms and is thus much shorter than generally expected for the bursts in the metric range. The comparison of the distributions of SSS durations with those of the spikes confirms that these are completely different classes of bursts. Our analysis is focused on the frequency range 200-450 MHz, providing us with the one-to-one identification of individual SSSs in single-frequency records of the INAF-Trieste Astronomical Observatory (Italy) and in the high-resolution spectral data of Artemis IV (Greece). The analysis reveals a number of different bursts that are classified as simple broadband, simple narrowband, and complex SSSs. The diversity of SSSs has a resemblance to the variety of the well-known metric radio bursts characterized by a 1 s timescale. Title: Shrinking and Cooling of Flare Loops in a Two-Ribbon Flare Authors: Vršnak, Bojan; Temmer, Manuela; Veronig, Astrid; Karlický, Marian; Lin, Jun Bibcode: 2006SoPh..234..273V Altcode: We analyze the evolution of the flare/postflare-loop system in the two-ribbon flare of November 3, 2003, utilizing multi-wavelength observations that cover the temperature range from several tens of MK down to 104 K. A non-uniform growth of the loop system enables us to identify analogous patterns in the height-time, h(t), curves measured at different temperatures. The "knees," "plateaus," and "bends" in a higher-temperature curve appear after a certain time delay at lower heights in a lower-temperature curve. We interpret such a shifted replication as a track of a given set of loops (reconnected field lines) while shrinking and cooling after being released from the reconnection site. Measurements of the height/time shifts between h(t) curves of different temperatures provide a simultaneous estimate of the shrinkage speed and cooling rate in a given temperature domain, for a period of almost ten hours after the flare impulsive phase. From the analysis we find the following: (a) Loop shrinkage is faster at higher temperatures - in the first hour of the loop-system growth, the shrinkage velocity at 5 MK is 20 - 30 km s−1, whereas at 1 MK it amounts to 5 km s−1; (b) Shrinking becomes slower as the flare decays - ten hours after the impulsive phase, the shrinkage velocity at 5 MK becomes 5 km s−1; (c) The cooling rate decreases as the flare decays - in the 5 MK range it is 1 MK min−1 in the first hour of the loop-system growth, whereas ten hours later it decreases to 0.2 MK min−1; (d) During the initial phase of the loop-system growth, the cooling rate is larger at higher temperatures, whereas in the late phases the cooling rate apparently does not depend on the temperature; (e) A more detailed analysis of shrinking/cooling around one hour after the impulsive phase reveals a deceleration of the loop shrinkage, amounting to ā ≈ 10 m s−2 in the T < 5 MK range; (f) In the same interval, conductive cooling dominates down to T ≈ 3 MK, whereas radiation becomes dominant below T ≈ 2 MK; (g) A few hours after the impulsive phase, radiation becomes dominant across the whole T < 5 MK range. These findings are compared with results of previous studies and discussed in the framework of relevant models. Title: Multi-wavelength study of coronal waves associated with the CME-flare event of 3 November 2003 Authors: Vršnak, B.; Warmuth, A.; Temmer, M.; Veronig, A.; Magdalenić, J.; Hillaris, A.; Karlický, M. Bibcode: 2006A&A...448..739V Altcode: The large flare/CME event that occurred close to the west solar limb on 3 November 2003 launched a large-amplitude large-scale coronal wave that was observed in Hα and Fe xii 195 Å spectral lines, as well as in the soft X-ray and radio wavelength ranges. The wave also excited a complex decimeter-to-hectometer type II radio burst, revealing the formation of coronal shock(s). The back-extrapolation of the motion of coronal wave signatures and the type II burst sources distinctly marks the impulsive phase of the flare (the hard X-ray peak, drifting microwave burst, and the highest type III burst activity), favoring a flare-ignited wave scenario. On the other hand, comparison of the kinematics of the CME expansion with the propagation of the optical wave signatures and type II burst sources shows a severe discrepancy in the CME-driven scenario. However, the CME is quite likely associated with the formation of an upper-coronal shock revealed by the decameter-hectometer type II burst. Finally, some six minutes after the launch of the first coronal wave, another coronal disturbance was launched, exciting an independent (weak) decimeter-meter range type II burst. The back-extrapolation of this radio emission marks the revival of the hard X-ray burst, and since there was no CME counterpart, it was clearly ignited by the new energy release in the flare. Title: Coronal Mass Ejection of 28 June 2000: Coupling of the CME Evolution and the Flare Energy Release Authors: Maričić, D.; Roša, D.; Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2006SunGe...1a..35M Altcode: We study the initiation and development of the limb Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) of 28 Jun 2000, utilizing observations from Mauna Loa Solar Observatory (MLSO), the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO), the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) and Yohkoh. Also, we analyze the relation between dynamics of the Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) and the energy release in the associated flare. The basic structure of the CME (prominence imbedded in bright coronal arcade) is clearly recognizable already in the low corona during the pre-eruption phase of slow rise. This provided measurements of kinematics of various features from the very beginning of the eruption up to the post-acceleration phase which was followed up to 32 solar radii. Such events are observed only occasionally, and are of great importance for the comprehension of the nature of forces driving CMEs. The acceleration maximum was attained at the radial distance of 1.45 solar radii from the Sun's center and ceased beyond 4 solar radii. The acceleration phase was synchronized with the impulsive phase of the associated two-ribbon flare. Observations provide clear evidence that the CME eruption caused a global restructuring of the magnetic field in the outer and inner corona. Title: X-ray sources and magnetic reconnection in the X3.9 flare of 2003 November 3 Authors: Veronig, A. M.; Karlický, M.; Vršnak, B.; Temmer, M.; Magdalenić, J.; Dennis, B. R.; Otruba, W.; Pötzi, W. Bibcode: 2006A&A...446..675V Altcode: Context: .Recent RHESSI observations indicate an apparent altitude decrease of flare X-ray loop-top (LT) sources before changing to the commonly observed upward growth of the flare loop system.
Aims: .We performed a detailed study of the LT altitude decrease for one well observed flare in order to find further hints on the physics of this phenomenon and how it is related to the magnetic reconnection process in solar flares.
Methods: .RHESSI X-ray source motions in the 2003 November 3, X3.9 flare are studied together with complementary data from SXI, EIT, and Kanzelhöhe Hα. We particularly concentrate on the apparent altitude decrease of the RHESSI X-ray LT source early in the flare and combine kinematical and X-ray spectral analysis. Furthermore, we present simulations from a magnetic collapsing trap model embedded in a standard 2-D magnetic reconnection model of solar flares.
Results: .We find that at higher photon energies the LT source is located at higher altitudes and shows higher downward velocities than at lower energies. The mean downward velocities range from 14 km s-1 in the RHESSI 10-15 keV energy band to 45 km s-1 in the 25-30 keV band. For this flare, the LT altitude decrease was also observed by the SXI instrument with a mean speed of 12 km s-1. RHESSI spectra indicate that during the time of LT altitude decrease the emission of the LT source is thermal bremsstrahlung from a "superhot" plasma with temperatures increasing from 35 MK to 45 MK and densities of the order of 1010 cm-3. The temperature does not significantly increase after this early (pre-impulsive superhot LT) phase, whereas the LT densities increase to a peak value of (3-4) × 1011 cm-3.
Conclusions: .Modeling of a collapsing magnetic trap embedded in a standard 2D magnetic reconnection model can reproduce the key observational findings in case that the observed emission is thermal bremsstrahlung from the hot LT plasma. This agrees with the evaluated RHESSI spectra for this flare. Title: Model of Motion of the X-Ray Loop-Top Source at the Beginning of Cusp-Type Flares Authors: Karlický, M.; Veronig, A.; Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2006CEAB...30...85K Altcode: A model with a 1-D collapsing magnetic trap is proposed for an explanation of the motion of the X-ray loop-top source at the beginning of cusp-type flares. Considering plasma heating due to the betatron mechanism an analytic formula for the temporal and spatial evolution of heated plasma temperature in the trap is derived. Using the formula and the relation for thermal bremsstrahlung flux, the time evolution of the X-ray intensity profile in the trap is computed numerically. The model explains not only the downward motion of the X-ray loop-top source observed at the beginning of cusp-type flares, but also the upward motion which follows. Title: New Families of Super Short Radio Bursts (Abstract) Authors: Magdalenić, J.; Vrsnak, B.; Zlobec, P.; Hillaris, A. Bibcode: 2006pre6.conf..399M Altcode: 2006pre4.conf..399M Several new families of super-short Solar radio features occurring in type IV bursts are presented. We discovered them in the high time resolution data (1 ms) recorded by the multichannel radiopolarimeter of the Trieste Astronomical Observatory. The reliability of these super-short structures (SSSs) is confirmed by one-to-one identification of individual SSS events in the corresponding Artemis-IV (University of Athens) spectral recordings. The most important characterists of SSSs is that they are faster then spikes, up to now considered the shortest Solar radio bursts [Guedel and Benz, A&A 231, 1, 202-212, 1990]. SSSs are 1-6 times shorter than the spikes, and it seems that their duration is not frequency dependent. Another distinction in respect to spikes is a stochastic change of the polarization degree (0-100%), sometimes also including the change of the sense of polarization within a given group of SSSs. Analysis of the spectral and single-frequency morphology reveals at least 3 distinct categories: "rain drops", broad-band SSSs, and spike-like SSSs. It seems that some subclasses also exist. Title: Theoretical and Observational Features of Magnetic Reconnection Authors: Biernat, H. K.; Semenov, V. S.; Penz, T.; Miklenic, C.; Veronig, A.; Hanslmeier, A.; Vršnak, B.; Heyn, M. F.; Ivanov, I. B.; Ivanova, V. V.; Kiehas, S. A.; Langmayr, D. Bibcode: 2006CEAB...30...75B Altcode: We present general solutions of the time--dependent

Petschek--type model of magnetic reconnection for a compressible

plasma. The disruption of a tangential discontinuity because of

a localized decrease of the resistivity leads to the generation

of several MHD wave modes. By solving the Riemann problem, the

behavior of these modes can be visualized. Additionally,

disturbances of the ambient plasma environment by the propagating

shock structures can be modeled. As an observational feature, the

determination of the reconnection rate in a two--ribbon flare is

presented. Title: Forces governing coronal mass ejections Authors: Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2006AdSpR..38..431V Altcode: Kinematics of CMEs is analyzed to get an insight into the properties of forces partaking in the eruption. It is demonstrated that the Lorentz force plays a dominant role within a distance of a few solar radii. In the distance range 1 30 solar radii, the inferred values of the Lorentz-force acceleration aL on average decrease with the heliocentric distance roughly as aL ∝ R-2. Generally, the values are found to be in the range g ≲ aL < 30g, where g(R) is the acceleration of gravity. In fast events, the aerodynamic drag is comparable to the Lorentz force, and on average also decreases with the distance. However, the decrease is more gradual, so the drag becomes essential in the upper corona and interplanetary space. Inspecting the CME flare relationship it is demonstrated that the reconnection beneath the CME plays an active role in the CME acceleration. Statistically, the CME speeds are correlated with the importance of the associated flare. The distribution of non-flare CME speeds is very similar to that of CMEs associated with flares of the soft X-ray importance C, and includes a considerable fraction of fast events. This implies that the concept of two distinct classes of CMEs (flare and non-flare) should be reformulated. Title: X-Ray Sources and Magnetic Reconnection in AN X-Class Flare Authors: Veronig, A. M.; Vršnak, B.; Karlický, M.; Temmer, M.; Magdalenić, J.; Dennis, B. R.; Otruba, W.; Pötzi, W. Bibcode: 2005ESASP.600E..32V Altcode: 2005ESPM...11...32V; 2005dysu.confE..32V No abstract at ADS Title: Properties of Very Short Duration Solar Radio Bursts Authors: Magdalenić, J.; Vršnak, B.; Zlobec, P.; Aurass, H. Bibcode: 2005ESASP.600E.131M Altcode: 2005dysu.confE.131M; 2005ESPM...11..131M No abstract at ADS Title: Wave Phenomena Associated with the X3.8 Flare/cme of 17-JAN-2005 Authors: Temmer, M.; Veronig, A.; Vršnak, B.; Thalmann, J.; Hanslmeier, A. Bibcode: 2005ESASP.600E.144T Altcode: 2005ESPM...11..144T; 2005dysu.confE.144T No abstract at ADS Title: Spatial Distribution and North-South Asymmetry of Coronal Bright Points from Mid-1998 to Mid-1999 Authors: Brajša, R.; Wöhl, H.; Vršnak, B.; Rušdjak, V.; Clette, F.; Hochedez, J. -F.; Verbanac, G.; Temmer, M. Bibcode: 2005SoPh..231...29B Altcode: Full-disc full-resolution (FDFR) solar images obtained with the Extreme Ultraviolet Imaging Telescope (EIT) on board the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) were used to analyse the centre-to-limb function and latitudinal distribution of coronal bright points. The results obtained with the interactive and the automatic method, as well as for three subtypes of coronal bright points for the time period 4 June 1998 to 22 May 1999 are presented and compared. An indication of a two-component latitudinal distribution of coronal bright points was found. The central latitude of coronal bright points traced with the interactive method lies between 10 and 20. This is closer to the equator than the average latitude of sunspots in the same period. Possible implications for the interpretation of the solar differential rotation are discussed. In the appendix, possible differences between the two solar hemispheres are analysed. More coronal bright points were present in the southern solar hemisphere than in the northern one. This asymmetry is statistically significant for the interactive method and not for the automatic method. The visibility function is symmetrical around the central meridian. Title: The CME-flare relationship: Are there really two types of CMEs? Authors: Vršnak, B.; Sudar, D.; Ruždjak, D. Bibcode: 2005A&A...435.1149V Altcode: We present a statistical analysis of 545 flare-associated CMEs and 104 non-flare CMEs observed in the heliocentric distance range 2-30 solar radii. We found that both data sets show quite similar characteristics, contradicting the concept of two distinct (flare/non-flare) types of CMEs. In both samples there is a significant fraction of CMEs showing a considerable acceleration or deceleration and both samples include a comparable ratio of fast and slow CMEs. We present kinematical curves of several fast non-flare CMEs moving at a constant speed or decelerating, i.e., behaving as expected for flare-associated CMEs. Analogously, we identified several slow flare-CMEs showing the acceleration peak beyond a height of 3 solar radii. On the other hand, it is true that CMEs associated with major flares are on average faster and broader than non-flare CMEs and small-flare CMEs. There is a well-defined correlation between the CME speed and the importance of the associated flare. In this respect, the non-flare CMEs show characteristics similar to CMEs associated with flares of soft X-ray class B and C, which is indicative of a "continuum" of events rather than supporting the existence of two distinct CME classes. Furthermore, we inferred that CMEs whose source region cannot be identified with either flares or eruptive prominences are on average slowest. The results indicate that the magnetic reconnection taking place in the current sheet beneath the CME significantly influences the CME dynamics. Title: Broadband Metric-Range Radio Emission Associated with a Moreton/EIT Wave Authors: Vršnak, B.; Magdalenić, J.; Temmer, M.; Veronig, A.; Warmuth, A.; Mann, G.; Aurass, H.; Otruba, W. Bibcode: 2005ApJ...625L..67V Altcode: We present the evolution and kinematics of a broadband radio source that propagated collaterally with an Hα/EIT wave, linking it with the type II burst that was excited higher up in the corona. The NRH wave emission extended from the frequency f~327 to f<151 MHz and was considerably weaker than the flare-related type IV burst. The emission centroid propagated at a height of 0-200 Mm above the solar limb and was intensified when the disturbance passed over enhanced coronal structures. We put forward the ad hoc hypothesis that the NRH wave signature is optically thin gyrosynchrotron emission excited by the passage of the coronal MHD fast-mode shock. The identification of radio emission associated with the coronal wave front is important since it offers us new diagnostic information that could provide us with better insight into the physical conditions in the disturbance itself. Title: Terminology of Large-Scale Waves in the Solar Atmosphere Authors: Vršnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2005EOSTr..86..112V Altcode: This is the fourth in a series of essays on terms used in solar-terrestrial physics that are thought to be in need of clarification. Terms are identified and essays are commissioned by a committee chartered by Division II (Sun and Heliosphere) of the International Astronomical Union. Terminology Committee members include Ed Cliver (chair), Jean-Louis Bougeret, Hilary Cane, Takeo Kosugi, Sara Martin, Rainer Schwenn, and Lidia van Driel-Gestelyi. Authors are asked to review the origins of terms and their current usage/misusage. The goals are to inform the community and to open a discussion. The following article by Bojan Vršnak focuses on terms used to describe large-scale waves in the solar atmosphere, an area of research that has been given great impetus by the images of waves from the Extreme ultraviolet Imaging Telescope (EIT) on board the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO). The committee welcomes suggestions for other terms to address in this forum. Title: 2 1/2 -D compressible reconnection model Authors: Skender, M.; Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2005ASSL..320..167S Altcode: 2005smp..conf..167S No abstract at ADS Title: Solar Flares — Observations and Theory Authors: Vršnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2005ASSL..320...27V Altcode: 2005smp..conf...27V No abstract at ADS Title: Exact Solution of Jump Relations at Discontinuities in a Two-And-Half-Dimensional Compressible Reconnection Model Authors: Skender, Marina; Vršnak, Bojan; Martinis, Mladen Bibcode: 2005IAUS..226..274S Altcode: Two-and-half-dimensional reconnection is examined for a compressible plasma: Exact solution of jump relations in the system of discontinuities is used to investigate how the outflowing jet and the conditions in the intermediate region depend on the characteristics of the inflow. The most significant implications concerning large-scale eruptive phenomena of solar atmosphere are presented. Title: Properties of Type IV Radio Bursts with Periodical Fine Structures Authors: Magdalenić, J.; Vršnak, B.; Zlobec, P.; Messerotti, M.; Temmer, M. Bibcode: 2005ASSL..320..259M Altcode: 2005smp..conf..259M No abstract at ADS Title: The Acceleration-Velocity Relationship in 5000 LASCO-CME's Authors: Ruždjak, D.; Vršnak, B.; Sudar, D. Bibcode: 2005ASSL..320..195R Altcode: 2005smp..conf..195R No abstract at ADS Title: 2 1/2-Dimensional Reconnection Model and Energy Release in Solar Flares Authors: Vršnak, Bojan; Skender, Marina Bibcode: 2005SoPh..226...97V Altcode: We employ a 2 1/2-dimensional reconnection model to analyse different aspects of the energy release in two-ribbon flares. In particular, we investigate in which way the systematic change of inflow region variables, associated with the vertical elongation of current sheet, affects the flare evolution. It is assumed that as the transversal magnetic field decreases, the ambient plasma-to-magnetic pressure ratio increases, and the reconnection rate diminishes. As the transversal field decreases due to the arcade stretching, the energy release enhances and the temperature rises. Furthermore, the magnetosonic Mach number of the reconnection outflow increases, providing the formation of fast mode standing shocks above the flare loops and below the erupting flux rope. Eventually, in the limit of a very small transversal field the reconnection becomes turbulent due to a highly non-linear response of the system to small fluctuations of the transversal field. The turbulence results in the energy release fragmentation which increases the release efficiency, and is likely to be responsible for the impulsive phase of the flare. On the other hand, as the current sheet stretches to larger heights, the ambient plasma-to-magnetic pressure ratio increases which causes a gradual decrease of the reconnection rate, energy release rate, and temperature in the late phase of flare. The described magnetohydrodynamical changes affect also the electron distribution function in space and time. At large reconnection rates (impulsive phase of the flare) the ratio of the inflow-to-outflow magnetic field strength is much smaller than at lower reconnection rates (late phase of the flare), i.e., the corresponding loss-cone angle becomes narrower. Consequently, in the impulsive phase a larger fraction of energized electrons can escape from the current sheet downwards to the chromosphere and upwards into the corona - the dominant flare features are the foot-point hard X-ray sources and type III radio bursts. On the other hand, at low reconnection rates, more particles stay trapped in the outflow region, and the thermal conduction flux becomes strongly reduced. As a result, a superhot loop-top, and above-the-loop plasma appears, as sometimes observed, to be a dominant feature of the gradual phase. Title: Loop-Top Altitude Decrease in an X-Class Flare Authors: Veronig, A.; Vršnak, B.; Karlický, M.; Temmer, M.; Magdalenić, J.; Dennis, B. R.; Otruba, W.; Pötzi, W. Bibcode: 2005HvaOB..29..127V Altcode: We study RHESSI X-ray source motions in the X3.9 flare of 2003 November 3. Particular attention is drawn to the apparent altitude decrease of a distinct loop-top (LT) source at the early flare phase before then changing to the commonly observed upward expansion of the flare loop system. We obtain that the downward motion is more pronounced at higher X-ray energies (peak values up to 50 km s^{-1}) consistent with recent findings by Sui et al. (2004). RHESSI spectra indicate that the emission process in the LT source is thermal bremsstrahlung from a super hot plasma (∼40 MK) with high densities increasing from ∼10^{10} cm^{-3} early in the flare to several times 10^{11} cm^{-3} at the end of RHESSI observations. Title: Coronal Mass Ejection of 15 May 2001: II. Coupling of the Cme Acceleration and the Flare Energy Release Authors: Vršnak, B.; Maričić, D.; Stanger, A. L.; Veronig, A. Bibcode: 2004SoPh..225..355V Altcode: We analyze the relationship between the dynamics of the coronal mass ejection (CME) of 15 May 2001 and the energy release in the associated flare. The flare took place behind the east limb and was disclosed by a growing system of hot soft X-ray (SXR) loops that appeared from behind the limb around the onset of the rapid acceleration of the CME. The highly correlated behavior of the SXR light-curve derivative and the time profile of the CME acceleration reveals an intrinsic relationship between the CME dynamics and the flare energy release. Furthermore, we found that the CME acceleration peak occurs simultaneously with the fastest growth (100 km s-1) of X-ray loops, indicating that the reconnection plays an essential role in the eruption. Inspecting the CME/flare morphology we recognized in the Yohkoh-SXT images an oval feature that formed within the rising structure at the onset of the rapid acceleration phase, simultaneously with the appearance of the X-ray loops. The eruptive prominence was imbedded within the lower half of the oval, suggestive of a flux-rope/prominence magnetic configuration. We interpret the observed morphological evolution in terms of a reconnection process in the current sheet that presumably formed below the erupting flux-rope at the onset of the CME acceleration. Measurements of the tip-height of the cusped X-ray loop system and the height of the lower edge of the oval, enable us to trace the stretching of the current sheet. The initial distance between the oval and the loops amounted to 35 - 40 Mm. In about 1 h the inferred length of the current sheet increased to 150 - 200 Mm, which corresponds to a mean elongation speed of 35 - 45 km s-1. The results are discussed in the framework of CME models that include the magnetic reconnection below the erupting flux-rope. Title: Coronal Mass Ejection of 15 May 2001: I. Evolution of Morphological Features of the Eruption Authors: Maričić, D.; Vršnak, B.; Stanger, A. L.; Veronig, A. Bibcode: 2004SoPh..225..337M Altcode: We study the initiation and development of the limb coronal mass ejection (CME) of 15 May 2001, utilizing observations from Mauna Loa Solar Observatory (MLSO), the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO), and Yohkoh. The pre-eruption images in various spectral channels show a quiescent prominence imbedded in the coronal void, being overlaid by the coronal arch. After the onset of rapid acceleration, this three-element structure preserved its integrity and appeared in the MLSO MK-IV coronagraph field of view as the three-part CME structure (the frontal rim, the cavity, and the prominence) and continued its motion through the field of view of the SOHO/LASCO coronagraphs up to 30 solar radii. Such observational coverage allows us to measure the relative kinematics of the three-part structure from the very beginning up to the late phases of the eruption. The leading edge and the prominence accelerated simultaneously: the rapid acceleration of the frontal rim and the prominence started at approximately the same time, the prominence perhaps being slightly delayed (4 - 6 min). The leading edge achieved the maximum acceleration amax≈ 600 ± 150 m s−2 at a heliocentric distance 2.4 -2.5 solar radii, whereas the prominence reached amax≈ 380± 50 m s−2, almost simultaneously with the leading edge. Such a distinct synchronization of different parts of the CME provides clear evidence that the entire magnetic arcade, including the prominence, erupts as an entity, showing a kind of self-similar expansion. The CME attained a maximum velocity of vmax≈ 1200 km s−1 at approximately the same time as the peak of the associated soft X-ray flare. Beyond about 10 solar radii, the leading edge of the CME started to decelerate at a≈−20 m s−2, most likely due to the aerodynamic drag. The deceleration of the prominence was delayed for 10 -30 min, which is attributed to its larger inertia. Title: Kinematics of coronal mass ejections between 2 and 30 solar radii. What can be learned about forces governing the eruption? Authors: Vršnak, B.; Ruždjak, D.; Sudar, D.; Gopalswamy, N. Bibcode: 2004A&A...423..717V Altcode: Kinematics of more than 5000 coronal mass ejections (CMEs) measured in the distance range 2-30 solar radii is investigated. A distinct anticorrelation between the acceleration, a, and the velocity, v, is found. In the linear form, it can be represented as a=-k1(v-v0), where v0=400 km s-1, i.e., most of CMEs faster than 400 km s-1 decelerate, whereas slower ones generally accelerate. After grouping CMEs into the width and mean-distance bins, it was found that the slope k1 depends on these two parameters: k1 is smaller for CMEs of larger width and mean-distance. Furthermore, the obtained CME subsets show distinct quadratic-form correlations, of the form a= -k2 (v-v0)| v-v0|. The value of k2 decreases with increasing distance and width, whereas v0 increases with the distance and is systematically larger than the slow solar wind speed by 100-200 km s-1. The acceleration-velocity relationship is interpreted as a consequence of the aerodynamic drag. The excess of v0 over the solar wind speed is explained assuming that in a certain fraction of events the propelling force is still acting in the considered distance range. In most events the inferred propelling force acceleration at 10 solar radii ranges between aL=0 and 10 m s-2, being on average smaller at larger distances. However, there are also events that show aL>50 m s-2, as well as events indicating aL<0. Implications for the interplanetary motion of CMEs are discussed, emphasizing the prediction of the 1 a.u. arrival time.

Appendices A and B are only available in electronic form at http://www.edpsciences.org Title: A multiwavelength study of solar flare waves. II. Perturbation characteristics and physical interpretation Authors: Warmuth, A.; Vršnak, B.; Magdalenić, J.; Hanslmeier, A.; Otruba, W. Bibcode: 2004A&A...418.1117W Altcode: The study of solar flare waves - globally propagating wave-like disturbances usually observed in Hα as Moreton waves - has recently come back into focus prompted by the observation of coronal waves in the EUV with the SOHO/EIT instrument (``EIT waves"), and in several additional wavelength channels. We study 12 flare wave events in order to determine their physical nature, using Hα, EUV, helium I, SXR and radioheliographic data. In the companion Paper I, we have presented the observational data and have discussed the morphology, spatial characteristics and the kinematics of the different flare wave signatures. The wavefronts observed in the various spectral bands were found to follow kinematical curves that are closely associated, implying that they are signatures of the same physical disturbance. In the present paper, we continue the study with a close examination of the evolution of the common perturbation that causes the different wave signatures, and with a detailed analysis of the metric type II radio bursts that were associated with all flare wave events. The basic characteristics of the waves are deceleration, perturbation profile broadening, and perturbation amplitude decrease. This behavior can be interpreted in terms of a freely propagating fast-mode MHD shock formed from a large-amplitude simple wave. It is shown that this scenario can account for all observed properties of the flare waves in the various spectral bands, as well as for the associated metric type II radio bursts. Title: A multiwavelength study of solar flare waves. I. Observations and basic properties Authors: Warmuth, A.; Vršnak, B.; Magdalenić, J.; Hanslmeier, A.; Otruba, W. Bibcode: 2004A&A...418.1101W Altcode: Propagating wave-like disturbances associated with solar flares - commonly observed in the chromosphere as Moreton waves - have been known for several decades. Recently, the phenomenon has come back into focus prompted by the observation of coronal waves with the SOHO/EIT instrument (``EIT waves"). It has been suggested that they represent the anticipated coronal counterpart to Moreton waves, but due to some pronounced differences, this interpretation is still being debated. We study 12 flare wave events in order to determine their physical nature, using Hα, EUV, He I 10 830 Å, SXR and radioheliographic data. The flare wave signatures in the various spectral bands are found to lie on closely associated kinematical curves, implying that they are signatures of the same physical disturbance. In all events, and at all wavelengths, the flare waves are decelerating, which explains the apparent ``velocity discrepancy" between Moreton and EIT waves which has been reported by various authors. In this paper, the focus of the study is on the morphology, the spatial characteristics and the kinematics of the waves. The characteristics of the common perturbation which causes the wave signatures, as well as the associated type II radio bursts, will be studied in companion Paper II, and a consistent physical interpretation of flare waves will be given. Title: Height correction in the measurement of solar differential rotation determined by coronal bright points Authors: Brajša, R.; Wöhl, H.; Vršnak, B.; Ruždjak, V.; Clette, F.; Hochedez, J. -F.; Roša, D. Bibcode: 2004A&A...414..707B Altcode: Full-disc solar images obtained with the Extreme Ultraviolet Imaging Telescope (EIT) on board the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) are used to analyse solar differential rotation by tracing coronal bright points for the period June 4, 1998 to May 22, 1999. A method for the simultaneous determination of the true solar synodic rotation velocity and the height of the tracers is applied to data sets analysed with interactive and automatic methods. The calculated height of coronal bright points is on average 8000-12000 km above the photosphere. Corrected rotation velocities are transformed into sidereal ones and compared with results from the literature, obtained with various methods and tracers. The differential rotation profile determined by coronal bright points with the interactive method corresponds roughly to the profile obtained by correlating photospheric magnetic fields and the profile obtained from the automatic method corresponds roughly to the rotation of sunspot groups. This result is interpreted in terms of the differences obtained in the latitudinal distribution of coronal bright points using the two methods. Title: Exact solution of jump relations at discontinuities in a 2.5-D reconnection model Authors: Skender, M.; Vrsnak, B.; Martinis, M. Bibcode: 2004cosp...35..192S Altcode: 2004cosp.meet..192S Exact solution of the complete set of jump relations at the rotational discontinuity and the slow mode shock in a two-and-half dimensional (2 1/2 - D) symmetric reconnection model is presented. The solution is used for analyzing the outflow jet characteristics in dependence on the speed and the incidence angle of the inflowing plasma, for a given shear of the inflow magnetic field. It is found that the outflow magnetosonic Mach number depends significantly on the incidence angle, the effect being more prominent at larger reconnection rates. Significant dynamical changes in the flow/field geometry are found in the transition to the 2-D regime: In the region between the rotational discontinuity and the slow mode shock the direction of flow and the magnetic field become extremely sensitive to the degree of the magnetic field shear in the inflow. Implications for evolutionary systems like solar flares are discussed. M. Skender, B. Vrsnak, M.Martinis, Phys. Rev. E 68 (2003) 046405 Title: Forces governing coronal mass ejections Authors: Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 2004cosp...35..697V Altcode: 2004cosp.meet..697V The general morphology and kinematics of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are briefly described to outline physical aspects that are relevant for the understanding of CME propagation. The CME dynamics can be explained combining characteristics of the Lorentz force, the aerodynamic drag, and the gravity with the geometrical properties of CMEs. Whereas the Lorentz force plays a dominant role during the main acceleration stage that takes place within the distance of a few solar radii, the drag becomes essential in the upper corona and interplanetary space. Utilizing a large sample of more than 5000 CMEs measured in the distance range of 2--30 solar radii, the properties of the drag force are inspected. Analyzing the quadratic-form correlation, a =-k(v-v_0)| v-v_0|, between the acceleration, a, and the velocity, v, it is found that k is smaller for wider CMEs and decreases with heliocentric distance. Furthermore, v_0 increases with distance and is systematically larger than the slow solar wind speed by 100--200 km s-1. Such an excess of v_0 is explained assuming that in a certain fraction of events the propelling force is still acting in the considered distance range. In most events the inferred propelling-force acceleration at R=10 ranges between a_L=0 and 10 m s-2, being on average smaller at larger distances. However, there are also events showing a_L>50 m s-2, as well as the events indicating a_L<0. The prolonged acceleration of fast events is attributed to the reconnection below the erupting flux rope, which might also cause a two-ribbon flare if the associated energy release is powerful enough. Implications for the interplanetary motion of CMEs are discussed, emphasizing the prediction of the Sun-Earth transit time. Title: Are there really two types of cmes? Authors: Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 2004cosp...35..700V Altcode: 2004cosp.meet..700V A statistical analysis of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is performed to compare the kinematical properties of flare-associated (F) and non-flare (nF) CMEs. The study is based on measurements of 545 F-CMEs and 211 nF-CMEs in the distance range R=2--30 solar radii. No statistically significant difference is found: e.g., the mean accelerations and mean velocities amount to a_F=-1.8± 17 m s-2, anF=-0.3± 19 m s-2 and v_F=581± 314 km s-1, vnF=576± 323 km s-1, respectively. Such an outcome indicates that the division of CMEs into two distinct categories is highly doubtful. The argument is strengthened by showing examples of fast F-CMEs significantly accelerating beyond R=2, and fast nF-CMEs moving at a constant speed or decelerating in the considered distance range. These examples disprove the scheme according to which the flare-associated CMEs are fast and move at a constant speed (or decelerate) in the coronagraph field of view, whereas the non-flare CMEs expose a gradual acceleration. Yet, it is shown that there is a well-defined relationship between the kinematical properties of CMEs and importance of associated flares: CMEs related to more powerful flares tend to be faster. However, the distribution of events along the speed-importance correlation is homogeneous, i.e., there is no grouping of CMEs into distinguishable classes. On the other hand, it is also found that wider CMEs are faster on average, and tend to show a prolonged acceleration phase. When only CMEs of a given width-class are isolated, the non-flare CMEs show kinematical parameters similar to CMEs associated with the flares of lowest importances. The results are interpreted in terms of the erupting flux rope model. Title: Magnetic reconnection in solar flares Authors: Vršnak, B.; Skender, M. Bibcode: 2004HvaOB..28..103V Altcode: Various aspects of solar flares are considered in the framework of analytic solutions of the complete set of MHD equations describing the 2 1/2 -- D Petschek's reconnection model. In particular, we compare the theoretical results with characteristics of two-ribbon flares since they provide spatially resolved measurements of various plasma parameters. We emphasize the evolutionary aspect of the process, focusing on the effects of the change of the current sheet length-to-width ratio, longitudinal-to-transversal field ratio, and the ambient value of the plasma-to-magnetic pressure ratio. These parameters determine the conditions for the onset of fast reconnection, the transition to the turbulent reconnection regime, the spatial distribution of the density and temperature, and the efficiency of the particle acceleration. Title: Band-splitting of coronal and interplanetary type II bursts. III. Physical conditions in the upper corona and interplanetary space Authors: Vršnak, B.; Magdalenić, J.; Zlobec, P. Bibcode: 2004A&A...413..753V Altcode: We analyse properties of 58 type II radio bursts recorded in the meter-to-kilometer wavelength range, focusing on episodes of band-split emission. The basic two parameters utilized are the frequency drift Df=df/dt and the relative band-split BDW=Δ f/f of type II burst emission lanes. On average, in the meter-to-kilometer wavelength range Df increases with the emission frequency as Df∝ f1.83, revealing that source velocities are smaller at larger heliocentric distances. The relative band-split shows a weak but statistically significant dependence on the emission frequency, BDW∝ f-0.06, indicating an increase of BDW with the heliocentric distance. Combining the shock velocity estimated from the frequency drift, with the Mach number inferred from the band-split, the Alfvén speed and the magnetic field in the ambient plasma can be estimated as a function of the heliocentric distance r. However, the outcome directly depends on the coronal/interplanetary density model used, which is poorly known in the upper corona and the near-Sun interplanetary space. So, we invert the problem: utilizing the results of the previous paper where it was shown that beyond the heliocentric distance of two solar radii (r/r=R>2) the average magnetic field decreases approximately as B∝ R-2, we infer the density n(R) in the upper corona and near-Sun interplanetary space. The obtained empirical dependence n(R) is presented in the analytical form as a four-degree polynomial of 1/R, and is compared with some theoretical n(R) models, considering also a deviation from the B∝ 1/R2 scaling used. The model matches the five-fold Saito density model (representing the active region corona) with the n∝ R-2 regime in the interplanetary space. Furthermore, it is shown that on average the magnetosonic speed attains a local minimum of vms≈ 400 km s-1 around R=3 and a broad local maximum of vms≈ 500 km s-1 in the range R=4-6, beyond which it gradually decreases to several tens km s-1 at 1 a.u. The local minimum becomes even deeper if the super-radial expansion of the magnetic field is taken into account. The implications regarding the formation and evolution of shocks in the corona and upper corona are discussed in the framework of CME-piston and flare-blast scenarios. The inferred general decrease of type II burst source velocities and broadening of band-splits with distance is interpreted in terms of the deceleration of mass ejections driving the shocks in the decreasing vms environment.

Appendices A and B are only available in electronic form at http://www.edpsciences.org Title: Interaction of an Erupting Filament with the Ambient Magnetoplasma and Escape of Electron Beams Authors: Vršnak, Bojan; Warmuth, Alexander; Maričić, Darije; Otruba, Wolfgang; Ruždjak, Vladimir Bibcode: 2003SoPh..217..187V Altcode: A huge filament eruption of 12 September 2000 associated with a two-ribbon spotless flare is described. During the acceleration phase the shape of the filament changed, and signatures of topological restructuring of large-scale coronal magnetic fields were inferred by tracking changes of nearby coronal holes. At the same time electron beams associated with the flare impulsive phase escaped into interplanetary space. Based on the time-spatial relationships a hypothesis is put forward, according to which the reconnection between the arcade magnetic field and the ambient field provides a temporary link between the open field lines and the flare energy release site, enabling the escape of electron beams into interplanetary space. Title: Dynamics of coronal mass ejections in the near-Sun interplanetary space Authors: Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdajak, D.; Sudar, D.; Gopalswamy, N. Bibcode: 2003ESASP.535..517V Altcode: 2003iscs.symp..517V Kinematics of more than 5000 coronal mass ejections (CMEs) measured between 2 and 30 solar radii is investigated. A distinct relationship between the late-phase acceleration of CMEs and their velocities is found. It can be represented in the form a[m s-2] = -0.02(v-400)[km s-1]. The relationship is interpreted in terms of coupling of the CME motion and the solar wind, i.e., by the action of the aerodynamic drag. The results indicate that in the considered radial distance range the Lorentz force acceleration becomes weak, in the majority of the events spanning between 0 and 10 m s-2. Implications for the interplanetary motion of CMEs are discussed, emphasising the prediction of the 1 a.u. arrival time. Title: Initiation and development of two coronal mass ejections Authors: Maričić, D.; Vršnak, B.; Stanger, A. L.; Roša, D.; Hržina, D. Bibcode: 2003ESASP.535..441M Altcode: 2003iscs.symp..441M We analyze the initiation and development of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) launched on 2001 May 15 and 2001 May 25. Both CMEs show clearly recognizable three-part structure already at low heights during the initial gradual rise in the pre-eruptive phase. This provides measurements of relative kinematics of the three-part structure from the very beginning of the eruption up to the post-acceleration phase. In both CMEs the frontal rim starts accelerating some 10-20 min before the prominence. However, the acceleration maximum of the prominence and the frontal rim was synchronized. CMEs attained the maximum acceleration of ≍350 m s-2 and ≍250 m s-2, at the leading edge heliocentric distance R=2.4 and R=2.1 solar radii, respectively. In both cases the acceleration time profile of the frontal rim was broader than that of the prominence, although the peak values were similar. The CMEs attained velocities in excess of 1000 km s-1, showing a weak deceleration at large heights. The leading edge of CME starts decelerating before the prominence in both cases, indicating that the deceleration is caused by the aerodynamic drag force. Title: Radio signatures of fast oscillatory phenomena in the solar corona Authors: Magdalenic, Jasmina; Zlobec, P.; Vršnak, B.; Messerotti, M.; Aurass, H.; Temmer, M. Bibcode: 2003ESASP.535..619M Altcode: 2003iscs.symp..619M During type IV solar radio bursts different types of periodic fine structures (PFSs) are frequently observed, which can be interpreted as radio signatures of fast oscillatory phenomena in the coronal plasma. We analyze a large set of type IV bursts containing PFSs, recorded with high time resolution at single frequencies in the metric and decimetric bands. Focusing on the association with flares and flare-like phenomena we found: PFSs can be found in about 50% of type IV bursts characterized by fine structures; 10% of PFS-containing events are weak/short type IV-like radio bursts that occur in absence of any flare-like activity. In the weakest events the whole radio burst was in fact just one short PFS-episode recorded at only one observing frequency; In flare associated events we found two distinct classes of PFSs - impulsive phase and decay phase related PFSs; yet, no statistically significant difference in the characteristic periods and amplitudes is found between the two classes; PFS-rich radio events are characterized by large SXR and radio peak fluxes - neither one of the weak type IV bursts was PFS-rich. The opposite is not true: mainly powerful bursts are PFS-poor. Title: Properties of the solar velocity field indicated by motions of coronal bright points Authors: Vršnak, B.; Brajša, R.; Wöhl, H.; Ruždjak, V.; Clette, F.; Hochedez, J. -F. Bibcode: 2003A&A...404.1117V Altcode: Full-disc solar images obtained with the Extreme Ultraviolet Imaging Telescope (EIT) on board the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) are used to analyse properties of the solar velocity field by tracing coronal bright points from June 4, 1998 to May 22, 1999. Rotation velocity residuals, meridional motions and their relationship are investigated. Zones of slow and fast rotation found in motions of coronal bright points are consistent with the pattern of torsional oscillations, indicating that the statistical velocity pattern of bright point motions reflects the large-scale plasma flows. A complex pattern of meridional motion is deduced: The equatorward flows are found to dominate at low (B<10deg) and high (B>40deg) latitudes, whereas at mid-latitudes (B~ 10deg-40deg) a poleward flow is inferred. The complete data set shows no significant correlation between rotation residuals and meridional motions. However, when a subsample of coronal bright points including only the ``point-like structures'' (predominantly young bright points) is considered, a statistically significant correlation is found. On average, faster tracers show equatorward motion and the slower ones show poleward motion. Such a segregation is reflected in a statistically significant covariance of the rotation residuals and meridional velocities in the order of -1000 m2 s-2, revealing an equatorward transport of angular momentum. The negative value of the covariance is provided by the high velocity tail in the velocity distribution of point-like structures, representing less than 15% of the population. The latitude dependence of the covariance can be expressed as Q=-62 B + 200 m2 s-2 covering the range B=0deg-60deg. Title: Solar rotation velocity determined by coronal bright points Authors: Brajša, R.; Wöhl, H.; Vršnak, B.; Ruždjak, V.; Clette, F.; Hochedez, J. F.; Roša, D.; Hržina, D. Bibcode: 2003HvaOB..27...13B Altcode: Full-disc solar images in the extreme ultraviolet part of the spectrum from the SOHO spacecraft (instrument EIT, data in the spectral line of Fe XV at a wavelength of 28.4 nm) are used to identify and trace coronal bright points with the interactive and automatic method. The Solar rotation was determined for the period June 4, 1998 to May 22, 1999 and a two-step velocity filter was applied. Histograms of latitudinal and central meridian distance distributions of coronal bright points, for both solar hemispheres treated together (north and south, east and west), are presented and compared for different reduction procedures. Title: Analysis of periodical fine structures in type IV solar radio bursts Authors: Magdaleníc, J.; Zlobec, P.; Vršnak, B.; Messerotti, M.; Auras, H.; Veronig, A. Bibcode: 2003HvaOB..27..131M Altcode: Superimposed on the continuum of type IV solar radio bursts fine structures are often observed. We analysed a large data set of periodical fine structures recorded with high time resolution at single frequencies (metric to decimetric bands) by the Trieste Solar Radio System. Diverse classes of fine structures with similar periodical behaviour but different time profiles and polarization characteristics were identified. It is demonstrated that on the average pulsation periods decrease with increasing observing frequency, and that pulsations recorded above ≈ 600 MHz could be of different nature than pulsations below ≈ 400 MHz. Title: Flare waves revisited Authors: Warmuth, A.; Vršnak, B.; Hanslmeier, A. Bibcode: 2003HvaOB..27..139W Altcode: Recently, the flare wave phenomenon has come back into focus prompted by the observation of coronal waves with the SOHO/EIT instrument (EIT waves). It has been suggested that they represent the coronal counterpart to the chromospheric Moreton waves, but this interpretation has remained a matter of debate. In order to make inferences on the physical nature of the phenomenon, 12 flare wave events are studied using Hα, EUV, Helium I, SXR and radio data. The wavefronts in the various spectral ranges are following very similar kinematical curves, which suggests that they are caused by the same physical disturbance. The characteristics of this disturbance -- deceleration, perturbation profile broadening, and perturbation amplitude decrease -- can be interpreted in terms of a freely propagating fast-mode MHD shock which decays to an ordinary fast-mode wave. This scenario also accounts for the associated metric type II radio bursts. Title: Magnetic 3-D Configurations of Energy Release in Solar Flares Authors: Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 2003LNP...612...28V Altcode: 2003ecpa.conf...28V Basic concepts and principles usually used to interpret the solar flare phenomenon are summarized, and traditional classification schemes based on 2-D magnetic field representations are briefly reviewed. The extension to 3-D opens new aspects, some of which are sketched in this paper: In particular two-loop interactions, two-ribbon flare geometry, and the plasmoid formation in a current sheet are considered. It is shown that alternative onset processes exist beside the standard two-ribbon flare scenario in which the pre-flare arcade evolves slowly through a series of equilibrium states until the eruption. For example, the arcade can become unstable after an abrupt reformation of its core through a sequence of loop interactions. The restructuration results in an impulsive compact flare and the formation of an unstable `sigmoid' whose eruption provides the two-ribbon phase aftermath. Possible modalities of main phase are emphasized. Especially the secondary plasmoid formation is considered and its fate discussed stressing the 3-D aspect of the process and the effect of line-tying. Finally, complex events composed of several distinct, but causally related energy release processes are described. Title: Solar type II radio bursts: emission from shock segments with a collapsing trap geometry? Authors: Magdalenić, J.; Vršnak, B.; Aurass, H. Bibcode: 2002ESASP.506..335M Altcode: 2002svco.conf..335M; 2002ESPM...10..335M The nature of the band-split type II burst radio emission is discussed. Examples are shown in which the extrapolations of band-split lanes of type II bursts recorded in the hekto-kilometric wavelength range fit to the local frequency jump caused by the passage of the associated interplanetary MHD shock wave at 1 AU. Such cases favour the interpretation of band-split in terms of the emission from the upstream and downstream shock region. On the other hand type II bursts sometimes show relative band-splits smaller than 10%, indicating that even low amplitude shocks can excite the type II burst emission. This implies that an additional mechanism is accelerating electrons at such shocks. It is proposed that the band-split type II emission is excited at quasi-perpendicular shock segments forming a collapsing trap geometry. In such a configuration a particular magnetic field line intersects the shock front twice forming a system of two approaching magnetic mirrors in which electrons can be accelerated. Title: Energy release from a large-scale magnetic null point in the corona? Authors: Aurass, Henry; Hofmann, Axel; Vršnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2002ESASP.506..423A Altcode: 2002svco.conf..423A; 2002ESPM...10..423A We observed how a flare disturbes a system of interconnecting loops between neighboring active regions. The disturbed loops brighten in SOHO/EIT images of the coronal magnetoplasma. They are part of a large scale structure embracing a weak field range in the photospheric and coronal magnetic field. Near the weak field site but away from active regions and from the EIT-detected loopl heating, an initially narrowband nonthermal meter wave radio source is observed by the AIP spectrometer and the Nançay radio heliograph. The formation of this source and the EIT loop brightening can be consequences of current sheet activation and excessive coronal heating at a disturbed magnetic null point. Title: Physical conditions in the reconnection outflow Authors: Skender, M.; Vršnak, B.; Martinis, M. Bibcode: 2002ESASP.506..757S Altcode: 2002svco.conf..757S; 2002ESPM...10..757S The amplitude of the standing fast mode shock formed in the reconnection outflow is studied. The dependence on the Mach number of the inflow, the direction of the inflow, the transversal magnetic field, and the plasma to magnetic pressure ratio is investigated in 2-D and 2 1/2-D model separately. The results are presented stressing the observable quantities such as the band-split of the radio emission excited in the upstream and downstream regions of the fast mode shock. For the range of parameter values appropriate for the occurrence of solar flares it is found that the relative band-split should be in the range 10-50%. Title: Coronal and interplanetary magnetic fields inferred from band-splitting of type II bursts Authors: Vršnak, B.; Magdalenić, J.; Aurass, H.; Mann, G. Bibcode: 2002ESASP.506..409V Altcode: 2002svco.conf..409V; 2002ESPM...10..409V Adopting that the band-splitting of type II bursts is a consequence of the plasma emission from the upstream and downstream shock region, the band-split reveals the shock Mach number. On the other hand, the shock speed can be inferred from the frequency drift. Combining these two parameters the Alfvén velocity and the magnetic field in the ambient plasma can be estimated. The results of such an analysis applied to 44 type II bursts recorded from decimetric to kilometric wavelengths are presented. The inferred magnetic field decreases as R-2 beyond the radial distance of 1.5 solar radii (R > 1.5) if the two-fold Saito density model is applied at R < 10 and Leblanc model beyond R ≍ 30. In that case the Alfvén velocity shows a shallow local minimum of vA ≍ 400 km s-1 at 2 < R < 3 and a broad local maximum of vA ≍ 500 km s-1 at 4 < R < 6. Title: Band-splitting of coronal and interplanetary type II bursts. II. Coronal magnetic field and Alfvén velocity Authors: Vršnak, B.; Magdalenić, J.; Aurass, H.; Mann, G. Bibcode: 2002A&A...396..673V Altcode: Type II radio bursts recorded in the metric wavelength range are excited by MHD shocks traveling through the solar corona. They often expose the fundamental and harmonic emission band, both frequently being split in two parallel lanes that show a similar frequency drift and intensity behaviour. Our previous paper showed that band-splitting of such characteristics is a consequence of the plasma emission from the upstream and downstream shock regions. Consequently, the split can be used to evaluate the density jump at the shock front and to estimate the shock Mach number, which in combination with the shock speed inferred from the frequency drift provides an estimate of the Alfvén velocity and the magnetic field in the ambient plasma. In this paper such a procedure is applied to 18 metric type II bursts with the fundamental band starting frequencies up to 270 MHz. The obtained values show a minimum of the Alfvén velocity at the heliocentric distance R~ 2 amounting to vA~ 400-500 km s-1. It then increases achieving a local maximum of vA~ 450-700 km s-1 at R~ 2.5. The implications regarding the process of formation and decay of MHD shocks in the corona are discussed. The coronal magnetic field in the range 1.3<R<3 decreases as R-3 to R-4, or H-1.5 to H -2 if expressed as a function of the height. The results are compared with other estimates of the coronal magnetic field in the range 1<R<10. Combined data show that below H<0.3 the magnetic field is dominated by active region fields, whereas above H=1 it becomes radial, behaving roughly as B=2x R-2 with a plausible value of B~ 5 nT at 1 a.u. Title: The Neupert effect and the electron-beam-driven evaporation model Authors: Veronig, A.; Vršnak, B.; Dennis, B. R.; Temmer, M.; Hanslmeier, A.; Magdalenić, J. Bibcode: 2002ESASP.506..367V Altcode: 2002svco.conf..367V; 2002ESPM...10..367V Based on a sample of ~1100 solar flares observed simultaneously in hard and soft X-rays, we performed a statistical analysis of the Neupert effect. For a subset of ~500 events, supplementary Hα flare data were considered. The timing behavior of >50% of the events is consistent with the Neupert effect. A high correlation between the soft X-ray peak flux and the hard X-ray fluence is obtained, being indicative of electron-beam-driven evaporation. However, about one fourth of the events (predominantly weak flares) reveal strong deviations from the predicted timing, with a prolonged increase of the thermal emission beyond the end of the hard X-rays. These findings suggest that electron-beam-driven evaporation plays an important role in solar flares. Yet, in a significant fraction of events there is also evidence for an additional energy transport mechanism from the energy release site other than electron beams, presumably thermal conduction. Title: Morphology and polarization of metric and decimetric solar radio pulsations: a statistical approach Authors: Magdalenić, J.; Zlobec, P.; Messerotti, M.; Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2002ESASP.506..331M Altcode: 2002ESPM...10..331M; 2002svco.conf..331M We analyzed a large data set of fine structures observed during type IV solar radio events recorded with high time resolution at single frequencies in the metric and decimetric bands by the Trieste Solar Radio System. Varieties of fine structures with periodical behavior but different temporal morphologies and polarization characteristics were identified. For selected events general statistics was derived in order to describe the evolution in time and at different observing frequencies, i.e. to infer the evolution of the related coronal plasma disturbances in time and height. To better characterize the observed radio pulsations in the framework of the flaring process, we derived the positions of the associated active regions, and studied the timing of such radio phenomena with respect to the associated SXR flares. Title: The Neupert effect in solar flares and implications for coronal heating Authors: Veronig, A.; Vrsnak, B.; Dennis, B. R.; Temmer, M.; Hanslmeier, A.; Magdalenić, J. Bibcode: 2002ESASP.505..599V Altcode: 2002solm.conf..599V; 2002IAUCo.188..599V; 2002astro.ph..8089V Based on simultaneous observations of solar flares in hard and soft X-rays we studied several aspects of the Neupert effect. About half of 1114 analyzed events show a timing behavior consistent with the Neupert effect. For these events, a high correlation between the soft X-ray peak flux and the hard X-ray fluence is obtained, being indicative of electron-beam-driven evaporation. However, for about one fourth of the events there is strong evidence for an additional heating agent other than electron beams. We discuss the relevance of these findings with respect to Parker's idea of coronal heating by nanoflares. Title: Flare waves observed in Helium I 10 830 Å. A link between Hα Moreton and EIT waves Authors: Vršnak, B.; Warmuth, A.; Brajša, R.; Hanslmeier, A. Bibcode: 2002A&A...394..299V Altcode: Three traveling disturbances recorded in the absorption line of Helium I at 10 830 Å, (He I), analogous to Hα Moreton waves, are analyzed. The morphology and kinematics of the wavefronts are described in detail. The He I wave appears as an expanding arc of increased absorption roughly corresponding to the Hα disturbance, although not as sharply defined. He I perturbations consist of a relatively uniform diffuse component and a patchy one that appears as enhanced absorption in He I mottles. It leads the Hα front by some 20 Mm and can be followed to considerably larger distances than in Hα observations. Behind the front stationary areas of reduced He I absorption develop, resembling EUV coronal dimming. The observed He I as well as the Hα disturbances show a deceleration of the order of 100-1000 m s-2. Moreover, in the event where Hα , He I, and EUV wavefronts are observed, all of them follow closely related kinematical curves, indicating that they are a consequence of a common disturbance. The analysis of spatial perturbation profiles indicates that He I disturbances consist of a forerunner and a main dip, the latter being cospatial with the Hα disturbance. The properties and behavior of the wavefronts can be comprehended as a consequence of a fast-mode MHD coronal shock whose front is weakly inclined to the solar surface. The Hα disturbance and the main He I dip are a consequence of the pressure jump in the corona behind the shock front. The He I forerunner might be caused by thermal conduction from the oblique shock segments ahead of the shock-chromosphere intersection, or by electron beams accelerated in the quasi-perpendicular section of the shock. Title: Investigation of the Neupert effect in solar flares. I. Statistical properties and the evaporation model Authors: Veronig, A.; Vršnak, B.; Dennis, B. R.; Temmer, M.; Hanslmeier, A.; Magdalenić, J. Bibcode: 2002A&A...392..699V Altcode: 2002astro.ph..7217V Based on a sample of 1114 flares observed simultaneously in hard X-rays (HXR) by the BATSE instrument and in soft X-rays (SXR) by GOES, we studied several aspects of the Neupert effect and its interpretation in the frame of the electron-beam-driven evaporation model. In particular, we investigated the time differences (Delta t) between the maximum of the SXR emission and the end of the HXR emission, which are expected to occur at almost the same time. Furthermore, we performed a detailed analysis of the SXR peak flux - HXR fluence relationship for the complete set of events, as well as separately for subsets of events which are likely compatible/incompatible with the timing expectations of the Neupert effect. The distribution of the time differences reveals a pronounced peak at Delta t = 0. About half of the events show a timing behavior which can be considered to be consistent with the expectations from the Neupert effect. For these events, a high correlation between the SXR peak flux and the HXR fluence is obtained, indicative of electron-beam-driven evaporation. However, there is also a significant fraction of flares (about one fourth), which show strong deviations from Delta t = 0, with a prolonged increase of the SXR emission distinctly beyond the end of the HXR emission. These results suggest that electron-beam-driven evaporation plays an important role in solar flares. Yet, in a significant fraction of events, there is also clear evidence for the presence of an additional energy transport mechanism other than nonthermal electron beams, where the relative contribution is found to vary with the flare importance. Title: Solar differential rotation determined by tracing coronal bright points in SOHO-EIT images. II. Results for 1998/99 obtained with interactive and automatic methods Authors: Brajša, R.; Wöhl, H.; Vršnak, B.; Ruždjak, V.; Clette, F.; Hochedez, J. -F. Bibcode: 2002A&A...392..329B Altcode: Full-disc solar images obtained with the Extreme Ultraviolet Imaging Telescope (EIT) on board the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) were used to analyse solar differential rotation by tracing coronal bright points. The results obtained with the interactive and the automatic method for the time period June 4, 1998 to May 22, 1999 are presented and compared. A possible north-south rotational asymmetry and differences in the rotation velocity curves for various subtypes of tracers are investigated. Title: Relative timing of solar flares observed at different wavelengths Authors: Veronig, A.; Vršnak, B.; Temmer, M.; Hanslmeier, A. Bibcode: 2002SoPh..208..297V Altcode: 2002astro.ph..8088V The timing of 503 solar flares observed simultaneously in hard X-rays, soft X-rays and Hα is analyzed. We investigated the start and the peak time differences in different wavelengths, as well as the differences between the end of the hard X-ray emission and the maximum of the soft X-ray and Hα emission. In more than 90% of the analyzed events, a thermal pre-heating seen in soft X-rays is present prior to the impulsive flare phase. On average, the soft X-ray emission starts 3 min before the hard X-ray and the Hα emission. No correlation between the duration of the pre-heating phase and the importance of the subsequent flare is found. Furthermore, the duration of the pre-heating phase does not differ for impulsive and gradual flares. For at least half of the events, the end of the non-thermal emission coincides well with the maximum of the thermal emission, consistent with the beam-driven evaporation model. On the other hand, for ∼ 25% of the events there is strong evidence for prolonged evaporation beyond the end of the hard X-rays. For these events, the presence of an additional energy transport mechanism, most probably thermal conduction, seems to play an important role. Title: Differential Rotation of Stable Recurrent Sunspot Groups Authors: Brajša, R.; Wöhl, H.; Vršnak, B.; Ruždjak, D.; Sudar, D.; Roša, D.; Hržina, D. Bibcode: 2002SoPh..206..229B Altcode: Stable recurrent sunspot groups from the Greenwich data set which were identified in at least two subsequent solar rotations were traced. The solar rotation was determined by the period method from the time difference of the two central meridian passages of each of the 327 identified groups. Sidereal rotation periods were calculated from the synodic ones by a seasonal-dependent procedure taking into account the details of the Earth's motion around the Sun. Growing recurrent sunspot groups rotate on the average faster than decaying recurrent sunspot groups, while sunspot groups of all types taken together rotate faster than both growing and decaying recurrent sunspot groups. A north-south rotational asymmetry and a cycle-dependence of rotational velocity of recurrent sunspot groups were analyzed. Positive rotation velocity deviations are larger, but less numerous than the negative ones. Signatures of torsional oscillations were not found analyzing the rotation velocity residual of recurrent sunspot groups as a function of the distance from the average latitude of activity. Title: Shock-excited radio burst from reconnection outflow jet? Authors: Aurass, H.; Vršnak, B.; Mann, G. Bibcode: 2002A&A...384..273A Altcode: Models of dynamic (two-ribbon-, arcade) flares involve the formation of a system of standing slow and possibly also fast mode shock waves associated with the fast reconnection process below the erupting filament. These shocks are anticipated theoretically, but are not unambiguously confirmed by observations. In this paper we identify for the first time the radio signature of a fast mode outflow termination shock in a dynamic radio burst spectrogram. The standing fast mode shock is revealed by a zero-drift type II burst recorded between 300 and 400 MHz. It started almost 1 hour after the impulsive phase of the 7 April 1997 flare and lasted for more than 30 min. The burst shows a characteristic herringbone fine structure and a band split of (10+/-6)% of the emission frequency. No fundamental-harmonic pattern was observed, and we argue that the feature is fundamental mode emission. Simultaneous imaging observations (Hα , Yohkoh SXT, SOHO EIT) show a relaxed postflare loop arcade with a bright soft X-ray cusp commonly interpreted as a typical reconnection pattern. Conditions for termination shock formation and excitation of radio emision are investigated. Favourable circumstances for the radio detection of a termination shock in the reconnection outflow are a comparatively large height of the diffusion region, a low plasma to magnetic pressure ratio beta upstream of the slow shocks, and a small angle between the reconnecting field lines. Finally, we discuss why similar radio signatures are not observed more frequently, and why it appeared so late in the event. We stress the implications and point to some inconsistencies which might be a consequence of commonly practiced ad hoc application of idealized model results to realistic conditions. Title: Moreton waves and their relation with EIT waves Authors: Warmuth, Alexander; Vršnak, Bojan; Aurass, Henry; Hanslmeier, Arnold Bibcode: 2002ESASP.477..195W Altcode: 2002scsw.conf..195W Moreton waves, observed in Hα, and the recently discovered coronal transients known as "EIT waves" have remained fairly poorly understood phenomena. In particular, the issues of their mutual association and of the nature of their driver are not resolved. We discuss seven Moreton waves observed in Hα and derive their basic characteristics. Four of these events were observed simultaneously in Hα and EUV. A deceleration of the disturbances is found in all cases. In the 2 May 1998 event, the cospatiality of Moreton and EIT wave fronts is established and a detailed analysis of the evolution of the Hα wave, its kinematics and perturbation profile is carried out. The results - deceleration, broadening, and decrease of intensity of the profiles - favor the fast-mode shock ("blast wave") scenario over the CME-associated magnetic field evolution hypothesis. Title: Influence of the aerodynamic drag on the motion of interplanetary ejecta Authors: Vršnak, Bojan; Gopalswamy, Nat Bibcode: 2002JGRA..107.1019V Altcode: A simple semi-empirical model for the motion of interplanetary ejecta is proposed to advance the prediction of their arrival times at Earth. It is considered that the driving force and the gravity are much smaller than the aerodynamic drag force. The interaction with the ambient solar wind is modeled using a simple expression for the acceleration $[\dot \upsilon \]$ = -γ(υ-w), where w = w(R) is the distance-dependent solar wind speed. It is assumed that the coefficient γ decreases with the heliocentric distance as γ = αR, where α and β are constants. The equation of motion is integrated numerically to relate the Earth transit time and the associated in situ velocity with the velocity of coronal mass ejection. The results reproduce well the observations in the whole velocity range of interest. The model values are compared with some other models in which the interplanetary acceleration is not velocity dependent, as well as with the model where the drag acceleration is quadratic in velocity $\[\dot \upsilon \]$ = -γ2(υ - w)|υ - w|. Title: Radio Shocks from Reconnection Outflow Jet? - New Observations Authors: Aurass, H.; Karlicky, M.; Thompson, B. J.; Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2002mwoc.conf..401A Altcode: The common analysis of dynamic radio spectrograms with Yohkoh X-ray images yields information about possible associations between nonthermal electron acceleration and changes in hot and dense plasma-magnetic field structures of the corona. Examples are correlated X-ray-jet--electron beam injections (type III/U bursts), motions of X-ray blobs and correlated shock-driven (type II) radio bursts, and sigmoid evolution associated with characteristic type IV burst spectral fine structures. Here, we demonstrate the first identification of the radio signature of a reconnection outflow termination shock during a dynamic flare. Reconnection of magnetic fields is one flare energy release mechanism. During dynamic flares there is formed a system of standing slow and - sometimes - also fast mode shock waves in the space around the diffusion region. This standing fast mode shock is revealed by a zero-drift type II burst between 300 and 400 MHz. It exists more than 30 min starting 1 hour after the impulsive flare on 07 April 1997 in AR 8027. It shows herringbone fine structure and 10% band splitted lanes. We argue for having detected fundamental mode emission. No fundamental-harmonic pattern was observed. Simultaneous imaging observations (Hα, Yohkoh SXT, SOHO EIT) show a postflare loop arcade with a bright soft X-ray cusp. Preferable conditions for the radio detection of the termination shock are a low plasma to magnetic pressure ratio eta upstream of the slow shocks, a low diffusion region rise velocity, and a low reconnection rate. The occurrence of the termination shock is most probable in late stage of flares. Title: Processes Governing Coronal and Interplanetary Ejecta Authors: Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 2001AGUFMSH12A0741V Altcode: Basic features of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are surveyed, relating the observations in chromospheric and transition region spectral lines with white light coronographic observations. The pre-eruptive prominence evolution, including the development of internal (helical) structure is emphasized. Various processes causing destabilization of the arcade/filament system are noted. Properties of the acceleration phase, including the relationship between the dynamics of prominence, cavity, and leading edge of CMEs are stressed revealing various acceleration scenarios. The decrease of the helical fine structure pitch angle and the mass leakage estimated in some prominences are presented as a function of time and compared with acceleration curves. The events showing a deceleration in late phases of cronographic observations are used to estimate the influence of the drag force on the flux rope motion and to evaluate the propelling Lorentz force. The CME velocities, earth transit times, and in situ measured velocities are analyzed to infer the intreplanetary dynamics of ejecta.\The observational features described are explained considering the Lorentz force acting in the line-tied semi-toroidal flux rope, the gravity, and the aerodynamic drag. At low heights (initial stage) dominant forces are the Lorentz force and gravity. After the ejection attains velocity in the order of 100 km s-1 the influence of the aerodynamic drag becomes important. Since the cold and dense prominence material is leaking down the rope's legs, and the height increases, the gravity soon becomes negligible. The Lorentz force also starts decreasing beyond radial distances of several solar radii. Its action might be enhanced and prolonged by effects of the reconnection below the rope (long duration flare association) and by the redistribution of twist into the expanded uppermost parts of the rope. At large distances the drag becomes the dominant force. Fast ejecta start decelerating, whereas those in which the Lorentz force was too weak and the ejection did not surpass the solar wind speed get an additional acceleration: In the interplanetary space ejecta asymptotically approach the wind velocity. Title: Dynamics of solar coronal eruptions Authors: Vršnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2001JGR...10625249V Altcode: The kinematics of 87 solar eruptive events (flare sprays, eruptive prominences, and coronal transients) observed above the solar limb are studied. The data reveal a clear statistical trend for the highest measured value of the acceleration to be lower in the events taking place at a larger radial distance. The majority of events (84%) show a phase of exponential-like growth of the velocity. The growth rate decreases with the height at which this regime sets in. A phase of constant acceleration was found only in 11% of cases. In the postacceleration phase a constant velocity regime was found in 57% of events. A considerable number of eruptions (32%) exposed a deceleration, most often showing an exponential-like decay of the velocity. The related theoretical models are confronted with the observations, and the implications are discussed. Title: Solar flares and coronal shock waves Authors: Vršnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2001JGR...10625291V Altcode: The ignition of coronal shock waves by solar flares is investigated confronting the results of a simple MHD model with the observations. Characteristics of type II bursts recorded in the metric and decametric wavelength range are compared with the properties of the microwave and soft X-ray bursts of the associated flares. The time delay of the type II burst beginning after the onset of a flare is found to be shorter for shorter rise time of a flare burst and for a more powerful flare. Starting frequencies of type II bursts are higher for more impulsive flares. Instantaneous relative bandwidths of the type II bursts are larger for more powerful flares, indicating a higher Mach number of the shock. Consistent with this, a positive correlation between the flare importance and the inferred shock velocity is found. The results are fully consistent with the implications of the model describing the shock formation by a flare-ignited blast wave. Title: Evolution of Two EIT/Hα Moreton Waves Authors: Warmuth, A.; Vršnak, B.; Aurass, H.; Hanslmeier, A. Bibcode: 2001ApJ...560L.105W Altcode: Since the discovery of EIT waves, questions have remained about the driver of these disturbances and their association with the chromospheric Moreton waves. In order to resolve some of these issues, two flare-associated transient events (1997 November 3 and 1998 May 2) observed simultaneously in Hα and EIT are analyzed. The cospatiality of Moreton and EIT wave fronts is established, and a deceleration of the disturbances is found in both events. In the case of 1998 May 2, a detailed analysis of the evolution of the Moreton wave, its kinematics, and perturbation profile is carried out. The results-deceleration, broadening, and decrease of intensity of the profiles-favor the fast-mode shock (``blast wave'') scenario over the coronal mass ejection-associated magnetic field evolution hypothesis. Title: Band-splitting of coronal and interplanetary type II bursts. I. Basic properties Authors: Vršnak, B.; Aurass, H.; Magdalenić, J.; Gopalswamy, N. Bibcode: 2001A&A...377..321V Altcode: Patterns analogous to the band-splitting of metric type II bursts are found in a number of type II bursts observed in the dekameter-kilometer wavelength range. A similarity of morphological and frequency-time characteristics of two emission components are indicative of a common source. Relative frequency splits span in the range Delta f/f=0.05-0.6. At radial distances between 2 and 4 Rsun only small splits around 0.1 can be found. In the interplanetary space the relative split on average increases with the radial distance, whereas the inferred shock velocity decreases. In three events extrapolations of the split components point to the base and the peak of the jump in the local plasma frequency caused by the associated shock passage at 1 AU. This is suggestive of the plasma radiation from the regions upstream and downstream of the shock. Adopting this interpretation, one finds that the drop of Delta f/f at 2-4 Rsun is congruent with the Alfvén velocity maximum expected there. The split increase and the velocity decrease at larger distances can be explained as a consequence of declining Alfvén speed in the interplanetary space. Title: Comparative Analysis of Type ii Bursts and of Thermal and non-Thermal Flare Signatures Authors: Vršnak, B.; Magdalenić, J.; Aurass, H. Bibcode: 2001SoPh..202..319V Altcode: The relationship between metric type II radio bursts and solar flares is studied. Well-defined correlations between the properties of type II bursts and the characteristics of associated microwave and soft X-ray bursts are established in two entirely independent data sets. It is shown that the correlations are strongly affected by the wide range of coronal Alfvén velocities involved, comprising values from only 150 up to 800 km s−1, with a typical value of 400 km s−1. After careful data analysis it was inferred that type II bursts are more closely related to the soft X-ray bursts than they are to microwave bursts. The correlations indicate that type II burst shocks are preferably generated by flares with a relatively strong thermal component, and that the shocks are probably ignited by the plasma expansion associated with the 'evaporation' process in the transition region. Although the results imply that the majority of metric type II bursts are caused by flares, a simple geometrical consideration shows that a fraction of non-flare type II bursts cannot be explained by behind-limb events and that roughly 10% of metric type II bursts should be attributed to non-flare coronal mass ejections. Title: Deceleration of Coronal Mass Ejections Authors: Vršnak, Bojan Bibcode: 2001SoPh..202..173V Altcode: Decelerated motion of 12 coronal eruptions is studied. It is found that the measured decelerations and deceleration rates depend on the events' plane-of-sky velocities and heights. The dependence of deceleration on the velocity is described better by a quadratic function then by linear fit. Results are interpreted in terms of a viscous drag. An empirical relation expressing the decrease of the drag effectiveness with the projected height is established. The interplay between the Lorentz force, viscous drag, and gravity is discussed. Several examples are considered to illustrate the relative contributions of these forces under various circumstances. Title: Solar differential rotation determined by tracing coronal bright points in SOHO-EIT images. I. Interactive and automatic methods of data reduction Authors: Brajša, R.; Wöhl, H.; Vršnak, B.; Ruždjak, V.; Clette, F.; Hochedez, J. -F. Bibcode: 2001A&A...374..309B Altcode: Full-disc solar images obtained with the Extreme Ultraviolet Imaging Telescope (EIT) on board the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) were used to analyse solar differential rotation determined by tracing coronal bright points. Two different procedures were developed and compared: an interactive and an automatic method. The interactive method is based on the visual tracing of coronal bright points in consecutive images using computer programs written in the Interactive Data Language (IDL). The automatic method relies on the IDL procedure ``Regions Of Interest (ROI) segmentation'' which is used to detect and follow bright points in triplets of consecutive images. The test-results obtained applying both methods by different persons who performed tracing are presented and compared. The advantages and disadvantages of the two methods are discussed. Title: On the Rigid Component in the Solar Rotation Authors: Brajša, R.; Ruždjak, V.; Vršnak, B.; Wöhl, H.; Pohjolainen, S.; Urpo, S. Bibcode: 2001ASSL..259..263B Altcode: 2001dysu.conf..263B A rigid component in the rotation velocity determined by tracing low brightness temperature regions in the microwave regime was found and interpreted in terms of their association rate (39%) with rigidly rotating ``pivot-points". Title: Onset of Metric and Kilometric Type II Bursts Authors: Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2001ASSL..259..255V Altcode: 2001dysu.conf..255V A model governing the evolution of a large amplitude magnetosonic wave is applied to coronal and interplanetary conditions, with the aim to investigate the starting frequencies and the onset times of metric and kilometric type II bursts. The results are compared with the statistical properties of a sample of metric type II bursts and the associated flares. Title: Formation of Coronal Shock Waves Authors: Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 2001ASSL..259..251V Altcode: 2001dysu.conf..251V The evolution of the leading edge of a large amplitude perturbation is studied to investigate the formation of a perpendicular MHD shock wave. The results are applicable to metric and kilometric solar type~II bursts. Title: An Analysis of the Solar Rotation Velocity by Tracing Coronal Features Authors: Brajsa, R.; Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V.; Rosa, D.; Hrzina, D.; Wöhl, H.; Clette, F.; Hochedez, J. -F. Bibcode: 2001IAUS..203..377B Altcode: Full-disc solar images in the extreme ultraviolet part of the spectrum from the SOHO spacecraft (EIT) are used to identify various coronal structures appropriate for the solar rotation determination (e.g. bright points and coronal holes). From the time differences in tracer positions (more than 1 image per day) solar rotation velocities are measured, primarily by well-defined tracers, such as coronal bright points, whose large number and broad coverage of latitudes may provide an unique opportunity for a solar rotation analysis. The analysis started using the SOHO data from 1997-1999 and preliminary experiences obtained measuring solar rotation from the full-disc images in soft X-rays from the YOHKOH (SXT) satellite were taken into account. This work is connected to the SOHO EIT Proposal Brajsas. Title: Determination of the Solar Rotation Tracing EUV Bright Points with the Automatic Method Authors: Wöhl, H.; Brajša, R.; Vršnak, B.; Ruždjak, V.; Clette, F.; Hochedez, J. -F. Bibcode: 2001HvaOB..25...27W Altcode: Full-disc solar images in the extreme ultraviolet part of the spectrum from the SOHO spacecraft (instrument EIT, data in the spectral line of Fe XV at the wavelength of 28.4 nm) are used for the solar rotation determination tracing coronal bright points. From the time differences in tracer positions, approximately six hours, the solar rotation velocity is determined automatically for image sequences in several time intervals from June 4, 1998 to May 22, 1999. The resulting rotational profiles are mutually compared. Title: Determination of the Solar Rotation Tracing EUV Bright Points with the Interactive Method Authors: Brajša, R.; Wöhl, H.; Schuck, T. J.; Schawinski-Guiton, K.; Wegner, A.; Vršnak, B.; Ruždjak, V.; Clette, F.; Hochedez, J. -F. Bibcode: 2001HvaOB..25...13B Altcode: Full-disc solar images in the extreme ultraviolet part of the spectrum from the SOHO spacecraft (instrument EIT, data in the spectral line of Fe XV at a wavelength of 28.4 nm) are used to visually identify coronal bright points appropriate for the solar rotation determination. From the time differences in successive tracer positions, about six hours, the solar rotation velocity is determined tracing coronal bright points in several time intervals from June 4, 1998 to May 22, 1999. The resulting rotational profiles obtained by five observers are mutually compared. Title: Statistical Study of Solar Flares Observed in Soft X-Ray, Hard X-Ray and Hα Emission Authors: Veronig, A.; Vršnak, B.; Temmer, M.; Magdalenić, J.; Hanslmeier, A. Bibcode: 2001HvaOB..25...39V Altcode: Correlations among statistical properties of solar flares observed in soft X-rays, hard X-rays and Hα are studied. We investigate corresponding HXR flares measured by BATSE, SXR flares observed by GOES and Hα flares reported in the SGD for the period 1997--2000. Distinct correlations are found among the SXR peak flux and Hα area, as well as between the SXR peak flux and HXR fluence. This can be comprehended in the frame of the chromospheric evaporation model of flares. Title: Statistical Weights and Selective Height Corrections in the Determination of the Solar Rotation Velocity Authors: Brajša, R.; Ruždjak, V.; Vršnak, B.; Wöhl, H.; Pohjolainen, S.; Upro, S. Bibcode: 2000SoPh..196..279B Altcode: Observations of the Sun performed at 37 GHz with the 14-m radio telescope of the Metsähovi Radio Observatory were analyzed. Rotation velocities were determined, tracing Low Temperature Regions (LTRs) in the years 1979-1980, 1981-1982, 1987-1988, and 1989-1991. Statistical weights were ascribed to the determined rotation velocities of LTRs, according to the number of tracing days. Measured changes of the rotation velocity during the solar activity cycle, as well as a north-south rotation asymmetry, are discussed. The results obtained with and without the statistical weights procedure are compared, and it was found that the statistical significance of the solar differential rotation parameters' changes is higher when the statistical weights procedure is applied. A selective application of the height correction on LTR's positions has not removed the cycle-related changes nor the north-south asymmetry of the solar rotation measured tracing LTRs. So, projection effects cannot explain these changes. The differential rotation of LTRs is more rigid than the differential rotation obtained tracing magnetic features and measuring Doppler shifts, which can be explained by the association rate of the LTRs' positions with rigidly rotating `pivot points'. The observed cycle-related changes and the north-south asymmetry of the rotation velocity of LTRs are consistent with the cycle-related changes and the north-south asymmetry of the association rate between LTRs and pivot points. Title: Formation of coronal MHD shock waves - II. The Pressure Pulse Mechanism Authors: Vršnak, B.; Lulić, S. Bibcode: 2000SoPh..196..181V Altcode: The ignition of coronal shock waves by flares is investigated. It is assumed that an explosive expansion of the source region caused by impulsive heating generates a fast-mode MHD blast wave which subsequently transforms into a shock wave. The solutions of 1-D MHD equations for the flaring region and for the external region are matched at their boundary. The obtained results show under what conditions flares can ignite shock waves that excite the metric type II bursts. The heat input rate per unit mass has to be sufficiently high and the preflare value of the plasma parameter β in the flaring region has to be larger than β0crit. The critical values depend on the flare dimensions and impulsiveness. Larger and more impulsive flares are more effective in generating type II bursts. Shock waves of a higher Mach number require a higher preflare value of β and a more powerful heating per unit mass. The results demonstrate why only a small fraction of flares is associated with type II bursts and why the association rate increases with the flare importance. Title: Formation Of Coronal Mhd Shock Waves - I. The Basic Mechanism Authors: Vršnak, B.; Lulić, S. Bibcode: 2000SoPh..196..157V Altcode: The formation and evolution of a large amplitude MHD perturbation propagating perpendicular to the magnetic field in a perfectly conducting low β plasma is studied. The perturbation is generated by an abrupt expansion of the source region. Explicit expressions for the time and the distance needed for the transformation of the perturbation's leading edge into a shock wave are derived. The results are applied to coronal conditions and the dynamic spectra of the radio emission excited by the shock are synthesized, reproducing metric and kilometric type II bursts. The features corresponding to the metric type II burst precursor and the moving type IV burst in the case of kilometric type II bursts are identified. A specific radio signature that is sometimes observed at the onset of a metric type II burst is found to appear immediately before the shock wave formation due to the associated growth of the magnetic field gradient. Time delays and starting frequencies of bursts' onsets are calculated and presented as a function of the impulsiveness of the source-region expansion, using different values of the ambient Alfvén velocity and various time profiles of the expansion velocity. The results are confronted with the observations of metric and kilometric type II solar radio bursts. Title: Characteristics of Flares with Hα Emission Protruding over Major Sunspot Umbrae Authors: Vršnak, B.; Ruždjak, V.; Brajša, R.; Zlobec, P.; Altaş, L.; Özgüç, A.; Aurass, H.; Schroll, A. Bibcode: 2000SoPh..194..285V Altcode: A sample of 47 importance ≥ 1 flares whose Hα emission occurred or protruded over umbrae of major sunspots (so called Z-flares) was studied to investigate characteristics of the associated dm - m radio, microwave and soft X-ray emission as the energy release site permeats into regions of strong magnetic fields. A close time association was found between the microwave burst peak and the `contact' of the Hα emission with the sunspot umbra. The Hα emission attained maximum close to or a few minutes after the contact. The soft X-ray bursts were delayed more, attaining maximum 0-10 min after the contact. The onset of bursts in the dm - m wavelength range was associated with the period of growth or the peak of the microwave burst. Two categories of type III and IV bursts could be recognized: the ones starting some ten minutes before the microwave peak, and those that begin close to the microwave burst peak. Type III bursts occur preferably when the microwave burst peaks simultaneously with or after the contact. The results are explained presuming that the contact reveals a permeation of the energy release process into a region of strong magnetic fields, where the process intensifies, and where the accelerated particles have access to magnetic field lines extending to large coronal heights. Different manifestations of the energy release process in various magnetic field topologies are considered to account for the various time sequences observed. Title: Correlations Between Properties of Type II Bursts and Associated Flares Authors: Magdalenic, J.; Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 2000HvaOB..24....1M Altcode: Relations between characteristics of metric type II bursts and the associated microwave bursts are investigated to test the model of the shock wave formation via a flare ignited blast. It is found that the time delay of the type II burst start after the onset of the microwave burst is shorter for a more powerful microwave burst. A considerably lower correlation coefficient is found for the microwave burst impulsiveness. The starting frequency of a type II burst increases with the microwave burst impulsiveness. The instantaneous relative bandwidths and the propagation velocities are positively correlated, and are larger when associated with stronger microwave bursts. All of the obtained correlations are fully consistent with the flare ignited blast wave scenario for the shock wave formation. Title: Position Measurements on Synoptic Solar Images Authors: Rosa, D.; Hrzina, D.; Vrsnak, B.; Brajsa, R. Bibcode: 2000HvaOB..24..145R Altcode: Procedures for finding the solar sidereal rotation rate, which are taking into account the height of tracers are described. The related algorithms for data reduction, including detailed corrections for the Earth's motion, are presented. Title: On the Origin and Propagation of Coronal and Interplanetary MHD Shock Waves Authors: Vrsnak, B.; Lulic, S. Bibcode: 2000HvaOB..24...17V Altcode: Various scenaria for the formation of coronal and interplanetary MHD shock waves are surveyed. The main characteristics of shocks generated by different mechanisms are summarized and observational signatures are illustrated by several examples. An explanation is proposed showing how a flare ignited shock can sustain in propagating through the interplanetary space. Signatures that might reveal the shock source and the shock formation mechanisms are discussed. Title: Measurements of Solar Rotation Using EUV Bright Points - Preliminary Results Authors: Brajsa, R.; Woehl, H.; Kasabasic, M.; Rodmann, J.; Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V.; Rosa, D.; Hrzina, D.; Clette, F.; Hochedez, J. -F. Bibcode: 2000HvaOB..24..153B Altcode: Full-disc solar images in the extreme ultraviolet part of the spectrum from the SOHO spacecraft (instrument EIT, data in the spectral line of Fe XV at the wavelength of 28.4 nm) are used to identify visually various small-scale coronal structures appropriate for the determination of the solar rotation. From the time differences in tracer positions, approximately six hours, the solar rotation velocity is determined tracing coronal bright points in the period June 4-14, 1998 by four observers. The resulting rotational profiles are mutually compared and the reduction methods are discussed. Title: Correlated Radio Bursts Observed at Metric and Millimetric Wavelengths Authors: Zlobec, P.; Urpo, S.; Vrsnak, B.; Brajsa, R.; Ruzdjak, V. Bibcode: 2000HvaOB..24...41Z Altcode: Characteristics of the bursts that occur almost contemporaneously at metric and millimetric wavelengths are presented. It is found that such events are rather rare. The correlated impulsive bursts observed at 237 MHz and at 37 GHz start in average almost simultaneously (time difference 0.3 - 2.8 s). The first peaks at 37 GHz are delayed few seconds (3.1 - 3.0 s) in respect to the 237 MHz peaks, whereas for the bursts maxima the delay is about 1s in average (1.0 - 2.7 s). A weak correlation between peak fluxes at 37 GHz and 237 MHz is found. Spectral characteristics of these events indicate electron beams of extremely high energies. The association of the gradual bursts observed at 37 GHz and the phenomena at 237 MHz is not so clear, however in some cases a relationship was established. Title: Flares in Sigmoidal Coronal Structures a Case Study Authors: Aurass, H.; Vršnak, B.; Hofmann, A.; Rudžjak, V. Bibcode: 1999SoPh..190..267A Altcode: We analyze radio observations, magnetograms and extrapolated field line maps, Hα filtergrams, and X-ray observations of two flare events (6 February 1992 in AR 7042 and 25 October 1994 in AR 7792) and study properties, evolution and energy release signatures of sigmoidal loop systems. During both events, the loop configuration seen in soft X-ray (SXR) images changes from a preflare sigmoidal shape to a relaxed post-flare loop system. The underlying magnetic field system consists of a quadrupolar configuration formed by a sheared arcade core and a remote field concentration. We demonstrate two possibilities: a sigmoidal SXR pattern can be due to a single continuous flux tube (the 1992 event). Alternatively, it can be due to a set of independent loops appearing like a sigmoid (the 1994 event). In both cases, the preflare and post-flare loops can be well reproduced by a linear force-free field and potential field, respectively, computed using preflare magnetograms. We find that thermal and non-thermal flare energy release indicators of both events become remarkably similar after applying spatial and temporal scale transformations. Using the spatial scaling between both events we estimated that the non-thermal energy release in the second event liberated about 1.7 times more energy per unit volume. A two-and-a-half times faster evolution indicates that the rate of the energy release per unit volume is more than four times higher in this event. A coronal type II burst reveals ignition and propagation of a coronal shock wave. In contrast, the first event, which was larger and released about a 10 times more energy during the non-thermal phase, was associated with a CME, but no type II burst was recorded. During both events, in addition to the two-ribbon flare process an interaction was observed between the flaring arcade and an emerging magnetic flux region of opposite polarity next to the dominant leading sunspot. The arcade flare seems to stimulate the reconnection process in an `emerging flux-type' configuration, which significantly contributes to the energy release. This regime is characterized by the quasiperiodic injection of electron beams into the surrounding extended field line systems. The repeated beam injections excite pulsating broadband radio emission in the decimetric-metric wavelength range. Each radio pulse is due to a new electron beam injection. The pulsation period (seconds) reflects the spatial scale of the emerging flux-type field configuration. Since broadband decimetric-metric radio pulsations are a frequent radio flare phenomenon, we speculate that opposite-polarity small-scale flux intrusions located in the vicinity of strong field regions may be an essential component of the energy release process in dynamic flares. Title: Height of Tracers and the Correction of the Measured Solar Synodic Rotation Rate: Demonstration of the Method Authors: Vršnak, B.; Roša, D.; Božić, H.; Brajša, R.; Ruždjak, V.; Schroll, A.; Wöhl, H. Bibcode: 1999SoPh..185..207V Altcode: Two large stable solar filaments were used as test tracers to determine the apparent synodic rotation rate as a function of the central meridian distance for several filaments' segments at different heights. An analytic fitting procedure was applied to determine simultaneously the real synodic rotation rate and the height of the traced filament segments. The determined heights were compared with the values obtained from the widths of filament contours on the solar disk and with the values obtained by direct measurements at the solar limb. Furthermore, the obtained rotation rates and heights of the filaments' segments close to the filaments' pivot points were compared with the values obtained using two successive central meridian passages. Finally, sources and scales of errors were investigated and possible implications on the previous studies of the solar differential rotation were considered. Title: An Estimate of Microwave low-Brightness-Temperature Regions' Heights Obtained Measuring Their Rotation Velocity Authors: Brajša, R.; Ruždjak, V.; Vršnak, B.; Wöhl, H.; Pohjolainen, S.; Urpo, S. Bibcode: 1999SoPh..184..281B Altcode: Daily full-disk solar maps obtained at 37 GHz in the years 1979, 1980, 1981, 1982, 1987, 1988, 1989, 1990, and 1991 are analysed and compared with full-disk solar maps in Hα. A search for a difference in the measured angular rotation velocity for two classes of microwave low-brightness-temperature regions (LTRs), associated and not associated with Hα filaments, is performed. Procedures with and without statistical weights, assigned to angular rotation velocities according to the tracing time, are applied and the statistical significance of the results is discussed. A higher angular rotation velocity is measured for LTRs associated with Hα filaments than for the not-associated ones. This angular velocity difference is interpreted as a consequence of a height difference between these two types of LTR tracers. Changes of the solar differential rotation velocity during the activity cycle measured using LTRs as tracers are explained by the measured cycle-dependence of the association rate between LTRs and Hα filaments. Similarly, the north-south asymmetry in the solar rotation velocity measured tracing LTRs is explained by the measured north-south asymmetry in the association rate between LTRs and Hα filaments. The rotation velocity of LTRs and Hα filaments is on the average more rigid in comparison with sunspots. Title: An analysis of the solar rotation velocity determined tracing microwave features and an estimate of their heights. Authors: Brajša, R.; Ruždjak, V.; Vršnak, B.; Wöhl, H.; Pohjolainen, S.; Urpo, S. Bibcode: 1999joso.proc..156B Altcode: Measurements of the Sun performed at 37 GHz (8 mm) with the 14 m radio telescope of the Metsähovi Radio Observatory were analysed and rotation velocities tracing microwave Low brightness Temperature Regions in the years 1979 - 1980, 1981 - 1982, 1987 - 1988, and 1989 - 1991 were determined. The statistical weights method was applied and possible changes of the measured rotation velocity values are discussed. Title: Multi-Frequency Observations of the February 6, 1992 Flare Authors: Ruzdjak, V.; Vrsnak, B.; Aurass, H.; Hofmann, A.; Schroll, A. Bibcode: 1999HvaOB..23....1R Altcode: Observations of the two-ribbon flare of February 6, 1992 which occured in the active region NOAA 7042 involving a sigmoidal soft X-ray loop pattern, are described. YOHKOH SXT images, H-alpha filtergrams and coronal magnetic field extrapolations are used to reveal details of the preflare coronal magnetic field configuration. The development of the flare in SXR, H-alpha and dm-m radio wavelength range is followed in detail to disclose the basic stages of the energy release process. Title: Energy Release Stages of the Complex Solar Flare of October 25, 1994 Authors: Vrsnak, B.; Aurass, H.; Ruzdjak, V.; Hofmann, A.; Schroll, A. Bibcode: 1999HvaOB..23...15V Altcode: The morphology and evolution of the 1n/C4.7 flare which occured in the active region NOAA 7792 on October 25, 1994 are studied using the observations in the SXR, optical and radio range. The preflare coronal magnetic field structure is inferred comparing the force-free magnetic field extrapolations of the photospheric longitudinal magnetograms with structures seen in YOHKOH SXT images and H-alpha filtergrams. The preflare arcade consisted of a highly sheared system of loops which was abruptly transformed during the impulsive energy release. The further evolution was basically following the two-ribbon flare scenario, including a protrusion of the energy release process into the strong magnetic field of the major sunspot, as well as an interaction with an emerging flux region. Title: A Method to Determine the Solar Synodic Rotation Rate and the Height of Tracers Authors: Roša, D.; Vršnak, B.; Božić, H.; Brajša, R.; Ruždjak, V.; Schroll, A.; Wöhl, H. Bibcode: 1998SoPh..179..237R Altcode: The dependence of the measured apparent synodic solar rotation rate on the height of the chosen tracer is studied. A significant error occurs if the rotation rate is determined by tracing the apparent position of an object above the photospheric level projected on the solar disc. The centre-to-limb variation of this error can be used to determine simultaneously the height of the object and the true synodic rotation rate. The apparent (projected) heliographic coordinates are presented as a function of the height of the traced object and the coordinates of its `footpoint'. The relations obtained provide an explicit expression for the apparent rotation rate as a function of the observed heliographic coordinates of the tracer, enabling an analytic least-squares fit expression to determine simultaneously the real synodic rotation rate and the height of the tracer. Title: Prominence Eruptions (Review) Authors: Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 1998ASPC..150..302V Altcode: 1998npsp.conf..302V; 1998IAUCo.167..302V No abstract at ADS Title: On the Possible Changes of the Solar Differential Rotation during the Activity Cycle Determined Using Microwave Low-Brightness Regions and Hα Filaments as Tracers Authors: Brajša, R.; Ruždjak, V.; Vršnak, B.; Pohjolainen, S.; Urpo, S.; Schroll, A.; Wöhl, H. Bibcode: 1997SoPh..171....1B Altcode: The solar rotation rate obtained using the microwave Low-brightness-Temperature Regions (LTRs) as tracers in the heliographic range ± 55° from the years 1979-1980, 1981-1982, 1987-1988, and 1989-1991 varied from 3% to 4% in medium latitudes, and below 1% at the equator. Using Hα filaments as tracers at higher latitudes from the years 1979, 1980, 1982, 1984, and 1987, the solar rotation rate variation was between 2% and 8%. This represents an upper limit on the rotation rate variation during the solar activity cycle. Such changes could be caused by short-lived, large-scale velocity patterns on the solar surface. The Sun revealed a higher rotation rate on the average during the maxima of the solar activity cycles 21 and 22, i.e., in the periods 1979-1980 and 1989-1991, respectively, which differs from the rotation rates (lower on the average) in some years, 1981-1982 and 1987-1988, between the activity maximum and minimum (LTR data). Simultaneous comparison of rotation rates from LTRs and Hα filament tracings was possible in very limited time intervals and latitude bands only, and no systematic relationship was found, although the rotation rates determined by LTRs were mostly smaller than the rotation rates determined by Hα filaments. The errors obtained by applying different fitting procedures of the LTR data were analyzed, as well as the influence of the height correction. Finally, the north-south asymmetry in the rotation rate investigated by LTRs indicates that the southern solar hemisphere rotated slower in the periods under consideration, the difference being about 1%. The reliability of all obtained results is discussed and a comparison with other related studies was performed. Title: Soft X-ray, Microwave and He I Measurements of Coronal Holes Authors: Brajsa, R.; Ruzdjak, V.; Vrsnak, B.; Pohjolainen, S.; Urpo, S.; Sakurai, T.; Wohl, H. Bibcode: 1997IAUJD..19E..15B Altcode: The Poster presents and describes microwave signatures of three coronal holes that were recorded on May 27, 1993. Differences in the brightness temperatures between an equatorial and two polar coronal holes were found. The measurements in the He I 10830 AA absorption line for that day were also analyzed and compared with the microwave and soft X-ray data. Title: On the Determination of the Height of Microwave Low Temperature Regions from Solar Rotation Measurements Authors: Brajsa, R.; Ruzdjak, V.; Vrsnak, B.; Pohjolainen, S.; Urpo, S.; Woehl, H. Bibcode: 1997HvaOB..21...67B Altcode: A larger angular rotation velocity was measured for microwave LTRs associated with H-alpha filaments than for the not associated ones. This implies that LTRs not associated with H-alpha filaments are located at lower heights above the solar photosphere than LTRs associated with H-alpha filaments. Data from three intervals were analysed (1979-1980, 1981-1982 and 1987-1988) with different percentages of association between LTRs and H-alpha filaments. Title: Sunspot activity and tree growth in Northern Croatia. Authors: Vršnak, B.; Božić, H.; Roša, J.; Roša, D.; Korica, S. Bibcode: 1997joso.proc...91V Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Correlation of Impulsive Microwave Bursts with Type M Bursts and Solar Flares Authors: Ruzdjak, V.; Vrsnak, B.; Pohjolainen, S.; Urpo, S.; Urbarz, H. W. Bibcode: 1996ASPC...93..381R Altcode: 1996ress.conf..381R No abstract at ADS Title: A New Method for Numerical Data Reduction of Solar Microwave Measurements Authors: Brajsa, R.; Ruzdjak, V.; Vrsnak, B.; Woehl, H.; Pohjolainen, S.; Urpo, S. Bibcode: 1996HvaOB..20...15B Altcode: Numerical data reduction of full-disk solar measurement taken in the microwave part of the spectrum (37 GHz) at the Metsahovi Radio Research Station is described. The basic parameter distinguishing between various features on the microwave solar maps is the brightness temperature. Regions on the Sun with a lower brightness temperature than the quiet Sun level are called Low Temperature Regions (LTRs), and in the present paper mainly LTRs are considered. On the other hand, High Temperature Regions (HTRs) have a brightness temperature higher than the quiet Sun level. The data reduction includes: to obtain a circular solar picture, to construct twelve radial vectors from the preliminary solar disk center in order to determinate the coordinates of the solar limb, to remove "erroneous" limb points, to determine a circle trough the limb points by the least-squares method, to obtain corrected coordinates of the solar disk center and the radius and to repeat the procedures using the obtained results as input parameters. The quiet Sun level was determined as the mean value of all data points on the disk for every map separately. Several numerical criteria were tested, and the minima of relative intensities for all data points were determined. Taking these minima as centers, circles of different radii were drawn with criterion that the mean value inside the circle is less than the quiet Sun level. The latitudinal distribution of LTRs, as well as the solar rotation rate as determined by the LTRs, were investigated using automatic numerical procedures. It was established how the parameters which describe the solar rotation rate and corresponding errors depend upon various numerical criteria including: definition of LTR's size, allowing different deviations of LTR's positions and rotation rate, confining the set of obtained rotation rates according to each error of the rotation rate and confining the set of obtained rotation rates according to allowance of a specific rotation rate at a specific latitude. Title: Helium 10830 Å measurements of the Sun Authors: Brajša, R.; Pohjolainen, S.; Ruždjak, V.; Sakurai, T.; Urpo, S.; Vršnak, B.; Wöhl, H. Bibcode: 1996SoPh..163...79B Altcode: Measurements of the Sun in the near-infrared He I 10830 Å absorption line were performed using the echelle spectrograph with a dispersion of 6.71 mÅ per pixel at the Vacuum Tower Telescope (German Solar Telescopes, Teide Observatory, Izaña, Tenerife, Spain) on May 26, 1993. These measurements were compared with full-disc soft X-ray images of the Sun (Japanese solar satellite Yohkoh), full-disc solar images in Hα (Big Bear Solar Observatory), full-disc solar images in the He I 10830 Å line (National Solar Observatory, Kitt Peak) and with full-disc microwave solar maps at 37 GHz (Metsähovi Radio Research Station). In the He 10830 Å line the Sun displays a limb darkening similar to that in the visible part of the spectrum. Active regions and Hα filaments show a strong absorption in the He 10830 Å line, whereas the absorption is weak in coronal holes. Title: Soft X-ray radiation associated with flares developing in strong magnetic fields. Authors: Vršnak, B.; Ruždjak, V.; Altas, L.; Özgüç, A.; Zlobec, P. Bibcode: 1996joso.proc..165V Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: The Relation between the Synodic and Sidereal Rotation Period of the Sun Authors: Roša, D.; Brajša, R.; Vršnak, B.; Wöhl, H. Bibcode: 1995SoPh..159..393R Altcode: The relation between the synodic and sidereal rotation period of the Sun for an arbitrary date of observation is derived taking into account details of the Earth's motion. The transformation procedure between the synodic (apparent) and sidereal rotation period presented here can be performed without using the annual ephemerides. Title: Ignition of MHD Shocks Associated with Solar Flares Authors: Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V.; Zlobec, P.; Aurass, H. Bibcode: 1995SoPh..158..331V Altcode: We have selected single frequency recordings of 28 `high-frequency' type II bursts characterized by a starting frequency greater than 237 MHz to estimate as accurately as possible the `launch-time' of the flare-associated MHD shocks. We established the time associations between metric type II burst onsets and the time characteristics of the microwave and X-ray fluxes of the associated flares. The associated flares were impulsive events with rise times most often about 1 min in the hard X-ray range and 1-2 min in the microwave wavelength range. The majority of the type II bursts from our sample started about 1 min after the maximum of the microwave burst. Launch times of MHD shocks producing type II bursts were obtained using the 10 × Saito coronal model and shock velocities estimated from burst characteristics at different frequencies. Back-extrapolations of type II recordings indicate that MHD shocks are launched in the time interval prior to the maximum of the first peak in the associated microwave burst, most probably at the beginning of the rapid increase of the microwave burst. Title: Projected Heliographic Coordinates of Objects Located in the Solar Atmosphere Authors: Rosa, D.; Vrsnak, B.; Bozic, H. Bibcode: 1995HvaOB..19...23R Altcode: The relation between the real and apparent (projected) heliographic coordinates of an object located in the solar atmosphere is presented as a function of the object's height relative to the solar surface.The derived relations are expressed in a explicit form providing simple algorhytms which can be applied to various problems in solar research, e.g. the solar rotation, the geometry of the coronal features, motions in coronal structures, etc. Title: An Investigation of Cycle-Related Changes of the Solar Rotation by Tracing Microwave Low Brightness Temperature Regions Authors: Brajsa, R.; Ruzdjak, V.; Vrsnak, B.; Pohjolainen, S.; Urpo, S.; Woehl, H. Bibcode: 1995HvaOB..19....1B Altcode: Indications of possible changes of the solar rotation rate during several phases of the solar activity cycle (the years analyzed were 1979, 1980, 1981, 1982, 1987, 1988, 1989, 1990 and 1991) were found. The solar rotation rates were determined by tracing microwave Low brightness Temperature Regions in the latitude range 55 deg. These changes of the rotation rate, although of low statistical significance, indicate that the Sun has nearly equal rotation rates during successive cycle maxima, which are different from the measured rotation rates in the periods between the maxima. Title: Soft X-Ray Radiation Associated with Flares Developing in Strong Magnetic Fields Authors: Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V.; Altas, L.; Ozguc, A.; Zlobec, P. Bibcode: 1995HvaOB..19...15V Altcode: A sample of 30 Imp =1 Z-flares (H alpha flare emission protruding over sunspot umbrae) observed at Kandilli Observatory was analyzed. It was found that the soft X-ray emission reached its maximum approximately 3-4 minutes after the chromospheric flare emission has protruded over the umbra. It can be concluded that the most powerful energy release takes place when the flare process starts to occure in strong magnetic field regions. This interpretation is also supported by the fact that the peaks of microwave emission at about 3 GHz (revealing the presence of accelerated electrons) were grouped approximately about the time of the protrusion. A positive correlation was found between the peak fluxes of the soft X-ray bursts and the magnetic field strengths of the protruded spots. Title: Interaction of Two Intertwined Helicoidal Current Filaments Authors: Lulic, S.; Vrsnak, B.; Rosa, D. Bibcode: 1994HvaOB..18...29L Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Solar Centre-to-Limb Functions in Optical and Radio Wavelength Ranges Authors: Brajsa, R.; Ruzdjak, V.; Vrsnak, B.; Pohjolainen, S.; Urpo, S.; Woehl, H. Bibcode: 1994HvaOB..18....9B Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Prominence Oscillations and Stability Authors: Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V. Bibcode: 1994scs..conf..329V Altcode: 1994IAUCo.144..329V A number of high-amplitude prominence oscillations of different modes, triggered by various perturbations, are presented and classified as membrane-like, string-like, sausage-like and elastic-spring-like oscillations. Title: Interaction of Two Intertwined Helicoidal Magnetic Tubes Authors: Lulić, S.; Vršnak, B.; Roša, D. Bibcode: 1994HvaOB..18...21L Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: The Relation Between Solar Activity Tree Growth in Northern Croatia Authors: Rosa, J.; Rosa, D.; Bozic, H.; Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 1994HvaOB..18...21R Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Structure and Stability of Helicoidal Magnetic Structures in the Solar Corona Authors: Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V. Bibcode: 1994HvaOB..18....1V Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: A comparison of large-scale patterns outlined by low brightness temperature microwave regions and magnetic fields on the Sun Authors: Brajša, R.; Pohjolainen, S.; Ruždjak, V.; Teräsranta, H.; Urpo, S.; Vršnak, B.; Wöhl, H. Bibcode: 1994smf..conf...62B Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: The Relation Between Solar Activity and Tree Growth in Northern Croatia Authors: Roša, J.; Roša, D.; BožiĆ, H.; Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 1994HvaOB..18...29R Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Structure and stability of helicoidal magnetic configurations in the solar corona Authors: Vršnak, B.; Ruždjak, V. Bibcode: 1994smf..conf..393V Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Kinematics and evolution of twist in the eruptive prominence of August 18, 1980 Authors: Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V.; Rompolt, B.; Rosa, D.; Zlobec, P. Bibcode: 1993SoPh..146..147V Altcode: The prominence which erupted at the SE limb on August 18, 1980 is one of the best observed disparition brusque events: high-resolution monochromatic ground-based observations in the Hα line were supplemented by the SMM and Solwind satellite coronographic observations; the radio wavelength range was well covered by single-frequency and spectral observations, and the prominence magnetic fields were measured two days before the eruption. Title: Changes of Helical Structures During the Eruption of Two Prominences Authors: Rosa, D.; Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V.; Ozguc, A.; Rusin, V. Bibcode: 1993HvaOB..17...15R Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Erratum: "Variations of solar global rotation during the polarity reversal" [Hvar Obs. Bull., Vol. 16, No. 1, p. 13 - 22 (1992)]. Authors: Brajša, R.; Vršnak, B.; Ruždjak, V.; Božić, H.; Pohjolainen, S.; Teräsranta, H.; Urpo, S. Bibcode: 1993HvaOB..17...65B Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Classification of Prominence Oscillations Authors: Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 1993HvaOB..17...23V Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Magnetic structure of solar prominences. Authors: Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 1992AnGeo..10..344V Altcode: 1992AnG....10..344V The cold and dense prominence plasma is suspended in the core of an arcade of magnetic field lines above the solar photosphere. The observations reveal a rather uniform horizontal component of the magnetic field, predominantly directed close to the prominence long axis. On the other hand, monochromatic observations of the prominence fine structure provide a visualization of the magnetic configuration in the core of an arcade revealing intricate morphological structures and chaotic plasma flows. Prominences are usually modelled in cylindrical or slab geometry, assuming that the fine structure is only superposed on a larger scale magnetic field structure. MHD models often treat a prominence as a 2-D static feature but it seems that 3-D dynamical models, including real geometry, are necessary to comprehend the prominence phenomenon completely. The models predict a number of possible MHD instabilities which can cause a prominence eruption. When the critical conditions in an arcade are met the large scale magnetic structure erupts, together with the embedded prominence, and this eruption is known as a coronal mass ejection. Title: Variations of Solar Global Rotation During the Polarity Reversal Authors: Brajsa, R.; Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V.; Bozic, H.; Pohjolainen, S.; Urpo, S.; Terasranta, H. Bibcode: 1992HvaOB..16...13B Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: A Study on Electric Currents in a Solar Active Region - a Dynamo Process at a Place of Repeated Flaring Authors: Hofmann, A.; Ruzdjak, V.; Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 1992HvaOB..16...29H Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Cycle Dependent Rotation of Solar Large Scale Patterns as Determined from Millimeter-Range Observations Authors: Brajsa, R.; Ruzdjak, V.; Vrsnak, B.; Jurac, S.; Pohjolainen, S.; Terasranta, H.; Urpo, S. Bibcode: 1992ASPC...27..274B Altcode: 1992socy.work..274B No abstract at ADS Title: Giant Cells on the Sun Revealed by Low Temperature Microwave Regions? Authors: Brajsa, R.; Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V.; Jurac, S.; Pohjolainen, S.; Urpo, S.; Terasranta, H. Bibcode: 1992HvaOB..16....1B Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Large-scale patterns on the Sun observed in the millimetric wavelength range Authors: Vrsnak, B.; Pohjolainen, S.; Urpo, S.; Terasranta, H.; Brajsa, R.; Ruzdjak, V.; Mouradian, Z.; Jurac, S. Bibcode: 1992SoPh..137...67V Altcode: The nature and behaviour of large-scale patterns on the solar surface, indicated by the areas of brightness-temperature depressions in the millimetric wavelength range, is studied. A large sample of 346 individual, low-temperature regions (LTRs) was employed to provide reliable statistical evidence. An association of 99% was found between the locations of LTRs and the large-scale magnetic field inversion lines, and 60% of the LTRs were associated with the inversion line filaments. A tentative physical association with filaments is reconsidered, and one particularly well-observed case is presented. The heights of the perturbers causing brightness-temperature depressions are discussed. The long-term evolution of the latitudinal distribution of LTRs is presented in a butterfly diagram. Two belts of low-temperature regions outline the active region belts, shifting with them towards the equator during the solar activity cycle. The low-temperature region belts of the forthcoming cycle appear already at the maximum of the actual cycle at latitudes of about 55 °. The superpositions of the temperature minima distributions in the synoptic maps show patterns appearing as `giant cells' and compatible with indications inferred from magnetographic data. The reliability of the inferred cells is considered, and a statistical analysis reveals a negligible probability for an accidental distribution appearing in the form of giant cells. Title: Stability of Prominences Exposing Helical like Patterns Authors: Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V.; Rompolt, B. Bibcode: 1991SoPh..136..151V Altcode: The internal structure of prominences appearing as twisted tubes was studied. The sample embraced 15 stable and 13 eruptive prominences, exposing patterns which possibly reflect a helical configuration. The equivalent pitch angles (ϑ) of twisted fine structure features were measured. In some cases the evolution of the internal structure was followed and 49 independent measurements of the parameter ϑ were performed in total. The results are presented in the plane relating the parameter ϑ and the normalized prominence height. The eruptive prominences occupy the region characterized by ϑ > 50° and h > 0.8d, where h and d are the prominence height and the footpoint half-separation, respectively. All prominences characterized by h < 0.6d or by ϑ < 35° were stable. Such a result is in good agreement with an order of magnitude treatment of the forces acting in a curved magnetic tube, anchored at both ends in the photosphere. Title: Calcium Plage Intensity and Solar Irradiance Variations Authors: Vršnak, B.; Plačko, D.; Ruždjak, V. Bibcode: 1991SoPh..133..205V Altcode: We have established a statistical relation between the facular contribution to the solar irradiance and the intensity of the associated calcium plage. For the solar irradiance data the ACRIM measurements were used. The quiet-Sun level of the irradiance was determined as a function of the time for the period studied. A sample of plages in the period of the solar activity minimum was selected, during the periods when no spots were present on the solar disc. We have expressed the dependence studied through the parameter Cp in the `proxy' PFI concept. The parameter Cp could be related to the plage intensity (I) as Cp = 0.006I + 0.003. The mean value of the parameter Cp ranged between 0.015 and 0.017 depending on the choice of samples. Title: Solar Differential Rotation Determined by Polar Crown Filaments Authors: Brajša, R.; Vršnak, B.; Ruždjak, V.; Schroll, A.; Pohjolainen, S.; Urpo, S.; Teräsranta, H. Bibcode: 1991SoPh..133..195B Altcode: The rotation rates obtained by tracing 124 polar crown filaments are presented in comparison with previous results. Higher filament rotation rate in polar regions was detected and discussed in terms of the various phenomena such as: the projection effect due to the height of measured tracers, the connection of polar filaments with the magnetic field patterns which show an increase of the rotation rate at high latitudes, rigid rotation of polar filaments which form pivot points, and eventual change of the differential rotation law during the cycle. However, when the height correction for an average height of 1% of the solar radius is applied, the filament rotation rate in polar regions decreases. Then the rotation law becomes: Ω(φ) = 14.45 − 0.11 sin2 φ − 3.69 sin4 φ (° day−1, sidereal). Title: Intensity Variations and Short Time Evolution of Solar Microwave Low Temperature Regions Authors: Pohjolainen, S.; Urpo, S.; Terasranta, H.; Vrsnak, B.; Brajsa, R.; Ruzdjak, V.; Jurac, S. Bibcode: 1991HvaOB..15...21P Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Rotation of large scale patterns on the solar surface as determined from filament and millimeter data Authors: Pohjolainen, S.; Vršnak, B.; Teräsranta, H.; Urpol, S.; Brajša, R.; Ruždjak, V.; Jurač, S.; Schroll, A. Bibcode: 1991LNP...380..279P Altcode: 1991IAUCo.130..279P; 1991sacs.coll..279P The rotation of large scale solar magnetic field patterns was studied using quiescent filaments and low temperature regions observed at 37 GHz as tracers. Title: Microwave and Soft X-ray Radiation During Flares Evolving in Strong Magnetic Fields Authors: Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V.; Zlobec, P.; Jurac, S. Bibcode: 1991HvaOB..15...11V Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Launch-times of MHD Shocks Observed as Type II Bursts Authors: Vrsnak, B.; Zlobec, P.; Ruzdjak, V. Bibcode: 1991HvaOB..15....1V Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Large scale patterns on the solar surface indicated by microwave observations Authors: Vršnak, B.; Pohjolainen, S.; Teräsranta, H.; Urpol, S.; Brajša, R.; Ruždjak, V.; Schroll, A.; Jurač, S. Bibcode: 1991LNP...380..282V Altcode: 1991IAUCo.130..282V; 1991sacs.coll..282V A large set of observations of the Sun at 37 GHz is analysed. An association of 99% is found between the regions of brightness temperature depression and the magnetic field inversion lines. Observations indicate a possible existence of giant cells with duration of 1-2 years and a longitudinal extension up to 90°. Title: The Role of the Magnetic Field in Intensity and Geometry in the Type-Iii Burst Generation Authors: Zlobec, P.; Ruždjak, V.; Vršnak, B.; Karlický, M.; Messerotti, M. Bibcode: 1990SoPh..130...31Z Altcode: We study the association of type III bursts related to Hα flares in different magnetic environments in the period 1970-1981. Special attention is paid to flares which partly cover a major spot umbra (Z-flares). In particular we consider the location of the spots in the active regions and the magnetic field intensities of spots covered by a ribbon. The association rate with type III bursts decreases to 17% when the flare is located inside the bipolar pattern of a large active region, compared with an association rate of 54% when the flare is situated outside it. The association rate increases with the magnetic field intensity of the spot covered by Hα emission; this is most clearly revealed for the flares occurring outside the bipolar pattern of active regions. Ninety-three percent of the flare-associated type III burst were accompanied by 10 cm radio bursts. For the most general case in which a flare is developing anywhere in an active region, the association with type III bursts generation increases with the increasing magnetic field intensity of the main spot of the group. Title: Eruptive instability of cylindrical prominences Authors: Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 1990SoPh..129..295V Altcode: 1990SoPh..129..295B The stability of prominences and the dynamics of an eruption are studied. The prominence is represented by an uniformly twisted, curved, magnetic tube, anchored at both ends in the photosphere. Several stages of the eruption are analyzed, from the pre-eruptive phase and the onset of the instability, up to the late phases of the process. Before the eruption, the prominence evolves through a series of equilibrium states, slowly ascending either due to an increase of the electric current or to mass loss. The eruption starts when the ratio of the current to the total mass attains a critical value after which no neighbouring equilibrium exists. The linearized equation of motion was used to obtain the instability threshold, which is presented in a form enabling comparison with the observations. The height at which the prominence erupts depends on the twist, and is typically comparable with the footpoint half-separation. Low-lying prominences are stable even for large twists. The importance of the external field reconnection below the filament, and the mass loss through the legs in the early phases of the eruption is stressed. The oscillations of stable prominences with periods on the Alfvén time-scale are discussed. The results are compared with the observations. Title: Eruptive Instability of Magnetic Arcades Authors: Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 1990Ap&SS.170..141V Altcode: Eruptive prominences trace disruptions of magnetic arcades in which they are embedded. The stability of an arcade containing an electric current filament at its axis is discussed. The model provides criteria for the onset of the eruptive instability in terms of prominence twist and overall geometry, i.e., the parameters which could be measured directly. The evolution of the eruption is analyzed, and the dependence of the acceleration and the pitch of field-lines on the height is established. The model is compared with the observations of one eruptive prominence where the development of helical structure was followed. Title: Solar Irradiance Variations and Nonthermal Processes in the Solar Atmosphere Authors: Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V.; Zlobec, P. Bibcode: 1990BAICz..41..243V Altcode: The association of solar irradiance decreases with flare and noise storm activity is analyzed. The studied irradiance dips were accompanied by enhanced flare activity, but increased flare activity did not necessarily imply the occurrence of a dip. On the other hand, longlasting broadband noise storm activity was always accompanied by an irradiance dip. An upper limit to the amplitude of the irradiance perturbation caused by a sunspot group of a given area and flare activity is estimated. Also, a lower limit to the irradiance perturbation amplitude with respect to noise storm activity is established. The estimated energies associated with the considered processes were found to be much smaller than the energies related to the irradiance decreases. Nevertheless, the analysis indicates the importance of nonthermal processes in large agglomerations of magnetic fields related to irradiance decreases. Title: Oscillatory Motions in an Active Prominence Authors: Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V.; Brajsa, R.; Zloch, F. Bibcode: 1990SoPh..127..119V Altcode: Different types of oscillatory motions were detected in the late phases of eruption of a prominence. We found oscillations of the prominence axis and diameter with periods of 4.3 and 9.1 min, corresponding to the eigenmodes m = 4 and m = 8 with a damping factor 4.6 × 10−3 s−1. A period about 4.5 min was found for oscillations of the pitch angle of the helically twisted filaments. The m = 2 and m = 3 eigenmodes could be also identified and they led to the final relaxation of the prominence axis. The observations are compared with a model in which we consider forces acting in a curved, cylindrical magnetic tube anchored at both ends in the photosphere and carrying an electric current. The stability of the prominence is discussed. Title: Dynamics and Internal Structure of an Eruptive Prominence Authors: Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 1990SoPh..127..129V Altcode: The kinematics and the development of the internal structure in the eruptive prominence of August 16, 1988 are described. The prominence exposed helical structure, and the pitch of the fine structure filaments was measured. The evolution of the pitch was measured in the legs of the prominence and at its summit from the pre-eruptive phase up to the late phases of the eruption. The pitch angle was decreasing in the legs as well as at the summit. However, the observations indicate that the integral twist remained constant. The prominence was twisted more at the summit where it was wider than in the legs. The `effective' twist at the prominence summit was approximately 20 π and in the legs it amounted to about 8 π. Such a ratio did not change during the eruption, i.e., no redistribution of the twist was observed within the accuracy of measurements. The nature of the instability causing the eruption is discussed and the energetics of the process is considered. Title: Polar Crown Filaments and Solar Differential Rotation at High Latitudes Authors: Brajša, R.; Vršnak, B.; Rundjak, V.; Schroll, A. Bibcode: 1990LNP...363..293B Altcode: 1990doqp.coll..293B; 1990IAUCo.117..293B No abstract at ADS Title: Motion of High Latitude Solar Microwave Sources and Comparison with Polar Prominences Authors: Urpo, S.; Pohjolainen, S.; Teräsranta, H.; Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V.; Brajsa, R.; Schroll, A. Bibcode: 1990LNP...363..292U Altcode: 1990doqp.coll..292U; 1990IAUCo.117..292U Solar microwave sources at high solar latitudes have been observed with a 14 m radio telescope at the Metsahovi Radio Research Station in Finland. Several periods for observations were organized in 1986-1989 in order to detect sources close to the north and south pole of the Sun. Measurements at 22 and 37 GHz (wavelengths 14 and 8 mm respectively) have revealed the existence of high temperature and low temperature regions (relative to the quiet Sun level) at latitudes 50-80 degrees. The motions of these regions have been studied and compared with optical measurements of polar prominences. The temperature enhancement at 37 GHz is typically 100-400 K above the quiet Sun level (7800 K) at that frequency. Although in most cases temperature depression in a low temperature area amounts 50-300 K, at 37 GHz, the temperature drop in the low temperature area which was observed in July 1982 was as low as 900 K. The results of the radio measurements of the Sun at 22 and 37 GHz on high solar latitudes imply that high temperature areas correspond to polar faculae while low temperature areas correspond to polar prominences. The principal cause of the observed lower temperature area is the absorbtion by the filament. Title: Vector Magnetic Field and Currents at the Footpoint of a Loop Prominence Authors: Hofmann, A.; Ruždjak, V.; Vršnak, B. Bibcode: 1990LNP...363..233H Altcode: 1990IAUCo.117..233H; 1990doqp.coll..233H Using H -filtergrams and vector magnetograms we study the structure of the magnetic field at the footpoint of a loop prominence rooting deep in the penumbral photosphere of a sunspot. In the region investigated the footpoint -field is well marked in the transversal field map. The field has a predominantly transverse character and is directed parallel to the axis of the prominence. The flux bundle forming the prominence left the photosphere by an angle of about 26°, i.e. close to the horizontal. In the maps of current densities inferred from the vector magnetic field we find a pair of up- and downflowing currents, being situated symmetrically to the axis of the prominence. This indicates on a current ( 3,8 · 1011 A) flowing round the flux bundle and generating the Lorentz forces causing the concentration of flux at the footpoint region. The vertical gradients of the longitudinal field hint on an increase of the field strength with height, i.e. toward the axis of the prominence. Title: Time Profiles of Solar Irradiance Dips Authors: Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V.; Ruzic, Z. Bibcode: 1990SoPh..125...13V Altcode: ACRIM data have been analyzed to study the time profiles of simple irradiance dips caused by single active regions. Comparison of the average characteristics of the dips appearing in the minimum and maximum of the solar cycle shows that there are no significant differences. In both periods we disclosed the facular irradiance excess in the profile wings having typical duration of two to three days and an amplitude of about 20% of the dip amplitude. The profiles were asymmetric, with a stronger and longer excess in the trailing wing. We determined an `average' profile which was attributed to an idealized active region, and we calculated the luminosity perturbation caused by it. Excess radiation in the wings of the profile compensates about 1/3 of the deficit in the dip. In the most simple case from our sample we compared the profile based on ACRIM measurements and the proxy profile estimated using sunspot and plage areas published in Solar Geophysical Data catalogues. The comparison indicates that the facular excess was compensating instantaneously about 2/3 of the luminosity deficit caused by sunspots. Title: On the Appearances, Intensities and Motions of Solar Microwave Low Temperature Areas Authors: Pohjolainen, S.; Brajša, R.; Urpo, S.; Teräsranta, H.; Vršnak, B.; Ruždjak, V.; Jurač, S. Bibcode: 1990PDHO....7...56P Altcode: 1990ESPM....6...56P; 1990dysu.conf...56P Solar microwave sources at 37 GHz have been observed at Metsähovi since 1978. The solar maps have revealed the existence of low temperature regions, i.e. areas where the brightness temperature is typically 100 - 400K lower than the quiet Sun level, throughout the solar cycle. The authors have investigated the appearances, intensities and motions of these temperature depressions and compared them with the activity features in the optical part of the spectrum. Title: Oscillatory Relaxation of an Eruptive Prominence Authors: Vršnak, B.; Ruždjak, V.; Brajša, R.; Zloch, F. Bibcode: 1990LNP...363..256V Altcode: 1990IAUCo.117..256V; 1990doqp.coll..256V Different types of oscillatory motions were detected in the late phases of eruption of a prominence. We found oscillations of the prominence axis and diameter with periods of 4.3 and 9.1 minutes corresponding to the eigenmodes m=4 and m=8 with a damping factor 4.6 10-3 s{-1}. A period of about 4.5 minutes was found for oscillations of the pitch angle of the helically twisted filaments. The m=2 and m=3 eigenmodes could be also identified and they led to the final relaxation of the prominence axis. The observations are interpreted in analogy with damped oscillations of an elastic string. The lowest eigenmode was not excited due to >hile the m=2 and m=3 eigenmodes were highly damped. The frequency of free oscillations due to restoring forces and the decay constant were inferred using the dispersion relation for oscillation of the elastic string and the observed frequentes in the m=4 and m=8 modes to =3.1x10-3-1, corresponding to a period of T=34 min. and S =4.6x10-3s-1. Title: A Comparison of Hα and Soft X-Ray Characteristics of Spotless and SPOT Group Flares Authors: Ruždjak, V.; Vršnak, B.; Schroll, A.; Brajša, R. Bibcode: 1989SoPh..123..309R Altcode: A comparative analysis of spotless and spot group flares recorded at Hvar and Kanzelhöhe Observatories during the 21st cycle of solar activity is presented. The rate of occurrence of two-ribbon flares was found to be significantly higher for the spotless flares. In comparison with spot group flares of corresponding Hα importance, the soft X-ray peak values have been systematically lower for the spotless flares. The highest peak values and the energy released in soft X-rays was found for flares with a Hα ribbon protruding over a major spot umbra. It was found that the effective plasma temperatures in spotless flares have been considerably lower than the temperatures in spot group flares. Title: Soft X-Ray Emission from a Hot Turbulent Current Sheet and the Precursor Phase of Solar Flares Authors: Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 1989SoPh..120...79V Altcode: The properties and development of a high-temperature current sheet characterized by increasing merging velocity are studied and related to the early phases of solar flares. It is shown that the system can be described by the Petschek-type geometry for a wide range of merging velocities. In the diffusion region and the standing MHD shocks a certain low-frequency plasma microturbulence is generated from the very beginning of the reconnection process. We present qualitative solutions for the case of ion-acoustic turbulence in marginally stable state, which provide a comparison with observations. The increasing merging velocity leads to the appearance of the soft X-ray precursor. The precursor temperature maximum should appear during the current sheet formation, before the Petschek regime is established. In the Petschek regime the temperature of the hot plasma decreases due to the decrease of the magnetic field strength at the diffusion region boundary, while the soft X-ray radiation still increases, reaching precursor maximum for merging velocities about 1% of the external Alfvén velocity. The precursor phase ends when the value of the merging velocity surpasses the upper limit for the Petschek regime and the system enters into the pile-up regime, causing a new increase of plasma temperature and soft X-ray radiation. Title: Motion of High Latitude Solar Microwave Sources and Comparison with Solar Prominences Authors: Urpo, S.; Pohjolainen, S.; Terasranta, H.; Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V.; Brajsa, R.; Schroll, A. Bibcode: 1989HvaOB..13..437U Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Oscillatory Relaxation of an Eruptive Prominence Authors: Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V.; Brajsa, R.; Zloch, F. Bibcode: 1989HvaOB..13..137V Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Polar Crown Filaments and Solar Differential Rotation at High Latitudes Authors: Brajsa, R.; Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V.; Schroll, A. Bibcode: 1989HvaOB..13..449B Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Vector Magnetic Field and Currents at the Footpoint of a Loop Prominence Authors: Hofmann, A.; Ruzdjak, V.; Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 1989HvaOB..13...11H Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Solar irradiance variations and their relation with solar flares. Authors: Pap, J.; Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 1989sasf.confP.243P Altcode: 1988sasf.conf..243P; 1989IAUCo.104P.243P A clear association is demonstrated between the dips in the total solar irradiance and flare occurrence. It is found that both the irradiance dips and flares are related to emerging new activity. Title: Structure and Stability of Prominences with Helical Structure Authors: Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V.; Brajsa, R.; Dzubur, A. Bibcode: 1988SoPh..116...45V Altcode: Observations of internal structure and development of four helical prominences are presented. We assume that the helically twisted fine structure threads are outlining magnetic field lines and we found that it is possible to describe the magnetic fields by the uniform twist configuration, with the twists ranging between 2π and 7π. The estimated lower limits for the magnetic fields were about 20 G which give lower limits for the currents flowing along the prominences in the range between 2 × 1010 A and 2 × 1011 A and current densities at the axis of the prominences about 10-4 A m-2. The upper limit of electron drift velocity could be estimated as 1 m s-1, which is far below the critical velocities for the onset of plasma microinstabilities. Title: Solar Irradiance Perturbations Caused by Active Regions Authors: Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V.; Ruzic, Z. Bibcode: 1988HvaOB..12....1V Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Solar irradiance variations and magnetic field emergence Authors: Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V. Bibcode: 1988AdSpR...8g..35V Altcode: 1988AdSpR...8...35V We have studied the association between different aspects of the magnetic field behaviour in large active regions and the solar irradiance variations. It was found that irradiance decreases were accompanied by enhanced flare and coronal mass ejection activity. A still better association seems to exist with broadband, long-lasting noise storm activity. This indicates that the enhanced generation of weak MHD shock waves causing noise storm in large interconnecting coronal loops is related to the appearance of irradiance dips. Title: H-alpha Flares Recorded at Hvar Observatory During the "Solar International Month-September 1988" Authors: Ruzdjak, V.; Vrsnak, B.; Zloch, F. Bibcode: 1988HvaOB..12...11R Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Reconnection driven by an erupting filament in the May 14, 1981 flare Authors: Vršnak, B.; Ruždjak, V.; Messerotti, M.; Mouradian, Z.; Urbarz, H.; Zlobec, P. Bibcode: 1987SoPh..114..289V Altcode: We present observations of the flare of May 14, 1981, which can be classified as a three-ribbon flare. After a detailed analysis in metric, decimetric, microwave, optical, and X-ray ranges we propose that the event was caused by a reconnection process driven by erupting filament. The energy was liberated in the current sheet above the filament in the region between the erupting flux and the overlying field. It is shown that plasma microinstabilities develop as the plasma enters the current sheet. The observations indicate that during the precursor phase a certain low-frequency turbulence, such as ion-accoustic turbulence had to be present. Title: Evidence for interacting loop process in a phase of the May 16, 1981 flare Authors: Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V.; Messerotti, M.; Zlobec, P. Bibcode: 1987SoPh..111...23V Altcode: The behaviour of the flare in the period of enhancement and maximum of hard X-ray, microwave and decimetric type IV continuum is analysed. The elongation of the Hα ribbons and microwave source disclose that the energy release site was shifting through a system of loops with a velocity less than 200 km s-1, and that the energy was carried down the field lines with a velocity of about 1000 km s-1, implying the thermal conduction front mechanism of energy transport. Several processes of energy release are considered and it is concluded that an explanation in terms of succeeding interactions of neighbouring loops, involving fast reconnection of their poloidal components is in best agreement with the observations. Title: Spotless flares and the associated radio continuum emission. Authors: Ruždjak, V.; Messerotti, M.; Nonino, M.; Schroll, A.; Vršnak, B.; Zlobec, P. Bibcode: 1987SoPh..111..103R Altcode: 1987SoPh..111..103F We studied 24 spotless flares of Ha importance ≥ 1 which occurred during the 21st cycle of solar activity. The spotless flares could be grouped in three categories according to their location and time history of the associated active region. Our association of the flares with radio events was based on relative timing and on the flare importances. Weak microwave gradual rise and fall events were frequently recorded during the occurrence of the spotless flares. A few flares from our sample could be associated with impulsive and complex microwave bursts. Only in one case an association of a spotless flare with a significant metric type II/IV event seems to be justified. Title: The Effects of Diferent Basic Process in Solar Flares Authors: Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 1987HvaOB..11...91V Altcode: Current flare classifications are presented briefly, to illustrate observational evidence of the differences among flares. Possible mechanisms of energy release processes in different magnetic structures are discussed and the interplay between ideal and resistive MHD processes and plasma microinstabilities is emphasized. The interacting loop flare model is taken as an example to show that there are observational evidences for at least two different mechanisms of energy release processes (coalescence instability and driven reconnection) in this kind of flares. Title: PC Based Image Processing of Solar Activity Features Authors: Dzubur, A.; Caldarevic, M.; Ruzdjak, V.; Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 1987HvaOB..11..143D Altcode: A short description of digital image, i.e. the image which is after digitalization process stored in the PC computer memory and to which digital processing can be applied is given. The procedure is applied to images of various solar activity features. Title: Behaviour of the Polarization at Dm-M Wavelengths during the Evolution of Five Two-Ribbon Flares Authors: Ruzdjak, V.; Vrsnak, B.; Zlobec, P.; Schroll, A. Bibcode: 1986SoPh..104..169R Altcode: The general behaviour of the circular polarization at dm-m wavelengths during the evolution of five two-ribbon flares is investigated. The changes of polarization, if present, occurred 10 to 20 min after the impulsive phases. Increases of the radio and X-ray fluxes occurred at the moments when the Hα ribbons started to extend over spot umbrae. Title: Changes of Polarization in the dm-m Range During the Flare of May 16, 1981 Authors: Ruzdjak, V.; Vrsnak, B.; Zlobec, P. Bibcode: 1986HvaOB..10...11R Altcode: The polarization behaviour in the dm-m radio range during the flare of May 16, 1981 is studied and related to other observed phenomena. The evolution of the flare is discussed. Title: Flare occurence in the complex of activity NOAA/USAF No. 4201, May 29 - June 12, 1983 Authors: Ruždjak, V.; Vršnak, B.; Hofmann, A.; Křivský, L.; Markova, E.; Kálmán, B. Bibcode: 1986CoSka..15..257R Altcode: The evolution of a large complex of activity NOAA/USAF No. 4201 in the period May 29 to June 12, 1983 was investigated. Almost 200 flares occurring in the complex were reported, most of which clustered at preferred sites where delta configurations with shear and strong gradients of the magnetic fields were present or new flux emerged. Title: Microwave limb sources and their relation to solar flares Authors: Urpo, S.; Terasranta, H.; Pohjolainen, S.; Ruzdjak, V.; Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 1986AdSpR...6f.267U Altcode: 1986AdSpR...6..267U Solar microwave maps (at 22 and 37 GHz) performed at Metsähovi (Finland) in the period 1979-1982 have revealed about a dozen radiation sources, microwave limb sources (MW LS), located up to 50 000 km above the optical limb of the Sun (in normal conditions the sources for microwave emission are locate 2 000 - 4 000 km above the photosphere). It could be established that MW LS showed up after the occurrence of two ribbon flares situated close to the limb of the visible hemisphere or that they have been connected to flares occuring behind the limb, which was documented by the appearance of Hα post flare loop systems. The life time of the MW LS was typically about 3 hours and they have been correlated to long decay events (LDE) in X-rays. In one case the active region where the MW LS appeared was also tracked at Metsähovi and a typical gradual rise and fall event was recorded. It is proposed that the MW LS are of thermal origin and that they originate from condensed flaring loops appearing at successive higher altitudes. Title: The Two Ribbon Flare of May 14, 1981 Authors: Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V.; Zlobec, P. Bibcode: 1986HvaOB..10...17V Altcode: The flare behaviour at radio waves, X-rays and in H-alpha is described. The flare geometry is discussed and compared with the model of Heyvaerts et al. (1977). Title: Microwave emission from the limb of the Sun: the events of September 8, 1980 and May 10, 1981 Authors: Urpo, S.; Terasranta, H.; Ruzdjak, V.; Vrsnak, B.; Rompolt, B.; Kren, G. Bibcode: 1985HvaOB...9...25U Altcode: Solar microwave maps at 8 mm performed at the Metsähovi Radio Research Station in the period 1978 - 1982 revealed some radiation sources located up to 50000 km outside the optical Sun. The authors describe two characteristic events which were associated with large flares occurring close to the solar limb. Title: Helical prominences III: the prominence of July 29, 1980 Authors: Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 1985HvaOB...9...61V Altcode: A prominence, observed at Hvar Observatory on July 29, 1980, is described and interpreted. The lower limit of the magnetic field strength is estimated to 10 G, while lower limits of the total internal current and current density are estimated as 1011A and 8×10-5A/m2, respectively. Title: The oscillating loop prominence of July 17, 1981 Authors: Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 1984SoPh...94..289V Altcode: Oscillatory motions of a loop prominence observed on July 17, 1981 are analysed. The oscillations were mainly horizontal, with a period of 8 min. Restoring force was a result of magnetic tension, and assuming a simplified magnetic field configuration the expression for frequencies of oscillations is derived and compared with the observations. Taking the observed period, the strength of the magnetic field permeating the prominence is estimated as 45 G. Finally, the stability of the prominence is discussed. Title: The Flares of May 14 and 16, 1981, August 19, 1981, October 14, 1983 and the Associated Radio Events Authors: Ruzdjak, V.; Vrsnak, B.; Kotrc, P.; Merciar, C.; Schober, H. J.; Schroll, A.; Urpo, S.; Zlobec, P. Bibcode: 1984HvaOB...8...25R Altcode: Observational data for the flares of May 14 and 16, 1981, August 19, 1981 and October 14, 1983 in the optical and radio ranges are presented. It seems that the complexity of the photospheric-chromospheric aspect and its time evolution is reflected in the radio range. Title: The Hellical Prominence of May 26, 1982 Authors: Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 1984HvaOB...8...13V Altcode: The observation of a prominence with helical structure is described and interpreted. Dynamics, stability and the internal structure of the prominence are discussed. Title: The Determination of the Reduction Factors for Sunspot Observations at the Astronomical Observatory Zagreb Authors: Kren, G.; Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V. Bibcode: 1984HvaOB...8....1K Altcode: Sunspot observations performed at the Astronomical Observatory Zagreb in the period May 1979 - June 1983 were investigated. The reduction factors of the observed Wolf numbers to the international Wolf numbers have been obtained. The dependence of the reduction factors on the seeing has been analysed. Title: Correlation of noise storm and H-alpha activity for the CONS period Sept. 1 - 4, 1980. Authors: Vršnak, B.; Ruždjak, V. Bibcode: 1983srs..work..315V Altcode: The Ca plage index was found to be highly correlated with the 260 MHz radio flux. The noise storm enhancement followed the increase in the number of major flares with the delay of one day. The noise storm behaviour was correlated with the three hour flare index, but not with the one hour flare index. Title: Oscillatory motions of prominences Authors: Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 1982HvaOB...6..129V Altcode: Oscillatory motions of a loop prominence observed on July 17, 1981 are discussed. Stability of the loop, origin of the restoring force and magnetic field strength are discussed. Title: Correlation of noise storm and Hα activity for the CONS period September 1-4, 1980 Authors: Vršnak, B.; Ruždjak, V. Bibcode: 1982srs..work..315V Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: The helical prominence of March 17, 1977 Authors: Vrsnak, B.; Ruzdjak, V. Bibcode: 1982HvaOB...6..123V Altcode: The dynamics of a prominence with helical structure is studied. The slow rising motion accompanied by detwisting indicates that mass loss probably caused the prominence rising and decrease of the azimuthal component of the magnetic field. The radial dependence of current density within the prominence cylinder is discussed. Title: Post SMY observations at Hvar Observatory, May-June 1981 Authors: Ruzdjak, V.; Vrsnak, B.; Novak, N. Bibcode: 1981HvaOB...5...41R Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Some internal mass motions in prominences indicated by special spectral features. Authors: Ruzdjak, V.; Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 1981PAOS....1..191R Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Observations carried out at Hvar Observatory during SMY, August 1979 - February 1981 Authors: Ruzdjak, V.; Vrsnak, B.; Novak, N. Bibcode: 1981HvaOB...5...31R Altcode: No abstract at ADS Title: Internal mass motions in three eruptive prominences Authors: Vrsnak, B. Bibcode: 1980HvaOB...4...17V Altcode: No abstract at ADS